Category Archives: Chinese Military Use of Cognitive Confrontation within the Combat Domain

Chinese Military Accelerating Construction of Advanced Combat Capabilities to Effectively Fulfilling Missions and Tasks

中國軍隊加快建立先進作戰能力,以有效完成任務

現代英語:

Auspicious snow welcomes spring, and flowers bloom. The Great Hall of the People once again welcomes the grand event of spring.

Delegates and members of the National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference shouldered heavy responsibilities and gathered together to discuss national affairs. This year marks the beginning of the “15th Five-Year Plan”. Faced with the turbulent international situation and the profoundly evolving war pattern, the proposal put forward at the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee “accelerating the construction of advanced combat capabilities” has become an important topic of concern to military representatives and members.

“Advanced combat capability represents the most advantageous combat capability in information-based and intelligent warfare, and is the ‘weather vane’ of military construction and the ‘controlling high ground’ of military competition. Only by accelerating the development of advanced combat capabilities with a sense of urgency and responsibility that is outdated can we seize the strategic initiative on future battlefields and effectively fulfill the mission and tasks of the new era.” This is a strong consensus among the military representatives and commissioners. With their personal practice from the front lines of exercises and training, border outposts, and scientific research positions, they demonstrated the high morale and spirit of the People’s Army to anchor its goals, shift gears and speed up, and move towards world-class status.

★ System integration and iron fist

When interviewing Representative Qi Weiguang, he showed reporters two charts: one was the training plan of each military branch in the past “with chimneys”, with the color blocks split and shaped like “isolated islands”; the other was the joint exercise and training blueprint of today “building blocks put together”, with the modules interlocking and seamlessly integrated.

“1+1=1, this is the essence of joint operations! ” Qi Weiguang represents a broken word.

He used a joint long-sea cruise as an example to explain how the system “weather vane” reshapes the battlefield. During the entire operation, the “10,000-ton large-wheel drive” no longer “fights alone”, but has transformed into a “maritime information hub” and a “firepower fulcrum”, sharing data in real time with the Air Force’s early warning aircraft, the Navy’s observation station, and the Army’s long-range firepower, weaving precision “Skynet”.

“Any advanced platform will become an ‘information island’ if it is separated from the system. The ‘contingent’ we must seize is system integration and cross-border collaboration! ” Representative Qi Weiguang said.

Representative Chen Song from a synthetic brigade of the Army felt the same way: “In the past, during exercises, we often encountered the embarrassment of‘ the airspace not being open ’‘the frequency band not being connected’. Now, ‘United’ is engraved with combat instinct!” As one of the Army’s first digital unit commanders, he has a particularly deep understanding of systems “weather vanes”. He opened a thick, already slightly curled-edge book he had with him and said: “Before the attack was launched, the army and aviation opened up access roads and covered artillery firepower, each doing their job and cooperating closely. It used to be better than ‘running fast, playing accurately’, but now it looks like ‘connecting well, counting fast’. In one exercise, we achieved ‘discovery is destruction’ under the guidance of a drone, which was unimaginable in the past.”

“Advanced combat capabilities are generated through practical training. We must prioritize ‘battle’, focus on combat, and strive for practical combat! ” Many military representatives and deputies said that the training plans of the troops are no longer divided by “year”, but by “mission cycle”; the assessment standards are no longer “meter-second ring”, but “contribution rate” and “damage value”. When “discovery means destruction” becomes the norm, whoever can move one step faster in system integration will take the initiative on the battlefield.

From “a single military branch” to “a global vision”, from “physical superposition” to “chemical reactions”, the system-integrated “weather vane” is leading the three armies to clench their fingers into a fist and forge advanced combat capabilities that are both strong and sharp.

★ Challenge the extreme and sharpen the blade

The computer screensaver of Representative Wang Wenyi from the Air Force is a photo of a flight jacket armband. This badly worn armband silently tells the story of his blue-sky powerhouse’s pursuit of pushing boundaries and flying into battle.

“Future wars will be decided quickly. The flight scale must be pushed from the ‘pass line’ to the ‘limit value’, in line with actual combat standards! ” Representative Wang Wenyi showed reporters the achievements of the past year: high-intensity cross-day and night confrontation along the coast, with the number of daily flight hours per aircraft reaching new highs; in complex electromagnetic environments, the third generation of aircraft successfully completed the verification of the extreme penetration of new weapons..

“At first, some people questioned: Will it be too risky? My answer is: There is no ‘safe’ on the battlefield.” Representative Wang Wenyi recalled a scene of a dawn attack. That day, clouds were low, visibility was extremely low, and ground guidance was severely limited.“‘ In blind flight’, you must rely on instruments to maintain the formation and resist strong electromagnetic interference. If you only dare to draw a route in ‘10,000 meters of clear sky’ in peacetime, you will be hit in ‘low clouds and thick fog’ in wartime and your head will be bloodied!” Representative Wang Wenyi said firmly.

“‘Liftoff is combat, takeoff is assault’—— This is the iron rule we set. Not only do we need to take our fighter jets to new heights, but we also need to hone our combat effectiveness in extreme environments!” Representative Wang Wenyi’s words expressed the common voice of military representatives and deputies: Only by seamlessly connecting the training ground to the battlefield can we transform “the limit” into “the extreme” and truly seize the winning heights of the future battlefield.

“The countdown has begun to achieve the goals of the 100th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Liberation Army as scheduled. Time is of the essence and the task is arduous, so we must make every effort to overcome it!” When talking about extreme training, Representative Hou Changling from the Rocket Force has a bright eye.

That year, his unit quickly transitioned to “wartime status” as new and old equipment changed.“ Loading, testing, lighting, everything is done as it should be!” Representative Hou Changling still remembers vividly the scene when he encountered a severe sandstorm for decades during his cross-regional training. That time, they overcame environmental factors and operated accurately, setting a record for shooting accuracy in bad weather!

“Missiles must not only ‘hit out’, but also ‘hit accurately, hit hard, and win’. ” Representative Hou Changling’s tone was sonorous. “Please rest assured, Party and people, the ‘Heavenly Sword’ in our hands can be unsheathed at any time!”

“War does not allow us to choose our opponents, and the battlefield does not allow us to choose the weather and environment. ” Representative Luo Yu from the front line of the border defense told reporters that “Snowland Plateau, the temperature sometimes drops to more than -40 degrees Celsius. In the past, there have been cases of playing in the face of severe cold ‘retreating’ and lowering standards; now, we stipulate that all tactical courses must truly set the battlefield as real, the opponent as strong, the environment as dangerous, and the difficulties as sufficient!”

From “training what to take” to “filling in what is missing”, from “wandering at a low level” to “making new strides every year”, extreme training “weather vane” is forging a strong steel team that can win battles.

★ New domain and new quality plan for breakthroughs

Representative Xu Fengcan from the Army has a wonderful video of an ultra-low-altitude penetration saved on his work computer——

Several attack helicopters used terrain cover to launch raids, launching missiles to accurately destroy the “enemy” armor center, and the group immediately approached the ground and hid in the radar blind spot.

“This is not only a breakthrough in equipment capabilities, but also a breakthrough in the concept of breaking through the flat battlefield and forging ‘three-dimensional iron fist’. ” Representative Xu Fengcan introduced that in the past it was “play whatever you want”, and now it is “develop whatever abilities you play”. In recent years, they have paid close attention to cutting-edge technologies such as drone swarm networks, helicopter laser anti-missile, and manned and unmanned coordination, and have continuously deeply integrated new technologies into the force’s combat system. The goal is to achieve combat effectiveness in ultra-low-altitude penetration, promote the transformation of land and aviation forces from support and support to main combat assault, and ensure that they become a “three-dimensional iron fist” that tears apart the defense line on the future battlefield.

“Silent victory is the submariner’s mission! ” Representative Zhang Hongxing from the Navy’s submarine force gave a vivid picture of his understanding of new-quality combat capabilities.

During a drill, “Blue Army” deployed “dragnet” and “Red Army” submarines, using the thermocline as cover, ghostly crossed the anti-submarine network. At a critical moment, saturation attacks severely damaged “enemy” ship formations..

Representative Zhang Hongxing said: “This drill is an innovation in combat concepts, concealment and damage capabilities. It used to be said ‘to be able to go out and come back’, but now it is even more important ‘to be able to hide, play accurately, and run fast’. Our pursuit is to silently demand combat effectiveness to the limit and make the weapons in our hands become the deep sea ‘the magic needle of the sea’!”

“In modern warfare, whoever masters advanced technology masters the ‘life gate’ on the battlefield. ” A committee member from the Information Support Force and a reporter shared a personal story: a new piece of equipment was once “bottlenecked”. At that time, the Party member commando team “challenged and led” fought day and night and finally broke through the barriers, doubling the performance of the equipment.

“To seize ‘the commanding heights’, one must dare to venture ‘no man’s land’ and be willing to sit ‘cold bench’. Over the years, seeing the new equipment bring back combat power, the joy in my heart is unparalleled!” The Commissioner’s pride is palpable.

As a key force in winning future battlefields, new-quality combat effectiveness is related to the direction of war, construction transformation, and combat victory or defeat. Military representatives and deputies said that in order to seize the commanding heights of new territory and new quality and forge sharp swords to defeat the battlefield in the future, the People’s Army is leading the changes in war with changes in science and technology, and seeking opportunities to win battles with new capabilities, laying a solid foundation for winning the future.

Think about change and prepare for construction

■Guo Fengkuan

At the beginning of the Two Sessions, “accelerating the construction of advanced combat capabilities” became a hot topic among military representatives and deputies. Everyone held discussions and exchanges around the themes of “what will be needed on the battlefield in the future, what will be relied upon to win the war, and what will be practiced based on the current situation”. The construction of advanced combat capabilities plays an important role in changing the winning mechanism of war, enriching combat styles and scenarios, and traction of high-tech weapon manufacturing. To continuously improve the strategic ability to defend national sovereignty, security, and development interests, we need to deeply grasp the internal logic of the generation of advanced combat capabilities, systematically sort out the specific methods and paths to accelerate the construction of advanced combat capabilities, and focus on thinking about changes, construction, and preparations for advanced combat capabilities.

In today’s world, a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation is accelerating breakthroughs, and the world’s new military revolution is accelerating. Strategic high-tech technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, blockchain, and quantum technology are competing to burst forth. The widespread use of science and technology in the military field has caused profound changes in the form of war and combat methods, and is increasingly becoming an important factor in determining the victory or defeat of war.

At present, the evolution of war forms is showing many new trends, and intelligent features are more prominent. Some new technical equipment has formed a dimensionality reduction strike posture against traditional equipment. New-quality combat forces represented by strategic early warning, information control, algorithmic attack and defense, unmanned intelligence, etc. are increasingly becoming an important factor influencing the trend of modern warfare. Under the guidance of military intelligence, new-quality combat forces continue to give birth to combat types with higher efficiency and better quality. Advanced combat capabilities are increasingly becoming a powerful force driving the world’s new military revolution.

Accelerating the construction of advanced combat capabilities is not only an integral part of promoting high-quality national defense and military modernization, but also an important means to achieve the goals of the centenary of the founding of the People’s Liberation Army as scheduled. Only by adjusting and optimizing the military force system, accelerating the development of new combat forces, increasing the training of new military talents, and solidly promoting practical military training, and focusing all work on being able to fight and win battles, can the vitality of combat effectiveness elements burst forth and promote the construction of advanced combat effectiveness to a new level.

現代國語:

瑞雪迎春,鲜花吐蕊。人民大会堂再次迎来春天的盛会。

参加全国两会的代表委员肩负重托,齐聚一堂,共商国是。今年是“十五五”开局之年,面对风高浪急的国际形势和深刻演变的战争形态,党的二十届四中全会提出的“加快先进战斗力建设”,成为军队代表委员关注的重要课题。

“先进战斗力代表了信息化智能化战争最具优势的作战能力,是军队建设的‘风向标’和军事竞争的‘制高点’。唯有以时不我待的紧迫感责任感,加快先进战斗力建设,才能在未来战场赢得战略主动,有效履行新时代使命任务。”这是军队代表委员的强烈共识。他们以来自演训一线、边防哨所、科研战位的亲身实践,展现出人民军队锚定目标、换挡提速,向世界一流迈进的昂扬斗志和精神风貌。

体系融合攥铁拳

采访祁伟光代表时,他向记者展示了两张图表:一张是过去各军种“烟囱林立”的训练计划,色块割裂,形同“孤岛”;另一张是如今“积木拼合”的联合演训蓝图,模块咬合,浑然一体。

“1+1=1,这才是联合作战的精髓!”祁伟光代表一语破的。

他以一次远海联合巡航为例,阐释体系“风向标”如何重塑战场形态。在整个行动期间,“万吨大驱”不再“单打独斗”,而是化身为“海上信息枢纽”与“火力支点”,与空军预警机、海军观通站、陆军远程火力实时共享数据,织就精密“天网”。

“任何先进平台,脱离体系即沦为‘信息孤岛’。我们要抢占的‘制高点’,正是体系融合、跨界协同!”祁伟光代表说。

来自陆军某合成旅的陈松代表对此感同身受:“过去演习,常遇到‘空域未开’‘频段不通’的尴尬。如今,‘联合’已刻入战斗本能!”作为陆军首批数字化部队指挥员,他对体系“风向标”的理解尤为深刻。他翻开随身携带、已经有些卷边的一本厚厚资料说:“进攻发起前,陆航开辟通路、炮兵火力覆盖,各司其职、密切配合。过去比‘跑得快、打得准’,现在看‘联得好、算得快’。一次演习中,我们在无人机引导下实现‘发现即摧毁’,这在过去难以想象。”

“先进战斗力是在实战化训练中生成的,要‘战’字当头,一切向打仗聚焦、一切向实战用劲!”很多军队代表委员表示,现在部队的训练计划,不再按“年度”划分,而是按“任务周期”划分;考核标准,不再是“米秒环”,而是“贡献率”和“毁伤值”。当“发现即摧毁”成为常态,谁能在体系融合中快人一步,谁就掌握了战场的主动权。

从“单一军种”到“全域视野”,从“物理叠加”到“化学反应”,体系融合的“风向标”,正引领三军攥指成拳,锻造披坚执锐的先进战斗力。

挑战极限砺刀锋

来自空军的王文毅代表的电脑屏保,是一张飞行夹克臂章照片。这个磨损严重的臂章无声诉说着他所在的这支蓝天劲旅突破极限、向战而飞的追求。

“未来战争瞬息决胜,飞行标尺须从‘及格线’推向‘极限值’,向实战标准看齐!”王文毅代表向记者展示了过去一年的成绩:沿海高强度跨昼夜对抗,单机日飞行时数屡创新高;复杂电磁环境下,三代机成功完成新型武器极限突防验证……

“刚开始,也有人质疑:会不会太冒险?我的回答是:战场没有‘保险箱’。”王文毅代表忆及一次拂晓出击的场景。那天,云层低垂,能见度极低,地面引导严重受限。“‘盲飞’中,既要靠仪表保持编队,又要抗强电磁干扰。如果平时只敢在‘万米晴空’上画航线,战时就会在‘低云浓雾’里撞得头破血流!”王文毅代表坚定地说。

“‘升空即作战、起飞即突击’——这是我们立的铁规。不仅要让战机飞出新高度,更要锤炼极限环境下的过硬战斗力!”王文毅代表的话,道出军队代表委员的共同心声:训练场无缝对接战场,方能化“极限”为“极致”,真正抢占未来战场的制胜高点。

“如期实现建军一百年奋斗目标,已进入倒计时。时间紧迫、任务艰巨,唯有全力攻坚!”谈起极限训练,来自火箭军的侯长岭代表目光炯炯。

当年,他所在部队在新老装备更替之际快速转入“战时状态”。“装载、测试、点火,一切皆如实战!”回忆跨区驻训遭遇数十年不遇特大沙尘暴的情景,侯长岭代表记忆犹新。那次,他们克服环境因素精准操作,一举创造恶劣天气射击精度纪录!

“导弹不仅要‘打出去’,更要‘打得准、打得狠、打得赢’。”侯长岭代表语气铿锵,“请党和人民放心,我们手中的‘倚天长剑’,随时能听令出鞘!”

“战争不会让我们选择对手,战场也不会让我们选择天气和环境。”来自边防一线的罗宇代表告诉记者,“雪域高原,气温有时低至零下40多摄氏度。曾经,出现过在严寒面前打‘退堂鼓’、降低标准的情况;现在,我们规定,所有战术课目必须真正做到把战场设真、把对手设强,把环境设险、把困难设足!”

从“考什么练什么”到“缺什么补什么”,从“低层次徘徊”到“岁岁新跨越”,极限训练的“风向标”,正锻造出一支支能打胜仗的钢铁劲旅。

新域新质谋突破

来自陆军的徐枫灿代表的工作电脑上,保存着一段超低空突防的精彩视频——

数架武装直升机凭借地形掩护突袭,发射导弹精准摧毁“敌”装甲中枢,机群旋即贴近地面隐入雷达盲区。

“这不仅是装备能力的突破,更是打破平面战场、锻造‘立体铁拳’的理念突围。”徐枫灿代表介绍,过去是“有什么打什么”,现在是“打什么就发展什么能力”。这几年,他们密切关注无人机蜂群组网、直升机激光反导、有人无人协同等前沿技术,不断将新技术深度融入部队作战体系,目标就是要向超低空突防要战斗力,推动陆航力量从支援保障转向主战突击,确保在未来战场上成为撕开防线的“立体铁拳”。

“决胜无声,是潜艇兵的使命!”来自海军潜艇部队的张洪星代表对新质战斗力的理解生动形象。

在一次演练中,“蓝军”布下“天罗地网”,“红军”潜艇借温跃层掩护,幽灵般穿越反潜网,关键时刻饱和攻击重创“敌”舰艇编队……

张洪星代表说:“这次演练,是作战理念、隐蔽与毁伤能力的革新。过去讲‘出得去、回得来’,现在更要‘藏得住、打得准、跑得快’。我们的追求,就是向极限静默要战斗力,让手中的武器成为深海‘定海神针’!”

“现代战争,谁掌握了先进技术,谁就掌握了战场的‘命门’。”来自信息支援部队的一名委员和记者分享了一个亲身经历的故事:某新装备曾受“卡脖子”之困。当时,党员突击队“揭榜挂帅”,昼夜奋战,终于突破壁垒,装备性能倍增。

“抢占‘制高点’,要敢闯‘无人区’、甘坐‘冷板凳’。这些年,眼见着新装备焕发战力,内心的喜悦无与伦比!”这位委员的自豪感溢于言表。

作为制胜未来战场的关键力量,新质战斗力关乎战争走向、关乎建设转型、关乎作战胜负。军队代表委员表示,抢占新域新质制高点,锻造决胜未来战场的尖刀利刃,人民军队正以科技之变引领战争之变,以能力之新谋取胜战之机,为制胜未来夯实根基。

思变革 抓建设 做准备

■郭丰宽

两会伊始,“加快先进战斗力建设”成为军队代表委员热议的话题。大家围绕“未来战场要什么、打赢战争靠什么、立足当前练什么”主题,开展讨论交流。先进战斗力建设具有改变战争制胜机理、丰富作战样式场景、牵引高新武器制造等重要作用。不断提高捍卫国家主权、安全、发展利益的战略能力,需要深刻把握先进战斗力生成的内在逻辑,系统梳理加快先进战斗力建设的具体方法路径,聚焦先进战斗力思变革、抓建设、做准备。

当今世界,新一轮科技革命和产业变革加速突破,世界新军事革命加速推进,人工智能、大数据、区块链、量子科技等战略高新技术竞相迸发,科学技术在军事领域的广泛运用引起战争形态和作战方式深刻变化,日益成为决定战争胜负的重要因素。

当前,战争形态演变呈现很多新趋势,智能化特征更加突出,一些新的技术装备对传统装备形成降维打击态势,以战略预警、信息控制、算法攻防、无人智能等为代表的新质作战力量愈发成为左右现代战争趋势的重要因素。新质作战力量在军事智能牵引下,不断孕育出效能更高、质态更优的战斗力类型,先进战斗力愈益成为驱动世界新军事革命的强劲力量。

加快推进先进战斗力建设,既是高质量推进国防和军队现代化的题中应有之义,也是如期实现建军一百年奋斗目标的重要抓手。调整优化军事力量体系,加快新型作战力量发展,加大新型军事人才培养力度,扎实推进实战化军事训练,各项工作向能打仗、打胜仗聚焦,方能让战斗力要素的活力竞相迸发,推动先进战斗力建设不断迈上新台阶。

来源:解放军报 作者:钱晓虎 郭丰宽 彭冰洁 责任编辑:徐占虎 2026-03-05

解放军报记者 钱晓虎 郭丰宽 彭冰洁

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.mod.gov.cn/

China’s Contemporary Requirements for Accelerating the Development of Advanced Combat Capabilities

我國加快發展先進作戰能力的當代要求

現代英語:

Combat effectiveness is the ultimate determining factor in the rise and fall of an army. It not only affects the operational methods and actual effectiveness of armed forces, but also safeguards the survival, security, and long-term stability of a nation and its people. Advanced combat effectiveness is the latest viewpoint on combat effectiveness development put forward by our Party after President Xi Jinping’s profound exposition of the original and iconic concept of “new-type combat effectiveness.” In January 2019, President Xi Jinping pointed out at the Central Military Commission’s military work conference: “We must strengthen the construction of new types of combat forces and increase the proportion of new-type combat effectiveness.” Since then, President Xi has repeatedly discussed this important issue, emphasizing “building a powerful strategic deterrent force system and increasing the proportion of new-type combat forces in new domains” and “promoting the accelerated improvement of new-type combat effectiveness.” It is precisely on the basis of the practical experience of the formation and development of new-type combat effectiveness in our army in the new era that the new idea and new conclusion of “advanced combat effectiveness” has emerged. Advanced combat capability is a higher form of combat capability, led and supported by new-type combat capability. It emphasizes the large-scale, practical, and systematic application of new-type combat capability, focuses on theoretical innovation, intelligent enhancement, system upgrade, intelligence enhancement, and weapon and equipment upgrade. It also includes the upgrading and creative application of traditional combat capability. It is the evolution of the form, capacity expansion, and quality upgrade of new-type combat capability.

  Advanced combat capabilities represent the development trend of military transformation, military intelligence, and military combat methods. They are a new growth point for combat power and a commanding height on the future battlefield. The “Suggestions of the CPC Central Committee on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development” (hereinafter referred to as the “Suggestions”), adopted at the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, is based on the overall strategic situation of China’s modernization. It makes arrangements for achieving the centenary goal of the People’s Liberation Army on schedule and promoting the modernization of national defense and the armed forces with high quality. It proposes “accelerating the construction of advanced combat capabilities,” pointing out the direction and providing a benchmark for achieving the centenary goal of the People’s Liberation Army on schedule and further improving the quality and efficiency of national defense and military modernization from a new starting point. We must thoroughly study and understand the spirit of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, deeply comprehend the firm will and far-sighted planning of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core in building a consolidated national defense and a powerful army, and continuously creating a new situation in the cause of building a strong military in the new era. We must profoundly grasp the requirements of the times for accelerating the construction of advanced combat capabilities, actively seize the commanding heights of military struggle, seek new advantages in military competition, focus on advanced combat capabilities to think about reforms, grasp construction, and make preparations, promote the work of preparing for war in the new era to go deeper and more practical, and continuously improve the strategic capability to safeguard national sovereignty, security, and development interests.

  Advanced combat capabilities are proposed based on a profound understanding of global military development trends, the leapfrog development of new-type productive forces, and the laws governing the modernization of the armed forces.

  President Xi Jinping pointed out: “For a country and a nation to revitalize, it must advance in the logic of historical progress and develop in the trend of the times.” Advanced combat capability is an original and iconic concept of Xi Jinping’s thought on strengthening the military. It is a scientific deployment made by the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, which has keenly grasped the trends of world military development and the laws governing the evolution of warfare, deeply understood the new situation of efficient integration and two-way driving between new-type productive forces and new-type combat capabilities, and scientifically grasped the achievements, historical position, and mission of national defense and military modernization in the new era.

  The development of the new military revolution and the evolution of warfare are powerfully driving changes in combat capabilities. In today’s world, a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation is accelerating, and the new military revolution is progressing rapidly. Strategic high-tech fields such as artificial intelligence, network information, big data, blockchain, quantum technology, biotechnology, and nanomaterials are emerging in rapid succession. The widespread application of science and technology in the military field has profoundly changed the nature of warfare and combat methods, increasingly becoming a crucial factor in determining victory or defeat. The evolution of warfare is showing many new trends, with increasingly prominent intelligent characteristics. Some new technologies and equipment are creating a disruptive advantage over traditional equipment. New types of combat forces, represented by strategic early warning, information control, algorithmic attack and defense, and unmanned intelligence, are increasingly becoming important forces shaping the modern battlefield. Thanks to the rapid advancements in technologies such as artificial intelligence and military robots, the “autonomous capabilities” of weapons and equipment—including autonomous battlefield perception, autonomous combat decision-making, autonomous planning, and autonomous action—are becoming increasingly stronger, elevating them from “execution tools” to “intelligent nodes.” The deep integration of drones and artificial intelligence recognition technology has resulted in a “long-range pursuit” deterrent effect. The coordinated use of firepower strikes and cyberattacks is creating an integrated hardware and software offensive system with full-domain coverage. Driven by military intelligence, new types of combat capabilities are constantly emerging, with higher efficiency and superior quality. Advanced combat capabilities are increasingly becoming a powerful force driving the new military revolution in the world.

  The vigorous development of new-type productive forces is driving the upgrading and improvement of combat capabilities. The generation and upgrading of any combat capability is the application and extension of productive forces in the military field under a certain social structure. New-type productive forces are advanced productive forces characterized by high technology, high efficiency, and high quality, with innovation playing a leading role. They represent the most active, technologically advanced, promising, and influential productive force in contemporary society. The rapid development of new-type productive forces provides advanced science and technology and a solid material foundation for the generation of new-type combat capabilities, while also providing the driving force and support for their upgrading and transformation, becoming a key variable in reshaping the form of warfare, reconstructing combat systems, and reorganizing command elements. New-type combat capabilities originate from breakthroughs in key common technologies, cutting-edge leading technologies, and disruptive technologies. They rely on emerging technological means and advanced combat concepts, fully embedding information technology genes and integrating into networked systems. Utilizing new technologies, new equipment, and new tactics, they enable military systems to exhibit new advantages such as strategic guidance, information empowerment, network aggregation, technological strength, and systemic energy release. With the rapid development and widespread application of new-type combat capabilities, the advanced combat capability form they dominate will inevitably emerge, becoming a powerful engine for promoting the transformation and development of modern military systems.

  The significant achievements in national defense and military modernization in the new era have laid a solid foundation for advanced combat capabilities. Since the beginning of the new era, President Xi Jinping, based on the overall strategic situation of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and the unprecedented changes in the world, has used the goal of building a strong military to examine and guide the construction of combat capabilities, promoting the vigorous development of all elements of combat capabilities. The reform of national defense and the military has been deepened, forming a new pattern of overall command by the Central Military Commission, combat command by the theater commands, and development by the services. New combat force systems, such as the military aerospace force, cyberspace force, and information support force, have been established and adjusted, achieving a holistic and revolutionary reshaping of the organizational structure and force system. The development of strategic emerging industries and new combat forces has been promoted in a coordinated manner, yielding a series of significant results. The modernization of weaponry has been accelerated, with new fourth-generation equipment, represented by new tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and fighter jets, being deployed to the troops. Major national weapons, represented by the “Dongfeng-5C” liquid-fueled intercontinental strategic nuclear missile, have been showcased at military parades. The first electromagnetic catapult-equipped aircraft carrier, the Fujian, has officially entered service. The strategy of strengthening the military through talent has been implemented in depth, and high-quality, professional, and new-type military personnel are rapidly growing. These revolutionary advancements and historic achievements in the new era have enabled new combat capabilities to continuously accumulate momentum and be optimized and upgraded from concept to planning to practice, providing a solid fertile ground for the birth of advanced combat capabilities through military practice.

  Advanced combat capabilities possess distinct characteristics of the times, innovation, and dialectical nature.

  President Xi Jinping pointed out: “The military must be prepared to fight, and all work must adhere to the standard of combat effectiveness, focusing on the ability to fight and win wars.” Looking back on history, our military has grown from small to large, from weak to strong, and has continuously moved from victory to victory. A crucial lesson learned is the consistent emphasis on combat effectiveness development, the dynamic upgrading of combat capabilities, and the measurement of development effectiveness using actual combat standards. With technological progress and the development of the times, the form of warfare is rapidly evolving, and the connotation, elements, and characteristics of combat effectiveness are constantly undergoing new changes. Only by actively adapting to the development trend of the military revolution and keenly grasping the pulse of the times and the strong demands of combat effectiveness evolution can we clarify what kind of wars we will fight and how we will fight them, anchor the logical basis of war preparation, and accurately identify the direction of the military’s combat effectiveness development. Advanced combat effectiveness is an important concept proposed by President Xi Jinping in leading the modernization of national defense and the military, based on building a new type of military force system, accelerating the construction of new-quality combat effectiveness, improving the quality and efficiency of winning battles, and fulfilling missions and tasks to a high standard. It possesses distinct characteristics of timeliness, innovation, and dialectical thinking.

  Advanced combat capabilities embody the development direction of military intelligence. Currently, adhering to the integrated development of mechanization, informatization, and intelligence, with mechanization as the foundation, informatization as the support, and intelligence as the guide, is an important path for our military to advance modernization. Traditional combat capabilities are based on mechanical and chemical energy, emphasizing the superposition of personnel, weapons, and forces, and focusing on the struggle for physical space such as land, sea, air, and space. New-type combat capabilities, based on traditional combat capabilities, rely more on new energy sources such as data, algorithms, and computing power, emphasizing the implantation of data elements, algorithmic elements, and cross-domain elements, and focusing on defeating the enemy in emerging fields such as the network domain, information domain, and cognitive domain. Advanced combat capabilities adapt to the new trend of future warfare leaping from “energy-dominated” to “information-dominated” and then to “intelligence-dominated.” They not only focus on the “new quality” composition of combat capabilities and emphasize the leading role of new-type combat capabilities, but also focus on the “superiority” of the application effectiveness of new-type combat capabilities, giving full play to their scale, combat realism, and systemic effects, and emphasizing the use of military intelligence to transform the combat capability generation structure and continuously improve the intelligence level of combat capabilities.

  Advanced combat capability signifies a comprehensive iterative upgrade of all elements of combat capability. Essentially, advanced combat capability is high-quality combat capability, driven by innovation, empowered by technology, and enhanced by intelligence, exhibiting prominent characteristics such as high intelligence, high technology, high quality, and high integration. On the one hand, advanced combat capability requires a comprehensive iterative upgrade of all constituent elements of combat capability, ensuring that the soul of military theory, the structure of organizational form, the core of military personnel, and the support of weaponry fully implement the principles of quality first and efficiency priority, promoting quality transformation, efficiency transformation, and power transformation, and driving the widespread penetration and deep empowerment of intelligent technology into people, weapons, and their integration methods, thereby generating advanced combat capability through comprehensive element optimization. On the other hand, advanced combat capability relies more heavily on the integrated linkage of the entire military system, transforming the way combat capability is released from “points” to “areas,” the presentation of effectiveness from fragmented to aggregated, and the human-machine relationship from “master-slave cooperation” to “intelligent symbiosis,” optimizing the entire military system’s output and release efficiency of combat capability, and using the “superiority” of the system structure to generate “strength” in combat capability.

  Advanced combat capabilities embody a materialist dialectical approach to military thinking. Advanced combat capabilities are not fixed, static, or passive. They are relative, representing a lead over stronger adversaries, possessing a clear advantage of being one step ahead, one point ahead, and one unit faster than the enemy. Advanced combat capabilities are dynamic; all “advanced” capabilities are evolving, a process of advanced technology leading tradition and new technologies transforming old ones. Today’s advancement does not guarantee tomorrow’s, and temporary advancement does not guarantee permanent advancement. From the perspective of ultimate operational effectiveness, “advanced” capabilities necessarily mean high efficiency defeating low efficiency, high quality crushing low quality, and strong military intelligence surpassing weak military intelligence. Advanced combat capabilities possess agency, exhibiting initiative that is not subject to external control, the ability to leverage strengths and avoid weaknesses, and the flexibility, resilience, and dynamism to adapt to the latest military developments and changes in the war environment. The original and iconic concept of advanced combat capability creatively reveals the dialectical unity of advanced and backward, quality and scale, and initiative and passivity in the generation of military capabilities. It profoundly reveals the general laws of combat capability generation, development and leap, expands the new vision of military theory, deepens the new understanding of military theory, realizes the innovative transformation and systematic reform of the constituent elements of combat capability, and opens up a new path for liberating and developing combat capability.

  The concept of advanced combat capability represents a breakthrough in multiple aspects of the history of military theory development.

  Standing at the forefront of the times, President Xi has profoundly grasped the laws governing the military transformation and the evolution of modern warfare in the new era. He has made theoretical innovations in combat capability building, enriched and developed the Marxist theoretical system on combat capability building, promoted the theoretical innovation and transformation of the Party’s combat capability form, transcended the logical limitations of Western theories on combat capability generation, and achieved multiple strategic value breakthroughs in the history of military thought and the history of military theory development.

  This has enriched and developed the Marxist theoretical system on combat capability building. Marx and Engels profoundly understood the intrinsic connection between military and political, economic, and other social factors, scientifically grasped the essence and laws of military activities, and emphasized that “the nature and type of armed forces, as well as their characteristics, equipment, and tactics, and the organization and training methods of the troops, depend on the level of development of productive forces, on the social system, and on the class structure of society.” They formed a theoretical understanding of the constituent elements of military combat capability and the laws governing their generation and development, providing scientific guidance for the proletarian party to build its own armed forces and improve its combat capability. President Xi Jinping adheres to the Marxist military view and methodology, based on the new characteristics of the times and the new realities of the PLA’s development, and has put forward a series of concepts and propositions such as “science and technology are the core combat capability of modern warfare,” “scientific military theory is combat capability,” and “new-quality combat capability.” He scientifically revealed the generation mode and evolution law of combat capability under the conditions of the information and intelligent era, leading the PLA’s combat capability to achieve a new leap forward and enriching and developing the Marxist military theoretical conceptual system.

  This has driven the innovation and transformation of the Party’s theory on combat effectiveness. Throughout the history of building and strengthening the People’s Liberation Army, our Party has always attached great importance to improving the army’s combat effectiveness. During the period of the New Democratic Revolution, our Party raised the issue of “improving the combat effectiveness of the main force,” and in practice, maintained strong combat effectiveness through extremely insightful strategic guidance, flexible strategies and tactics, rigorous training, and courageous spirit. On the eve of the founding of the People’s Republic of China, Comrade Mao Zedong clearly pointed out: “The People’s Liberation Army will always be a fighting force.” In the new era of reform and opening up and socialist modernization, Comrade Deng Xiaoping pointed out that “the army must improve its combat effectiveness,” leading our army to continuously develop its combat effectiveness through streamlining, reorganization, reform, and strengthened training. With the continuous liberation and development of productive forces, our Party emphasized “using science and technology to promote training” and “using science and technology to train troops,” promoting new improvements in combat effectiveness. Entering the new era, President Xi Jinping scientifically grasped the trend of implementing the new development philosophy and developing new-quality productive forces, focusing on achieving the Party’s goal of building a strong military in the new era. Based on emphasizing firmly establishing combat effectiveness as the sole fundamental standard, he put forward scientific conclusions such as “strengthening the construction of new types of combat forces” and “fully liberating and developing new-quality combat effectiveness,” providing important guidance for the iterative upgrading of our army’s combat effectiveness. “Advanced combat capability” is a condensation, sublimation, and innovative development of the Party’s historical experience in building combat capability. It enriches the scientific theory of the Party’s military combat capability in the new era and has become a new concept and category with great guiding significance and ideological power in Xi Jinping’s thought on strengthening the military. It lays a solid foundation for the systematization, physics, and chemistry of the Party’s military theory in the new era.

  This transcends the logical limitations of Western theories of combat power generation. Engels profoundly pointed out that “the entire organization and mode of warfare of an army, and the outcome of battles related to it, depend on material, i.e., economic conditions,” which laid the historical materialist methodological foundation for combat power research. However, for a long time, technology worship and the “weaponry determinism” were prevalent in the issue of combat power construction, leading to the misconception that combat power was only about “things” and not “people.” For example, the US military once used technological superiority to completely defeat many weaker adversaries, but its “military transformation” frequently fell into the logic of “replacing combat platforms” with old weapons. The concept of advanced combat capability, starting from the foundation of new-type combat capability, uses “new” to identify technological breakthroughs, “quality” to characterize qualitative changes in combat capability structure, and “combat effectiveness” to measure the effectiveness of combat capability construction and application. It strengthens the ecosystem of combat capability generation, integrates theory, data, algorithms, talent, and organization into the productivity and combat capability fusion system, shifts the focus of combat capability from weapons competition to system confrontation, reshapes the underlying logic of combat capability generation, and forms a combat capability generation theory with Chinese characteristics. It effectively gets rid of the misconceptions of combat capability generation such as over-reliance on technology and materials, and the separation of political goals from military means, and lays a solid foundation for building China’s independent military knowledge system.

  Scientifically construct an advanced combat capability generation, development, and maintenance system

  President Xi Jinping emphasized: “Improving the operational efficiency of the military system and promoting the high-quality development of our armed forces.” The theme of my country’s economic and social development during the 15th Five-Year Plan period is promoting high-quality development. This is not only an inevitable choice for developing new productive forces on the new journey, but also an inevitable principle for strengthening advanced combat capabilities. We must thoroughly implement Xi Jinping’s thought on strengthening the military, deeply understand the deployment requirements of the “Suggestions,” accurately grasp the phased characteristics of the next five years and even longer, highlight the theme of promoting high-quality development, consistently uphold and strengthen the Party’s absolute leadership over the military, advance political building of the military, reform and strengthening of the military, technological strengthening of the military, talent strengthening of the military, and rule of law in the military, uphold principles and innovate in the overall planning of advanced combat capability building, construct a modern military force system with Chinese characteristics, continuously improve combat capabilities, and enhance the strategic capability to safeguard national sovereignty, security, and development interests.

  We must persist in promoting the high-quality development of all elements of combat capability. In future warfare, with the continuous strengthening of new domain and new quality forces and the rapid development of technologies such as unmanned and intelligent systems, combat capability generation will exhibit a trend of comprehensive upgrading, presenting new characteristics such as three-dimensional, mobile, and efficiency-oriented optimization. We must focus on the new trends in the development of warfare, accelerate the modernization of military theory, earnestly implement President Xi Jinping’s important expositions on combat capability building, analyze the winning mechanisms of informationized and intelligent warfare, and promote the flourishing development of core combat capability theories such as military strategy, operational thinking, and military modernization. Adapting to the significantly enhanced overall, coordinated, and complex nature of military system operations, we must ensure the implementation of reform tasks, continuously optimize the military force system, and do a good job in modernizing military governance to improve the efficiency of combat capability extraction and aggregation. We must combine investment in materials with investment in people, adhere to the principle of cultivating, evaluating, and utilizing talent from a political perspective, build a military talent pool adapted to the requirements of intelligent warfare, further accelerate the development of advanced weaponry and equipment, improve the intelligence level of weaponry and equipment, implement major national defense development projects, expedite national defense science and technology innovation and the transformation of advanced technologies, and develop and build more “killer” weapons and equipment capable of defeating the enemy.

  Make good use of military intelligence as a powerful engine for upgrading combat capabilities. With breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, the trend of human society moving from informatization to intelligence is also reflected in the military field. The “mast” of military intelligence has appeared on the “sea level” of the evolution of warfare, and information warfare with intelligent characteristics is beginning to take shape. It is imperative to accelerate the coordinated construction and application of network information systems. Networks are the carriers and channels of information and intelligence; under modern warfare conditions, network information systems have become a core support. We must coordinate the construction and application of network information systems, strengthen the development and utilization of data resources, achieve interconnection and interoperability between combat units and various weapon systems, build a distributed, reconfigurable, and resilient combat network, and accelerate the improvement of network information system construction and service support capabilities for combat readiness. It is also imperative to build an intelligent military system, accelerate the transformation and application of cutting-edge technologies in the field of artificial intelligence to the military, accelerate the construction of unmanned intelligent combat forces and countermeasure capabilities, and enable military intelligence to better and faster integrate into, drive, and empower the system.

  Cultivating the integrated development of new-type productive forces is the lifeblood of combat capability building. In today’s world, the technological revolution, industrial transformation, and military revolution are accelerating, and national strategic competitiveness, social productivity, and military combat capability are becoming increasingly interconnected, mutually influential, and mutually supportive. Promoting the efficient integration and two-way synergy between new-type productive forces and new-type combat capabilities is a fundamental requirement for achieving the unity of a prosperous nation and a strong military, and it is the lifeblood of accelerating the development of advanced combat capabilities. We must innovate the models of combat capability building and application, actively guide the direction of new-type productive forces and new-type combat capabilities according to the needs of military struggle, improve and perfect institutional mechanisms for demand alignment, planning coordination, and resource sharing, highlight the top priority of promoting strategic capabilities in emerging fields, vigorously promote the development and integrated application of new types of military talent, new types of combat equipment, new organizational forms, and new tactics, continuously consolidate the material foundation for social production to serve future warfare, accelerate the supply of new-type combat capabilities, and ensure that wartime military combat capabilities and social productivity are effectively focused and precisely released on the battlefield, so as to win future wars with a strong and sustainable overall national strength.

  Emphasizing realistic combat training as a crucial lever for catalyzing combat effectiveness is essential. Realistic combat training serves as a bridge and means to achieve efficient integration of personnel, weaponry, and organizational systems. It possesses a strong capacity for integrating and transforming various resources and elements involved in combat capability generation, and is a vital pathway for generating, developing, and strengthening advanced combat capabilities. President Xi Jinping, with profound insight into the key to developing advanced combat capabilities, has called for “strengthening the consistency between combat and training, adhering to the principle of training guided by combat and promoting combat through training, ensuring training according to actual combat requirements, and achieving the integration of operations and training,” and “improving the level of full-cycle, refined training management,” thus pointing out the “realistic” path for generating advanced combat capabilities. It is necessary to deepen strategic and operational planning, solidly advance realistic combat military training, strengthen the integration of combat capability systems, innovate combat capability construction and application models, vigorously carry out modern training in conjunction with combat readiness building, joint exercises and training, and the application of diversified military forces, strengthen targeted and confrontational training, and continuously improve the combat capabilities of the troops.

  (The author is a researcher at the Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era Research Center of the National Defense University.)

  People’s Daily (November 17, 2025, Page 9)

現代國語:

戰鬥力是一支軍隊興衰成敗的最終決定力量,不僅影響武裝力量的作戰方式和實際效能,更維繫著一個國家和一個民族的生存安全和長治久安。先進戰鬥力,是習主席深刻論述「新質戰鬥力」這個原創性概念標識性概念之後,我們黨提出的關於戰鬥力建設的最新觀點。 2019年1月,習主席在中央軍委會軍事工作會議中指出:「要加強新型作戰力量建設,增加新質戰鬥力比重。」此後,習主席多次論述這一重要問題,強調「打造強大戰略威懾力量體系,增加新域新質作戰力量比重」「推動新質戰鬥力加速提升」等。正是在新時代我軍新質戰鬥力形成發展的實踐基礎上,「先進戰鬥力」這個新思想新論斷應運而生。先進戰鬥力是更高級形態的戰鬥力,以新質戰鬥力為引領和支撐,強調新質戰鬥力的規模化、實戰化、體系化運用,注重理論創新、智能加持、體系升級、才智升維、武器裝備升級,同時還包括對傳統戰鬥力的升級改造和創造性運用,是新質戰鬥力的形態升級和容量、質量升級。

先進戰力代表軍事變革、軍事智慧和軍事作戰方式的發展趨勢,是戰鬥力的新增長點、未來戰場的製高點。黨的二十屆四中全會通過的《中共中央關於製定國民經濟和社會發展第十五個五年規劃的建議》(以下簡稱《建議》),立足中國式現代化戰略全局,對如期實現建軍一百年奮鬥目標、高質量推進國防和軍隊現代化作出部署,提出“加快建設戰力建設目標”,為在新世界建設方向上提供了現代優勢、標準建設目標、建設發展能力建設目標、建設發展了一百年總發展在新軍隊起點。我們要深入學習領會黨的二十屆四中全會精神,深刻領悟以習近平同志為核心的黨中央建設鞏固國防和強大軍隊、不斷開創新時代強軍事業新局面的堅定意志和深謀遠慮,深刻把握加快先進戰鬥力建設的時代要求,積極搶佔軍事鬥爭制高點、謀取軍事競爭發展新優勢,聚焦先進戰鬥力思變革、抓建設、做準備,推動新時代備戰打仗工作走深走實,不斷提高捍衛國家主權、安全、發展利益戰略能力。

先進戰力是深刻洞察世界軍事發展趨勢、新質生產力躍升態勢和軍隊現代化發展規律提出的

習主席指出:「一個國家、一個民族要振興,就必須在歷史前進的邏輯中前進、在時代發展的潮流中發展。」先進戰鬥力,是習近平強軍思想的原創性概念標識性概念,是以習近平同志為核心的黨中央敏銳掌握世界軍事發展趨勢與戰爭形態演變規律,深刻洞察新質生產力與新質戰鬥力高效融合、雙向拉動嶄新態勢,科學掌握新時代國防與軍隊現代化發展成就、歷史方位與使命任務所作的科學部署。

世界新軍事革命發展與戰爭形態演變強勁推動戰鬥力形態變革。當今世界,新一輪科技革命和產業變革加速突破,世界新軍事革命加速推進,人工智慧、網路資訊、大數據、區塊鏈、量子科技、生物交叉、奈米材料等戰略高新技術群體迸發,科學技術在軍事領域的廣泛運用引起了戰爭形態和作戰方式深刻變化,日益成為決定戰爭勝負的重要因素。戰爭形態演變呈現許多新趨勢,智能化特徵更加突出,一些新的技術裝備對傳統裝備形成降維打擊態勢,以戰略預警、資訊控制、演算法攻防、無人智能等為代表的新質作戰力量愈發成為左右現代戰場的重要力量。憑藉著人工智慧和軍用機器人等技術的快速進步,武器裝備的自主戰場感知、自主作戰決策、自主規劃計畫、自主採取行動等「自主能力」越來越強,從「執行工具」升維成「智慧節點」。無人機與人工智慧辨識技術深度融合,出現「千里追殺」震懾效果。火力打擊與網電攻擊有序配合,打造出軟硬一體、全域覆蓋的進攻體系。新質戰鬥力在軍事智慧牽引下,不斷孕育效能更高、質態更優的戰鬥力類型,先進戰鬥力癒益成為驅動世界新軍事革命的強勁力量。

新質生產力的蓬勃發展連動拉升戰鬥力建設提質升級。任何戰鬥力的生成、升級,都是一定社會形態下生產力在軍事領域的運用與延伸。新質生產力是創新起主導作用,具有高科技、高效、高品質特徵的先進生產力質態,是當今社會創新最活躍、技術最前沿、前景最廣闊、影響最廣泛的生產力構成。新質生產力的快速發展,既為新質戰鬥力生成提供了先進科學技術和雄厚物質基礎,也為其提供了升級換代的牽引力、支撐力,成為重塑戰爭形態、重建作戰體系、重組指揮要素的關鍵變數。新質戰鬥力源自關鍵共通技術、前沿引領技術與顛覆性技術創新突破,依托新興科技手段與先進作戰理念,全要素植入資訊化基因、融進網路化體系,運用新科技、新裝備、新戰法,使軍事體系呈現出謀略導能、資訊賦能、網路聚能、科技強能、體系釋能等新優勢。隨著新質戰鬥力的快速發展和廣泛運用,由其主導的先進戰鬥力形態必然顯現出來,成為推動現代軍事體系變革發展的有力引擎。

新時代國防與軍隊現代化重大成就奠定先進戰鬥力厚實基礎。新時代以來,習主席立足中華民族偉大復興戰略全局和世界百年未有之大變局,用強軍目標審視和牽引戰鬥力建設,推動戰力各要素的活力競相迸發。深化國防與軍事改革,形成軍委管總、戰區主戰、軍種主建新格局,先後組成調整軍事太空部隊、網路太空部隊、資訊支援部隊等新型作戰力量體系,實現了組織架構和力量體系整體性、革命性重塑。統籌推動戰略性新興產業和新型作戰力量發展,取得一系列重大成果。加速武器裝備更新換代,以新型戰車、艦載機、殲擊機等為代表的新型四代裝備列裝部隊,以「東風—5C」液體洲際戰略核子飛彈等為代表的大國重器亮相閱兵場,首艘電磁彈射型航母福建艦正式入列。人才強軍戰略深入實施,高素質專業化新型軍事人才加速成長。新時代這些革命性進展和歷史性成就,使新質戰鬥力由概念到規劃、到實踐,不斷累積成勢、優化升級,為先進戰鬥力誕生提供了堅實的軍事實踐沃土。

先進戰鬥力具有鮮明的時代性、創新性、辯證性

習主席指出:「軍隊是要準備打仗的,一切工作都必須堅持戰鬥力標準,向能打仗、打勝仗聚焦。」回顧歷史,我軍從小到大、由弱到強,不斷從勝利走向勝利,一條重要經驗,就是始終注重戰鬥力建設,推進作戰能力動態衡量,用實戰標準建設成效。隨著科技進步和時代發展,戰爭形態加速演變,戰鬥力內涵、要素和特徵不斷發生新的變化。只有積極適應軍事革命發展趨勢,敏銳掌握戰鬥力演變的時代脈動和強勁需求,才能明晰未來打什麼仗、怎麼打仗,錨定戰爭準備的邏輯基點,找準軍隊戰鬥力發展方向。先進戰鬥力,就是習主席在領導國防和軍隊現代化的時代征程中,基於打造新型軍事力量體系、加速新質戰鬥力建設、提高勝戰能力質效、高標準履行使命任務提出的重要概念,具有鮮明的時代性、創新性、辯證性等特徵。

先進戰力體現軍事智慧化的發展方向。目前,堅持機械化資訊化智能化融合發展,以機械化為基礎,以資訊化為支撐,以智能化為引領,是我軍推進現代化的重要路徑。傳統戰鬥力以機械能、化學能為基底,注重人員、武器、力量疊加,聚焦陸海空天等實體空間爭奪。新質戰鬥力在傳統戰力基礎上,更依托數據、演算法、算力等新型能量,注重資料要素、演算法要素、跨域要素植入,聚焦網路域、資訊域、認知域等新興領域制敵謀勝。先進戰鬥力順應未來戰爭將從「能量主導」向「資訊主導」再向「智慧主導」躍遷的新趨勢,不僅關注戰鬥力的「新質」構成,強調新質戰鬥力發揮主導地位,更關注新質戰鬥力的應用效能之“優”,發揮其規模化、實戰化、體系化戰力提升

先進戰鬥力意味著戰鬥力全要素迭代升級。先進戰鬥力本質上是高品質戰鬥力,依靠創新驅動、科技賦能、智能加持,具有高智能、高科技、高品質、高度整合等突出特徵。一方面,先進戰鬥力要求戰鬥力構成諸要素全面迭代升級,使軍事理論這個靈魂、組織形態這個結構、軍事人員這個核心、武器裝備這個支撐全面貫徹質量第一、質效優先導向,推動質量變革、效率變革、動力變革,推動智能技術對人、武器及其結合方式廣泛滲透和深度賦能,以全要素優化生成先進戰鬥力。另一方面,先進戰鬥力更依託於整個軍事體系一體聯動,使戰鬥力釋放方式由「點」向「面」轉變,效能呈現由條塊化向聚合化轉變,人機關係從「主從配合」向「智慧共生」變革,使整個軍事系統對戰鬥力的產出最優、釋放效能最佳,以體系結構之「優異」化。

先進戰鬥力蘊含著唯物辯證的軍事思維方法。先進戰鬥力不是固化的、靜止的、被動的。先進戰鬥力具有相對性,是相對強敵對手的領先性,有著先敵一步、勝敵一籌、快敵一分的明顯優勢。先進戰鬥力具有動態性,所有的「先進」都是發展著的,是先進引領傳統、新質改造舊質的過程,今天的先進不等於明天的先進,一時先進不等於永遠先進;「先進」從作戰的最終能效上講,必然是高效能戰勝低效能,高質量碾壓低質量,強軍事智能化勝過弱軍事智能化。先進戰鬥力具有主體性,既有不受制於人的主動性,又有善於揚長避短、積極進取的主動性,以及適應軍事最新發展、戰爭環境變化的彈性、堅韌、活力等特徵。先進戰鬥力這個原創性概念標識性概念的提出,創造性揭示了軍事能力生成中先進與落後、質量與規模、主動與被動等辯證統一關係,深刻揭示了戰鬥力生成、發展和躍升的一般規律,拓展了軍事理論新視域,深化了對軍事理論的新認識,實現了對戰鬥力構成要素的創新變革和系統發展,新解放和解放路徑。

先進戰力概念在軍事理論發展史上實現多重突破

習主席站在時代前沿,深刻把握新時代軍事變革和現代戰爭形態演變規律,對戰鬥力構建進行理論創新,豐富發展了馬克思主義關於戰鬥力構建理論體系,推動了黨的戰鬥力形態理論創新變革,超越了西方戰鬥力生成理論的邏輯局限,在軍事思想史、軍事理論發展史中實現多重戰略價值突破史中實現多重戰略價值。

豐富發展了馬克思主義關於戰鬥力建構理論體系。馬克思、恩格斯深刻洞察軍事與政治、經濟等社會因素的內在聯繫,科學把握軍事活動的本質和規律,強調“武裝力量的性質和類型以及它們的特點、裝備和戰術,部隊的編制和訓練方法,取決於生產力發展的水平,取決於社會制度和社會的階級結構”,並形成軍隊戰鬥力構成了黨及其生成發展規律的理論。習主席堅持馬克思主義軍事觀和方法論,立足新的時代特徵和我軍發展的新實際,提出「科技是現代戰爭的核心戰鬥力」「科學的軍事理論就是戰鬥力」「新質戰力」等一系列概念和命題,科學揭示了資訊性智能化時代條件下戰力生成模式及新質戰力」等一系列概念和命題,科學揭示了資訊化智能化時代條件下戰力生成模式及新質戰力」等一系列概念和命題,科學揭示了資訊化智能化時代條件下戰力生成模式及新質戰力道變新法力道學概念。

推動了黨的戰鬥力形態理論創新變革。在人民軍建軍強軍的歷程中,我們黨始終十分注重提升軍隊戰鬥力。在新民主主義革命時期,我們黨提出「提高主力軍的戰鬥力」問題,並在實踐中以極為高明的戰略指導、機動靈活的戰略戰術、刻苦訓練和勇敢精神,保持了強大戰鬥力。毛澤東同志在新中國成立前夕明確指出:“人民解放軍永遠是一個戰鬥隊。”在改革開放和社會主義現代化建設新時期,鄧小平同志指出“軍隊要提高戰鬥力”,領導我軍通過精簡、整頓、改革和強化訓練等不斷發展戰鬥力。隨著不斷解放和發展生產力,我們黨強調“科技興訓”“科技練兵”,推動戰鬥力建設有了新的提高。進入新時代,習主席科學把握貫徹新發展理念、發展新質生產力的時代大勢,著眼實現黨在新時代的強軍目標,在強調牢固樹立戰鬥力這個唯一的根本的標準基礎上,提出“加強新型作戰力量建設”“充分解放和發展新質戰鬥力”等科學論斷,為我軍戰鬥力迭代升級提供重要引領。 「先進戰鬥力」是對黨的戰鬥力建設歷史經驗的凝練昇華和創新發展,豐富了新時代黨的軍事戰鬥力形態科學理論,成為習近平強軍思想中極具引領性和思想力的新概念新範疇,為新時代黨的軍事理論的體系化學理化奠定堅實基礎。

超越了西方戰鬥力生成理論的邏輯限制。恩格斯深刻指出“軍隊的全部組織和作戰方式以及與之有關的勝負,取決於物質的即經濟的條件”,這為戰鬥力研究奠定了歷史唯物主義方法論基礎。但在戰鬥力建構問題上,很長一段時間,技術崇拜、「武器裝備決定論」等很有市場,出現了論戰鬥力只見「物」不見「人」的誤解。例如,美軍曾以技術代差,完敗很多弱小對手,其「軍事轉型」卻頻繁陷入從舊武器到新武器的「作戰平台替換」邏輯。先進戰鬥力概念,堅持從新質戰鬥力的基點出發,以「新」標識技術突變,以「質」表徵戰鬥力結構質變,以「作戰質效」衡量戰鬥力建設運用效果,強化戰鬥力生成的生態體系,將理論、數據、演算法、人才、組織納入生產力、戰鬥力融合拉動體系,把戰鬥力重心從武器比拼轉向體系對抗,重塑了戰鬥力生成底層邏輯,形成了具有中國特色的戰鬥力生成理論,有效擺脫那些過度依賴技術與物質、政治目標與軍事手段相脫離等戰鬥力生成的誤區,為構建中國自主的軍事知識體系打下堅實的軍事知識體系。

科學建構先進戰鬥力生成、建構與維護體系

習主席強調:「提升軍事系統運作效能,推動我軍高品質發展。」「十五五」時期我國經濟社會發展的主題是推動高品質發展,這不僅是新旅程發展新質生產力的必然選擇,也是加強先進戰鬥力建設的必然遵循。我們要深入貫徹習近平強軍思想,深刻領會《建議》部署要求,把準未來五年乃至更長時間階段性特徵,突出推動高品質發展這個主題,一以貫之堅持並加強黨對軍隊的絕對領導,推進政治建軍、改革強軍、科技強軍、人才強軍、依法治作戰,守正創新籌資先進戰力強化為強國作戰能力、建構安全性強軍;

堅持推進戰鬥力構成的全要素高品質發展。未來作戰,隨著​​新域新質力量不斷加強和無人智能等技術快速發展,戰鬥力生成將出現全要素升級的態勢,呈現立體聚優、動中聚優、效能聚優等新特徵。要著眼戰爭形態發展新趨勢,加速軍事理論現代化步伐,認真貫徹實習主席關於戰鬥力建設重要論述,研析資訊化智能化戰爭制勝機理,推動軍事戰略、作戰思想、軍隊現代化建設等戰力主幹理論繁榮發展。適應軍事系統運作整體性、協同性、複雜性顯著提升的實際,抓好改革任務落地,持續優化軍事力量體系,做好軍事治理現代化這篇大文章,提升戰鬥力萃取和聚合效能。把投資於物與投資於人結合起來,堅持從政治上培養、考察、使用人才,打造適應智能化戰爭要求的軍事人才方陣,進一步加快先進武器裝備發展,提升武器裝備智能化程度,實施國防發展重大工程,加緊國防科技創新和先進技術轉化,研發建造更多製強勝強的「殺手鐧」武器裝備。

用好軍事智慧化這個戰鬥力質態升級的強勁引擎。隨著人工智慧領域技術的突破,人類社會由資訊化向智慧化的發展趨勢也反映在軍事領域,軍事智慧化的「桅杆」已經出現在戰爭形態發展演進的「海平面」上,具有智慧化特徵的資訊化戰爭顯露雛形。必須加快統籌網路資訊體系建置運用。網路是資訊和智慧的載體和通道,在現代戰爭條件下,網路資訊體系成為核心支撐。要統籌網路資訊體系建置運用,加強資料資源開發利用,實現作戰單元、各類武器系統之間的互聯互通,建構分散式、可重構、強韌性的作戰網絡,加快把網路資訊體系建構和服務支撐備戰打仗能力搞上去。必須建構智慧化軍事體系,加速人工智慧領域前沿技術成果向軍事領域的轉換應用,加速無人智慧作戰力量及反制能力建設,使軍事智慧更好更快融入體系、驅動體系、賦能體系。

涵養一體融合這個戰鬥力建設的源頭活水。當今世界,科技革命、產業變革、軍事革命加速發展,國家戰略競爭力、社會生產力、軍隊戰鬥力三者相互關聯、相互影響、相互支撐越來越緊密。推動新質生產力同新質戰鬥力高效融合、雙向拉動,是實現富國與強軍相統一的根本要求,是加速先進戰鬥力建設的源頭活水。要創新戰鬥力建設與運用模式,根據軍事鬥爭需要積極牽引新質生產力、新質戰鬥力前進方向,健全完善需求對接、規劃銜接、資源共享等製度機制,突顯推進新興領域戰略能力建設這個重中之重,大力推動新型軍事人才、新型作戰裝備、新型組織形態、新型戰法建設發展和融合運用,持續打牢社會生產服務未來戰爭的物質基礎,加速新質戰鬥力供給,確保戰時軍隊戰鬥力和社會生產力在戰場上有效聚焦、精準釋能,以強大持續的國家整體力量打贏未來戰爭。

突顯實戰化訓練這個戰鬥力催化的重要抓手。實戰化訓練,是實現人與武器裝備、組織體系高效融合的橋樑和手段,對戰鬥力生成的各種資源和要素具有很強的整合轉化功能,是生成、發展和強化先進戰鬥力的重要途徑。習主席深刻洞察發展先進戰鬥力的要害所在,要求“強化戰訓一致,堅持以戰領訓、以訓促戰,做到按實戰要求訓練,實現作戰和訓練一體化”“提高全週期、精細化訓練管理水平”,為先進戰鬥力指明了“實戰化”生成路徑。要深化戰略和作戰籌劃,紮實推進實戰化軍事訓練,加強作戰能力體系集成,創新戰鬥力建設和運用模式,結合鬥爭塑勢、聯演聯訓和多樣化軍事力量運用大力開展現代化練兵,加強針對性對抗性訓練,推動部隊實戰能力不斷提升。

(作者為國防大學習近平新時代中國特色社會主義思想研究中心研究員)

《 人民日報 》( 2025年11月17日 09 版)

汤俊峰

2025年11月17日08:37    来源:人民网-人民日报

中國原創軍事資源:https://theory.people.com.cn/n1/2025/

Chinese Military Innovating Training Concepts, Upgrading Training Methods, Reshaping the Combat Training Landscape

中國軍隊創新訓練理念,升級訓練方式,重塑作戰訓練格局

現代英語:

China Military Network and Ministry of National Defense Network

Sunday, May 10, 2026

This newspaper reports (by reporter Fan Enda and special correspondent Qi Xucong): New artillery pieces sharpen the plateau, drones patrol the skies, data links are connected across the entire region, and fire units precisely lock onto the “enemy”… Not long ago, on the plateau training ground, a brigade of the Tibet Military Region focused on generating new combat capabilities and carried out various training exercises in an orderly manner.

New forces are rapidly joining the ranks, new equipment is constantly being deployed, and new tactics are being implemented continuously. In recent days, reporters visited several training grounds on the plateau front and saw that various units are focusing on actual combat needs, continuously innovating training concepts, upgrading training methods, and reshaping the training landscape. A vibrant picture of military training and preparation is unfolding, and new combat capabilities are rapidly accumulating and being generated on the plateau front.

From “waiting for instructions” to “seizing the opportunity,” officers and soldiers of the 1st Battalion of a Rocket Force brigade abandoned traditional training methods and conducted more than 10 combat-oriented training courses in a continuous, track-like manner, consciously pursuing and practicing the spirit of the plateau rocket troops with the belief that “every second faster means a greater chance of victory.” From “passive adaptation” to “active adaptation,” an Air Force unit, in combination with the special plateau environment, specifically modified the key systems of its fighter jets, accurately matching the characteristics of the plateau and the actual mission, and focusing on refining courses such as extreme maneuverability, low-altitude penetration, and ground attack, maximizing the combat potential of the equipment.

Upgrading training methods and leveraging technology to activate a “new engine” for combat effectiveness. Inside a simulated training chamber, soldiers of a regiment of the Xinjiang Military Region “drive” equipment vehicles across the high plateau, with weather, time of day, and road conditions changing randomly, immersing themselves in honing their combat skills. On the training ground of a detachment of the Tibet Armed Police Corps, infrared drones conduct aerial reconnaissance and precise positioning, while intelligent robot dogs launch assaults. Unmanned equipment is deeply integrated with individual combat, building a solid and efficient security barrier through intelligent training. Various units are exploring new paths to generate new combat capabilities, continuously promoting the new “intelligent+” training model, and pushing plateau training towards intelligent and refined training.

At a certain location, the Gambala radar station of an air force unit utilized technological means to achieve a remote, controlled duty mode, with soldiers’ positions lowered more than a thousand meters. No longer distracted by harsh environments, they can devote more energy to combat readiness and combat capability enhancement, routinely conducting network-based combat exercises and live-fire training, resulting in a significant improvement in the unit’s rapid mobility and early warning capabilities.

Reshaping the training landscape and fostering systemic collaboration to generate new momentum for victory. An air force unit actively integrated into the system, engaging in confrontations with visiting fighter jet units and sparring with various types of drones. They honed their anti-interference skills through electromagnetic warfare and continuously improved their combat capabilities through repeated realistic training exercises. A brigade of the Xinjiang Military Region regularly conducted joint exercises and training with neighboring air force units, streamlining command and control, sharing air situation data, and achieving full-element coordinated firepower strikes and integrated counterattacks. All units abandoned the concept and practice of “fighting alone,” proactively breaking down barriers between services and removing obstacles to collaboration, thus promoting overall quality improvement and comprehensive efficiency enhancement in the generation of new combat capabilities.

Once, this snowy plateau was a daunting “forbidden zone of life”; now, it has become a “training ground” for troops to deepen and solidify their training and combat readiness. Through numerous exercises and assaults, the troops stationed on the plateau are targeting the laws governing the generation of new combat capabilities, constantly breaking down conventional thinking, and making solid efforts towards innovation and strength, exploring methods and paths to liberate and develop new combat capabilities. “Although it’s high-altitude, oxygen-deficient, and the environment is harsh here, our confidence in winning battles is growing stronger!” said a plateau soldier.

現代國語:

中國軍網 國防部網

2026年5月10日 星期日

本報訊 記者范恩達、特約記者齊旭聰報道:新型火炮礪劍高原,無人機巡弋長空,數據鏈路全域貫通,火力單元精准鎖“敵”……前不久,高原練兵場上,西藏軍區某旅聚焦新質戰斗力生成,有序開展各項訓練。

新力量加速入列,新裝備不斷列裝,新戰法持續落地……連日來,記者踏訪高原一線多個演訓場看到,各部隊聚焦實戰需求,持續革新訓練理念、升級訓練手段、重塑訓練格局,一幅火熱的練兵備戰圖景鋪展開來,新質戰斗力在高原一線加速集聚生成。

從“等指令”到“搶時機”,火箭軍某旅一營官兵摒棄傳統訓法,以賽道式連貫展開10余個實戰化課目訓練,用“速度快一秒、勝算多一分”的自覺追求踐行高原火箭兵精神;從“被動適應”到“主動適配”,空軍某部結合高原特殊環境,針對性改裝戰機關鍵系統,精准匹配高原特點和任務實際,專攻精練極限機動、低空突防、對地打擊等課目,最大限度挖掘裝備作戰潛能。

升級訓練手段,科技賦能激活戰力“新引擎”。模擬訓練艙內,新疆軍區某團官兵“駕駛”裝備車輛翻越高原達阪,天候、時段、路況隨機切換,沉浸式錘煉打贏本領;武警西藏總隊某支隊訓練場上,紅外無人機臨空偵察、精准定位,智能機器狗沖鋒突擊,無人裝備與單兵作戰深度耦合,以智能化練兵構築起堅固高效的安全屏障……各部隊探索新質戰斗力生成路徑,持續推開“智能+”練兵新模式,推動高原訓練向智能精訓跨越。

某點位上,空軍某部甘巴拉雷達站運用科技手段實現異地遠程遙控值勤模式,官兵戰位下沉千余米。不再為對抗惡劣環境分心,他們把更多精力投入戰備值勤和戰斗力提升上,常態開展聯網對抗、實裝實訓,部隊快速機動能力和預警能力明顯提升。

重塑訓練格局,體系聯動凝聚勝戰“新動能”。空軍某部主動融入體系,與前來駐訓的殲擊機部隊互為對手展開對抗,與各型無人機過招較量,在電磁攻防中不斷錘煉反干擾硬功,在一次次實戰化訓練中持續提升實戰能力;新疆軍區某旅攜手空軍友鄰部隊常態開展聯演聯訓,打通指揮鏈路、共享空情態勢,實現火力打擊全要素聯動、一體化抗擊……各部隊摒棄“各自為戰、單打獨斗”的觀念做法,主動打破軍兵種壁壘、打通協同堵點,推動新質戰斗力生成整體提質、全面增效。

曾經,這片雪域高原是令人望而生畏的“生命禁區”;如今,這裡已成為牽引部隊練兵備戰走深走實的“礪兵高地”。在一場場演訓、一次次沖鋒中,駐高原各部隊瞄准新質戰斗力生成規律,不斷打破思維定式,向新向強扎實用力,探尋解放和發展新質戰斗力的方法路徑。“這裡雖然高寒缺氧、環境艱苦,但我們的勝戰底氣越來越足!”一名高原戰士說。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/

A Look at Chinese Intelligent Warfare | Machine Thinking: The Key to Victory in Military Intelligent Warfare

中國情報戰概覽 | 機器思維:軍事情報戰取勝的關鍵

現代英語:

Editor’s Note

In the 1950s, scientist Alan Turing first proposed the concept of “machine thinking.” With the advent of the intelligent era, the idea that machines can also possess “thinking” is gradually becoming a reality. In intelligent warfare, driven by machine thinking, some unmanned equipment and decision-making aids become “robot allies” and “intelligent advisors” fighting alongside humans. It is foreseeable that the relationship between humans and weapons will gradually shift from that of humans and tools to that of humans and intelligent partners with “limited subjective initiative.” A deep understanding and skillful application of machine thinking as a key will help people recognize the characteristics of intelligent warfare and seize the initiative in it.

In recent years, next-generation artificial intelligence technologies, represented by deep learning, have made groundbreaking progress, surpassing humans in many fields such as Go, speech recognition, and translation. More and more people are beginning to realize that the human brain is merely a highly advanced general-purpose intelligent agent; human intelligence is not the only form of intelligence in the world, nor is it the ultimate form of intelligence. Human society is entering an era of intelligent coexistence between humans and machines. All preparations for intelligent warfare, including exploring the mechanisms for winning intelligent warfare, developing intelligent weapons and equipment, developing intelligent combat forces, and innovating intelligent combat methods, should be based on a thorough understanding of how intelligent machines “think.”

Machine thinking is developing rapidly

From mechanical technology to information technology and then to artificial intelligence, technological development has progressed from simulating human limb functions, sensory functions, neural functions, and finally cognitive functions, gradually replacing, expanding, and amplifying various human abilities, progressing from simple to complex and from low to high levels. As a replacement for the human brain, the most complex organ in the human body, artificial intelligence must possess “thinking” abilities similar to those of the human brain in solving complex problems; we can call this “machine thinking.”

The new generation of artificial intelligence systems based on deep learning can be viewed as a “gray box” compared to the previous generation, with its “thinking” process and results exhibiting significant uncertainty and inexplicability. While people hope it can be explained, from another perspective, it is precisely this uncertainty and inexplicability that generates creativity and constitutes the true “source of wisdom.” Higher forms of human thought, besides logical reasoning, such as intuition, imagination, inspiration, and sudden insight, all possess a high degree of uncertainty and can only be understood intuitively, not explained in words. Just as the art of command in the military, where “the subtlety of application lies in the mind,” is difficult to explain.

Therefore, the uncertainty and inexplicability exhibited by machine thinking may precisely be the advanced and unique aspect of this breakthrough in artificial intelligence. No matter how fast a supercomputer or quantum computer is, or how powerful its computational intelligence is, because its computational principles are transparent and interpretable, its computational rules are pre-designed and deterministic, and its computational process is reversible and repeatable, people do not consider it creative or a challenge to human thinking abilities.

This breakthrough in artificial intelligence has significantly improved the “intelligence” of intelligent machines, with machine thinking demonstrating unique advantages in many fields that differ from and surpass human thinking. For example, after AlphaGo defeated the human world Go champion, some believed it was closer to the god of Go, creating a completely new school of Go like the “cosmic style,” and some Go players even began to learn from AlphaGo’s playing style. Furthermore, generative AI like ChatGPT, which has become incredibly popular in the last two years, already possesses a certain degree of creativity and human-like “subjective initiative,” enabling it to replace humans in many tasks.

Machine thinking is different from human thinking.

Currently, although artificial intelligence has made groundbreaking progress, it is still in the development stage of perceptual intelligence, weak AI, and specialized AI. Compared with human thinking, machine thinking still has obvious shortcomings. Experts have summarized its deficiencies into four points: First, it “has intelligence but lacks wisdom,” lacking intuition, inspiration, and other implicit human thinking abilities. Einstein once said that raising a question is often more important than solving a problem. ChatGPT is far better than the average person at answering questions, but it cannot raise a truly valuable scientific question. Second, it “has IQ but lacks EQ.” Intelligent machines themselves do not have, and find it difficult to, simulate human emotions such as anger, sadness, and joy, and therefore cannot truly understand these human emotions. Third, they are “good at calculation but not at scheming.” Although intelligent machines “think” very quickly, they are not good at taking roundabout ways or retreating to advance. They cannot pretend, deceive, or use tricks like humans. Fourth, they are “good at specialization but not generalization.” Intelligent machines have poor “learning by analogy,” that is, their ability to transfer learning is very poor. Although specialized artificial intelligence software can surpass human champions in Go, the “intelligence” of the most advanced general-purpose brain-like chips can only approach the level of a mouse brain.

Although machine thinking was created and designed by humans, it differs significantly from human thinking. There’s a Moraviek paradox in the field of artificial intelligence: for AI, achieving complex logical reasoning and other high-level human cognitive abilities requires minimal computation, while achieving unconscious skills like perception and movement, and simpler cognitive abilities like intuition, demands enormous computational power. AI can outperform humans in playing Go and solving equations, but tasks easy for humans, like driving a car or folding clothes, are very difficult for AI. Experts have outlined what AI currently cannot do, including: cross-domain reasoning, abstract thinking, self-awareness, aesthetics, and emotion. These are not difficult for humans, but are very challenging for AI.

Based on the differences between machine thinking and human thinking, in intelligent warfare, on the one hand, traditional strategies that work for humans, such as feints and diversions, are likely to be easily detected by machine thinking; the massive amounts of battlefield data, far exceeding the analytical processing capabilities of the human brain, will become the “thinking” material for machine thinking, allowing it to find clues about enemy actions and important targets. On the other hand, machine thinking also has some major flaws that seem utterly “idiotic” to humans. Foreign research teams have discovered that by changing just a few key pixels in a picture of a cat, an intelligent machine can identify the cat as a dog, while the human eye will not misidentify it due to this change. This illustrates a significant difference between deceiving humans and deceiving intelligent machines. The “calculations” used to deceive humans may be useless against the “calculations” of intelligent machines. Conversely, deception methods targeting machine thinking are very easy to use to fool intelligent machines, but may not be able to fool humans. With the deep application of artificial intelligence in intelligence analysis, further research is needed on how strategic deception is organized, how battlefield feints are implemented, how to deceive both human and computer brains, how to attack the weaknesses of adversary intelligent machines, and how to prevent one’s own intelligent machines from being deceived.

All of the above facts show that the complexity problems faced by humans and machines may be exactly opposite. Humans and machines each have their own advantages and disadvantages and are highly complementary. Through human-machine collaboration, humans can be responsible for judging whether they are “doing the right thing” while machines “do things correctly”.

Create machine thinking based on machine characteristics

The carrier of machine thinking is silicon-based chips, but it is not endogenous; rather, it is created by humans using innovative thinking. The level of human creators’ thinking determines the level of machine thinking. A key point to grasp in creating machine thinking is that it cannot be simply copied from human thinking methods based on carbon-based intelligence. Instead, it should be created according to the characteristics of silicon-based machines in terms of perception, judgment, decision-making, and action.

For example, how do cars pass through intersections? For manned vehicles, a complete set of mature rules has been established to avoid congestion and traffic accidents. But how can autonomous vehicles pass through without collisions? There are at least three solutions. First, the autonomous vehicle stops at the intersection and uses its onboard camera to mimic human eyes, automatically recognizing and judging traffic light changes, and only proceeding when the light turns green. Second, a signal generator is installed on the traffic light pole; when the green light is on, it directly emits a signal indicating passage, which the autonomous vehicle receives before proceeding. Third, traffic lights are eliminated; the autonomous vehicle uses sensors such as lidar, cameras, and millimeter-wave radar to detect passing vehicles at the intersection, employing collision avoidance algorithms and vehicle-to-vehicle cooperation to pass quickly and without interruption. The first approach is to design the driving method of autonomous vehicles according to human driving thinking and behavioral habits. The second approach is an improvement on the first approach. The third approach completely subverts the traditional mode of human vehicles relying on traffic lights and passing through intersections in a “stop-wait-go” manner, which greatly improves traffic efficiency and is equivalent to giving autonomous vehicles a machine thinking that truly suits their own characteristics.

Massively creating machine thinking to seize intelligent advantage

Machine thinking is essentially algorithmic thinking, digital thinking, and precision thinking. In intelligent warfare, in order to make one’s own intelligent machines “smarter” than the opponent’s and to seek to overwhelm the opponent’s intelligent advantage, we should create a large number of different types of high-level machine thinking and greatly improve the ability of intelligent machines to adapt to changing battlefield environments and solve complex combat problems.

For example, creating machine thinking that enables unmanned swarms to collectively understand the battlefield situation. A fundamental prerequisite for efficient collaborative operations between combat units is a shared understanding of the battlefield situation. For humans, the most intuitive and effective method is based on a unified battlefield situation map. However, this approach is unsuitable for collaborative operations between unmanned platforms within a swarm. This is because using visual diagrams as a medium for machine-to-machine communication is inefficient, and it is difficult for unmanned platforms to directly extract useful information from battlefield situation maps. Therefore, a dedicated battlefield situation sharing mechanism adapted to machine-to-machine communication is needed. For instance, leveraging the fact that intelligent machines are more efficient at “counting” than “viewing images,” the unmanned swarm can use software to create a virtual “bulletin board,” i.e., a shared data file. In collaborative operations, each drone platform promptly publishes its own location and status, as well as the nature, location, and environmental information of targets detected by its sensors, to the “bulletin board.” All drone platforms in the cluster can quickly read this shared data file to obtain near-real-time information on the enemy, ourselves, and the environment, thereby achieving a shared understanding of the battlefield situation.

Another example is the development of machine thinking for integrated offensive and defensive warfare using unmanned platforms. The basic principle of warfare, “eliminate the enemy, preserve yourself,” is easily understood by human soldiers, but enabling unmanned platforms to correctly balance avoiding enemy threats and engaging enemy targets requires a different approach. Utilizing artificial potential field algorithms might be one solution. Unmanned platforms could construct a repulsive potential field around targets that pose a threat, with stronger repulsion due to greater threat; and a gravitational potential field around targets intended for attack, with stronger attraction due to higher target value. Under the combined influence of these gravitational and repulsive potential fields, the unmanned system automatically generates the optimal attack path, thus maximizing the achievement of both eliminating the enemy and preserving itself.

現代國語:

編按

在1950年代,科學家艾倫·圖靈首次提出了「機器思維」的概念。隨著智慧時代的到來,機器也能擁有「思維」的概念逐漸成為現實。在由機器思維驅動的智慧戰爭中,一些無人裝備和決策輔助工具正成為與人類並肩作戰的「機器人盟友」和「智慧顧問」。可以預見,人與武器的關係將逐漸從人與工具的關係轉變為人與擁有「有限主觀主動性」的智慧夥伴的關係。深入理解並巧妙運用機器思維是關鍵,有助於人們認識智慧戰爭的特點,並在其中掌握主動權。

近年來,以深度學習為代表的新一代人工智慧技術取得了突破性進展,在圍棋、語音辨識、翻譯等諸多領域超越了人類。越來越多的人開始意識到,人腦只不過是一個高度發展的通用智能體;人類智能並非世間唯一的智能形式,也並非智能的終極形式。人類社會正步入人機智慧共存的時代。一切智慧戰爭的準備工作,包括探索智慧戰爭的致勝機制、研發智慧武器裝備、發展智慧作戰力量以及創新智慧作戰方法,都應建立在對智慧機器「思考」方式的透徹理解之上。

機器思維正在快速發展

從機械技術到資訊技術,再到人工智慧,技術發展經歷了從模擬人體肢體功能、感覺功能、神經功能,最終到認知功能的演進,逐步取代、擴展和增強了人類的各種能力,由簡到繁、由低到高不斷演進。作為人體最複雜器官——人腦的替代品,人工智慧必須具備與人腦類似的「思考」能力,能夠解決複雜問題;我們可以稱之為「機器思維」。

與上一代人工智慧系統相比,基於深度學習的新一代人工智慧系統可以被視為一個“灰箱”,其“思考”過程和結果都展現出顯著的不確定性和不可解釋性。人們雖然希望能夠解釋這些過程,但從另一個角度來看,正是這種不確定性和不可解釋性激發了創造力,構成了真正的「智慧之源」。除了邏輯推理之外,更高層次的人類思維,例如直覺、想像、靈感和頓悟,都具有高度的不確定性,只能透過直覺來理解,而無法用語言來解釋。正如軍事指揮的藝術一樣,“運用之妙在於心智”,難以言表。

因此,機器思維所展現出的不確定性和不可解釋性,或許正是人工智慧這項突破的先進之處與獨特之處。無論超級電腦或量子電腦的速度有多快,計算智慧有多強大,由於其計算原理透明且可解釋,計算規則預先設計且具有確定性,計算過程可逆且可重複,人們並不認為它具有創造性,也不認為它對人類思維能力構成挑戰。

人工智慧的這一突破顯著提升了智慧機器的“智慧”,機器思維在許多領域展現出與人類思維截然不同甚至超越人類思維的獨特優勢。例如,AlphaGo擊敗人類圍棋世界冠軍後,有些人認為它更接近圍棋之神,開創了「宇宙流」等全新圍棋流派,甚至有圍棋選手開始學習AlphaGo的棋風。此外,像ChatGPT這樣在過去兩年迅速走紅的生成式人工智慧,已經具備一定程度的創造力和類似人類的“主觀主動性”,使其能夠在許多任務中取代人類。

機器思維與人類思維截然不同。

目前,人工智慧雖然取得了突破性進展,但仍處於感知智慧、弱人工智慧和專業人工智慧的發展階段。與人類思維相比,機器思維仍有明顯的缺點。專家將其缺陷歸納為四點:首先,它“有智能但缺乏智慧”,缺乏直覺、靈感等人類固有的思維能力。愛因斯坦曾說過,提出問題往往比解決問題重要。 ChatGPT在回答問題上遠勝於一般人,但它無法提出真正有價值的科學問題。其次,它「有智商,但缺乏情商」。智慧機器本身並不具備,也很難模擬人類的情感,例如憤怒、悲傷和喜悅,因此無法真正理解這些人類情感。第三,它們「擅長計算,但不擅長規劃」。雖然智慧機器「思考」速度很快,但它們不擅長迂迴策略或退守後再前進。它們無法像人類那樣偽裝、欺騙或使用詭計。第四,它們「擅長專業化,但不擅長泛化」。智慧機器的「類比學習」能力很差,也就是說,它們的學習遷移能力非常弱。雖然專業的AI軟體可以在圍棋領域超越人類冠軍,但最先進的通用類腦晶片的「智慧」水平也只能接近小鼠大腦的水平。

儘管機器思維是由人類創造和設計的,但它與人類思維有顯著差異。人工智慧領域存在著一個莫拉維克悖論:對於人工智慧而言,實現複雜的邏輯推理和其他高級人類認知能力所需的計算量極少,而實現諸如感知和運動等無意識技能以及諸如直覺等更簡單的認知能力卻需要巨大的計算能力。人工智慧在圍棋和解方程式方面可以超越人類,但對人類來說輕而易舉的任務,例如開車或疊衣服,對人工智慧來說卻非常困難。專家們已經列出了人工智慧目前無法完成的任務,包括:跨領域推理、抽象思考、自我意識、美學和情感。這些對人類來說並不難,但對人工智慧來說卻極具挑戰性。

基於機器思維和人類思維的差異,在智慧戰爭中,一方面,對人類有效的傳統策略,例如佯攻和佯攻,很可能被機器思維輕易識破;另一方面,海量的戰場數據遠遠超過人腦的分析處理能力,將成為機器思維的「思考」素材,使其能夠從中發現敵方行動和重要目標的線索。另一方面,機器思維也存在著一些在人類看來極為「愚蠢」的重大缺陷。國外研究團隊發現,只要改變貓咪的圖片中幾個關鍵像素,智慧機器就能將貓辨識為狗,人眼卻不會因此而誤判。這說明欺騙人類和欺騙智慧機器之間存在顯著差異。用來欺騙人類的「計算」可能對智慧機器的「計算」毫無作用。反之,針對機器思維的欺騙方法很容易就能欺騙智慧機器,但卻可能無法欺騙人類。隨著人工智慧在情報分析領域的深度應用,我們需要進一步研究戰略欺騙的組織方式、戰場佯攻的實施方法、如何同時欺騙人類和電腦的大腦、如何攻擊敵方智慧機器的弱點以及如何防止己方智慧機器被欺騙。

以上種種事實表明,人類和機器面臨的複雜性問題可能截然相反。人類和機器各有優劣,高度互補。透過人機協作,人類負責判斷自己“是否在做正確的事”,而機器則負責“正確地做事”。

基於機器特性創造機器思維

機器思維的載體是矽晶片,但它並非內生的,而是由人類運用創新思維創造出來的。人類創造者的思維層次決定了機器思維的層次。創造機器思維的關鍵在於,它不能簡單地複製基於碳基智能的人類思維方式,而應該根據矽基機器在感知、判斷、決策和行動等方面的特性來創造。

例如,汽車如何通過十字路口?對於有人駕駛的車輛,已經建立了一套完整的成熟規則來避免擁擠和交通事故。但是,自動駕駛車輛如何才能無碰撞地通過十字路口呢?至少有三種解決方案。首先,自動駕駛車輛在十字路口停車,利用車載攝影機模擬人眼,自動辨識並判斷交通號誌的變化,僅在綠燈亮起時才通行。其次,在交通號誌桿上安裝號誌產生器;當綠燈亮起時,它直接發出通行訊號,自動駕駛車輛接收到該號誌後再通行。第三,取消交通號誌;自動駕駛車輛使用光達、攝影機和毫米波接收器等感測器進行通訊。ADA 系統用於偵測十字路口的過往車輛,利用防碰撞演算法和車對車協作實現快速無間斷通行。第一種方法是根據人類駕駛的思考和行為習慣來設計自動駕駛車輛的駕駛方式。第二種方法是對第一種方法的改進。第三種方法徹底顛覆了人類車輛依賴交通號誌、以「停-停-走」方式通過十字路口的傳統模式,大大提高了交通效率,相當於賦予自動駕駛車輛真正符合自身特性的機器思維。

大規模建構機器思維,奪取智慧優勢

機器思維本質上是演算法思維、數位思維和精確思維。在智慧戰爭中,為了使己方智慧機器比敵方更“聰明”,並力求壓倒敵方的智慧優勢,我們應該構建大量不同類型的高級機器思維,並大幅提升智慧機器適應不斷變化的戰場環境和解決複雜作戰問題的能力。

例如,創造一種機器思維,使無人集群能夠集體理解戰場態勢。作戰單位間高效率協同作戰的基本前提是對戰場態勢的共同理解。對人類而言,最直觀有效的方法是基於統一的戰場態勢圖。然而,這種方法並不適用於集群內無人平台之間的協同作戰。這是因為使用視覺化圖表作為機器間通訊的媒介效率低下,無人平台難以直接從戰場態勢圖中提取有用資訊。因此,需要一種專門針對機器間通訊的戰場態勢共享機制。例如,利用智慧機器更擅長“計數”而非“查看圖像”的特性,無人集群可以使用軟體創建一個虛擬的“公告板”,即共享資料檔案。在協同作戰中,每個無人機平台都會及時將自身位置和狀態,以及其感測器探測到的目標的性質、位置和環境資訊發佈到「公告板」上。集群中的所有無人機平台都能快速讀取共享數據文件,獲取近乎實時的敵我信息以及周圍環境信息,從而實現對戰場態勢的共同理解。

另一個例子是利用無人平台發展機器思維,以進行攻防一體化作戰。戰爭的基本原則「消滅敵人,保全自身」對人類士兵來說很容易理解,但要使無人平台能夠正確地平衡規避敵方威脅和攻擊敵方目標,則需要不同的方法。利用人工勢場演算法或許是一種解決方案。無人平台可以在構成威脅的目標周圍建構排斥位勢場,威脅越大,排斥力越強;在攻擊目標周圍建構重力位勢場,目標價值越高,引力越強。在這些重力位能場和排斥位勢場的共同作用下,無人系統能夠自動生成最佳攻擊路徑,從而最大限度地實現消滅敵人和保全自身的目標。

來源:中國軍網-解放軍報 作者:袁 藝 責任編輯:尚曉敏 發布:2024-02-27 06:xx:xx

袁  藝

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/ll_208543/1868289808681.html

Chinese Military Grasping Pulse of Information and Intelligent Warfare Development

中國軍方掌握資訊戰和智慧戰發展的脈搏

現代英語:

Currently, the deep penetration and integrated application of cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence in the military field are profoundly reshaping the form of warfare and driving the evolution of informationized and intelligent warfare to a higher and more complex level. This process brings new challenges, such as the full-dimensional expansion of the operational space, but also contains the enduring underlying logic of the essential laws of warfare. We must deeply analyze the evolutionary mechanism of informationized and intelligent warfare, understand and clarify the specific manifestations of the new challenges and underlying logic, and continuously explore the practical paths and winning principles for strategizing future warfare.

Recognizing the new challenges that information technology and intelligent technology bring to warfare

Technological iteration and upgrading have driven profound changes in combat styles, which in turn bring new challenges. Currently, with the accelerated development of information and intelligent technologies, the form of warfare is showing significant changes such as cross-domain integration, system confrontation, and intelligent dominance, thereby giving rise to new challenges such as mixed-domain nature, intelligence, and all-personnel involvement.

The Challenges of Multi-Domain Operations. In future warfare, the physical boundaries of traditional operational domains will be broken, with information and social domains deeply nested, forming a new type of battlefield characterized by multi-domain coordination. This multi-dimensional battlefield environment presents two challenges to current combat systems. First, system compatibility is difficult. In a multi-domain operational environment, combat operations “span” multiple physical and virtual spaces, while traditional combat systems are often built based on specific operational domains, making seamless compatibility of their technical standards and information interfaces difficult. Second, command and control are highly complex. In informationized and intelligent warfare, combat operations unfold simultaneously or alternately across multiple dimensions, with various demands exhibiting non-linear, explosive, and multi-domain characteristics. Traditional, hierarchical, tree-like command structures are ill-suited to handle this complex multi-domain coordination situation.

The Challenges of Intelligence. The deep integration of technologies such as artificial intelligence into the war decision-making and action chain presents new challenges to traditional decision-making models and action logic. On the one hand, defining the boundaries and dominance of human-machine collaboration is challenging. Intelligent systems demonstrate superior capabilities in information processing, decision support, and even autonomous action, but over-reliance on algorithms can lead to a “decision black box”; excessive restrictions on machine intelligence may result in the loss of the speed and efficiency advantages of intelligent algorithms. Therefore, how to construct a human-machine symbiotic, human-led, and intelligence-assisted decision-making model has become an unavoidable “test” in winning informationized and intelligent warfare. On the other hand, the complexity and vulnerability of algorithmic warfare are becoming increasingly prominent. The higher the level of intelligence in warfare, the stronger the dependence on core algorithms. Adversaries may launch attacks through data pollution, model deception, and network intrusion, inducing intelligent systems to misjudge and fail. This kind of “bottom-up” attack based on algorithmic vulnerabilities is far more covert and destructive than traditional methods, placing higher demands on the construction and maintenance of defense systems.

A challenge affecting all personnel. Informationized and intelligent warfare blurs the lines between wartime and peacetime, front lines and rear areas. Combat operations are no longer confined to professional soldiers and traditional battlefields; non-military sectors such as economics, finance, and technology, along with related personnel, may all be integrated into modern combat systems to varying degrees, bringing entirely new challenges. Specifically, non-military sectors may become new focal points of offense and defense. In an information society, critical infrastructure such as energy networks, transportation hubs, and information platforms are highly interconnected and interdependent, with broad social coverage and significant influence, making them prime targets for attack or disruption in hybrid warfare, thus significantly increasing the difficulty of protection. The national defense mobilization system faces transformation pressure. The traditional “peacetime-wartime conversion” model is ill-suited to the demands of high-intensity, fast-paced, and high-consumption informationized and intelligent warfare. There is an urgent need to build a modern mobilization mechanism that is “integrated in peacetime and wartime, military-civilian integrated, precise, and efficient,” ensuring the rapid response and efficient transformation of core resources such as technological potential, industrial capabilities, and professional talent.

Clarifying the underlying logic of information-based and intelligent warfare

Although the development of information and intelligent technologies has profoundly reshaped the mode of force application, the inherent attributes of war have not been fundamentally shaken. Ensuring that strategy follows policy, adhering to the principle that people are the decisive factor, and recognizing that the “fog of war” will persist for a long time are still key measures for us to understand, plan, and respond to future wars.

Strategic subordination with political strategy is paramount. Currently, the proliferation of new technologies and attack methods easily fosters “technocentrism”—when algorithms and computing power are seen as the key to victory, and when technological superiority in equipment is considered an absolute advantage, military operations risk deviating from the political and strategic trajectory. This necessitates that we always integrate military operations within the overall national political framework, ensuring that technological advantages serve strategic objectives. Under informationized and intelligent conditions, strategic subordination with political strategy transcends the purely military level, requiring precise alignment with core national political goals such as diplomatic maneuvering and domestic development and stability. Therefore, it is essential to clearly define the boundaries, intensity, and scope of information and intelligent means of application, avoid significant political and strategic risks arising from the misuse of technology, and strive for a dynamic unity between political objectives and military means.

The decisive factor remains human. While intelligent technology can indeed endow weapons with superior autonomous perception and decision-making capabilities, the ultimate control and winning formula in war always firmly rests in human hands. Marxist warfare theory reveals that regardless of how warfare evolves, humans are always the main actors and the ultimate decisive force. Weapons, as tools, ultimately rely on human creativity in their effective use. Therefore, facing the wave of informationized and intelligent warfare, we must achieve deep integration and synchronous development of human-machine intelligence, building upon a foundation of human dominance. Specifically, intelligentization must not only “transform” things—improving equipment performance—but also “transform” people—enhancing human cognitive abilities, decision-making levels, and human-machine collaborative efficiency, ensuring that no matter how high the “kites” of intelligent equipment fly, humanity always firmly grasps the “control chain” that guides their development.

Recognizing the persistent nature of the “fog of war,” while information technology has significantly improved battlefield transparency, technological means can only reduce the density of the “fog,” not completely dispel it. The fundamental reason is that war is a dynamic game; the deception generated by the continuous strategic feints and other maneuvers employed by opposing sides transcends the scope of mere technological deconstruction, possessing an inherent unpredictability. Therefore, we must acknowledge the perpetual nature of the “fog of war” and employ appropriate measures to achieve the goal of “reducing our own fog and increasing the enemy’s confusion.” Regarding the former, we must strengthen our own reconnaissance advantages by integrating multi-source intelligence, including satellite reconnaissance, drone surveillance, and ground sensors, to achieve a real-time dynamic map of the battlefield situation. Regarding the latter, we must deepen the enemy’s decision-making dilemma by using techniques such as false signals and electronic camouflage to mislead their intelligence gathering, forcing them to expend resources in a state of confusion between truth and falsehood, directly weakening their situational awareness.

Exploring the winning factors of information-based and intelligent warfare

To plan for future wars, we must recognize the new challenges they bring, follow the underlying logic they contain, further explore the winning principles of informationized and intelligent warfare, and work hard to strengthen military theory, make good strategic plans, and innovate tactics and methods.

Strengthening theoretical development is crucial. Scientific military theory is combat power, and maintaining the advancement of military theory is essential for winning informationized and intelligent warfare. On the one hand, we must deepen the integration and innovation of military theory. We must systematically integrate modern scientific theories such as cybernetics, game theory, and information theory, focusing on new combat styles such as human-machine collaborative operations and cross-domain joint operations, to construct an advanced military theoretical system that is forward-looking, adaptable, and operable. On the other hand, we must adhere to practical testing and iterative updates. We must insist on linking theory with practice, keenly observing problems, systematically summarizing experiences, and accurately extracting patterns from the front lines of military struggle preparation and training, forming a virtuous cycle of “practice—understanding—re-practice—re-understanding,” ensuring that theory remains vibrant and effectively guides future warfare.

Strategic planning is crucial. Future-oriented strategic planning is essentially a proactive shaping process driven by technology, driven by demand, and guaranteed by dynamic adaptation. It requires a broad technological vision and flexible strategic thinking, striving to achieve a leap from “responding to war” to “designing war.” First, we must anticipate technological changes. We must maintain a high degree of sensitivity to disruptive technologies that may reshape the rules of war and deeply understand the profound impact of the cross-integration of various technologies. Second, we must focus on key areas. Emerging “high frontiers” such as cyberspace, outer space, the deep sea, and the polar regions should be the focus of strategic planning, concentrating on shaping the rules of operation and seizing advantages to ensure dominance in the invisible battlefield and emerging spaces. Third, we must dynamically adjust and adapt. The future battlefield is constantly changing and full of uncertainty. Strategic planning cannot be a static, definitive text, but rather a resilient, dynamic framework. We must assess the applicability, maturity, and potential risks of various solutions in conjunction with reality to ensure that the direction of military development is always precisely aligned with the needs of future warfare.

Promoting Tactical Innovation. Specific tactics serve as a bridge connecting technological innovation and combat operations. Faced with the profound changes brought about by informationized and intelligent warfare, it is imperative to vigorously promote tactical innovation and explore “intelligent strategies” adapted to the future battlefield. On the one hand, it is necessary to deeply explore the combat potential of emerging technologies. We should actively explore new winning paths such as “algorithms as combat power,” “data as firepower,” “networks as the battlefield,” and “intelligence as advantage,” transforming technological advantages into battlefield victories. On the other hand, it is necessary to innovatively design future combat processes. Various combat forces can be dispersed and deployed across multiple intelligent and networked nodes, constructing a more flattened, agile, and adaptive “observation-judgment-decision-action” cycle. Simultaneously, we must strengthen multi-domain linkage, breaking down inherent barriers between different services and combat domains, striving to achieve cross-domain collaboration, system-wide synergy, autonomous adaptation, and dynamic reorganization, promoting the overall emergence of combat effectiveness.

現代國語:

目前,人工智慧等尖端技術在軍事領域的深度滲透與融合應用,正深刻重塑戰爭形態,推動資訊化、智慧化戰爭朝向更高、更複雜的層面演進。這個過程帶來了作戰空間全方位擴展等新挑戰,同時也蘊含著戰爭基本法則的持久邏輯。我們必須深入分析資訊化、智慧化戰爭的演進機制,理解並釐清新挑戰的具體表現及其內在邏輯,不斷探索未來戰爭戰略的實踐路徑與勝利原則。

認識資訊科技和智慧科技為戰爭帶來的新挑戰

技術的迭代升級推動了作戰方式的深刻變革,進而帶來了新的挑戰。目前,隨著資訊科技與智慧科技的加速發展,戰爭形態呈現出跨域融合、系統對抗、智慧主導等顯著變化,由此產生了混合域作戰、智慧化作戰、全員參與等新挑戰。

多域作戰的挑戰。在未來的戰爭中,傳統作戰領域的物理邊界將被打破,資訊領域和社會領域將深度交織,形成以多域協同為特徵的新型戰場。這種多維戰場環境對現有作戰系統提出了兩大挑戰。首先,系統相容性面臨挑戰。在多域作戰環境中,作戰行動「跨越」多個實體和虛擬空間,而傳統作戰系統通常基於特定的作戰領域構建,難以實現技術標準和資訊介面的無縫相容。其次,指揮控制高度複雜。在資訊化和智慧化戰爭中,作戰行動在多個維度上同時或交替展開,各種需求呈現出非線性、爆發性和多域性的特徵。傳統的層級式、樹狀指揮結構難以應付這種複雜的多域協同局面。

情報的挑戰。人工智慧等技術深度融入戰爭決策和行動鏈,對傳統的決策模型和行動邏輯提出了新的挑戰。一方面,界定人機協作的邊界和主導地位極具挑戰性。智慧型系統在資訊處理、決策支援乃至自主行動方面展現出卓越的能力,但過度依賴演算法可能導致「決策黑箱」;對機器智慧的過度限制則可能喪失智慧演算法的速度和效率優勢。因此,如何建構人機共生、人主導、智慧輔助的決策模型,已成為贏得資訊化和智慧化戰爭的必經「考驗」。另一方面,演算法戰的複雜性和脆弱性日益凸顯。戰爭智能化程度越高,對核心演算法的依賴性就越強。敵方可能透過資料污染、模型欺騙和網路入侵等手段發動攻擊,誘使智慧型系統誤判和失效。這種基於演算法漏洞的「自下而上」攻擊比傳統手段更加隱蔽和破壞性,對防禦系統的建構和維護提出了更高的要求。

這是一項影響全體人員的挑戰。資訊化與智慧化戰爭模糊了戰時與和平時期、前線與後方的界線。作戰行動不再侷限於職業軍人和傳統戰場;經濟、金融、科技等非軍事領域及其相關人員都可能在不同程度上融入現代作戰體系,帶來全新的挑戰。具體而言,非軍事領域可能成為攻防的新焦點。在資訊社會中,能源網路、交通樞紐、資訊平台等關鍵基礎設施高度互聯互通、相互依存,覆蓋範圍廣、影響力大,使其成為混合戰爭中攻擊或破壞的主要目標,大大增加了防禦難度。國防動員體系面臨轉型壓力。傳統的「和平時期向戰爭時期轉換」模式已無法滿足高強度、快節奏、高消耗的資訊化和智慧化戰爭的需求。迫切需要…建構「和平時期與戰爭時期一體化、軍民融合、精準高效」的現代化動員機制,確保技術潛力、產業能力、專業人才等核心資源的快速反應與高效轉換。

釐清資訊化與智慧化戰爭的內在邏輯

儘管資訊和智慧科技的發展深刻地重塑了兵力運用方式,但戰爭的固有屬性並未發生根本性改變。確保戰略服從政策,堅持以人為本的原則,並認識到「戰爭迷霧」將長期存在,仍然是我們理解、規劃和應對未來戰爭的關鍵。

戰略服從政治戰略至關重要。目前,新技術和新攻擊手段的湧現容易滋生「技術中心主義」——當演算法和運算能力被視為取勝的關鍵,裝備的技術優勢被視為絕對優勢時,軍事行動就有可能偏離政治戰略軌道。這就要求我們始終將軍事行動納入國家整體政治框架,確保技術優勢服務於戰略目標。在資訊化和智慧化條件下,戰略對政治戰略的服從超越了純粹的軍事層面,需要與外交斡旋、國內發展穩定等核心國家政治目標精準契合。因此,必須明確界定資訊和智慧手段應用的邊界、強度和範圍,避免因技術濫用而引發重大政治和戰略風險,並努力實現政治目標與軍事手段的動態統一。

決定性因素仍然是人。雖然智慧科技確實可以賦予武器卓越的自主感知和決策能力,但戰爭的最終控制權和勝利之道始終牢牢掌握在人手中。馬克思主義戰爭理論表明,無論戰爭如何演變,人類始終是主要行動者和最終的決定性力量。武器作為工具,其有效使用最終依賴於人的創造力。因此,面對資訊化、智慧化戰爭的浪潮,我們必須在人類主導的基礎上,實現人機智慧的深度融合與同步發展。具體而言,智慧化不僅要「改造」物——提升裝備性能——更要「改造」人——增強人類的認知能力、決策水平和人機協同效率,確保無論智慧裝備的「風箏」飛得多高,人類始終牢牢掌控著引導其發展的「控制鏈」。

認識到「戰爭迷霧」的持久性,儘管資訊技術顯著提升了戰場透明度,但技術手段只能降低「迷霧」的密度,而無法徹底驅散它。根本原因在於戰爭是一場動態賽局;交戰雙方不斷進行的戰略佯攻和其他戰術動作所產生的欺騙性,遠非簡單的技術解構所能及,具有固有的不可預測性。因此,我們必須正視「戰爭迷霧」的永恆性,並採取適當措施,實現「減少自身迷霧,增加敵方混亂」的目標。就前者而言,我們必須整合衛星偵察、無人機監視、地面感測器等多源情報,強化自身偵察優勢,以實現戰場態勢的即時動態測繪。就後者而言,我們必須運用假訊號、電子偽裝等手段,誤導敵方情報蒐集,使其在真假難辨的狀態下耗費資源,從而直接削弱其態勢感知能力,加深敵方決策困境。

探索資訊化、智慧化戰爭的勝利要素

為因應未來戰爭,我們必須體認到戰爭帶來的新挑戰,掌握其內在邏輯,進一步探索資訊化、智慧化戰爭的勝利原則,努力加強軍事理論建設,制定完善的戰略規劃,並創新戰術方法。

加強理論發展至關重要。科學的軍事理論就是戰鬥力,維持軍事理論的進步是贏得資訊化、智慧化戰爭的關鍵。一方面,我們必須深化軍事理論的整合與創新,有系統地將現代科學融入軍事理論。

運用控制論、博弈論、資訊理論等理論,著重研究人機協同作戰、跨域聯合作戰等新型作戰方式,建構前瞻性、適應性和可操作性的先進軍事理論體系。另一方面,必須堅持實戰檢驗、迭代更新。必須堅持理論與實踐結合,敏銳觀察問題,系統總結經驗,準確提煉軍事鬥爭前線備戰訓練中的規律,形成「實踐—理解—再實踐—再理解」的良性循環,確保理論保持活力,有效指導未來戰爭。

策略規劃至關重要。面向未來的策略規劃本質上是一個由技術驅動、需求驅動、動態調適保障的主動塑造過程。它需要廣闊的技術視野和靈活的戰略思維,力求實現從「應對戰爭」到「設計戰爭」的飛躍。首先,我們必須預見技術變革。我們必須對可能重塑戰爭規則的顛覆性技術保持高度敏感,並深刻理解各種技術交叉融合的深遠影響。其次,我們必須聚焦重點領域。網路空間、外太空、深海、極地等新興「高前沿」應成為戰略規劃的重點,著力塑造作戰規則,奪取優勢,確保在無形戰場和新興空間佔據主導地位。第三,我們必須動態調整與適應。未來的戰場瞬息萬變,充滿不確定性。策略規劃不能是一成不變的固定文本,而應是一個具有韌性的動態架構。我們必須結合實際情況,評估各種解決方案的適用性、成熟度和潛在風險,確保軍事發展方向始終與未來戰爭的需求精準契合。

推進戰術創新。具體戰術是連結技術創新與作戰行動的橋樑。面對資訊化、智慧化戰爭帶來的深刻變革,必須大力推動戰術創新,探索適應未來戰場的「智慧戰略」。一方面,要深入挖掘新興技術的作戰潛力,積極探索「演算法即戰力」、「數據即火力」、「網路即戰場」、「情報即優勢」等新的致勝路徑,將技術優勢轉化為戰場勝利。另一方面,要創新地設計未來作戰流程,使各類作戰力量分散部署於多個智慧化、網路化的節點,建構更扁平、更敏捷、適應性更強的「觀察-判斷-決策-行動」循環。同時,要加強多域連結,打破不同軍種、不同作戰域之間的固有壁壘,力爭實現跨域協同、系統協同、自主適應、動態重組,進而提升整體作戰效能。

(編:任嘉慧、彭靜)

李书吾 丁 盛

2026年01月27日0x:xx | 来源:解放军报

中國原創軍事資源:https://military.people.com.cn/n1/2026/08127/c10811-4808868538648.html

Analyzing the Forms of Chinese Military Intelligent Combat

分析中國軍事情報作戰的形式

現代英語:

Operational form refers to the manifestation and state of combat under certain conditions, and is usually adapted to a certain form of warfare and combat method. With the development and widespread use of intelligent weapon systems, future intelligent warfare will inevitably present a completely different form from mechanized and informationized warfare.

  Cloud-based combat system

  The combat system is the fundamental basis for the aggregation and release of combat energy. An informationized combat system is based on a network information system, while an intelligent combat system is supported by a combat cloud. The combat cloud can organically reorganize dispersed combat resources into a flexible and dynamic combat resource pool. It features virtualization, connectivity, distribution, easy scalability, and on-demand services, enabling each combat unit to acquire resources on demand. It is a crucial support for achieving cross-domain collaboration and represents a new organizational form for intelligent combat systems.

  The cloud-supported combat system utilizes cloud technology to connect information, physical systems, and the ubiquitous Internet of Things. By configuring combat resource clouds at different levels and scales, it highly shares multi-dimensional combat data across land, sea, air, and space, achieving battlefield resource integration across combat domains such as land, sea, air, space, electronic, and cyber domains. This allows various combat elements to converge into the cloud, completing the network interaction of battlefield data.

  The cloud-connected combat system enables joint operations to integrate battlefield intelligence information widely distributed across various domains—space, air, ground, sea, and underwater—with the support of big data and cloud computing technologies. This allows for seamless, real-time, and on-demand distribution of information across these domains, achieving cross-domain information fusion and efficient sharing. It also enables command structures at all levels to leverage intelligent command and control systems for multi-dimensional intelligence analysis, battlefield situation assessment, operational optimization, decision-making, operational planning, and troop movement control. Furthermore, it allows combat forces to rapidly and flexibly adjust, optimize configurations, and recombine online based on real-time operational needs, forming adaptive task forces and implementing distributed, focused operations, supported by highly integrated cross-domain information technology. At the same time, through the cross-domain fusion capability of battlefield information in the combat cloud, it is also possible to form an integrated combat force with intelligent combat forces, traditional combat forces, manned combat forces and unmanned combat forces, and intangible space combat forces and tangible space combat forces. In the cloud, different combat units and combat elements in land, sea, air, space, electronic, and cyberspace can be highly integrated, coordinated, and have their strengths maximized. This enables cross-domain and cross-generational collaborative operations, transforming the overall combat effectiveness from the past gradual release and linear superposition of combat effects to non-linear, emergent, adaptive effects fusion and precise energy release.

  Decentralized and concentrated battlefield deployment

  Concentrating superior forces is an age-old principle of warfare. With the continuous improvement of network information systems and the widespread use of intelligent weapon systems, various combat forces, combat units, and combat elements can dynamically integrate into and rely on joint operations systems, disperse forces, quickly switch tasks, and dynamically aggregate effectiveness to cope with complex and ever-changing battlefield situations. This has become a force organization form that distinguishes intelligent warfare from information warfare.

  The battlefield deployment of dispersed and concentrated forces refers to the joint operations system supported by cloud computing, in which various participating forces rely on the high degree of information sharing and rapid flow. Through node-based deployment, networked mobility, and virtual centralization, it can combine various combat elements, weapon platforms, and combat support systems that are dispersed in a multi-dimensional and vast battlefield space in real time, dynamically and flexibly, so as to achieve the distributed deployment of combat forces, the on-demand reorganization of combat modules, and the cross-domain integration of combat effectiveness.

  The dispersed and concentrated battlefield deployment enables commanders at all levels to deeply perceive and accurately predict the battlefield situation through big data analysis, battlefield situation collection, and multi-source intelligence verification by intelligent command information systems. This allows for rapid and efficient situation assessment and early warning. Furthermore, the wide-area deployment and flexible configuration of various combat forces and units enable timely responses based on predetermined operational plans or ad-hoc collaborative needs. This allows for flexible and autonomous cross-domain coordination, rapid convergence and dispersal, and dynamic concentration of combat effectiveness. At critical times and in critical spaces, focusing on key nodes of the enemy’s operational system and high-value targets crucial to the overall strategic situation, it rapidly forms a system-wide operational advantage. Through a highly resilient and networked kill chain, it precisely releases combat effectiveness, generating an overall advantage spillover effect, thus forming an overwhelming advantage of multiple domains over one domain and the overall situation over the local situation. Especially during the release of combat effectiveness, each combat group, driven by “intelligence + data”, and based on pre-planned combat plans, can autonomously replan combat missions online around combat objectives, and automatically allocate targets online according to the actual combat functions and strengths of each combat unit within the group. This allows each unit to make the most of its strengths and advantages, and flexibly mobilize the free aggregation and dispersal of “materials + energy” in combat operations. Ultimately, this enables rapid matching and integration in terms of targets, situation, missions, capabilities, and timing, thereby forming a focused energy flow that releases systemic energy against the enemy.

  Human-machine integrated command and control

  The history of operational command development shows that decision-making and control methods in operational command activities always adapt to the development of the times. With the maturity of artificial intelligence technology and the continuous development of the self-generation, self-organization, and self-evolution of military intelligent systems, various weapon systems will evolve from information-based “low intelligence” to brain-like “high intelligence.” The combat style will evolve from information-based system combat to human-machine collaborative combat supported by the system. The autonomy of the war actors will become stronger, and the intelligence level of command and control systems will become higher. Fully leveraging the comparative advantages of “human and machine” and implementing decision-making and control through the “human-machine integration” model is a brand-new command form for future intelligent warfare.

  Human-machine integrated command and control, supported by a reasonable division of functions between humans and machines and efficient decision-making through human-machine interaction, fully leverages the complementary advantages of human brain and machine intelligence to achieve the integration of command art and technology. In the process of intelligent combat decision-making and action, it enables rapid, accurate, scientific, and efficient activities such as situation analysis and judgment, combat concept design, combat decision determination, combat plan formulation, and order issuance. It also adopts a “human-in-the-loop” monitoring mode that combines autonomous action by intelligent combat platforms with timely correction by operators to organize and implement combat operations.

  Human-machine integrated command and control, during planning and decision-making, can construct a combat cloud under the commander’s guidance through ubiquitous battlefield networks, intelligent auxiliary decision-making systems, and distributed intelligent combat platforms. Based on a model- and algorithm-driven intelligent “cloud brain,” it performs intelligent auxiliary decision-making, command and control, and evaluation simulations, combining “human strategy” with “machine strategy.” This leverages the respective strengths of both human and machine, achieving a deep integration of command strategy and intelligent support technologies, significantly improving the speed and accuracy of command decisions. During operational control, staff personnel can, based on operational intentions and missions, utilize intelligent battlefield perception systems, mission planning systems, and command and control systems, following a “synchronous perception—” approach. The basic principle of “rapid response and flexible handling” is based on a unified spatiotemporal benchmark and relies on a multi-dimensional networked reconnaissance and surveillance system to perceive changes in the battlefield situation in real time. It comprehensively uses auxiliary analysis tools to compare and analyze the differences between the current situation and the expected objectives and their impact, and makes timely adjustments to actions and adjusts troop movements on the spot to maintain combat advantage at all times. During the execution of operations, the command and control of intelligent combat platforms by operators of various weapon systems at all levels will be timely and precise to intervene according to the development and changes in the battlefield situation. While giving full play to the high speed, high precision and high autonomous combat capabilities of intelligent combat platforms, it ensures that they always operate under human control and always follow the overall combat intent.

  Autonomous and coordinated combat operations

  Implementing autonomous operations is crucial for commanders at all levels to seize opportunities, adapt to changing circumstances, and act rapidly on the ever-changing battlefield, gaining an advantage and preventing the enemy from making a move. This is a vital operational principle and requirement. Previously, due to constraints such as intelligence gathering, command and control methods, and battlefield coordination capabilities, truly autonomous and coordinated operations were difficult to achieve. However, with the continuous development and widespread application of information technology, collaborative control technology, and especially artificial intelligence in the military field, autonomous and coordinated operations will become the most prevalent form of collaboration in future intelligent warfare.

  Autonomous and coordinated combat operations refer to the rapid acquisition, processing, and sharing of battlefield situation information by various combat forces in a cloud environment supported by multi-dimensional coverage, seamless network links, on-demand extraction of information resources, and flexible and rapid organizational support. This is achieved by utilizing “edge response” intelligence processing systems and big data-based battlefield situation intelligent analysis systems. With little or no reliance on the control of higher command organizations, these forces can accurately and comprehensively grasp intelligence information related to their operations and actively and proactively organize combat and coordinated actions based on changes in the enemy situation and unified operational intentions.

  Autonomous and coordinated combat operations, while enhancing the autonomy of organizational operations at the local level, are further characterized by various intelligent weapon systems possessing the ability to understand combat intentions and highly adaptive and coordinated. They can automatically complete the “OODA” cycle with minimal or no human intervention, forming a complete closed-loop “adaptive” circuit. This enables them to efficiently execute complex and challenging combat missions. In rapidly changing battlefield environments, they can accurately and continuously conduct autonomous reconnaissance and detection of enemy situations, autonomously process battlefield situational information, autonomously identify friend or foe, autonomously track targets, and autonomously and flexibly select mission payloads, and autonomously launch attacks within the permissions granted by operators. Furthermore, during combat, intelligent weapon systems located in different spaces can, as the battlefield situation evolves and combat needs arise, form a combat power generation chain of “situational sharing—synchronous collaboration—optimal energy release” around a unified combat objective. Following the principle of “whoever is suitable, whoever leads; whoever has the advantage, whoever strikes,” they autonomously coordinate, precisely releasing dispersed firepower, information power, mobility, and protective power to the most appropriate targets at the most appropriate time and in the most appropriate manner, autonomously organizing combat operations. In addition, highly intelligent weapon systems can not only adapt to high-risk and complex combat environments and overcome human limitations in physiology and psychology, but also enter the extreme space of all domains and multiple dimensions to carry out missions. Moreover, they can conduct continuous combat with perception accuracy, computing speed and endurance far exceeding that of humans, autonomously carry out simultaneous cluster attacks and multi-wave continuous attacks, form a continuous high-intensity suppression posture against the enemy, and quickly achieve combat objectives.

[ Editor: Ding Yubing ]

現代國語:

作戰形式是指在特定條件下作戰的展現方式和狀態,通常與某種戰爭形式和作戰方法相適應。隨著智慧武器系統的發展和廣泛應用,未來的智慧戰爭必將呈現出與機械化戰爭和資訊化戰爭截然不同的形式。

雲端作戰系統

作戰系統是作戰能量聚合與釋放的根本基礎。資訊化作戰系統基於網路資訊系統,而智慧作戰系統則由作戰雲支撐。作戰雲能夠將分散的作戰資源自然地重組為靈活動態的作戰資源池。它具有虛擬化、互聯互通、分散式、易於擴展和按需服務等特點,使每個作戰單位都能按需獲取資源。它是實現跨域協同作戰的關鍵支撐,代表了智慧作戰系統的一種新型組織形式。

雲端作戰系統利用雲端技術連接資訊、實體系統和無所不在的物聯網。透過配置不同層級、規模的作戰資源雲,該系統能夠跨陸、海、空、天等多個作戰領域實現多維作戰資料的高效共享,從而實現陸、海、空、天、電子、網路等作戰領域的戰場資源整合。這使得各種作戰要素能夠匯聚到雲端,完成戰場資料的網路互動。

雲端連接作戰系統借助大數據和雲端運算技術,使聯合作戰能夠整合廣泛分佈於天、空、地、海、水下等多個領域的戰場情報資訊。這實現了跨領域資訊的無縫、即時和按需分發,從而實現跨域資訊融合和高效共享。此外,該系統還使各級指揮機構能夠利用智慧指揮控制系統進行多維情報分析、戰場態勢評估、作戰優化、決策、作戰計畫制定和部隊調動控制。此外,它還允許作戰部隊根據即時作戰需求,在線上快速且靈活地調整、優化配置和重組,形成適應性特遣部隊,並實施分散式、聚焦式作戰,這一切都得益於高度整合的跨域資訊技術的支援。同時,透過作戰雲中戰場資訊的跨域融合能力,還可以將智慧作戰部隊、傳統作戰部隊、有人作戰部隊和無人作戰部隊、無形空間作戰部隊和有形空間作戰部隊整合為一體化作戰力量。在雲端,陸、海、空、天、電子、網路空間等不同作戰單位和作戰要素可以高度整合、協調,並最大限度地發揮各自的優勢。這使得跨域、跨世代協同作戰成為可能,將整體作戰效能從以往作戰效果的逐步釋放和線性疊加轉變為非線性、湧現式、適應性的效果融合和精準的能量釋放。

分散與集中的戰場部署

集中優勢兵力是古老的戰爭原則。隨著網路資訊系統的不斷完善和智慧武器系統的廣泛應用,各類作戰力量、作戰單位和作戰要素能夠動態地融入聯合作戰系統並依託其運作,實現兵力分散、任務快速切換、動態聚合作戰效能,從而應對複雜多變的戰場形勢。這已成為區分智慧戰和資訊戰的兵力組織形式。

戰場分散與集中兵力部署是指基於雲端運算的聯合作戰系統,其中各參戰力量依托高度的資訊共享和快速流動,透過節點式部署、網路化移動和虛擬集中等方式,能夠即時、動態、靈活地整合分散在多維廣大戰場空間中的各類部署、作戰作戰、武器平台和作戰系統,從而實現分散在多維廣大戰場空間中的各類部署、作戰作戰、武器平台和作戰系統,從而實現作戰力量的分佈以及跨域作戰空間中的各類部署、作戰級作戰、武器效能的以及跨域作戰元素,從而實現作戰力量的跨域作戰、作戰效能的跨域作戰元素。

分散與集中的戰場部署使得各級指揮官能夠透過智慧指揮資訊系統進行大數據分析、戰場態勢擷取與多源情報驗證,從而深入感知並準確預測戰場態勢。這使得快速和高效率的態勢評估與預警。此外,各類作戰部隊和單位的大範圍部署和靈活配置,使其能夠根據預定的作戰計畫或臨時協同需求做出及時反應。這實現了靈活自主的跨域協同、快速的匯聚與分散,以及動態集中作戰效能。在關鍵時刻和關鍵區域,透過聚焦敵方作戰系統的關鍵節點和對整體戰略態勢至關重要的高價值目標,迅速形成系統級的作戰優勢。透過高韌性、網路化的殺傷鏈,精準釋放作戰效能,產生整體優勢的溢出效應,從而形成多域對單域的壓倒性優勢,以及整體態勢對局部態勢的壓倒性優勢。尤其是在釋放作戰效能的過程中,各作戰群在「情報+數據」的驅動下,基於預先制定的作戰計劃,能夠圍繞作戰目標自主地在線重新規劃作戰任務,並根據群內各作戰單位的實際作戰功能和實力,自動在線分配目標。這使得每個單位都能充分發揮自身優勢,靈活調動作戰行動中「物質+能量」的自由聚合與分散。最終,這能夠實現目標、態勢、任務、能力和時間等方面的快速匹配與整合,從而形成集中的能量流,釋放系統性能量對抗敵人。

人機一體化指揮控制

作戰指揮發展史表明,作戰指揮活動中的決策和控制方法始終與時俱進。隨著人工智慧技術的成熟以及軍事智慧系統自生成、自組織、自演化的不斷發展,各種武器系統將從基於資訊的「低智慧」向類腦的「高智慧」演進。作戰方式也將從資訊為基礎的系統作戰向系統支援的人機協同作戰演進。作戰主體的自主性將增強,指揮控制系統的智慧水準也將提高。充分發揮「人機」的比較優勢,透過「人機融合」模式進行決策與控制,是未來智慧戰爭的全新指揮形式。

人機融合指揮控制,以人機功能合理劃分與人機互動高效決策為基礎,充分發揮人腦與機器智慧的互補優勢,實現指揮藝術與科技的融合。在智慧作戰決策和行動過程中,能夠快速、準確、科學、有效率地進行態勢分析判斷、作戰概念設計、作戰決策確定、作戰計畫制定和命令下達等活動。同時,它採用「人機協同」監控模式,將智慧作戰平台的自主行動與操作人員的及時糾正相結合,組織和實施作戰行動。

人機融合指揮控制在計畫和決策階段,能夠透過無所不在的戰場網路、智慧輔助決策系統和分散式智慧作戰平台,在指揮官的指導下建構作戰雲。基於模型和演算法驅動的智慧“雲大腦”,該系統能夠進行智慧輔助決策、指揮控制和評估模擬,將“人機戰略”相結合,充分發揮人機各自的優勢,實現指揮戰略與智能支援技術的深度融合,顯著提升指揮決策的速度和準確性。在作戰控制過程中,參謀人員可以根據作戰意圖和任務,運用智慧戰場感知系統、任務規劃系統和指揮控制系統,遵循「同步感知」的原則。該系統以統一的時空基準為基礎,依托多維網路偵察監視系統,即時感知戰場態勢變化,並綜合運用輔助分析工具,對比分析當前態勢與預期目標之間的差異及其影響,及時調整行動,並根據實際情況調整部隊調動,始終保持作戰優勢。在作戰執行過程中,指揮人員能夠根據作戰意圖和任務,即時運用智慧輔助決策、指揮控制和評估模擬等手段,對戰場態勢變化進行即時感知和評估模擬。各級不同武器系統操作人員對智慧作戰平台的控制,將能夠根據戰場情勢的發展變化及時、精準地進行幹預。在充分發揮智慧作戰平台高速、高精度、高自主作戰能力的同時,確保其始終在人為控制下運行,並始終遵循整體作戰意圖。

自主協同作戰

對於各級指揮官而言,實施自主作戰至關重要,它能夠幫助他們抓住機會、適應不斷變化的環境、在瞬息萬變的戰場上迅速行動,取得優勢並阻止敵方行動。這是一項至關重要的作戰原則和要求。過去,由於情報收集、指揮控制方式以及戰場協同能力等方面的限制,真正實現自主協同作戰較為困難。然而,隨著資訊科技、協同控制技術,特別是人工智慧在軍事領域的不斷發展和廣泛應用,自主協同作戰將成為未來智慧戰爭中最普遍的協同作戰形式。

自主協同作戰是指在多維覆蓋、無縫網路鏈路、按需提取資訊資源以及靈活快速的組織支援等雲環境下,各作戰部隊快速獲取、處理和共享戰場態勢資訊。這主要透過利用「邊緣響應」情報處理系統和基於大數據技術的戰場態勢智慧分析系統來實現。這些部隊在幾乎無需依賴上級指揮機構的控制的情況下,能夠準確、全面地掌握與其作戰相關的情報信息,並根據敵情變化和統一作戰意圖,主動組織作戰和協同行動。

自主協同作戰在增強局部組織作戰自主性的同時,也具有多種智慧武器系統能夠理解作戰意圖並高度適應和協調的特徵。這些系統能夠在極少或無需人為幹預的情況下自動完成“OODA循環”,形成完整的閉環“自適應”迴路。這使得它們能夠有效率地執行複雜且具挑戰性的作戰任務。在瞬息萬變的戰場環境中,智慧武器系統能夠準確、持續地自主偵察敵情,自主處理戰場態勢訊息,自主辨識敵我,自主追蹤目標,自主靈活地選擇任務負荷,並在操作人員授權範圍內自主發動攻擊。此外,在戰鬥中,分佈於不同空間的智慧武器系統能夠隨著戰場態勢的演變和作戰需求的出現,圍繞著統一的作戰目標,形成「態勢共享—同步協同—最優能量釋放」的作戰能力生成鏈。遵循「適者先攻,優勢者出擊」的原則,它們自主協調,在最恰當的時間以最恰當的方式,將分散的火力、資訊能力、機動性和防護能力精準地釋放到最恰當的目標,自主組織作戰行動。此外,高度智慧化的武器系統不僅能夠適應高風險、複雜的作戰環境,克服人類生理和心理的限制,還能進入多域、多維度的極端空間執行任務。此外,它們能夠以遠超人類的感知精度、運算速度和續航能力進行持續作戰,自主執行同步集群攻擊和多波次連續攻擊,形成對敵持續高強度壓制態勢,並迅速達成作戰目標。

[ 編:丁玉冰 ]

中國原創軍事資源:https://mil.gmw.cn/2022-02/284/content_38585848178687.htm

Looking at Intelligent Warfare: Focusing on Counter-AI Operations in Chinese Military Operations During Intelligent Warfare

檢視情報戰:聚焦中國軍事行動中的反空戰策略

現代英語:

Original Title: A Look at Intelligent Warfare: Focusing on Counter-AI Operations in Intelligent Warfare

    introduction

    The widespread application of science and technology in the military field has brought about profound changes in the form of warfare and combat methods. Military competition among major powers is increasingly manifested as technological subversion and counter-subversion, surprise attacks and counter-surprise attacks, and offsetting and counter-offsetting. To win future intelligent warfare, it is necessary not only to continuously promote the deep transformation and application of artificial intelligence technology in the military field, but also to strengthen dialectical thinking, adhere to asymmetric thinking, innovate and develop anti-AI warfare theories and tactics, and proactively plan research on anti-AI technologies and the development of weapons and equipment to achieve victory through “breaking AI” and strive to seize the initiative in future warfare.

    Fully recognize the inevitability of anti-artificial intelligence warfare

    In his essay “On Contradiction,” Comrade Mao Zedong pointed out that “the law of contradiction in things, that is, the law of unity of opposites, is the most fundamental law of dialectical materialism.” Throughout the history of military technology development and its operational application, there has always been a dialectical relationship between offense and defense. The phenomenon of mutual competition and alternating suppression between the “spear” of technology and the “shield” of corresponding countermeasures is commonplace.

    In the era of cold weapons, people not only invented eighteen kinds of weapons such as knives, spears, swords, and halberds, but also corresponding helmets, armor, and shields. In the era of firearms, the use of gunpowder greatly increased attack range and lethality, but it also spurred tactical and technical innovations, exemplified by defensive fortifications such as trenches and bastions. In the mechanized era, tanks shone brightly in World War II, and the development of tank armor and anti-tank weapons continues to this day. In the information age, “electronic attack” and “electronic protection,” centered on information dominance, have sparked a new wave of interest, giving rise to electronic warfare units. Furthermore, numerous opposing concepts in the military field, such as “missiles” versus “anti-missile,” and “unmanned combat” versus “counter-unmanned combat,” abound.

    It should be recognized that “anti-AI warfare,” as the opposite concept of “intelligent warfare,” will inevitably emerge gradually with the widespread and in-depth application of intelligent technologies in the military field. Forward-looking research into the concepts, principles, and tactical implementation paths of anti-AI warfare is not only a necessity for a comprehensive and dialectical understanding of intelligent warfare, but also an inevitable step to seize the high ground in future military competition and implement asymmetric warfare.

    Scientific Analysis of Counter-AI Combat Methods and Paths

    Currently, artificial intelligence (AI) technology is undergoing a leapfrog development, moving from weak to strong and from specialized to general-purpose applications. From its underlying support perspective, data, algorithms, and computing power remain its three key elements. Data is the fundamental raw material for training and optimizing models, algorithms determine the strategies and mechanisms for data processing and problem-solving, and computing power provides the hardware support for complex calculations. Seeking ways to “break through” AI by addressing these three elements—data, algorithms, and computing power—is an important methodological approach for implementing counter-AI warfare.

    Counter-data warfare. Data is the raw material for artificial intelligence to learn and reason, and its quality and diversity significantly impact the accuracy and generalization ability of models. Numerous examples in daily life demonstrate how minute changes in data can cause AI models to fail. For instance, facial recognition models on mobile phones may fail to accurately identify individuals due to factors such as wearing glasses, changing hairstyles, or changes in ambient light; autonomous driving models may also misjudge road conditions due to factors like road conditions, road signs, and weather. The basic principle of counter-data warfare is to mislead the training and judgment processes of military intelligent models by creating “contaminated” data or altering its distribution characteristics. This “inferiority” in the data leads to “errors” in the model, thereby reducing its effectiveness. Since AI models can comprehensively analyze and cross-verify multi-source data, counter-data warfare should focus more on multi-dimensional features, packaging false data information to enhance its “authenticity.” In recent years, foreign militaries have conducted relevant experimental verifications in this area. For example, by using special materials for coating and infrared emitter camouflage, the optical and infrared characteristics of real weapon platforms, and even the vibration effects of engines, can be simulated to deceive intelligent intelligence processing models; in cyberspace, traffic data camouflage can be implemented to improve the silent operation capability of network attacks and reduce the effectiveness of network attack detection models.

    Anti-algorithm warfare. The essence of an algorithm is a strategy mechanism for solving problems described in computer language. Because the scope of application of such strategy mechanisms is limited, they may fail when faced with a wide variety of real-world problems. A typical example is Lee Sedol’s “divine move” in the 2016 human-machine Go match. Many professional Go players, after reviewing the game, stated that the “divine move” was actually invalid, yet it worked against AlphaGo. AlphaGo developer Silva explained this by saying that Lee Sedol exploited a previously unknown vulnerability in the computer; other analyses suggest that this move might have contradicted AlphaGo’s Go logic or been outside its strategic learning range, making it unable to respond. The basic principle of anti-algorithm warfare is to target the vulnerabilities in the algorithm’s strategy mechanism and weaknesses in its model architecture through logical attacks or deception to reduce the algorithm’s effectiveness. Anti-algorithm warfare should be combined with specific combat actions to achieve “misleading and deceiving” the algorithm. For example, drone swarm reconnaissance operations often use reinforcement learning algorithms to plan reconnaissance paths. In this case, irregular or abnormal actions can be created to reduce or disable the reward mechanism in the reinforcement learning algorithm model, thereby reducing its reconnaissance search efficiency.

    Counter-computing power warfare. The strength of computing power represents the speed at which data processing can be converted into information and decision-making advantages. Unlike counter-data warfare and counter-algorithm warfare, which primarily rely on soft confrontation, counter-computing power warfare employs a combination of hard and soft tactics. Hard destruction mainly refers to attacks on enemy computing centers and computing network infrastructure, crippling their AI models by cutting off their computing power. Soft confrontation focuses on increasing the enemy’s computing costs, primarily by creating a “fog of war” and data noise. For example, during operations, large quantities of meaningless data of various types, such as images, audio, video, and electromagnetic data, can be generated to constrain and deplete the enemy’s computing resources, reducing their effective utilization rate. Furthermore, attacks can also be launched against weak points in the defenses of the computing power support environment and infrastructure. Computing centers consume enormous amounts of electricity; attacking and destroying their power support systems can also achieve the effect of counter-computing power warfare.

    Forward-looking planning for the development of anti-artificial intelligence combat capabilities

    In all warfare, one engages with conventional tactics and wins with unconventional ones. Faced with intelligent warfare, while continuously advancing and improving intelligent combat capabilities, it is also necessary to strengthen preparedness for counter-AI warfare, proactively planning for theoretical innovation, supporting technology development, and equipment platform construction related to counter-AI warfare, ensuring the establishment of an intelligent combat system that integrates offense and defense, and combines defense and counter-attack.

    Strengthen theoretical innovation in counter-AI warfare. Scientific military theory is combat effectiveness. Whether it’s military strategic innovation, military technological innovation, or other aspects of military innovation, all are inseparable from theoretical guidance. We must adhere to liberating our minds, broadening our horizons, and strengthening dialectical thinking. We must use theoretical innovation in counter-AI warfare as a supplement and breakthrough to construct an intelligent warfare theoretical system that supports and serves the fight for victory. We must adhere to the principle of “you fight your way, I fight my way,” strengthening asymmetric thinking. Through in-depth research on the concepts, strategies, and tactics of counter-AI warfare, we must provide scientific theoretical support for seizing battlefield intelligence dominance and effectively leverage the leading role of military theory. We must adhere to the integration of theory and technology, enhancing our scientific and technological awareness, innovation, and application capabilities. We must establish a closed loop between counter-AI warfare theory and technology, allowing them to complement and support each other, achieving deep integration and positive interaction between theory and technology.

    Emphasis should be placed on accumulating military technologies for countering artificial intelligence. Science and technology are crucial foundations for generating and enhancing combat effectiveness. Breakthroughs in some technologies can have disruptive effects, potentially even fundamentally altering the traditional landscape of warfare. Currently, major world powers view artificial intelligence as a disruptive technology and have elevated the development of military intelligence to a national strategy. Simultaneously, some countries are actively conducting research on technologies related to countering artificial intelligence warfare, exploring methods to counter AI and aiming to reduce the effectiveness of adversaries’ military intelligent systems. Therefore, it is essential to both explore and follow up, strengthening research and tracking of cutting-edge technologies, actively discovering, promoting, and fostering the development of technologies with counter-disruptive capabilities, such as intelligent countermeasures, to seize the technological advantage at the outset of counter-AI warfare and prevent enemy technological surprise attacks; and to carefully select technologies, maintaining sufficient scientific rationality and accurate judgment to dispel the technological “fog” and avoid falling into the adversary’s technological traps.

Developing anti-AI warfare weapons and equipment. Designing weapons and equipment is designing future warfare; we develop weapons and equipment based on the types of warfare we will fight in the future. Anti-AI warfare is an important component of intelligent warfare, and anti-AI weapons and equipment will play a crucial role on the future battlefield. When developing anti-AI warfare weapons and equipment, we must first closely align with battlefield needs. We must closely integrate with the adversary, mission, and environment to strengthen anti-AI warfare research, accurately describe anti-AI warfare scenarios, and ensure that the requirements for anti-AI warfare weapons and equipment are scientifically sound, accurate, and reasonable. Secondly, we must adopt a cost-conscious approach. Recent local wars have shown that cost control is a crucial factor influencing the outcome of future wars. Anti-AI warfare focuses on interfering with and deceiving the enemy’s military intelligent systems. Increasing the development of decoy weapon platforms is an effective way to reduce costs and increase efficiency. By using low-cost simulated decoy targets to deceive the enemy’s intelligent reconnaissance systems, the “de-intelligence” effect can be extended and amplified, aiming to deplete their high-value precision-guided missiles and other high-value strike weapons. Finally, we must emphasize simultaneous development, use, and upgrading. Intelligent technologies are developing rapidly and iterating quickly. It is crucial to closely monitor the application of cutting-edge military intelligent technologies by adversaries, accurately understand their intelligent model algorithm architecture, and continuously promote the upgrading of the latest counter-artificial intelligence technologies in weapon platforms to ensure their high efficiency in battlefield application. (Kang Ruizhi, Li Shengjie)

現代國語:

原文標題:智慧化戰爭面面觀-關注智慧化戰爭中的反人工智慧作戰

引言

科學技術在軍事領域的廣泛運用,引起戰爭形態和作戰方式的深刻變化,大國軍事博弈越來越表現為技術上的顛覆與反顛覆、突襲與反突襲、抵消與反抵消。打贏未來智慧化戰爭,既要不斷推進人工智慧技術在軍事領域的深度轉化應用,還應加強辯證思維、堅持非對稱思想,創新發展反人工智慧作戰理論和戰法,前瞻佈局反人工智慧技術研究和武器裝備研發,實現「破智」制勝,努力掌握未來戰爭主動權。

充分認識反人工智慧作戰必然性

毛澤東同志在《矛盾論》中指出:「事物的矛盾法則,即對立統一的法則,是唯物辯證法的最根本的法則。」縱觀軍事技術發展及其作戰運用歷史,從來都充滿了攻與防的辯證關係,技術之矛與反制止制、反制止制相較制、相較制抗擊現象之間的技術之緣關係。

冷兵器時代,人們不僅發明出「刀、槍、劍、戟」等十八般兵器,與之對應的「盔、甲、盾」等也被創造出來。熱兵器時代,火藥的使用大幅提升了攻擊距離和殺傷力,但同時也催生了以「塹壕」「稜堡」等防禦工事為代表的技戰術創新。機械化時代,坦克在二戰中大放異彩,人們對「坦克裝甲」與「反坦克武器」相關技術戰術的開發延續至今。資訊時代,圍繞制資訊權的「電子攻擊」與「電子防護」又掀起一陣新的熱潮,電子對抗部隊應運而生。此外,「飛彈」與「反導」、「無人作戰」與「反無人作戰」等軍事領域的對立概念不勝枚舉。

應當看到,「反人工智慧作戰」作為「智慧化作戰」的對立概念,也必將隨著智慧科技在軍事領域的廣泛深度運用而逐漸顯現。前瞻性研究反人工智慧作戰相關概念、原則及其技戰術實現路徑,既是全面辯證認識智慧化戰爭的時代需要,也是搶佔未來軍事競爭高地、實施非對稱作戰的必然之舉。

科學分析反人工智慧作戰方法路徑

目前,人工智慧技術正經歷由弱向強、由專用向通用的跨越式發展階段。從其底層支撐來看,數據、演算法、算力依舊是其三大關鍵要素。其中,資料是訓練與最佳化模型的基礎原料,演算法決定了資料處理與問題解決的策略機制,算力則為複雜運算提供硬體支撐。從資料、演算法、算力三個要素的角度尋求「破智」之道,是實施反人工智慧作戰的重要方法路徑。

反資料作戰。數據是人工智慧實現學習和推理的原始素材,數據的品質和多樣性對模型的準確度和泛化能力有重要影響。生活中因為微小數據變化而導致人工智慧模型失效的例子比比皆是。例如,手機中的人臉辨識模型,可能會因人戴上眼鏡、改變髮型或環境明暗變化等原因,而無法準確辨識身分;自動駕駛模型也會因路況、路標及天氣等因素,產生對道路狀況的誤判。實施反數據作戰,其基本原理是透過製造“污染”數據或改變數據的分佈特徵,來誤導軍事智能模型的訓練學習過程或判斷過程,用數據之“差”引發模型之“謬”,從而降低軍事智能模型的有效性。由於人工智慧模型能夠對多源數據進行綜合分析、交叉印證,反數據作戰應更加註重從多維特徵出發,包裝虛假數據信息,提升其「真實性」。近年來,外軍在這方面已經有相關實驗驗證。例如,利用特殊材料塗裝、紅外線發射裝置偽裝等方式,模擬真實武器平台光學、紅外線特徵甚至是引擎震動效果,用來欺騙智慧情報處理模型;在網路空間,實施流量資料偽裝,以提升網路攻擊靜默運作能力,降低網路攻擊偵測模型的效果。

反演算法作戰。演算法的本質,是用電腦語言描述解決問題的策略機制。由於這種策略機制的適應範圍有限,在面對千差萬別的現實問題時可能會失效,一個典型例子就是2016年人機圍棋大戰中李世石的「神之一」。不少職業圍棋選手複盤分析後表示,「神之一手」其實並不成立,但卻對「阿爾法狗」發揮了作用。 「阿爾法狗」開發者席爾瓦對此的解釋是,李世石點中了電腦不為人知的漏洞;還有分析稱,可能是「這一手」與「阿爾法狗」的圍棋邏輯相悖或不在其策略學習範圍內,導致其無法應對。實施反演算法作戰,其基本原理是針對演算法策略機制漏洞和模型架構弱點,進行邏輯攻擊或邏輯欺騙,以降低演算法有效性。反演算法作戰應與具體作戰行動結合,達成針對演算法的「誤導欺騙」。例如,無人機群偵察行動常採用強化學習演算法模型規劃偵察路徑,針對此情況,可透過製造無規則行動或反常行動,致使強化學習演算法模型中的獎勵機制降效或失效,從而達成降低其偵察搜尋效率的目的。

反算力作戰。算力的強弱代表著將資料處理轉換為資訊優勢和決策優勢的速度。有別於反數據作戰和反演算法作戰以軟對抗為主,反算力作戰的對抗方式是軟硬結合的。硬摧毀主要指對敵算力中心、計算網路設施等實施的打擊,透過斷其算力的方式使其人工智慧模型難以發揮作用;軟對抗著眼加大敵算力成本,主要以製造戰爭「迷霧」和資料雜訊為主。例如,作戰時大量產生影像、音訊、視訊、電磁等多類型的無意義數據,對敵算力資源進行牽制消耗,降低其算力的有效作用率。此外,也可對算力的支撐環境和配套建設等防備薄弱環節實施攻擊,算力中心電能消耗巨大,對其電力支援系統進行攻擊和摧毀,也可達成反算力作戰的效果。

前瞻佈局反人工智慧作戰能力建設

凡戰者,以正合,以奇勝。面對智慧化戰爭,持續推動提升智慧化作戰能力的同時,也需強化對反人工智慧作戰的未雨綢繆,前瞻佈局反人工智慧作戰相關理論創新、配套技術發展與裝備平台建設,確保建立攻防兼備、防反一體的智慧化作戰體系。

加強反人工智慧作戰理論創新。科學的軍事理論就是戰鬥力,軍事戰略創新也好,軍事科技創新也好,其他方面軍事創新也好,都離不開理論指導。要堅持解放思想、開拓視野,強化辯證思維,以反人工智慧作戰理論創新為補充和突破,建構支撐和服務打贏制勝的智慧化作戰理論體系。要堅持你打你的、我打我的,強化非對稱思想,透過對反人工智慧作戰概念、策略戰法等問題的深化研究,為奪取戰場制智權提供科學理論支撐,切實發揮軍事理論的先導作用。要堅持理技融合,增強科技認知力、創新力、運用力,打通反人工智慧作戰理論與技術之間的閉環迴路,讓兩者互相補充、互為支撐,實現理論與技術的深度融合與良性互動。

注重反人工智慧軍事技術累積。科學技術是產生和提高戰鬥力的重要基礎,有些技術一旦突破,影響將是顛覆性的,甚至可能從根本上改變傳統的戰爭攻防格局。目前,世界各主要國家將人工智慧視為顛覆性技術,並將發展軍事智慧化上升為國家戰略。同時,也有國家積極進行反人工智慧作戰相關技術研究,探索人工智慧對抗方法,意圖降低對手軍事智慧系統效能。為此,既要探索跟進,加強對前沿技術的跟踪研究,積極發現、推動、催生智能對抗這類具有反顛覆作用的技術發展,在反人工智能作戰起步階段就搶佔技術先機,防敵技術突襲;還要精挑細選,注重保持足夠科學理性和準確判斷,破除技術“迷霧”,避免陷入對手技術陷阱。

研發反人工智慧作戰武器裝備。設計武器裝備就是設計未來戰爭,未來打什麼仗就發展什麼武器裝備。反人工智慧作戰是智慧化戰爭的重要組成部分,反人工智慧武器裝備也將在未來戰場上發揮重要作用。在研發反人工智慧作戰武器裝備時,首先要緊貼戰場需求。緊密結合作戰對手、作戰任務和作戰環境等,加強反人工智慧作戰研究,把反人工智慧作戰場景描述準確,確保反人工智慧作戰武器裝備需求論證科學、準確、合理。其次要建立成本思維。最新局部戰爭實踐表明,作戰成本控制是影響未來戰爭勝負的重要因素。反人工智慧作戰重在對敵軍事智慧系統的干擾與迷惑,加大誘耗型武器平台研發是一種有效的降本增效方法。透過低成本模擬示假目標欺騙敵智能偵察系統,可將「破智」效應延伸放大,力求消耗其精確導引飛彈等高價值打擊武器。最後要注重邊建邊用邊升級。智慧技術發展速度快、更新迭代快,要緊密追蹤對手前沿軍事智慧技術應用,摸準其智慧模型演算法架構,不斷推動最新反人工智慧技術在武器平台中的運用升級,確保其戰場運用的高效性。 (康睿智 李聖傑)

中國原創軍事資源:https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/zonghe/2025-05-20/doc-inexeiih2818486808984.shtml

Chinese Military Embracing the Challenges of Intelligent Warfare with New Combat Concepts

中國軍隊以新的作戰概念迎接智慧戰爭的挑戰

現代英語:

Foreword

Breakthroughs in artificial intelligence technology, marked by deep learning, and their applications across various fields have propelled intelligentization to new heights globally, becoming a focal point of attention. In the military field, where technological innovation and application are never lagging behind, a new revolution is also actively brewing. We must accurately grasp the pulse of intelligent warfare’s evolution and analyze its intrinsic nature in order to embrace and master intelligent warfare with a fresh perspective.

How far away is intelligent warfare from us?

Intelligent warfare is warfare primarily supported by artificial intelligence technology. Imbuing weapon platforms with human-like intelligence and replacing human combatants on the battlefield has been a dream for humanity for millennia. With the powerful impact of AI systems like AlphaGo and Atlas, and the emerging concepts and platforms of new warfare such as swarm warfare and flying aircraft carriers, the door to intelligent warfare seems to be quietly opening.

The laws of historical development foreshadow the inevitable rise of intelligent warfare on the battlefield. Advances in science and technology drive the evolution of weaponry, triggering fundamental changes in military organization, combat methods, and military theory, ultimately forcibly propelling a historical transformation in the form of warfare. The arrival of intelligent warfare aligns with this inevitable historical trend. Looking back at the evolution of human warfare, every major advancement in science and technology has driven significant military transformations. The invention of gunpowder ushered in the era of firearms, wiping out infantry and cavalry formations under the linear warfare tactics of firearms. The application of the steam engine in the military led to the mechanized era, giving rise to large-scale mechanized warfare led by armored ships, tanks, and aircraft. The emergence and application of intelligent technology will profoundly change human cognition, war thinking, and combat methods, once again triggering a major military revolution, and intelligent warfare will inevitably take center stage.

The development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology determines the pace of intelligent warfare. The continuous development and widespread application of AI technology are propelling intelligent warfare from its initial stages of uncertainty to reality, gradually emerging and growing, step by step approaching us. To truly enter the era of intelligent warfare, AI technology needs to advance through four stages. The first stage is computational intelligence, which means breaking through the limitations of computing power and storage space to achieve near real-time computing and storage capabilities—capabilities far beyond the reach of large computers and massive servers. The widespread application of cloud computing has already firmly placed humanity on this first stage. The second stage is perceptual intelligence, where machines can understand, see, distinguish, and recognize, enabling direct communication and dialogue with humans. Natural language understanding, image and graphics recognition, and biometric identification technologies based on big data have allowed humanity to reach this second stage. The third stage is cognitive intelligence, where machines can understand human thought, reason and make judgments and decisions like humans. Knowledge mining, knowledge graphs, artificial neural networks, and decision tree technologies driven by deep learning algorithms are propelling humanity towards this third stage. The fourth stage is human-machine integrated augmented intelligence, which involves complementary and two-way closed-loop interaction between humans’ strengths in perception, reasoning, induction, and learning, and machines’ strengths in search, computation, storage, and optimization. Virtual reality augmentation technology, brain-like cognitive technology, and brain-like neural network technology are exploring how humanity can reach this fourth stage. When humanity reached the second stage, the intelligent warfare began to approach; when we step onto the fourth stage, the era of intelligent warfare will fully begin.

Self-learning and growth are accelerating the sudden arrival of the intelligent warfare revolution. “Learning” ability is the core capability of artificial intelligence; once machines can learn on their own, their learning speed will be astonishing. Once machines possess self-learning capabilities, they will enter a rapid growth trajectory of continuous “intelligence enhancement and accelerated evolution.” All the technical difficulties in moving towards intelligent warfare will be readily resolved as “learning” deepens. The era of intelligent warfare may very well arrive suddenly in ways no one could have imagined!

What exactly will intelligent warfare change?

Intelligent warfare will break through the limits of traditional spatiotemporal cognition . In intelligent warfare, artificial intelligence technology can collect, calculate, and push information on the actions of all forces in combat in real time and across all domains. This will enable humans to break through the logical limits of thought, the physiological limits of senses, and the physical limits of existence, greatly improving the scope of cognition of time and space. It will allow for real-time and precise control over all actions of all forces, and enable the rapid transfer, aggregation, and attack of superior combat resources in multidimensional space and domains. Any time and any space may become a point in time and space where victory can be achieved.

Intelligent warfare will reshape the relationship between humans and weaponry . With the rapid advancement of intelligent technologies and the continuous improvement of their intelligence levels, weapon platforms and combat systems can not only passively and mechanically execute human commands, but also, based on deep understanding and prediction, leverage the computational, storage, and retrieval capabilities that machines excel at, thereby autonomously and proactively executing specific tasks to a certain extent. It can be said that weapon platforms and combat systems can also, to some extent, proactively exert human consciousness, even exceeding the scope of human understanding, autonomously and even creatively completing combat missions according to specific programs. The traditional distinction between humans and weaponry becomes blurred, even making it difficult to differentiate whether it is humans or machines at work. People are exclaiming that “humans and weaponry will become partners.” Therefore, in intelligent warfare, while humans remain the most important factor in combat effectiveness, the changing way humans and weaponry are integrated enriches the connotation of combat effectiveness, and the traditional relationship between humans and weaponry will be restructured on this basis.

Intelligent warfare will spur the emergence of new combat methods . Revolutionary advancements in science and technology inevitably lead to revolutionary changes in combat methods; significant progress in intelligent technologies will inevitably bring about a period of rapid transformation in combat methods. On the one hand, emerging technologies in fields such as deep cognition, deep learning, and deep neural networks, driven by computing, data, algorithms, and biology, along with their cross-integration with achievements in information, biology, medicine, engineering, and manufacturing, will inevitably drive an explosive emergence of new combat methods. On the other hand, the intense confrontation between intelligent weapon platforms and combat systems will inevitably become the target and driving force for innovative combat methods. The higher the level of intelligent technology in a war, the more it will become the focus of confrontation. Disadvantages in areas such as the limits of spatiotemporal cognition, massive information storage and computing capabilities, and neural network organization and generation capabilities will lead to new types of “blinding,” “deafening,” and “paralyzing” combat methods in new domains.

Intelligent warfare will incubate entirely new command and control methods. The advantages of command and control are a focal point in warfare, and intelligent warfare calls for entirely new command and control approaches. First, human-machine collaborative decision-making will become the primary command and decision-making method in intelligent warfare. In previous wars, command and decision-making was primarily driven by commanders, with technology playing a supporting role. In intelligent warfare, intelligent auxiliary decision-making systems will proactively urge or prompt commanders to make decisions based on changes in the battlefield situation. This is because the human brain can no longer quickly absorb and efficiently process the massive and rapidly changing battlefield situational information, and human senses can no longer withstand the extraordinary speed of change. Under such circumstances, decisions made solely by commanders are likely to be delayed and useless. Only human-machine collaborative decision-making driven by intelligent auxiliary decision-making systems can compensate for time and space differences and the gap between machine and brain, ensuring the advantage of command and decision-making. Second, brain-computer interface control will become the primary command and control method in intelligent warfare. In previous wars, commanders issued commands to control troops level by level through documents, radio, and telephone, in written or voice form. In intelligent warfare, commanders use intelligent, brain-like neurons to issue commands to troops through a neural network combat system platform. This reduces the conversion process of command presentation formats and shortens the time for commands to be converted across media, resulting in a faster pace and higher efficiency. When the combat system platform is attacked and partially damaged, this command and control method can autonomously repair or reconstruct the neural network, quickly restoring its main functions or even all functions, making it more resistant to attack.

How should we prepare for intelligent warfare?

In the research and exploration of intelligent warfare, we must not be content with lagging behind and following others. We must aim to win future wars and meet the challenges of intelligent warfare with a more proactive attitude, advanced concepts, and positive actions.

Breakthroughs in intelligent technologies will drive a leap in the effectiveness of intelligent combat systems. While significant progress has been made in areas such as neural network algorithms, intelligent sensing and networking technologies, data mining, and knowledge graph technologies, intelligent technologies are still largely in the weak intelligence stage, far from reaching the advanced stage of strong intelligence, and there is still vast potential for future development. It is essential to strengthen basic research in artificial intelligence, follow the laws of scientific and technological development, scientifically plan the development direction of intelligent technologies, select appropriate technological breakthroughs, and strengthen key core technologies in artificial intelligence, especially fundamental research that plays a supporting role. Emphasis should be placed on research into key military technologies. Driven by military needs, and focusing on key military technologies such as intelligent perception, intelligent decision-making, intelligent control, intelligent strike, and intelligent support, intelligent reconnaissance and perception systems, command and control systems, weapon systems, and combat support systems should be developed. Collaborative innovation between military and civilian technologies should be promoted, fully leveraging the advantages of civilian intelligent technology development, relying on the advantages of military and civilian resources, strengthening strategic cooperation between the military and civilian sectors, and building a service platform for the joint research and sharing of artificial intelligence scientific and technological achievements, the joint construction and sharing of conditions and facilities, and the integration of general standards between the military and civilian sectors, thus forming a new landscape of open, integrated, and innovative development of intelligent combat technologies.

Leading the innovation of combat methods with the concept of intelligent warfare. A shift in mindset is a prerequisite for welcoming the arrival of intelligent warfare. Mindset precedes action; if our mindset remains at the traditional level, it will be difficult to adapt to the needs of intelligent warfare. Intelligent warfare has brought about profound changes in technological support, combat forces, and winning mechanisms, requiring us to first establish the concept of intelligent warfare and use it to guide the innovation of our military’s future combat methods. First, we must strengthen the struggle for “intelligent control.” Artificial intelligence is the foundation of intelligent warfare. Depriving and weakening the opponent’s ability to utilize intelligence, while maintaining our own freedom to utilize intelligence, is fundamental to ensuring the smooth implementation of intelligent warfare. The militaries of developed Western countries are exploring various means, such as electromagnetic interference, electronic suppression, high-power microwave penetration, and takeover control, to block the opponent’s ability to utilize intelligence, seize “intelligent control,” and thus gain battlefield advantage. Second, we must innovate intelligent combat methods. We must focus on fully leveraging the overall effectiveness of the intelligent combat system, strengthening research on new intelligent combat methods such as human-machine collaborative intelligent warfare, intelligent robot warfare, and intelligent unmanned swarm warfare, as well as the processes and methods of intelligent combat command and intelligent combat support. With a view to effectively counter the threat of intelligent warfare from the enemy, we should study strategies to defeat the enemy, such as intelligent disruption warfare and intelligent interdiction warfare.

Intelligent training innovation is driving a transformation in combat capability generation. Intelligent warfare will be a war jointly waged by humans and machines, with intelligent unmanned combat systems playing an increasingly important role. It is imperative to adapt to the new characteristics of intelligent warfare force systems, innovate and develop intelligent training concepts, and explore new models for generating combat capability in intelligent warfare. On the one hand, it is necessary to strengthen training for humans in operating intelligent systems. By leveraging big data, cloud computing, VR technology, and other technologies to create new training environments, we can continuously improve human intelligence literacy, enhance human-machine cognition, understanding, and interaction quality, and improve the ability of humans to operate intelligent combat systems. On the other hand, it is necessary to explore new training models with machines as the primary focus. Previous training has primarily focused on humans, emphasizing the ability of humans to master and use weapons and equipment in specific environments to improve combat effectiveness. To adapt to the new characteristics of the force structure in intelligent warfare, the training organization concept and model of traditional training, which is centered on people, should be changed. Instead, the focus should be on improving the self-command, self-control, and self-combat capabilities of intelligent combat systems. By making full use of the characteristics of intelligent systems that can engage in self-competition and self-growth, a training system, training environment, and training mechanism specifically for intelligent combat systems should be formed. This will enable intelligent combat systems to achieve a geometric leap in combat capability after a short period of autonomous intensive training.

現代國語:

前言

以深度學習為代表的人工智慧技術的突破及其在各個領域的應用,已將全球智慧化推向新的高度,成為關注的焦點。在科技創新與應用從未落後的軍事領域,一場新的革命也正悄悄醞釀。我們必須精確掌握智慧戰爭演進的脈搏,分析其內在本質,才能以全新的視角擁抱和掌握智慧戰爭。

智慧戰爭離我們還有多遠?

智慧戰爭是指以人工智慧技術為主要的支撐戰爭。賦予武器平台類人智能,並在戰場上取代人類作戰人員,一直是人類數千年來的夢想。隨著AlphaGo和Atlas等人工智慧系統的強大影響力,以及集群作戰、飛行航空母艦等新型戰爭概念和平台的湧現,智慧戰爭的大門似乎正在悄悄開啟。

歷史發展的規律預示著智慧戰爭在戰場上的必然崛起。科技進步推動武器裝備的演進,引發軍事組織、作戰方式和軍事理論的根本性變革,最終強而有力地推動戰爭形式的歷史性轉型。智慧戰爭的到來正契合這不可避免的歷史趨勢。回顧人類戰爭的發展歷程,每一次科技的重大進步都帶來了意義深遠的軍事變革。火藥的發明開啟了火器時代,在火器線性戰術下,步兵和騎兵陣型被徹底摧毀。蒸汽機在軍事上的應用開啟了機械化時代,催生了以裝甲艦、坦克和飛機為主導的大規模機械化戰爭。智慧科技的出現與應用將深刻改變人類的認知、戰爭思維和作戰方式,再次引發一場重大的軍事革命,智慧戰爭必定成為戰爭的核心。

人工智慧(AI)技術的發展速度決定著智慧戰爭的進程。人工智慧技術的持續發展和廣泛應用正推動智慧戰爭從最初的不確定階段走向現實,逐步興起、發展壯大,一步步向我們逼近。要真正進入智慧戰爭時代,人工智慧技術需要經歷四個階段。第一階段是運算智能,這意味著突破運算能力和儲存空間的限制,實現近實時運算和儲存能力——這種能力遠遠超出大型電腦和海量伺服器的範疇。雲端運算的廣泛應用已經使人類穩固地邁入了這個階段。第二階段是感知智能,機器能夠理解、觀察、區分和識別,從而實現與人類的直接溝通和對話。基於大數據技術的自然語言理解、影像和圖形識別以及生物特徵識別技術,已經使人類邁入了第二階段。第三階段是認知智能,機器能夠理解人類的思維,像人類一樣進行推理、判斷和決策。知識探勘、知識圖譜、人工神經網路以及由深度學習演算法驅動的決策樹技術,正在推動人類邁向第三階段。第四階段是人機融合增強智能,它涉及人類在感知、推理、歸納和學習方面的優勢與機器在搜尋、計算、儲存和最佳化方面的優勢之間互補的雙向閉環互動。虛擬實境增強技術、類腦認知技術和類腦神經網路技術正在探索人類如何達到這個第四階段。當人類達到第二階段時,智慧戰爭開始逼近;當我們邁入第四階段時,智慧戰爭時代將全面開啟。

自主學習和成長正在加速智慧戰爭革命的到來。 「學習」能力是人工智慧的核心能力;一旦機器能夠自主學習,其學習速度將令人驚嘆。一旦機器擁有自主學習能力,它們將進入持續「智慧增強和加速進化」的快速成長軌跡。隨著「學習」能力的加深,邁向智慧戰爭的所有技術難題都將迎刃而解。智慧戰爭時代很可能以我們無法想像的方式突然降臨!

智慧戰爭究竟會帶來哪些改變?

智慧戰爭將突破…的限制。在傳統時空認知中,人工智慧技術能夠即時、跨域地收集、計算並推送所有作戰力量的行動資訊。這將使人類突破思維的邏輯限制、感官的生理限制以及存在的物理限制,大大拓展時空認知範圍。它將實現對所有作戰力量行動的即時精準控制,並能夠在多維空間和領域內快速調動、聚合和攻擊優勢作戰資源。任何時間、任何空間都可能成為取得勝利的時空點。

智慧戰爭將重塑人與武器之間的關係。隨著智慧技術的快速發展和智慧水準的不斷提升,武器平台和作戰系統不僅可以被動、機械地執行人類指令,還能基於深度理解和預測,充分利用機器強大的運算、儲存和檢索能力,在一定程度上自主、主動地執行特定任務。可以說,武器平台和作戰系統也能在某種程度上主動發揮人類意識,甚至超越人類理解的範疇,根據特定程序自主、甚至創造性地完成作戰任務。人與武器之間的傳統界線變得模糊,甚至難以區分究竟是人在工作還是機器在工作。人們開始高喊「人與武器將成為夥伴」。因此,在智慧戰爭中,雖然人仍是作戰效能的最重要因素,但人與武器融合方式的改變豐富了作戰效能的內涵,傳統的人與武器關係也將在此基礎上重構。

智慧戰爭將催生新的作戰方式。科技的革命性進步必然導致作戰方式的革命性變革;智慧技術的顯著進步必然會帶來作戰方式的快速轉型期。一方面,由計算、數據、演算法和生物學驅動的深度認知、深度學習和深度神經網路等領域的新興技術,以及它們與資訊、生物、醫學、工程和製造等領域成果的交叉融合,必將推動新型作戰方式的爆發式湧現。另一方面,智慧武器平台與作戰系統之間的激烈對抗,必將成為創新作戰方式的目標與驅動力。戰爭中智慧科技的程度越高,就越會成為對抗的焦點。時空認知能力、海量資訊儲存和運算能力以及神經網路組織和生成能力等方面的局限性,將導致在新的領域出現新型的「致盲」、「致聾」和「致癱」作戰方式。

智慧戰爭將孕育全新的指揮控制方式。指揮控制的優勢是戰爭的關鍵所在,而智慧戰爭需要全新的指揮控制方法。首先,人機協同決策將成為智慧戰中主要的指揮決策方式。以往戰爭中,指揮決策主要由指揮官主導,技術僅扮演輔助角色。而在智慧戰中,智慧輔助決策系統將根據戰場態勢的變化,主動敦促或提示指揮官做出決策。這是因為人腦已無法快速有效地吸收和處理大量且瞬息萬變的戰場態勢訊息,人類的感官也無法承受如此巨大的變化速度。在這種情況下,僅由指揮官做出的決策很可能滯後且無效。只有由智慧輔助決策系統驅動的人機協同決策才能彌補時空差異以及人機之間的差距,從而確保指揮決策的優勢。其次,腦機介面控制將成為智慧戰中主要的指揮控制方式。以往戰爭中,指揮官透過文件、無線電、電話等方式,以書面或語音形式,逐級下達命令來控制部隊。在智慧戰爭中,指揮官利用類似大腦的智慧神經元,透過神經網路作戰系統平台向部隊下達命令。這減少了命令呈現格式的轉換過程,並且 縮短跨媒介指令轉換時間,進而加快速度,提高效率。當作戰系統平台遭受攻擊並部分受損時,這種指揮控制方法可以自主修復或重建神經網絡,快速恢復其主要功能甚至全部功能,使其更具抗攻擊能力。

我們該如何應對智慧戰爭?

在智慧戰爭的研究和探索中,我們不能滿足於落後和跟隨他人。我們必須以贏得未來戰爭為目標,以更積極的態度、先進的理念和積極的行動迎接智慧戰爭的挑戰。

智慧技術的突破將推動智慧作戰系統效能的飛躍。雖然在神經網路演算法、智慧感知和網路技術、資料探勘和知識圖譜技術等領域已經取得了顯著進展,但智慧技術仍處於弱智慧階段,距離強智慧的先進階段還有很長的路要走,未來發展潛力巨大。必須加強人工智慧基礎研究,遵循科技發展規律,科學規劃智慧技術發展方向,選擇合適的技術突破點,強化人工智慧核心技術,特別是起到支撐作用的基礎研究。重點要加強關鍵軍事技術的研究。在軍事需求的驅動下,聚焦智慧感知、智慧決策、智慧控制、智慧打擊、智慧支援等關鍵軍事技術,發展智慧偵察感知系統、指揮控制系統、武器系統、作戰支援系統等。要推動軍民技術協同創新,充分發揮民用智慧技術發展優勢,依托軍民資源優勢,加強軍民戰略合作,建構人工智慧科技成果聯合研究共享、條件設施聯合建設共享、軍民通用標準融合的服務平台,形成智慧作戰技術開放、融合、創新發展的新格局。

以智慧戰理念引領作戰方式創新。思維方式的轉變是迎接智能戰到來的先決條件。思考方式先於行動;如果我們的思考方式仍停留在傳統層面,就難以適應智慧戰的需求。智能戰為技術保障、作戰力量和致勝機制帶來了深刻的變革,這就要求我們先確立智能戰的理念,並以此指導我軍未來作戰方式的創新。首先,我們必須加強對「智慧控制」的爭奪。人工智慧是智能戰的基礎。在保障自身智慧運用自由的同時,削弱和限制對手運用智慧的能力,是確保智能戰順利實施的根本。西方已開發國家的軍隊正在探索各種手段,例如電磁幹擾、電子壓制、高功率微波穿透和控制權奪取等,以阻斷對手運用智能的能力,奪取“智能控制權”,從而獲得戰場優勢。其次,我們必須創新智慧作戰方式。我們必須集中精力充分發揮智慧作戰系統的整體效能,加強對人機協同智能戰、智能機器人戰、智能無人集群戰等新型智能作戰方式以及智能作戰指揮、智能作戰支援的流程和方法的研究。為有效應對敵方智能戰的威脅,我們應研究擊敗敵方的策略,例如智慧幹擾戰、智慧封鎖戰等。

智慧訓練創新正在推動作戰能力產生方式的改變。智慧戰將是一場人機協同作戰,智慧無人作戰系統將發揮日益重要的作用。必須適應智慧戰部隊系統的新特點,創新發展智慧訓練理念,探索智慧作戰能力生成的新模式。智慧戰爭。一方面,需要加強操作智慧系統的人員的訓練。利用大數據、雲端運算、虛擬實境等技術創造新的訓練環境,可以不斷提高人員的智慧素養,增強人機認知、理解和互動質量,提高人員操作智慧作戰系統的能力。另一方面,需要探索以機器為核心的新型訓練模式。過去的訓練主要以人為中心,強調人員在特定環境下掌握和使用武器裝備以提升作戰效能的能力。為了適應智慧戰爭部隊結構的新特點,需要改變以人為中心的傳統訓練組織理念和模式,轉而專注於提升智慧作戰系統的自主指揮、自主控制和自主作戰能力。充分利用智慧系統能夠進行自我競爭和自我成長的特性,建構專門針對智慧作戰系統的訓練體系、訓練環境和訓練機制。這將使智慧作戰系統在經過短時間的自主強化訓練後,作戰能力實現幾何級的飛躍。

李始江 杨子明 陈分友

中国军网 国防部网
2018年7月26日 星期四

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/28018-07/286/content_28118827.htm

A Look at Chinese Intelligent Warfare: Warfare Considerations Brought by AGI

中國情報戰概覽:AGI帶來的戰爭考量

現代英語:

Technology and war have always been intertwined. While technological innovation constantly changes the face of war, it hasn’t altered its violent nature and coercive objectives. In recent years, with the rapid development and application of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, the debate about its impact on war has never ceased. Compared to artificial intelligence (AI), artificial general intelligence (AGI) is considered to be a higher level of intelligence, comparable to human intelligence. How will the emergence of AGI affect war? Will it change the violent and coercive nature of war? This article will explore this question with a series of reflections.

Is AGI just an enabling technology?

Many believe that while large-scale models and generative artificial intelligence (AGI) demonstrate great potential for future military applications, they are ultimately just enabling technologies. They can only enhance and optimize weapons and equipment, making existing equipment smarter and improving combat efficiency, but they are unlikely to bring about a true military revolution. Just like “cyber warfare weapons,” which were once highly anticipated by many countries when they first appeared, now seem somewhat exaggerated.

The disruptive nature of AGI is entirely different. It brings tremendous changes to the battlefield with reaction speeds and knowledge far exceeding those of humans. More importantly, it produces enormous disruptive results by accelerating technological progress. On the future battlefield, autonomous weapons will be endowed with advanced intelligence by AGI, their performance will be universally enhanced, and they will become “strong in offense and difficult in defense” due to their speed and swarm advantages. At that time, the highly intelligent autonomous weapons predicted by some scientists will become a reality, and AGI will play a key role in this. Currently, the military applications of artificial intelligence include autonomous weapons, intelligence analysis, intelligent decision-making, intelligent training, and intelligent support, which are difficult to summarize simply as “empowerment.” Moreover, AGI develops rapidly, has a short iteration cycle, and is in a state of continuous evolution. In future operations, AGI needs to be prioritized, and special attention should be paid to the potential changes it brings.

Will AGI make wars disappear?

Historian Jeffrey Breeny argues that “wars always occur due to misjudgments of each other’s strength or will,” and that with the application of AGI in the military field, misjudgments will become increasingly rare. Therefore, some scholars speculate that wars will decrease or even disappear. Indeed, relying on AGI can significantly reduce misjudgments, but even so, it’s impossible to eliminate all uncertainty, as uncertainty is a defining characteristic of war. Moreover, not all wars arise from misjudgments, and the inherent unpredictability and inexplicability of AGI, along with people’s lack of experience using AGI, will bring new uncertainties, plunging people into an even deeper “artificial intelligence fog.”

AGI algorithms also present rational challenges. Some scholars believe that AGI’s ability to mine and accurately predict critical intelligence has a dual impact. In practical operation, AGI does indeed make fewer mistakes than humans, improving intelligence accuracy and reducing misjudgments; however, it can sometimes lead to overconfidence and reckless actions. The offensive advantage brought by AGI results in the best defensive strategy being “preemptive strike,” disrupting the balance between offense and defense, creating a new security dilemma, and ultimately increasing the risk of war.

AGI (Automatic Genomics) is highly versatile and easily integrated with weaponry. Unlike nuclear, biological, and chemical technologies, it has a low barrier to entry and is particularly prone to proliferation. Due to technological gaps between countries, immature AGI weapons could potentially be deployed on the battlefield, posing significant risks. For example, the application of drones in recent local conflicts has spurred many small and medium-sized countries to begin large-scale drone procurement. The low-cost equipment and technology offered by AGI could very well stimulate a new arms race.

Will AGI be the ultimate deterrent?

Deterrence is the maintenance of a capability to intimidate an adversary into refraining from actions that exceed one’s own interests. Ultimate deterrence occurs when it becomes so powerful as to be unusable, such as nuclear deterrence that ensures mutual destruction. But ultimately, the deciding factor is “human nature,” a crucial element that will never be absent from war.

Without the considerations of “humanity,” would AGI become a formidable deterrent? AGI is fast but lacks empathy; its resolute execution severely compresses the strategic space. AGI is a key factor on the future battlefield, but due to a lack of practical experience, accurate assessment is difficult, easily leading to overestimation of the adversary’s capabilities. Furthermore, regarding autonomous weapon control, whether to have humans within the system for full-time supervision or to leave it entirely to the outside world requires careful consideration. Should the firing control of intelligent weapons be handed over to AGI? If not, the deterrent effect will be greatly diminished; if so, can the life and death of humanity truly be decided by machines unrelated to them? Research at Cornell University shows that large-scale wargaming models frequently escalate wars with “sudden nuclear attacks,” even when in a neutral state.

Perhaps one day in the future, AGI will surpass human capabilities. Will we then be unable to regulate and control it? Jeffrey Hinton, who proposed the concept of deep learning, said he has never seen a case where something with a higher level of intelligence was controlled by something with a lower level of intelligence. Some research teams believe that humans may not be able to supervise super artificial intelligence. Faced with powerful AGI in the future, will we really be able to control them? This is a question worth pondering.

Will AGI change the nature of war?

With the widespread use of AGI, will battlefields filled with violence and bloodshed disappear? Some argue that AI warfare far exceeds human capabilities and may even push humanity off the battlefield. When AI transforms warfare into a conflict entirely between autonomous robots, will it still be a “violent and bloody war”? When unequal adversaries clash, the weaker party may have no chance to act. Can wars be ended before they even begin through war games? Will AGI change the nature of warfare as a result? Is a “war” without humans still a war?

Yuval Noah Harari, author of Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind, states that all human behavior is mediated by language and influences our history. The Large Language Model (AGI) is a typical example of AGI, differing from other inventions in its ability to create entirely new ideas and cultures; “storytelling AI will change the course of human history.” When AGI gains control over language, the entire system of human civilization could be overturned, without even requiring its own consciousness. Like Plato’s Allegory of the Cave, will humanity worship AGI as a new “god”?

AGI establishes a close relationship with humans through human language and alters their perceptions, making them difficult to distinguish and discern, thus posing a risk that the will to fight could be controlled by those with ulterior motives. Harari stated that computers don’t need to send out killer robots; if necessary, they will allow humans to pull the trigger themselves. AGI precisely manufactures and refines situational information, controlling battlefield perception through deep deception. This can be achieved through drones to fabricate battlefield situations and through pre-war public opinion manipulation, as already evident in recent local conflicts. The cost of war would thus decrease significantly, leading to the emergence of new forms of warfare. Would small and weak nations still have a chance? Can the will to fight be changed without bloodshed? Is “force” no longer a necessary condition for defining war?

The form of war may change, but its essence remains. Regardless of how “bloody” war is, it will still force the enemy to submit to its will and inflict significant “collateral damage,” only the methods of resistance may be entirely different. The essence of war lies in the deep-seated “human nature,” which is determined by culture, history, behavior, and values. It is difficult to completely replicate using any artificial intelligence technology, so we cannot outsource all ethical, political, and decision-making issues to AI, nor can we expect AI to automatically generate “human nature.” AI technology may be abused due to impulsive passions, so it must be under human control. Since AI is trained by humans, it will not always be without bias, therefore it cannot be completely free from human oversight. In the future, artificial intelligence can become a creative tool or partner, enhancing “tactical imagination,” but it must be “aligned” with human values. These issues need to be continuously considered and understood in practice.

Will AGI subvert war theory?

Most academic knowledge is expressed in natural language. A comprehensive language model, which integrates the best of human writing, can connect seemingly incompatible linguistic works with scientific research. For example, some have input classical works, and even works from philosophy, history, political science, and economics, into a comprehensive language model for analysis and reconstruction. They have found that it can comprehensively analyze all scholars’ viewpoints and also offer its own “insights,” without sacrificing originality. Therefore, some have asked whether it is possible to re-analyze and interpret war theory through AGI, stimulating human innovation and driving a major evolution and reconstruction of war theory and its systems. Perhaps there would indeed be some theoretical improvements and developments, but war science is not only theoretical but also practical, and AGI simply cannot achieve this practicality and realism. Can classical war theory really be reinterpreted? If so, what is the significance of the theory?

In short, AGI’s disruption of the concept of warfare will far exceed that of “mechanization” and “informatization.” We must embrace AGI boldly, yet remain cautious. Understanding the concept prevents ignorance; in-depth research prevents falling behind; and strengthened oversight prevents oversight. How to cooperate with AGI and guard against adversaries’ AGI technological surprise attacks is our primary concern for the future.

After editing

Look to the future with an open mind

■Ye Chaoyang

Futurist Roy Amalra famously asserted that people tend to overestimate the short-term benefits of a technology while underestimating its long-term impact, a principle known as “Amalra’s Law.” This law emphasizes the non-linear nature of technological development, meaning that the actual impact of technology often only becomes fully apparent over a longer timescale. It reflects the pulse and trends of technological development, and embodies humanity’s acceptance and aspirations towards technology.

Currently, in the development of artificial intelligence from weak AI to strong AI, and from specialized AI to general AI, each time people think they have completed 90% of the process, looking back, they may only have completed less than 10%. The driving role of technological revolution in military revolution is becoming increasingly prominent, especially as high-tech technologies, represented by artificial intelligence, penetrate the military field in multiple ways, causing profound changes in the mechanisms, factors, and methods of winning wars.

In the foreseeable future, intelligent technologies such as AGI will continue to iterate, and the cross-evolution of intelligent technologies and their empowering applications in the military field will become increasingly diversified, perhaps even transcending the boundaries of humanity’s current understanding of warfare. The development of technology is unstoppable and unstoppable. Whoever can use keen insight and a clear mind to see the trends and future of technology, to see its potential and power, and to penetrate the “fog of war,” will be more likely to seize the initiative.

This serves as a reminder that we should adopt a broader perspective and mindset in exploring the future forms of warfare in order to get closer to the underestimated reality. Where is AGI headed? Where is intelligent warfare headed? This tests human wisdom.

現代國語:

科技與戰爭始終密不可分。科技創新不斷改變戰爭的面貌,卻並未改變其暴力本質和強制目的。近年來,隨著人工智慧(AI)技術的快速發展和應用,關於其對戰爭影響的爭論從未停止。與人工智慧(AI)相比,通用人工智慧(AGI)被認為是一種更高層次的智能,堪比人類智能。 AGI的出現將如何影響戰爭?它會改變戰爭的暴力和強製本質嗎?本文將透過一系列思考來探討這個問題。

AGI只是一種賦能技術嗎?

許多人認為,儘管大規模模型和生成式人工智慧(AGI)展現出未來軍事應用的巨大潛力,但它們終究只是賦能技術。它們只能增強和優化武器裝備,使現有裝備更加智能,提高作戰效率,但不太可能帶來真正的軍事革命。就像曾經被許多國家寄予厚望的「網路戰武器」一樣,如今看來似乎有些誇大其詞。

通用人工智慧(AGI)的顛覆性本質截然不同。它以遠超人類的反應速度和知識儲備,為戰場帶來巨大改變。更重要的是,它透過加速技術進步,產生巨大的顛覆性影響。在未來的戰場上,AGI將賦予自主武器先進的智能,使其性能全面提升,並憑藉速度和集群優勢,成為「攻守難攻」的利器。屆時,一些科學家預測的高智慧自主武器將成為現實,而AGI將在其中扮演關鍵角色。目前,人工智慧的軍事應用涵蓋自主武器、情報分析、智慧決策、智慧訓練和智慧支援等領域,難以簡單地以「賦能」來概括。此外,AGI發展迅速,迭代週期短,處於持續演進的狀態。在未來的作戰行動中,AGI必須優先考慮,並應特別關注其可能帶來的潛在變革。

AGI會讓戰爭消失嗎?

歷史學家傑弗裡·布雷尼認為,“戰爭的發生總是源於對彼此實力或意志的誤判”,而隨著通用人工智慧(AGI)在軍事領域的應用,誤判將變得越來越罕見。因此,一些學者推測戰爭將會減少甚至消失。的確,依賴AGI可以顯著減少誤判,但即便如此,也無法完全消除不確定性,因為不確定性是戰爭的本質特徵。此外,並非所有戰爭都源自於誤判,AGI固有的不可預測性和不可解釋性,以及人們缺乏使用AGI的經驗,將會帶來新的不確定性,使人們陷入更深的「人工智慧迷霧」。

AGI演算法也帶來了理性方面的挑戰。一些學者認為,AGI挖掘和準確預測關鍵情報的能力具有雙重影響力。在實際操作中,AGI確實比人類犯的錯誤更少,提高了情報的準確性並減少了誤判;然而,它有時會導致過度自信和魯莽行動。通用人工智慧(AGI)帶來的進攻優勢使得最佳防禦策略成為“先發製人打擊”,打破了攻防平衡,製造了新的安全困境,並最終增加了戰爭風險。

通用人工智慧(AGI)用途廣泛,易於與武器系統整合。與核武、生物武器和化學武器不同,它的進入門檻低,且極易擴散。由於各國之間存在技術差距,不成熟的通用人工智慧武器可能被部署到戰場上,構成重大風險。例如,無人機在近期局部衝突的應用促使許多中小國家開始大規模採購無人機。通用人工智慧提供的低成本裝備和技術很可能引發新一輪軍備競賽。

通用人工智慧會成為最終的威懾力量嗎?

威懾是指維持一種能力,使對手不敢採取超越自身利益的行動。當威懾力量強大到無法使用時,例如確保相互毀滅的核威懾,就達到了終極威懾的境界。但歸根結底,決定性因素是“人性”,這是戰爭中永遠不可或缺的關鍵要素。

如果忽略“人性”,通用人工智慧(AGI)還能成為強大的威懾力量嗎? AGI速度很快,但缺乏同理心;其果斷的執行會嚴重壓縮戰略空間。 AGI是未來戰場上的關鍵因素,但由於缺乏…實務經驗表明,準確評估十分困難,很容易高估對手的能力。此外,關於自主武器控制,是否應該讓人類在系統中全天候監控,還是完全交給外部世界,都需要仔細斟酌。智慧武器的發射控制權是否應該交給通用人工智慧(AGI)?如果不行,威懾效果將大大降低;如果行,人類的生死真的能由與人類無關的機器來決定嗎?康乃爾大學的研究表明,大規模兵棋推演模型經常會透過「突然的核攻擊」來升級戰爭,即使在中立國也是如此。

或許在未來的某一天,通用人工智慧的能力將超越人類。到那時,我們是否就無法對其進行監管和控制了?深度學習概念的提出者傑弗裡·辛頓表示,他從未見過智能水平更高的系統被智能水平更低的系統控制的情況。一些研究團隊認為,人類或許無法監管超級人工智慧。面對未來強大的通用人工智慧,我們真的能夠控制它們嗎?這是一個值得深思的問題。

通用人工智慧(AGI)會改變戰爭的本質嗎?

隨著AGI的廣泛應用,充滿暴力和血腥的戰場會消失嗎?有人認為,人工智慧戰爭的能力遠遠超出人類,甚至可能將人類逐出戰場。當人工智慧將戰爭完全轉變為自主機器人之間的衝突時,它還會是「暴力和血腥的戰爭」嗎?當實力懸殊的對手交鋒時,弱勢一方可能毫無還手之力。戰爭能否透過戰爭演習在爆發前就結束? AGI會因此改變戰爭的本質嗎?一場沒有人類參與的「戰爭」還能稱之為戰爭嗎?

《人類簡史》的作者尤瓦爾·赫拉利指出,所有人類行為都受語言的製約,並影響我們的歷史。大型語言模型(AGI)是AGI的典型例子,它與其他發明不同之處在於它能夠創造全新的思想和文化;「講述故事的人工智慧將改變人類歷史的進程。」當通用人工智慧(AGI)掌控語言時,整個人類文明體係都可能被顛覆,甚至無需其自身意識。如同柏拉圖的「洞穴寓言」一般,人類會把AGI當成新的「神」嗎?

AGI透過人類語言與人類建立密切聯繫,並改變人類的感知,使其難以區分和辨別,從而構成一種風險:人類的戰鬥意志可能被別有用心之人操控。哈拉里指出,電腦無需派出殺手機器人;如有必要,它們會允許人類自行扣動扳機。 AGI能夠精確地製造和完善戰場訊息,透過深度欺騙控制戰場態勢感知。這可以透過無人機製造戰場環境以及戰前輿論操縱來實現,正如近期局部衝突中所展現的那樣。戰爭成本將因此大幅降低,進而催生新的戰爭形式。弱小國還有勝算?能否在不流血的情況下改變人類的戰鬥意志? 「武力」是否不再是定義戰爭的必要條件?

戰爭的形式或許會改變,但本質不變。無論戰爭多麼“血腥”,它最終都會迫使敵人屈服於己方意志,並造成重大的“附帶損害”,只是抵抗的方式可能截然不同。戰爭的本質在於根深蒂固的“人性”,而人性又是由文化、歷史、行為和價值觀決定的。任何人工智慧技術都難以完全複製人性,因此我們不能將所有倫理、政治和決策問題都外包給人工智慧,也不能指望人工智慧會自動產生「人性」。人工智慧技術可能因衝動而被濫用,因此必須置於人類的控制之下。由於人工智慧是由人類訓練的,它並非總是沒有偏見,因此無法完全脫離人類的監督。未來,人工智慧可以成為一種創造性的工具或夥伴,增強“戰術想像”,但它必須與人類價值觀“保持一致”。這些問題需要在實踐中不斷思考和理解。

通用人工智慧(AGI)會顛覆戰爭理論嗎?

大多數的學術知識都是用自然語言表達。一個整合了人類寫作精華的綜合語言模型,可以將看似不相容的語言學著作與科學研究連結起來。例如,一些學者將古典著作,甚至哲學、歷史、政治和經濟學等領域的著作輸入到綜合語言模型中進行分析和重構。他們發現,該模型既能全面分析所有學者的觀點,又能提出自身的“見解”,同時又不失原創性。因此,有人提出了這樣的問題:因此,我們有可能透過通用人工智慧(AGI)重新分析和詮釋戰爭理論,從而激發人類創新,並推動戰爭理論及其體系的重大演進和重構。或許確實會出現一些理論上的改進和發展,但戰爭科學不僅是理論性的,也是實踐性的,而AGI根本無法達到這種實踐性和現實性。經典戰爭理論真的可以被重新詮釋嗎?如果可以,那麼該理論的意義何在?

簡而言之,AGI對戰爭概念的顛覆將遠遠超過「機械化」和「資訊化」。我們必須大膽擁抱AGI,但也要保持謹慎。理解概念可以避免無知;深入研究可以避免落後;加強監督可以避免失職。如何與AGI合作,並防範對手利用AGI技術發動突襲,是我們未來面臨的首要問題。

編輯後

以開放的心態展望未來

■葉朝陽

未來學家羅伊·阿瑪拉曾提出著名的“阿瑪拉定律”,指出人們往往高估一項技術的短期收益,而低估其長期影響。該定律強調技術發展的非線性特徵,意味著技術的實際影響往往需要更長的時間才能完全顯現。它反映了技術發展的脈動和趨勢,反映了人類對科技的接受度和期望。

目前,在人工智慧從弱人工智慧向強人工智慧、從專用人工智慧發展到通用人工智慧的過程中,人們每次認為自己已經完成了90%的工作,回首往事,可能才完成了不到10%。科技革命在軍事革命中的驅動作用日益凸顯,尤其是在以人工智慧為代表的高科技以多種方式滲透軍事領域,深刻改變戰爭的機制、因素和取勝之道的情況下。

在可預見的未來,通用人工智慧(AGI)等智慧技術將不斷迭代發展,智慧科技的交叉演進及其在軍事領域的賦能應用將日益多元化,甚至可能超越人類目前對戰爭的認知邊界。技術的發展勢不可擋。誰能以敏銳的洞察力和清晰的思維洞察技術的趨勢和未來,看到其潛力和力量,並撥開戰爭迷霧,誰就更有可能掌握主動權。

這提醒我們,在探索未來戰爭形態時,應採取更廣闊的視野和思維方式,才能更接近被低估的現實。通用人工智慧將走向何方?智慧戰爭將走向何方?這考驗著人類的智慧。

來源:中國軍事網-解放軍報 作者:榮明、胡曉峰 編輯:吳明奇 發佈時間:2025-01-21 07:xx:xx

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/yw_20887827/186836858485.html

A Brief Analysis of the Characteristics and Patterns of Chinese Intelligent Warfare

中國情報戰的特徵和模式簡析

現代英語:

Currently, the rapid development of intelligent technologies, primarily artificial intelligence, has triggered a chain of breakthroughs in the military field, leading to significant changes in the concepts, elements, and methods of winning wars, and accelerating the evolution of warfare towards intelligence. Intelligent warfare, as a new form of warfare following mechanized and informationized warfare, represents a comprehensive upgrade and reshaping of force systems, combat methods, and battlefield space. A forward-looking analysis of the characteristics and patterns of intelligent warfare is crucial for accelerating the development of military intelligence, forging intelligent combat capabilities, seizing strategic initiative, and winning future intelligent wars.

Intellectual control becomes the core of winning wars.

Looking back at the history of human warfare, control of land, sea, air, and space has become the focus of contention in different historical periods. Control of physical space is crucial for winning mechanized warfare, while information warfare relies even more heavily on information superiority. Information superiority has surpassed physical space superiority to become the core superiority in information warfare. It is clear that technology has significantly influenced the historical trajectory of the evolution of war superiority. In the era of intelligent warfare, massive amounts of data need to be transmitted, acquired, and processed in real time. Manned, unmanned, and swarm combat platforms need to be more intelligent and autonomous, and the operational chain “OODA” (Output-Output-Action) needs to be efficiently and rapidly closed. All of these rely on intelligent technologies, primarily artificial intelligence, for empowerment. Intelligence superiority will dominate the outcome of future wars.

The pursuit of dominance in warfare has always been a relentless endeavor in the military practices of various countries. Since the 1990s, the Gulf War, the Kosovo War, the Afghanistan War, and the Iraq War have fully demonstrated the battlefield dominance brought about by information superiority. Currently, countries worldwide are vigorously promoting the military application of artificial intelligence, establishing relevant functional departments, and clarifying development priorities. The US Department of Defense’s “Data, Analytics, and Artificial Intelligence Adoption Strategy” and the UK Ministry of Defence’s “Defense Artificial Intelligence Strategy” are both aimed at building powerful militaries for the intelligent era. In the future, the competition among militaries for intelligent superiority will continue and intensify, pushing the control of intelligence to become a core element of victory in warfare.

Human-machine integration has become a basic form of combat force.

From the perspective of combat force development, the dominance of unmanned combat forces is an inevitable trend. The deployment of unmanned systems on the battlefield does not simply change the way humans fight, but rather alters the most basic unit involved in combat. Currently, unmanned combat forces have become a key focus of development for militaries worldwide. In August 2023, the US military announced the “Replicator” program, aiming to deploy thousands of low-cost, expendable unmanned autonomous systems within 18-24 months. In April 2025, the US Department of Defense released a memorandum titled “Army Transformation and Acquisition Reform,” planning to equip each combat division with approximately 1,000 drones. Early Russian military plans clearly stated that by 2025, unmanned equipment would account for over 30% of its force. In May 2025, the British Army released the “20-40-40” strategic doctrine, aiming for an overall unmanned force ratio of 80%. Objectively speaking, the level of intelligence of unmanned equipment currently used in the military is generally low, with most still relying on remote control by combat personnel. For a considerable period in the future, improving the autonomy of machines will remain a key focus and trend in the development of unmanned equipment, and this increased autonomy will, in turn, lead to wider application of unmanned equipment.

From the perspective of artificial intelligence technology development trends, human-machine integration is an inevitable choice for achieving complementary advantages between humans and machines while ensuring the safety and controllability of machines. On the one hand, human-machine integration is an inevitable choice for fully leveraging the respective strengths of biological and machine intelligence. Looking at the development history of artificial intelligence, machines possess advantages surpassing humans in computation and perception, excelling in data processing, classification and recognition, and real-time analysis. However, humans still retain advantages in situational awareness, forward-looking reasoning, and command and decision-making. Effectively leveraging the respective strengths of humans and machines is the optimal choice for solving complex problems. On the other hand, human-machine integration is an inevitable choice for ensuring the safety and controllability of machine intelligence. No matter how superior a machine’s performance, it cannot escape human control and cannot harm humanity itself. Human-machine integration enables macroscopic controllability and microscopic autonomy of machines, thereby achieving the optimal state where humans lead the operational intent while machines handle the operational details.

Unmanned intelligent warfare has become the main form of combat.

Currently, technologies such as artificial intelligence and unmanned autonomous systems are deeply embedded in the military field, driving the continuous upgrading and reshaping of combat styles. Engels once profoundly pointed out: “Once technological advancements can be used for military purposes and have been used for military purposes, they immediately, almost forcibly, and often against the will of the commanders, cause changes or even revolutions in the methods of warfare.” Unmanned warfare first appeared during World War II, but due to the limited technological development at the time, its application scenarios and combat functions were relatively simple. Since the 21st century, the functions of unmanned warfare have been continuously expanding. In the Afghan War, the US military used MQ-1 “Predator” drones to kill al-Qaeda leaders; in the Iraq War, the US-led coalition used more than 20 types of ground unmanned systems and unmanned underwater vehicles for reconnaissance, mine clearance, and obstacle removal. In the latest local wars, unmanned warfare has been widely used in reconnaissance and surveillance, fire strikes, terminal guidance, and communication relay missions. Meanwhile, manned/unmanned collaborative operations have become an important form, and unmanned swarm operations have played a crucial role. Practice shows that combat personnel are quietly moving away from the front lines, and unmanned warfare has become an important style of modern warfare. With continuous breakthroughs in intelligent technology, the intelligence and autonomy of equipment, as well as the degree of human-machine integration, will be significantly improved. At the same time, artificial intelligence will improve the speed, quality, and accuracy of commanders’ decision-making, and the intelligence chain, command and control chain, strike chain, and support chain will be efficiently linked, promoting a second-level response in the “observation-judgment-decision-action” closed loop. This will drive unmanned warfare to develop to a higher level of intelligence, such as intelligent “swarms,” ​​”Trojan horse” infiltration, and distributed autonomous combat styles, which will fundamentally change the form and rules of traditional warfare. Unmanned intelligent warfare will become the main combat mode of intelligent warfare.

Real-time, multi-dimensional, cross-domain operations have become a key requirement for the struggle for spacetime.

Time and space are the fundamental components and operational basis of warfare. In the era of intelligent warfare, the spatiotemporal perspective of war will undergo fundamental changes. First, time will be extremely compressed. Intelligent warfare has truly entered the “detect and destroy” era, significantly accelerating the pace of combat. The increasing autonomy of unmanned equipment further separates humans from equipment, continuously compressing the time for detection and strike. The intelligent interconnection of unmanned and manned equipment further enhances the ability to perceive the battlefield and respond to complex battlefield environments. The temporal segmentation of battlefield situation changes is more detailed and precise, with increasingly shorter time slots and smaller granularities, resulting in an unprecedented increase in the amount of combat content carried per unit of time and its utilization efficiency. Second, space will expand infinitely. The military application of unmanned intelligent technologies is constantly breaking through the logical limits of human thinking, the physiological limits of senses, and the physical limits of existence. The battlefield is further extending to polar regions, the deep sea, and deep space. The territory of war is expanding from physical space and information space to cognitive space, forming operational domains such as the physical domain and the information domain. Third, time and space will act in parallel. Intelligent warfare is subverting the spatiotemporal relationship of the traditional battlefield, making traditional strategies and tactics of trading time for space or space for time ineffective. With increasingly tighter combat schedules, expanded combat spaces, and more diverse combat methods, coupled with a more synchronized spatiotemporal relationship and a more integrated spatiotemporal effect, the human-machine collaborative approach of “humans leading the intent, machines executing the operation” may become the optimal solution. Intelligent auxiliary command and control systems can optimize various functional combinations from spatially distributed combat resources based on the characteristics and time-sensitive features of the targets. They can also dynamically adjust on the spot, forming a multi-target—multi-sensor—multi-shooter parallel strike mode with a multi-kill chain, leaving the enemy nowhere to hide spatially and no time to escape, maximizing the combined effect of spatiotemporal elements.

Self-learning can evolve into a new mode of combat power generation.

Combat power generation models are a relatively stable set of methods, approaches, and standard forms for forming and improving combat power. In the era of mechanized warfare, combat power generation mainly relied on the additive effect of personnel and weaponry; in the era of information warfare, it mainly relied on the multiplicative effect of personnel, weaponry, and information; in the era of intelligent warfare, it mainly relies on the exponential effect of personnel, weaponry, and intelligence. Intelligent technologies, represented by artificial intelligence, are endowing combat systems with the ability to learn, grow, and evolve on their own. Among these, algorithms are the “accelerators” of combat power generation. Combat power in the intelligent era is generated based on accelerated algorithmic processes. The sophistication of algorithms determines the “intelligence” of intelligent equipment. Algorithms can drive the acceleration of situational awareness through sensory elements, accelerate analysis and judgment through data fusion, and accelerate decision-making through precise calculations, detailed calculations, in-depth calculations, and deep reasoning. Data is the “multiplier” of combat power generation, influencing combat power through algorithms. The quantity and quality of data have a significant impact on combat power generation; more high-quality data results in higher algorithmic intelligence and more efficient combat power generation. Computing power is the “catalyst” for combat power generation. In past warfare, limited by technological development, war calculations were mostly rough estimates, and computing power played a minor, inconspicuous role in combat capability generation. In the era of intelligent warfare, however, computing power, through algorithms, significantly catalyzes combat capability generation, becoming an indispensable and crucial element. The rapidly developing artificial intelligence models of recent years, based on algorithmic improvements, large-scale high-quality data supply, and high-performance computing support, demonstrate powerful self-learning and evolutionary capabilities. This migration of capabilities to the military field will inevitably have a profound impact on combat capability generation models. The self-learning and evolutionary capabilities previously possessed only by biological organisms will become essential capabilities of intelligent combat systems, thus significantly distinguishing them from information-based combat systems.

現代國語:

目前,以人工智慧為代表的智慧技術的快速發展,引發了軍事領域的一系列突破,導致戰爭理念、要素和方式發生重大變革,加速了戰爭向智慧化的演進。智能戰作為繼機械化戰爭和資訊化戰爭之後的新型戰爭形式,代表部隊體系、作戰方式和戰場空間的全面升級和重塑。對智慧戰的特徵和格局進行前瞻性分析,對於加速軍事情報發展、鍛造智慧作戰能力、奪取戰略主動權、贏得未來智能戰至關重要。

智力控製成為戰爭取勝的核心。

回顧人類戰爭史,陸海空四大領域的控制權在不同歷史時期都曾是爭奪的焦點。物理空間的控制是贏得機械化戰爭的關鍵,而資訊戰則更依賴資訊優勢。資訊優勢已超越實體空間優勢,成為資訊戰的核心優勢。顯而易見,科技對戰爭優勢演進的歷史軌跡產生了重大影響。在智慧戰爭時代,海量資料需要即時傳輸、取得和處理。有人、無人和集群作戰平台需要更智慧和自主化,作戰鏈「OODA」(輸出-輸出-行動)需要有效率快速地閉合。所有這些都依賴智慧技術,尤其是人工智慧,來賦能。情報優勢將主導未來戰爭的走向。

追求戰爭優勢一直是各國軍事實踐中不懈的努力。自1990年代以來,海灣戰爭、科索沃戰爭、阿富汗戰爭和伊拉克戰爭充分展現了資訊優勢帶來的戰場優勢。目前,世界各國都在大力推動人工智慧的軍事應用,建立相關職能部門,並明確發展重點。美國國防部的《數據、分析和人工智慧應用戰略》和英國國防部的《國防人工智慧戰略》都旨在為智慧時代打造強大的軍隊。未來,各國軍隊對智慧優勢的競爭將持續加劇,智慧控制將成為戰爭勝利的核心要素。

人機融合已成為作戰力量的基本形態。

從作戰力量發展的角度來看,無人作戰力量的主導地位是不可避免的趨勢。無人系統在戰場上的部署不僅改變了人類的作戰方式,也改變了作戰中最基本的單位。目前,無人作戰力量已成為世界各國軍隊發展的重點。 2023年8月,美國軍方宣布啟動「複製者」(Replicator)計劃,旨在18-24個月內部署數千套低成本、一次性使用的無人自主系統。 2025年4月,美國國防部發布了一份題為《陸軍轉型與裝備改革》的備忘錄,計畫為每位作戰師配備約1,000架無人機。俄羅斯早期的軍事計畫明確指出,到2025年,無人裝備將佔其兵力的30%以上。 2025年5月,英國陸軍發布了「20-40-40」戰略理論,目標是使無人部隊的總體比例達到80%。客觀而言,目前軍方使用的無人裝備智慧化程度普遍較低,且大多數仍依賴作戰人員的遠端操控。在未來相當長的一段時間內,提高機器的自主性仍將是無人裝備發展的關鍵重點和發展趨勢,而自主性的提升反過來又將推動無人裝備的更廣泛應用。

從人工智慧技術發展趨勢來看,人機融合是實現人機優勢互補、同時確保機器安全性和可控性的必然選擇。一方面,人機融合是充分發揮生物智慧和機器智慧各自優勢的必然選擇。回顧人工智慧的發展歷程,機器在計算和感知方面擁有超越人類的優勢,尤其擅長數據處理、分類識別和即時分析。然而,人類在態勢感知、前瞻性推理以及指揮決策方面仍保持著優勢。g. 有效發揮人機各自的優勢是解決複雜問題的最佳選擇。另一方面,人機融合是確保機器智慧安全性和可控性的必然選擇。無論機器的性能多麼卓越,它都無法脫離人類的控制,也無法對人類本身造成傷害。人機融合能夠實現機器的宏觀可控制性和微觀自主性,從而達到人類主導作戰意圖、機器處理作戰細節的最佳狀態。

無人智慧戰爭已成為主要的作戰形式。

目前,人工智慧、無人自主系統等技術已深度融入軍事領域,推動作戰方式的不斷升級與重塑。恩格斯曾深刻指出:「一旦技術進步能夠用於軍事目的,並且已經用於軍事目的,它就會立即、幾乎是強迫地、而且往往違背指揮官的意願,導致戰爭方式的改變,甚至革命。」無人作戰最早出現於第二次世界大戰期間,但由於當時技術發展有限,其應用場景和作戰功能相對簡單。進入21世紀以來,無人作戰的功能不斷擴展。在阿富汗戰爭中,美軍使用MQ-1「掠奪者」無人機擊斃基地組織領導人;在伊拉克戰爭中,美國領導的聯軍使用了20多種地面無人系統和無人水下航行器進行偵察、掃雷和清除障礙物等任務。在近期的局部戰爭中,無人作戰被廣泛應用於偵察監視、火力打擊、末端導引和通訊中繼等任務。同時,有人/無人協同作戰成為一種重要形式,無人集群作戰發揮了關鍵作用。實踐表明,作戰人員正在悄悄遠離前線,無人作戰已成為現代戰爭的重要形式。隨著智慧技術的不斷突破,裝備的智慧化和自主性以及人機融合程度將顯著提升。同時,人工智慧將提高指揮官決策的速度、品質和準確性,並使情報鏈、指揮控制鏈、打擊鍊和支援鏈高效銜接,推動「觀察-判斷-決策-行動」閉環中的二級回應。這將推動無人作戰朝向更高層次的智慧化發展,例如智慧「集群」、「特洛伊木馬」滲透和分散式自主作戰模式,從根本上改變傳統戰爭的形式和規則。無人智慧作戰將成為智慧戰爭的主要作戰模式。

即時、多維、跨域作戰已成為爭奪時空的關鍵要求。

時間和空間是戰爭的基本組成部分和作戰基礎。在智慧戰爭時代,戰爭的時空觀將會發生根本性的改變。首先,時間將被極大壓縮。智慧戰爭已真正進入「探測與摧毀」時代,顯著加快了作戰節奏。無人裝備自主性的不斷提高進一步拉開了人與裝備的距離,持續壓縮了探測與打擊的時間。無人裝備與有人裝備的智慧互聯進一步增強了對戰場的感知能力和對複雜戰場環境的反應能力。戰場態勢變化的時間分割更加細緻、精確,時間間隔越來越短,粒度越來越小,從而以前所未有的速度提升了單位時間內作戰內容的承載量及其利用效率。其次,空間將無限擴展。無人智慧技術的軍事應用不斷突破人類思維的邏輯極限、感官的生理極限以及存在的物理極限。戰場進一步延伸至極地、深海和深空。戰爭的疆域正從物理空間和資訊空間擴展到認知空間,形成物理域和資訊域等作戰領域。第三,時間和空間將並行運作。智慧戰爭正在顛覆傳統戰場的時空關係,使得以時間換空間或以空間換時間的傳統戰略戰術失效。隨著作戰時間日益縮短、作戰空間不斷擴大、作戰方式日益多樣化,以及時空關係日益同步與更加…時空一體化效應使得「人引導意圖,機器執行操作」的人機協同作戰模式成為最優解。智慧輔助指揮控制系統能夠根據目標的特徵和時間敏感性,優化空間分佈作戰資源的各種功能組合,並能進行現場動態調整,形成多目標、多感測器、多射手並行打擊模式,實現多殺傷鏈,使敵人無處可藏,無處可逃,最大程度地發揮時空要素的綜合效應。

自學習可以演化成一種新的戰鬥力生成模式。

戰鬥力生成模式是一套相對穩定的形成和提升戰鬥力的方法、途徑和標準形式。在機械化戰爭時代,戰鬥力生成主要依靠人員和武器的疊加效應;在資訊戰時代,則主要依靠人員、武器和資訊的乘積效應。在智慧戰爭時代,作戰主要依賴人員、武器和情報的指數級成長效應。以人工智慧為代表的智慧技術賦予作戰系統自主學習、成長和演進的能力。其中,演算法是作戰能力生成的「加速器」。智慧時代的作戰能力正是基於加速的演算法流程而產生的。演算法的複雜程度決定了智慧裝備的「智能」程度。演算法可以透過感知元素加速態勢感知,透過資料融合加速分析判斷,並透過精確計算、詳細計算、深度計算和深度推理加速決策。數據是作戰能力產生的“倍增器”,它透過演算法影響作戰能力。數據的數量和品質對作戰能力的產生有著顯著的影響;更多的高品質數據能夠帶來更高的演算法智慧和更有效率的作戰能力產生。運算能力是作戰能力生成的「催化劑」。在以往受限於科技發展的戰爭中,戰爭計算大多是粗略估計,運算能力在作戰能力生成中扮演的角色微不足道。然而,在智慧戰爭時代,運算能力透過演算法顯著促進了作戰能力的生成,成為不可或缺的關鍵要素。近年來,基於演算法改進、大規模高品質數據供應和高效能運算支援的快速發展的人工智慧模型,展現出強大的自學習和進化能力。這種能力向軍事領域的遷移必將對作戰能力生成模型產生深遠影響。以往僅生物體才具備的自學習與進化能力,將成為智慧作戰系統的核心能力,因而顯著區別於資訊型作戰系統。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/ll_208543/186841829899.html