Category Archives: Chinese Artificial Intelligence

Concept of Future Human-machine Integrated Forces in the Chinese People’s Liberation Army

中國人民解放軍未來人機一體化部隊構想

現代英語:

At present, judging from the reform and development of the establishment system in major countries in the world, the military is developing towards a lean, small, efficient, intelligent, and integrated “man-machine (robot-drone)” direction, seeking to coordinate and fight together with robot soldiers, drones and human soldiers. According to statistics, the armies of more than 60 countries in the world are currently equipped with military robots, with more than 150 types. It is estimated that by 2040, half of the members of the world’s military powers may be robots. In addition to the United States, Russia, Britain, France, Japan, Israel, Turkey, Iran and other countries that have successively launched their own robot warriors, other countries have also invested in the research and development of unmanned weapons.

The world’s military powers will set off a wave of forming unmanned combat forces to compete. The so-called unmanned combat forces are a general term for combat robots or battlefield killing robot systems. With the development of various types of information-based, precise, and data-based weapons and equipment, intelligent platforms have become the driving force for pre-designed battlefields, combat robots have become the main force on the battlefield, and the combination of man and machine has become the key to defeating the enemy. In the future, battlefield space forces will highlight the three-dimensional unmanned development trend of land, sea, and air.

USA Today once published an article titled “New Robots Take War to the Next Level: Unmanned Warfare,” which described unmanned warfare like this: drone fleets swarm in, using sophisticated instruments for detection, reconnaissance, and counter-reconnaissance; after locking onto a target, they calmly launch missiles; automatically programmed unmanned submarines perform a variety of tasks including underwater search, reconnaissance, and mine clearance; on the ground battlefield, robots are responsible for the delivery of ammunition, medical supplies, and food… In future wars, these may become a reality.

On land, various robots that can perform specific tasks are highly integrated mobile strike platforms with mechanization, informatization, and intelligence. For example, unmanned tanks are unmanned tracked armored platforms that are mainly controlled by their own programs. They can be remotely controlled by soldiers, and are dominated by long-range attack intelligent weapons and informationized weapons. They can automatically load ammunition and launch autonomously, and carry out long-range indirect precision strikes, effectively reducing the casualties of soldiers. In the ocean, various unmanned submarines, unmanned warships, etc. can sail thousands of miles and perform various maritime combat missions without the need for onboard personnel to operate. In the air, the human-controlled drone system deployed in actual combat is a drone system platform with its own reconnaissance and judgment, human control, integrated reconnaissance and attack, autonomous attack, and human-machine collaboration.

The use of drone weapons in wars highlights their combat capabilities, which will inevitably lead the armies of countries around the world to form unmanned combat units in full swing. In the Iraq War, the United States began to test the actual combat capabilities of unmanned combat vehicles. In March 2013, the United States released a new version of the “Robotics Technology Roadmap: From the Internet to Robots”, which elaborated on the development roadmap of robots, including military robots, and decided to invest huge military research funds in the development of military robots, so that the proportion of unmanned combat equipment of the US military will increase to 30% of the total number of weapons. It is planned that one-third of ground combat operations in the future will be undertaken by military robots. It is reported that the US military deployed the first future robot combat brigade (including at least 151 robot warriors) before 2015. In 2016, the US military conducted another experimental simulation test of the “modular unmanned combat vehicle” in a multinational joint military exercise. In 2020, the US Pentagon issued a contract with a price tag of 11 million US dollars to form a “combined arms squad” with the ability to cooperate with humans and robots, and plans to complete the construction of 15 future combat brigades by 2030. All squad members have human-like vision, hearing, touch and smell, can send information and attack targets in a timely manner, and can even undertake tasks such as self-repair and vehicle maintenance, transportation, minesweeping, reconnaissance, and patrolling. The US Daily Science website reported that the US Army has developed a new technology that can quickly teach robots to complete new crossing actions with minimal human intervention. The report said that the technology can enable mobile robot platforms to navigate autonomously in combat environments, while allowing robots to complete combat operations that humans expect them to perform under certain circumstances. Currently, US Army scientists hope to cultivate muscle cells and tissues for robots for biological hybridization rather than directly extracting them from living organisms. Therefore, this combination of muscle and robot reminds me of the half-cyborg Grace in the movie “Terminator: Dark Fate”.

On April 21, 2018, the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) special forces launched a raid against extremist terrorists in Derbent, Dagestan, and for the first time publicly dispatched armed unmanned combat vehicles equipped with machine guns as pioneers. During the 2018 Russian Red Square military parade, the United States discovered a large number of Russian “Uranus-9” robots and other combat systems that had exchanged fire with Syrian anti-government forces in southern Syria, and showed their appearance characteristics to the audience. In August 2015, the Russian army used combat robot combat companies to carry out position assaults on the Syrian battlefield. The tracked robots charged, attacked, attracted the militants to open fire, and guided the self-propelled artillery group to destroy the exposed fire points one by one. In the end, the robot combat company took down the high ground that is now difficult for Russian soldiers to capture in one fell swoop in just 20 minutes, achieving a record of zero casualties and killing 77 enemies.

According to the British Daily Star website, after the British Army conducted a large-scale combat robot test at an event called “Autonomous Warrior 2018”, it unified drones, unmanned vehicles and combat personnel into a world-class army for decades to come. Future British Army autonomous military equipment, whether tanks, robots or drones, may have legs instead of tracks or wheels. In early 2021, after the UK held the “Future Maritime Air Force Acceleration Day” event, it continued to develop a “plug-and-play” maritime autonomous platform development system, which, after being connected to the Royal Navy’s ships, can simplify the acquisition and use of automation and unmanned operation technologies.

In addition to the development of robots by Russia, the United States, and the United Kingdom, other powerful countries have also successively launched their own robot warriors. It is expected that in the next 20 years, the world will usher in robots on land, sea, and air to replace soldiers to perform high-risk tasks. The future battlefield will inevitably be unmanned or man-machine integrated joint combat operations. The world’s military powers will launch a human-machine (drone) integrated combat experiment

The style of air combat is always evolving with the advancement of aviation technology. Since 1917, with the successful development of the world’s first unmanned remote-controlled aircraft by the United Kingdom, the family of unmanned equipment has continued to grow and develop, and various drones are increasingly active in the arena of modern warfare.

Since the 21st century, with the large number of drones being used on the battlefield, the combat style has been constantly updated. In the Gulf War, drones were limited to reconnaissance, surveillance and target guidance, but in the Afghanistan War, Iraq War and the War on Terrorism, the combat capabilities of drones have become increasingly prominent, and the combat style and methods have shown new characteristics, allowing countries around the world to see drones as a sharp sword in the air, thus opening the prelude to the integrated combat test of man-machine (drone).

It is reported that the total number of drones in NATO countries increased by 1.7 times between 1993 and 2005, reaching 110,000 by 2006. The United States, other NATO countries, Israel, and South Africa all attach great importance to the development and production of unmanned reconnaissance aircraft and multi-purpose drones.

In 2019, more than 30 countries in the world have developed more than 50 types of drones, and more than 50 countries are equipped with drones. The main types are: “password” drones, multi-function drones, artificial intelligence drones, long-term airborne drones, anti-missile drones, early warning drones, stealth drones, micro drones, air combat drones, mapping drones, and aerial photography drones. The main recovery methods: automatic landing, parachute recovery, aerial recovery, and arresting recovery.

On September 14, 2019, after Saudi Aramco’s “world’s largest oil processing facility” and oil field were attacked, the Yemeni Houthi armed forces claimed “responsibility for the incident” and claimed that they used 10 drones to attack the above facilities. On January 3, 2020, Qassem Soleimani, commander of the “Quds Force” under the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, was “targeted and eliminated” in a drone raid launched by the United States at Baghdad International Airport in the early morning of the Iraqi capital. At the end of 2020, in the battle between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh (Nagorno-Karabakh region), it was obvious that drones played an important role in the conflict between the two sides. In particular, many military experts were shocked by the videos that the Azerbaijani Ministry of Defense kept releasing of the TB-2 “Flagship” and Israeli “Harop” suicide drones just purchased from Turkey attacking Armenian armored vehicles, artillery, cars and even infantry positions and S-300 air defense missiles. In December 2020, local conflicts in the Middle East and Transcaucasus showed that drones are playing an increasingly important role. Based on this, some military experts even predicted that the 21st century will be the “golden age” for the development of drones. Drones are bound to completely replace manned aircraft and become the “battlefield protagonist” of the 21st century.

Currently, the US Air Force plans to expand the teaming of manned and unmanned platforms between drones and manned aircraft, and by 2025, 90% of fighters will be drones. In other words, larger aircraft (F-35 fighters or F-22 fighters) can control a nearby drone fleet. For example, the F-35 fighter is like a flying sensor computer, which can obtain a large amount of data, and communicate, analyze and judge on its own, and finally upload the conclusion to the pilot’s helmet display. The pilot analyzes and processes the information obtained, formulates a combat plan based on the combat plan, battlefield situation, and weapons equipped by the formation, and then issues it to the drone… to achieve the purpose of manned aircraft commanding drones to cooperate in combat. In other words, the mixed formation of manned and unmanned aircraft will change the previous ground control to air control of drones, and the pilot will directly command the combat operations of drones. The US military envisions a modular design so that soldiers can assemble drones after taking out the parts of drones from their backpacks when needed in future battlefield operations, and can also use 3D printing drones. In August 2020, the U.S. Air Force defeated top F-16 fighter pilots in a simulated air battle with AI, which also proved that AI pilots can “think” creatively and quickly, and it may not be long before they surpass the skills of human pilots. The U.S. Navy’s new MQ-25 “Stingray” carrier-based unmanned tanker will be tested in 2021 and have initial operational capability in 2024, which will help expand the combat radius of aircraft carriers.

Since 2013, Russia has been equipped with a large number of drones, of which unmanned reconnaissance aircraft alone exceeded 2,000 by the end of 2019, most of which are light drones, such as the Kalashnikov drones that participated in the military operations in Syria. In the next step, each brigade or division-level unit of the Russian Army will have a drone company, and the airborne troops will also be equipped with a large number of drones. The Russian Northern Fleet will have a drone regiment, and some modern Russian warships will also be equipped with drones. In addition, from 2021, the “Orion” reconnaissance and strike drone developed by the Kronstadt Group will be equipped with the Russian army. This heavy drone can carry a variety of guided ammunition to perform combat missions. In addition, the Russian army is also testing two heavy drones, the “Altair” and the C-70 “Hunter”. These are enough to show that Russia has made significant progress in the field of drone research and development.

Israel is a true pioneer in the field of drones. The drones it develops are not only advanced, but also exported to other countries. It has equipped its troops with hundreds of drones, including the “Bird’s Eye” series of single-soldier drones, the “Firefly” drone, the light “Skylark-I” drone, the light “Hero” drone, the medium “Skylark-II/III” drone, the “Heron” drone, etc. In the mid-1980s, Israel had developed a land-based launch and patrol drone named “Harpy” or “Harpy”. The Harpy is a “suicide drone” capable of autonomous anti-radar attacks. It weighs 135 kg, can carry 32 kg of high explosives, and has a range of 500 km. Due to confidentiality reasons, the specific number and type of drones equipped by the Israel Defense Forces are not yet known. In order to deal with threatening targets such as enemy ground-to-ground missiles, Israel Aircraft Industries is developing a high-altitude, long-flight stealth unmanned fighter. The aircraft combines stealth technology with long-range air-to-air missiles, can carry Moab missiles, penetrate into the rear of the enemy’s battle zone, and intercept and attack ground-to-ground missiles in the boost phase.

On February 5, 2013, the British army stationed in Afghanistan used a micro unmanned helicopter for the first time to carry out front-line work of spying on military intelligence. This unmanned helicopter is equipped with a micro camera, which can transmit the captured images to a handheld control terminal in real time; it can fly around corners and avoid obstacles to identify potential dangers. Next, the UK plans to enable one manned aircraft to command five unmanned aircraft at the same time. According to a report on the website of the British “Times” on January 26, 2021, the British Ministry of Defense invested 30 million pounds to develop the first unmanned aerial vehicle force in Northern Ireland. According to reports, the contract for the design and manufacture of the prototype has been given to the American “Spirit” Aerospace Systems. The company has a branch in Belfast, and the contract is expected to provide 100 jobs. The British Ministry of Defense plans to start manufacturing the first prototype of this new type of unmanned aerial vehicle by 2025. It will be equipped with missiles, reconnaissance and electronic warfare technology equipment, becoming the British Army’s first unmanned aerial vehicle capable of targeting and shooting down enemy aircraft and avoiding surface-to-air missile attacks. Its partner manned fighters will be able to focus on missions such as electronic warfare, reconnaissance and bombing, thereby reducing costs and the high risks faced by British aircrews.

The French Navy will form its first carrier-based drone squadron at a base near Toulon, the 36F carrier-based aircraft squadron of the French Naval Aviation. The squadron will be equipped with S-100 drones and carried on the Navy’s Mistral-class amphibious landing ship. The formation of this carrier-based drone squadron reflects the French Navy’s desire to integrate drone expertise into a single professional team. Previously, the French Navy discussed the establishment of a dedicated drone squadron and the option of equipping the 31F, 35F or 36F squadrons with drones.

At the Paris Air Show in June 2004, the full-scale model of the NX70 Neuron unmanned combat aircraft displayed by the French Dassault Aviation Company rekindled people’s interest in the development of European drones. Iran, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates…some new countries have disrupted the geopolitical landscape of drones and are writing a new page.

It can be predicted that drones will become the biggest highlight in the development of weapons and equipment in various countries around the world, and become the “trump card” of land warfare, naval warfare, air warfare, and space warfare in the 21st century. It will become a new combat force in offensive and defensive operations. It can not only use the various ground attack weapons it carries to strike enemy ground military targets in frontline and deep areas, but also use air-to-ground missiles or bombs to suppress enemy air defense weapons; it can not only use weapons such as anti-tank missiles to attack enemy tanks or tank groups, but also use weapons such as cluster bombs to bomb enemy ground forces; it can not only detect targets and judge the value of targets and then launch missiles autonomously, but also deceive and interfere with enemy command and control systems, etc. The world’s military powers will set off a battle to form a “man-machine (robot drone)” integrated force

With the deepening of military-civilian integration, the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology, and the rapid development of big data, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things, not only will the development of unmanned weapons and equipment bring about tremendous changes, but it will also subvert the existing military force formation form. The “human-machine (robot-drone)” integrated intelligent army is bound to come.

In December 2015, in addition to sending traditional combat forces to the Syrian battlefield, the Russian army also sent a robot combat company mainly composed of unmanned combat platforms to participate in the battle for the first time. The company adopted a new combat mode of mixed manned and unmanned formations, built an intelligent combat system with the “Andromeda-D” automated command system as the core, and launched an attack on Hill 754.5 using a combination of full-dimensional reconnaissance and saturation attack, successfully seizing the hill. A few years ago, U.S. Navy officials in charge of expeditionary operations mentioned the vision of building a thousand man-machine combined warships, that is, a larger fleet of unmanned ships controlled by humans and coordinated with each other. The U.S. Navy announced that it plans to build an unmanned fleet of 10 large unmanned surface ships in the next five years for independent operations or joint operations with surface forces. According to the conceptual plan currently disclosed by the U.S. Navy, the unmanned fleet composed of large unmanned surface ships will mainly assist the Navy in completing highly dangerous combat missions. By combining with the Aegis combat system and other sensors, the coordinated combat capabilities of manned and unmanned systems will be enhanced. Its deployment will help reduce the demand for the number of large manned warships and reduce casualties in combat. According to the National Interest Network on January 20, 2021, the U.S. Navy Chief of Operations Michael Gilday released the “Navigation Plan of the Chief of Naval Operations” document on January 11, calling for the establishment of a mixed fleet of man-machine ships including large warships, various types of unmanned ships, submersibles and air strike equipment to prepare for all-domain operations in the new threat environment in the next few decades. The document states: “It is necessary to establish a larger fleet of underwater, surface and water platforms that meet the strategic and campaign needs of the troops, and a mixture of manned and unmanned platforms.”

In the “man-machine (robot-drone)” integrated forces, artificial intelligence technology is used to achieve an organic combination of “man-machine”, and cloud computing, new algorithms, and big data are used to formulate “man-machine” collaborative combat plans. Artificial intelligence is like an engine, big data + cloud computing is like a spaceship, and intelligent robots are astronauts. The organic combination of the three will surely add wings to the tiger and integrate man and machine. The future army is a human-machine integrated army. The squad and platoon commanders are gradually replaced by robots. Robots are gradually transformed from human control to autonomous decision-making or mind control through human brain cells. There may also be canteen-free barracks in the military camps. The military management may also be led by one or several military personnel to lead multiple or even dozens of intelligent robot teams with different division of labor tasks to complete the combat training management tasks that were previously completed by squads, platoons, and companies. Or there may be only one military commander in the command and control center for military training, and all intelligent robots in the training grounds may be controlled through video command and control for confrontation training, or remote control robot commanders may issue new training instructions, adjust task deployment, and change training grounds in real time.

The urgent need for the intelligent quality of military talents will also force the readjustment of the setting of the first-level military disciplines in the field of artificial intelligence. In the future, military academies will also open intelligent robot control disciplines, establish relevant human-machine integration laboratories and training bases, and focus on training intelligent professional military talents who understand computer control programs, intelligent design and management, image cognition, data mining, knowledge graphs, and can systematically master intelligent science and technology and have innovative consciousness. Future military talents must be proficient in intelligent technology, big data applications, and cloud computing, especially in the use of 3D or 4D printing technology to make various military equipment at any time, proficient in the control procedures, command methods, command issuance, and adjustment of tasks of intelligent robots, and proficient in the essentials of human-machine integrated autonomous combat coordination, so as to achieve the best combination of human information technology quality and efficient operation of intelligent robots. In addition, it is not ruled out that human-machine integration squads, combat simulation centers, imaginary enemy forces, combat units, intelligent headquarters, unmanned brigades, divisions, etc. will be established. By then, the military chief may also have one human and one machine, or the robot may serve as a hand or deputy.

現代國語:

資料來源:中國航空報作者:魏岳江責任編輯:伍行健
2021-03-26 08:OO

目前,從世界上主要國家編制體制改革發展情況看,軍隊正向精幹、小型、高效、智能、「人機(機器人無人機)」一體方向發展,謀求機器人士兵、無人機與人類戰士一起並肩協同、聯合作戰。根據統計,目前全球超過60個國家的軍隊已裝備了軍用機器人,種類超過150種。預計到2040年,世界軍事強國可能會有一半的成員是機器人。除美、俄、英、法、日、以色列、土耳其、伊朗等國已相繼推出各自的機器人戰士外,其他國家也投入這場無人化武器的研製與開發中去。

世界軍事強國將掀起組成無人作戰部隊爭鋒熱潮所謂無人作戰部隊,就是作戰機器人或戰場殺人機器人系統的統稱。隨著各類資訊化、精準化、資料化武器裝備的發展,智慧化平台成為預先設計戰場的推手,作戰機器人成為戰場的主力軍,人機結合對抗成為克敵制勝的關鍵,未來戰場空間力量將凸顯陸海空三維無人發展趨勢。

《今日美國報》曾發表的《新型機器人把戰爭帶入下一個層次:無人戰爭》一文中,這樣描述無人化戰爭:無人機編隊蜂擁而來,用精密的儀器探測、偵察與反偵察,它們鎖定目標後,從容地發射飛彈;自動編程的無人駕駛潛水艇,執行水下搜索、偵察、排除水雷等多種任務;或許給未來的食物中活動,執行水雷銀行等多種任務。

在陸地,能執行特定任務的各種機器人,就是機械化、資訊化、智慧化高度融合的機動打擊平台。如:無人坦克,就是以自身程序控制為主的無人化履帶式裝甲平台,可讓士兵們遠程控制,以遠距離攻擊型智能化武器、資訊化武器為主導,能自動裝載彈藥和自主發射,實施遠程間接精確打擊,有效降​​低士兵傷亡率。在海洋,各種無人潛水艇、無人戰艦等,可航行數千英里,無需船上人員操控就能執行各種海上作戰任務。在空中,實戰部署的人為控制操作的無人機系統,就是一種具有自己偵察判斷、人為控制、察打一體、自主攻擊、人機協同的無人機系統平台。

無人機武器在戰爭中的運用凸顯其作戰能力,必然牽引世界各國軍隊緊鑼密鼓組成無人作戰部隊。在伊拉克戰爭中,美國就開始對無人戰車的實戰能力進行測試。 2013年3月,美國發布新版《機器人技術路線圖:從互聯網到機器人》,闡述了包括軍用機器人在內的機器人發展路線圖,決定將巨額軍備研究費投向軍用機器人研製,使美軍無人作戰裝備的比例增加至武器總數的30%,計劃未來三分之一的地面作戰行動將由軍用機器人承擔行動將由軍用機器人承擔。據悉,美軍在2015年前部署第一支未來機器人戰鬥旅(至少包括151個機器人戰士)。 2016年,美軍在一次多國聯合軍事演習中,對「模組化無人戰車」再次進行了試驗模擬測試。 2020年,美國五角大廈發出一項標價1100萬美元的合同,以組建具有人類和機器人協同作戰能力的“聯合兵種班”,計劃2030年前完成15個未來作戰旅的全部建設工作。所有班級成員,具有類似人一樣的視、聽、觸和嗅覺,能適時發出訊息並對目標發動攻擊,甚至可以擔負自我維修與車輛維修及運輸、掃雷、偵察、巡邏等任務。美國每日科學網站報道稱,美陸軍研發了一種新技術,可迅速教導機器人在最低限度人為幹預情況下完成新的穿越動作。報導稱,該技術可使移動機器人平台在作戰環境中自主導航,同時在特定情況下讓機器人完成人類期望執行的作戰行動。目前,美陸軍科學家希望為機器人培育肌肉細胞和組織,進行生物雜交,而不是直接從活的有機體中提取,由此這種採取肌肉與機器人的組合,讓筆者聯想到電影《魔鬼終結者:黑暗命運》中的半生​​化人葛蕾絲。

2018年4月21日,俄聯邦安全局(FSB)特戰隊在達吉斯坦傑爾賓特市,發動了一次針對極端組織恐怖分子的突襲行動,首次公開出動了配備機槍的武裝無人戰車打先鋒。美國在2018年俄羅斯紅場閱兵中發現了大批俄軍曾經在敘利亞南部與敘利亞反政府武裝交火的「天王星-9」機器人等作戰系統,向觀眾展示其外形特徵。俄軍在2015年8月敘利亞戰場上使用戰鬥機器人作戰連實施陣地攻堅戰,履帶式機器人衝鋒、打擊、吸引武裝份子開火,並引導自行火砲群將暴露火力點逐個摧毀,最後機器人作戰連僅用20分鐘就一舉攻下俄軍士兵難以攻下的高地,取得零傷者戰績7777人。

據英國《明星日報》網站報道稱,英國陸軍在一場名為「自主戰士2018」的活動中進行了大規模作戰機器人測試後,把無人機、無人駕駛汽車和戰鬥人員統一到未來數十年穩居世界一流的軍隊中。未來的英軍自主軍用裝備,無論是坦克車、機器人或無人機,都可能有腿而不是履帶或輪子。 2021年年初,英國舉辦「未來海上航空力量加速日」活動後,繼續開發「即插即用」的海上自主平台開發系統,該系統連接到皇家海軍的船艦後,可以簡化自動化和無人操作技術的獲取和使用過程。

除了俄羅斯、美國、英國研發裝備機器人外,其他有實力的國家也相續推出各自研發的機器人戰士,預計在未來20年內世界必將迎來陸海空機器人代替士兵執行高風險任務,未來戰場必將是無人化或人機結合一體化聯合作戰行動。世界軍事強國將掀起人機(無人機)一體化作戰試驗

空戰的樣式總是隨著航空科技的進步而不斷發展。自1917年至今,隨著英國成功研發出世界第一架無人駕駛遙控飛機,無人裝備大家庭也不斷發展壯大,各種無人機日益活躍在現代戰爭的舞台上。

自21世紀以來,隨著大量無人機應用於戰場,作戰樣式不斷翻修。在海灣戰爭中,無人機也僅限定於偵察監視、目標引導,可是到了阿富汗戰爭、伊拉克戰爭和反恐戰爭,無人機作戰能力日益凸顯,作戰樣式和方法呈現出新特點,讓世界各國看到無人機這把空中利劍,從此拉開人機(無人機)一體化作戰測試序幕。

據報道,1993~2005年間,北約國家無人機總數增加了1.7倍,2006年前,這數量達到11萬架。美國、北約其他國家、以色列、南非都非常重視無人偵察機和多用途無人機的研發和生產。

2019年,全球大約有30多個國家已開發了50多種類型無人機,有50多個國家裝備了無人機。主要種類:「密碼」無人機、多功能無人機、人工智慧無人機、長時留空無人機、反導無人機、預警無人機、隱身無人機、微型無人機、空戰無人機、測繪無人機、空拍無人機。主要回收方式:自動降落、降落傘回收、空中回收、攔阻回收。

2019年9月14日,沙特阿美石油公司的一處“世界最大石油加工設施”和油田遭襲擊後,也門胡塞武裝宣布“對此事負責”,並宣稱其使用了10架無人機對上述設施進行了攻擊。 2020年1月3日,伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊下屬「聖城旅」指揮官卡西姆·蘇萊馬尼在美國對伊拉克首都巴格達國際機場凌晨發起的一場無人機突襲中被「定點清除」。 2020年底,亞美尼亞和阿塞拜疆在納戈爾諾-卡拉巴赫(納卡地區)的戰鬥中,無人機在雙方衝突中扮演重要角色顯而易見。尤其是許多軍事專家對阿塞拜疆國防部不斷發布剛從土耳其購買的TB-2「旗手」和以色列「哈羅普」自殺式無人機打擊亞方裝甲車輛、火砲、汽車甚至步兵陣地、S-300防空飛彈畫面的影片感到十分震撼。 2020年12月,中東和外高加索地區所發生的局部衝突表明,無人機的角色正日益增大。基於此,有軍事家甚至預言,21世紀將是無人機發展的“黃金時期”,無人機勢必全面取代有人戰機,並成為21世紀的“戰場主角”。

目前,美國空軍計劃擴大無人機與有人機之間的有人與無人平台組隊,2025年90%戰機將是無人機。也就是說,較大型飛機(F-35戰機或F-22戰機)能夠控制一支附近的無人機隊。如F-35戰鬥機像一種飛行感測計算機,能夠獲得大量數據,並自行聯繫、分析和判斷,最後向飛行員的頭盔顯示屏上傳結論後,由飛行員對獲取的信息進行分析和處理,根據作戰計劃、戰場態勢、編隊配備的武器等製訂作戰方案後,再下達給無人機……實現有人機指揮無人機協同作戰的目的。也就是說,有人機與無人機混合編隊,把以往由地面控制改為空中控制無人機,由飛行員直接指揮無人機作戰行動。美軍設想採用模組化設計,以便在未來戰場作戰需要時士兵從背包中取出無人機的零件後組裝無人機,還可利用3D列印無人機。 2020年8月,美國空軍在模擬空戰中AI擊敗了頂尖的F-16戰鬥機飛行員,也有力證明AI飛行員能創造性地快速“思考”,將來可能超過人類飛行員技能為時不遠。美海軍新型MQ-25「魟魚」艦載無人加油機將於2021年試飛,2024年具備初始作戰能力,有利於航母艦載機擴大作戰半徑。

俄羅斯從2013年起,配備了大量無人機,其中僅無人偵察機到2019年年底已超過2000架,其中大多數是輕型無人機,如參與敘利亞的軍事行動的卡拉什尼科夫無人機。下一步,俄陸軍部隊每個旅或師級單位將分別編有無人機連,空降兵部隊也將裝備大量無人機。俄北方艦隊將編有無人機團,在俄軍一些現代化軍艦上也將配備了無人機。另外,從2021年起,由喀琅施塔得集團研發的「獵戶座」察打一體無人機裝備俄軍。這種重型無人機可搭載多種導引彈藥,執行作戰任務。此外,俄軍也正在試驗「牽牛星」和C-70「獵人」兩款重型無人機。這些足以顯示俄羅斯在無人機研發領域取得重大進展。

以色列是無人機領域真正的先驅,開發的無人機不僅先進,而且還出口其他國家,已經裝備部隊包括「鳥眼」系列單兵無人機、「螢火蟲」無人機、輕型「雲雀-I」無人機、輕型「英雄」無人機、中型「雲雀-II/III」無人機、「蒼鷺」無人機等型號數百架無人機。 1980年代中期,以色列已研發出名為「哈比」又稱「鷹身女妖」的陸基發射巡飛無人機。 「哈比」是一種能夠自主進行反雷達攻擊的「自殺式無人機,重量為135公斤,可攜帶32公斤的高爆炸藥,航程為500千米。由於保密原因,目前尚不知以色列國防軍裝備無人機的具體數量和型號。為了對付敵方的地地飛彈等威脅性目標,以色列飛機工業公司正在研發一種高空長航時隱身無人駕駛戰鬥機。

2013年2月5日,駐紮在阿富汗的英國軍隊首次採用微型無人直升機執行刺探軍情的前線工作。這種無人直升機安裝了微型攝影機,可以將拍攝到的畫面即時傳送到手持式控制終端機;可以繞角落飛行,會規避障礙物,以辨別潛在危險。下一步,英國計畫實現一架有人機能夠同時指揮5架無人機。根據英國《泰晤士報》網站2021年1月26日報道,英國國防部投資3,000萬英鎊,將在北愛爾蘭研發首支無人機部隊。報道稱,設計和製造原型機的合約已交給美國「勢必銳」航空系統公司。該公司在貝爾法斯特設有分部,合約預計將提供100個工作機會。英國國防部計畫在2025年開始製造首架這種新型無人機原型機。它將配備飛彈、偵察和電子戰技術裝備,成為英軍首款能夠瞄準並擊落敵方戰機、並能規避地對空飛彈攻擊的無人機。與其搭檔的有人戰機將能夠專注於電子戰、偵察及轟炸等任務,從而以較低的成本和降低英軍機組人員面臨的高風險。

法國海軍將在土倫附近的某個基地組成首個艦載無人機中隊,為法國海軍航空兵第36F艦載機中隊。中隊將裝備S-100無人機,搭載海軍西北風級兩棲登陸艦上。這次艦載無人機中隊的組建,反映了法國海軍希望將無人機專業融入單一專業團隊的願望。先前,法國海軍內部討論了建立專屬無人機中隊,以及在31F、35F或36F中隊中配備無人機的方案。

在2004年6月舉行的巴黎航空展上,法國達梭飛機製造公司展示的NX70神經元無人作戰飛機的全尺寸模型,讓人們對歐洲無人機的發展重新產生了興趣。伊朗、土耳其、阿聯酋……一些新的國家打亂了無人機地緣政治格局,正在書寫新的一頁。

可以預測,無人機必將成為世界各國武器裝備發展中的最大亮點,成為21世紀陸戰、海戰、空戰、天戰的“撒手鐧”,成為攻防作戰中一種新生作戰力量,既能使用自身攜帶的多種對地攻擊武器對敵前沿和縱深地區地面軍事目標進行打擊,也能使用空對地飛彈或炸彈對敵防空武器實施壓制;既能使用反坦克飛彈等武器對敵坦克或坦克群進行攻擊,也能使用集束炸彈等武器對敵地面部隊進行轟炸;既能發現目標、判斷目標價值後就可自主發射飛彈,也能對敵方指揮控制系統進行欺騙幹擾,等等。世界軍事強國將掀起組成「人機(機器人無人機)」一體部隊爭鋒

隨著軍民融合的深度推進,人工智慧技術的突飛猛進,大數據、雲端運算、物聯網的日新月異,不僅為無人化武器裝備發展帶來巨大變革,也將顛覆現有軍隊力量組成形態,「人機(機器人無人機)」一體化智慧型軍隊必將到來。

2015年12月,俄軍在敘利亞戰場上除派出傳統作戰部隊外,還首次成建制派出一個以無人作戰平台為主的機器人作戰連參加戰鬥。該連採取有人無人混合編組的新型作戰模式,建構起以「仙女座-D」自動化指揮系統為核心的智能化作戰體系,採用全維偵察和飽和攻擊相結合的作戰方式對754.5高地發起進攻,順利奪佔高地。幾年前,負責遠徵作戰的美國海軍官員就提到打造千隻人機結合戰艦的願景,即由人類控制的,由相互協同的無人艦組成的更大艦隊。美國海軍宣布,計畫未來5年打造一支由10艘大型無人水面艦艇組成的無人艦隊,用於獨立作戰或與水面部隊聯合作戰。根據美國海軍目前披露的構想方案,由大型無人水面艦艇組成的無人艦隊將主要協助海軍完成高度危險的作戰任務,透過與「宙斯盾」作戰系統以及其他感測器相結合,提升有人及無人系統的協同作戰能力,其部署將有助於減少大型有人戰艦的數量需求,減少作戰中的人員傷亡。國家利益網2021年1月20日消息,美國海軍作戰部長邁克爾·吉爾戴在1月11日發布《海軍作戰部長導航計畫》文件,呼籲建立包括大型戰艦、各型無人艦、潛航器和空襲裝備的人機混合艦隊,為未來幾十年的新威脅環境做好全局作戰準備。文件中寫道:“要建立滿足部隊戰略和戰役需求的,水下、水面和水上平台,有人與無人平台混合的更大艦隊。”

在「人機(機器人無人機)」一體部隊中,靠著人工智慧技術達到「人機」有機結合,靠著雲端運算、新演算法、大數據擬制「人機」協同作戰計畫。人工智慧就像一台發動機,大數據+雲端運算就如太空船,智慧機器人就是太空人,三者有機結合定能如虎添翼、人機一體。未來軍隊就是人機結合軍隊,班排連長由人擔任逐步被機器人所取代,機器人由人為控制逐步轉變為機器人自主決策或機器人透過人的腦細泡進行意念控制,軍營也可能出現無食堂軍營,部隊管理也可能出現由一名或幾名軍事人員率領多分工台甚至數十台具有不同分工任務的智慧機器人團隊,去完成以往班排連共同完成的戰訓管理任務,亦或是軍事訓練只有一名軍事指揮人員在指揮控制中心,透過視訊指揮控制訓練場所有智慧機器人進行對抗訓練,或是遠程遙控機器人指揮部即時下達新的訓練指令、調整任務部署、變換訓練場。

對軍事人才智慧素質的迫切需求,也會倒逼人工智慧領域一級軍事學科的設置重新調整,未來軍學院也將開設智慧機器人控制學科,建立有關人機結合實驗室與訓練基地,重點訓練既懂電腦控製程式、智慧設計與管理、影像認知、資料探勘、知識圖譜,又能係統掌握智慧科學與科技、具有創新意識的智慧型職業化人才。未來軍事人才必須熟練智慧技術、大數據應用、雲端運算,尤其是能隨時利用3D或4D列印技術製作各種軍事裝備,精通智慧機器人的控製程式、指揮方式、指令下達、調整任務,熟練人機一體化自主作戰協同的要領,達到人的資訊化科技素質與智慧機器人的高效運作的最佳結合。此外,也不排除成立人機結合班排連、作戰模擬中心、假想敵部隊、作戰分隊、智慧司令部、無人化旅、師等。屆時,軍事主官也可能人機各一或機器人給人當下手或副手。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/bq/2021-03/26/content_9991323888.htm

Chinese Military Research of International Intelligent Unmanned System Technology Application and Development Trends

軍研究國際智慧無人系統技術應用及發展趨勢

現代英語:

With the accelerated application of cutting-edge technology in the military field, intelligent unmanned systems have become an important part of modern warfare. The world’s major military powers attach great importance to the application of intelligent unmanned system technology in the military field. In the future, intelligent unmanned systems will have a profound impact on combat methods and subvert the rules of war. As a culmination of cutting-edge science and technology (such as artificial intelligence, intelligent robots, intelligent perception, intelligent computing, etc.), intelligent unmanned systems represent the highest level of development of a country’s scientific and technological strength. Therefore, research in the field of intelligent unmanned systems can greatly promote the development of existing military and livelihood fields.
At present, unmanned system equipment has emerged in military conflicts. For example, in the conflict between Turkey and Syria, Turkey used the Anka-S long-flight drone and the Barakta TB-2 reconnaissance and strike drone equipped by the Air Force to attack the Syrian government forces; the Russian Ministry of Defense also announced that militants in Syria used drones carrying explosives to launch a cluster attack on its military bases; in 2020, the United States used an MQ-9 “Reaper” drone to attack a senior Iranian military commander and killed him on the spot. Unmanned combat is coming, and intelligent unmanned systems, as a key weapon on the future battlefield, will determine the victory of the entire war.

Image from the Internet

The development of intelligent unmanned systems will not only promote the upgrading and progress of existing military technology, but also drive the intelligent development of civilian technology, including intelligent transportation systems, smart home systems, intelligent manufacturing systems and intelligent medical systems. In order to develop intelligent unmanned systems more scientifically and rapidly, major scientific and technological powers have introduced a series of plans and routes for the development of intelligent unmanned systems, striving to seize the initiative and commanding heights in the development of intelligent unmanned systems. Related ones include the United States’ integrated roadmap for autonomous unmanned systems, Russia’s national weapons and equipment plan, the United Kingdom’s defense innovation technology framework, China’s new generation of artificial intelligence development plan, and Japan’s medium- and long-term technology plan.
In recent years, from air to space, from land to sea, various types of intelligent unmanned systems have emerged in large numbers. The world’s major powers have gradually deployed intelligent unmanned systems into the military, and in some regional conflicts and anti-terrorism battlefields, the key role of intelligent unmanned systems is increasing. Therefore, this article will focus on the military needs of the future battlefield, based on the challenges of the actual complex environment faced by the future battlefield, analyze the key technologies required for the development and application of intelligent unmanned systems, and analyze the key technologies of individual enhancement and cluster enhancement from a military perspective, and explain the development trend of intelligent unmanned systems.

  1. Current research status at home and abroad

The concept of intelligent unmanned system has only been proposed recently. At present, its research is still in its early stages, and there is no unified definition in the world. It is temporarily defined as: an organic whole composed of an unmanned platform and several auxiliary parts, with the ability to perceive, interact and learn, and capable of autonomous reasoning and decision-making based on knowledge to achieve the goal. Intelligent unmanned systems can be divided into three major parts: land unmanned systems, air unmanned systems and marine unmanned systems according to the spatial scope of their functions. Among them, land unmanned systems mainly include reconnaissance unmanned vehicles, transport unmanned vehicles, combat unmanned vehicles, obstacle removal unmanned vehicles, bomb disposal unmanned vehicles, unmanned vehicle formations and command systems, etc.; air unmanned systems mainly include reconnaissance drones, combat drones, logistics transport drones and drone formations, etc.; marine unmanned systems mainly include reconnaissance unmanned boats, combat unmanned boats, logistics transport unmanned boats, patrol search and rescue unmanned boats, reconnaissance unmanned submarines, combat unmanned submarines and shore-based support systems, etc. This section will explain the current research status of intelligent unmanned systems at home and abroad from the above three parts.
⒈ Current status of foreign intelligent unmanned system research
⑴ Land unmanned system
Land unmanned systems are mainly used in intelligence collection, reconnaissance and patrol, mine clearance and obstacle removal, firepower strike, battlefield rescue, logistics transportation, communication relay and electronic interference. As the advantages of land unmanned systems in combat become more and more prominent, research on them has attracted more and more attention from various countries.
The United States launched the “Joint Tactical Unmanned Vehicle” project in November 1993, which is the predecessor of the “Gladiator” unmanned combat platform project. In 2006, the United States completed the design of the entire system of the “Gladiator” unmanned combat platform and officially equipped the Marine Corps in 2007. The “Gladiator” tactical unmanned combat platform is the world’s first multi-purpose combat unmanned platform. It is equipped with sensor systems such as day/night cameras, GPS positioning systems, and acoustic and laser search systems. It is also equipped with machine guns, submachine guns, tear gas, sniper systems, biological and chemical weapons detection systems, etc. It can perform reconnaissance, nuclear and biological weapons detection, obstacle breakthrough, anti-sniper, firepower strike and direct shooting in different weather and terrain.
The Gladiator unmanned combat platform is equipped with a highly mobile and survivable chassis. For this platform, a portable handheld control system has also been developed, and a series of development work has been completed around the technical issues of the control system’s anti-interference, network interoperability, miniaturization and ease of operation. However, due to the weak armor protection capability of the Gladiator unmanned combat platform and the poor concealment of its mission, its long-range reconnaissance and control system faces more interference. In addition, the US Army has also put some other land unmanned systems into service, such as the Scorpion robot and the Claw robot. In 2017, the US Army formulated the Robotics and Autonomous Systems (RAS) Strategy, which provides a top-level plan for the construction of unmanned combat capabilities. Figure 1 shows the US land unmanned system.

Figure 1 US land unmanned system
Israel, Russia, the United Kingdom and Germany have also successively carried out the development of land unmanned systems and developed a series of advanced products. The product list is shown in Table 1. For example, the “Guardian” series of autonomous unmanned vehicles developed by Israel can combine the sensors and fusion algorithms on board to autonomously detect and identify dangerous obstacles, and perform patrol, surveillance and small-scale fire strike tasks; the MARSA-800 unmanned vehicle developed by Russia can perform tasks such as transportation and logistics support, tracking and surveillance, and can realize autonomous path planning and avoid obstacles during the execution of tasks. The unmanned vehicle has been deployed on the Syrian battlefield. The United Kingdom and Germany also started research on land unmanned systems earlier. The United Kingdom launched a trolley bomb disposal robot in the 1960s, and later launched the Harris T7 tactile feedback robot for performing dangerous tasks such as bomb disposal and bomb disposal; the “Mission Master” ground armed reconnaissance unmanned vehicle developed by Germany’s Rheinmetall is mainly used to perform tactical surveillance, dangerous object detection, medical evacuation, communication relay and fire support tasks.


Table 1 Land unmanned systems of various countries

⑵ Aerial unmanned systems
Aerial unmanned systems are mainly based on single drone platforms and drone clusters. Due to their advantages such as wide field of view, freedom of flight, and good equipment carrying capacity, drones are widely used in the military field and have played a great role in military conflicts in recent years. The main functions of aerial unmanned systems include: intelligence gathering, reconnaissance and surveillance, decoy target aircraft, target tracking, tactical strikes and air rescue.
In 2000, the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory proposed the concept of autonomous combat for unmanned aerial vehicles, quantified the degree of autonomy of unmanned aerial vehicles, and formulated a development plan. The quantitative content and development stage of the degree of autonomy of unmanned aerial vehicles are shown in Figure 2.

Figure 2 Autonomous control level and the trend of autonomous


unmanned aerial vehicles In 2003, the United States merged the unmanned combat aircraft system projects of the Air Force and the Navy, launched the “Joint Unmanned Combat System” (J-UCAS) project, and began research on the unmanned combat aircraft X-47B. In 2006, the U.S. Navy proposed the “Navy Unmanned Combat Air System” (N-UCAS) project, which aims to introduce unmanned combat aircraft to the aircraft carrier-based aircraft wing and continue to conduct research on the X-47B. Between 2012 and 2014, the aircraft carrier catapult, landing, touch-and-go and other tests were completed many times, and the autonomous aerial refueling test was completed in 2015. The X-47B attack drone is an autonomously maneuverable, stealthy, and land-based and ship-based unmanned combat aircraft. It has the characteristics of high range and high flight time, and is equipped with advanced sensors such as illumination radar, optoelectronic guidance system, and aperture radar. Its main functions include intelligence reconnaissance, target tracking, electronic warfare interference, and firepower strikes. Other unmanned aerial systems developed by the United States, such as the Global Hawk, Predator, Hunter, and Raven, have also been in service in the military, as shown in Figure 3.
The “Harpy” drone developed by Israel is equipped with anti-radar sensors, optoelectronic guidance systems and missiles, and can autonomously attack enemy radar systems, as shown in Figure 3.

Figure 3 Aerial Unmanned Systems of Various Countries


A single aerial unmanned system is easily interfered with and attacked when performing a mission, resulting in mission failure, while an aerial unmanned system cluster can make up for this defect and give full play to the advantages of aerial unmanned systems. The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) of the United States has successively launched the “Gremlins” low-cost drone project, the low-cost drone cluster project, the “Perdix” micro-drone airborne high-speed launch demonstration project, and the offensive swarm enabling tactics (OFFSET) project for aerial unmanned system clusters. By developing and testing the architecture, communication system and distributed control algorithm for unmanned system clusters, an autonomous control system for drone clusters has been developed, and cutting-edge scientific and technological technologies such as artificial intelligence, situational awareness, virtual reality and augmented reality have been used to enhance the comprehensive combat capability of aerial unmanned system clusters on the battlefield.


⑶ Marine unmanned systems
Marine unmanned systems include two types: surface unmanned systems and underwater unmanned systems. Among them, surface unmanned systems mainly refer to surface unmanned boats (hereinafter referred to as “unmanned boats”), which are mainly used to perform tasks such as maritime search and rescue, reconnaissance and surveillance, firepower strikes, patrol security, electronic interference, logistics support and decoy target ships; underwater unmanned systems mainly refer to unmanned submersibles. Compared with manned submarines, they have the advantages of no casualties, high concealment and high autonomy, and are mainly used to perform intelligence collection, target monitoring, combat deterrence and firepower strikes. In 2018, the US Navy released the “Navy Department Unmanned System Strategic Roadmap”, and in 2019, it released the “Navy Artificial Intelligence Framework”, which provides route planning and guidance for the development of naval operations and marine unmanned systems.
In terms of surface unmanned systems, the United States proposed the “American Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration Project” (ACTD), one of whose important tasks is to carry out research on the “Spartan Scout” unmanned boat. The project was completed in 2007 and tested in the Iraqi theater. The “Spartan Scout” unmanned boat is equipped with an unmanned driving system and a line-of-sight/beyond-line-of-sight communication system, as well as advanced sensors such as electro-optical/infrared search turrets, high-definition cameras, navigation radars, surface search radars, and global positioning system receivers, as well as weapons such as naval guns, anti-ship missiles, and anti-submarine sensors. It is mainly used to perform intelligence collection, target monitoring, information reconnaissance, anti-mine and maritime security tasks, and has a certain degree of autonomy. The “Sea Hunter” unmanned boat developed by the United States is equipped with sonar and optoelectronic sensors, as well as short-range and long-range radar detection systems and expandable modular sonar systems. It is mainly used to perform tasks such as identifying and monitoring suspicious targets and guiding fire strikes. The US marine unmanned system is shown in Figure 4. The “Protector” unmanned boat developed by Israel is mainly used to perform intelligence reconnaissance, suspicious target identification, tactical interception, electronic interference and precision strikes (Figure 4). The unmanned surface reconnaissance boat developed by Russia can perform rapid patrol tasks under the command of the mother ship and inspect and monitor designated areas to search for intelligence.

Figure 4 Marine unmanned systems of various countries


In terms of underwater unmanned systems, the nuclear-powered unmanned submarine “Poseidon” developed by Russia can carry conventional and nuclear warheads to perform reconnaissance and strategic nuclear strike missions, as shown in Figure 4. The “Knifefish” unmanned submarine developed by the United States can scan suspicious objects and search for intelligence by emitting low-frequency electromagnetic waves; the “Tuna”-9 unmanned submarine developed by the United States can carry a variety of standard payloads and can be used to perform offshore exploration, anti-mine, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) and other tasks.


⒉ Current status of domestic intelligent unmanned system research
In recent years, China’s military intelligent unmanned systems have developed rapidly. This article will explain the three aspects of land unmanned systems, air unmanned systems and marine unmanned systems.
In terms of land unmanned systems, the National University of Defense Technology and Sany Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. jointly developed the “Desert Wolf” land unmanned light platform, which is powered by tracks and equipped with weapon systems such as grenade launchers and machine guns. It can be used to perform logistics transportation, wounded transportation, reconnaissance monitoring, firepower strikes and other tasks. The “Longma” series of unmanned vehicles developed by Sunward Intelligent Group have strong transportation and obstacle crossing capabilities. The “Shenxing-III” military ground intelligent robot system developed by Nanjing University of Science and Technology has strong autonomous navigation and intelligence reconnaissance capabilities. The unmanned nuclear reconnaissance vehicle jointly developed by the National University of Defense Technology and Harbin Institute of Technology has high mobility and armor protection capabilities. The weapon system it carries can perform fire strikes and has certain autonomous capabilities.
In terms of aerial unmanned systems, the “Wing Loong” series of unmanned aerial vehicles developed by Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group has fully autonomous horizontal take-off and landing capabilities, cruise flight capabilities, air-to-ground coordination capabilities, and ground relay control capabilities. It is equipped with multiple types of optoelectronic/electronic reconnaissance equipment and small air-to-ground precision strike weapons, and can perform intelligence reconnaissance, target tracking, fire strikes and other tasks. The “Rainbow” series of unmanned aerial vehicles developed by China have medium-altitude and long-range navigation capabilities, can carry electronic jamming systems and a variety of weapon systems, and can perform fire strikes, intelligence reconnaissance, communication jamming, radio wave jamming and other tasks; the attack 11 type unmanned aerial vehicle developed has extremely strong stealth capabilities and can carry precision-guided missiles for ground attack missions. China’s aerial unmanned systems are shown in Figure 5.

Figure 5 China’s aerial unmanned systems


In terms of surface unmanned systems of marine unmanned systems, the “Tianxing No. 1” unmanned boat, developed by Harbin Engineering University, uses oil-electric hybrid power, with a maximum speed of more than 92.6km/h and a maximum range of 1,000km. It is currently the fastest unmanned boat in the world. The boat integrates technologies such as autonomous perception, intelligent control, and autonomous decision-making, and can achieve rapid situation information recognition and danger avoidance of the surrounding complex environment. It can be used to perform tasks such as meteorological information monitoring, landform mapping, alert patrol, intelligence reconnaissance, and firepower attack. The “Jinghai” series of unmanned boats developed by Shanghai University have semi-autonomous and fully autonomous operation capabilities, and can perform tasks such as target reconnaissance, ocean mapping, and water quality testing. The “Haiteng 01” intelligent high-speed unmanned boat developed by Shanghai Maritime University is equipped with sensors such as millimeter-wave radar, laser radar, and forward-looking sonar. It can perform suspicious target monitoring, underwater measurement, maritime search and rescue, and other tasks, and has fully autonomous and semi-autonomous navigation capabilities. The JARI intelligent unmanned combat boat developed by Jiangsu Automation Research Institute is equipped with detection equipment such as photoelectric detectors and four-sided phased arrays. At the same time, it is also equipped with weapon systems such as missiles and torpedoes, which can perform tasks such as intelligence collection, enemy reconnaissance, and precision firepower strikes. The “Lookout II” unmanned missile boat jointly developed by Zhuhai Yunzhou Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. and other units is equipped with a fully autonomous unmanned driving system and missiles and other weapons, which can perform tasks such as enemy reconnaissance, intelligence collection, and precision firepower strikes. China’s marine unmanned system is shown in Figure 6.

Figure 6 China’s marine unmanned system


In terms of underwater unmanned systems of marine unmanned systems, the “Devil Fish” unmanned submersible developed by Northwestern Polytechnical University is a bionic manta ray unmanned submersible that has completed a deep-sea test of 1025m. The “Wukong” full-sea depth unmanned submersible developed by Harbin Engineering University has successfully completed a deep dive and autonomous operation test of 10,896m. Deep-sea submersibles such as “Qianlong No. 1” and “Seahorse” developed by China have successfully completed deep-sea exploration missions.


⒊ Summary of the current state of technology
At present, intelligent unmanned systems have been gradually applied to various fields of military applications, and with the development of cutting-edge science and technology, the application of intelligent unmanned systems in the military field will increase day by day. However, in the use of intelligent unmanned systems, autonomy and intelligence have not yet been fully realized. At present, the application status of intelligent unmanned system technology in the military field can be mainly divided into the following three parts:


① From the perspective of combat missions: combat missions have developed from simple reconnaissance and surveillance to mainstream confrontation operations; battlefield confrontation has changed from human confrontation to human-machine confrontation, and then to machine-machine confrontation; the application environment has changed from structured environment and laboratory environment to real battlefield environment, and will gradually develop into an augmented reality environment combining real environment and virtual reality in the future.
② From the perspective of command and control: the control method has developed from simple remote control and program control of a single machine to intelligent fusion and interactive control of human-machine, but autonomous control has not yet been fully realized; the system architecture has developed from specialization and singularity to generalization, standardization, and interoperability.
③ From the perspective of perception and decision-making: the decision-making method has changed from relying solely on people to relying mainly on people and supplemented by human-machine intelligent interactive decision-making; the perception method has changed from relying solely on sensors to obtain feature information and people to judge target attributes to target recognition and feature information acquisition based on artificial intelligence.

  1. Key technologies of intelligent unmanned systems

As a culmination of multidisciplinary fields, intelligent unmanned systems involve many technologies, perform diverse tasks, and have complex and changeable application scenarios. For example, the air environment is rainy and foggy, with low visibility, strong winds, and light interference; the land environment has complex terrain, obstacles, interference, and dangerous pollution areas; the sea environment has wind and wave interference, ship swaying, inconspicuous targets, and irregular coastlines. Different environments and uses pose huge challenges to the research and performance of intelligent unmanned system technology. In order to adapt to the restricted and changing environment, the key technologies of intelligent unmanned systems can be summarized as autonomous perception and understanding technology in complex environments, multi-scenario autonomous skill learning and intelligent control technology, multi-task cluster collaboration technology, human-computer interaction and human-computer fusion technology, decision-making planning technology and navigation and positioning technology. This section will mainly use marine unmanned systems as examples to elaborate on the key technologies of intelligent unmanned systems.


⒈ Autonomous perception and understanding technology in complex environments
Autonomous perception and scene understanding of the environment in complex environments is a prerequisite for intelligent unmanned systems to operate autonomously and form combat capabilities, which will directly affect whether the mission can be successfully completed. In view of the complexity and variability of the actual environment, especially the difficulties of wind and wave interference and ship shaking in the sea environment, intelligent unmanned systems need to complete the goals of autonomous target selection perception, obtain multimodal information, and abstract and complete understanding of information. Therefore, the autonomous perception and understanding technology of the environment of intelligent unmanned systems in complex environments needs to break through the autonomous perception technology of multimodal sensor fusion, as well as the complex scene target recognition and understanding technology.


⑴ Multimodal sensor fusion autonomous perception technology
At present, the information acquisition sensors carried by intelligent unmanned systems mainly include navigation radar, millimeter wave radar, laser radar, optoelectronic payload, etc. A single sensor cannot directly obtain high-precision, dense three-dimensional scene information. It is necessary to study the autonomous environmental perception technology of multi-sensor fusion to provide support for scene understanding. Multi-sensor fusion is to carry out multi-level and multi-space information complementation and optimization combination processing of various sensors, and finally produce a consistent interpretation of the observed environment. In this process, it is necessary to make full use of multi-source data for reasonable control and use, and the ultimate goal of information fusion is to derive more useful information based on the separated observation information obtained by each sensor through multi-level and multi-faceted combination of information. By taking advantage of the mutual cooperation of multiple sensors, the data of all information sources are comprehensively processed to improve the intelligence of the entire sensor system. The natural environment of the ocean is more complex than that of land and air. Faced with special challenges such as violent swaying of ships, wind and wave interference, uneven lighting, and inconspicuous targets, the marine intelligent unmanned system needs to perform multi-sensor information fusion processing on the designated target based on the unique attributes of each sensor, and then combine the electronic chart information of the internal navigation unit of the unmanned system and the shore-based support system to build a multi-dimensional three-dimensional situation map of the sea surface environment, perform tracking, detection, identification and cognition tasks for the designated target, and finally realize the autonomous perception and complete understanding of the sea surface environment by the marine intelligent unmanned system.


⑵ Complex scene target recognition and understanding technology
The key to the operation autonomy of intelligent unmanned systems lies in the ability to effectively understand the scene and target information, and accurate understanding of scene information mainly includes the construction of target semantic information and the description of scene text information. Compared with land and air environments, the natural marine environment faces unique difficulties such as wind and wave interference and violent swaying of the hull, which brings challenges to the intelligent unmanned system to fully understand the environmental information and accurately identify the designated target. Using sensors such as laser radar and high-definition cameras carried by intelligent unmanned systems, the original point cloud information and image feature information of the marine environment scene can be obtained. Using three-dimensional target detection methods based on point clouds, point clouds and image fusion, and three-dimensional scene semantic segmentation methods, etc., the intelligent unmanned system can fully recognize the scene information and accurately identify the designated target.
There are mainly two types of point cloud-based methods: grid-based or voxel-based methods, and point-based methods. The grid-based or voxel-based method uses voxels or bird’s-eye views to convert the irregular point cloud of the acquired sea surface into a regular representation method, and then extracts the point cloud features. The point-based method directly extracts target features from the acquired original point cloud of the sea surface. The three-dimensional target detection method based on point cloud and image fusion combines the precise coordinates of the target in the sea scene obtained by the laser radar with the environmental texture and color information provided by the sea surface image, which is more conducive to the intelligent unmanned system to accurately identify and accurately and completely understand the target of the ocean scene.


⒉ Behavior decision-making and trajectory planning technology
In actual and complex war scenes, for the complex mission environment and multiple tasks faced by intelligent unmanned systems, it is necessary to break through the behavior decision-making technology in multi-source heterogeneous environments, trajectory planning technology in dynamic/static environments, and trajectory tracking technology in complex scenes.


⑴ Behavior decision-making technology in multi-source heterogeneous environments
Behavior decision-making is the key to the realization of autonomous control of intelligent unmanned systems. In the complex environment of different speeds, different relative distances, and different data types of unmanned boats, it is necessary to accurately extract effective information to make safe and reliable control instructions for the next decision of the unmanned boat. First, extract representative environmental feature information and establish a sufficient number of accurately calibrated learning data sets; then, construct a decision maker based on a deep neural network and use the established database for learning; finally, use machine learning algorithms to optimize the constructed decision maker to further improve the decision accuracy.
⑵Trajectory planning technology in dynamic/static environment
Trajectory change is the most basic behavior of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines. In a complex battlefield environment, planning a feasible and reliable trajectory according to different environmental conditions is the key to the intelligent driving of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines. This technology mainly includes trajectory planning technology based on polynomials, trajectory planning technology based on multi-objective constraints, and trajectory planning technology based on positive and negative trapezoidal lateral acceleration.


⑶Trajectory tracking technology in complex scenes
Tracking the planned ideal trajectory is an important task for unmanned boats and unmanned submarines. The key lies in solving the problem of high-precision and high-stability control when unmanned boats or unmanned submarines track target trajectories. The main solution is: according to the kinematic and dynamic models of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines, the corresponding actuator control quantity is output to achieve real-time and accurate tracking of the specified target, and under the premise of ensuring tracking accuracy, the autonomous intelligent steering of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines and the coordinated control of multiple actuators of each drive module are realized.


⒊Autonomous navigation and positioning technology
The navigation and positioning system is a key component of the intelligent unmanned system, which can provide accurate and reliable information about the speed and position of unmanned boats or unmanned submarines. The navigation system is generally composed of gyroscopes, accelerometers, satellite receivers, etc., some of which are supplemented by visual modules, or are equipped with prior spatial position maps and physical information sensors based on actual complex environmental conditions. In order to achieve accurate execution of tasks, intelligent unmanned systems must break through navigation and positioning technology based on inertial/satellite deep information fusion, navigation and positioning technology based on inertial/astronomical information fusion, navigation technology based on visual tracking, and geophysical assisted navigation technology.


⑴ Navigation and positioning technology based on inertial/satellite deep information fusion
This technology introduces the inertial information of the unmanned boat into the satellite carrier/code loop, and then uses fully autonomous, short-term, and high-precision inertial information to assist the update of satellite receiver signals, thereby realizing the complementary advantages and optimal fusion of the inertial navigation and satellite navigation of the unmanned boat.


⑵ Navigation and positioning technology based on inertial/astronomical information fusion
The astronomical-based navigation system has the advantages of high autonomy and low susceptibility to interference. By using the information output by astronomical navigation and the information provided by the initial position, the position of the unmanned boat can be calculated. The fusion of inertial navigation information and astronomical navigation information can improve the robustness of astronomical navigation positioning. Inertial/astronomical combined positioning technology based on astronomical navigation assistance has become a key part of the field of autonomous navigation of unmanned systems.


⑶ Navigation technology based on visual tracking
Due to the complexity of the actual battlefield environment, unmanned boats will be in a complex working environment and are easily interfered by the outside world, resulting in GPS denial, which makes the navigation system unable to be in a combined state. A single inertial navigation system has low accuracy and is prone to accumulating errors. Long-term pure inertial navigation will make the unmanned boat lose the ability to perform tasks. However, the vision-based method does not have time error accumulation. It only needs to extract the key features of the image obtained by the high-definition camera to obtain the position information of the unmanned boat and the unmanned submersible through visual algorithms and prior knowledge. The vision-based navigation algorithm is not easily interfered with, has strong robustness, and can make up for the error accumulation caused by pure inertial navigation in a GPS denial environment, and is widely used.


⑷ Geophysical assisted navigation technology
Due to the unique environment of the ocean, unmanned submersibles need to sail underwater for a long time, resulting in the inability to obtain real-time and accurate satellite signals and astronomical information. In addition, due to problems such as weak underwater light, vision-based navigation methods are also limited. Therefore, by obtaining a priori spatial position map inside the ocean and using the field scene information obtained by the physical sensors carried by the unmanned submersible and matching them, high-precision autonomous navigation of the unmanned submersible can be achieved.
The temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the inherent geophysical properties of the surveyed ocean can be used to produce a geophysical navigation spatial position map. By matching the physical feature information obtained by the physical property sensor carried by the unmanned submersible with the pre-carried spatial position map, the high-precision positioning of the unmanned submersible can be obtained, and the high-precision autonomous navigation of the unmanned submersible can be realized.


⒋ Multi-scenario autonomous skill learning and intelligent control technology
Multi-scenario intelligent control technology is a key technology for intelligent unmanned systems to solve complex, changeable and unstable control objects. It is an effective tool for intelligent unmanned systems to adapt to complex task requirements. In a complex marine environment, if intelligent unmanned systems want to complete real-time and accurate regional monitoring, target tracking, information acquisition and precision strikes, they must break through the autonomous skill learning technology of tasks, autonomous operation interactive control technology, and unmanned system motion control technology of human-like intelligent control.


⑴ Autonomous skill learning technology of tasks Autonomous
skill learning refers to the process of learning based on prior knowledge or rules to complete tasks in the process of interaction between unmanned systems and the outside world. The autonomous learning of unmanned system operation skills is essentially a partial process of simulating human learning cognition. Intelligent unmanned systems use deep reinforcement learning-based technology to combine the perception ability of deep learning with the decision-making ability of reinforcement learning, and can achieve direct control from high-latitude raw data information input to decision output in complex sea environments. The autonomous skill learning of intelligent unmanned systems mainly includes three aspects: first, describing the complex environment of the ocean surface and the interior of the ocean, and obtaining the initial state data information of the surrounding environment; second, based on the description of the intelligent unmanned system and the complex environment of the ocean surface and the interior, mathematical modeling of deep reinforcement learning is carried out to obtain key information such as the state value function and control strategy function of the autonomous skill learning process; third, using the data information obtained by the interaction between the intelligent unmanned system and the complex environment of the ocean surface and the interior, the state value function and the control strategy function are updated to enable the marine intelligent unmanned system to learn a better control strategy.


⑵ Autonomous operation interactive control technology
In the process of autonomous learning and control of tasks, the intelligent unmanned system needs to contact with the ocean surface and the complex internal environment to form a good coupling system to ensure the real-time and accurate acquisition of information on the ocean surface and the complex internal environment, and correctly and quickly carry out navigation planning, autonomous navigation control and autonomous collision avoidance of unmanned boats and unmanned submersibles. The tasks of the interactive control technology of autonomous operation of intelligent unmanned systems mainly include: the design of interactive rules and control strategies of intelligent unmanned systems; modeling methods of complex environments on the surface and inside of the ocean; online modeling and correction of the dynamics of unmanned boats, unmanned submarines and operating objects; dynamic generation and shared control methods of virtual force constraints in complex environments on the surface and inside of the ocean.


⑶ Motion control technology of unmanned systems with humanoid intelligent
control The motion control technology of unmanned systems with humanoid intelligent control combines artificial intelligence with traditional control methods to solve the problem of stable and precise control of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines in actual complex marine battlefield environments. It mainly includes two aspects: the design of intelligent control algorithms for unmanned systems and the design of intelligent control strategies for unmanned systems. The design of intelligent control algorithms for unmanned systems mainly includes: hierarchical information processing and decision-making mechanisms; online feature identification and feature memory; open/closed-loop control, positive/negative feedback control, and multi-modal control combining qualitative decision-making with quantitative control; the application of heuristic intuitive reasoning logic. The design of intelligent control strategies for unmanned systems is to design reasonable solutions for unmanned boats or unmanned submarines to meet actual mission requirements.


⒌ Unmanned cluster collaborative control technology
In actual combat scenarios, due to the complexity of the battlefield environment and the diversity of tasks, a single unmanned boat or unmanned submarine usually cannot meet the needs of actual tasks. The number of equipment carried by a single unmanned boat or unmanned submarine is limited, and the perception perspective and regional range are not comprehensive enough, resulting in insufficient precision and thoroughness in performing complete intelligence detection, target tracking, battlefield environment perception and comprehensive firepower strike tasks. Therefore, it has become an inevitable trend for a cluster of intelligent unmanned systems composed of multiple unmanned boats and unmanned submarines to collaboratively perform tasks. To complete the control of the intelligent unmanned system cluster, it is necessary to break through the local rule control technology of the intelligent unmanned system cluster, the soft control technology of the intelligent unmanned system cluster, the pilot control technology of the intelligent unmanned system cluster, and the artificial potential field control technology of the intelligent unmanned system.


⑴ Local rule control technology of intelligent unmanned system cluster
The control technology based on local rules is the basic method for intelligent unmanned systems to control unmanned boats and unmanned submarines. It mainly lies in the designation of individual local control rules within the cluster of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines. Local rule control technology has achieved intelligent control of marine unmanned system clusters to a certain extent, but a large number of experiments are needed to obtain the parameters between the behavior of marine unmanned system clusters and the cluster model, and the values ​​of the parameters are also very sensitive. Therefore, to achieve complete intelligent control of intelligent unmanned systems, other technologies are needed.


⑵ Soft control technology of intelligent unmanned system clusters The
soft control technology of intelligent unmanned system clusters is mainly based on two requirements: First, in the intelligent unmanned system cluster, the control rules between individuals are very important. For example, the control and internal function of each unmanned boat and unmanned submarine are necessary conditions for the group behavior of the entire marine intelligent unmanned system cluster; second, the intelligent unmanned system cluster adopts a local communication strategy. With the increase of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines in the cluster system, it will not affect the state of the entire intelligent unmanned system cluster.


The soft control method is to add one or more new unmanned boats or unmanned submarines without destroying the individual rules of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines in the intelligent unmanned system cluster. These unmanned boats or unmanned submarines participate in the actions of the entire intelligent unmanned system cluster according to the same local rules, but they are controllable and can receive external instructions. After receiving the command, these unmanned boats or unmanned submarines will independently complete the corresponding tasks. The soft control method of the intelligent unmanned system cluster is to add a controllable unmanned boat and unmanned submarine on the basis of the local control rules of the unmanned system, so that it can affect the entire unmanned system cluster, and finally complete the control of the entire intelligent unmanned system group.


⑶ Intelligent unmanned system cluster navigation control technology
The basic content of the intelligent unmanned system cluster navigation control technology is: under the premise that the individuals of the entire marine intelligent unmanned system cluster maintain local rules, a small number of unmanned boats and unmanned submarines in the cluster have more information and stronger information processing capabilities, and interact with other unmanned boats and unmanned submarines through local information to play a leading role, so as to achieve the purpose of controlling the entire intelligent unmanned system cluster.


⑷ Artificial potential field control technology of intelligent unmanned system
In the control of intelligent unmanned system clusters, control technology based only on local rules is difficult to achieve accurate and real-time perception of the battlefield, as well as the collection and acquisition of intelligence information, tracking and identification of suspicious targets, and precise strikes on enemy areas. Artificial potential field control technology introduces the concept of potential field in physics into the control of intelligent unmanned system clusters, and uses potential functions to simulate the internal and external effects that affect a single unmanned boat or unmanned submarine. The single unmanned boat or unmanned submarine in the system cluster acts under the action of the potential function, and finally realizes the control of the entire intelligent unmanned system through the potential function.


⒍Natural human-computer interaction technology
In the actual battlefield environment, intelligent unmanned systems face problems such as complex operation tasks, low level of operation intelligence, high training risks and costs, and low equipment use and maintenance efficiency. In this case, it is necessary to improve the controllability and intelligence of intelligent unmanned system equipment, and it is necessary to break through the human-computer interaction technology of intelligent unmanned systems, augmented reality and mixed reality technology of intelligent unmanned systems, and brain-computer interface technology of intelligent unmanned systems.


⑴Human-computer interaction technology of intelligent unmanned systems
Human-computer interaction technology of intelligent unmanned systems refers to the command platform obtaining the image and voice information of officers and soldiers through image and voice sensors, and then using algorithms such as image segmentation, edge detection, and image recognition to extract key information such as gestures and eye gestures of officers and soldiers, and then using algorithms based on deep learning to obtain the voice information of officers and soldiers and pass it to the command platform, so as to issue the officers and soldiers’ instructions to lower-level combat units. The human-computer interaction technology of intelligent unmanned systems can improve the intelligence of task operations and the fault tolerance and robustness of the operation process, so that the officers and soldiers’ instructions can be issued to combat units more stably and effectively.


⑵Augmented reality and mixed reality technology of intelligent unmanned systems
Augmented reality technology of intelligent unmanned systems is to superimpose computer-generated images on real complex combat environments, and mixed reality technology of intelligent unmanned systems is to present information of virtual scenes in actual combat scenes, and set up an interactive feedback information loop between the virtual world and officers and soldiers in a real combat environment, thereby increasing the officers and soldiers’ sense of reality in the combat environment experience. As an important development direction of immersive human-computer interaction technology, virtual reality and augmented reality for intelligent unmanned systems have a variety of different real combat application scenarios, which can effectively reduce the cost and risk of training and improve the use and maintenance efficiency of equipment during combat.


⑶ Brain-computer interface technology for intelligent unmanned systems
The main function of the brain-computer interface is to capture a series of brain wave signals generated by the human brain when thinking. In actual combat environments, the brain-computer interface technology of intelligent unmanned systems extracts features and classifies the brain wave signals of commanders and fighters, thereby identifying the intentions of commanders and fighters and making corresponding decisions to cope with complex combat tasks and emergencies. The brain-computer interface technology of intelligent unmanned systems can enhance the cognitive and decision-making capabilities of commanders and fighters, greatly improve brain-computer interaction and brain control technology, and give commanders and fighters the ability to control multiple unmanned boats, unmanned submarines and other unmanned combat equipment while relying on thinking.

  1. Future development trend of intelligent unmanned systems

Due to its advantages of unmanned, autonomous, and intelligent, intelligent unmanned systems will appear in every corner of the future battlefield. As they undertake more battlefield tasks, they will participate in different war scenarios, which will lead to a number of key problems for intelligent unmanned systems, restricting their development. The key problems faced by intelligent unmanned systems are mainly:


① Highly complex environment. The specific application environment of intelligent unmanned systems will face more and more factors. The numerous shelters in unstructured environments, the limited perception viewpoints and ranges, etc., put forward higher requirements on the environmental perception ability of intelligent unmanned systems.
② High game confrontation. The battlefield game of intelligent unmanned systems is an important means to gain battlefield advantages. The fierce mobile confrontation between the two sides of the war, as well as the many interferences caused by the enemy and the battlefield environment, have put forward new challenges to the mobile decision-making ability of intelligent unmanned systems.
③ High real-time response. In the future battlefield, the combat situation will change dramatically, the combat mode will be more flexible and changeable, and it is necessary to respond to battlefield emergencies in a timely manner, which puts forward new requirements for the real-time response ability of intelligent unmanned systems.
④ Incomplete information. In the future battlefield, due to the limitations of the battlefield environment and the existence of enemy interference, the information acquisition ability of the intelligent unmanned system will be restricted, resulting in incomplete situational awareness, loss and attenuation of battlefield situation information data, and the inability to fully obtain information on both sides of the enemy.
⑤ Uncertain boundaries. The unmanned combat mode of the intelligent unmanned system has subverted the traditional combat mode. The integration of land, sea, air and space in the future unmanned combat, as well as the social public opinion brought about by the high degree of integration with society, will have an impact on the unmanned combat of the intelligent unmanned system, thus causing uncertainty in the combat boundary.


Based on the various difficulties that will be faced above, the development of intelligent unmanned systems in the future will focus on two aspects: individual capability enhancement and cluster capability enhancement. Individual capability enhancement is mainly reflected in individual cognitive intelligence, individual autonomous operation and algorithm chipization; cluster capability enhancement is mainly reflected in improving interoperability through a universal architecture, as well as cross-domain collaborative operations, network security and human-machine hybrid intelligence.

⒈ Cognitive intelligence adapts to complex task environments
In order to improve the adaptability of intelligent unmanned systems in highly complex environments, it is necessary to enhance the individual cognitive intelligence of intelligent unmanned systems. The enhancement of individual cognitive intelligence is mainly reflected in the transformation from individual perceptual intelligence to cognitive intelligence. The comprehensive acquisition of multi-source sensor information enables intelligent unmanned systems to have human semantic understanding, associative reasoning, judgment analysis, decision planning, emotional understanding and other capabilities. The development of individual cognitive intelligence of intelligent unmanned systems will be based on brain science and bionics, and will achieve intelligent understanding and accurate application of acquired information by combining knowledge graphs, artificial intelligence, knowledge reasoning, decision intelligence and other technologies, thereby improving the high real-time response capabilities of intelligent unmanned systems to emergencies.


⒉ Autonomous operation improves the task capability of single machines
In order to solve the problem of highly complex tasks faced by intelligent unmanned systems in highly complex environments, it is necessary to improve the autonomous operation capabilities of single machines. This includes developing decision-making methods based on deep reinforcement learning, autonomous environmental perception and interaction methods based on multi-source information of vision and other sensors, autonomous motion planning methods for robots based on neurodynamics, and autonomous operation methods based on artificial intelligence, so as to improve the autonomous environmental modeling and positioning capabilities, autonomous decision-making capabilities, autonomous planning capabilities and autonomous control capabilities of individuals in intelligent unmanned systems, so that intelligent unmanned systems can adapt to complex environments and carry out autonomous operation tasks.


⒊ Algorithm chipization achieves high real-time response
The complex environment faced by intelligent unmanned systems places high demands on algorithms and computing power. It is necessary to be able to accelerate computing in real time to achieve high real-time response to battlefield emergencies. To solve this problem, it is necessary to improve the chipization level of individual algorithms of intelligent unmanned systems, that is, to develop a new architecture of storage and computing integrated chips to improve the computing power of chips and the level of algorithm chipization. New chips based on artificial neural technology can be studied. By changing the binary computing method of digital chips and exchanging gradient signals or weight signals, the chips can work in a simulated neuron manner, simulating the parallel computing flow of the brain to effectively process large amounts of data, and obtaining the parallel computing capabilities of supercomputers, thereby greatly improving the computing power of chips and the level of algorithm chipization, and solving the problem of high real-time response of intelligent unmanned systems.


⒋ Universal architecture improves cluster interoperability
In order to improve the adaptability of intelligent unmanned systems facing highly complex environments and the maintenance and support efficiency of intelligent unmanned systems, intelligent unmanned systems will continue to develop standardized command and control frameworks in the future, improve the intelligence of human-machine collaboration, and improve the modularity of the system. It is mainly reflected in:


① Developing a general artificial intelligence framework to support autonomous, precise, and real-time good coupling and collaboration between humans and machines;
② Improving the modularity and component interchangeability of intelligent unmanned systems to support rapid maintenance and configuration upgrades of intelligent unmanned systems and their members in future battlefields;
③ Improving the level of data transmission integration and the anti-interference capability of data transmission on future battlefields to reduce the rate of data interception.


⒌ Cross-domain collaboration breaks the boundaries of cluster applications


In order to improve the adaptability of intelligent unmanned systems in highly complex environments and solve the problem of uncertain boundaries during combat, it is necessary to improve the cross-domain collaborative combat capabilities of intelligent unmanned systems to make up for the lack of capabilities in a single combat domain. Through the cross-domain collaborative combat of intelligent unmanned systems, the advantages of various components can be complemented. That is, by utilizing the advantages of large search range and long communication distance of air unmanned systems, as well as long endurance and strong stability of land unmanned systems and marine unmanned systems, the advantages of different components are combined to increase the multi-dimensional spatial information perception capabilities of intelligent unmanned systems, and form a heterogeneous multi-autonomous collaborative system, thereby improving the ability of intelligent unmanned systems to complete complex tasks.


⒍ Secure network guarantees reliable application of clusters
Intelligent unmanned systems face the problems of incomplete information and high game confrontation on future battlefields. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the network security protection capabilities of intelligent unmanned systems in high confrontation environments, improve flexibility in dealing with highly complex and highly variable tasks, and improve stability in the face of high-intensity network attacks. The improvement of network security protection capabilities in adversarial environments is mainly reflected in the following aspects:


① Plan reasonable data permissions to ensure data security and flexibility of task execution;
② Improve information protection capabilities, develop and upgrade information protection products for intelligent unmanned systems, and record response decisions for information explosion situations;
③ Increase the network’s deep defense capabilities, unify network security standards and levels, build network defense autonomy, and improve the network’s ability to resist attacks under network attacks.


⒎ Human-machine hybrid intelligence improves adversarial capabilities
In order to solve the problem of high real-time response faced on future battlefields and improve the adaptability of intelligent unmanned systems in highly complex environments, it is necessary to combine the advantages of humans and machines to form a new hybrid intelligent mode of human-machine collaboration, that is, to develop human-machine hybrid intelligence for intelligent unmanned systems. Human-machine hybrid intelligence of intelligent unmanned systems is a new intelligent scientific system that combines physics and biology in which human, machine, and environmental systems interact. In response to the problems of high-complexity environments and high real-time responses faced by intelligent unmanned systems on future battlefields, the development of human-machine hybrid intelligence in the future is mainly reflected in the following aspects:
① Information intelligence input. At the input end of information acquisition, the information data objectively collected by the sensors of the unmanned system equipment is combined with the subjective perception information of the combat commanders to form a multi-dimensional information acquisition and information input method.
② Intelligent information fusion. After obtaining multi-dimensional data information, a new data understanding method is constructed by integrating the computer’s calculation data with the information cognition of the combat commanders.
③ Intelligent information output. After the data information is fused and processed, the computer’s calculation results are matched with the value decisions of the combat commanders to form an organically combined probabilistic and regularized optimization judgment.

IV. Conclusion
Due to its autonomy, intelligence and unmanned characteristics, intelligent unmanned systems will play an increasingly important role in the future battlefield. The development of intelligent unmanned systems will also drive the development of intelligent computing, intelligent transportation, intelligent manufacturing, smart medical care, brain-like science and other disciplines. In the future, we should be guided by the mission requirements of actual complex battlefield environments, combine advanced technologies in cutting-edge disciplines such as artificial intelligence, and make overall top-level planning for intelligent unmanned systems; verify reliable airborne intelligent perception and intelligent computing equipment on different unmanned system combat platforms in land, air and marine unmanned systems, and develop reliable and stable key technologies such as unmanned system autonomous control, intelligent perception, intelligent decision-making and intelligent interaction, overcome the key difficulties of intelligent unmanned systems, and continuously improve the autonomous control, intelligent perception and intelligent decision-making capabilities of intelligent unmanned systems.

現代國語:

目前,無人系統裝備已在軍事衝突中嶄露頭角,例如,在土耳其與敘利亞的衝突中,土耳其利用空軍裝備的安卡-S型長航時無人機和巴拉克塔TB-2察打一體式無人機,對敘利亞政府軍進行了打擊;俄羅斯國防部也曾公佈敘利亞境內的武裝分子利用載有爆炸物的無人機對其軍事基地展開了集群式攻擊;2020年,美國利用一架MQ-9「收割者」無人機襲擊了伊朗高級軍事指揮官並使其當場斃命。無人作戰正在到來,智慧無人系統作為未來戰場的關鍵利器,將決定整個戰爭的勝利歸屬。

圖片來自網路

發展智慧無人系統不僅會推動現有軍事科技的升級與進步,還將帶動民用科技的智慧性發展,包括智慧交通系統、智慧家庭系統、智慧製造系統與智慧醫療系統等。為了更科學、快速地發展智慧無人系統,各科技大國紛紛推出了一系列有關智慧無人系統發展的規劃與路線,力求在智慧無人系統領域的發展中搶得先機,奪取制高點。相關的有美國的自主無人系統綜合路線圖、俄羅斯的國家武器裝備計畫、英國的國防創新技術框架、中國的新一代人工智慧發展計畫以及日本的中長期技術規劃等。
近年來,從空中到空間、從陸地到海洋,各種類型的智慧無人系統大量湧現,世界各國已經逐步將智慧無人系統部署到軍隊中,並且在一些地區衝突、反恐戰場中,智慧無人系統的關鍵作用日益增加。因此,本文將重點從未來戰場的軍事需求出發,基於未來戰場面臨的實際複雜環境的挑戰,分析智慧無人系統發展與應用所需的關鍵技術,並從軍事角度分析個體增強與集群增強關鍵技術,闡述智慧無人系統的發展趨勢。

一、國內外研究現狀

智慧無人系統概念才提出不久,目前其研究尚處於初級階段,國際上也未形成統一的定義,暫且將其定義為:由無人平台及若干輔助部分組成,具有感知、交互和學習能力,並且能夠基於知識進行自主推理、自主決策,從而達成目標的有機整體。智慧無人系統依據其作用的空間範圍,可劃分為陸地無人系統、空中無人系統和海洋無人系統三大部分。其中,陸地無人系統主要包括偵察無人車、運輸無人車、作戰無人車、破障無人車、排爆無人車、無人車編隊與指揮系統等;空中無人系統主要包括偵察無人機、作戰無人機、後勤運輸無人機以及無人機編隊等;海洋無人系統主要包括偵察無人艇、作戰無人艇、後勤運輸無人艇、巡邏搜救無人艇、偵察無人潛航器、作戰無人潛航器、岸基支援系統等。本節將從以上3個部分來對國內外智慧無人系統的研究現況進行闡述。
⒈國外智慧無人系統研究現狀
⑴陸地無人系統
陸地無人系統主要用於情報蒐集、偵察巡邏、掃雷除障、火力打擊、戰場救援、後勤運輸、通信中繼以及電子乾擾等領域,隨著陸地無人系統在戰鬥中的優勢愈發凸顯,針對其的研究愈發受到各國的廣泛關注。
美國曾於1993年11月啟動「聯合戰術無人車」項目,亦即「角鬥士」無人作戰平台項目的前身。 2006年,美國完成了「角鬥士」無人作戰平台全系統的設計,並於2007年正式裝備海軍陸戰隊。 「角鬥士」戰術無人作戰平台是世界上第1款多用途作戰無人平台,搭載的感測器系統有日/夜攝影機、GPS定位系統以及聲學與雷射搜尋系統等,並裝備有機槍、衝鋒槍、催淚彈、狙擊手系統、生化武器探測系統等,可以在不同的天氣和地形下執行偵察、催淚彈、狙擊手電擊
「角鬥士」無人作戰平台搭載有高機動與高生存底盤,針對該平台,還開發了便攜式手持控制系統,並圍繞該控制系統的抗干擾性、網絡互操作性、小型化與操縱簡便化等技術問題完成了一系列開發工作。但因「角鬥士」無人作戰平台的裝甲防護能力較弱,執行任務的隱蔽性差,導致其遠程偵察與控制系統面臨的干擾較多。除此之外,美國陸軍還服役了一些其他的陸地無人系統,如「蝎子」機器人、「魔爪」機器人等。 2017年,美國陸軍制定了《機器人與自主系統(RAS)戰略》,為進行無人作戰能力建構提供了頂層規劃。圖1所示為美國陸地無人系統。

圖1 美國陸地無人系統
以色列、俄羅斯、英國和德國也相繼進行了陸地無人系統的研發工作,並研發出了一系列先進的產品,產品清單如表1所示。例如,以色列研發的「守護者」系列自主無人車可以結合搭載的傳感器與融合演算法,自主偵察與識別危險障礙,執行巡邏、監視與小規模的火力打擊任務;俄羅斯研製的MARSA-800無人車可以執行運輸和後勤保障障礙以及跟踪監視等任務,並可以在執行任務的過程中實現自主路徑規劃,規避障礙,該程序已部署。英國和德國對陸地無人系統的研究也開展得較早,英國於上世紀60年代就推出了手推車排爆機器人,後來又推出HarrisT7觸覺反饋機器人,用於執行拆彈、排爆等危險任務;德國萊茵金屬公司開發的「任務大師」地面武裝偵察無人車主要用於執行戰術監視、危險物品;德國萊茵金屬公司開發的「任務大師」地面武裝偵察無人車輛主要用於執行戰術監視、危險物品檢測、醫療後送機、消防系統
表1 各國陸地無人系統

⑵空中無人系統
空中無人系統主要以單一無人機平台和無人機集群為主。無人機由於具有視野開闊、飛行自由、設備搭載性好等優點,被廣泛應用於軍事領域,並在近年來的軍事衝突中發揮了極大的作用。空中無人系統的主要功能包括:情報蒐集、偵察監視、誘餌靶機、目標追蹤、戰術打擊與空中救援等。
美國空軍研究實驗室於2000年提出了針對無人機自主作戰的概念,並對無人機的自主程度進行了量化定義,並制定了發展計畫。無人機自主程度量化內容與發展階段如圖2所示。

圖2 自主控制水準與無人機自主化趨勢
2003年,美國將空軍和海軍的無人作戰飛機系統項目合併,啟動了「聯合無人作戰系統」(J-UCAS)項目,開始了對無人作戰飛機X-47B的研究。 2006年,美海軍提出了「海軍無人作戰航空系統」(N-UCAS)項目,旨在為航空母艦載機聯隊引入無人作戰飛機,並繼續對X-47B開展研究。在2012—2014年間,又多次完成了航母彈射、著艦、觸艦復飛等試驗,並於2015年完成了自主空中加油試驗。 X-47B攻擊型無人機是一款可以自主操縱、隱身性能好且適用於陸基和艦載的無人作戰飛機,具備高航程和高航時的特點,裝備有照射雷達、光電導引系統和孔徑雷達等先進的感測器,主要功能包括情報偵察、目標追蹤、電子戰幹擾、火力打擊等。美國研發的其他空中無人系統,如「全球鷹」、「掠食者」、「獵人」和「大烏鴉」等也已在軍隊服役,如圖3所示。
以色列研發的「哈比」無人機配備反雷達感應器、光電導引系統和飛彈,可自主攻擊敵方雷達系統,如圖3所示。

圖3 各國空中無人系統
單一空中無人系統在執行任務時容易被幹擾和打擊從而導致任務失敗,而空中無人系統集群則可以彌補這一缺陷,更大程度地發揮空中無人系統的優勢。美國國防先進研究計畫局(DARPA)針對空中無人系統集群先後啟動了「小精靈」低成本無人機計畫、低成本無人機集群計畫、「山銻」(Perdix)微型無人機機載高速發射展示項目、進攻性蜂群使能戰術(OFFSET)項目等,透過開發和測試用於無人系統集群的體系架構、通訊系統以及分散式控制演算法,發展了無人機集群自主控制系統,並利用人工智慧、態勢感知、虛擬實境和擴增實境等前沿科學技術,提升了空中無人系統集群在戰場上的綜合作戰能力。
⑶海洋無人系統
海洋無人系統包括水面無人系統及水下無人系統2類。其中,水面無人系統主要指水面無人艇(以下簡稱「無人艇」),主要用於執行海上搜救、偵察監視、火力打擊、巡邏安防、電子乾擾、後勤保障及誘餌靶船等任務;水下無人系統主要指無人潛航器,與執行人潛艦相比,其具無性戰力戰、高防震力與高威力控制權。 2018年,美海軍發布了《海軍部無人系統戰略路線圖》,2019年,又發布了《海軍人工智慧框架》,為海軍作戰與海洋無人系統的發展提供了路線規劃與指南。
在水面無人系統方面,美國提出了「美國先進概念技術演示計畫」(ACTD),其重要任務之一便是開展「斯巴達偵察兵」無人艇的研究。該計畫已於2007年完成,並在伊拉克戰區進行了試驗。 「斯巴達偵察兵」無人艇搭載有無人駕駛系統與視距/超視距通訊系統,並搭載有電光/紅外線搜尋轉塔、高畫質攝影機、導航雷達、水面搜索雷達、全球定位系統接收機等先進感測器,以及艦砲、反艦飛彈及反潛感應器等武器,主要用於執行情報蒐集、具有防監視、情報、反艦飛彈及反潛感應器等武器,主要用於執行情報蒐集、具有防監視、情報、反艦導彈及反潛感應器等武器,主要用於執行情報蒐集、具有防監視、情報、反艦導彈及反潛感美國研發的「海上獵人」無人艇搭載有聲吶與光電感測器,以及近距、遠程雷達偵測系統與可擴展模組化聲吶系統,主要用於執行辨識、監測可疑目標,引導火力打擊等任務。美國海洋無人系統如圖4所示。以色列研發的「保護者」無人艇主要用於執行情報偵察、可疑目標辨別、戰術攔截、電子乾擾和精確打擊等任務(圖4)。俄羅斯研發的無人水面偵察艇可以在母艦的指揮下執行快速巡邏任務並檢查、監視指定區域,搜尋情報。

圖4 各國海洋無人系統
在水下無人系統方面,俄羅斯開發的核動力無人潛航器“波塞冬”,可攜帶常規以及核彈頭,執行偵察與戰略核打擊任務,如圖4所示。美國研發的「刀魚」無人潛航器,可透過發出低頻電磁波來掃描可疑物體,搜尋情報;研發的「鮪魚」-9無人潛航器可攜帶多種標準載重,可用於執行近海勘探、反水雷、監視和偵察(ISR)等任務。
⒉國​​內智慧無人系統研究現狀
近年來,我國軍用智慧無人系統發展迅速,本文將從陸地無人系統、空中無人系統和海洋無人系統3個面向進行闡述。
在陸地無人系統方面,國防科技大學與三一重工股份有限公司共同開發了「沙漠蒼狼」陸地無人輕型平台,其以履帶為動力,搭載榴彈發射器和機槍等武器系統,可以用來執行後勤運輸、傷員運送、偵察監測、火力打擊等任務。山河智慧集團開發的「龍馬」系列無人車,具有強大的運輸與越障能力。南京理工大學研發的「神行-III」軍用地面智慧機器人系統,具有較強的自主導航與情報偵察能力。國防科技大學與哈爾濱工業大學等單位聯合研發的無人駕駛核化偵察車,具有較高的機動能力與裝甲防護能力,搭載的武器系統可以執行火力打擊並具備一定的自主能力。
在空中無人系統方面,成都飛機工業集團開發的「翼龍」系列無人機具有全自主水平起降能力、巡航飛行能力、空地協同能力與地面接力控制能力等,搭載有多型光電/電子偵察設備以及小型空地精確打擊武器,可以執行情報偵察、目標跟踪、火力打擊等任務。我國研發的「彩虹」系列無人機具有中空長航時的航行能力,可搭載電子乾擾系統與多種武器系統,能執行火力打擊、情報偵察、通訊幹擾、電波幹擾等任務;研發的攻擊11型無人機具有極強的隱身能力,可搭載精確的導引飛彈,用於執行對地導攻擊任務。我國空中無人系統如圖5所示。

圖5 我國空中無人系統
在海洋無人系統的水面無人系統方面,由哈爾濱工程大學主導開發的「天行一號」無人艇,採用油電混合動力,最高航速超過92.6km/h,最大航程1000km,為目前世界上最快的無人艇。該艇融合了自主感知、智慧控制、自主決策等技術,可實現對周圍複雜環境的快速態勢資訊認知與危險規避,可用於執行氣象資訊監控、地形測繪、警戒巡邏、情報偵察、火力攻擊等任務。由上海大學研發的「精海」系列無人艇具有半自主與全自主的作業能力,可執行目標偵察、海洋測繪、水質檢測等任務。由上海海事大學研發的「海騰01」號智慧高速無人艇,搭載有毫米波雷達、雷射雷達、前視聲吶等感測器,可執行可疑目標監視、水下測量、海上搜救等任務,具備全自主與半自主航行能力。江蘇自動化研究所研發的JARI智慧無人作戰艇,搭載有光電偵測器、四面相控陣等偵測設備,同時,也搭載有飛彈魚雷等武器系統,可以執行情報蒐集、敵情偵察、精準火力打擊等任務。由珠海雲洲智慧科技有限公司等單位聯合研發的「瞭望者Ⅱ」無人飛彈艇,搭載全自主無人駕駛系統及飛彈等武器,可執行敵情偵察、情報蒐集、精準火力打擊等任務。我國海洋無人系統如圖6所示。

圖6 我國海洋無人系統
在海洋無人系統的水下無人系統方面,西北工業大學開發的「魔鬼魚」無人潛航器為仿生蝠鱝無人潛水器,已完成了1025m的深海測試。由哈爾濱工程大學研發的「悟空號」全海深無人潛航器,成功完成了10896m的深潛和自主作業試驗。我國研發的「潛龍一號」、「海馬號」等深海潛水器都已成功完成深海探測任務。
⒊技術現況總結
目前,智慧無人系統已逐步應用於軍事應用的各個領域,隨著前沿科學技術的發展,智慧無人系統在軍事領域的應用將日益增加。但在智慧無人系統的使用方面,尚未完全實現自主化與智慧化。目前,智慧無人系統技術在軍事領域的應用現況主要分為以下3個部分:
①從作戰任務的角度:作戰任務從執行簡單的偵察監視向主流對抗作戰方向發展;戰場對抗由人人對抗向人機對抗,再向機機對抗方式轉變;應用環境由結構化環境、實驗室環境向真實戰場環境轉變,並在未來逐步發展成真實環境與虛擬現實相結合的增強現實環境。
②從指揮控制的角度:控制方式從單機簡單遙控、程控方式向人機智慧融合互動控制方向發展,不過尚未完全實現自主控制;體系結構由專用化、單一化向通用化、標準化、互通性方向發展。
③從感知決策的角度:決策方式由單一依靠人來決策向以人為主,人機智能交互決策為輔的方式轉變;感知方式由單一依靠傳感器獲取特徵信息,由人來判斷目標屬性向基於人工智能的目標識別、特徵信息獲取的方式轉變。

二、智慧無人系統關鍵技術

智慧無人系統作為多學科領域的集大成者,涉及的技術眾多,執行的任務多樣,且應用場景複雜多變。例如,空中環境多雨、多霧,能見度低,有大風、光照幹擾等;陸地環境地形複雜,有障礙物遮擋幹擾和危險污染區域等;海上環境有風浪幹擾、船舶搖擺、目標不顯著、海岸線不規則等。不同的環境及用途給智慧無人系統技術研究和性能的發揮提出了巨大挑戰。為適應受限的多變環境,可將智慧無人系統關鍵技術歸納為複雜環境下自主感知與理解技術、多場景自主技能學習與智慧控制技術、多任務集群協同技術、人機互動與人機融合技術、決策規劃技術與導航定位技術,本節將主要以海洋無人系統為案例對智慧無人系統關鍵技術進行詳細闡述。
⒈複雜環境下自主感知與理解技術
在複雜環境下對環境進行自主感知與場景理解是智慧無人系統能夠自主作業並形成作戰能力的前提,將直接影響任務能否成功完成。針對實際環境的複雜多變,尤其是海面環境的風浪幹擾及船舶搖晃等困難,智慧無人系統需要完成目標自主選擇感知,獲取多模態訊息,並對資訊抽象完整理解等目標。因此,複雜環境下的智慧無人系統環境自主感知與理解技術需突破多模態感測器融合自主感知技術,以及複雜場景目標辨識與理解技術。
⑴多模態感測融合自主感知技術
目前,智慧無人系統搭載的資訊取得感測器主要包括導航雷達、毫米波雷達、光達、光電載重等。單一感測器無法直接獲取高精度、稠密的場景三維訊息,需研究多感測器融合的環境自主感知技術,從而為場景理解提供支撐。多感測器融合是將各種感測器進行多層次、多空間的資訊互補和最佳化組合處理,最終產生對觀測環境的一致性解釋。在此過程中,要充分利用多源數據進行合理的支配與使用,而信息融合的最終目標則是基於各傳感器獲得的分離觀測信息,通過對信息多級別、多方面組合導出更多有用的信息。透過利用多個感測器相互協同操作的優勢,綜合處理所有資訊來源的數據,從而提高整個感測器系統的智慧化。海洋自然環境相比陸地與空中環境更為複雜,面臨船舶的劇烈搖擺、風浪幹擾、光照不均、目標不顯著等特殊的挑戰,海洋智慧無人系統需要依據每種感測器的獨特屬性來對指定目標進行多感測器資訊融合處理,接著結合無人系統內部導航單元與岸基支援系統的電子海圖訊息,建構海面環境多維立體態勢圖,執行對指定目標的追蹤、偵測、辨識與認知任務,最終實現海洋智慧無人系統對海面環境的自主感知與完整理解。
⑵複雜場景目標辨識與理解技術
智慧無人系統具備作業自主性的關鍵在於能有效理解場景與目標訊息,而準確理解場景資訊主要包括目標語意訊息建構與場景文字訊息描述。相較於陸地與空中環境,海洋自然環境面臨風浪幹擾、船體劇烈搖擺等獨特的困難,這為智慧無人系統完整地理解環境資訊與準確識別指定目標帶來了挑戰。利用智慧無人系統搭載的雷射雷達與高清攝影機等感測器,可以獲得海洋環境場景的原始點雲信息及影像特徵信息,利用基於點雲、點雲與影像融合的三維目標檢測方法與三維場景語義分割方法等,可以實現智慧無人系統對場景資訊的完整認知及對指定目標的準確識別。
基於點雲的方法主要包括2種:基於網格或體素的方法,以及基於點的方法。基於網格或體素的方法是利用體素或鳥瞰圖來將所獲得的海面不規則的點雲轉換成規則的表徵方式,然後提取點雲特徵。基於點的方法則是直接在所獲取的海面原始點雲中提取目標特徵。基於點雲與影像融合的三維目標檢測方法,是將雷射雷達獲得的海面場景中目標的精確座標與海面影像提供的環境紋理和色彩資訊相結合,這樣更加有助於智慧無人系統對海洋場景目標的精確識別與準確、完整的理解。
⒉行為決策與軌跡規劃技術
在實際的、複雜的戰爭場景中,對於智慧無人系統面臨的複雜任務環境與多重任務,必須突破多源異質環境下的行為決策技術、動/靜環境下的軌跡規劃技術與複雜場景下的軌跡追蹤技術。
⑴多源異質環境下的行為決策技術
行為決策是智慧無人系統實現自主控制的關鍵。在無人艇不同速度、不同相對距離、不同資料類型的複雜環境下,需要準確提取有效資訊來為無人艇下一刻的決策做出安全可靠的控制指令。首先,提取出具有代表性的環境特徵信息,建立足夠數量與精確標定的學習數據集;然後,構建基於深度神經網絡的決策器,並利用建立的數據庫進行學習;最後,利用機器學習算法對構建的決策器進行優化,進一步提高決策精度。
⑵動/靜環境下的軌跡規劃技術
軌跡變換是無人艇與無人潛航器最基本的行為。在複雜的戰場環境下,根據不同的環境狀況規劃一條可行、可靠的軌跡是無人艇與無人潛航器實現智慧行駛的關鍵。此技術主要包括基於多項式的軌跡規劃技術、基於多目標限制的軌跡規劃技術與基於正、反梯形側向加速度的軌跡規劃技術。
⑶複雜場景下的軌跡追蹤技術
對規劃出的理想軌跡進行追蹤是無人艇與無人潛航器的重要任務,其關鍵在於解決無人艇或無人潛航器進行目標軌跡追蹤時的高精度與高穩定性控制難題。主要解決方法為:根據無人艇與無人潛航器的運動學與動力學模型,輸出對應的執行器控制量來實現對指定目標的即時、準確跟隨,在保證追蹤精度的前提下,實現無人艇與無人潛航器的自主智慧轉向與各個驅動模組多執行器之間的協調控制。
⒊自主導航定位技術
導航定位系統是智慧無人系統的關鍵組成部分,其可提供精準、可靠的有關無人艇或無人潛航器的速度與位置等資訊。導航系統一般由陀螺儀、加速計、衛星接收器等組成,部分輔以視覺模組,或基於實際複雜的環境狀況搭載先驗空間位置圖與實體資訊感測器等。智慧無人系統要實現任務的精準執行,必須突破基於慣性/衛星深度資訊融合導航定位技術、基於慣性/天文資訊融合導航定位技術、基於視覺追蹤的導航技術與地球物理輔助導航技術。
⑴基於慣性/衛星深度資訊融合的導航定位技術
該技術是將無人艇的慣性資訊引入衛星載波/碼環路,然後利用全自主、短時、高精度的慣性資訊輔助衛星接收機訊號的更新,從而實現無人艇的慣性導航與衛星導航的優勢互補及最適融合。
⑵基於慣性/天文學資訊融合的導航定位技術
基於天文的導航系統具有高自主性與不易受干擾的優勢,透過利用天文導航輸出的信息與初始位置提供的信息,可以推算出無人艇的位置。將慣性導航資訊與天文導航資訊融合,可以提高天文導航定位的穩健性。基於天文導航輔助的慣性/天文組合定位技術已成為無人系統自主導航領域的關鍵部分。
⑶基於視覺追蹤的導航技術
由於實際戰場環境的複雜性,無人艇會處於複雜的工作環境中,容易受到外界幹擾而出現GPS拒止​​的情況,使導航系統無法處於組合狀態。單獨的慣性導航系統精度較低,容易累積誤差,長時間的純慣性導航會使無人艇失去執行任務的能力。而基於視覺的方法卻沒有時間的誤差積累,只需提取到高清相機所獲得影像的關鍵特徵,即可透過視覺演算法與先驗知識獲得無人艇與無人潛航器的位置資訊。基於視覺的導航演算法不易受到干擾,魯棒性較強,且能彌補在GPS拒止​​環境下由純慣性導航帶來的誤差積累,被廣泛應用。
⑷地球物理輔助導航技術
由於海洋獨特的環境,無人潛航器需長時間在水下航行,導致無法取得即時、準確的衛星訊號與天文資訊。另外,由於水下光照弱等問題,基於視覺的導航方法也受到限制。因此,透過獲得海洋內部的先驗空間位置圖,並利用無人潛航器搭載的物理感測器所獲得的實地場景資訊並進行匹配,可以實現無人潛航器的高精度自主導航。
可以利用勘測的海洋固有的地球物理屬性的時空分佈特徵,來製作地球物理導航空間位置圖,透過將無人潛航器所搭載的物理屬性感測器實地獲取的物理特徵資訊與預先搭載的空間位置圖相匹配,可以獲得無人潛航器的高精度定位,實現無人潛航器的高精度自主導航。
⒋多場景自主技能學習與智慧控制技術
多場景智慧控制技術是智慧無人系統解決複雜、多變和控制物件不穩定等問題的關鍵技術,是智慧無人系統適應複雜任務需求的有效工具。在複雜的海洋環境下,智慧無人系統要完成即時、準確的區域監控、目標追蹤、資訊取得與精準打擊,就必須突破任務的自主技能學習技術、自主作業互動控制技術,以及類人智慧控制的無人系統運動控制技術。
⑴任務的自主技能學習技術
自主技能學習是指在無人系統與外界互動的過程中,基於先驗知識或規則進行學習以完成任務的過程。無人系統作業技能的自主學習本質是模擬人學習認知的部分過程。智慧無人系統利用基於深度強化學習的技術,將深度學習的感知能力與強化學習的決策能力相結合,可實現在海面複雜環境下從高緯度的原始資料資訊輸入到決策輸出的直接控制。智慧無人系統自主技能學習主要包括3個面向:一是對海洋表面與海洋內部的複雜環境進行描述,並獲得周圍環境的初始狀態資料資訊;二是基於智慧無人系統與海洋表面和內部複雜環境的描述方式,進行深度強化學習的數學建模,獲得自主技能學習過程的狀態價值函數與控制策略函數等關鍵信息;三是利用智能無人系統與海洋表面和內部複雜環境交互所獲得的數據信息,對狀態價值函數及控制策略函數進行更新,以使海洋智能無人系統學習出更優的控制策略。
⑵自主作業互動控制技術
智慧無人系統在任務的自主學習與控制過程中,需要與海洋表面和內部複雜環境接觸形成良好的耦合系統,以確保對海洋表面與內部複雜環境資訊的即時、準確獲取,並正確、快速進行無人艇、無人潛航器的航行規劃、自主航行控制與自主規避碰撞等。智慧無人系統自主作業互動控制技術的任務主要包括:智慧無人系統互動規則與控制策略的設計;海洋表面與內部複雜環境的建模方法;無人艇、無人潛航器與作業物件的動力學線上建模及修正;海洋表面與內部複雜環境中虛擬力約束的動態生成及共享控制方法。
⑶類人智慧控制的無人系統運動控制技術
類人智慧控制的無人系統運動控制技術是將人工智慧與傳統控制方法結合,以解決在實際複雜的海洋戰場環境下,無人艇與無人潛航器的穩定精確控制問題,主要包括無人系統智慧控制演算法的設計與無人系統智慧控制策略的設計2個面向。無人系統智慧控制演算法設計主要包括:分層的資訊處理和決策機構;線上的特徵辨識與特徵記憶;開/閉環控制、正/負回饋控制以及定性決策與定量控制相結合的多模態控制;啟發式直覺推理邏輯的運用。無人系統智慧控制策略設計則是設計合理的無人艇或是無人潛航器的方案,以滿足實際的任務需求。
⒌無人群聚協同控制技術
在實際的作戰場景中,由於戰場環境的複雜性與任務的多樣性,單艘無人艇或是無人潛航器通常都無法滿足實際任務的需求。單艘無人艇或無人潛航器搭載的設備數量有限,感知視角與區域範圍不夠全面,導致在執行完整的情報探測、目標跟踪、戰場環境感知與全面火力打擊任務時不夠精確與徹底,因此,由多艘無人艇與無人潛航器組成的智能無人系統集群協同執行任務就成為必然的趨勢。要完成對智慧無人系統集群的控制,需要突破智慧無人系統集群局部規則控制技術、智慧無人系統集群軟控制技術、智慧無人系統集群領航控制技術以及智慧無人系統人工勢場控制技術。
⑴智慧無人系統叢集局部規則控制技術
基於局部規則的控制技術是智慧無人系統針對無人艇、無人潛航器集群控制的基本方法,主要在於對無人艇、無人潛航器集群內部個體局部控制規則的指定。局部規則控制技術在一定程度上實現了對海洋無人系統集群的智慧控制,但是對於海洋無人系統集群行為與集群模型之間的參數,需要進行大量的實驗來獲得,並且對參數的取值也非常敏感。所以,要實現對智慧無人系統完全的智慧控制,還需輔助以其他技術。
⑵智慧無人系統叢集軟控制技術
智慧無人系統集群的軟控制技術主要基於2點需求:一是在智慧無人系統集群中,個體之間的控制規則很重要,例如每艘無人艇、無人潛航器的控制與內部作用是整個海洋智慧無人系統集群出現群體行為的必要條件;二是智慧無人能動工具的控制與內部作用是整個海洋智慧無人系統集群出現群體行為的必要條件;二是智慧無人能動系統採用的是局部通訊策略,隨著智慧客系統集群出現群體行為的必要條件)
軟控制方法是在不破壞智慧無人系統集群內部無人艇、無人潛航器個體規則的前提下,加入一個或多個新的無人艇或是無人潛航器,這些無人艇或無人潛航器按照同樣的局部規則來參與整個智能無人系統集群的行動,但本身可控,可以接收外部指令。在接收指令後,這些無人艇或無人潛航器將獨立完成相應的任務。智慧無人系統集群的軟控制方法是在無人系統局部控制規則的基礎上,加入一個可以控制的無人艇與無人潛航器,使其對整個無人系統集群產生影響,最終完成對整個智慧無人系統群體的控制。
⑶智慧無人系統叢集領航控制技術
智慧無人系統集群領航控制技術的基本內容是:在整個海洋智慧無人系統集群個體保持局部規則的前提下,令集群中少數無人艇與無人潛航器擁有更多的信息量和更強的信息處理能力,並與其他無人艇和無人潛航器通過局部信息交互來起到領導者的作用,從而達到控制整個智能沒有集群的目的。
⑷智慧無人系統人工勢場控制技術
在智慧無人系統集群控制中,只基於局部規則的控制技術難以完成對戰場準確、即時的感知,以及對情報資訊的蒐集獲取、對可疑目標的追蹤識別和對敵方區域的精準打擊。人工勢場控制技術是將物理學中的位能場概念引入智慧無人系統集群的控制中,利用位勢函數來模擬影響單艘無人艇或無人潛航器的內、外作用,而係統集群中的單艘無人艇或無人潛航器則在勢函數的作用下行動,最終透過勢函數來實現對整個智慧無人能動系統的控制。
⒍自然人機互動技術
在實際的戰場環境中,智慧無人系統面臨著操作任務複雜、操作智慧化程度低、訓練風險大且成本高、設備使用與維修效率低等問題,在這種情況下,就需要提高智慧無人系統設備的可操控性與智慧化,需要突破智慧無人系統人機互動技術、智慧無人系統擴增實境與混合實境技術以及智慧無人系統介面技術。
⑴智慧無人系統人機互動技術
智慧無人系統人機互動技術是指指揮平台透過影像和語音感應器獲取指戰員的影像與語音訊息,然後利用影像分割、邊緣偵測、影像辨識等演算法擷取出指戰員的手勢與眼勢等關鍵訊息,接著利用基於深度學習的演算法獲得指戰員的語音訊息並傳遞給指揮平台,從而將指作戰員的指令下發給下級的指令。智慧無人系統的人機互動技術可以提高任務操作的智慧化以及操作過程的容錯率與魯棒性,從而使指戰員的指令能夠更加穩定、有效地下發給作戰單位。
⑵智慧無人系統擴增實境與混合實境技術
智慧無人系統擴增實境技術是將電腦生成的影像疊加在真實的複雜作戰環境中,智慧無人系統混合實境技術則是透過在實際作戰場景中呈現虛擬場景的訊息,在真實的作戰環境下在虛擬世界與指戰員之間搭起一個互動回饋的資訊迴路,從而增加指戰員對作戰環境體驗的真實感。智慧無人系統虛擬實境與擴增實境作為沉浸式人機互動技術的重要發展方向,已有多種不同的真實作戰應用場景,可有效降低訓練時的成本與風險,提高作戰時設備的使用與維修效率。
⑶智慧無人系統腦機介面技術
腦機介面的主要功能是捕捉人腦在進行思考活動時產生的一系列腦波訊號。在實際作戰環境中,智慧無人系統腦機介面技術透過對指戰員的腦波訊號進行特徵提取、功能分類,從而辨別出指戰員的意圖而做出相應的決策,以此應對複雜的作戰任務與突發情況。智慧無人系統腦機介面技術可以增強指戰員的認知與決策能力,大幅提升腦機互動與腦控技術,賦予指戰員在藉助思維的同時具有能操控多艘無人艇與無人潛航器等無人作戰設備的能力。

三、智慧無人系統未來的發展趨勢

智慧無人系統由於其無人化、自主性、智慧性等優點,將出現在未來戰場的各個角落,而隨著其承擔戰場任務的增多,將會參與不同的戰爭場景,導致智慧無人系統將面臨多項關鍵性的難題,使其發展受到限制。智慧無人系統面臨的關鍵性難題主要有:
①環境高度複雜。智慧無人系統具體的應用環境將面臨越來越多的要素,非結構化環境下遮蔽物眾多、感知視點及範圍受限等對智慧無人系統的環境感知能力提出了更高的要求。
②博弈高對抗。智慧無人系統的戰場博弈是取得戰場優勢的重要手段,作戰雙方激烈的機動對抗,以及因敵方和戰場環境帶來的諸多幹擾對智慧無人系統的機動決策能力提出了新的挑戰。
③響應高實時。在未來戰場中,戰鬥態勢變化劇烈,交戰方式將更加靈活多變,需及時應對戰場突發事件,這就對智​​慧無人系統的即時響應能力提出了新的要求。
④資訊不完整。在未來戰場中,受戰場環境的限制以及敵方幹擾的存在,智慧無人系統的資訊取得能力將會受到製約,從而造成態勢感知不完備、戰場態勢資訊資料遺失與衰減,導致無法完整取得敵我雙方的資訊。
⑤邊界不確定。智慧無人系統的無人作戰方式顛覆了傳統作戰模式,未來無人作戰的陸海空天一體化,以及透過與社會高度交融帶來的社會輿情,都將對智慧無人系統的無人作戰產生影響,從而造成作戰邊界的不確定性。
基於以上將面臨的各種難題,未來智慧無人系統的發展將集中在個體能力增強與群聚能力增強2個面向。個體能力增強主要體現在個體認知智能、個體自主作業與演算法晶片化等方面;集群能力增強則主要體現在透過通用化架構提升互通性,以及跨域協同作戰、網路安全與人機混合智能等。
⒈認知智能適應複雜任務環境
為提高智慧無人系統在高度複雜環境下的適應能力,需要增強智慧無人系統的個別認知智能。個體認知智能增強主要體現在從個體感知智能轉變為認知智能的轉變方面,綜合獲取的多源感測資訊使得智能無人系統具備人類的語意理解、聯想推理、判斷分析、決策規劃、情感理解等能力。智慧無人系統個體認知智能的發展將以腦科學和仿生學等為基礎,透過結合知識圖譜、人工智慧、知識推理、決策智慧等技術來實現獲取資訊的智慧理解與準確運用,從而提升智慧無人系統對突發事件的高即時響應能力。
⒉自主作業提升單機任務能力
為解決智慧無人系統在高度複雜環境下所面臨的高度複雜任務的難題,需要提升單機的自主作業能力。包括開發基於深度強化學習的決策方法、基於視覺及其他感測器多源資訊的自主環境感知與交互方法、基於神經動力學的機器人自主運動規劃方法,以及基於人工智慧的自主作業方法等,以提升智能無人系統個體的自主環境建模與定位能力、自主決策能力、自主規劃能力及自主控制能力,使智能無人系統能夠適應複雜的環境建模與定位能力、自主決策能力、自主規劃能力及自主控制能力,使智能無人系統能夠適應複雜的環境建模並開展自主作業。
⒊演算法晶片化實現高即時響應
智慧無人系統面臨的複雜環境對演算法、算力提出了較高要求,需要能即時加速運算,實現對戰場突發事件的高即時回應。為解決此問題,需要提高智慧無人系統個體演算法的晶片化水平,即開發新型架構的存算一體晶片,以提高晶片的算力與演算法晶片化水平。可研究基於人工神經技術的新型晶片,透過改變數位晶片的二進制計算方式,交換梯度訊號或權重訊號來使晶片以模擬神經元的方式進行工作,模擬大腦有效處理大數據量的並行運算流,獲得超級電腦的並行運算能力,從而極大地提升晶片的計算力與晶片化水平,解決智慧系統的高即時演算法響應。
⒋通用化的架構提升集群互通性
為提高智慧無人系統面臨高度複雜環境的適應能力,以及智慧無人系統的維修保障效率,未來智慧無人系統將繼續發展標準化的指控框架,提高人機協作的智慧性並提高系統的模組化程度。主要體現在:
①開發通用式的人工智慧框架,支援人與機器之間自主、精確、即時的良好耦合與協作關係;
②提高智慧無人系統的模組化與零件互換性,以支援在未來戰場中對智慧無人系統及其成員進行的快速維修與配置升級;
③提高資料傳輸一體化水平,以及在未來戰場上資料傳輸的抗干擾能力,降低資料的被截獲率。
⒌跨域協同打破群集應用邊界
為提高智慧無人系統在高度複雜環境下的適應能力,解決作戰時的邊界不確定難題,需要提高智慧無人系統的跨域協同作戰能力,以彌補單一作戰域能力的不足。可透過智慧無人系統的跨域協同作戰,將各個組件進行優勢互補。即利用空中無人系統的搜尋範圍大、通訊距離遠等優點,以及陸地無人系統與海洋無人系統續航時間長、穩定性強等優點,將不同組件的優勢進行組合,以增加智能無人系統的多維空間資訊感知能力,構成異質多自主體協同系統,從而提高智能無人系統完成複雜任務的能力。
⒍安全網路保障集群可靠應用
智慧無人系統在未來戰場上面臨著資訊不完整與博弈高對抗的難題,因此需要提高智慧無人系統在高對抗環境下的網路安全保障能力,提高在應對高複雜、高變化任務時的靈活性與面臨高強度網路攻擊時的穩定性。對抗環境下網路安全保障能力的提升主要體現在以下幾個方面:
①規劃合理的資料權限,以確保資料的安全性與任務執行的彈性;
②提升資訊保障能力,開發並升級智慧無人系統的資訊保障產品,備案資訊爆炸狀況的因應決策;
③增加網路的深度防禦能力,統一網路安全的標準與等級,建構網路防禦的自主性,提升網路攻擊下網路的抗打擊能力。
⒎人機混合智能提升對抗能力
為解決在未來戰場上面臨的高即時回應的難題,提高智慧無人系統在高度複雜環境下的適應能力,需要將人類與機器的優點結合,構成一種新的人機協作的混合智慧方式,即發展智慧無人系統的人機混合智慧。智慧無人系統人機混合智慧是一種由人、機、環境系統相互作用的新的物理與生物結合的智慧科學系統。針對智慧無人系統在未來戰場上所面臨的高複雜環境與高即時反應的難題,未來人機混合智慧的發展主要體現在以下幾個方面:
①資訊智能輸入。在獲取資訊的輸入端,將無人系統設備感測器客觀收集的資訊資料與作戰指揮人員的主觀感知資訊結合,構成一種多維的資訊獲取與資訊輸入方式。
②資訊智能融合。在取得多維的資料資訊後,透過將電腦的運算資料與作戰指揮人員的資訊認知融合,建構一種新的資料理解途徑。
③資訊智慧輸出。將資料資訊進行融合處理之後,將電腦的計算結果與作戰指揮人員的價值決策相互匹配,從而形成有機結合的機率化與規則化的最佳化判斷。

四、結語
智慧無人系統由於其自主性、智慧性與無人化的特點,在未來戰場上將起著日益重要的作用,智慧無人系統的發展也將帶動智慧運算、智慧交通、智慧製造、智慧醫療、類腦科學等學科領域的發展。今後,應以實際複雜環境戰場的任務需求為導向,結合人工智慧等前沿學科的先進技術,對智慧無人系統進行總體頂層規劃;在陸地、空中以及海洋無人系統中不同的無人系統作戰平台上,驗證可靠的機載智能感知與智慧運算設備,並發展可靠、穩定的無人系統自主控制、智慧感知、智慧決策與智慧互動等關鍵技術,攻克智慧無人系統的關鍵難題,不斷提升智慧無人系統的自主控制、智慧感知與智慧決策能力。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81it.com/2022/1031/13846888.html

Chinese Military Trend of Intelligent Command and Control Systems – Enhancing Intelligentization Warfare Dominance

中國軍事智慧指揮控制系統趨勢—增強智慧化戰爭優勢

現代英語:

Modern warfare is accelerating towards intelligence, and the key to victory has extended from “power advantage” and “information advantage” to “intelligence advantage”. Integrating artificial intelligence technology into the field of combat command and deeply coupling it with the command and control system will bring about a large number of systematic and systemic transformations and reshaping.

Intelligent situation perception, data promotes the continuous emergence of command capabilities. Unlike information-based command, which is the key to command, intelligent combat command emphasizes the comprehensive use of data, algorithms, and computing power. Data in the combat command chain can optimize the command process, accelerate the decision-making process, and multiply the command efficiency. In combat command under intelligent conditions, the hardware system will be closely combined with efficient algorithms and powerful computing power, which can achieve rapid situation perception and accurate situation judgment, continuously shorten the combat preparation cycle, promote the transformation from data advantage to decision-making advantage and action advantage, and promote the emergence of command capabilities.

Deep human-machine interaction and intelligent algorithms promote the improvement of command efficiency. Artificial intelligence technology is the product of the cross-integration of multiple technologies. Combat command under the background of intelligence will reconstruct the basic connotation of combat command with new elements represented by “cloud, network, terminal, and group”. Through the integrated application of technologies such as voice recognition, natural language processing, and human-computer interaction, the speed of information and command flow in each node and link of command can be accelerated, and the realization of intelligent platform control and intelligent system decision-making can be promoted, and the pressure of the command subject can be released, so that it can better respond to other emergencies, and provide intelligent solutions for improving command efficiency.

The competition for intellectual property rights is fierce, and artificial intelligence promotes innovation in command technology. Under the conditions of future information-based and intelligent warfare, the technological war between data, algorithms, and computing power will intensify, and the competition for intellectual property rights will also become more intense. In the field of combat command, big data and algorithms such as deep learning and enhanced learning will have a profound impact on the timeliness of situation perception, the level of human-computer interaction, and the quality and efficiency of simulation and evaluation. The party that masters advanced technology can make decisions and judgments faster than the enemy, implement response adjustments one step ahead of the enemy, and strike and damage one step ahead of the enemy, so as to achieve better, more accurate, more complete, and more detailed planning and deployment and dynamic control.

Manned and unmanned collaboration, mission-driven iterative development of command means. Unmanned combat forces shine in armed conflicts and have a profound impact on the course of combat. How to command and control this force is a problem that must be solved in combat command under the background of intelligence. Obviously, manned and unmanned collaborative combat will be a new style of intelligent warfare. In the process of manned and unmanned collaborative combat and unmanned swarms conducting autonomous combat, targeted adjustments and optimizations can be made to the command process, command system, command authority and responsibility, and command mechanism to adapt to the needs of intelligent development.

The system support is obvious, and the computing power guarantees the efficient operation of the command system. Modern warfare is a comprehensive comparison of systems and systems. The system interconnection of combat command under the background of intelligence is becoming more and more obvious, but there are many constituent elements, complex systems, and arduous computing tasks, and there is an urgent need for machine computing power adapted to provide power support. Through intelligent computing centers, cloud computing, edge computing, etc., the advantages of machine computing power can be fully utilized to support the efficient operation of the command and control platform, provide power guarantee for situation perception, target identification, mission planning, rapid strikes, etc., and provide effective support for “information power + mobility + control + strike power”.

現代國語:

中國軍網 國防部網
2025年5月29日 星期四

錢儒雪 張宏岩

現代戰爭正加速向智慧化方向演進,制勝的關鍵從「力量優勢」「資訊優勢」延伸至「智慧優勢」。將人工智慧技術融入作戰指揮領域,與指揮控制體系深度耦合,將會帶來大量系統性、體系性的改造與重塑。

態勢智能感知,數據助推指揮能力持續湧現。不同於資訊化條件下指揮的關鍵在於訊息,智能化背景下作戰指揮更加強調數據、演算法、算力的綜合運用,數據在作戰指揮鏈中,能夠起到優化指揮流程、加速決策進程、倍增指揮效能的作用。智慧化條件下的作戰指揮,硬體系統將與高效演算法和強大算力緊密結合,能夠實現快速態勢感知、準確判斷情況,不斷縮短作戰準備週期,促進從數據優勢到決策優勢、行動優勢的轉變,助推指揮能力湧現。

人機深度交互,智慧演算法促進指揮效能提升。人工智慧技術是多技術交叉融合的產物,智能化背景下的作戰指揮,將以「雲、網、端、群」為代表的全新要素重構作戰指揮基本內涵,透過語音識別、自然語言處理、人機交互等技術的融合運用,可加速指揮各節點、各環節信息指令流轉速度,促進實現智能化平台控制、智能化體系決策,釋放主體

智權爭奪激烈,人工智慧推動指揮技術創新。在未來資訊化智能化戰爭條件下,數據、演算法、算力之間的科技戰會愈演愈烈,制智權的爭奪也會更加激烈。在作戰指揮領域,大數據和深度學習、強化學習等演算法將對態勢感知時效、人機交互水平、推演評估質效等產生深遠影響,掌握先進技術的一方,能夠快敵一步做出決策判斷、先敵一步實施應對調整、早敵一步進行打擊毀傷,實現更優、更準、更全、更細的籌劃部署和動態管控。

有人無人協同,任務牽引指揮手段迭代發展。無人作戰力量在武裝沖突中大放異彩,深刻影響作戰進程,如何指揮控制這一力量是智慧化背景下作戰指揮必須解決的問題。顯然,有人無人協同作戰將是智慧化戰爭的新樣式。在有人無人協同作戰以及無人集群進行自主作戰過程中,可針對指揮流程、指揮系統、指揮權責、指揮機制等做出針對性調整優化,以此適應智慧化發展的需要。

體系支撐明顯,算力保障指揮系統高效運轉。現代戰爭是體系與體系的綜合較量,智慧化背景下作戰指揮的體系交聯越來越明顯,但構成要素眾多、系統繁雜、運算任務艱巨,急需與之適配的機器算力提供動力支撐。透過智算中心、雲計算、邊緣計算等,能夠充分發揮機器算力優勢,支撐指控平台高效運轉,為態勢感知、目標識別、任務規劃、快速打擊等提供動力保障,為「資訊力+機動力+控制力+打擊力」提供有效的支撐。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/szb_223187/szbxq/index.html?paperName=jfjb&paperDate=2025-05-29&paperNumber=10&articleid=95608883

China Strengthening Innovation in Military Theory During the New Era and New Journey

新時代新徵中國加強軍事理論創新

吳霞
2025-05-29 08:xx 資料來源:中國軍網

現代英語:

President Xi Jinping stressed that in the new era and new journey, the world is undergoing a century-long transformation, the new military revolution is developing rapidly, and my country’s security and development needs are undergoing profound changes. It is more urgent to achieve the goal of strengthening the military, and we must comprehensively strengthen military theory work. To accelerate the formation of a military theory system that is contemporary, leading, and unique, we must expand our thinking horizons, strengthen military theory innovation, strive to seize the commanding heights of military theory innovation, and gain new advantages in military theory competition, and thus seize the initiative in the strategic game between major powers.

Reconstructing a pluralistic cognitive framework based on the characteristics of the war era

Since the 21st century, with the development of global politics, economy, culture, and science and technology, the characteristics of modern warfare have undergone profound changes. The system confrontation, spatial superposition, and multi-domain hybrid characteristics of the high-end war game between major powers have become more prominent. The war form is accelerating towards a highly dispersed force, highly circulated information, and highly coordinated actions. We urgently need to examine the driving force of the times for innovation in military theory.

The timeliness of the evolution of war forms. After combing through the development context from traditional warfare to modern warfare and comparing and analyzing it, we can find that the simple primitive form of “building a stronghold, fighting a stupid battle, and fighting in a group” has already moved towards multiple advanced forms such as multi-domain warfare and hybrid warfare. The war concept, combat system, tactics and fighting methods are all evolving continuously. The driving force of the times is the coupling effect of “technical background determines tactical quality, and tactical innovation forces technological innovation”. Against this background, future wars will present the three major characteristics of “full-domain linkage, intelligent dominance, and unmanned front”. In essence, it is a breakthrough in nonlinear state, an update of war philosophy, and even a super-dimensional power game. The driving force behind it is the endless emergence of new combat concepts. Military theory innovation must face the compound challenges of full-domain confrontation, hybrid competitive capabilities and technological breakthroughs. The core lies in building a new war concept that can break the constraints of thinking and achieve cross-domain victory.

The leading nature of military theory game. The game between major powers is a long-term process, in which the arms race is a traditional path of mutual game, while another emerging track is the military theory competition. First of all, military theory is the high-level logic of the game between major powers. The alternating evolution of leading, accompanying and follow-up military theories provides a blueprint for resource integration, training iteration and force optimization for the game between major powers. It also provides methods and strategies for restricting and cracking the opponent’s capabilities, which can accelerate the trend of the military system to win the battle. Secondly, with the continuous changes in the international situation and scientific and technological development, new contradictions, new problems, new goals and new threats continue to emerge, and the causes, subjects, forms, and scenarios of war and confrontation will be more complex, diverse and multi-domain integrated, and their performance will be more uncertain and nonlinear. Whoever can recognize the future war form and style and whoever has a rich concept of combat concepts can take the initiative in international games.

The deterrent effect of advanced military theories. Advanced military theories can coordinate existing war resources to the greatest extent through scientific theoretical design, and fully transform war potential into war power. Therefore, advanced military theories are both combat effectiveness that can win wars and deterrence that can deter wars. For example, people’s war is our magic weapon to defeat the enemy, which has been proven by war practice. For a long time after the founding of New China, imperialism and hegemonism did not dare to act rashly against our country. One important reason was that they were afraid of the power of our people’s war. In recent years, the form of war has accelerated its evolution towards intelligence, and new combat concepts of foreign armies have emerged in an endless stream. In the face of competition in military theory innovation on the “silent battlefield”, we must have insight into the new development of intelligent combat theory, examine the new changes in intelligent combat styles, and adhere to the principle of “you fight yours, I fight mine”. We must be good at creating advanced fighting methods to defeat the superior, and we must also be good at avoiding the real and attacking the virtual to attack the incapable, and innovate and develop theoretical deterrence with our own characteristics.

Promote cross-domain communication and integration, and deconstruct multi-dimensional innovation mechanisms

Modern warfare has broken through the boundaries of land, sea, air, space and power grids, proving the necessity of multi-domain linkage and multi-dimensional connection. In this vast military and even civilian field, the military theory innovation must integrate scientific and technological channels, build a strategic and tactical research and training platform, and seek breakthroughs from the innovation mechanism by gathering the best and releasing energy, integrating information, and integrating strikes.

The battlefield space is ubiquitous and multi-dimensionally reconstructed. The essence of battlefield space reconstruction is the breakthrough of technological civilization on physical boundaries, that is, when new technologies develop to a certain extent, the physical domain, information domain, social domain, etc. will present a reconstructed form. This reconstruction breaks the spatial limitations and time dimensions of the traditional battlefield, and deeply promotes the war confrontation from the centralized and linear physical space to the hyper-dimensional space of multi-domain integration and boundless linkage, which brings about the ubiquitous combat domain, all-encompassing combat elements, and all-encompassing combat forces, and will form a new combat form. This requires military theory to reconstruct the three-dimensionality, multi-dimensionality and linkage of modern warfare from the aspects of combat system, strategy and tactics, and node elements. Especially in the future, the mixed linkage of battlefield space such as politics, economy, military, and public opinion will bring about many sources of struggle, wide fields, and strong coupling. Military theory innovation needs to have a deep insight into the connotation and essential characteristics of the endogenous development of battlefield space, so as to reconstruct an autonomous, flexible, elastic, and closed-loop combat space and highlight the battlefield ecological mechanism of linkage and balance.

Reshaping of multi-layer technology nested structure. Modern warfare needs to integrate technical systems at different levels and in different fields to form a highly coordinated and dynamically adaptive combat system to cope with the complex needs of informatization, intelligence and precision. The huge combat system urgently needs to evolve from a single function to a systematized and networked one. The core lies in breaking the boundaries of traditional military services and equipment technology and building a multi-dimensional linkage technology ecosystem. For example, the strategic early warning system requires three-dimensional networking of space satellites, ground radars, underwater sonars, etc., that is, integration and nesting from the physical layer; the global battlefield perception network requires real-time data of space-based surveillance, air early warning, and ground reconnaissance, that is, fusion and interaction from the information layer; the joint global command and control system needs to complete target identification, threat assessment and target allocation within seconds, that is, intelligent decision-making from the cognitive layer. These cross-domain communication integrations force the deep reconstruction of the technical architecture, which in turn triggers the transformation of military organizations and actions. Technological innovation drives tactical breakthroughs, promotes the iteration of equipment systems and the reshaping of military theory systems, which is the secret of the innovation mechanism of military theory.

Cross-domain knowledge integration and cognitive reconstruction. Modern warfare has broken through the Clausewitzian “trinity” framework and presents the characteristics of quantum entanglement-style full-dimensional confrontation. For example, the US military’s “mosaic warfare” theory integrates AI and biological nerves to construct a dynamic and reconfigurable killing network. This requires that military theory innovation must have the ability of cross-domain deconstruction and cognitive reconstruction. This integration and reconstruction is not a simple superposition of knowledge, but a new dimension of understanding of war and a metacognitive system through the “emergence effect”. This requires breaking down disciplinary barriers and traditional thinking frameworks, integrating advanced technologies such as communications, navigation, detection, and quantum on the basis of cybernetics, information theory, and systems theory, and forming a knowledge ecosystem with its internal logic that can couple new tactics, combat systems, and war forms.

Create an open source theoretical ecosystem and form a distributed innovation pattern

With the development of disruptive technologies such as artificial intelligence, brain-computer interfaces, and multi-dimensional information, the development of military theory has shown an era trend of diversified innovation. If we can activate the innovation potential with an open source ecosystem, we may be able to develop a different innovation model for military theory from the existing ones – one that maintains the traditional background of military theory while also having the technological sharpness of the intelligent era. Its core lies in stimulating innovation through an open ecosystem, diversified cooperation, and localization.

Shaping an open source ecosystem. Traditional military theory research is highly confidential and exclusive, and inevitably has information barriers, thinking limitations, and technical gaps, which can no longer meet the needs of war development. The superiority, vitality, and professionalism shown by the open source big model inspire the world. The open source military theory ecosystem can also build an advanced basic military theory base through a controllable open sharing ecosystem of theoretical frameworks, tactical deductions, and technical solutions under the support of a hierarchical collaboration system and blockchain technology, and then derive concrete military theory plug-ins for operational concept trees, scenario sets, and style groups in various fields. Its ecological connotation lies in breaking departmental boundaries, integrating military units, scientific research institutes, local universities, social think tanks, etc., and using supply and demand announcement platforms, war game deduction platforms, information interaction platforms, etc. to form a closed-loop feedback environment of “theoretical crowd creation” with multi-party participation. This distributed collaborative ecology can accelerate the formation of theoretical innovation and iteration through the interaction between nodes, and achieve sustainable development advantages in a complex internal and external environment.

Integration of military democracy. In the process of military theory innovation, through a professional and efficient collective collaboration mechanism, scattered cognitive resources are transformed into collective combat effectiveness, forming cross-domain and cross-weapon collaboration. Its success depends on three fulcrums: an open resource organization structure, an efficient knowledge management mechanism, and a deep integration of science and technology. This innovation model reshapes the production process of modern military theory: breaking the vertical, closed, and minority participation characteristics of traditional military theory innovation, and forming a collaborative paradigm that includes sharing and competitive participation of multiple subjects. This means that military theory innovation has entered a new stage of “collective wisdom + knowledge transfer”. The key is to release innovation potential through a military democracy mechanism, and to enhance the system resilience of theoretical innovation while ensuring military effectiveness. The ultimate goal is to form a theoretical system that can both guide its own military practice and contribute to human war cognition.

Highlight its own characteristics. The “two combinations” are the fundamental way to promote the theoretical innovation of the Party. To strengthen the innovation of military theory, we must insist on combining the basic principles of Marxism with the practice of building the people’s army and absorbing the essence of China’s excellent traditional military culture. We should focus on using the “arrow” of truth to shoot the “target” of military practice in the new era, and innovate and develop military theory in the process of creatively applying Marxism to analyze and deal with contemporary Chinese military issues. We should focus on extracting rich nutrition from China’s excellent traditional military culture, absorbing the war concepts, military wisdom, strategic thinking, military tactics and strategies contained therein, and giving military theory distinct Chinese characteristics, Chinese style and Chinese style. In particular, we should focus on deeply integrating the laws of modern warfare and the laws of war guidance, the essence of China’s excellent traditional military culture and China’s national conditions and military conditions, forming a military theory generation system with autonomy, adaptability and foresight, and constantly opening up new horizons for the development of our military’s military theory.(Editors: Dai Xiaoling, Wan Peng)

現代國語:

習主席強調指出,新時代新征程,世界百年變局加速演進,新軍事革命迅速發展,我國安全和發展需求深刻變化,實現強軍目標任務更加緊迫,必須全面加強軍事理論工作。加速形成具有時代性、引領性、獨特性的軍事理論體系,就要拓展思維視野,加強軍事理論創新,努力搶佔軍事理論創新制高點,奪得軍事理論競爭新優勢,進而在大國戰略博弈中掌握主動權。

立足戰爭時代特徵,重建多元式認知框架

自21世紀以來,隨著全球政治、經濟、文化、科技的發展,現代戰爭特徵發生了深刻變化,大國高端戰爭博弈下的體系對抗、空間疊加、多域混合特徵更加突出。戰爭形態向力量高度混散、資訊高度流動、行動高度協同的方向加速演進,亟需我們檢視軍事理論創新的時代動因。

戰爭形態演化的時代性。梳理傳統戰爭到現代戰爭的發展脈絡,對比分析後可以發現「結硬寨、打呆仗、群毆式」的單純原始形態已然走向多域戰、混合戰等多元高級形態,戰爭理念、作戰體系、戰法打法等均在持續發生演化,其時代動因是「技術底色決定逼成色,戰術創新技術革新」的戰術效應。在此背景下,未來戰爭將呈現「全域連動、智能主導、無人爭鋒」三大特徵,其本質上是一種非線性狀態突破,是一種戰爭哲學更新,更是一種超維力量博弈。背後推手是層出不窮的新型作戰概念,軍事理論創新必須直面全局對抗、混合競能與技術突進的複合挑戰,其核心在於建構能夠打破思維掣肘、實現跨域制勝的新型戰爭觀。

軍事理論博弈的先導性。大國博弈是一個長期過程,其中的武器裝備競賽是互相博弈的一種傳統路徑,而另一個新興賽道則是軍事理論競賽。首先,軍事理論是大國博弈的高層邏輯,先導式、伴隨式與跟進式軍事理論交替演進,為大國博弈提供了資源整合、演訓迭代和力量優化的藍圖指引,也為制約與破解對手能力提供了方法策略,可以加速軍事體系決勝的衝線趨勢。其次,隨著國際情勢、科技發展等方面的不斷變化,新矛盾、新問題、新目標、新威脅不斷湧現,戰爭和對抗的誘因、主體、形式、場景等方面將更為複雜多元和多域融合,其表現也更加充滿不確定和非線性。誰能認清未來戰爭形態樣式,誰能擁有豐富的作戰理念概念,誰能在國際博弈中佔據主動。

先進軍事理論的威懾性。先進軍事理論可以透過科學的理論設計,最大程度地統籌現有的戰爭資源,把戰爭潛力充分轉化為戰爭實力。所以,先進軍事理論既是能夠勝戰的戰鬥力,也是能夠懾戰的威懾力。例如,人民戰爭是我克敵制勝的法寶,已經得到戰爭實踐的證明。新中國成立後的相當長一段時間裡,帝國主義、霸權主義不敢對我國輕舉妄動,一個重要原因就是懼怕我人民戰爭的威力。近年來,戰爭形態向智能化加速演進,外軍新型作戰概念層出不窮,面對“寂靜戰場”上軍事理論創新的競爭,必須洞察智能化作戰理論新發展,審視智能化作戰概念層出不窮,面對“寂靜戰場”上軍事理論創新的競爭,必須洞察智能化作戰理論新發展,審視智能化作戰概念層出不窮,面對“寂靜戰場”上軍事理論創新的競爭,必須洞察智能化作戰理論新發展,審視智能化作戰樣式新變化,堅持“你打你的、我打我的”,既要擅長創造高級打法以優制工業理論,也要避實擊擊你的、我打我的”,既要擅長創造高級打法以優適能避實擊

促進跨域交流集成,解構多維式創新機理

現代戰爭突破陸海空天電網的界限,印證了多域聯動多維連結的必要性。而在此龐大的軍事甚至民用領域中聚優釋能、資訊整合、融合打擊,軍事理論創新必須整合科學技術通道、搭建戰略戰術研練平台,更需多維多域互通,從創新機理中去尋求突破。

戰場空間泛在多元重建。戰場空間重構的本質是科技文明對物理邊界的突破,也就是新科技發展到一定程度後,物理域、資訊域、社會域等將呈現重構形體。這種重建打破了傳統戰場的空間限制、時間維度,深入推動戰爭對抗從集中式、線性化的物理空間轉向多域融合、無界聯動的超維空間,由此帶來作戰要域無所不在、作戰要素無所不包、作戰力量無所不及,並將形成全新的作戰形態。這需要軍事理論從作戰體系、戰略戰術、節點要素等方面重新解構現代戰爭的立體性、多維性和連結性。特別是今後時期,政治、經濟、軍事、輿論等戰場空間的混合連動帶來的鬥爭來源多、領域廣、耦合強,軍事理論創新需深刻洞悉戰場空間內生髮育的內涵要義與本質特徵,以重構自主、靈活、彈性、閉環的作戰空間,凸顯聯動平衡的戰場生態機理。

多層技術嵌套結構重塑。現代戰爭需要透過整合不同層級、不同領域的技術系統,形成高度協同、動態適應的作戰體系,以因應資訊化、智慧化、精確化的複雜需求。龐大的作戰體系亟須將單一功能向體系化和網路化演變,其核心在於打破傳統軍兵種和裝備技術領域的界限,建構多維連動的技術生態。例如,戰略預警體系需要太空衛星、地面雷達、水下聲吶等立體組網,即從物理層整合嵌套;全局戰場感知網絡需要天基監視、空中預警、地面偵察的即時數據,即從資訊層融合交互;聯合全局指揮控制系統需要數秒內完成目標識別、威脅評估與目標分配,即從認知層智能決策。這些跨域交流整合倒逼技術架構的深度重構,由此引發軍事組織與行動破繭化蝶。技術創新驅動戰術突破,推動裝備體系迭代和軍事理論體系重塑,是軍事理論創新機制的奧秘所在。

跨域知識整合認知重建。現代戰爭突破克勞塞維茨式「三位一體」框架,呈現量子糾纏式的全維度對抗特質。如美軍「馬賽克戰」理論將AI與生物神經融合,架構動態可重建殺傷網。這要求軍事理論創新必須具備跨域解構與認知重建能力。這種整合與重建不是簡單的知識疊加,而是透過「湧現效應」產生新的戰爭理解維度與後設認知體系。這要求打破學科壁壘與傳統思維框架,在控制論、資訊理論、系統論基礎上,融合通訊、導航、偵測、量子等先進技術,以其內在邏輯形成能夠耦合新型戰術戰法、作戰體系、戰爭形態的知識生態系統。

打造開源理論生態,形成分散式創新格局

隨著人工智慧、腦機介面、多維度資訊等顛覆性技術發展,軍事理論發展呈現多元創新的時代趨勢。若能以開源生態活化創新潛力,或可走出一條不同於既有的軍事理論創新模式──既保持軍事理論傳統底色,又兼具智慧化時代的科技銳度,其核心在於從開放生態、多元合作和本土化路徑中去激發創新。

塑造開源生態。傳統軍事理論研究多具有高度保密性與排他性,也不可避免地存在資訊障礙、思考限制和技術鴻溝,已無法滿足戰爭發展需求。開源大模型顯示出的超群性、生命性、專業性給世人以啟發,開源軍事理論生態亦可在分級協作體系與區塊鏈技術的支撐下,透過理論架構、戰術推演、技術方案的可控式開放共享生態,建構一個先進的基本軍事理論基座,再衍生出各領域作戰概念樹、場景集、具象化的場景具象集。其生態內涵在於打破部門邊界,整合軍事單位、科研院所、地方高校、社會智庫等,利用供求揭榜平台、兵棋推演平台、資訊互動平台等,形成多方參與的「理論眾創」閉環回饋環境。這種分散式協作生態,可透過節點間的互動加速形成理論創新迭代合力,在複雜的內外環境中實現永續發展優勢。

融合軍事民主。在軍事理論創新過程中,透過專業、高效率的集體協作機制,將分散的認知資源轉化為集體戰鬥力,形成跨領域、跨武器協同。其成功依賴三個支點:開放的資源組織架構、高效率的知識管理機制,以及深度的理技融合。這種創新模式重塑了現代軍事理論生產流程:打破傳統軍事理論創新的垂直化、封閉化、少數化的參與特徵,形成包容多元主體共享與競爭參與的協作典範。這意味著軍事理論創新進入「集體智慧+知識遷移」的新階段,其關鍵是透過軍事民主機制釋放創新潛能,在確保軍事效能的同時提升理論創新的體系韌性。最終目的是形成既能引導自身軍事實踐,也能貢獻於人類戰爭認知的理論體系。

突顯自身特色。 「兩個結合」是推動黨的理論創新的根本途徑。加強軍事理論創新就要堅持把馬克思主義基本原理同人民軍隊建設實踐結合,汲取中華優秀傳統軍事文化精華。注重以真理之“矢”去射新時代軍事實踐之“的”,在創造性運用馬克思主義分析和處理當代中國軍事問題的過程中創新發展軍事理論。注重從中華優秀傳統軍事文化中萃取豐富營養,汲取蘊含其中的戰爭觀念、治軍智慧、戰略思想、兵法謀略等,賦予軍事理論鮮明的中國特色、中國風格、中國氣派。特別是注重將現代戰爭規律與戰爭指導規律、中華優秀傳統軍事文化精華與中國國情軍情深度融合,形成具有自主性、適應性和前瞻性的軍事理論生成體系,不斷開闢我軍軍事理論發展新境界。

(編按:代曉靈、萬鵬)

中國原創軍事資源:http://theory.people.com.cn/n1/2025/0529/c40531-40490232888.html

China’s New Trends in the Transformation of Military Organization in the Era of Intelligence

情報時代中國軍隊組織變革新趨勢

現代英語:

In the era of intelligence, new scenarios and new forms such as digital twins and “human-machine intelligence” have emerged in large numbers and have been deeply applied in the military field, giving rise to a comprehensive upgrade of the war form. This upgrade is mainly manifested in the integration of combat forces, the operation mode of battlefield energy, and the dominant factors in the generation and release of combat power. Facing intelligent warfare, the organizational form of the military has accelerated its transformation and presented a new development trend.

Generate new system emergence

System science believes that when several interacting parts form a system in a certain way, they can produce new overall characteristics such as properties, characteristics, behaviors, functions, etc. that only the system as a whole has, but not the parts or the sum of the parts; and once the system is reduced to unrelated parts, these new overall characteristics will no longer exist. This characteristic that only the whole has, but the isolated parts and their sum do not have, is the overall emergence. In the confrontation of military systems in the intelligent era, emergence is mainly presented in two ways: one is the formation of swarm intelligence. That is, a single low-intelligence, relying on the group to form a high-intelligence collective behavior. This phenomenon is produced in a self-organized way after each individual in the system obeys local rules and continuously interacts. In recent years, supported by artificial intelligence technology, swarm intelligence has developed rapidly. In the military field, drone “swarm” tactics and unmanned boat “school of fish” tactics are typical applications in this regard. Another way is to form “human-machine” advanced intelligence. That is, through the effective combination and reliable operation of man and machine, a higher level of intelligence based on the “man-machine” combination is formed. This is a new intelligence that is higher than human intelligence, robots, and artificial intelligence.

In fact, the emergence phenomenon is not uncommon in human military activities, especially in military organizations with clear and stable operating rules and a strong sense of common goals and beliefs. An army with a highly consistent collective identity can play a reliable role in mutual support and self-organization and self-coordination in combat operations, and then burst out with new capabilities that far exceed the sum of the individual capabilities within the organization. Entering the era of intelligence, the system’s emergence has taken on new forms and connotations. An important trend in the transformation of the military’s organizational form is to promote the realization of highly autonomous “man-machine” collaboration by improving functional elements and setting up scientific structures, so that the entire system can burst out with new functions that are not possessed by the accumulation of elements.

Forming new intelligent bonding force

The prominent feature of information warfare is the formation of “information structural power”. That is, due to the embedding of information platforms, the information chain movement based on information systems, data chains, and sensors has broken the originally closed and separated state between combat elements, allowing the military system to form a new structure and trigger a nonlinear leap in combat power. On the information battlefield, people and weapons, weapons and weapons, people and platforms, etc., all rely on information systems to establish effective connections to achieve efficient flow of data and information. The effectiveness of commanders in investigating the situation and judging the enemy has been greatly improved, and the realization method and iteration rhythm of command intentions have undergone a qualitative leap. This revolution in the interactive method from sensors to shooters is ultimately reflected in the overall upgrade of the combat power of the military system and combat system.

Entering the era of intelligence, the connotation of “information structural power” has undergone a fundamental change. Based on the widespread use of artificial intelligence technologies such as big data and big models, problems such as “information redundancy” and “decision-making delays” that have troubled commanders in the information age have been alleviated. The “cloud brain” decision-making and planning, the “human-machine” coordination of command and control, and the automation of action coordination have made the overall intelligence of the entire combat system higher. The reason why new models and methods such as “autonomous decision-making”, “order-based coordination” and “unmanned strikes” can be realized is the result of “wisdom” empowerment on the intelligent battlefield. The effective “glue” from the integration of several unit intelligent agents into a consensus-based, large-scale comprehensive intelligent agent is a higher level of intelligent bonding. To accelerate the transformation of the military’s organizational structure, we must establish scientific working and driving mechanisms on the basis of improving its structure and functions, build an autonomous, intelligent and efficient system link, allow the vitality of all combat power elements to compete and burst forth, and allow all sources of the military’s modernization to flow fully.

Reflecting the overall new quality of combat capability

New-quality combat power is a brand-new combat capability that is fundamentally supported by new-quality combat forces and is different from traditional combat capabilities in terms of mechanism, logic, and generation method. Therefore, simply designating a certain type of force as a new-quality force does not necessarily lead to the formation of new-quality combat capabilities. Just like using rifles as cold weapons, large combat platforms as vehicles, and network forces for attacking and defending cities, although from the external appearance, the elements of combat force composition and personnel ratios have changed greatly, the way people interact with weapons, the way weapons are used, and the way unit combat power is generated and released have not changed in essence, and they are far from being called new-quality combat power.

New quality combat power comes from the new combat capability of new combat forces, from the effective integration of a series of new combat capabilities, and from the new capabilities generated by the integration and innovation of new capabilities. Whether comprehensive and systematic new quality combat power can be generated is an important criterion for judging whether the modernization of organizational form for intelligent warfare is effective. To accelerate the transformation of the organizational form of the military, it is necessary to generate new “information structure power” within the military system through the optimization of system structure, operation mechanism, and energy form, and then use it to emerge a new and revolutionary system combat power.

Give full play to the structural frame support

Structure determines function. In engineering structures, the structural framework mainly refers to the key support for the balance of the beam-column system and the stability of the structure. This concept is transferred to organizational form management, and is mainly used to describe the link relationship and the action space for the effective interaction of various elements in the military organization. To give full play to the structural framework support of the organizational form involves two aspects: static support and dynamic support. The so-called static support is to focus on forming a scientific military organization force structure and to set up a scientific military organization structural framework as much as possible. It involves the scientific configuration of various elements in the combat power system, which is specifically manifested in three aspects. The first is the ratio of combat elements and force units. For example, the composition ratio of the military services in the combat system, or the ratio of military services, the ratio of offense and defense, the ratio of personnel and equipment, etc. The second is the distribution of combat elements and force units. It mainly refers to the scientific deployment of combat forces on the battlefield, the distribution and configuration of various combat elements within the troops, and the evolution and development of the battlefield situation. The third is the hierarchical setting and morphological design of the system. Including the hierarchy of the army, the level of integration, the command system, the command method, etc. Dynamic support emphasizes that the structural support of an organization is also a specific organizational operational capability, including the ability of the military organization to operate efficiently and exert its effectiveness under the established configuration framework, and also the ability of the organization to quickly adapt and respond to changes in the external environment and adjustments in internal needs. This capability is more reflected in the macro governance structure, business process system, talent team and resources of the military organization. To accelerate the transformation of the military organization’s form, it is necessary to lay the foundation for the effective interaction of various elements in the organization and the realization of organizational functions by building a scientific and reasonable framework structure.

Improve autonomous iterative growth

Autonomous iterative growth capability refers to the ability of military organizations to achieve orderly development and active growth through active and continuous self-adjustment and optimization in the face of ever-changing war situations, external environments, and competitive pressures. The diversity and integration of combat power, the sequentiality and integration of combat power generation, and the jointness and nonlinearity of combat power release all put forward new and higher requirements for the autonomous iterative growth capability of military organizations. First, we must have a keen ability to perceive the environment. We must be able to detect defects or shortcomings in a timely manner, accurately judge the problems and risks that may result, and scientifically determine the timing and methods of intervention; second, we must have reliable innovation and correction capabilities. The ability to face problems with an open mind, analyze problems with effective mechanisms, and study problems with innovative ideas, and then propose feasible, reliable and highly consensus-based correction plans; third, the ability to execute efficiently. The ability to achieve the specific goals of evolutionary correction with full enthusiasm and high consensus, and to promote growth and optimization with a proactive attitude, so that each individual can implement with full trust when facing innovative and revolutionary adjustments. Facing the future intelligent warfare, promoting the transformation of the military organization is to focus on improving the iterative growth capability of the military organization. In the whole process of promoting the construction of institutional mechanisms, force structures and legal systems, we should simultaneously think about building a scientific consultation and evaluation mechanism for major decisions, building a sound supervision, feedback and correction mechanism, forming a benign innovation incentive mechanism, and promptly dealing with key and difficult issues with a dynamic perspective and a development vision.

In short, the transformation of the military organization is a process of adapting to the development of technology, following the development of the war form, actively optimizing and innovating the combat power form, and constantly liberating and developing combat power. The advanced military organization form should include static contents such as “appearance” and “structure”, and on this basis, it should effectively streamline business processes, improve operating mechanisms, and stimulate organizational dynamics, so that the military organization can achieve comprehensive transformation and transformation in terms of structure, mechanism, function, etc., and fully adapt to the requirements of the era of future intelligent warfare.

(Author’s unit: College of Military Management, National Defense University)

Source: China Military Network – People’s Liberation Army Daily Author: Zhou Hui Editor: Sun Zhiying Release: 2024-06-18 07:xx:xx

現代國語:

智能化時代,數字孿生、“人-機智能”等新場景新樣態大量出現並在軍事領域深度應用,催生戰爭形態全面升級。這一升級,集中表現為作戰力量整合方式、戰場能量運行模式,以及戰斗力生成和釋放的主導要素都在發生全新變化。面向智能化戰爭,軍隊組織形態加快變革轉型,呈現出全新的發展態勢。

生成新的體系湧現力

系統科學認為,相互作用的若干部分按照某種方式組成系統,能夠產生出只有系統整體才具有而部分或部分總和所不具有的屬性、特征、行為、功能等新的整體特性;而一旦把系統還原為互不相干的各個部分,這些新的整體特性就不復存在。這種整體才具有、孤立的部分及其總和不具有的特征,就是整體湧現性。智能化時代的軍事體系對抗,湧現性主要通過兩種方式呈現:一種方式是形成集群智能。即單個低智能,依托群體形成高智能的集體行為。這一現象通過系統中每個個體都遵從局部規則並不斷進行交互之後,以自組織的方式產生出來。近年來,在人工智能技術的支撐下,集群智能迅速發展。在軍事領域,無人機“蜂群”戰術、無人艇“魚群”戰術等,便是這方面的典型應用。另一種方式是形成“人-機”高級智能。也就是通過人與機器的有效結合、可靠運行,形成基於“人-機”組合的更高級智能。這是一種既高於人類智能,也超過機器人、人工智能的全新智能。

其實,湧現現象在人類軍事活動中並不鮮見,特別是在運行規則明確且穩定,共同目標感、信念感非常強烈的軍事組織之中,體現得更加明顯。集體認同高度一致的軍隊,能在作戰行動中發揮出可靠的互補支撐和自組織自協同作用,進而爆發出遠超過組織內個體能力之和的全新能力。進入智能化時代,體系湧現力有了新的形式和內涵,軍隊組織形態變革的重要趨勢,就是要通過完善功能要素、設置科學結構,促進實現“人-機”高度自主協同,使整個體系爆發出要素累加所不具備的全新功能。

形成新的智能黏合力

信息化戰爭的顯著特征,是形成了“信息結構力”。即由於信息平台的嵌入,基於信息系統、數據鏈、傳感器的信息鏈式運動,打破了作戰要素之間原本封閉、割裂的狀態,使軍事系統形成新的結構,引發戰斗力的非線性躍升。信息化戰場上,人與武器、武器與武器、人與平台等,都依托信息系統建立有效連接,實現數據信息的高效流轉。指揮人員查情判敵的有效性大大提升,指揮意圖的實現方式和迭代節奏發生了質的飛躍,這種從傳感器到射手的交互方式革命,最終體現為軍事體系和作戰系統的戰斗力整體升級。

進入智能化時代,“信息結構力”的內涵發生了本質變化。基於大數據、大模型等人工智能技術的廣泛運用,信息化時代困擾指揮員的“信息冗余”“決策延遲”等問題得以緩解。決策籌劃“雲腦”化、指揮控制“人-機”協同化、行動協調自動化,使得整個作戰體系的綜合智能化程度更高。“自主化決策”“接單式協同”“無人化打擊”等新模式新方式之所以能夠實現,正是智能化戰場上“智慧”賦能的結果。而從若干個單元智能體融合集成為一個有共識的、龐大的綜合智能體,其有效“黏合劑”就是更高級的智能黏合力。加快推進軍隊組織形態變革,就是要在完善結構和功能的基礎上,設置科學的工作機制和動力機制,構建自主智能高效的系統鏈接,讓一切戰斗力要素的活力競相迸發,讓一切軍隊現代化建設的源泉充分湧流。

體現整體新質戰斗力

新質戰斗力是以新質作戰力量為基本支撐,從機理上、邏輯上、生成方式上都不同於傳統作戰能力的全新作戰能力。因此,僅憑人為指定某類型部隊為新質力量,並不會必然形成新質作戰能力。如同將線膛槍僅當作冷兵器、將大型作戰平台僅當作運載工具、將網絡部隊用於攻城守地,雖然從外在表象上看,作戰力量組成要素、人員比例都有了大的變化,但人與武器的交互方式、武器運用方式、單元戰斗力生成和釋放方式都沒有發生本質改變,都遠不能稱之為新質戰斗力。

新質戰斗力來源於新型作戰力量的新型作戰能力,來源於一系列新型作戰能力的有效集成,來源於新能力融合創新之上生成的全新能力。能否生成綜合性的、體系化的新質戰斗力,是面向智能化戰爭進行組織形態現代化建設是否有效的重要判斷標准。加快推進軍隊組織形態變革,就是要通過體系結構優化、運行機制優化、能量形式優化,在軍事系統內生成新的“信息結構力”,進而借助它湧現出全新的、具有革命性的體系戰斗力。

發揮構型框架支撐力

結構決定功能。構型框架,在工程結構學中主要指建築物梁柱系統平衡和結構穩定的關鍵支撐;將這一概念遷移至組織形態管理中,主要用以描述軍隊組織中各要素賴以有效互動的鏈接關系和鏈接關系賴以存在的作用空間。發揮組織形態的構型框架支撐力,涉及靜態支撐力和動態支撐力兩個方面。所謂靜態支撐力,就是著眼形成科學的軍隊組織力量結構,盡可能設置科學的軍隊組織構型框架,涉及戰斗力體系中各要素的科學配置問題,具體表現在三個方面。一是作戰要素和力量單元的比例。比如,軍兵種在作戰體系中的構成比例,或者軍種內部的兵種比例、攻防比例、人裝比例等。二是作戰要素和力量單元的分布。主要是作戰力量在戰場的科學部署,部隊內部各種作戰要素的分布配置情況,以及戰場態勢的演進發展等。三是系統的層次設置與形態設計。包括軍隊的層級、一體化水平、指揮體制、指揮方式等。而動態支撐力,則強調組織的結構支撐力也是一種具體的組織運行能力,包括軍隊組織在既定的構型框架之下能夠高效運行、發揮效能的能力,也包括組織在面對外部環境變化和內部需求調整時能夠快速適應和應對的能力。這種能力更多體現在軍隊組織的宏觀治理結構、業務流程制度、人才隊伍和資源等方面。加快推進軍隊組織形態變革,就是要通過構建科學合理的框架結構,為組織中各個要素有效互動進而實現組織功能奠定基礎。

提升自主迭代生長力

自主迭代生長能力,是軍隊組織在面對不斷變化的戰爭形態、外部環境和競爭壓力時,能夠通過主動的、持續的自我調整和優化,實現有序發展和主動成長的能力。戰斗力構成的多樣化、集成性,戰斗力生成的時序性、融合性,戰斗力釋放的聯合性、非線性,都對軍隊組織的自主迭代生長能力提出了新的更高要求。一是要有敏銳的環境感知能力。能夠及時察覺缺陷或弊端,准確研判可能導致的問題和風險,科學確定介入的時機和方式;二是要有可靠的創新糾偏能力。能夠以開放的心態正視問題,有效的機制解析問題,創新的思路研透問題,進而提出可行可靠且有高度共識的糾偏方案;三是要有高效的執行力。能夠以飽滿的熱情和高度的共識達成進化糾偏的具體目標,以積極主動的心態促進生長和優化,使得每個個體在面對革新性、革命性調整時,能夠飽含信任地貫徹執行。面向未來智能化戰爭,推進軍隊組織形態變革,就是要著眼提升軍隊組織的迭代生長能力,在推進體制機制、力量結構和法規制度建設的全過程中,同步思考構建科學的重大決策咨詢評估機制,構建完善的監督反饋糾偏機制,形成良性的創新激勵機制,以動態的視角、發展的眼光及時處理重難點問題。

總之,軍隊組織形態變革是適應技術發展變化、順應戰爭形態發展,主動優化革新戰斗力形態,不斷解放和發展戰斗力的過程。先進的軍隊組織形態既要包括“外形”“結構”等靜態內容,還應在此基礎之上,切實理順業務流程、完善運行機制、激發組織動力,進而使軍隊組織從結構、機制、機能等各方面全面實現變革轉型,全面適應未來智能化戰爭的時代要求。

(作者單位:國防大學軍事管理學院)

資料來源:中國軍網-解放軍報 作者:週暉 編輯:孫志英 發布:2024-06-18 07:xx:xx

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/yw_208727/16316517888.html

China’s “Deep technology” Brings New Forms of Warfare

中國的「深度技術」帶來新的戰爭形式

現代英語:

China Military Network Ministry of National Defense Network

Friday , August 13, 2021

Since the 21st century, global scientific and technological innovation has entered an unprecedented period of intensive activity. A new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation is reshaping the global innovation landscape and reshaping the global economic structure. Some people therefore call the current era the era of “deep technology”.

The military field is the most sensitive to technological change. At present, some major disruptive technologies are constantly emerging, showing a trend of cross-integration and group leaps. Their military applications will bring about sudden and revolutionary consequences, and even bring about a new form of war.

Artificial Intelligence: Opening the Door to Intelligent Warfare

Artificial intelligence was born in 1956. Its essence is to simulate the human thinking process, that is, to make machines understand, think and learn like humans, form experience, and generate a series of corresponding judgments and processing methods. In the past 10 years, with the continuous development of new theories and technologies such as big data, neural networks, and deep learning, artificial intelligence has pressed the fast-forward button and started to develop rapidly, bringing fundamental changes to all areas of human society.

In 2016, the artificial intelligence program AlphaGo defeated the world Go champion Lee Sedol. By 2020, the latest algorithmic programs can teach themselves to play Go, chess and other games without even being told the rules of the game.

As a strategic technology leading a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation, the application of artificial intelligence in the military field has accelerated the transformation of warfare from informationization to intelligence. This transformation will be full-dimensional and full-spectrum, involving almost all links in the military chain. The most prominent impacts basically include the following aspects:

——Assisting unmanned combat. The rapid development of artificial intelligence will greatly enhance the collaborative and autonomous combat capabilities of various unmanned combat systems. This will undoubtedly promote structural changes in the composition of combat forces, and unmanned combat mode will gradually become the “main theme” of war. In a simulated confrontation in August 2020, an intelligent system funded by the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency controlled a fighter jet and defeated experienced air force pilots. The trend of unmanned combat seems to be increasingly unstoppable.

——Reshape command and control. Complex adaptive systems supported by artificial intelligence, such as swarm systems, will have increasingly strong self-organizing capabilities, thereby breaking the traditional strict hierarchical command system and incubating a new command and control model. The action control of a swarm composed of thousands of unmanned systems will be completed by an intelligent and efficient algorithm system, which can achieve a high degree of decentralization and dynamic aggregation, demonstrating a new concept of group intelligent combat.

——Achieve intelligent decision-making. That is, generate intelligent evaluation and auxiliary decision-making capabilities, realize automatic generation, dynamic optimization, and real-time adjustment of combat plans, and enable combat planning to flexibly adapt to changes in the mission environment and battlefield uncertainties. At present, the new generation of artificial intelligence technology is in a stage of vigorous development, and new technologies will continue to emerge.

Quantum technology: writing the winning code in “entanglement”

Quantum is the smallest, indivisible unit of energy. The biggest feature of quantum technology is that it can break through the physical limits of existing information technology, play a huge role in information processing speed, information capacity, information security, information detection accuracy, etc., and thus significantly improve human ability to obtain, transmit and process information, providing strong impetus for the evolution and development of the future information society.

Quantum theory has gone through more than a hundred years of development since its birth. The development of quantum technology has directly given rise to modern information technology. Nuclear energy, semiconductor transistors, lasers, nuclear magnetic resonance, high-temperature superconducting materials, etc. have come into being, changing human production and life. In recent years, the continuous combination of quantum mechanics and information technology will usher in a new quantum technology revolution, impacting the traditional technology system and even causing the reconstruction of the traditional technology system.

Compared with the macroscopic physical world, quantum has many wonderful properties, the most representative of which are quantum superposition and quantum entanglement. Quantum superposition means that a quantum can be in different states at the same time, and can be in a superposition of these states. A vivid metaphor is the cat in a state of “both dead and alive” imagined by physicist Schrödinger. Quantum entanglement means that independent particles can be completely “entangled” together. No matter how far apart they are, when the state of one quantum changes, the other will change accordingly like “telepathy”.

These special properties of quantum contain great military potential. In quantum detection, quantum communication, quantum imaging, quantum computing, etc., they are gradually showing great military application value. For example, by taking advantage of the characteristics of quantum state superposition and the inability to accurately copy unknown quantum states, quantum codes that cannot be deciphered can be developed.

In addition, based on the characteristics of quantum entanglement, the high correlation between two microscopic particles with a common source can be utilized, and entangled photons can be used as light sources to achieve quantum imaging, which can greatly improve the resolution and anti-interference ability of imaging.

Gene technology: a new weapon that can be “edited”

Genes are the genetic information that controls various characteristics of organisms and are known as the “master switch” of various life activities of organisms. Gene editing is equivalent to a pair of “gene scissors”, which can accurately achieve gene “modification” such as insertion, removal, and replacement of specific target genes of organisms, thereby achieving control over the genetic information of organisms.

In 2012, researchers from the United States and Sweden found a very effective pair of “gene scissors”, namely the CRISPR/Cas9 system, which can cut any genome at any desired location. Since then, the development of gene editing technology has achieved unprecedented “acceleration”, realizing gene editing of fruit flies, mice, pigs, sheep, rice, wheat and other organisms, and also providing new medical means for treating diseases such as tumors, AIDS, and thalassemia.

While genetic technology is gradually unlocking the mysteries of life, it will also cause unpredictable military security issues. If gene editing is used in the development of biological weapons, it means that developers can modify genes to obtain new pathogenic microorganisms according to their own needs, or implant biological gene fragments with different characteristics and transform existing biological warfare agents, or even artificially design and synthesize new viruses that do not exist in nature. These may produce new biological weapons that humans cannot prevent and control, and even use the precision of genetic technology to make attacks more targeted. This new coronavirus epidemic has made the world suspicious of Fort Detrick and more than 200 American overseas biological experimental bases. The United States should disclose more facts and give an explanation to the international community.

Brain science: heading towards the battlefield of “brain control”

The human brain is a highly complex information processing system that consists of billions of neurons that communicate with each other and complete a variety of cognitive tasks in an overall coordinated manner.

The brain’s complex neural information processing and cognition are so complex that even supercomputers pale in comparison. Therefore, brain science research is regarded as the “ultimate frontier” of natural science research, and the International Brain Research Organization believes that the 21st century is the “era of brain science.”

In recent years, major countries in the world have announced the launch of brain science research programs. With the emergence of new imaging technologies, convergence technologies, and computing and information communication technology platforms, brain science research has made new breakthroughs in the fields of neural circuits, brain-like intelligence, and brain-computer interfaces.

As a branch of cognitive science, the “brain-computer interface” technology was born in the 1970s. It collects the EEG signals generated by the activity of the cerebral cortex nervous system, and converts them into signals that can be recognized by computers through methods such as amplification and filtering, so that external devices can read the brain’s neural signals, identify people’s true intentions, and achieve effective control of external physical devices. In other words, a certain operation is performed by the human brain without the need to complete it through the body.

As a new type of human-computer interaction, brain-computer interface technology provides a new intelligent development direction for the control of weapons and equipment. Realizing the direct control of weapons and equipment by the human brain and giving them the intelligent features of “moving at will” are becoming the goals pursued by Western military powers. In 2013, the US Department of Defense disclosed a research project called “Avatar”, which plans to control remote “machine warriors” through thoughts in the future to replace soldiers in the battlefield and carry out various combat tasks.

If the above research is regarded as “brain control”, then the use of “brain-computer interface” and other technical means to interfere with, destroy or even control people’s neural activities and thinking abilities is the so-called “brain control”. For example, electromagnetic waves and sound waves are used to affect the normal activities of human brain cells, and even suggestions and commands are directly “projected” into the human brain. In March 2018, a Western country proposed the “Next Generation Non-Invasive Neurotechnology (N3)” plan to develop a new generation of non-invasive two-way brain-computer interfaces to further improve the high-level interaction capabilities of soldiers and weapons and equipment.

In the future, the rapid development of brain science will give rise to a new cognitive domain combat model centered on the brain, and “brain control” will also become a new battlefield for the competition in the cognitive domain.

At present, a new round of scientific and technological revolution and military revolution is in a “qualitative change period”. Science and technology have never had such a profound impact on national security and military strategy as today. In the face of the rapid development of science and technology, we must vigorously enhance our scientific and technological cognition and acumen, strive to seize the commanding heights of science and technology, seek military competitive advantages, and seize the initiative in future wars.

Professor Liu Yangyue from the College of Arts and Sciences at the National University of Defense Technology 

現代國語:

中國軍網 國防部網
2021年8月13日 星期五

國防科技大學文理學院劉揚月教授

21世紀以來,全球科技創新進入空前密集活躍期,新一輪科技革命與產業變革,重建全球創新版圖、重塑全球經濟結構。有人因而將當今時代稱為「深度科技化」時代。

軍事領域是對科技變革最敏感的領域。目前,一些重大顛覆性技術不斷湧現,呈現交叉融合、群體躍進之勢,其軍事應用將會帶來突變性、革命性後果,甚至帶來戰爭新形態。

人工智慧:叩開智慧化戰爭之門

人工智慧誕生於1956年,它的實質是模擬人的思考過程,即讓機器像人一樣理解、思考和學習,形成經驗,並產生一系列相應的判斷與處理方式。近10年來,隨著大數據、神經網路、深度學習等新理論新技術不斷發展,人工智慧按下了快進鍵,開始飛速發展並為人類社會各領域帶來根本性改變。

2016年,人工智慧程式「阿爾法狗」擊敗了世界圍棋冠軍李世石。到了2020年,最新演算法程式甚至不需要被告知遊戲規則,就能自學成才,掌握下圍棋、西洋棋等技藝。

作為引領新一輪科技革命和產業變革的戰略性技術,人工智慧應用於軍事領域,使戰爭形態加速由資訊化轉變為智慧化。這項轉變將是全維度、全圖譜的,幾乎涉及軍事鏈的所有環節。最突出的影響基本上包括以下幾個方面:

——助力無人作戰。人工智慧的快速發展,將極大提升各類無人作戰系統的協同作戰、自主作戰能力。這無疑會推動作戰力量組成發生結構性變化,無人化作戰模式將逐步成為戰爭「主旋律」。在2020年8月的一場模擬對抗中,美國國防高級研究計畫局資助的智慧系統操縱戰機,完勝經驗豐富的空軍飛行員,無人作戰趨勢似乎愈發勢不可擋。

——重塑指揮控制。由人工智慧支撐的複雜自適應系統,如蜂群系統,將具備越來越強的自組織能力,從而打破傳統的嚴格層級的指揮體制,孵化出全新的指揮控制模式。由成千上萬個無人系統組成的蜂群,其行動控制將由智慧高效的演算法系統完成,能實現高度去中心化與動態聚合,展現出群體智慧作戰新概念。

——實現智能決策。即產生智慧化的評估和輔助決策能力,實現作戰方案計畫的自動生成、動態優化、即時調整,使作戰規劃靈活適應任務環境變化和戰場不確定性。目前,新一代人工智慧技術正處於蓬勃興起階段,新技術仍將持續出現。

量子技術:在「糾纏」中書寫制勝密碼

量子是最小的、不可再分割的能量單位。量子科技最大特點在於,它可以突破現有資訊科技的物理極限,在資訊處理速度、資訊容量、資訊安全、資訊偵測精準度等方面發揮極大作用,進而顯著提升人類獲取、傳輸和處理資訊的能力,為未來資訊社會的演進和發展提供強勁動力。

量子理論從誕生至今,已走過數百年發展歷程,量子科技的發展直接催生了現代資訊技術,核能、半導體電晶體、雷射、核磁共振、高溫超導材料等紛紛問世,改變了人類的生產生活。近年來,量子力學與資訊科技不斷結合,將開啟一場新的量子科技革命,衝擊著傳統科技體系,甚至引起傳統科技體系的重建。

相對於宏觀物理世界,量子有許多奇妙特性,最具代表性的莫過於量子疊加與量子糾纏。量子疊加意味著量子可同時處於不同狀態,且可處於這些狀態的疊加態。形象的比喻就是,物理學家薛丁格所設想的處於「既死又活」狀態的貓。量子糾纏則意味著相互獨立的粒子可以完全「糾纏」在一起,無論相隔多麼遙遠,當一個量子的狀態發生變化,另一個就會「心靈感應」般發生相應變化。

量子的這些特殊性,蘊藏著極大的軍事潛能。在量子探測、量子通訊、量子成像、量子計算等方面,正逐漸展現出巨大的軍事應用價值。如利用量子態疊加與未知量子態無法精確複製等特點,可研發出無法破解的量子密碼。

此外,根據量子的糾纏特性,利用兩個有共同來源的微觀粒子高度關聯性,將糾纏的光子作為光源實現量子成像,可大幅提升成像的解析度和抗干擾性。

基因技術:可以「編輯」的新武器

基因是控制生物各種特徵的遺傳訊息,被譽為生物體各種生命活動的「總開關」。基因編輯就相當於一把“基因剪刀”,透過它可精確實現對生物體特定目標基因的插入、移除、替換等基因“修飾”,從而實現對生物遺傳訊息的控制。

2012年,美國和瑞典的研究人員找到一把十分有效的“基因剪刀”,即使用CRISPR/Cas9系統,可在任何想要的地方切割任何基因組。此後,基因編輯技術發展獲得前所未有的“加速”,實現了對果蠅、鼠、豬、羊以及水稻、小麥等各類生物的基因編輯,也為治療腫瘤、愛滋病、地中海貧血等疾病提供了新的醫學手段。

基因技術在逐漸破解生命奧秘的同時,也將引發難以預料的軍事安全問題。如將基因編輯運用於生物武器的開發上,那就意味著開發者可根據自己的需要,修改基因獲得新的致病微生物,或是將具有不同特徵的生物基因片段植入並改造已有的生物戰劑,甚至人工設計與合成自然界本不存在的新型病毒。這些都可能產生人類無法預防和控制的新生物武器,甚至利用基因技術的精準性,使得攻擊更具針對性。這次新冠肺炎疫情,讓世界對美國德特里克堡以及200多個美國海外生物實驗基地疑雲叢生,美國應該公開更多事實,給國際社會一個交代。

腦科學:走向「制腦」戰場

人的大腦是一個高度複雜的訊息處理系統,它由數十億神經元透過相互連結來進行訊息交流,以整體協調的方式完成各種各樣的認知任務。

大腦複雜的神經訊息處理與認知,即便是超級電腦也相形見絀。因此,腦科學研究被視為自然科學研究的“終極疆域”,國際腦研究組織認為21世紀是“腦科學時代”。

近年來,世界主要國家紛紛宣布啟動腦科學研究計畫。隨著新型影像技術、匯聚技術以及基於計算和資訊通信技術平台的出現,腦科學研究在神經環路、類腦智能、腦機介面等領域不斷取得新突破。

作為認知科學的一個分支,「腦機介面」技術誕生於1970年代。它透過擷取大腦皮質神經系統活動產生的腦電訊號,經過放大、濾波等方法,將其轉化為可被電腦辨識的訊號,讓外部設備讀懂大腦的神經訊號,從中辨別出人的真實意圖,實現對外部實體設備的有效控制。也就是由人腦思考執行某項操作,而不需要透過肢體來完成。

腦機介面技術作為一種新型的人機互動方式,為武器裝備操控提供了全新的智慧化發展方向。實現人腦對武器裝備的直接控制,賦予武器裝備「隨心所欲」的智慧化特徵,正成為西方軍事強國追求的目標。 2013年,美國防部披露了一項名為“阿凡達”的研究項目,計劃在未來能通過意念操控遠程的“機器戰士”,以代替士兵在戰場上作戰,遂行各種戰鬥任務。

如果把上述研究視為“腦控”,那麼,利用“腦機介面”等技術手段對人的神經活動、思考能力等進行幹擾、破壞甚至控制,就是所謂的“控腦”。如使用電磁波和聲波等對人類腦細胞正常活動產生影響,甚至把建議和命令直接「投射」到人腦中。 2018年3月,某西方國家提出「下一代非侵入性神經技術(N3)」計劃,開發新一代非侵入式雙向腦機接口,進一步提高士兵與武器裝備的高水平交互能力。

未來,腦科學的快速發展,將催生以大腦為中心的認知域作戰新模式,「控腦」也將成為認知域爭奪的新陣地。

目前,新一輪科技革命、軍事革命正處於“質變期”,科技從未像今天這樣深刻影響國家安全和軍事戰略全局。面對快速發展的科學技術,必須大力增強科技認知力和敏銳性,努力搶佔科技制高點,謀取軍事競爭優勢,掌握未來戰爭的主動權。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/2021-08/13/content_296410888.htm

Chinese Military to Utilize Artificial Intelligence Empowering Cognitive Confrontation Success on the Modern Battlefield

中國軍隊將利用人工智慧增強現代戰場認知對抗的成功

現代英語:

With the advent of the “smart +” era, artificial intelligence is widely used in the military field, and conventional warfare in physical space and cognitive confrontation in virtual space are accelerating integration. Deeply tapping the potential of artificial intelligence to empower cognitive confrontation is of great significance to improving the efficiency of cross-domain resource matching and controlling the initiative in future operations.

Data mining expands the boundaries of experience and cognition

Data-driven, knowing the enemy and knowing yourself. With the advancement of big data-related technologies, data information has become cognitive offensive and defensive ammunition, and information advantage has become increasingly important on the battlefield. Empowering traditional information processing processes with artificial intelligence technology can enhance the ability to analyze related information, accelerate information integration across domains through cross-domain data collection and false information screening, and enhance dynamic perception capabilities. Artificial intelligence can also help alleviate battlefield data overload, organically integrate enemy information, our own information, and battlefield environment information, and build a holographic intelligent database to provide good support for cognitive confrontation.

Everything is connected intelligently, and humans and machines collaborate. Modern warfare is increasingly integrated between the military and civilians, and the boundaries between peace and war are blurred. Technology has redefined the way people interact with each other, people with equipment, and equipment with equipment, and battlefield data is constantly flowing. Through big data mining and cross-domain comparative analysis, unstructured data such as images, audio, and video can be refined, and the truth can be retained to expand the boundaries of experience cognition and improve the level of human-machine collaboration. The in-depth application of the Internet of Things and big data technologies has promoted the continuous improvement of the intelligent level of data acquisition, screening, circulation, and processing processes, laying a solid foundation for the implementation of cognitive domain precision attacks.

Break through barriers and achieve deep integration. Relying on battlefield big data can effectively break through the barriers of full-domain integration, help connect isolated information islands, promote cross-domain information coupling and aggregation, accelerate barrier-free information flow, and promote the transformation of data fusion and information fusion to perception fusion and cognitive fusion. The comprehensive penetration of intelligent equipment into the command system can accelerate the deep integration of situation awareness, situation prediction and situation shaping, optimize multi-dimensional information screening and cognitive confrontation layout, and promote the continuous iteration and upgrading of cognitive domain combat styles.

Intelligent algorithms enhance decision-making efficiency

Accelerate decision-making and cause confusion to the enemy. The outcome of cognitive confrontation depends to a certain extent on the game of commanders’ wisdom and strategy. Through full-dimensional cross-domain information confrontation and decision-making games, with the help of intelligent technology, we can analyze and intervene in the opponent’s cognition and behavior, and finally gain the initiative on the battlefield. At present, artificial intelligence has become a catalyst for doubling combat effectiveness. In peacetime, it can play the role of an intelligent “blue army” to simulate and deduce combat plans; in wartime, through intelligent decision-making assistance, it can improve the quality and efficiency of the “detection, control, attack, evaluation, and protection” cycle, create chaos for the enemy, and paralyze its system.

Autonomous planning and intelligent formation. In the future intelligent battlefield, “face-to-face” fighting will increasingly give way to “key-to-key” offense and defense. In cognitive domain operations, the use of intelligent algorithms to accurately identify identity information, pre-judge the opponent’s intentions, and control key points in advance can quickly transform information advantages into decision-making advantages and action advantages. Using intelligent algorithms to support cognitive domain operations can also help identify the weaknesses of the enemy’s offense and defense system, autonomously plan combat tasks according to the “enemy”, intelligently design combat formations, and provide real-time feedback on combat effects. Relying on data links and combat clouds to strengthen intelligent background support, we can strengthen combat advantages in dynamic networking and virtual-real interaction.

Make decisions before the enemy and attack with precision. Intelligent algorithms can assist commanders in predicting risks, dynamically optimizing combat plans according to the opponent’s situation, and implementing precise cognitive attacks. In future intelligent command and control, the “cloud brain” can be used to provide algorithm support, combined with intelligent push to predict the situation one step ahead of the enemy, make decisions one step faster than the enemy, and completely disrupt the opponent’s thinking and actions. We should focus on using intelligent technology to collect and organize, deeply analyze the opponent’s decision-making and behavioral preferences, and then customize plans to actively induce them to make decisions that are beneficial to us, aiming at the key points and unexpectedly delivering a fatal blow to them.

Powerful computing power improves the overall operation level

Plan for the situation and create momentum, and suppress with computing power. “He who wins before the battle has more calculations; he who loses before the battle has less calculations.” The situation of cognitive confrontation is complex and changeable, and it is difficult to deal with it only by relying on the experience and temporary judgment of commanders. Intelligent tools can be used to strengthen the penetration of enemy thinking before the battle, actively divide and disintegrate the cognitive ability of the enemy team, and improve our battlefield control ability and combat initiative. At the same time, we should use powerful intelligent computing power to improve flexible command and overall planning capabilities, take advantage of the situation, build momentum, and actively occupy the main position of cognitive confrontation.

Smart soft attack, computing power raid. The rapid development of artificial intelligence has promoted the transformation of war from “hard destruction” to “soft killing”, which is expected to completely subvert the traditional war paradigm. For example, the latest technical concepts can be used to gain in-depth insights into the operating mechanism of the enemy system, actively familiarize oneself with the opponent, and mobilize the opponent. It is also possible to use the psychological anchoring effect and the network superposition amplification effect to interfere with the opponent’s cognitive loop link, disrupt the opponent’s command decision-making, and slow down the opponent’s reaction speed.

Cross-domain coordination and computing power support. To win the proactive battle of cognitive confrontation, we must coordinate across domains, gather forces in multiple dimensions, use intelligent tools to autonomously control the flow of information, realize the integrated linkage of physical domain, information domain and cognitive domain, lead forward-looking deployment and distributed coordination, launch a comprehensive parallel offensive, and form cognitive control over the enemy. Effectively carry out joint actions of virtual and real interaction in the entire domain, intervene in the enemy’s cognition, emotions and will, and use powerful computing power to take the initiative and fight proactive battles.

China Military Network Ministry of National Defense Network

Thursday, April 20, 2023

Chen Jialin, Xu Jun, Li Shan

現代國語:

伴隨「智慧+」時代的到來,人工智慧廣泛應用於軍事領域,物理空間的常規戰爭與虛擬空間的認知對抗加速融合。深度挖掘人工智慧潛力為認知對抗賦權,對提升跨域資源匹配效率,掌控未來作戰主動權具有重要意義。

資料挖潛拓展經驗認知邊界

數據驅動,知彼知己。隨著大數據相關技術的進步,數據資訊已成為認知攻防彈藥,資訊優勢在戰場上變得越來越重要。運用人工智慧技術賦能傳統資訊加工流程,可強化關聯資訊分析能力,透過跨領域資料擷取、虛假資訊甄別,加速資訊全局融合,強化動態感知能力。人工智慧還可協助緩解戰場數據過載,有機整合敵情、我情、戰場環境訊息,建立全像智慧資料庫,為認知對抗提供良好支撐。

萬物智聯,人機協同。現代戰爭日漸軍民一體、平戰界線模糊,技術重新定義了人與人、人與裝備、裝備與裝備的互動方式,戰場資料源源不絕。透過大數據探勘與跨域比較分析,可對影像、音訊、視訊等非結構化資料去粗取精、去偽存真,拓展經驗認知邊界,提升人機協同水準。物聯網、大數據技術的深度運用,推動資料取得、篩選、流轉、加工流程的智慧化程度不斷提升,為實施認知域精準攻擊夯實基礎。

打通壁壘,深度融合。依靠戰場大數據可有效突破全域融合的壁壘,有助於聯通條塊分割的資訊孤島,促進跨域資訊耦合聚合,加速資訊無障礙流通,推動資料融合與資訊融合向感知融合與認知融合轉化。智慧裝備全面滲透進入指揮體系,能夠加速態勢感知、態勢預測與態勢塑造的深度融合,優化多維資訊篩選與認知對抗佈局,推動認知域作戰樣式不斷迭代升級。

智慧演算法強化輔助決策效能

加速決策,致敵混亂。認知對抗的勝負,某種程度上取決於指揮家智慧謀略的博弈。可透過全維度跨域資訊對抗與決策博弈,借助智慧技術分析並介入對手認知與行為,最終贏得戰場主動。目前,人工智慧已成為戰鬥力倍增的催化劑,平時可扮演智慧「藍軍」模擬推演作戰方案;戰時透過智慧輔助決策,提升「偵、控、打、評、保」循環品質效率,給敵方製造混亂,促使其體系癱瘓。

自主規劃,智能編組。未來智慧化戰場上,「面對面」的拼殺將越來越多地讓位給「鍵對鍵」的攻防。在認知域作戰中,利用智慧演算法精準甄別身分資訊、預先研判對手企圖、事先扼控關鍵要點,能夠將資訊優勢快速轉化為決策優勢與行動優勢。利用智慧演算法支撐認知域作戰,還可協助摸清敵方攻防體系弱點,因「敵」制宜自主規劃作戰任務,智慧設計作戰編組,即時回饋作戰效果,依托資料鏈、作戰雲強化智慧後台支撐,在動態組網、虛實互動中強化作戰勝勢。

先敵決策,精準攻擊。智慧演算法可輔助指揮者預判風險,根據對手狀況動態優化作戰方案,實施精準認知攻擊。在未來智慧化指揮控制中,可利用「雲端大腦」提供演算法支撐,結合智慧推送先敵一步預判態勢,快敵一招制定決策,徹底打亂對手思路和行動。應著重運用智慧科技收集整理、深度分析對手決策和行為偏好,進而專項客製化計劃,積極誘導其作出有利於我的決策,瞄準要害出其不意地對其進行致命一擊。

強大算力提升全域運籌水平

謀勢造勢,算力壓制。 「夫未戰而廟算勝者,得算多也;未戰而廟算不勝者,得算少也。」認知對抗態勢複雜多變,僅靠指揮經驗和臨時判斷難以應對,可利用智能工具在戰前即對敵思維認知加強滲透,積極分化瓦解敵方團隊認知力,提升我戰場控局能力和作戰性。同時,應藉助強大智能算力,提升靈活指揮與全局運籌能力,順勢謀勢、借勢造勢,積極佔領認知對抗主陣地。

巧打軟攻,算力突襲。人工智慧的快速發展,推動戰爭進一步從「硬摧毀」轉向「軟殺傷」,可望徹底顛覆傳統戰爭範式。如可運用最新技術理念,深入洞察敵方體系運作機理,積極熟悉對手、調動對手。還可利用心理沉錨效應和網路疊加放大效應,幹擾對手認知循環鏈路,打亂對手指揮決策,遲滯對手反應速度。

跨域統籌,算力支撐。打贏認知對抗主動仗須全域跨域統籌、多維同向聚力,利用智慧工具自主控制資訊的流量流向,實現物理域、資訊域與認知域的一體聯動,引領前瞻性布勢與分散式協同,全面展開並行攻勢,形成對敵認知控制。有效進行全域虛實相生的聯合行動,對敵認知、情緒和意志實施幹預,借助強大算力下好先手棋、打好主動仗。

中國軍網 國防部網 // 2023年4月20日 星期四

陳佳琳 徐 珺 李 山

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/2023-04/20/content_338002888.htm

Artificial Intelligence is Driving Profound Changes in Chinese Warfare

人工智慧正在推動中國戰爭發生深刻變化

現代英語:

In recent years, with the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology and its widespread application in the military field, the form of war and combat style have been constantly changing. Some foreign academic articles believe that artificial intelligence is reshaping the form of combat forces, enhancing the effectiveness of combat systems, improving the effectiveness of combat command, and improving the quality of combat coordination, promoting profound changes in combat activities.

Reshaping the combat force

These academic articles point out that combat forces are mainly composed of combat personnel, weapons and equipment, and organizational structures, and are undergoing tremendous changes under the influence of artificial intelligence technology.

From the perspective of personnel structure, with the widespread application of artificial intelligence technology and related equipment systems in the military field, the demand for professionals with the ability to develop, manage, use and maintain artificial intelligence technology has increased significantly, and the proportion of technical personnel in combat forces will continue to increase. Frontline combat personnel are no longer just direct operators of weapons, but are gradually transforming into battlefield monitors, system commanders and key decision makers in human-machine collaborative operations, and the requirements for their scientific and technological literacy and information processing capabilities have been greatly improved.

From the perspective of the equipment system, intelligent weapons and equipment such as drones, unmanned combat vehicles, and intelligent missiles will appear in large numbers and become an important part of the equipment system. These equipment are highly accurate and flexible, with stronger autonomous combat capabilities, and can independently complete tasks such as reconnaissance and strikes, greatly changing the traditional equipment structure and combat mode. In addition, traditional weapons and equipment will also accelerate intelligent transformation by adding intelligent sensors, communication modules, and automatic control systems, so as to have the ability to interconnect and cooperate with artificial intelligence systems. For example, old tanks can be upgraded and transformed to realize functions such as automatic driving, automatic aiming, and intelligent ammunition loading, thereby improving overall combat effectiveness.

From the perspective of combat unit formation, unmanned combat systems will gradually develop from auxiliary combat forces to independent combat units and organize them, relying on their unique advantages in high-risk and high-intensity combat environments. Research reports from some think tanks in Western countries believe that drone swarm combat forces and unmanned combat vehicle battalions will become common combat formations, which can complete a variety of tasks such as reconnaissance and surveillance, intelligence analysis, and firepower strikes. In order to give full play to the respective advantages of artificial intelligence and human warriors, human-machine mixed formations will also become the main form of future combat forces. In this formation, human warriors and intelligent weapons and equipment work closely together to complete combat missions.

Enhance combat system effectiveness

Judging from the evolution trend, intelligent technology will integrate unmanned equipment across domains and empower traditional combat platforms, and will become the “enabler” of future system warfare.

At present, many military experts in Western countries believe that artificial intelligence can conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluation of various elements of the combat system, identify weak links and optimization space in the system, and provide a scientific basis for the construction and adjustment of the combat system. By optimizing the structure and function of the combat system, the overall effectiveness and stability of the combat system can be improved, making it more competitive when facing a changing battlefield environment and a powerful combat system.

During the combat process, artificial intelligence can analyze the combat systems of both sides in real time, predict the opponent’s possible actions and weaknesses, propose targeted system confrontation strategies, and continuously adjust and optimize according to the actual situation in the combat process to achieve efficient operation of one’s own combat system and improve the quality and effectiveness of combat system confrontation.

Western militaries believe that based on the advantages of artificial intelligence empowerment, they can greatly enhance security risk defense capabilities. By automatically predicting, identifying, discovering, and handling complex security risks, they can autonomously protect personnel, equipment, and materials from various attacks, improve all-domain and all-round defense capabilities, and ensure the safety and stability of the combat system.

Improving combat command effectiveness

At present, artificial intelligence has been deeply integrated into all aspects of combat command, affecting the external manifestations and main activities of combat command. Human-machine intelligent fusion control supported by artificial intelligence technology will become the basic form of combat action control.

Some foreign research institutions have found that artificial intelligence systems can quickly analyze the situation based on real-time battlefield situations and a large amount of historical data, generate multiple combat plans, and timely deduce and evaluate plans, adjust and optimize actions, provide commanders with more scientific and reasonable decision-making suggestions, and efficiently guide the execution of plans, so that combat planning can keep up with the rapidly changing battlefield rhythm. Especially when facing rapidly changing battlefield situations, it can help commanders make accurate judgments more quickly.

With the continuous development of artificial intelligence technology, some intelligent combat systems have a certain degree of autonomous decision-making capabilities. In certain situations, such as facing sudden threats or the temporary appearance of fighter jets, combat command systems assisted by artificial intelligence can make decisions and take actions autonomously within the preset rules and authority range, shorten the decision-making chain, and improve the response speed and flexibility of combat. When the combat terminal has stronger intelligent autonomy, it can even realize the self-generation, self-evaluation, and self-adjustment of combat plans, breaking through the limitations of human reaction capabilities and forming a more adaptive combat command.

Many experiments have proved that based on the accumulation of massive combat data and the enhancement of big data analysis technology, artificial intelligence technology can accurately calculate the entire process of combat planning under simulation conditions, helping commanders to accurately analyze the situation in advance, comprehensively judge trends, and reasonably plan trends. Then, through combat simulation, simulation and deduction, etc., it can virtually carry out activities such as calculation of combat force requirements and optimization of tactics and actions. In the planning process, it can scientifically and dynamically adjust combat plan strategies to form the best option, provide more reliable reference basis for combat command, and improve the accuracy of command and control.

Improve the quality of combat coordination

As artificial intelligence technology is deeply integrated into the combat system, the responsiveness of various combat elements on the battlefield continues to improve, the response time is gradually shortened, the adaptability level is gradually enhanced, and the quality of combat coordination is continuously improved.

Some military experts in Western countries believe that the battlefield of the future will be cross-domain, networked, and nonlinear. Artificial intelligence can break the boundaries between various combat domains and combat elements through efficient algorithms, making the coordination between different combat forces closer and more efficient. Based on artificial intelligence technology, autonomous coordination and cooperation between manned and unmanned combat forces can be achieved, so that manned and unmanned combat forces can complement each other and complement each other, significantly improving combat effectiveness. Moreover, the application of unmanned combat systems is becoming more and more extensive. Artificial intelligence technology can perform cluster control and collaborative management of a large number of unmanned combat platforms, achieve efficient coordination and task allocation between them, and improve the overall effectiveness and safety of unmanned combat.

China Military Network Ministry of National Defense Network

Tuesday , February 11, 2025

現代國語:

黃永剛

近年來,隨著人工智能技術的迅猛發展及其在軍事領域的廣泛運用,戰爭形態和作戰樣式不斷發生嬗變。國外一些學術文章認為,人工智能正在重塑作戰力量形態、增強作戰體系效能、提升作戰指揮實效、提高作戰協同質量,推動作戰活動發生深刻變化。

重塑作戰力量形態

這些學術文章指出,作戰力量主要由作戰人員、武器裝備及編組方式等整體構成,受人工智能技術影響,正發生著巨大變化。

從人員結構上看,隨著人工智能技術及相關裝備系統在軍事領域的廣泛應用,對具備人工智能技術研發、管理、使用和維護能力的專業人才需求大幅上升,技術人員在作戰力量中的佔比將不斷提高。一線作戰人員不再只是武器的直接操作者,而是逐漸向戰場監控者、系統指揮員和人機協同作戰中的關鍵決策者轉變,對其科技素養和信息處理能力的要求大大提高。

從裝備體系上看,無人機、無人戰車、智能導彈等智能武器裝備將大量出現,並成為裝備體系的重要組成部分。這些裝備具有高度的精確性和靈活性,自主作戰能力更強,能夠獨立完成偵察、打擊等任務,極大地改變了傳統的裝備結構和作戰模式。此外,傳統武器裝備也將通過加裝智能傳感器、通信模塊和自動控制系統等,加速進行智能化改造,以具備與人工智能系統互聯互通和協同作戰的能力。如老式坦克通過升級改造,可以實現自動駕駛、自動瞄准和智能彈藥裝填等功能,提升整體作戰效能。

從作戰單元編成上看,無人作戰系統憑借其在高風險、高強度作戰環境中的獨特優勢,將逐漸從輔助作戰力量發展為獨立的作戰單元並進行編組。西方國家一些智庫的研究報告認為,無人機集群作戰部隊、無人戰車營等將成為常見的作戰編制,它們可以完成偵察監視、情報分析、火力打擊等多種任務。為了充分發揮人工智能與人類戰士的各自優勢,人機混合編隊也將成為未來作戰力量的主要編成形式。在這種編隊中,人類戰士與智能武器裝備緊密配合,共同完成作戰任務。

增強作戰體系效能

從演進趨勢看,智能化技術跨域集成無人裝備、賦能傳統作戰平台,將成為未來體系作戰的“賦能器”。

目前,西方國家很多軍事專家認為,人工智能可以對作戰體系的各個要素進行全面分析和評估,找出體系中的薄弱環節和優化空間,為作戰體系的建設和調整提供科學依據。通過優化作戰體系的結構和功能,可以提高作戰體系的整體效能和穩定性,使其在面對多變戰場環境和強大作戰體系時更具競爭力。

在作戰過程中,人工智能可實時分析作戰雙方的作戰體系,預測對方的可能行動和薄弱點,提出針對性的體系對抗策略,並根據作戰過程中的實際情況不斷調整和優化,以實現己方作戰體系的高效運行,提升作戰體系對抗質效。

西方國家軍隊認為,基於人工智能賦能優勢,可以大大增強安全風險防御能力,通過自動預測、識別、發現、處置復雜安全風險,自主化保護人員、裝備、物資免受各類攻擊,能夠提升全領域、全方位防衛能力,確保作戰體系的安全性和穩定性。

提升作戰指揮實效

當前,人工智能已深度融入作戰指揮的各個環節,影響著作戰指揮的外在表現形式及主要活動方式。人工智能技術支撐下的人機智聯融合控制,將成為作戰行動控制的基本形態。

國外一些研究機構發現,人工智能系統可以根據實時戰場態勢和大量歷史數據,快速分析態勢,生成多種作戰方案,並及時推演評估方案、調整優化行動,為指揮員提供更科學合理的決策建議,高效指導計劃執行,讓作戰籌劃跟上快速變化的戰場節奏。尤其是在面對瞬息萬變的戰場情況時,能夠幫助指揮員更快地作出准確判斷。

隨著人工智能技術的不斷發展,一些智能作戰系統具備了一定的自主決策能力。在特定情況下,如面對突發的威脅或臨時出現的戰機,基於人工智能輔助的作戰指揮系統可以在預設的規則和權限范圍內,自主作出決策並采取行動,縮短決策鏈路,提高作戰的反應速度和靈活性。當作戰末端具備更強智能自主能力時,甚至可以實現作戰方案自生成、自評估、自調整,突破人的反應能力局限,形成更具適應性的作戰指揮。

很多實驗證明,基於海量作戰數據的積累和大數據分析技術的增強,人工智能技術可在模擬條件下對作戰籌劃全程進行精確計算,助力指揮員預先精准分析態勢、綜合研判趨勢、合理規劃走勢,進而通過作戰仿真、模擬推演等方式,虛擬開展參戰力量需求計算、戰法行動優化優選等活動,進而在籌劃過程中科學動態調整作戰方案策略,形成最佳選項,為作戰指揮提供更可靠的參考依據,提升指揮控制精確性。

提高作戰協同質量

隨著人工智能技術深度融入作戰體系,各作戰要素在戰場上的反應能力不斷提高,響應時間逐步縮短,適應水平日漸增強,作戰協同質量不斷提升。

西方國家一些軍事專家認為,未來戰場將呈現跨域、網絡化、非線性等特點,人工智能可以通過高效的算法,打破各作戰域、各作戰要素之間的界限,使不同作戰力量之間的協同更加緊密和高效。基於人工智能技術,可實現有人無人作戰力量編組之間的自主協同配合,使得有人無人作戰力量相互補充、相得益彰,顯著提升作戰效能。而且,無人作戰系統的應用越來越廣泛,人工智能技術可以對大量無人作戰平台進行集群控制和協同管理,實現它們之間的高效配合和任務分配,提高無人作戰的整體效能和安全性。

中國軍網 國防部網

2025年2月11日,星期二

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/szb_223187/szbxq/index.html?paperName=jfjb&paperDate=2025-02-11&paperNumber=07&articleid=949008889

Chinese Military Combat Management System: Core of Modern Combat Command & Control

中國軍事作戰管理系統:現代作戰指揮控制的核心

現代英語:

Source: China Military Network-People’s Liberation Army Daily Author: Yang Lianzhen Editor-in-charge: Yang Fanfan

2022-04-22 06:42

Combat management is the foundation for winning modern wars and the core of the modern combat system. It is the planning, organization, coordination and control of personnel, equipment, information, resources, time and space and other elements during the combat process.

Combat management system refers to the command information system used to support combat management activities, including intelligence collection, information transmission, target identification, threat assessment, weapon allocation, mission planning, etc. It has gradually developed with the evolution of war and technological progress.

Combat Management System: The Core of Modern Combat System

Schematic diagram of the combat management system

Past and present life

Implementing timely and accurate command and control of combat operations and making timely and decisive combat decisions are the goals and dreams that commanders have always pursued in different war periods. Before the emergence of scientific management, there was no concept of combat management in war, and naturally there was no combat management system. However, simple combat management activities and systems have always been associated with war and developed in an integrated manner.

The core of combat management is to ensure that commanders and troops can exchange information and instructions smoothly. In the ancient combat command system, gongs, drums, and flags were called the “three officials”. “When words cannot be heard, gongs and drums are used; when sight cannot be seen, flags are used.” Sight and hearing are the primitive means of command and control.

After the invention of the telegraph, telephone, and radio, long-distance and rapid transmission of combat orders and combat information became a reality, and the scope of combat management shifted from two-dimensional to three-dimensional. The war decision-making of “planning and winning thousands of miles away” is no longer a myth. Of course, traditional battlefield management methods are not completely ineffective. For example, in the Korean War, due to limited communication conditions, our army still used bugles to transmit combat orders to the company and below, and there were more than 20 types of bugle calls related to combat. “The sound of bugles from all sides rose up,” and the bugles on the Korean battlefield once frightened the US military. Ridgway wrote in his memoirs: “As soon as it sounded, the Chinese Communist Army would rush towards the coalition forces as if it were under a spell. At this time, the coalition forces were always beaten back like a tide.”

At the beginning of the 20th century, the concept of scientific management gradually gained popularity, and the military quickly applied it to combat. The term “combat management” first appeared in the US Air Force, where combat managers provided long-range target indication and voice guidance to fighters based on radar detection. The core combat organization is called the BM/C3 system, namely Battle Management and Command, Control, and Communication. In 1946, the first electronic computer “ENIAC” was successfully developed, and the military began to use computers to store and process various data related to combat. In 1958, the US military built the world’s first semi-automated combat management system-the “Seqi” air defense command and control system, which used computers to realize the automation of part of the information collection, processing, transmission and command decision-making process for the first time. In the same year, the Soviet Army built the “Sky No. 1” semi-automated air defense command and control system. Combat management systems began to appear on the war stage, and human-machine collaborative decision-making gradually became the main form of combat decision-making for commanders. During the “Rolling Thunder” campaign of the Vietnam War, the U.S. military commanded more than 5,000 aircraft to dispatch 1.29 million sorties and dropped 7.75 million tons of bombs, which would have been impossible to achieve by manual command alone.

The combat management system has gone through weapon-centered, platform-centered, network-centered, and system-centered construction stages, and has gradually been able to receive and process information from sensors and other sources in multiple domains, perceive and generate combat situation maps in real time, automatically implement command and control of troops and equipment, and intelligently assist commanders in making decisions, involving the army, navy, air force and other military services.

For example, the Israeli Army’s “Ruler” combat management system uses a single-soldier digital device to connect to a channel state information device to provide real-time situational awareness and command and control information for troops performing tactical operations and fire support. The U.S. Navy’s “Aegis” combat system uses a multi-task signal processor to integrate air defense and anti-missile capabilities, and realizes the integration of shipborne phased array radars, command decisions, and weapon control. The NATO Air Force’s ACCSLOC1 system, based on network distributed deployment, integrates 40 types of radars and more than 3,000 physical interfaces, and undertakes air operations such as mission planning, combat command, and combat supervision. From the launch of the first Gulf War to the Libyan War, the time from sensor information acquisition to firing by the U.S. military has been shortened from 24 hours to 2.5 minutes.

Features

The combat management system is a rapidly developing and constantly improving distributed operating system. It mainly collects and processes sensor data, facilitates the transmission and integration of various types of information, conducts situation identification and prediction, generates combat plans, completes action evaluation and selection, and issues combat orders to weapon platforms and shooters. Its essence is to achieve an efficient combat “observation-judgment-decision-action” cycle (OODA loop).

The combat management system widely uses situation assessment and prediction, combat space-time analysis, online real-time planning, combat resource management and control, and combat management engine technologies, and adopts a “cloud + network + terminal” technical architecture based on information technology.

For example, the U.S. military took the lead in using information technology to build a C4ISR system that integrates command, control, computers, communications, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, laying the foundation for the combat management system. In the Afghanistan War, the C4ISR system achieved near-real-time transmission of combat information to combat platforms for the first time. With the continuous maturity of sensors, networks and artificial intelligence, technologies such as intelligent situation understanding and prediction, intelligent information push, intelligent task planning, intelligent collaborative control, intelligent rapid reconstruction and intelligent parallel command and control are having an increasingly significant impact on combat management systems.

Combat management systems usually support functions such as situational awareness, mission planning, engagement management, communications, modeling, simulation and analysis, and test training. For example, a missile defense combat management system mainly includes command and control, engagement management, and communications. The command and control function enables pre-battle combat planning and battlefield situation awareness; the engagement management function enables auxiliary combat decision-making, allocation of anti-missile weapons, and completion of strike missions; and the communication function enables the transmission and sharing of intelligence and data among the anti-missile units in the system.

The combat management system is an open and complex system. The structure determines the function. Different system structures determine the functional expansion of different systems: the ship’s self-defense combat management system enables the ship to have a strong self-defense capability through automated weapon control regulations, collaborative engagement management systems and tactical data links; the electromagnetic combat management system improves the planning, sharing and mobility of the electromagnetic spectrum by integrating and displaying battlefield electromagnetic spectrum data; the individual combat system enhances the soldier’s mobility, support, lethality and survivability by integrating individual protection, individual combat weapons and individual communication equipment.

Combat management systems generally have the characteristics of integration, automation, optimization, and real-time. The combat mode of modern warfare is complex and the battlefield scale is expanding. The requirements for force control, resource integration, and task scheduling have increased, and system integration must be achieved. The French Army’s “Scorpion” system fully integrates tanks, armored vehicles, infantry fighting vehicles, unmanned ground vehicles, drones, and attack helicopters into the same combat group, and links all platforms and combat units in the task group.

With the increase of combat elements in modern warfare and the expansion of battlefield perception space, the command automation system that relies heavily on people can no longer fully adapt, and the system must be automated. All operating functions of Pakistan’s combat management artillery control system are fully automated, “providing an automated solution for preparing, coordinating, transmitting, executing and modifying fire support plans and firing plans.”

The pace of modern warfare is accelerating and battlefield data is massive. It is necessary to quickly grasp the situation and make decisions efficiently, and it is necessary to achieve system optimization decision-making. Military powers are combining artificial intelligence, cloud computing, the Internet of Things and big data technologies to facilitate faster decision-making in multi-domain operations.

Future Development

Traditional combat management systems place more emphasis on pre-established engagement sequences and combat rules. However, future wars will emphasize the confrontation between systems, and it is impossible to exhaust all situations in advance. The battlefield information that needs to be mastered is also becoming more complex and massive. For this reason, the armies of various countries have begun to abandon the traditional method of developing combat management systems for each combat domain separately, and are network-centric and supported by artificial intelligence, trying to help commanders make combat decisions more quickly and realize real-time connection between sensors in each combat domain and any shooter.

The combat management system will promote the implementation of combat concepts. The “Advanced Combat Management System” developed by the US Air Force plans to connect all military services and their weapon platforms in real time in a military Internet of Things. Its core is to seamlessly link various intelligence reconnaissance platforms, command and control platforms, strike platforms and combat management platforms with various cross-domain capabilities, convert intelligence and target indication data into timely and usable information, shorten the “discovery-positioning-tracking-targeting-strike-assessment” cycle, and execute combat operations at a speed that opponents cannot keep up. The Russian military proposed the “military unified information space” theory and organized the development of the “automatic control system” for integrated joint operations of land, sea and air networks. By establishing a network-centric command model, it attempts to integrate the command, communication, reconnaissance, firepower, and support of the entire army, realize cross-domain operations in the true sense, and improve battlefield situation awareness and combat command efficiency.

The combat management system will rely on artificial intelligence technology. The application of artificial intelligence will not only multiply the capabilities of weapon systems, but will also fundamentally change the implementation of the OODA loop. In future combat management systems, artificial intelligence technology will become the core support and driving engine, and the key factor is the quality of the algorithm. The system will have built-in upgradeable artificial intelligence, and people will be in a supervisory or collaborative state to minimize manual input, spontaneously identify and classify threat targets in the combat environment, autonomously evaluate and weigh, and automatically allocate weapons, thereby providing adaptive combat advantages and decision-making options.

For example, the “Intelligent Autonomous Systems Strategy” released by the US Navy in July 2021 aims to accelerate the development and deployment of intelligent platforms through a highly distributed command and control architecture, integrate unmanned systems, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving technologies, and realize future combat decisions facilitated by intelligent autonomous systems. The Russian military has more than 150 artificial intelligence projects under development, one of the focuses of which is to introduce artificial intelligence into command and control systems, adapt intelligent software to different weapon platforms, achieve the unification of physical and cognitive domains, and double combat effectiveness through intelligent empowerment.

The combat management system will achieve a breakthrough in cross-domain capabilities. The military’s combat management capabilities are shifting towards full-domain coordination, including land, sea, air, space, electricity, network, cognitive domain, and social domain. To adapt to the full-domain environment, the combat management system needs to have the following functions: a resilient and redundant communication system, flexible and secure data operation; artificial intelligence and machine learning directly extract and process data from sensors, and conduct decentralized integration and sharing; segmented access based on confidentiality levels to meet perception, understanding, and action needs. On this basis, it is also necessary to provide troops with reconnaissance and surveillance, tactical communications, data processing, network command and control, and other capabilities.

The future combat management system will focus on security processing, connectivity, data management, application, sensor integration and effect integration, optimize data sharing, collaborative operations and command and control in the entire combat domain, and support decision-making advantages from the tactical level to the strategic level. Its purpose is only one: to give commanders the ability to surpass their opponents.

(The author is the deputy director and professor of the Training Management Department of the Armed Police Command Academy)

現代國語:

作戰管理,是打贏現代化戰爭的基礎,是現代化作戰體系的核心,也是作戰過程中對人員、裝備、資訊、資源和時空等要素進行的規劃、組織、協調與控制活動。

作戰管理系統,指用來支撐作戰管理活動的指揮資訊系統,包括情報採集、資訊傳輸、目標識別、威脅判斷、分配武器、任務規劃等。其隨戰爭演化、技術進步而逐步發展。

作戰管理系統:現代化作戰體系核心

■楊蓮珍

作戰管理系統示意圖

前世今生

對作戰行動實施適時精確的指揮控制和作出及時果斷的作戰決策,是不同戰爭時期指揮員始終追求的目標與夢想。在科學管理產生前,戰爭中並無作戰管理這一概念,自然談不上作戰管理系統。但樸素的作戰管理活動和系統一直與戰爭相伴、融合發展。

作戰管理的核心是保證指揮員與部隊能順暢地交換資訊和指示。在古代作戰指揮號令系統中,金、鼓、旗號稱為“三官”,“言不相聞,故為之金鼓;視不相見,故為之旌旗”,目視耳聽是原始的指揮控製手段。

電報、電話、無線電發明後,作戰命令和戰鬥訊息的遠距離快速傳輸成為現實,作戰管理範圍由平面走向立體,「運籌帷幄、決勝千裡」的戰爭決策不再是神話。當然,傳統的戰場管理手段並非完全失去作用,例如在抗美援朝戰場上,我軍因通信條件受限,連以下分隊仍在通過軍號傳遞作戰命令,與作戰相關的號聲就有20餘種。 “四面邊聲連角起”,朝鮮戰場上的軍號曾讓美軍聞風喪膽。李奇微在回憶錄裡寫道:“只要它一響,中共軍隊就如著了魔法一般,全部不要命地撲向聯軍。這時,聯軍總被打得如潮水般潰退。”

20世紀初,科學管理的概念逐漸升溫,軍隊迅速將其應用於作戰。 「作戰管理」一詞,最早出現在美國空軍,其編成內的作戰管理員,基於雷達探測情況向戰機進行遠程目標指示和話音引導。作戰核心組織則稱為BM/C3系統,即作戰管理(Battle Management)和指揮、控制、通訊(Command,Control,Communication)。 1946年,第一台電子計算機「埃尼阿克」研製成功,軍隊開始使用計算機存儲和處理有關作戰的各種數據。 1958年,美軍建成世界上第一個半自動化作戰管理系統-「賽其」防空指揮控制系統,使用電腦首次實現了資訊擷取、處理、傳輸和指揮決策過程部分作業的自動化。同年,蘇軍建成「天空1號」半自動化防空指揮控制系統。作戰管理系統開始登上戰爭舞台,人機協作決策逐漸成為指揮主要的作戰決策形式。越戰中的「滾雷」戰役,美軍指揮5,000多架飛機出動129萬架次,投彈775萬噸,如果單靠人工指揮是不可能實現的。

作戰管理系統經歷了以武器為中心、以平台為中心、以網絡為中心和以體係為中心的建設階段,逐步能夠接收、處理來自多域的傳感器和其他來源信息,實時感知並生成作戰態勢圖,自動對兵力及裝備實施指揮控制,智能輔助指揮員決策,涉及陸、海、空等軍兵種。

如以色列陸軍的「統治者」作戰管理系統,單兵數字化裝置連接通道狀態資訊設備,用於為執行戰術作戰、火力支援等部隊提供即時態勢感知和指揮控制資訊。美國海軍的「宙斯盾」作戰系統,採用多任務訊號處理器整合防空與反導能力,實現艦載相控陣雷達、指揮決策、武器控制等一體化整合。北約空軍的ACCSLOC1系統,基於網路分散部署,整合40種型號的雷達和3000多個物理接口,承擔任務規劃、作戰指揮和戰鬥監督等空中行動。從發動第一次海灣戰爭到利比亞戰爭,美軍從傳感器獲取資訊到開火,時間由24小時縮短至2.5分鐘。

功能特徵

作戰管理系統是一個迅速發展並不斷完善的分散式操作系統,主要通過收集、處理傳感器數據,暢通各類信息傳輸和融合,進行態勢識別和預測,生成作戰方案,完成行動評估與選擇,下發作戰指令給武器平台和射手。其本質是實現高效率的作戰「觀察-判斷-決策-行動」循環(OODA環)。

作戰管理系統廣泛使用態勢評估與預測、作戰時空分析、線上即時規劃、作戰資源管控和作戰管理引擎技術等,採用基於資訊技術的「雲+網+端」的技術架構。

如美軍率先運用資訊技術,建構了集指揮、控制、計算機、通訊、情報、監視和偵察於一體的C4ISR系統,為作戰管理系統打下了基礎。阿富汗戰爭中,C4ISR系統首次實現作戰資訊近實時傳輸到作戰平台。隨著傳感器、網絡和人工智慧的不斷成熟,智能態勢理解和預測、智慧資訊推送、智慧任務規劃、智慧協同控制、智慧快速重構和智慧平行指控等技術,正在對作戰管理系統產生越來越重大的影響。

作戰管理系統通常支援態勢感知、任務規劃、交戰管理、通訊、建模及模擬與分析、試驗訓練等功能。如導彈防禦作戰管理系統,主要包括指揮控制、交戰管理及通訊等功能構成。指揮控制功能,實現對戰前的作戰規劃及對戰場態勢的感知;交戰管理功能,實現輔助作戰決策和分配反導武器並完成打擊任務;通信功能,實現系統各反導單元情報、數據的傳輸和共享。

作戰管理系統是一個開放的複雜系統。結構決定功能,不同的系統結構,決定不同系統的功能拓展:艦艇自防禦作戰管理系統通過自動化武器控制條令、協同交戰管理系統和戰術數據鍊等,使艦艇具備了強大的自防禦能力;電磁作戰管理系統通過融合並顯示戰場電磁頻譜數據,提高電磁戰兵器規劃能力、共享電磁力和單兵作戰力量;

作戰管理系統普遍具有一體化、自動化、最優化、即時化等特徵。現代戰爭作戰模式複雜、戰場規模擴大,對力量管控、資源整合和任務調度要求的提高,必須實現系統一體化整合。法國陸軍的「蝎子」系統,就將坦克、裝甲車、步兵戰車、無人地面車輛、無人機與攻擊直升機完整整合到同一個作戰群,並連結任務群中的所有平台和作戰單元。

現代戰爭作戰要素增加、戰場感知空間擴大,對人依賴較高的指揮自動化系統已無法完全適應,必須實現系統自動化運作。巴基斯坦作戰管理火砲控制系統所有操作功能全部自動化,「為準備、協調、傳遞、執行和修改火力支援計畫與射擊方案提供了自動化解決方案」。

現代戰爭作戰節奏加快、戰場數據海量,需要快速掌握狀況、有效率定下決心,必須實現系統最優化決策。各軍事強國正將人工智慧、雲端運算、物聯網與大數據技術結合起來,以利在多域作戰中更快決策。

未來發展

傳統作戰管理系統,更強調基於事先制定的交戰序列、作戰規則。但未來戰爭更突出體係與體系之間的對抗,不可能預先窮盡各種情況,需要掌握的戰場資訊也更趨複雜、海量。為此,各國軍隊開始摒棄傳統上為各作戰域單獨開發作戰管理系統的方法,以網絡為中心、以人工智能為支撐,力圖幫助指揮員更迅速作出作戰決策,實現各作戰域的傳感器與任意射手的實時連接。

作戰管理系統將推動作戰概念落地。美國空軍開發的“先進作戰管理系統”,規劃將各軍種及其武器平台實時連接在一個軍事物聯網中,其核心是將各類情報偵察平台、指揮控制平台、打擊平台和作戰管理平台與各種跨域能力無縫鏈接,把情報和目標指示數據轉化為及時、可用的信息,縮短“發現-定位-跟踪-瞄準-打擊-評估”速度,以執行對手的速度執行。俄羅斯軍隊提出“軍隊統一資訊空間”理論,組織開發陸海空網絡一體化聯合作戰“自動控制系統”,通過建立網絡中心指揮模式,試圖將全軍指揮、通信、偵察、火力、保障等進行融合,實現真正意義上的跨域作戰,提升戰場態勢感知能力與作戰指揮效率。

作戰管理系統將依賴人工智慧技術。人工智慧的應用不僅引起武器系統能力的倍增,也將從根本上改變OODA環的實現。未來的作戰管理系統,人工智慧技術將成為核心支撐和驅動引擎,關鍵因素是演算法的品質。系統將內置可升級的人工智慧,人們將處於監督或協同狀態的位置,最大限度地減少人工輸入,對作戰環境中的威脅目標進行自發識別分類、自主評估權衡和自動分配武器,從而提供自適應的作戰優勢和決策可選性。

如2021年7月美海軍發布的“智能自主系統戰略”,旨在通過高度分佈式的指揮和控制架構,加速智能平台的開發和部署,綜合無人系統、人工智能和自動駕駛等技術,實現由智能自主系統促成的未來作戰決策。俄軍在研的人工智慧項目超過150個,其重點之一是將人工智慧引入指揮控制系統,為不同武器平台適配智慧軟件,實現物理域與認知域的統一,以智慧賦能的方式實現戰鬥力倍增。

作戰管理系統將實現跨域能力突破。軍隊作戰管理能力正向陸、海、空、天、電、網和認知域、社會域等全域協同轉變。適應全局環境,作戰管理系統需要具備以下功能:有彈性和冗餘的通信系統,靈活安全的數據運行;人工智能和機器學習直接從傳感器中提取、處理數據,並進行去中心化集成、共享;根據保密級別分段訪問,滿足感知、理解和行動需要。在此基礎上,還需具備向部隊提供偵察監視、戰術通訊、數據處理、網路指控等能力。

未來的作戰管理系統,將聚焦安全處理、連通性、數據管理、應用、傳感器整合和效果整合等能力,優化全作戰域的數據共享、協同作戰和指揮控制,支援從戰術級到戰略級的決策優勢。其目的只有一個:賦予指揮員超越對手的能力。

(作者係武警指揮學院訓練管理系副主任、教授)

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/yw_208727/10149663888.html

Analyzing the New Features of Chinese Military Intelligent Warfare

中國軍事智能化戰爭新特徵解析

現代英語:

China Military Network Ministry of National Defense NetworkThursday, November 14, 2024

Intelligent warfare is the latest form of warfare development. Under intelligent warfare conditions, the battle rhythm changes rapidly, humans and machines are deeply integrated, and complex elements are interconnected, presenting new characteristics on the battlefield.

The combat tempo changes rapidly. The combat tempo refers to the phenomenon that in the course of combat, different participating forces, under different combat missions, actions, and spaces, synchronously complete their respective established tasks at specified time nodes according to the combat phase division. In essence, the combat tempo is the effect of the confrontational interaction between the military systems of all parties in a common external environment. It is a regular phenomenon that appears periodically or non-periodically. It is objective due to the interaction, and uncertain due to the active role played by the opposing parties based on their respective perspectives. In war, the combat tempo represents not only the speed of time and speed, but also the embodiment of the comprehensive effect of multiple factors such as time, space, purpose, goal, and opponent. With the continuous expansion of the battlefield and the improvement of battlefield cognitive decision-making capabilities, the future intelligent battlefield may gradually change from the simple “quick kill” type of simple use of the one-dimensionality of time to a comprehensive game and mixed confrontation in multiple dimensional fields such as politics, economy, diplomacy and multiple time and space cycles. Combat is a game between the enemy and us, and the quality of our combat rhythm depends largely on the opponent as a reference system. The combat rhythm should always focus on the opponent, and by changing the enemy and our power comparison in various forms in various dimensions, we can gain an “asymmetric” advantage, so that the battlefield situation can continue to develop in a direction that is beneficial to us in a variety of states between the active “using our own capabilities to control the enemy’s inability” and “suppressing the enemy’s capabilities when we are unable to do so.”

Humans and machines achieve deep integration. In a broad sense, human-machine integration refers to the state and process in which all humans and machines work closely together based on their respective characteristics and advantages. With the emergence of artificial intelligence technology, especially multimodal large models represented by ChatGPT, the foundation has been laid for the knowledge-level interaction between humans and machines, which has brought new opportunities for combat planning and combat command invisibly. As intelligent creatures, humans have creativity and thoughtfulness that other objects cannot match. Compared with humans, machines have obvious advantages in storage, computing and other capabilities, and have the characteristics of fast response speed and strong environmental adaptability. Under current technical conditions, the dominance of humans in human-machine fusion intelligence determines the basic mode of human-machine fusion operations. Machines are only tools and means of implementation for operations. To a certain extent, they become the main body of operations together with operators. The interactive output is also limited to the predictable changes defined by several major variables, and is closely related to the professional ability and experience of the operators themselves. As technology continues to improve, the positioning of people may gradually shift to macro-control, focusing on controlling strategic key contents and nodes such as the timing of launching a war, the scale level, the style intensity, the process development, and the ending time. The combination of human and machine does not mean a hard coupling between the two in terms of spatial position and physics, but through the mechanism and engineering of business processes and operating procedures, they play to their respective strengths and achieve dynamic adaptive operation.

Complex elements are interconnected. Modern warfare is a complex giant system, especially in the current era of global, cross-domain, and distributed operations. Focusing on the construction of the “kill network” and element-level coordination, the widely distributed combat force entities, combat platforms, sensors, weapons, etc. are further decoupled, and the combat system is gradually developing towards “decentralization”. Focusing on the combat purpose and combat objectives, in the combat system, various functional combat elements that are three-dimensionally networked are quickly reorganized and aggregated in a self-organizing and self-adaptive manner to dynamically form a closed kill chain. It is difficult to discover, identify, and calibrate the landmark nodes of the opponent’s system one by one in the various links of “detection, control, attack, and evaluation” as before, and then achieve system destruction. This “black box” state in the organization and operation of forces makes the logical causal relationship of the combat behaviors of all parties more “inexplicable” and the “incomprehensible war” effect more prominent. War is largely a confrontation of human thinking, and thanks to the help of intelligent decision-making systems, the uncertainty of combat intentions in future wars will be further increased in the fierce confrontation of broader cognitive and information domains. From the initial combat purpose to the final combat means, combat methods, and force application, “misalignment” may occur. Therefore, future wars will place more emphasis on finding a balance in active changes at the battle tactical level, which puts higher demands on better realizing “you fight yours, I fight mine” and exerting one’s own advantages.

現代國語:

關 宇

智能化戰爭是戰爭發展的最新形態。智慧化戰爭條件下,作戰節奏快速變化、人機實現深度融合、複雜要素相互關聯,戰場呈現新的特點。

作戰節奏快速變化。作戰節奏是指在作戰過程中,不同參戰力量在作戰任務、行動、空間各不相同情況下,依照作戰階段劃分,在規定的若干時間節點同步完成各自既定任務的現象。從本質上講,作戰節奏是一種在共同外部環境下各方軍事系統間對抗性交互產生的效果,週期或非週期顯現的一種規律性現象,其因交互作用而呈現客觀性,又因對抗各方基於各自視角所進行的能動作用而具有不確定性。在戰爭中,作戰節奏所代表的並不僅僅是時間和速度的快慢,而是時間、空間、目的、目標、對手等多種因素綜合作用的體現。隨著作戰域的不斷拓展以及戰場認知決策能力的提升,未來智能化戰場可能由單純「快速秒殺」式的對時間一維性的簡單運用,逐步向政治、經濟、外交等多個維度領域和多個時空週期的綜合博弈、混合對抗轉變。作戰是敵我雙方的博弈,己方作戰節奏的好壞很大程度上要以對手為參照系。作戰節奏應始終聚焦對手,透過在各維域以各種形式改變敵我力量對比,獲取「不對稱」優勢,使得戰局形勢在能動的「以己之能製敵不能」和「己不能時抑敵之能」間的多種狀態下不斷向有利於我方的方向發展。

人機實現深度融合。從廣義上講,人機融合泛指一切人與機器根據各自特點優勢,密切協同開展作業的狀態和過程。隨著人工智慧技術特別是以ChatGPT為代表的多模態大模型的出現,為人機間的知識層面互動奠定了基礎,這在無形之中為作戰籌劃和作戰指揮帶來了新的機會。人作為智慧生物,具有其他器物無法比擬的創造性和思想性。相較於人類,機器的儲存、計算等能力則優勢明顯,具有響應速度快、環境適應性強等特徵。在當前技術條件下,人機融合智能中人的主導性,決定了人機融合作業的基本模式。機器只是作業的工具和實現手段,在一定程度上與作業人員共同成為作業主體,交互輸出也局限於幾個主要變量所限定的可預測變化,且與作業人員自身專業能力和經驗密切相關。隨著技術不斷完善,人的定位或將逐漸轉向宏觀控制,重點掌控戰爭發起時機、規模層次、樣式強度、進程發展、結束時機等戰略性關鍵內容和節點。人機融合的編組並不意味著二者在空間位置和物理上的硬耦合,而是透過機制化、工程化的業務流程和作業程序,圍繞發揮各自所長,實現動態自適應運行。

複雜要素相互關聯。現代戰爭是一個複雜巨系統,特別是在全局作戰、跨域作戰、分散式作戰的當下,圍繞著「殺傷網」的構建和要素級協同,廣域分佈的作戰力量實體、作戰平台、傳感器、武器等進一步解耦,作戰體系逐漸向「去中心」化發展。圍繞作戰目的,聚焦作戰目標,作戰體系中,立體網狀關聯的各種功能性作戰要素,以自組織、自適應方式快速重組聚合,動態形成閉合殺傷鏈。很難如從前一樣,在「偵、控、打、評」的各環節上逐一發現、識別和標定對手體系各標志性節點進而實現體系破擊。這種在力量組織和運行實施中的“黑盒”狀態,使得各方作戰行為的邏輯因果關系更趨“不可解釋性”,“看不懂的戰爭”效應更加凸顯。戰爭在很大程度上是人類思維的對抗,得益於智慧化決策系統的助力,未來戰爭在更廣闊的認知和資訊領域激烈對抗中,作戰意圖的不確定性進一步增大。從最初始的作戰目的,直至末端的作戰手段、作戰方式、力量運用等各方面,都可能出現「錯置」。因此,未來戰爭在戰役戰術層面將更加強調在主動變化中求得平衡,這對更好實現“你打你的,我打我的”,發揮己方優勢提出了更高要求。

2024年11月14日 星期四

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/szb_223187/szbxq/index.html?paperName=jfjb&paperDate=2024-11-14&paperNumber=07&articleid=943398881