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Chinese Military Laws to Follow to Win Intelligent Warfare

打贏智慧化戰爭的中國軍事法規

現代英語:

Source: Liberation Army DailyAuthor: Hao Jingdong Niu Yujun Duan Feiyi

Editor-in-charge: Wang Feng

无命题8

2021-03-16 10:xx

●To understand the laws of intelligent warfare, we must grasp the foundation of intelligence and autonomy, the key of building a war knowledge and action system, and the essence of the changes in the connotation of war power.

●War leaders must examine intelligent warfare dynamically, keenly capture the new elements spawned by intelligent warfare, correctly analyze the changes in the relationship between the new elements, and constantly re-understand intelligent warfare.

President Xi pointed out that we should seriously study the military, war, and how to fight, and grasp the laws of modern warfare and the laws governing war. Today, the intelligent characteristics of war are becoming increasingly prominent, and intelligent warfare has already shown its early form. In order to seize the initiative in future intelligent warfare, we should actively follow the development of modern warfare, keep close to the actual military struggle preparations, proactively understand the laws of intelligent warfare, deeply grasp its guiding laws, focus on answering questions such as “what is it” and “how to do it”, and constantly innovate war and strategic guidance.

Answering the question “What is it?” and understanding the laws of intelligent warfare

Comrade Mao Zedong pointed out: “The laws of war are a problem that anyone who directs a war must study and must solve.” Today, as intelligent warfare begins to emerge, we should proactively understand “what” intelligent warfare is. Otherwise, we will not be able to solve “how to do it,” let alone control future wars.

The laws of intelligent warfare are the reconstruction of the war knowledge and action system. The laws of intelligent warfare, like the laws of cold weapon warfare, hot weapon warfare, mechanized warfare, and information warfare, are the inherent and essential connections between the elements of war. The difference is that it has new elements and new modes of composition between elements. It is essentially the reconstruction of the war knowledge and action system caused by the intelligent revolution. Today, to understand the laws of intelligent warfare, we must grasp the foundation of intelligence and autonomy, grasp the key to building a war knowledge and action system, and grasp the essence of the change in the connotation of war power. Mastering these laws can overcome the chaos and uncertainty in future wars and find order and certainty from them. This is the objective requirement for dealing with intelligent warfare.

The laws of intelligent warfare are the basis of the laws of war guidance. In “Problems of Strategy in China’s Revolutionary War”, Mao Zedong first analyzed the characteristics of China’s revolutionary war and revealed the laws of war, and then “derived our strategies and tactics from this”, that is, the laws of war guidance; in “On Protracted War”, he first explained “what it is”, and then turned to the question of “how to do it”, reflecting a logical order of the cognitive process. Today, the study of intelligent warfare should still follow this order, and neither put the cart before the horse, nor reverse the order; nor add, reduce or replace links. On the basis of mastering the fundamental law of intelligent autonomy, we must reveal the laws of war guidance such as autonomous perception, autonomous planning, autonomous implementation, autonomous linkage, and autonomous evaluation.

If you don’t understand the laws of intelligent warfare, you can’t guide the war. “Sun Bin’s Art of War” points out: “Know, win” and “Don’t know, don’t win.” Tao is the law of war. If you master it and act in accordance with it, you can win; otherwise, you will lose. Mao Zedong also emphasized: “If you don’t know the laws of war, you don’t know how to guide the war, and you can’t win the war.” Similarly, mastering the laws of intelligent warfare is the premise for correctly guiding intelligent warfare. Otherwise, it is inevitable to be confused by the superficial phenomena of intelligent warfare. Today, we need to analyze the basic, long-term and subversive impact of intelligent technology groups on war, and study what intelligent warfare looks like? What are the laws? How should it be fought? These are all major issues that must be answered in the guidance of intelligent warfare.

Solve the “how to do it” problem and reveal the guiding principles of intelligent warfare

The guiding laws of intelligent warfare are the medium for guiding practice by using the laws of intelligent warfare, playing the role of “bridge” and “boat”. We should solve the problem of “how to do it” on the basis of answering “what is it” and propose the “swimming skills” of intelligent warfare.

The guiding laws of intelligent warfare are the laws of applying the laws of war. The purpose of understanding the laws of war is to apply them. Marx pointed out: “Philosophers only interpret the world in different ways, but the problem is to change the world.” Similarly, intelligent warfare itself forces commanders to discover the laws. Once discovered, they will combine initiative and use the laws to serve winning the war, which will inevitably lead to the emergence of guiding laws for intelligent warfare. Today, war is the continuation of politics, which is still the law of intelligent warfare. From this, it can be concluded that intelligent warfare must obey the guiding laws that serve politics; soldiers and civilians are the basis of victory, which is still the law of intelligent warfare. From this, it can be concluded that the guiding laws of mobilizing the people in the broadest possible way are derived, and so on. These guiding laws for intelligent warfare are derived from the laws of war and are “swimming skills in the sea of ​​intelligent warfare.”

Give full play to the active role of people in intelligent warfare. Engels said: “It is people, not guns, who win the battle.” The guiding laws of intelligent warfare are the laws of practice and use. It is not a simple “transfer” or “copying” of the laws of intelligent warfare, but it can be transformed into the guiding laws of war with the addition of people’s subjective initiative. Today, military talents who master artificial intelligence are not only the operators of intelligent weapons, but also the creators of artificial intelligence. People still occupy a dominant position in the intelligent human-machine system and are the decisive factor in the victory or defeat of intelligent warfare. Commanders should give full play to their initiative on the basis of mastering the laws of intelligent warfare and adhere to the “technology + strategy” combat theory generation model, so as to change from answering “what is” to solving “how to do”.

The laws governing intelligent warfare are constantly evolving. War is a “chameleon”. Intelligent warfare itself will also go through different stages such as germination, development, and maturity, which will inevitably lead to the development of laws governing intelligent warfare. War leaders must dynamically examine intelligent warfare, keenly capture the new elements of intelligent warfare, correctly analyze the changes in the relationship between the new elements, and constantly re-recognize intelligent warfare. We must keep up with the historical process of the accelerated advancement of war forms towards intelligence, grasp the direction of development of intelligent warfare and the pulse of the times, push the research on the laws governing intelligent warfare to a new level, and seize strategic initiative and opportunities on future battlefields.

Keep a close eye on the “initiative” and continue to innovate intelligent warfare and strategic guidance

As the military is ever-changing, water is ever-changing. As intelligent warfare has already arrived, we must follow the laws and guidance of intelligent warfare, keep close to the actual military struggle preparations, strengthen research on opponents and enemy situations, take the initiative to design “when”, “where” and “who to fight”, innovate war and strategic guidance, and firmly grasp the strategic initiative of future wars.

You fight yours, I fight mine. The highest realm of the art of war guidance is that you fight yours, I fight mine. “Each fights his own” requires commanders to use their own forces independently and autonomously in future intelligent wars, no matter how complex and difficult the environment is. In particular, enemies with high-tech equipment may cause a temporary local situation where the enemy is active and we are passive. At this time, we must use comprehensive means such as politics, economy, and diplomacy to make up for the disadvantages in weapons with an overall favorable situation, quickly reverse this situation, and restore the active position. If you are led by the nose by your strategic opponent, you may suffer a great loss.

Seize the opportunity and use the troops according to the time. The Six Secret Teachings pointed out: “The use depends on the opportunity.” Jomini emphasized: “The whole art of war lies in being good at waiting for the opportunity to act.” On the one hand, if the time is not right, do not force it. Be cautious about the opportunity, and have great patience before the opportunity comes to prevent strategic blind action. On the other hand, the time will not come again, so don’t miss the opportunity. Be good at seizing the opportunity, and once you encounter a favorable opportunity, you must resolutely use it and avoid being timid. It should be pointed out that we should look at the issue of the maturity of the opportunity dialectically. The future intelligent war is changing rapidly, requiring quick decision-making, but in the face of uncertain factors, we must make careful decisions. Sometimes making a decision early may be more effective than making a more perfect decision tomorrow. Therefore, we must dare to take a little risk, otherwise we will sit back and watch the loss of the opportunity for success.

Different domains are different, and operations are based on the local conditions. Clausewitz pointed out: “War is not like a field full of crops, but like a field full of trees. When harvesting crops, you don’t need to consider the shape of each crop, and the quality of the harvest depends on the quality of the sickle; when chopping down trees with an axe, you must pay attention to the shape and direction of each tree.” Different strategic spaces lead to different wars, and war guidance is also different. At present, the battlefield space is constantly expanding from traditional spaces such as land, sea and air to new spaces such as space and the Internet. War leaders should explore new intelligent war laws and guidance laws based on the characteristics of multi-domain, three-dimensional, and networked.

Aim at the opponent and win by taking advantage of the enemy. The Art of War by Sun Tzu states: “Follow the enemy and decide the battle.” Jomini also said: “No matter who you are, if you don’t understand the enemy, how can you know how to act?” Looking to the future, smart strategists should classify combat targets into primary combat targets and general combat targets, actual combat targets and potential combat targets according to their importance and urgency, and comprehensively and objectively understand the strategic intentions, force deployment, combat concepts, etc. of different combat targets, propose new intelligent war guidance laws that can give full play to the advantages of their own combat power, and implement correct war actions.

In short, the laws of intelligent warfare are the laws of the cognitive process, solving the problem of “what”; the guiding laws are the laws of the practical process, solving the problem of “how”. The two are dialectically unified and inseparable, forming a complete chain of understanding and guiding intelligent warfare. “Victory is not repeated, but should be formed in infinity.” Today, war and strategic leaders should, based on objective conditions, deeply explore and flexibly apply the laws of intelligent warfare and the laws of war guidance, and innovate war and strategic guidance in line with the times.

(Author’s unit: Academy of Military Science, Institute of War Studies)

現代國語:

无命题8

資料來源:解放軍報作者:郝敬東 牛玉俊 段非易責任編輯:王鳳2021-03-16 10:xx
要點提示

●認識智慧化戰爭規律,要抓住智慧化和自主化這個基礎,抓住建構戰爭知行體系這個關鍵,抓住戰爭力量內涵發生改變這個實質。

●戰爭指導者須動態地檢視智慧化戰爭,敏銳捕捉智慧化戰爭孕育的新質要素,正確分析新質要素之間關係的變化,不斷對智慧化戰爭進行再認識。

習主席指出,要認真研究軍事、研究戰爭、研究打仗,掌握現代戰爭規律和戰爭指導規律。今天,戰爭的智慧化特徵日益凸顯,智慧化戰爭已經展現出早期形態的樣貌。要掌握未來智慧化戰爭主動權,就應積極追蹤現代戰爭發展,緊貼現實軍事鬥爭準備,前瞻認識智能化戰爭規律,深刻把握其指導規律,著力回答「是什麼」、解決 「怎麼做」等問題,不斷創新戰爭和戰略指導。

回答“是什麼”,前瞻認識智慧化戰爭規律

毛澤東同志指出:“戰爭的規律——這是任何指導戰爭的人不能不研究和不能不解決的問題。”今天,在智能化戰爭初顯端倪之際,應前瞻認識智能化戰爭“是什麼”,否則就不能解決“怎麼做”,更不可能駕馭未來戰爭。

智慧化戰爭規律是戰爭知行體系的重建。智慧化戰爭規律,和冷兵器戰爭、熱兵器戰爭、機械化戰爭、資訊化戰爭的規律一樣,是戰爭諸要素間內在的、本質的聯繫,不同之處在於它有新質的要素和新的要素間的構成模式,本質上是基於智能化革命所引發的戰爭知行體系的重建。今天,認識智慧化戰爭規律,要抓住智慧化和自主化這個基礎,抓住建構戰爭知行體系這個關鍵,抓住戰爭力量內涵發生改變這個實質。掌握這些規律,就能克服未來戰爭中的紛亂和不確定性,從中找出條理和確定性,這是應對智慧化戰爭的客觀要求。

智慧化戰爭規律是戰爭指導規律的依據。毛澤東在《中國革命戰爭的戰略問題》中,首先分析了中國革命戰爭的特點,揭示了戰爭規律,然後“由此產生我們的戰略戰術”,即戰爭指導規律;在《論持久戰》中,他首先說明了“是什麼”,再轉到研究“怎麼做”的問題上,體現了一種認識過程的邏輯順序。今天,研究智慧化戰爭仍應遵循此順序,既不能本末倒置,顛倒順序;也不能增加、減少或更換環節。要在掌握智能自主這項根本規律的基礎上,揭示自主感知、自主規劃、自主實施、自主連結、自主評估等戰爭指導規律。

不懂得智慧化戰爭規律,就不能指導戰爭。 《孫臏兵法》指出:「知道,勝」「不知道,不勝」。道是戰爭規律,掌握它、行動符合它,就能取勝;反之,則敗。毛澤東也強調:「不知道戰爭的規律,就不知道如何指導戰爭,就不能打勝仗。」同樣,掌握智慧化戰爭規律,是正確指導智能化戰爭的前提。否則,就難免被智慧化戰爭的表面現象所迷惑。今天,要透過分析智能化技術群對戰爭的基礎性、長遠性和顛覆性影響,研究智能化戰爭是什麼樣子?有哪些規律?該怎麼打?這些都是智慧化戰爭指導必須回答的重大議題。

解決“怎麼做”,揭示掌握智慧化戰爭指導規律

智慧化戰爭指導規律是運用智慧化戰爭規律指導實踐的中介,扮演「橋」和「船」的角色。應在回答「是什麼」的基礎上解決「怎麼做」的問題,提出智能化戰爭的「游泳術」。

智慧化戰爭指導規律是運用戰爭規律的規律。認識戰爭規律的目的在於應用。馬克思指出:「哲學家們只是用不同的方式解釋世界,而問題在於改變世界。」同樣,智慧化戰爭本身迫使指揮者不發現規律則已,一旦發現,就會結合能動性,利用規律為打贏戰爭服務,這就必然導致智能化戰爭指導規律的產生。今天,戰爭是政治的繼續仍是智能化戰爭規律,由此得出智能化戰爭必須服從服務於政治的指導規律;兵民是勝利之本仍是智能化戰爭規律,由此得出最廣泛地動員民眾的指導規律,等等。這些智慧化戰爭指導規律是戰爭規律衍生出來的,是「智慧化戰爭大海中的游泳術」。

充分發揮人在智慧化戰爭中的能動作用。恩格斯說:「贏得戰鬥勝利的是人而不是槍。」智慧化戰爭指導規律是實踐規律、使用規律。它不是對智慧化戰爭規律的簡單“移用”“照搬”,而是加上人的主觀能動性,才能轉化為戰爭指導規律。今天,掌握人工智慧的軍事人才,不僅是智慧化武器的操控者,更是人工智慧的創造者。人在智慧化人機系統中仍處於主體地位,是智慧化戰爭勝負的決定性因素。指揮者應在掌握智慧化戰爭規律的基礎上,充分發揮能動性,堅持「技術+謀略」的作戰理論生成模式,才能由回答「是什麼」轉變為解決「怎麼做」。

智慧化戰爭指導規律是不斷發展的。戰爭是一條「變色龍」。智慧化戰爭本身也會經歷萌芽、發展、成熟等不同階段,必然帶來智慧化戰爭指導規律的發展。戰爭指導者須動態地檢視智能化戰爭,敏銳捕捉智慧化戰爭孕育的新質要素,正確分析新質要素之間關係的變化,不斷對智慧化戰爭進行再認識。要緊跟戰爭形態向智能化加速邁進的歷史進程,把握智能化戰爭發展方向和時代脈搏,把對智能化戰爭指導規律的研究推向新境界,在未來戰場佔據戰略主動和先機。

緊盯“主動權”,不斷創新智慧化戰爭和戰略指導

兵無常勢,水無常形。在智慧化戰爭已然來臨之際,要在遵循智能化戰爭規律和指導規律的基礎上,緊貼現實軍事鬥爭準備,加強對手研究、敵情研究,主動設計“在什麼時間”“在什麼地點”“和誰打仗”,創新戰爭和戰略指導,牢牢掌握未來戰爭的戰略主動權。

你打你的,我打我的。戰爭指導藝術的最高境界,就是你打你的、我打我的。 「各打各的」要求指揮在未來智能化戰爭中,無論處於怎樣複雜、困難的環境,首先要立足自身實際,獨立自主地使用自己的力量。特別是擁有高技術裝備之敵,可能造成暫時的局部的敵之主動、我之被動的局面,這時要透過政治、經濟、外交等綜合手段,以總體有利態勢彌補武器上的劣勢,迅速扭轉這一局面,恢復主動地位。如果被戰略對手牽著鼻子走,就可能吃大虧。

把握時機,因時用兵。 《六韜》指出:「用之在於機。」若米尼強調:「全部戰爭藝術就在於善於待機而動。」一方面,時不至,不可強動。要持重時機,時機未到,應有極大耐心,防止策略盲動。另一方面,時不再來,機不可失。要善於把握時機,一旦遇上有利時機,就要堅決利用,防止畏首畏尾。需要指出的是,要辯證地看待時機成熟問題。未來智慧化戰爭瞬息萬變,要求快速決策,而面對不確定性因素,必須謹慎決策。有時及早定下決心,比明天下達更完善的決心也許更有效。因此,要敢於冒一點風險,不然會坐視成功機會的喪失。

各域有別,因地運籌。克勞塞維茨指出:「戰爭不像長滿莊稼的田地,而像長滿大樹的土地。收割莊稼時不需要考慮每棵莊稼的形狀,收割得好壞取決於鐮刀的好壞;而用斧頭砍伐大樹時,就必須注意到每棵大樹的形狀和方向。」戰略空間不同,戰爭就不同,戰爭指導也不一樣。目前,戰場空間不斷由陸海空等傳統空間向太空、網路等新型空間拓展,戰爭指導者應根據​​多域性、立體性、網路性等特點,探索新的智慧化戰爭規律和指導規律。

瞄準對手,因敵制勝。 《孫子兵法》指出:「踐墨隨敵,以決戰事。」約米尼也說:「不管是誰,如果不了解敵人,怎能知道自己應該如何行動呢?」著眼未來,聰明的戰略家應根據輕重、緩急程度,把作戰對象區分為主要作戰對象和一般作戰對象、現實作戰對象和潛在作戰對象,全面客觀地了解不同作戰對象的戰略意圖、兵力部署、作戰構想等,提出能充分發揮己方戰力優長的新的智能化戰爭指導規律,實施正確的戰爭行動。

總之,智慧化戰爭規律是認識過程中的規律,解決「是什麼」;指導規律是實踐過程中的規律,解決「怎麼做」。二者辯證統一,不可分割,構成了認識和指導智能化戰爭的完整鏈。 「戰勝不復,而應形於無窮。」今天,戰爭和戰略指導者應基於客觀情況,深入探索和靈活運用智能化戰爭規律和戰爭指導規律,與時俱進創新戰爭和戰略指導。

(作者單位:軍事科學學院戰爭研究院)

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.mod.gov.cn/jmsd/2021-03/16/content_4880989.htm?yikikata=7593b488-bf4396b2e061d55553e340f0a68ef7f888

Develop Chinese Military Operational Concepts Design China’s Future War Success

發展中國軍事作戰理念,規劃中國未來戰爭勝利

中國軍網 國防部網
2022年6月22日 星期三

現代英語:

Since the 21st century, with the deepening of the world’s new military revolution, the world’s military powers have put forward a series of new operational concepts and continuously improved them in war practice, thus driving the accelerated evolution of war. With the rapid development of information technologies such as cloud computing, blockchain, artificial intelligence, and big data, and their widespread application in the military field, people’s understanding of war has gradually changed from summarizing actual combat experience to studying and judging future wars. At present, as the source of military capability building, the strength of operational concept development capabilities will directly affect the seizure of victory opportunities. In particular, the vigorous development of the world’s new military revolution is calling for innovation in operational theory all the time. Only by developing new operational concepts and designing future wars with a forward-looking vision can we gain the initiative in military struggle preparation.

The concept of combat fundamentally solves the problem of how to fight a war.

First-rate armies design wars, second-rate armies respond to wars, and third-rate armies follow wars. The so-called “real wars happen before wars” means that before a war starts, the theory, style, and method of fighting have already been designed. How can we not win if we fight according to the designed war? The key to designing a war is to design and develop new combat concepts based on understanding the characteristics and laws of war, promote innovation in combat styles and tactics, and fundamentally solve the problem of “how to fight a war.”

In designing wars, theories come first. In recent years, the U.S. military has proposed new concepts such as “network-centric warfare”, “air-sea integrated warfare” and “hybrid warfare”, and the Russian military has proposed theories such as “non-nuclear containment strategy”, “strategic air-space campaign” and “national information security doctrine”, reflecting that the world’s military powers are vigorously studying operational theories and seizing military commanding heights. To a certain extent, operational concepts are the “organizational cells” for the formation of operational theories. Without a perfect concept generation capability, it is difficult to give birth to advanced theories. When an operational theory is proposed, it is necessary to develop relevant operational concepts so that the operational theory can be “sunk” and visualized, and better improved and transformed into military practice. When there is no operational theory concept, operational concept innovation can provide “raw materials” for the study of operational theories. The military field is the most uncertain field, and people’s understanding of war is constantly evolving. However, operational theory innovation cannot wait for the understanding to mature before starting, but needs to be based on the existing understanding, through active development and innovation of operational concepts, constructing future operational scenarios, exploring future winning mechanisms, and guiding and guiding military practice, in order to seize the initiative in war. Therefore, operational concept innovation is becoming a strategic fulcrum and lever for military construction and development.

The development of operational concepts focuses on designing core operational concepts. The core operational concept is the nucleus and embryo of the operational concept, which reflects the essential requirements of operations and contains the “genetic genes” for the growth of operational concepts. The entire concept system is derived and developed from this. At present, the understanding of the winning mechanism of informationized and intelligent warfare is becoming clearer, and it is time to focus the design of war on the development of major operational theories and key operational concepts.

Operational concept is an abstract expression of operational thinking.

The term “operational concept” originated from the US military. It is a description of how to fight in the future and is increasingly becoming an important tool for promoting the development of the military. The US Army Training and Doctrine Command Concept Development Guide points out that the operational concept is a concept, idea, and overall understanding. It is based on the inference of specific events in the combat environment. In the broadest sense, it outlines what will be done and describes how to fight in more specific measures. The US Marine Corps Combat Development Command Operations Development and Integration Directive points out that the operational concept is an expression of how to fight, used to describe future combat scenarios and how to use military art and scientific capabilities to meet future challenges. The US Air Force Operational Concept Development Directive points out that the operational concept is a conceptual description at the level of war theory, which realizes the established operational concept and intention through the orderly organization of combat capabilities and combat tasks.

In summary, the operational concept can be understood as an abstract cognition of operational ideas and action plans that is refined for specific operational problems at present or in the future. Generally speaking, the operational concept includes three parts: the first is the description of the operational problem, that is, the background of the operational concept, the operational environment, the operational opponent, etc.; the second is the description of the solution, that is, the concept connotation, application scenario, action style, winning mechanism, capability characteristics and advantages, etc.; the third is the description of capability requirements, that is, the equipment technology, basic conditions, and implementation means required to implement the operational concept. It can be seen that the operational concept should have the characteristics of pertinence, scientificity, adaptability and feasibility, and its connotation and extension will be constantly adjusted with the changes in factors such as strategic background, military policy, threat opponent, time and space environment, and capability conditions.

In a sense, operational concepts are actually transitional forms of operational theories, and their ultimate value is to guide military practice. The purpose and destination of developing new operational concepts is to tap into and enhance the combat effectiveness of the military. Only by transforming operational concepts into operational regulations and operational plans can their value be fully realized.

Innovation in combat concepts drives changes in combat styles

Since the beginning of the 21st century, the world’s military powers have, in accordance with national strategic requirements and in response to new threats and challenges, developed new operational concepts as a key means of transforming military capabilities, promoting changes in operational styles, and seeking to gain the upper hand in future battlefields. In order to further strengthen their military advantages, the world’s military powers are accelerating the introduction of a series of new operational concepts.

The US military has actively seized the opportunities brought about by scientific and technological progress, comprehensively used cutting-edge technologies such as new-generation information technology, artificial intelligence technology, unmanned autonomous technology, and proposed a series of new combat concepts such as mosaic warfare, multi-domain warfare, distributed lethality, decision-center warfare, and joint global command and control, promoting fundamental changes in combat thinking, combat style, combat space, and combat systems.

Unlike the U.S. military, the Russian military has achieved iterative innovation in operational concepts in military practice. Recently, the Russian military has been committed to promoting the construction of joint combat capabilities, accelerating the development and deployment of new unmanned equipment, focusing on building advantages in the network information battlefield, and constantly enriching the connotation of its traditional operational concepts, integrating them with new operational concepts such as hybrid warfare and mental warfare to guide war practice.

In general, in recent years, the new operational concepts proposed by the world’s military powers are driving profound changes in combat styles. Their capabilities, characteristics and advantages are mainly reflected in the following five aspects: First, the unmanned combat equipment. The proportion of unmanned equipment systems based on the new operational concept has increased significantly, and manned-unmanned collaborative combat has become one of the main combat styles, forming an advantage of unmanned over manned; second, the deployment method is decentralized. The force deployment based on the new operational concept is distributed, and the systems are interconnected and interoperable, forming an advantage of division over combination; third, the kill network is complicated. The kill network based on the new operational concept has more diverse functions. A single system can perform multiple tasks, and its failure has little impact on the combat system, forming an advantage of many over single; fourth, the response time is agile. The new operational concept emphasizes quick battles and quick decisions, taking the initiative to catch the enemy off guard, forming an advantage of fast over slow; fifth, the combat field is multidimensional. The new operational concept pays more attention to multi-domain linkage, expanding the battlefield from the traditional land, sea and air to the electromagnetic, network and cognitive domains, forming an advantage of invisible over visible.

The development of combat concepts should adhere to the systematic design approach

Using operational concepts to guide military force construction is a common practice among the world’s military powers. In comparison, the US military’s operational concept development mechanism is relatively complete, and a relatively complete operational concept development system has been established, consisting of concept types, organizational structures, normative standards, and support means.

In terms of concept types, the U.S. military’s combat concepts can basically be divided into three categories: First, a series of combat concepts developed by each service, mainly from the perspective of the service, to study potential enemies and future battlefields, redefine combat styles, and seek new ways to win. Second, a series of joint combat concepts developed by the Joint Chiefs of Staff, mainly composed of three levels: top-level concepts, action concepts, and supporting concepts. Third, combat concepts developed by academia, think tanks, etc., the number of such combat concepts is not as large as the first two categories, but it is still an important part of the combat concept system. Through this system, the U.S. military has implemented the grand military strategy through combat concepts layer by layer into various combat operations, various combat capabilities, and various types of weapons and equipment performance for the troops, guiding the construction of joint forces and various services.

In terms of organizational structure, taking the development of joint operational concepts as an example, the US military has established a working system consisting of five types of institutions. The first is the Joint Concept Working Group, whose main responsibility is to review the overall issues of the concept outline and concept development; the second is the Joint Concept Steering Committee, whose main responsibility is to supervise and guide the concept development plan; the third is the core writing team, whose main responsibility is to transform the original ideas in the concept outline into joint operational concepts; the fourth is the concept development team, whose main responsibility is to provide operational concept development methods and plans; the fifth is the independent red team, whose main responsibility is to conduct independent evaluations to judge the rigor and scientificity of the concept.

In terms of norms and standards, the U.S. military has a complete system of institutions to constrain and guide the development of joint operational concepts, making them standardized, standardized, and procedural, so as to manage the entire chain of concept development, which is mainly reflected in a series of directives of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and joint publications. For example, the “Joint Concept Development and Implementation Guide” aims to establish a governance structure for joint concept development, clarify the framework for joint operational concept planning, execution, and evaluation, and promote the implementation of joint operational concepts; the “Joint Regulations Preparation Process” aims to standardize the preparation process of joint regulations and provide a clear process framework for converting operational concepts into operational regulations.

In terms of support means, the design, development and verification of operational concepts is a systematic project that cannot be separated from the support of various development tools and means. For example, tools such as the DODAF2.0 model, IDEFO model and SYSML modeling language can provide standardized structured analysis models and logical description models for operational concept designers; model-based system engineering methods can provide operational concept designers and evaluation and verification personnel with capability models of equipment elements in operational concepts for designing and building operational concept frameworks. The U.S. military’s joint operational concept development uses network-based digital software with strong interconnection capabilities. All institutions involved in the development can share information in real time to improve development efficiency.

The development of combat concepts requires collaboration among multiple parties

Developing operational concepts is a multidisciplinary and multi-field task that involves many fields such as military science, philosophy, operations research, and systems science. It requires collaboration among multiple parties to ensure that it is both advanced and forward-looking in theory and applicable and feasible in practice.

Establish a small core and large peripheral research team. The department initiating the development of the operational concept should give full play to its leading role, coordinate and dispatch the research work from a global perspective; establish a joint research and development team, give full play to the collective wisdom, and widely obtain various new ideas, new methods and new viewpoints on the research of operational concepts from all parties; establish a cross-domain and cross-departmental expert committee to supervise, review and guide related work from multiple angles.

Form a multi-departmental working mechanism. To ensure smooth communication and efficient operation among departments, we must first clarify their respective tasks and responsibilities. For example, the concept initiating department is responsible for overall planning and implementation, the laboratory is responsible for technical verification, the industrial department is responsible for equipment research and development, and the combat troops are responsible for actual combat testing. Secondly, relevant normative documents should be formulated to ensure that all work has rules to follow and is carried out in an orderly manner, providing institutional guarantees for the development of combat concepts. Finally, it is also necessary to establish demand traction mechanisms, collaborative research mechanisms, iterative feedback mechanisms, etc., to open up the link from research and development to practical application of combat concepts.

Promote the organic combination of theory and practice. Only through the iterative cycle of “design research-deduction verification-actual troop test” can the operational concept be gradually adjusted, optimized and improved, and the development of war theory can be driven. Therefore, the development of operational concepts should pay special attention to the combination of theoretical innovation and practical application, and achieve the fundamental purpose of driving the generation of new quality combat power through the mutual drive of theory and practice. Specific methods include timely incorporating mature operational concepts into operational regulations, compiling training outlines or teaching materials accordingly, and gradually promoting them to troops for use; organizing relevant exercises or tests to test the maturity and feasibility of operational concepts under conditions close to actual combat, and finding and solving problems; using the capability indicators determined by the operational concept as a reference for equipment demand demonstration, driving the development of equipment technology, and promoting the improvement of combat capabilities.

The rapid development of science and technology in the new era has brought many new opportunities and challenges to the construction of military capabilities. The development of new operational concepts will help us to seize the military opportunities brought by scientific and technological progress, actively respond to the threats and challenges formed by scientific and technological development, and timely grasp the direction and laws of the evolution of war forms, which can provide important support for leading future war styles and seizing the first chance to win. At present, the international security situation is complex and changeable. To win the future information war, we need to take the development of operational concepts as the origin of national defense and military construction, actively carry out military technological innovation, promote the upgrading of weapons and equipment, achieve leapfrog development, and thus lead the trend of the new military revolution.

(Author’s unit: Second Academy of China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation)

現代國語:

宋曉明

中國軍網 國防部網
2022年6月22日 星期三

自21世紀以來,隨著世界新軍事革命的深入推進,世界軍事強國提出了一系列新作戰概念,並在戰爭實踐中不斷改進,從而牽引戰爭加速演變。隨著雲端運算、區塊鏈、人工智慧、大數據等資訊科技的日新月異,以及在軍事領域的廣泛應用,人們理解戰爭的模式逐漸由歸納總結實戰經驗向研判未來戰爭轉變。目前,作為軍事能力建構源頭,作戰概念開發能力強弱,將直接影響勝戰先機的奪取。尤其是世界新軍事革命蓬勃發展,無時無刻不在呼喚作戰理論創新,只有以前瞻眼光開發新作戰概念、設計未來戰爭,才能獲得軍事鬥爭準備的主動權。

作戰概念從根本解決仗怎麼打

一流軍隊設計戰爭,二流軍隊應對戰爭,三流軍隊尾隨戰爭。所謂“真正的戰爭,發生在戰爭之前”,意思是戰爭開打之前,戰爭的理論、樣式、打法早已被設計出來。依照設計好的戰爭來打,豈有不勝之理?設計戰爭,關鍵在於摸清戰爭特徵規律的基礎上,設計發展新作戰概念,推動作戰樣式和戰法創新,從根本上解決「仗怎麼打」。

設計戰爭,理論先行。近年來,美軍先後提出「網路中心戰」「空海一體戰」等理論,反映了世界軍事強國都在大力研究作戰理論,搶佔軍事制高點。從某種程度上說,作戰概念是作戰理論形成的“組織細胞”,沒有完善的概念生成能力,很難催生先進的理論。當一個作戰理論提出時,需要發展相關作戰概念,才能使作戰理論「下沉」具象化,更好地完善並向軍事實踐轉化。當沒有作戰理論構想時,作戰概念創新可以為研究作戰理論提供「原料」。軍事領域是最具不確定性的領域,人們對戰爭的認知始終在不斷發展。但是,作戰理論創新不能坐等認識成熟後再起步,而是需要在現有認識的基礎上,透過主動開發、創新作戰概念,構設未來作戰圖景,探索未來制勝機理,牽引並指導軍事實踐,才能掌握戰爭主動權。因此,作戰概念創新,正成為軍隊建設與發展的戰略支點與槓桿。

作戰概念開發,重點在於設計核心作戰概念。核心作戰概念,是作戰概念的細胞核、胚胎,集中反映作戰本質要求,包含著作戰概念生長的“遺傳基因”,整個概念體係由此衍生與發展。目前,對資訊化、智慧化戰爭的致勝機理等的認識漸趨清晰,將設計戰爭的重心聚焦到主要作戰理論、關鍵作戰概念開發正當其時。

作戰概念是作戰思想的抽象表達

「作戰概念」一詞源自美軍,是對未來如何作戰的描述,正日益成為推進軍隊建設發展的重要抓手。美《陸軍訓練與條令司令部概念開髮指南》指出,作戰概念是理念、想法、總體認識,是依據作戰環境中具體事件的推斷,在最廣泛的意義上勾勒將要做什麼,在更具體的舉措上描述仗怎麼打。美《海軍陸戰隊作戰發展司令部作戰發展與一體化指令》指出,作戰概念是表達如何打仗,用來描述未來作戰景象及如何利用軍事藝術和科學能力迎接未來挑戰。美《空軍作戰概念發展條令》則指出,作戰概念是戰爭理論層面的概念描述,透過對作戰能力和作戰任務的有序組織,實現既定的作戰構想和意圖。

綜上所述,作戰概念可以理解為是針對當前或未來的具體作戰問題,提煉的對作戰思想與行動方案的抽象認知。一般而言,作戰概念包括三部分內容:一是對作戰問題的描述,即作戰概念的提出背景、作戰環境、作戰對手等;二是對解決方案的描述,即概念內涵、應用場景、行動樣式、制勝機理、能力特徵及優勢等;三是對能力需求的描述,即實施該作戰概念所需的裝備技術、基礎條件、實現手段等。可以看出,作戰概念應具備針對性、科學性、適應性與可行性等特徵,其內涵與外延會隨著戰略背景、軍事方針、威脅對手、時空環境、能力條件等因素的變化而不斷調整。

從某種意義上說,作戰概念其實是作戰理論的過渡形態,最終價值是指導牽引軍事實踐。發展新作戰概念的目的和歸宿,是挖掘和提升軍隊戰鬥力,只有把作戰概念轉化為作戰條令、作戰計劃,才能充分發揮其價值。

作戰概念創新牽引作戰樣式變革

進入21世紀以來,世界軍事強國根據國家戰略要求,針對新威脅挑戰,把開發新作戰概念作為軍事能力轉型的關鍵抓手,推動作戰樣式變革,謀求贏得在未來戰場中的製勝先機。為進一步強化軍事上的領先優勢,世界軍事強國正加速推出一系列新作戰概念。

美軍積極搶奪科技進步帶來的機遇,綜合運用新一代資訊科技、人工智慧技術、無人自主技術等尖端技術,提出馬賽克戰、多域作戰、分散式殺傷、決策中心戰、聯合全局指揮控制等一系列新作戰概念,推動作戰思想、作戰樣式、作戰空間和作戰體系發生根本性變化。

與美軍不同,俄軍是在軍事實踐中實現作戰概念的迭代創新。近期,俄軍致力於推動聯合作戰能力建設,加速發展部署新型無人裝備,注重打造網路資訊戰場優勢,不斷豐富其傳統作戰概念的內涵,並與混合戰爭、心智戰等新作戰概念相集成,用以指導戰爭實踐。

整體而言,近幾年,世界軍事強國提出的新作戰概念正牽引作戰樣式發生深刻變化,其能力特徵及優勢主要體現在以下五個方面:一是作戰裝備無人化,基於新作戰概念的無人裝備體系佔比顯著提高,有人無人協同作戰成為主要作戰樣式之一,形成以無人制有人的優勢;二是部署方式分散化,基於新作戰概念的力量部署呈分佈式,系統間互聯互通,具備互操作能力,形成以分制合的優點;三是殺傷網複雜化,基於新作戰概念的殺傷網功能更加多樣,單一系統可執行多種任務,且其失效對作戰體系影響較小,形成以多製單的優勢;四是響應時間敏捷化,新作戰概念更強調速戰速決,先發制人使敵方措手不及,形成以快製慢的優勢;五是作戰領域多維化,新作戰概念更注重多域聯動,將戰場從傳統的陸海空拓展到電磁、網絡和認知域,形成以無形制有形的優勢。

作戰概念開發應堅持體系化設計思路

以作戰概念指導軍事力量建設,是世界軍事強國的共同做法。比較而言,美軍的作戰概念開發機制較為完善,建構了相對完整的作戰概念開發體系,由概念類型、組織架構、規範標準、支撐手段等部分組成。

在概念類型方面,美軍作戰概念基本上可分為三類:一是各軍種主導開發的系列作戰概念,主要從本軍種角度出發,研判潛在敵人和未來戰場,對作戰樣式進行重新定義,謀求打贏的新途徑。二是參會主導開發的一系列聯合作戰概念,主要由頂層概念、行動概念和支持性概念等三個層次構成。三是學術界、智庫等主導開發的作戰概念,這類作戰概念的數量沒有前兩類那麼多,但仍是作戰概念體系的重要組成部分。透過此體系,美軍把宏大的軍事戰略透過作戰概念逐層落實為面向部隊的各類作戰行動、各種作戰能力、各型武器裝備性能,指導聯合部隊及各軍兵種建設。

在組織架構方面,以聯合作戰概念發展為例,美軍建立了由五類機構組成的工作體系。一是聯合概念工作小組,主要職責是審查概念大綱及概念研發的整體問題;二是聯合概念指導委員會,主要職責是對概念研發計畫進行監督指導;三是核心編寫團隊,主要職責是將概念大綱中原始理念轉化為聯合作戰概念;

在規範標準方面,針對聯合作戰概念的開發,美軍有完善的製度體系約束、指導,使其規範化、標準化、程序化,以便對概念開發進行全鏈條管理,主要體現在一系列參謀長聯席會議主席指令及聯合出版物中。例如,《聯合概念開發與實施指南》旨在為聯合概念發展建立治理結構,明確聯合作戰概念規劃、執行和評估的框架,推動聯合作戰概念落實;《聯合條令編制流程》旨在對聯合條令的編制流程進行規範,為把作戰概念轉化為作戰條令提供一個明確的流程框架。

在支撐手段方面,作戰概念的設計開發與驗證是一項系統工程,離不開各類開發工具與手段的支撐。例如,DODAF2.0模型、IDEFO模型及SYSML建模語言等工具,可為作戰概念設計人員提供規範的結構化分析模型與邏輯描述模型;基於模型的系統工程方法,可為作戰概念設計人員和評估驗證人員提供作戰概念中裝備要素的能力模型,用於設計並搭建作戰概念框架。美軍聯合作戰概念開發使用了基於網路的數位化軟體,具有較強的互聯互通能力,所有參與開發的機構都可以即時共享訊息,提高開發效率。

作戰概念開發成熟需要多方協同合作

發展作戰概念是一項多學科、多領域交叉的工作,涉及軍事學、哲學、運籌學、系統科學等諸多領域,需要多方協同合作,以確保其既在理論層面具備先進性、前瞻性,又在實踐層面具備適用性、可行性。

組成小核心大外圍研究團隊。作戰概念開發發起部門要充分發揮群體智慧作用,從全局角度出發,對研究工作進行統籌與調度;成立聯合研發團隊,充分發揮群體智慧作用,廣泛獲取各方對作戰概念研究的各種新方法與新觀點;設立跨領域、跨部門的專家委員會,多角度對相關工作進行監督、審查與指導。

形成多部門連動的工作機制。為確保各部門之間溝通順暢、運作高效,首先要明確各自的任務與職責。例如,概念發起部門負責總體計畫與實施、實驗室負責技術驗證、工業部門負責裝備研發、作戰部隊負責實戰檢驗。其次,要製定相關規範文件,確保各項工作有章可循、有序推進,為作戰概念研發提供製度保障。最後,還要建立需求牽引機制、協同攻關機制、迭代回授機制等,打通作戰概念從研發到實務運用的連結。

推動理論與實務有機結合。作戰概念只有透過「設計研究—推演驗證—實兵檢驗」的循環迭代,才能逐步調整、優化、完善,牽引戰爭理論發展。因此,作戰概念發展要特別注重理論創新與實務運用結合,透過理論與實務的相互驅動,達成牽引新質戰鬥力生成的根本目的。具體方式包括,將開發成熟的作戰概念及時納入作戰條令,相應地編寫訓練大綱或教材,逐步推廣至部隊使用;透過組織相關演訓或試驗,在貼近實戰條件下檢驗作戰概念的成熟度與可行性,查找並解決問題;把作戰概念確定的能力指標作為裝備需求論證的參考,促進引裝備技術發展,尋找並解決問題;把作戰概念確定的能力指標作為裝備需求論證的參考,促進引裝備技術發展,找到並解決問題;把作戰概念確定的能力指標作為裝備需求論證的參考,促進引裝備技術發展,找到並解決問題;把作戰概念確定的能力指標作為裝備需求論證的參考,促進引裝備技術發展,作戰能力提升。

新時代科技發展態勢迅猛,為軍事能力建設帶來許多新機會與新挑戰。發展新作戰概念,有助於敏銳抓住科技進步帶來的軍事機遇,積極應對科技發展形成的威脅與挑戰,及時掌握戰爭形態演進方向與規律,可為主導未來戰爭樣式、搶佔制勝先機提供重要支撐。當前,國際安全情勢複雜多變,打贏未來資訊化戰爭,需要我們把作戰概念開發作為國防和軍隊建設的原點,積極開展軍事技術創新,推進武器裝備更新換代,實現跨越式發展,從而引領新軍事革命潮流。

(作者單位:中國航太科工集團第二研究院)

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/gfbmap/content/2022-06/22/content_31822288.htm

Promoting Chinese Military Integrated Development of The “Three Transformations” of Combat Training

推動中軍融合發展實戰化訓練“三個轉變”

現代英語:

Zhang Yingjie, Zhao Shihang, and She Hongle

中國軍網 國防部網
2023年2月22日,星期三

Adhering to the integrated development of mechanization, informationization and intelligence is an inherent requirement for national defense and military modernization, and is also an important means to accelerate the transformation and upgrading of military training. Promoting the integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training is a systematic project that requires both theoretical guidance and practical exploration; it is necessary to plan and design in line with the development of the times, and to boldly practice, dare to try and create, so as to realize the “three transformations” from sequential development to integrated progress, from point-line breakthroughs to system integration, and continuously improve the level and quality of military training.

Deepen theoretical research, guide practice and drive development by thoroughly understanding the mechanism, clarifying the principle and grasping the law. First, we must deepen the research on combat issues and thoroughly understand the future combat mechanism. In future wars, intelligent technology is an important factor in winning. We should explore the reason for winning and the way to win through the phenomenon. We can empower mechanized weapons, enhance the efficiency of informationized equipment and develop unmanned intelligent combat platforms through the power of intelligent technology, so that mechanization, informationization and intelligence coexist, the physical domain, information domain and cognitive domain are mixed, and power, will and land are seized in parallel. Second, we must deepen the research on technology-enhanced training and clarify the principle of technology empowerment and efficiency. Science and technology promote the development of military training, or indirectly affect the development of military training through technological progress to promote the reform of weapons and equipment, combat methods and organizational systems, or directly promote military training innovation through technology directly acting on training methods and management guarantees. In the process of iterative upgrading of mechanization, informationization and intelligence, the mechanized physical entity is the foundation and the “grafting” object of informationization and intelligence. The informationization and intelligence technology acts on mechanization, which is essentially the empowerment and efficiency enhancement of “virtual” control of “real”. Third, we must deepen the research on military training and grasp the law of combat effectiveness generation. The generation of combat effectiveness under mechanized conditions is to achieve a high degree of aggregation of material and energy flows through the superposition of combat platforms. Its generation mechanism is manifested in quantitative accumulation, hierarchical superposition, and linear growth. The generation of combat effectiveness under intelligent information conditions is to carry out a three-dimensional mesh integration of participating forces through the network information system and intelligent support. Its generation mechanism is manifested in information empowerment, network energy gathering, and intelligent energy enhancement. The integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training should shift from the linear step-by-step superposition of mechanized training to the criss-crossing and ascending of intelligent information training, and from simple training of people to training that emphasizes both human and machine learning.

Strengthen strategic management, set up a benchmark to guide development in clarifying the base point, planning and establishing rules and regulations. First, grasp the base point and recognize the coordinates of the times for the integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training. Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, our army has adhered to actual combat training, joint combat training, science and technology training, and training in accordance with the law, and strengthened the training guiding ideology of reform and innovation, laying the foundation for the integrated development of the “three transformations”; the new round of national defense and military reform has established a joint training system, reconstructed the training leadership organs and special training institutions of the military services, and formulated military training laws and regulations, providing organizational and institutional guarantees for the integrated development of the “three transformations”; the exploration and practice of the mechanized and informationized compound development of military training has accumulated fresh experience for the integrated development of the “three transformations”; the construction of actual combat training, informationized training conditions and the implementation of the strategy of strengthening the army with science and technology have opened up new horizons for the integrated development of the “three transformations”. Second, top-level design, constructing a blueprint for the integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training. The top-level design of the integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training is an integrated plan of an open and complex system. It is constrained by many factors such as operational evolution and technological changes. At the same time, it is different from a single closed system design. It is difficult to achieve it in one go and make a final decision. We should grasp its characteristics of iterative updates and continuous adjustments and improvements. The integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training should formulate a plan that is compatible with the national defense and military construction development strategy, incorporate the integrated development plan of the “three transformations” of military training into the strategic plan for military construction, and focus on clarifying development goals, tasks, measures, etc. The third is to establish rules and regulations to standardize and guide the effective operation of the integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training. It is necessary to formulate the implementation measures for the integrated development of the “three transformations” of military training, unify the goals and tasks, division of responsibilities, content focus, methods and steps, and supporting measures, and ensure the implementation of regular order.

Focus on the transformation to intelligence, overcome difficulties and innovate in the optimization of content, innovation of methods and improvement of assessment. First, we must focus on “smart training” and optimize the content of military training. Research and practice machine deep learning, focusing on data screening, information input, confrontation game and iterative improvement training. Research and practice new domain and new quality combat forces, carry out new weapons and equipment training, new quality combat force formation and combat application training, new domain combat forces and traditional combat forces coordination training, and new domain and new quality forces into joint combat system training. Research and practice intelligent combat, carry out intelligent combat tactics research, command confrontation training based on intelligent network system, training to seize intellectual control and intelligent combat live-fire exercises. Second, we must focus on “intelligent training” and innovate military training methods. Develop intelligent simulation training methods, give full play to the virtual-real interaction, closed-loop feedback and parallel execution functions of intelligent simulation, upgrade existing electronic games and war game simulation systems, and support individual officers and soldiers or command organizations to carry out human-machine confrontation training based on intelligent simulation systems. On the basis of the existing real-life combat system, we should strengthen the material application of intelligent technology, and create an intelligent military exercise system that combines virtual and real, complements software and hardware, and is multi-domain linked as soon as possible to effectively support the development of real-life training. Third, we should focus on “intelligent testing” and improve precise assessment methods. Using virtual reality technology, relying on the three-dimensional virtual battlefield environment generated by computers, we can evaluate the operational skills and tactical application level of officers and soldiers immersed in it. Using augmented reality technology, human senses can directly obtain real-life experience in the augmented reality scene, which can be used to test and assess the technical training of officers and soldiers and the tactical training of squads. Using mixed reality technology, virtual digital objects are introduced into the real environment, which can support the construction of the environmental conditions of real-life test exercises and the inspection and evaluation of combat capabilities. Using the Internet of Things technology, sensors, data processing units and communication components are integrated into a sensor network to monitor the exercise situation in real time, and automatically collect, transmit, summarize and display exercise information data. Using big data technology to objectively evaluate combat capabilities and training quality, and realize automatic judgment of engagement results, statistical analysis of massive data, objective evaluation of combat capabilities and automatic evaluation of training results in data analysis and deep mining.

現代國語:

張英傑 趙士夯 佘紅樂

堅持機械化資訊智慧化融合發展,是國防和軍隊現代化的內在要求,也是加速推進軍事訓練轉型升級的重要抓手。推動軍事訓練「三化」融合發展,是一項系統工程,既需理論引領,更需實踐探索;既要順應時代發展搞好規劃設計,又要大膽實踐敢試敢創,實現「三化」由遞次發展向融合併進、由點線突破向體系集成,不斷提升軍事訓練水平和質量。

深化理論研究,在搞透機理弄清原理把握規律中引領實務牽引發展。一要深化作戰問題研究,搞透未來作戰機理。未來戰爭中,智慧科技是贏得勝利的重要因素,應透過現象探尋制勝之理、勝戰之道,可透過智慧科技之力賦能機械化武器、增效資訊化裝備和發展無人化智慧作戰平台,使得機械化、資訊化、智慧化並存,物理域、資訊域、認知域混融,奪權、奪志、奪志、奪權、奪志、奪地並行。二要深化科技強訓研究,釐清技術賦能增效原理。科技推動軍事訓練發展,或透過科技進步推動武器裝備、作戰方式、編制體制變革間接作用於軍事訓練發展,亦或科技直接作用於訓練手段和管理保障直接推動軍事訓練創新。在機械化、資訊化、智慧化迭代升級過程中,機械化的物理實體是基礎,是資訊化、智慧化的「嫁接」對象,資訊化、智慧化技術作用於機械化,實質上是以「虛」控「實」的賦能增效。三要深化軍事訓練研究,掌握戰鬥力生成規律。機械化條件下戰鬥力的生成,是透過作戰平台的疊加實現物質流和能量流的高度聚集,其生成機理表現為量變累積、層級疊加、線性增長。智慧化資訊化條件下戰力的生成,是透過網信系統和智慧支援對參戰力量進行網狀立體融合,其生成機製表現為資訊賦能、網路聚能、智慧增能。軍事訓練「三化」融合發展,應從機械化訓練的線性逐級疊加轉向智慧化資訊化訓練的縱橫交錯遞升,從單純對人的訓練轉向人與機器學習並重的訓練。

加強策略管理,在釐清基點規劃規劃建章立制中立起標桿指導發展。一是掌握基點,認清軍事訓練「三化」融合發展的時代座標。黨的十八大以來,我軍堅持實踐實踐、聯戰聯訓、科技強訓、依法治訓,強化改革創新的訓練指導思想,為「三化」融合發展奠定了基礎;新一輪國防和軍事改革,建立了聯合訓練體制,重構了軍兵種訓練領導機關和專制訓練機構,制定了軍事訓練法規制度,為「三化」融合發展提供了組織和製度保證;軍事訓練機械化資訊化複合發展的探索實踐,為「三化」融合發展累積了鮮活經驗;實戰化訓練、資訊化訓練條件建設和科技強軍戰略等的實施,為「三化」融合發展洞開了新天地。二是頂層設計,建構軍事訓練「三化」融合發展藍圖。軍事訓練「三化」融合發展的頂層設計,是開放的複雜系統的整合規劃,受作戰演化、技術變化等諸多因素的製約,同時區別於單一封閉系統設計,難以一次到位、一錘定音,應把握其迭代更新、不斷調整完善的特徵;軍事訓練「三化」融合行動應制定與國防建設和軍事發展目標三是建章立制,規範指導軍事訓練「三化」融合發展有效運作。要製定軍事訓練「三化」融合發展實施辦法,統一目標任務、職責分工、內容重點、方法步驟和配套措施,確保實施正規秩序。

聚焦向智轉型,在優化內容創新方法改進考評中攻堅克難創新發展。一要聚焦“訓智能化”,優化軍事訓練內容。研練機器深度學習,重點進行資料篩選、資訊輸入、對抗賽局和迭代提升訓練。研練新域新質作戰力量,進行新型武器裝備訓練、新質作戰力量編成與作戰運用訓練、新域作戰力量與傳統作戰力量協同訓練,以及新域新質力量融入聯合作戰體系訓練。研練智慧化作戰,進行智慧化作戰戰法研究、基於智慧網路系統指揮對抗訓練、奪取制智權訓練及智慧化作戰實兵演習等。二要聚焦“智能化訓”,創新軍事訓練方法。發展智慧模擬訓練方法,充分發揮智慧模擬虛實互動、閉環回饋與平行執行功能,升級現有電子遊戲與兵棋推演系統,支援官兵個體或指揮機構依托智慧模擬系統進行人機對抗訓練。在現有實兵交戰系統基礎上,加強智慧技術的物化應用,盡快創造虛實結合、軟硬互補、多域連結的智慧化演兵系統,有效支持實戰化訓練的發展。三要聚焦“智能化考”,改進精準評估手段。運用虛擬實境技術,依靠電腦生成的三維空間虛擬戰場環境,對沉浸其中的官兵操作技能和戰術應用水準實施考評。運用擴增實境技術,人體感官能夠直接在增強的現實場景中獲取實戰體驗,可對官兵技術訓練和分隊戰術訓練檢驗考核。運用混合實境技術,把虛擬數位物件引入現實環境,可支撐實兵檢驗性演習環境條件的架構與作戰能力檢驗評估。運用物聯網技術,將感測器、資料處理單元和通訊組件集成為一個感測器網絡,即時監控演練情況,自動擷取、傳輸、匯總和顯示演練資訊資料。運用大數據技術客觀評估作戰能力和訓練質量,在數據分析和深度挖掘中實現交戰結果自動裁決、海量數據統計分析、作戰能力客觀評估和訓練成績自動評定。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/2023-02/22/content_33422088.htm

Exploring the Laws of Chinese Military Intelligent Warfare Design

探索中國軍事智慧戰爭設計規律

現代英語:

At present, with the widespread application of disruptive technology groups represented by artificial intelligence technology, the form of warfare is accelerating its evolution towards intelligence. Scientific planning and proactive design of intelligent warfare has become an issue of the times facing war preparation. To truly organize intelligent warfare design well, we must accurately grasp the characteristics and laws of intelligent warfare design, clarify its position and role in war planning and preparation, so as to better serve winning the war.

Focus on development and make reasonable foresight

Correct decisions come from correct judgments, and correct judgments come from scientific foresight for the future. Scientific prediction is the prerequisite for operational design, and operational design is the application of prediction results. Tomorrow’s war will not be a replica of today’s war, but its shadow can be found in today’s war. Therefore, the design of intelligent warfare should be based on a full assessment and scientific prediction of future war forms and ways to win, and the forms, styles, methods, and means of intelligent warfare should be predicted through today’s wars.

In a battlefield full of uncertainty and ambiguity, in order to make war design more realistic, we must focus on the development and changes of intelligent weapons and equipment of both sides in the future, the updating of combat theories, the development of combat capabilities, and the innovation of winning methods. We must make scientific and reasonable predictions, estimates, and analyses of the timing of launching intelligent warfare, scale and level, style and intensity, development process, outcome of war, and other various complex situations that may arise, and on this basis, make systematic concepts and advance plans.

Be proactive and prioritize shaping

Sun Tzu said, “Victorious troops first win and then seek battle.” Intelligent warfare design focuses on grasping the characteristics, laws, and development trends of war. Based on possible enemy situations, our own situations, and battlefield environment, it prioritizes creating a favorable situation, and strives to lead and control wars by studying, designing, and planning wars, so as to achieve the goal of deterring war and defeating the enemy without fighting.

The battlefield space of intelligent warfare is a multi-dimensional and multi-domain space that combines reality and virtuality, providing war designers with a stage to give full play to their intelligence, implement autonomy and creativity. As the initiative in initiating wars increases, the initiative and creativity in war design also increase accordingly. War designers can proactively design intelligent warfare based on future war forms. When designing it, we focus on both responding to current urgent threats and targeting future operations. To this end, we should firmly grasp the characteristics of the era of intelligent warfare design, take proactive actions, enhance the ability of active design and dynamic design in various links such as concepts, plans, and construction, take the initiative, fight proactively, ensure that we can always adapt to the rapid changes in the situation, make the war develop in the designed direction as much as possible, and strive for the initiative in war preparation.

Based on the existing situation, innovate and change

Intelligent warfare design is an original combination of the war designer’s cognitive concepts, cognitive levels, guiding ideas, and operational strategies. The courage to innovate is the soul of intelligent warfare design. To this end, the entire process, all fields, and aspects of intelligent warfare design should focus on innovation-led design.

Intelligent warfare design is a research based on the development predictions of intelligent warfare military theories, weapons and equipment, battlefield construction, etc. It is an expansion and innovation based on the existing situation. Due to the development and evolution of war forms, some combat methods that have been successful in history may become ineffective in intelligent warfare; and some unprecedented combat rules that are adapted to the combat theories and weapons and equipment of intelligent warfare need to be created. Intelligent warfare design understands, conceives and describes complex problems through critical and creative thinking, so as to help war designers more deeply understand and grasp the winning rules and guiding rules of intelligent warfare operations, discover the key points and deep-seated reasons that restrict the combat progress, and thus creatively propose solutions to the problems.

Various forms, eclectic

Comrade Mao Zedong pointed out in “On Protracted War”: “The ancients said that ‘the secret of applying the strategy lies in one’s heart’. We call this ‘secret’ flexibility, which is the product of a smart commander.”

The flexibility of intelligent warfare design is determined by the differences in combat operations and the variability, uncertainty and contingency of situations and tasks. Appropriate reasoning and decisions must be made based on different situations. War design methods are quite diverse and eclectic. Traditional research and prediction methods include Markov method, Delphi method, brainstorming method, scenario analysis method, etc. When designing intelligent warfare, we should combine it with actual combat research and flexibly adopt different methods. At present, with the widespread application of cloud computing, big data and other technologies in the military field, computer simulation, modeling and simulation, war game confrontation and other methods are increasingly becoming important forms of combat exercises and confrontation simulation training, and are also commonly used methods in intelligent warfare design.

Reverse thinking, strategic confrontation

War is a confrontation between the comprehensive strength of two hostile parties, but also a confrontation between the strategies and wisdom of the commanders of both sides. Antagonism is one of the basic characteristics of intelligent warfare design, and it is also the main feature that distinguishes warfare design from design activities in other fields.

The main object of intelligent warfare design is the combat activities carried out by the hostile parties on the battlefield. These activities are “live” confrontation actions between people, supported by information-based intelligent weapons and equipment and technical means. They are inseparable from the battle of wits and courage between the war designers of the hostile parties. Therefore, designers of intelligent warfare must not only be familiar with their own situation, but also stand in the opponent’s position and think from the opponent’s perspective about how the intelligent warfare will start, control, and end, and what specific combat actions will be taken to organize and implement it. Before the war, they must conduct a comprehensive analysis and prediction of various situations that may arise during the implementation of the combat, and then propose effective countermeasures. Only in this way can the designed war be targeted and can they take the initiative in confrontational combat activities.

Multi-domain linkage, comprehensive system

Intelligent warfare design is a complex systematic project involving various fields such as military, politics, diplomacy, and economy. The specific methods involve knowledge from many disciplines such as military science, political science, and operations research. The battlefield involves multi-dimensional spaces such as land, sea, air, space, and power grids.

Intelligent warfare design is neither a simple listing of all war-related content nor specific planning and preparation for an impending war. Rather, it is an all-round, full-system, and full-element conception and design of the content covered by intelligent warfare in a certain period of time in the future. In terms of content, it includes the combat scenarios, combat objectives, combat scale, combat direction, battlefield environment, possible combat styles, combat methods, etc. of intelligent warfare; in terms of time, it is the whole process from the time when the war designers conceive or plan the operation to the planning, preparation, implementation, and end of the operation. To design intelligent warfare, we must not only conduct in-depth research on the characteristics, laws and winning mechanisms of intelligent warfare, study the situation of combat opponents, the war environment, and weapons and equipment; we must also study many scientific fields such as war science, system science, and modern engineering science, and predict the impact of scientific and technological development on future wars and operations, so that we can scientifically design the combat theories and processes of intelligent warfare.

Overall planning, multiple case selection

Clausewitz said: “War is the kingdom of uncertainty, and three-quarters of the factors on which war depends are more or less surrounded by a fog of uncertainty.”

Intelligent warfare design is a general plan and conception of intelligent warfare operations. It is a creative thinking activity based on the wisdom and strategy of the designer, and is imaginative and challenging. The design of intelligent warfare only knows the approximate area and method of launching an operation, but there is no specific clarification on the scale and action style of the participating forces. The combat objectives and combat indicators are not specific. It is necessary to make rough plans and bold assumptions about the combat objectives, scale, action style, etc. of intelligent warfare based on the tasks undertaken and the threats faced in peacetime, and on the basis of comprehensive analysis and prediction, without sticking to the existing stereotyped thinking. The objectives and scale of intelligent warfare operations can be large or small, and the action composition can be flexible and diverse. The design results of intelligent warfare should include multiple cases coexisting, multiple cases being compared, and multiple methods being demonstrated to enhance the pertinence and reliability of the results.

Iterative development, rolling improvement

Intelligent warfare design is a long-term and complex system engineering project, which cannot be achieved overnight or once and for all. The probability of war itself, the uncertainty of factors affecting victory or defeat, and the complexity of confrontation in intelligent warfare combat systems all determine the complexity and variability of intelligent warfare design. At the same time, when designing the opponent, one is also being designed by the opponent. Any negligence or carelessness may lead to a complete loss in one wrong move. It is not easy to carry out accurate war design.

With the continuous development of science and technology, the continuous evolution of war forms, and the ever-changing strategic threats and security environment faced in the future, intelligent warfare design should also keep pace with the development of the situation and tasks, and pay more attention to iterative development and design. In line with this, various operational concepts, operational plans, operational regulations, etc. should also be revised in a timely manner, continuously updated, and improved to adapt to the ever-changing new situations.

現代國語:

探尋智慧化戰爭設計規律

■陳建社

引言

當前,隨著以人工智慧技術為代表的顛覆性技術群的廣泛運用,戰爭形態加速向智能化演進,科學籌劃並主動設計智能化戰爭成為戰爭準備面臨的時代課題。要真正組織好智慧化戰爭設計,就要準確把握智慧化戰爭設計的特點規律,弄清楚其在戰爭籌劃和準備中的地位作用,從而更好地為打贏戰爭服務。

著眼發展,合理預見

正確的決策來源於正確的判斷,而正確的判斷來源於對未來所做的科學預見。科學預測是作戰設計的前提,作戰設計是預測結果的運用。明天的戰爭,不會是今天戰爭的翻版,卻可以在今天的戰爭中找到影子。因此,進行智慧化戰爭設計,應以對未來戰爭形態和製勝方式的充分研判和科學預測為前提,通過今天的戰爭預測智能化戰爭的形態、樣式、方法、手段等。

在充滿不確定性和模糊性的戰場上,要使戰爭設計更加符合實際,就要著眼未來一個時期敵我雙方智能化武器裝備的發展變化、作戰理論的更新、作戰能力的發展、制勝途徑的創新等因素,對智能化戰爭的發起時機、規模層次、樣式烈度、發展進程、戰爭結局和其他可能出現的各種復雜情況,進行科學合理預測、此構想等,

積極主動,優先塑造

孫子曰:「勝兵先勝而後求戰。」智能化戰爭設計著眼於把握戰爭的特點、規律和發展趨勢,基於可能的敵情、我情和戰場環境,優先塑造有利態勢,力爭通過研究戰爭、設計戰爭、謀劃戰爭,從而主導和控制戰爭,達到以止止戰、不戰而屈懾人之兵的目的。

智慧化戰爭的戰場空間是現實和虛擬結合的多維多域空間,為戰爭設計者提供了一個充分發揮聰明才智、實施自主與創造的舞台。戰爭發起的主動性增強,戰爭設計的主動性、創造性也隨之提升,戰爭設計者可根據未來的戰爭形態,主動對智慧化戰爭進行超前設計。設計時,既注重應對當前緊迫威脅,也著重於瞄準未來作戰。為此,應緊緊把準智慧化戰爭設計的時代特徵,積極主動作為,在概念、預案、建設等各個環節,增強主動設計、動態設計能力,下好先手棋,打好主動仗,確保始終適應情況的快速變化,盡可能使戰爭按照所設計的方向發展,爭取戰爭準備的主動。

立足現有,創新求變

智慧化戰爭設計是對戰爭設計者認識理念、認知層次、指導思想、運籌謀略等的原創性組合,勇於創新是智慧化戰爭設計的靈魂。為此,智慧化戰爭設計全過程、諸領域、各方面都應著重以創新引領設計。

智慧化戰爭設計是建立在對智慧化戰爭軍事理論、武器裝備、戰場建設等發展預測基礎上的研究,是在立足現有情況基礎之上的拓展創新。由於戰爭形態的發展演進,一些歷史上曾經成功的作戰方法,在智能化戰爭中可能會失效;而一些前所未有,適應智能化戰爭作戰理論和武器裝備的戰法則需要被創造出來。智慧化戰爭設計透過批判性和創造性思維,理解、構想和描述復雜問題,以幫助戰爭設計者更深入地理解把握智能化戰爭作戰的製勝規律和指導規律,發現制約作戰進程的關鍵點及深層原因,從而創造性地提出解決問題的辦法。

形式多樣,不拘一格

毛澤東同志在《論持久戰》中指出:“古人所謂‘運用之妙,存乎一心’,這個‘妙’,我們叫做靈活性,這是聰明的指揮員的出產品。”

智慧化戰爭設計的靈活性,是由作戰行動的差異性以及形勢任務的變化性、不確定性和偶然性決定的,要根據不同的情況進行相應的推理和決斷。戰爭設計方法比較多樣,不拘一格,傳統的研究預測方法有馬爾可夫法、德爾菲法、頭腦​​風暴法、情境分析法等。進行智慧化戰爭設計時,應結合作戰研究實際,靈活採用不同的方法。當前,隨著雲計算、大數據等技術在軍事領域的廣泛運用,計算機模擬、建模模擬、兵棋對抗等方法,正日益成為作戰演習及對抗模擬訓練的重要形式,也是智能化戰爭設計普遍採用的方法。

逆向思維,謀略對抗

戰爭是敵對雙方綜合實力的對抗,更是雙方指揮員謀略和智慧的對抗。對抗性是智慧化戰爭設計的基本特點之一,也是戰爭設計區別於其他領域設計活動的主要特徵。

智慧化戰爭設計的主要對象,是敵對雙方在戰場上進行的作戰活動,這些活動是人與人之間,在資訊化智慧化武器裝備及技術手段支撐下「活」的對抗行動,是與敵對雙方戰爭設計者的鬥智鬥勇分不開的。因此,智慧化戰爭設計者不僅要熟悉掌握己方情況,還要站在對手的立場,從對手的角度來思考智能化戰爭會以什麼樣的方式開局、控局、收局,會具體採取什麼樣式的作戰行動來組織實施,要在戰前對作戰實施過程中可能出現的各種情況進行全面分析預測,進而提出有效的對策措施,這樣主動設計的戰爭才有針對性,也能在戰鬥中掌握戰爭的活動中才有針對性。

多域聯動,系統全面

智慧化戰爭設計是一項複雜的系統性工程,涉及軍事、政治、外交、經濟等各個領域,具體方法涉及軍事學、政治學、運籌學等諸多學科領域知識,戰場涉及陸海空天電網等多維空間。

智慧化戰爭設計既不是簡單羅列與戰爭相關的所有內容,也不是對即將發生的戰爭進行具體籌劃和準備,而是對未來一定時期智能化戰爭所涵蓋內容的全方位、全系統、全要素構想和設計。從內容上講,包括智慧化戰爭的作戰場景、作戰目的、作戰規模、作戰方向、戰場環境、可能採取的作戰樣式、作戰方法等;從時間上講,是從戰爭設計者構思或謀劃作戰開始,一直到作戰籌劃、作戰準備、作戰實施、作戰結束的全過程。進行智慧化戰爭設計,不僅要深入研究智能化戰爭的特點、規律和製勝機理,研究作戰對手情況、戰爭環境情況、武器裝備情況;而且要研究戰爭科學、系統科學和現代工程科學等眾多科學領域,並要預測科學技術發展對未來戰爭和作戰的影響,進而對智能化戰爭的作戰理論、作戰進程等進行科學設計。

概略謀劃,多案優選

克勞塞維茨說:“戰爭是不確定性的王國,戰爭所依據的四分之三的因素或多或少地被不確定性的迷霧包圍著。”

智慧化戰爭設計是對智慧化戰爭作戰的概略性籌劃與設想,是建立在設計者智慧與謀略基礎之上的一種創造性思維活動,富有想像力與挑戰力。智慧化戰爭設計只知道作戰發起的概略區域和方式,但對參戰力量的規模、行動樣式等沒有具體明確,作戰目標和作戰指標都不具體,需要根據平時所擔負的任務和麵臨的威脅,在綜合分析預測的基礎上,對智能化戰爭的作戰目的、作戰規模、行動樣式等進行略籌和設想,不拘化和設想,不拘化思維,不拘化思維。智能化戰爭作戰目的和規模可大可小,行動構成靈活多樣,智能化戰爭設計結果應多案並存、多案對比、多法論證,增強結果的針對性和可靠性。

迭代開發,滾動完善

智慧化戰爭設計是一項長期的複雜系統工程,不是一蹴可幾、一勞永逸的事。戰爭本身的蓋然性和勝負影響因素的不確定性以及智能化戰爭作戰體系對抗的複雜性等,都決定了智能化戰爭設計的復雜多變。與此同時,己方在設計對手時,也在被對手設計,任何疏忽或大意都可能導致一著不慎,滿盤皆輸,進行準確的戰爭設計絕非易事。

隨著科學技術的不斷發展、戰爭形態的不斷演變,以及未來面臨的戰略威脅和安全環境的不斷變化,智慧化戰爭設計也應隨著形勢任務的發展而與時俱進,更加註重迭代開發設計。與之相適應,各種作戰構想、作戰概念、作戰預案、作戰條令等也應適時修訂,不斷更新、滾動完善,以適應不斷發展變化的新情況。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/ll_208543/1634673288.html

Chinese Military Era of Intelligent Integration Calls for Smart Transformation Training

中国军事智能化时代呼唤智能转型训练

現代英語:

At present, the new military is exciting the rapid development of scientific and technological revolution and revolution. Revolutionary technologies represented by artificial intelligence promote the transformation of war forms to intelligent warfare with artificial intelligence. Winning intelligent warfare has gradually become the focus of military competition among powerful countries. Military training, as a pre-practice of military warfare, should promptly mark new goals, realize the transformation to “intelligence”, accelerate “intelligence” training, continuously improve the military science and technology level and “intelligence content”, and comprehensively upgrade combat capabilities to accelerate generation.

Keep up with the changes in the form of war and upgrade the concept of transformation

As the scale of the military and the number of equipment are no longer the key to victory in war, upgrading war thinking and training concepts is imperative. We should take a more proactive attitude and a more open vision, keep up with the trend of focus development, and strive to create a new thinking for military victory.

Grasp the inherent cause and effect of intelligent manufacturing victory. The winning chart is a manifestation of the inherent laws of war. Driven by the intelligent revolution, driven by strategic competition, and driven by war practice, the advantages of information-generated intelligence and intelligence-enabled are increasingly evident, reflected in various links such as actuarial and joint systems. A certain flow chart, it can be said that the higher the “intelligence”, the higher the quality level of combat and training can be. Therefore, further training thinking remains at the mechanization level. We should use the courage of self-revolution to trigger a “headache storm”, upgrade standardized combat, strengthen the theoretical research of standardized training, and use “intelligence” soldiers to deal with mechanized, informationized, and standardized combat issues, organically connect with fighting, design wars with technology, and practice wars with intelligent means, so as to clarify the fog of war.

At present, the military implements training mobilization with a focus on transformation, trying to further widen the generation gap in combat power with other countries’ armies. Once the generation gap in the military is widened, it will be difficult to recover. If you can’t keep up with it, you may be completely controlled by others. Only by keeping an eye on the opponent can you surpass the opponent. We must stand out in military training, and improve the level of military transformation and non-target combat capabilities in training.

Strengthen the target positioning of science and technology empowerment. Science and technology are the core combat power. Driven by science and technology, the combat effectiveness has leaped from mechanical energy type and information energy type to type. Traditional siege-style large-scale troop operations are gradually withdrawing from the historical stage, and the cutting-edge competition in high-end and emerging fields is becoming increasingly fierce. If military training does not improve its scientific and technological armament, it will only be at the forefront of low-level intelligence. Therefore, we should firmly establish the goal of winning by science and technology, firmly grasp the “life gate” and “key point” of winning future wars, greatly improve the connotation of military science and technology, increase the practical application of new means such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and big data, unveil the mysterious veil of focusing on war, and control the initiative of future wars.

Keep up with the changes in scientific and technological development and build strong conditions for automation transformation

Automation training conditions are the basic training support for organizing and implementing automation training, and are directly related to the quality and effectiveness of automation training. To build an automated training environment, we need to focus on the development of intelligent concepts, intelligent technology, and automated operations, and continue to work hard in building environments, innovating training methods, and cultivating new talents.

Construct a battlefield environment. Modified operations, training space is more convenient, the field is wider, and the methods are more diverse. The battlefield environment construction under easy mechanization and information conditions can no longer support the needs of modified training. We should highlight the elite confrontation, rapid confrontation, and linkage confrontation supported by the modification conditions, tap into the existing existing training equipment and field functions, strengthen the application of technologies such as big data analysis, smart wearable devices, and machine “deep learning”, and effectively integrate various fields such as land, sea, air, space, electricity, and network. For example, digital maps, virtual reality and other technologies are used to simulate and display visualized three-dimensional landforms, weather and complex combat scenes, and build rich and rich combat scenes.

Develop advanced training methods. Advanced training methods help improve training results. Transformation of military training should transform the key factor of “data-centric” and transform the latest scientific and technological achievements into training conditions. We should focus on strengthening data linkage and integration to form a “pool” covering strategy, campaign, and tactics, and immediately command organizations to end individual soldiers; develop data intelligent analysis tools, use training cloud computing, artificial intelligence and other advanced technologies to integrate and mine data operations; develop intelligent training systems, increase the construction of simulation methods such as simulation, war game confrontation, network confrontation, and intelligent judgment, and overall promote the transformation and upgrading of military methods to “technology +” and “intelligence +”.

Cultivate new military talents. No matter how the war evolves, people are always the real controllers and final decision-makers of war. The quality of the standardization level of military personnel must determine the quality of customized training. To win the information-based local war with standardized characteristics, we should accurately meet the future military needs, strengthen the transformation of traditional combat talents, make good use of the power resources of “technology +”, “maker +” and “think tank +”, promote the integrated development of “commanders”, “combatants” and “scientists” and “technologists”, form a professional and standardized new military talent group, and realize the intelligent interaction between people and equipment, the deep integration of people and environment, and the extensive adaptation of people and environment.

At present, the world’s major military powers attach great importance to the development of intelligent equipment. New equipment such as unmanned “swarms” and unmanned submarines are emerging in an endless stream. On the one hand, they support standardized military training, and on the other hand, they are constantly tested and improved. To this end, we should make full use of the war-building and preparation strengthening mechanism, vigorously promote the “+ intelligence” of existing equipment and the “intelligence +” construction of the new generation of equipment, adhere to the research, construction, use and modification, break through the customization level of weapon upgrades and equipment through training practice, and finally make efforts to achieve a multiplier effect. The entire weapon equipment goes from “weak intelligence” to “strong intelligence” and then to “super intelligence” to better support standardized military training.

Keep up with the changes in war practice and innovate customized training models

The military style training model has been developed many times and has moved from theoretical exploration to battlefield practice. In recent local wars, standardized operations have begun to show their edge, and thus have shown the potential to change the “rules of the game” of war. The combat style has changed, and the training model must also change accordingly and actively change. We must keep a close eye on the characteristics of war, innovate military training models, and fully rehearse the next war in military training.

We must base ourselves on the basic point of fighting high-end wars with strong enemies, highlight the essence of breaking high-end wars, continue to deepen research on strong enemies, and use the development of new combat concepts and training theories as a starting point to clarify the laws of war development and key points for winning. Predict future wars and design combat styles from the perspective of intelligence and innovation to study the unique and wonderful ways to defeat the enemy. Emphasize key actions such as joint anti-missile defense, organize strategic and campaign training tactics to defeat the enemy with disadvantages, organize non-combat training to win, and organize training to fight against new domains such as the far sea and the far domain. Seize the high position of future wars in innovative training and form a combat capability of “superior intelligence” and “superior skills” against powerful enemies.

Emphasize the research and training of new quality forces. The transformation of war from winning by force and equipment to winning by intelligence has made new combat forces a new growth pole of combat effectiveness. According to information, the US military plans to standardize 60% of ground combat platforms by 2030, and the Russian army expects that more than 30% of key weapons and equipment will be used in the battlefield by 2025. As the army’s new equipment with intelligent attributes increases, it is necessary to take the path of actual combat training with new combat forces as the leading element, highlight the formation and combat use of new combat forces, carry out training methods and tactics that are compatible with the new domain combat concept and victory, strengthen new styles of training such as unmanned combat, promote the combat system of new combat forces, and make new combat power resources move and come alive.

Highlight intelligent command research and training. How to change the form of war and command, ability is always the key ability to win the battle. As the degree of war continues to increase, planning and commanding based on experience and personal wisdom alone can no longer adapt to any rapidly changing battlefield situation. Artificial intelligence decision-making training has become an inevitable trend to improve the efficiency of combat mission planning, planning, command and control. Commanders and command organizations are the key to the system of operations. We need to make breakthroughs in the scientificity, accuracy and timeliness of command planning. We rely on new technologies such as “big data” and “artificial intelligence algorithms” and new means such as “engineering” and “one network” to promote the upgrade of command planning from “human intelligence” training to “human intelligence + intelligence” training. We can judge the enemy situation, establish plans and determine actions in the process of actuarial calculations, so as to achieve the goal of defeating the slow with the fast and taking the lead.

(Author’s unit: Central Theater Command)

現代國語:

曾海清

引言

目前,新軍事激動科技革命和革命快速發展,以人工智慧為代表的革命性技術,以人工智慧推動戰爭形態向智慧化戰爭轉型,打贏智慧化戰爭逐漸成為強國軍事競爭的焦點。軍事訓練作為軍事戰爭的預實踐,應及時邁開標記新目標,實現向“智”轉型、正加速“智”練兵,不斷提高軍事科技度和“含智量”,全面升級作戰能力加速生成。

緊跟形態戰爭之變,升級改造概念

隨著軍事規模、裝備數量已不再是戰爭決定制勝的關鍵,升級戰爭思想和訓練理念勢必行。我們當以更主動的姿態、更開放的視野,緊跟著焦點發展趨勢,全力打造軍事制勝新思維。

把握智能製造勝的內在因果關係。制勝圖表是戰爭內在規律的表現。在智慧革命驅動下、戰略競爭推動下、戰爭實踐牽引下,資訊生智、以智賦能的優勢日益顯現,體現在精算、聯合體係等各個環節。一定的流程圖,可以說「智」有多高,戰與訓的品質水準就能夠達到多高。所以,進一步訓練思維停留在機械化層面應該以自我革命的勇氣來引發“頭痛風暴”,升級標準化作戰,加強標準化訓練理論研究,以“智”兵練處理機械化、信息化、標準化作戰問題,把和打仗有機銜接起來,用技術設計戰爭,用智能手段演練戰爭,從而輪廓清晰化戰爭的迷霧。

目前,軍事實施以轉型為重點的訓練動員,試圖進一步拉大與其他國家軍隊的戰力代差。軍事上的代差一旦拉開將很難追回,一步跟不上就可能徹底受制於人,只有盯緊對手才可能超越對手。要向強在軍事訓練中突出出來,在練兵中提高軍事轉型水準和非目標作戰能力。

強化科技賦能的目標定位。科技是核心戰鬥力。在科技驅動下,戰鬥力形態已從機械能型、資訊能型向型躍升,傳統攻城略地式大兵團作戰正逐步退出歷史舞台,高端、新興領域的尖端量日益激烈。軍事訓練若不提高科技武裝,將只能在低層次智能外圍前沿,很為此,應樹牢科技制勝目標,緊緊抓住科技創新這一制勝未來戰爭的“命門”和“要穴”,大幅提高軍事科技內涵,加大人工智能、雲計算、大數據等新手段的實踐運用,揭開聚焦戰爭的神秘面紗,加大人工智能、雲計算、大數據等新手段的實踐運用,揭開聚焦戰爭的神秘面紗,掌控未來行動權。

緊跟科技發展之變,建強自動化改造條件

自動化訓練條件是組織實施自動化訓練的基礎訓練支撐,直接關係自動化訓練品質。建構自動化訓練條件環境,需要我們緊緊圍繞智慧理念、智慧科技和自動化作戰的發展,在建構環境、創新訓練手段、培育新型人才等方面持續發力。

構設戰場環境。 改裝作戰,訓練空間更加便利、領域更廣泛、方式更加多元,易機械化資訊化條件下的戰場環境構設已無法支撐改裝訓練需求。應突顯改裝條件支撐下的精兵對抗、快速對抗、連動對抗,挖掘充分現有的訓練裝置和現場功能,加強大數據分析、智慧穿戴裝置、機器「深度學習」等技術應用,把陸、海、空、天、電、網等各領域有效融合起來,例如利用數位地圖、虛擬實境等技術模擬顯示可視化的內涵地貌、天誌場景,建構內

開發先進訓練手段。先進的訓練手段,有助於提升訓練成果。轉型軍事訓練應轉變「以數據為中心」這一關鍵因素,將最新科技成果轉化為訓練條件。應著重加強資料連動融合,形成覆蓋戰略、戰役、戰術,立即指揮機構走向終結單兵的「池」;開發資料智慧分析工具,藉助訓練雲運算、人工智慧等先進技術,整合挖掘資料作戰;開發智慧演訓系統,加大模擬模擬、兵棋對抗、網路對抗、智慧判決等模擬手段,整體軍事模擬向「科技+升級」「智慧手段」。

培養新型軍事人才。無論戰爭形態如何演變,人始終是戰爭的真正控制者和最終決策者。軍事人員標準化水準的優劣,一定編程了客製化訓練的品質效果。要打贏具有標準化特徵的資訊化局部戰爭,應精準對接未來軍事需求,加強傳統作戰力人才轉型,用好「科技+」「創客+」「智庫+」力量資源,推動「指揮官」「戰鬥員」與「科學家」「技術家」融合發展,形成專業化、標準化的新型軍事人才群體,實現人與裝備智能、人與深度融合。

目前,世界主要軍事強國都高度重視智慧裝備發展,無人「蜂群」、無人潛航器等新裝備層出不窮,一方面支撐標準化軍事訓練,一方面又在不斷檢驗完善。為此,應充分用好戰建備強化機制,大力推進現有裝備“+智能”和新一代裝備“智能+”建設,堅持邊研邊建邊用邊改,以訓練實踐突破武器升級裝備定制水平,最終發力實現倍增效應,整個武器裝備從“弱智”到“強智”再到“超智”的時間軸,更好地支撐標準化軍事訓練。

緊跟戰爭實踐之變,創新客製化訓練模式

軍事樣式訓練模式經過多次發展,從理論探索走向戰場實踐。近年來的局部戰爭中,標準化作戰已初露鋒芒,並由此顯現出改變戰爭「遊戲規則」決定的潛力。作戰樣式變了,訓練模式也要隨之變、主動變。要盯緊戰爭特點,創新軍事訓練模式,在軍事訓練中充分預演下一場戰爭。

要立強敵打高端戰爭這個基點,突顯破解高端戰爭本質,持續深化強敵研究,以開發新型作戰概念和訓練理論為抓手,搞清戰爭發展規律和製勝要點。從的視角預判未來戰爭、設計作戰風格,智創新研究克敵制勝的奇招、妙招要突出聯合反導等關鍵行動,瞄準強敵組織以劣勢勝優的戰略戰役訓練戰術,瞄準勝勝組織非謀求制衡實戰訓練,瞄準全域組織對抗遠海域等新域延伸訓練,在創新運動中搶奪制衡實戰訓練,瞄準全球組織對抗遠海域等新域延伸訓練,在創新訓練中佔高優勢訓練中佔未來的高超能力。

突顯新質力量研練。戰爭從力勝、器勝到智勝的轉變,使得新型作戰力量成為戰鬥力新的成長極。根據資料介紹,美軍計畫在2030年達到60%地面作戰平台標準化,俄軍預計2025年重點武器裝備戰場將超過30%。隨著軍隊具有智慧屬性的新裝備增多,要走開以新質作戰力量為主導要素的實戰化練兵路子,突顯新質作戰力量編成、作戰運用,開展與新域作戰理念、制勝相適應的訓法戰法,加強無人作戰等新樣式訓練,推動新質作戰力量作戰體系,讓新質戰鬥力資源動起來、活起來。

突顯智能指揮研練。戰爭形態如何轉變指揮,能力始終是能打勝仗的關鍵能力。隨著戰爭程度不斷提高,僅憑經驗和個人智慧進行規劃和指揮已不能適應任何瞬息萬變的戰場局勢,人工智慧決策訓練已成為提升作戰任務規劃、規劃、指揮控制效率的必然趨勢。指揮員和指揮機構這一體係作戰關鍵,在指揮謀劃科學性、精確性、時效性上求突破,依托「大數據」「人工智慧演算法」新技術和「工程化」「一張網」新手段,推動指揮謀劃由「人智」訓練向「人智+機智」訓練升級,在精算學、先定階段中求敵情、先定階段。

(作者單位:中部戰區)

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/xxqj_207719/xxjt/ll/1017241088.html?

China’s Military Will Actively Respond to Challenges of Intelligent Warfare

中國軍隊將積極應對智慧化戰爭挑戰

現代英語:

In recent years, the wave of intelligence has surged and has been widely used in the military field. Major countries in the world attach great importance to the construction and application of military intelligence. Various unmanned combat platforms and intelligent weapons and equipment continue to appear and are equipped in the army for actual combat. In the face of the accelerated evolution of the intelligent form of war, only by seizing development opportunities, actively responding to challenges, accelerating the development of military intelligence, and accelerating the forging of intelligent combat capabilities can we seize the strategic initiative of intelligent warfare and win the future intelligent war.

Focusing on the creation of intelligent theory of war design

Military theory originates from combat practice and is used to guide combat practice. In the past, due to various restrictions, military theory research was mostly “looking back”, that is, summarizing combat cases to form combat guidance. With the rapid development of modern technology, especially disruptive technologies such as big data and cloud computing, combat theory research has broken away from the traditional follow-up and inductive reasoning mode and entered a new era of experimental warfare and designed warfare. New disruptive technologies in the field of intelligence have opened up new space for innovation in military theory. To this end, we should follow the idea of ​​”proposing concepts-demand analysis-innovative theories” to create the basic theory of intelligent warfare, and conduct in-depth research on the conceptual connotation, essential characteristics, war guidance, combat style, offensive and defensive actions, winning mechanism, characteristics and laws of intelligent warfare; innovate intelligent warfare methods and methods, give full play to the overall effectiveness of the intelligent combat system, strengthen the research on new intelligent combat methods and methods such as human-machine collaborative intelligent warfare, intelligent robot warfare, and intelligent unmanned cluster warfare, as well as the processes and methods of intelligent combat command and intelligent combat support; focus on effectively responding to intelligent combat threats and study strategies to defeat the enemy, such as intelligent blocking warfare and intelligent disruption warfare. These theories are the cornerstone of the intelligent warfare theory system. In the future, the war theory centered on strengthening “intellectual power” and competing for “algorithm-centric warfare” is very likely to replace the war theory centered on “network-centric warfare”.

Focusing on cross-domain interconnection and exploring intelligent forms

Military organization is the link between military technology and combat theory, and is the lever for exerting the overall combat effectiveness of the army. Modern combat emphasizes “elite combat under the support of a large system”, that is, with the support of the joint combat system, “elite front and strong back”, and organizes precise and multi-functional combat modules according to the idea of ​​”integrated design, modular organization, and combined use” to maximize the release of combat energy. The system organization of future intelligent warfare will form small, multi-functional, intelligent new joint combat forces of different types and purposes according to different levels of strategy, campaign, and tactics and different military arms, and emphasize the organization of “global” forces that can perform diversified combat tasks. Through intelligent combat networks, according to the requirements of reconfigurability, scalability and adaptability, single weapon platforms can be seamlessly linked and flexibly organized according to changes in the enemy situation, battlefield environment, etc., and then aggregate to form system advantages and form an integrated offensive and defensive combat module. The new intelligent combat force system is the comprehensive product of the development of artificial intelligence technology, the formation of new quality combat power and the evolution of war forms. It is the “trump card” to seize the initiative in the future all-domain combat space, the key to the construction of an integrated joint combat system, and a new growth point for the army’s combat effectiveness.

Focusing on the integration of man and machine to develop intelligent weapons

With the development of information technology and intelligent technology, whoever can win in the field of artificial intelligence will have the opportunity to take the initiative in future military confrontation. We should focus on the dual needs of intelligent war system operations and intelligent weapons and equipment system construction, do a good job in top-level design and overall coordination, compile a roadmap for the development of intelligent weapons and equipment systems, and develop intelligent unmanned combat equipment systems that match operations and support in a planned, focused, and step-by-step manner, covering land, sea, air, space, electricity, and network space fields, and establish a “human-led, machine-assisted, mixed formation, and joint action” manned-unmanned collaborative system to enhance the system integration of various military services and various intelligent weapons and equipment such as operations and support. Intelligent unmanned combat systems are a new trend in the development of future war equipment. Its core lies in aiming at the requirements of “zero casualties”, “full coverage”, and “fast response” in future wars, making full use of the development results of new theories, new materials, new processes, new energy, and new technologies, and continuously making breakthroughs in human-machine collaboration and autonomous action. We will build a three-level unmanned equipment system of strategy, campaign, and tactics, build a new type of intelligent unmanned division on a large scale, and realize the systematic collaborative operations of unmanned combat systems. At the same time, we should focus on the needs of unmanned and anti-unmanned, intelligent and anti-intelligent combat, and pay attention to the research and development of weapons and equipment systems for anti-enemy intelligent unmanned combat, to ensure that we can effectively engage in intelligent unmanned offensive and defensive confrontation with the enemy.

Focus on the ability to combine innovation and intelligent training

The professional division of modern warfare is becoming more and more detailed, and the entire combat system is becoming more and more complex, which promotes the transformation of combat from labor-intensive to technology-intensive. It requires that combatants must not only have good physical fitness, but also have good technical literacy and intellectual advantages to cope with the needs of different combat tasks, combat environments, and combat opponents. Military intelligence has put forward higher requirements on the quality of people. Correspondingly, intelligent military talents should have the characteristics of talent group, advanced skills, complex knowledge, innovative thinking, and intelligent decision-making. Intelligent warfare will be a war jointly implemented by man and machine, and combat forces with intelligent unmanned combat systems as the main body will play an increasingly important role. Only the effective combination of high-quality personnel and intelligent weapons can maximize the combat effectiveness. It is necessary to adapt to the new characteristics of the intelligent warfare force system, innovate and develop intelligent training concepts, and explore new models for the generation of intelligent warfare combat effectiveness. At present, artificial intelligence technology can create a more “real” weapon operation experience and battlefield environment, and can realistically interpret the combat process, assist decision-making and command, and evaluate combat concepts. To this end, we should adapt to the new characteristics of the intelligent war force system, focus on improving the self-command, self-control, and self-combat capabilities of the intelligent combat system, make full use of the characteristics of the intelligent system that can self-game and self-grow, form a training system, training environment, and training mechanism specifically for the intelligent combat system, strengthen the training of “people” to control the intelligent system, and explore a new training model with “machines” as the main object. In this way, the intelligent combat system can obtain a leap in combat capability through short-term autonomous intensive training to cope with the test of disorder, complexity, and uncertainty in the future combat environment.

Focus on improving the guarantee model with precision and efficiency

In the intelligent battlefield, the realization degree of comprehensive support for joint operations is an important factor that directly affects the generation of combat effectiveness of troops. The development of intelligent technology will inevitably trigger revolutionary changes in the construction of the joint combat support system and realize intelligent comprehensive support. Comprehensive support is the foundation of combat effectiveness and a bridge for transforming the country’s economic strength into the combat capability of troops. With the continuous maturity of Internet of Things technology, intelligent warfare places more emphasis on integrated support, precise support, and distribution support, that is, delivering to the required location at the required time according to the required quantity. Relying on the integrated support system, the dispersed support forces and resources will be organized according to functional modules such as supply, materials, maintenance, ammunition and management, so that they cover all areas of combat service support work. Relying on visualization technology, the current status of combat supply will be tracked and mastered throughout the process, and information control, reception and distribution of personnel and material flows will be carried out according to the real-time development of the battle situation, so as to achieve point-to-point direct support. By using technologies such as the Internet of Things, drones, smart cars, remote surgery, and 3D printing, we will upgrade and create an intelligent after-sales support system covering smart warehousing, smart delivery, smart maintenance, and smart medical care. This will enable automatic, rapid, and accurate replenishment of battlefield after-sales materials, rapid diagnosis and repair of equipment failures, and timely rescue of battlefield personnel. We will transform passive support into active service, and improve the overall efficiency and benefits of after-sales support.

Focusing on military and civilian dual-use to deepen intelligent integration

Breakthroughs in the core key technologies of artificial intelligence are the “national heavy weapons” to deal with the threats and challenges of intelligent warfare. The rapid development of intelligent technology has become an accelerator of military intelligence. In the information age, the boundaries between military and civilian technologies are becoming increasingly blurred, and their convertibility is becoming stronger and stronger. Actively establish a military-civilian collaborative innovation mechanism, continuously strengthen the driving force for the innovation and development of intelligent core technologies, build an open industry-university-research collaborative innovation system for the whole society, make forward-looking arrangements and support investments in core cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, give full play to the innovative power of the entire society, and promote the rapid and sustainable development of military intelligence. Accelerate the advancement of technological breakthroughs in key areas. We must focus on relevant key technology areas and break the technical bottlenecks that restrict the development of military intelligence. Strengthen research in the basic support areas of military intelligence, such as military big data and military Internet of Things; based on combat needs, strengthen research on intelligent application technologies in various combat elements, especially research on intelligent command decision-making, intelligent weapon platforms, intelligent battlefield perception, and intelligent confrontation technologies. The research and development of core key technologies of military intelligence should not only carry out cross-disciplinary and cross-domain collaborative innovation, but also make social intelligence and military intelligence development dock and track, learn from mature technologies and successful experiences in the development of social intelligence, and promote the rapid embedding of various artificial intelligence technologies into combat elements and combat processes. To accelerate the development of military intelligence, we should speed up the exploration of the training rules of relevant talents, make full use of military and local educational resources, increase the training of relevant talents, and provide solid intellectual support and talent guarantee for promoting the construction of military intelligence.

現代國語:

尹峻松 李明海 李始江  高  凱

中國軍網 國防部網 2020年2月6日 星期四

近年來,智慧化浪潮洶湧而來,並在軍事領域廣泛應用。世界主要國家高度重視軍事智慧化建設和應用,各種無人作戰平台和智慧化武器裝備不斷出現,並列裝部隊投入實戰。面對戰爭形態智能化加速演變,只有把握發展機遇,積極應對挑戰,加速軍事智能化發展,加速鍛造智能化作戰能力,才能奪取智能化戰爭戰略主動,從而打贏未來智能化戰爭。

著眼設計戰爭創建智慧化理論

軍事理論源自於作戰實踐,並用於指導作戰實踐。過去受各種條件的限制,軍事理論研究多是“向後看”,即總結戰例形成作戰指導。隨著現代技術,尤其是大數據、雲端運算等顛覆性技術的快速發展,使作戰理論研究擺脫了傳統的跟進式、歸納推理式的模式,走入了實驗戰爭、設計戰爭的新時代。智慧領域新的顛覆性技術,為軍事理論創新開啟了新的空間。為此,我們應依照「提出概念—需求分析—創新理論」的思路,創造智慧化戰爭基礎理論,深入研究智慧化戰爭的概念內涵、本質特徵、戰爭指導、作戰樣式、攻防行動、制勝機理、特徵規律等內容;創新智慧化作戰方式,充分發揮智慧化作戰方式體系整體效能,加強人機協同智慧作戰、智慧化機器人作戰、智慧無人集群作戰等新的智慧化作戰方式方法研究,以及智慧化作戰指揮、智慧化作戰保障的流程和方式方法等;著眼有效應對智慧化作戰威脅,研究克敵制勝之策,如智慧阻斷戰、智慧擾亂戰等。這些理論是智慧化戰爭理論體系的基石。未來以強化「制智權」爭奪「演算法中心戰」為核心的戰爭理論,極有可能取代以「網路中心戰」為核心的戰爭理論。

著眼於跨域互聯探索智慧化形態

軍隊組織是連結軍事技術和作戰理論的紐帶,是發揮軍隊整體作戰效能的槓桿。現代作戰更強調“大體系支撐下的精兵作戰”,即以聯合作戰體系為支撐,“精前台、強後台”,按照“一體化設計、模組化編組、組合式運用”的思路,編組精確多能的作戰模組,使得作戰能量得到最大限度釋放。未來智慧化戰爭的體制編制將按戰略、戰役、戰術不同層次和不同軍兵種,組成不同類型、不同用途的小型多能智能化新型聯合作戰部隊,更加強調編組能夠執行多樣化作戰任務的「全局化」部隊,透過智慧化的作戰網絡,依照可重構性、可擴充性和自適應要求,能夠依據敵情、戰場環境等態勢變化,將單一武器平台進行無縫連結、靈活編組,進而聚合形成體系優勢,形成攻防一體的作戰模組。智慧化新型作戰力量體係是人工智慧技術發展、新質戰鬥力形成與戰爭形態演變的綜合產物,是奪取未來全局作戰空間主動權的“殺手鐧”,是構成一體化聯合作戰體系的關鍵,是軍隊戰鬥力新的增長點。

著眼於人機融合發展智慧化武器

隨著資訊科技、智慧科技的發展,誰能在人工智慧領域中取勝,誰就有望擁有未來軍事對抗的主動權。應著眼於智慧化戰爭體係作戰和智慧化武器裝備體系建設的雙重需要,搞好頂層設計和整體統籌,編制智能化武器裝備體系發展路線圖,按計劃、有重點、分步驟地研製高中低端、大中小型、遠中近程,覆蓋陸、海、空、天、電和網路等太空領域,作戰與保障相配套的智慧化無人作戰裝備體系,建立「人為主導、機器協助、混合編組、聯合行動」的有人-無人協作體系,增強各軍兵種和作戰、保障等各種智能化武器裝備的體系融合度。智慧化無人作戰系統是未來戰爭裝備發展新趨勢。其核心在於瞄準未來戰爭「零傷亡」「全覆蓋」「快響應」等要求,充分運用新理論、新材料、新工藝、新能源、新技術發展成果,在人機協同和自主行動兩個方面不斷取得突破,構建戰略、戰役、戰術三級無人裝備體系,規模化打造新型智能無人之師,實現無人作戰系統的體系化協同作戰。同時,應著眼無人與反無人、智能與反智能作戰需要,注重研發反敵智能化無人作戰的武器裝備系統,確保能夠有效地與敵進行智能化無人攻防對抗。

著眼能力複合創新智能化訓練

現代戰爭專業分工越來越細、整個作戰體系越來越複雜,推動作戰由人力密集型向技術密集型轉變,要求參戰人員不僅要具備良好的身體素質,更要具備良好的技術素養和智力優勢,以應對不同作戰任務、作戰環境、作戰對手的需要。軍事智慧化對人的素質提出了更高要求,相應地智能化軍事人才應具有人才群體性、技能精尖性、知識複合性、思維創新性、決策智能性等特徵。智慧化戰爭將是人機結合共同實施的戰爭,以智慧化無人作戰系統為主體的作戰力量將發揮越來越重要的作用。高素質人員和智慧化武器的有效結合,才能最大程度地發揮作戰效能。必須適應智慧化戰爭力量體系新特點,創新發展智慧化訓練概念,探索智慧化戰爭戰鬥力生成新模式。目前,人工智慧技術能夠創造出更「真實」的武器操作體驗與戰場環境,能夠逼真演繹作戰進程、輔助決策指揮、評估作戰構想。為此,適應智慧化戰爭力量體系構成新特點,聚焦於智慧化作戰系統自我指揮、自我控制、自我作戰能力的提升,充分利用智慧化系統能夠自我博弈、自我成長的特點,形成專門針對智慧化作戰系統訓練體系、訓練環境和訓練機制,強化「人」駕馭智慧系統訓練,探索以「機」為主體對象的新型訓練模式。從而使智慧化作戰系統經過短期的自主強化訓練即可獲得作戰能力的躍升,以應對未來作戰環境無序性、複雜性、不確定性的考驗。

著眼精準高效能改善保障模式

智慧化戰場,聯合作戰綜合保障實現度是直接影響部隊戰鬥力生成的重要因素。智慧化技術的發展必將觸發聯合作戰保障體系建設的革命性變化,實現智慧化綜合保障。綜合保障是戰鬥力的基礎,是把國家經濟實力轉化為部隊作戰能力的橋樑。隨著物聯網技術的不斷成熟,智慧化戰爭更強調一體保障、精確保障、配送保障,也就是依照所需的量在需要的時間投放到需要的地點。依託一體化保障體系,將分散部署的保障力量和資源,按照補給、物資、維修、彈藥和管理等職能模組編組,使其涵蓋戰鬥勤務保障工作的各個領域,依托可視化技術,全程跟踪作戰供應現狀,根據戰況實時發展對人員流、物資流進行信息控制、接收和分發,實現點對點的直達保障。透過運用物聯網、無人機、智慧車、遠距手術、3D列印等技術,升級打造涵蓋智慧倉儲、智慧投送、智慧維修、智慧醫療等智慧後裝保障體系,實現戰場後裝物資自動快速精準補給、設備故障快速診斷與維修、戰場人員及時救護,變被動式為主動服務,提升後負配備保障整體效率和效益。

著眼軍民兼用深化智能化融合

人工智慧核心關鍵技術的突破,是應對智慧化戰爭威脅和挑戰的「國之重器」。智慧科技的快速發展,已成為軍事智慧化的加速器。資訊時代軍用技術和民用技術的界線越來越模糊,可轉換性越來越強。積極建立軍民協同創新機制,不斷強化智慧化核心技術創新發展原動力,建構全社會開放的產學研協同創新體系,對人工智慧等核心前沿技術前瞻佈局、扶持投資,充分發揮整個社會的創新力量,促進軍事智慧化快速永續發展。加快推進重點領域技術突破。要聚焦相關重點技術領域,打破限制軍事智慧化發展的技術瓶頸。加強軍事智慧化基礎支撐領域的研究,例如,軍用大數據、軍用物聯網等;從作戰需求出發,加強各個作戰要素方面的智慧化應用技術研究,尤其是智慧化指揮決策、智慧化武器平台、智慧化戰場感知、智慧化對抗技術等方面的研究。軍事智慧化核心關鍵技術的研發,不僅要進行跨領域、跨領域協作創新,還要使社會智慧化與軍事智慧化發展對接並軌,借鏡社會智慧發展的成熟技術與成功經驗,推動各類人工智慧技術快速嵌入作戰要素、作戰流程。加速軍事智慧化發展,應抓緊探索相關人才的培養規律,充分利用軍地教育資源,加大相關人才培養力度,為推進軍事智慧化建設提供堅實的智力支持與人才保障。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/2020-02/06/content_25335288.htm

China’s Military Meeting Challenges of Intelligent Warfare with New Concepts

中國軍隊以新概念應對智慧化戰爭挑戰

現代英語:

Preface

The breakthrough achievements of artificial intelligence technology marked by deep learning and its application in various fields have pushed intelligence to a new high in the global wave and become the focus of attention from all parties. In the military field, which has never been willing to lag behind in technological innovation and application, a new revolution is also being actively nurtured. We must accurately grasp the evolution of intelligent warfare and analyze the inner essence of intelligent warfare in order to welcome and control intelligent warfare with a brand new look.

How far are we from intelligent warfare?

Intelligent warfare is a war that is mainly supported by artificial intelligence technology. It has been the dream of people for thousands of years to endow weapon platforms with human intelligence and replace humans in the battlefield. With the powerful impact brought to the world by artificial intelligence systems represented by AlphaGo and Atlas, and the emergence of new combat concepts and new platforms such as swarm warfare and flying aircraft carriers, the door to intelligent warfare seems to be quietly opening.

The law of historical development indicates that intelligent warfare will inevitably enter the battlefield. The progress of science and technology promotes the evolution of weapons and equipment, triggers fundamental changes in military organization, combat methods and military theories, and ultimately forcibly promotes historical changes in the form of war. The arrival of intelligent warfare also conforms to this inevitable law of historical development. Looking back at the evolution of human warfare, every major progress in science and technology has promoted major changes in the military. The invention of black powder has made human warfare evolve to the era of hot weapons. Infantry and cavalry formations were completely wiped out under the line-of-gun warfare. The use of steam engines in the military has made human warfare evolve to the mechanized era, and has further given rise to large-scale mechanized warfare led by armored ships, tanks, and airplanes. The emergence and application of intelligent technology will profoundly change human cognition, war thinking, and combat methods, and once again set off major changes in the military. Intelligent warfare will inevitably enter the war stage.

The development of artificial intelligence technology determines the pace of intelligent warfare. The continuous development and widespread application of artificial intelligence technology have pushed intelligent warfare from chaos to reality. It has begun to sprout, grow gradually, and come to us step by step. To truly enter intelligent warfare, artificial intelligence technology needs to reach four levels. The first level is computational intelligence, which means breaking through the limitations of computing power and storage space to achieve near-real-time computing power and storage capacity, which is far beyond the reach of large computers and huge servers. The widespread application of cloud computing has steadily brought humans to the first level. The second level is perceptual intelligence, which means that the machine can understand what it hears, see what it sees, distinguish what is true, and recognize what it knows clearly, and can communicate directly with people. Natural language understanding, image and graphic recognition, and biometric recognition technologies based on big data have allowed humans to reach the second level. The third level is cognitive intelligence, which means that the machine can understand human thinking, think and reason like humans, and make judgments and decisions like humans. Knowledge mining, knowledge graphs, artificial neural networks, and decision tree technologies driven by deep learning algorithms have allowed humans to strive to move towards the third level. The fourth stage is human-machine fusion enhanced intelligence, which is to combine the perception, reasoning, induction, and learning that humans are good at with the search, calculation, storage, and optimization that machines are good at, to complement each other’s advantages and interact in a two-way closed loop. Virtual reality enhancement technology, brain-like cognitive technology, and brain-like neural network technology are exploring how humans can move towards the fourth stage. When humans stepped onto the second stage, intelligent warfare began to approach us; when we step onto the fourth stage, the era of intelligent warfare will be fully opened.

Self-learning growth accelerates the sudden arrival of intelligent warfare changes. The ability to “learn” is the core ability of artificial intelligence. Once a machine can learn by itself, its learning speed is amazing. Once a machine has the ability to self-learn, it will enter a rapid growth track of “improving intelligence and accelerating evolution” repeatedly. All technical difficulties in the direction of intelligent warfare will be solved as “learning” deepens. The era of intelligent warfare is likely to arrive suddenly in a way that people can’t imagine!

What will intelligent warfare change?

Intelligent warfare will break through the limits of traditional time and space cognition. In intelligent warfare, artificial intelligence technology can collect, calculate, and push all kinds of action information of all forces in combat in real time and in all domains, enabling humans to break through the logical limits of thinking, the physiological limits of senses, and the physical limits of existence, greatly improving the scope of cognition of time and space, and being able to accurately control all actions of all forces in real time, and to achieve rapid jump, gathering, and attack of superior combat resources in multi-dimensional space and multi-dimensional domains. Any space at any time may become a time and space point for winning the war.

Intelligent warfare will reconstruct the relationship between humans and weapons and equipment. With the rapid advancement of intelligent technology and the continuous improvement of the level of intelligence, weapon platforms and combat systems can not only passively and mechanically execute human instructions, but also can, based on deep understanding and deep prediction, super-amplify through the calculation, storage, and query that machines are good at, so as to autonomously and actively perform specific tasks in a certain sense. It can be said that weapon platforms and combat systems can also actively exert human consciousness to a certain extent, even beyond the scope of human cognition, and complete combat tasks autonomously and even creatively according to specific procedures. The distinction between humans and weapons and equipment in the traditional sense has become blurred, and it is even difficult to distinguish whether it is humans or machines that are playing a role. People exclaimed that “humans and weapons and equipment will become a partnership.” Therefore, in intelligent warfare, although humans are still the most important factor in combat effectiveness, the change in the way humans and weapons and equipment are combined has enriched the connotation of combat effectiveness, and the traditional relationship between humans and weapons and equipment will also be reconstructed on this basis.

Intelligent warfare will give rise to the emergence of new combat methods. The epoch-making progress of science and technology will inevitably bring about revolutionary changes in combat methods; major progress in intelligent technology will inevitably bring about an active period of change in combat methods. On the one hand, the continuous emergence of new technologies in the fields of deep cognition, deep learning, deep neural network, etc. driven by computing, data, algorithms, and biology, as well as the cross-integration of achievements in the fields of information, biology, medicine, engineering, manufacturing, etc., will inevitably promote the emergence of new combat methods. On the other hand, the fierce confrontation between intelligent weapon platforms and combat systems will inevitably become the goal and driving force of innovative combat methods. In war, the more intelligent the parts are, the more they become the focus of confrontation. The differences in advantages in terms of space-time cognitive limits, massive information storage and computing capabilities, and neural network organization generation capabilities will bring about new areas of “blinding”, “deafening”, and “paralyzing” combat methods.

Intelligent warfare will incubate a completely new command and control method. The advantages of command and control are the focus of attention in the field of warfare, and intelligent warfare calls for a completely new command and control method. First, human-machine collaborative decision-making has become the main command and decision-making method in intelligent warfare. In previous wars, command and decision-making were all led by commanders, with technical means as auxiliary decision-making. In intelligent warfare, intelligent auxiliary decision-making systems will actively urge or urge commanders to make decisions based on new battlefield situation changes. This is because in the face of massive and rapidly changing battlefield situation information data, the human brain can no longer quickly accommodate and efficiently process it, and human senses can no longer withstand the extraordinary speed of change. In this case, decisions made solely by commanders are likely to be late and useless. Only human-machine collaborative decision-making driven by intelligent decision-making assistance systems can make up for the time and space differences and the machine-computer differences and ensure the command decision-making advantage. Second, brain neural control has become the main command control method in intelligent warfare. In previous wars, commanders issued commands to command and control troops step by step through documents, radios, and telephones in the form of documents or voice. In intelligent warfare, commanders use intelligent brain-like neurons to issue commands to troops through the neural network combat system platform, which reduces the conversion process of command expression forms, shortens the conversion time of commands across media, and is faster and more efficient. When the combat system platform is partially damaged by an attack, this command and control method can autonomously repair or reconstruct the neural network, quickly restore the main function or even all functions, and have stronger anti-attack capabilities.

How should we prepare for intelligent warfare?

In the research and exploration of intelligent warfare, we must not be content to lag behind, but must aim to win future wars and meet the challenges of intelligent warfare with a more proactive attitude, advanced concepts, and positive actions.

Use breakthroughs in intelligent technology to promote the leap in the effectiveness of intelligent combat systems. Although the development of intelligent technology has made great progress in neural network algorithms, intelligent sensing and networking technology, data mining technology, knowledge graph technology, etc., it is still in the weak intelligence stage overall and is far from reaching the advanced stage of strong intelligence. There is still broad room for development in the future. We must strengthen basic research on artificial intelligence, follow the laws of scientific and technological development, scientifically plan the direction of intelligent technology development, select technical breakthroughs, and strengthen key core technologies of artificial intelligence, especially basic research that plays a supporting role. Highlight research on key military technologies. Guided by military needs, we will develop intelligent reconnaissance and perception systems, command and control systems, weapon equipment systems, combat support systems and other weapons and equipment around key military technologies such as intelligent perception, intelligent decision-making, intelligent control, intelligent strike, and intelligent support. We will focus on military-civilian scientific and technological collaborative innovation, give full play to the advantages of civilian intelligent technology development, rely on the superior resources of the military and the local area, strengthen military-civilian strategic cooperation, build a service platform for the joint research and sharing of artificial intelligence scientific and technological achievements, the joint construction and sharing of conditions and facilities, and the joint connection of general standards between the military and the local area, and form a new situation of open, integrated, innovative and development of intelligent combat technology.

Leading innovation in combat methods with the concept of intelligent warfare. To meet the arrival of intelligent warfare, changing concepts is a prerequisite. Concepts are the forerunner of action. If our concepts remain at the traditional level, it will be difficult to adapt to the needs of intelligent warfare. Intelligent warfare has undergone profound changes in technical support, combat power, and winning mechanisms. We must first establish the concept of intelligent warfare and use it to lead the innovation of our army’s future combat methods. First, we must strengthen the competition for “intellectual property rights.” Artificial intelligence is the foundation of intelligent warfare. Depriving and weakening the opponent’s ability to use intelligence in combat and maintaining the freedom of one’s own intelligence use are the basis for ensuring the smooth implementation of intelligent warfare. The armies of developed Western countries are exploring various means such as electromagnetic interference, electronic suppression, high-power microwave penetration and takeover control to block the opponent’s intelligent application capabilities, seize “intelligence control”, and thus seize battlefield advantages. Second, innovate intelligent combat methods. We must focus on giving full play to the overall effectiveness of the intelligent combat system, strengthen the research on new intelligent combat methods such as human-machine collaborative intelligent combat, intelligent robot combat, and intelligent unmanned swarm combat, as well as the processes and methods of intelligent combat command and intelligent combat support. Focus on effectively responding to the enemy’s intelligent combat threats and study strategies to defeat the enemy, such as intelligent blocking warfare and intelligent disruption warfare.

Use intelligent training innovation to promote the transformation of combat power generation mode. Intelligent warfare will be a war jointly implemented by humans and machines, and combat forces with intelligent unmanned combat systems as the main body will play an increasingly important role. It is necessary to adapt to the new characteristics of the intelligent warfare force system, innovate and develop intelligent training concepts, and explore new models for the generation of intelligent warfare combat power. On the one hand, it is necessary to strengthen the training of “people” driving intelligent systems. Relying on big data, cloud computing, VR technology, etc., create a new training environment, continuously improve people’s intelligent literacy, improve the quality of human-machine cognition, understanding, and interaction, and enhance the ability of people to drive intelligent combat systems. On the other hand, it is necessary to explore a new training model with “machines” as the main object. In the past, training was basically human-centered, focusing on people’s proficiency in mastering and using weapons and equipment in a specific environment to improve combat effectiveness. In order to adapt to the new characteristics of the intelligent warfare force system, the training object should change the traditional human-centered training organization concept and model, focus on improving the self-command, self-control, and self-combat capabilities of the intelligent combat system, make full use of the characteristics of the intelligent system’s ability to self-game and self-grow, and form a training system, training environment, and training mechanism specifically for the intelligent combat system, so that the intelligent combat system can obtain a geometric leap in combat capability after a short period of autonomous reinforcement training.

現代國語:

來源:解放軍報 作者:李始江 楊子明 陳分友 責任編輯:喬楠楠 2018-07-26 08:23:16
前言

以深度學習為標志的人工智慧技術突破性成果及其在各領域的應用,將智慧化推上了全球浪潮的新高,也成為各方關注的焦點。在科技創新與應用從未甘落後的軍事領域,也正在積極孕育一場新的變革。我們必須準確把握智能化戰爭的演進脈搏,透析智能化戰爭的內在本質,才能以嶄新的面貌迎接和駕馭智能化戰爭。

智慧化戰爭究竟離我們有多遠?

智能化戰爭,是以人工智慧技術為主要支撐的戰爭。賦予武器平台以人的智慧並取代人在戰場上廝殺,是千百年來人們夢寐以求的願望。隨著AlphaGo和Atlas為代表的人工智慧系統帶給世人的強大沖擊,蜂群作戰、飛行航空母艦等作戰新概念、新平台的初露端倪,智慧化戰爭大門彷彿正在悄然打開。

歷史發展規律預示著智慧化戰爭必將走上戰爭舞台。科學技術的進步推動武器裝備的演進,引發軍隊編成、作戰方式和軍事理論的根本性變化,並最終強制推動戰爭形態的歷史性變革。智能化戰爭的到來也符合這個歷史發展的必然規律。回顧人類戰爭的演變歷程,每一次科學技術的重大進步,都推動著軍事上的重大變革。黑火藥的發明使人類戰爭進化到熱兵器時代,步兵方陣、騎兵方陣在火槍線式作戰方式下被消滅的蕩然無存;蒸汽機在軍事上的運用使人類戰爭進化到機械化時代,並進而催生了以裝甲艦、坦克、飛機引領的大規模機械化戰爭。智慧化技術的出現與應用,必將深刻改變人類認知、戰爭思維與作戰方式,再一次掀起軍事上的重大變革,智慧化戰爭必將走上戰爭舞台。

人工智慧技術的發展進程決定著智慧化戰爭邁進的腳步。人工智慧技術的不斷發展與廣泛應用,推動智慧化戰爭從混沌走向現實,開始萌芽、逐漸成長,一步一步向我們走來。真正進入到智慧化戰爭,人工智慧技術需要邁上四階。第一級台階是計算智能,即突破計算能力的限制、突破存儲空間的限制,實現近乎實時的計算能力和存儲能力,這種能力是大型計算機和龐大服務器遠遠不可比擬的。雲計算的廣泛應用已經將人類穩穩地送上了第一級台階。第二級台階是感知智能,即機器能夠聽得懂、看得懂、辨得真、識得清,能夠與人進行直接交流對話。以大數據為基礎的自然語言理解、圖像圖形認知、生物特徵識別技術,讓人類走上了第二級台階。第三級台階是認知智能,即機器能夠理解人類的思維,能夠像人類一樣進行思考與推理,像人類一樣進行判斷和決策。以深度學習演算法為驅動的知識挖掘、知識圖譜、人工神經網絡、決策樹技術,讓人類努力邁向第三級台階。第四級台階是人機融合式增強型智能,即將人類擅長的感知、推理、歸納、學習,與機器擅長的搜尋、計算、儲存、優化,進行優勢互補、雙向閉環互動。虛擬現實增強技術、類腦認知技術、類腦神經網絡技術,正在探索人類如何邁向第四級。當人類走上第二級台階,智慧化戰爭開始向我們走來;當我們踏上第四級台階時,智慧化戰爭的時代就將全面開啟。

自我學習成長加速著智慧化戰爭變革的突然降臨。 「學習」能力是人工智慧最核心的能力,一旦機器能夠自我學習,其學習速度是驚人的。機器一旦具備自我學習的能力,就會進入一個不斷反復的「提升智慧、加快進化」的快速成長軌道,邁向智慧化戰爭的所有技術困難將隨著「學習」的深入迎刃而解,智能化戰爭時代很可能會以人們意想不到的方式突然降臨!

智能化戰爭究竟會改變什麼?

智能化戰爭將突破傳統時空認知的極限。在智慧化戰爭中,人工智慧技術能夠全時、全局對作戰中全部力量的各種行動信息,進行實時收集、實時計算、實時推送,使人類能夠突破思維的邏輯極限、感官的生理極限和存在的物理極限,大大提高對時間空間的認知範疇,能夠實時精準地掌控所有力量的所有行動,能夠在多維空間、多維空間、多維領域的優勢

智慧化戰爭將重構人與武器裝備的關系。隨著智慧化技術的快速進步,智慧化程度的不斷提升,武器平台和作戰體係不僅能夠被動、機械地執行人的指令,而且能夠在深度理解和深度預測的基礎上,通過機器擅長的算、存、查進行超級放大,從而在一定意義上自主、能動地執行特定任務。可以說,武器平台和作戰體係也可以在某種程度上主動地發揮出人的意識,甚至是超出人類的認識範疇,根據特定程序自主地、甚至是創造性地完成作戰任務,傳統意義上人與武器裝備的區別變得模糊,甚至難以區分是人在發揮作用還是機器在發揮作用,人們驚呼“人與武器裝備將成為夥伴關系”。因此,在智慧化戰爭中,人雖然仍是戰鬥力中最主要的因素,但人與武器裝備結合方式的改變豐富了戰鬥力的內涵,人與武器裝備的傳統關係也將在此基礎上進行重構。

智慧化戰爭將催生新型作戰方式的湧現。科學技術劃時代的進步,必然使作戰方式發生革命性的變化;智慧化技術的重大進步,必然帶來作戰方式變革的活躍期。一方面,以計算、數據、演算法、生物為驅動力的深度認知、深度學習、深度神經等領域不斷湧現的新技術,以及與資訊、生物、醫學、工程、製造等領域成果的交叉融合,必然推動新型作戰方式井噴式的湧現。另一方面,智慧化武器平台與作戰體系的激烈對抗,必然成為創新作戰方式的目標與動力。戰爭中智慧化技術程度越高的部位,越成為對抗中的焦點,時空認知極限、海量資訊存儲計算能力、神經網絡組織生成能力等方面的優勢差,將會帶來新領域的「致盲」「致聾」「致癱」作戰方式。

智慧化戰爭將孵化全新的指揮控制方式。指揮控制的優勢是戰爭領域的關注焦點,智慧化戰爭呼喚全新的指揮控制方式。一是人機協同決策成為智慧化戰爭中主要的指揮決策方式。以往戰爭中的指揮決策,都是以指揮為主導,牽引技術手段的輔助決策。在智慧化戰爭中,智慧輔助決策系統將根據新的戰場態勢變化,主動督促或催促指揮員做出決策。這是因為面對海量的、瞬息萬變的戰場態勢資訊數據,人的大腦已經無法快速容納和高效處理、人的感官已經無法承受超常規的變化速度。在這種情況下,單純依靠指揮員形成的決策很可能是遲到的、無用的決策。只有在智慧化輔助決策系統推動下的人機協同決策,才能夠彌補時空差和機腦差,確保指揮決策優勢。二是腦神經控製成為智慧化戰爭中主要的指令控制方式。以往戰爭中,指揮員透過文件、電台、電話,以文書或語音的形式,逐級下達指令指揮控制部隊。在智慧化戰爭中,指揮員用智慧化類腦神經元,透過神經網絡作戰體系平台向部隊下達指令,減少了指令表現形式的轉換過程,縮短了指令跨媒體的轉換時間,節奏更快、效率更高。當作戰體系平台遭到攻擊部分破壞時,這種指揮控制方式能夠自主修復或自主重構神經網絡,迅速恢復主體功能甚至全部功能,抗打擊能力更強。

我們應該如何迎接智能化戰爭?

在智慧化作戰的研究與探索中,絕不能甘於落後追隨,必須瞄準打贏未來戰爭,要以更主動的姿態、先進的理念、積極的行動,迎接智慧化戰爭的挑戰。

以智慧化技術突破推動智慧化作戰體系效能躍升。智慧化技術的發展目前雖然在神經網絡演算法、智慧傳感與組網技術、數據挖掘技術、知識圖譜技術等方面有了較大進展,但總體而言仍處於弱智能階段,遠未達到強智能高級階段,未來仍有廣闊的發展空間。要強化人工智慧基礎研究,遵循科學技術發展的規律,科學規劃智慧化技術發展方向,選好技術突破口,加強人工智慧關鍵核心技術,特別是起支撐作用的基礎性研究。突出軍用關鍵技術研究。以軍事需求為牽引,圍繞智慧感知、智慧決策、智慧控制、智慧打擊、智慧保障等軍用關鍵技術,發展智慧化偵察感知系統、指揮控制系統、武器裝備系統、作戰保障系統等武器裝備。抓好軍民科技協同創新,充分發揮民用智慧技術發展優勢,依托軍地優勢資源,強化軍地戰略協作,搭建人工智慧科技成果共研共享、條件設施共建共用、通用標準軍地銜接的服務平台,形成智慧化作戰科技開放融合創新發展新局面。

以智能化作戰理念引領作戰方式創新。迎接智能化戰爭的到來,轉變觀念才是前提。觀念是行動的先導,如果我們的觀念還停留在傳統層面,就難以適應智慧化戰爭的需要。智慧化戰爭在技術支撐、作戰力量、制勝機理等方面都發生了深刻變化,要求我們必須先確立智慧化戰爭理念,並以此引領我軍未來作戰方式創新。一是要強化「制智權」爭奪。人工智慧是智慧化戰爭的基礎,作戰中剝奪和削弱對手智慧運用能力,保持己方智慧運用的自由,是確保智慧化作戰順利實施的基礎。西方發達國家軍隊正探索通過電磁幹擾、電子壓制、高功率微波穿透和接管控制等多種手段,阻斷對手的智能運用能力,奪取“制智權”,從而奪取戰場優勢。二是創新智能化作戰方式方法。要著眼於充分發揮智慧化作戰體系整體效能,加強人機協同智慧作戰、智慧化機器人作戰、智慧無人群聚作戰等的新的智慧化作戰方式方法研究,以及智慧化作戰指揮、智慧化作戰保障的流程與方式方法等。著眼有效應對敵智能化作戰威脅,研究克敵制勝之策,如智慧阻斷戰、智慧擾亂戰等。

以智慧化訓練創新催生戰鬥力生成模式轉變。智慧化戰爭將是人機結合共同實施的戰爭,以智慧化無人作戰系統為主體的作戰力量將發揮越來越重要的作用。必須適應智慧化戰爭力量體系新特點,創新發展智慧化訓練概念,探索智慧化戰爭戰鬥力生成新模式。一方面,要強化「人」駕馭智慧系統訓練。依託大數據、雲計算、VR技術等創設新型訓練環境,不斷提升人的智慧化素養,改善人機認知、理解、互動品質,提升人駕馭智慧化作戰系統的能力。另一方面,要探索以「機」為主體對象的新型訓練模式。過去的訓練基本是以人為主體對象的訓練,聚焦於人在特定環境下熟練掌握和使用武器裝備提高作戰效能。適應智慧化戰爭力量體系構成新特點,在訓練的對像上改變傳統訓練中以人為中心的訓練組織理念和模式,聚焦於智能化作戰系統自我指揮、自我控制、自我作戰能力的提升,充分利用智能化系統能夠自我博弈、自我成長的特點,形成專門針對智能化作戰系統訓練體系、訓練環境和訓練機制,從而使智能化作戰系統獲得短期的自主訓練即可升躍獲得短期能力強化的倍數。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.mod.gov.cn/gfbw/jmsd/482056188.html?

What is “new” about Chinese Military New Warfare Domain and New Quality Combat Force?

軍新戰爭領域、新優質作戰力量究竟「新」在哪裡?

來源:解放軍報 作者:劉海江 責任編輯:劉上靖 2022-11-29 15:14:13

現代英語:

The report of the 20th CPC National Congress proposed to increase the proportion of new-domain and new-quality combat forces. In today’s world, the war situation is accelerating its evolution towards intelligence, and a large number of advanced technologies are widely used in the military field. New-domain and new-quality combat forces have become the commanding heights of strategic competition among major powers and the key force to win the future. Developing new-domain and new-quality combat forces has become a priority option for the world’s military powers. Understanding what is “new” about new-domain and new-quality combat forces is of great value in clarifying ideas, building scientifically, and improving quality and efficiency.

New developments in space

The space domain is the attribute embodiment of the environment that combat forces rely on and the scope of influence. With the expansion of the scope of human activities and the development of national interests, the current military struggle space has exceeded the traditional land, territorial waters and airspace, and has continuously expanded to the deep sea, space, electromagnetic and other fields, and new domains and new types of combat forces have also emerged.

The scope of action has entered social cognition. The scope of action of new-domain and new-quality combat forces has expanded from the traditional physical domain to the social domain and cognitive domain. In the era of intelligence, disruptive technologies represented by artificial intelligence are accelerating the expansion of the scope of influence of combat forces. The rapid application of technologies such as biological cross-fertilization, brain science, and human-computer interface has promoted the deep penetration and high integration of intelligent network systems and human social activities. New situations and new means such as “intelligent deep forgery” and “fabrication of information manholes” have surfaced in large numbers, and the struggle in the social domain and cognitive domain has gradually evolved into a new domain and new “trend” for power games.

The activity space is more three-dimensional and diversified. Driven by advanced technology, new domain and new quality combat forces have broken through the traditional space of land, sea, air and space, and the scope of activities is more three-dimensional and diversified. The deep sea, space, underground, polar regions, etc. have become new territories for the competition of new domain and new quality combat forces, and have grown into a “new section” for leveraging the combat space. In 2018, the U.S. Department of Defense issued the “National Defense Space Strategy”. Against the background of the establishment of an independent space force and space command in the United States, its space force has evolved into a synonym for comprehensive space capabilities that integrate military, political, economic, and diplomatic capabilities.

Battlefield dimensions emphasize high-level multi-dimensionality. New domain and new quality combat forces often achieve performance aggregation through high-level multi-dimensional deployment, which is very different from the battlefield deployment of conventional forces. With the extension of battlefield dimensions such as network and electromagnetic, the matrix distribution of new domain and new quality combat forces has broken through the traditional three-dimensional limitations and expanded to a high-level space of high-dimensional, full-dimensional, and large-scale joint. At the end of 2019, the US military launched the concept of “all-domain operations”, integrating space, network, electromagnetic and missile defense capabilities, claiming to compete with competitors in all possible conflict dimensions.

Winning mechanism highlights new changes

The winning mechanism contains the mechanism and principle of seizing the right to occupy and winning. At present, the winning mechanism of intelligent high-end warfare is undergoing profound changes. The new domain and new quality combat force is precisely the “blade” that conforms to the evolution of the war form and conforms to the winning mechanism of intelligent high-end warfare.

The focus of force confrontation is on dimensionality reduction and intelligence control. For new domain and new quality combat forces, data drive is the driving force of power, breaking the network chain is the focus of action, and dimensionality reduction and intelligence control is the focus of confrontation. New domain and new quality combat forces confront based on advanced algorithms and intelligent models, effectively drive key nodes such as cloud, terminal, and library of intelligent combat systems, and form intelligent advantages based on data resources. At the same time, focus on attacking weak links such as the enemy’s data chain system and mobile communication network, cut off the enemy’s cross-domain actions, and block its energy release.

The action path tends to be compound and iterative. Conventional combat forces generally achieve the expected effect through the superposition and accumulation of soft kill and hard destruction, while new domain and new quality combat forces use compound iteration of action effects as an effective path for efficient energy release. In the process of action, it not only emphasizes the role of new forces and new means such as hypersonic, long-range precision, laser electromagnetic and high-power microwave, but also focuses on multi-domain effects such as comprehensive algorithm control, network point paralysis, electromagnetic confrontation, psychological offense and defense, and public opinion building, so as to achieve cross-domain release of combat effects, multi-domain resonance and iterative efficiency enhancement.

The game mode focuses on gray over-limit. Traditional combat forces often pursue the direct effect of damage and destruction, while new domain and new quality combat forces pay more attention to gray over-limit battlefield games. The essence is to effectively reduce domains and control intelligence through non-military destruction, unconventional warfare and non-physical destruction in more fields, wider dimensions and wider ranges based on intelligent means and intelligent tools. It is reported that the US military has developed more than 2,000 computer virus weapons such as Stuxnet, Flame, and Shute, and has successfully used them in battlefields such as Syria and Iran. At present, the US military is striving to use projects such as the “National Cyber ​​​​Range” to continue to consolidate its dominant position.

New mutations emerge in science and technology

Science and technology have always been the most dynamic and revolutionary factor in military development. Entering the new century, leading, cutting-edge, and disruptive technologies have shown a “booming” growth and have become an important variable in promoting the development of new domains and new types of combat forces.

Mutations come from emerging technologies. Advanced technologies play a vital role in driving the development of combat forces. The core technologies that support new-domain and new-quality combat forces have been rapidly transformed from traditional categories to emerging fields. In today’s world, intelligent technology has made new progress, unmanned system technology has entered an explosive period, space confrontation technology has flourished, network combat technology has advanced in depth, new concept weapons technology has attracted much attention, and fusion technology has given birth to disruptive innovation. As the key to changing the rules of the war game, new-domain and new-quality combat forces must firmly grasp the “key to victory” of emerging technologies.

Mutations present cluster effects. Breakthroughs in advanced science and technology often have a decisive impact on the development of new domain and new quality combat forces. In the era of intelligence, the science and technology system is more complex and systematic, and the role of core and key technologies emphasizes cluster effects and overall emergence. At present, the world’s military science and technology presents an all-round, multi-domain, and deep-level development trend. Various professional directions are accelerating through multi-point breakthroughs, multi-party penetration, and deep integration. The key technologies that support new domain and new quality combat forces are also undergoing a transformation from single competition to cluster promotion.

Mutation favors integration and crossover. Advanced science and technology have a subversive effect of changing the rules of engagement and breaking the conventional path in promoting the development of new domain and new quality combat forces. Today, the development of cutting-edge technology is shifting from conventional disciplines to cutting-edge crossovers. Big crossovers, big integrations, and big breakthroughs have become the general trend. The world’s military powers have increased their investment in artificial intelligence, biological crossovers, advanced computing, hypersonics, and other directions, and have used integration and crossover as an effective way to innovate cutting-edge technologies, competing for the strategic commanding heights of the development of new domain and new quality combat forces.

New modes for weapons and equipment

Weapons and equipment have always been an effective carrier for combat forces to exert their effectiveness. The weapons and equipment of new-domain and new-quality combat forces have the characteristics of new technology, new functions, and new modes. They can effectively exert new-domain and new-quality combat capabilities, create a window of advantage, paralyze the opponent’s system, and form a shock effect.

Platform equipment focuses on intelligent unmanned. At present, the platform equipment of new domain and new quality combat forces has broken through the conventional manned control mode and accelerated the transformation to intelligent unmanned form. In recent years, based on the rapid application of intelligent unmanned technology, full-spectrum unmanned platforms, intelligent equipment and unmanned swarms have experienced explosive growth. The US military’s “Global Hawk” and “Predator” drones have been put into actual combat in large numbers, and the F-35 and the unmanned version of the F-16 have continuously strengthened manned and unmanned collaboration through the “Loyal Wingman” program. The US military plans that drones will account for 90% of its air force aircraft equipment in the future.

The weapon system highlights heterogeneity and versatility. The integration of various types of data links, standards and waveforms provides a richer set of technical integration tools for the weapon systems of new-domain and new-quality combat forces. The weapon systems of new-domain and new-quality combat forces have changed the fixed state of individual operation and static combination, and have placed more emphasis on heterogeneous hinges and data conversion based on network information systems to quickly build cross-domain and cross-dimensional wide-area distributed weapon systems. In 2017, the US military proposed the concept of “mosaic warfare”, envisioning the use of dynamic distribution technology to transform the previously centralized and static weapon systems into heterogeneous and multi-functional ones.

The equipment system is more flexible and open. The equipment system of the new domain and new quality combat force has changed the structural mode of element series connection and unit parallel connection, becoming more flexible and open. With the help of “decentralized” design, the new domain and new quality combat force distributes the key functions of the equipment system nodes to each unit module, which can effectively avoid the passive situation of paralysis as a whole once a certain type or some key equipment is hit. In recent years, the US military has actively promoted the test and verification of “sewing” new electronic system integration technology, which is to accelerate the development of new information fusion and interoperability technologies.

New forms of force formation

Force organization is a form of deployment of combat forces, which directly affects the role and effectiveness of combat forces. New-domain and new-type combat forces have the characteristics of new force platforms, wide range of areas involved, innovative combat mechanisms, and sudden technological development. Force organization is significantly different from traditional forces.

The integration of elements emphasizes dynamic reconstruction. New-domain and new-quality combat forces have realized the dynamic reconstruction and cross-domain integration of combat elements, and promoted the transformation of combat elements from static matching to dynamic reconstruction. Based on the support of intelligent network information system, new-domain and new-quality combat forces can give full play to the derivative effectiveness of intelligent technology, and build a fusion iterative update mechanism of system elements based on autonomous and intelligent battlefield real-time command and control. Through heterogeneous functional elements and unit modules, iterative updates of system elements, reorganization and optimization of system structure, and evolutionary improvement of system capabilities can be achieved.

The unit architecture relies on cross-domain networking. The new domain and new quality combat force has achieved a leap from intra-domain combination to multi-domain aggregation of the unit architecture. Using advanced information network technology and based on mutually cooperative functional nodes, the new domain and new quality combat force can build a distributed “kill network” with good resilience to achieve wide-area configuration, cross-domain networking and multi-domain aggregation of combat units and basic modules. In the U.S. Army’s “Convergence Plan 2020” exercise, the “Firestorm” artificial intelligence-assisted decision-making system was able to achieve target input for the cutting-edge “Gray Eagle” drone within 20 seconds, and connect with attack weapons such as glide guided bombs, helicopters, and ground artillery.

The formation structure emphasizes human-machine hybrid. The new domain and new quality combat force has realized the transformation of the formation structure from manned to man-machine hybrid. The application of a large number of unmanned platforms and unmanned combat clusters enables the new domain and new quality combat force to rely on the intelligent combat system to form a heterogeneous and diverse open hybrid formation. Various unmanned system platforms are based on artificial intelligence and machine learning technology to autonomously build links and networks and generate multiple sets of combination plans. With the help of auxiliary decision-making tools, commanders can quickly select the best man-machine hybrid formation to achieve intelligent decision-making and unexpected victory.

現代國語:

來源:解放軍報 作者:劉海江 責任編輯:劉上靖 2022-11-29 15:14:13

黨的二十大報告提出,增加新域新質作戰力量比重。當今世界,戰爭形態加速向智慧化演變,大量先進科技在軍事領域廣泛應用,新域新質作戰力量已成為大國戰略競爭的製高點和製勝未來的關鍵力量。發展新域新質作戰力量已成為世界軍事強國的優先選項。認清新域新質作戰力量到底「新」在哪裡,對於釐清思維、科學抓建、提升質效有重要價值。

空間領域出現新拓展

空間領域是作戰力量環境依賴和影響範圍的屬性體現。隨著人類活動範圍的擴大和國家利益的發展,當前軍事鬥爭空間已經超越傳統的領陸、領海和領空,不斷向深海、太空、電磁等領域拓展,新域新質作戰力量也隨之應運而生。

作用領域進入社會認知。新域新質作戰力量的作用領域已由傳統的物理域擴展進入社會域、認知域。智慧化時代,以人工智慧為代表的顛覆性技術加速擴展作戰力量的影響領域。生物交叉、類腦科學和人機介面等技術的快速應用,促使智慧化網絡體係與人類社會活動深度滲透、高度融合。 「智慧深度偽造」「編制資訊繭房」等新情況、新手段大量浮出水面,社會域、認知域的鬥爭已逐漸演變為力量博弈的新領域和新「風口」。

活動空間更加立體多元。在先進技術推動下,新域新質作戰力量已突破陸、海、空、天等傳統空間,活動範圍更加立體多元。深海、太空、地下、極地等都已成為新域新質作戰力量角逐比拼的新領地,並成長為撬動作戰空間的「新版塊」。 2018年,美國國防部發布《國防太空戰略》,在美國成立獨立太空軍和太空司令部的背景下,其太空力量已經演變成為集軍事、政治、經濟、外交等於一體的太空綜合能力代名詞。

戰場維度強調高階多維。新域新質作戰力量往往透過高層的多維布勢實現效能聚合,與常規力量的戰場部署表現出極大不同。隨著網絡、電磁等戰場維度的延展,新域新質作戰力量的矩陣分佈已突破傳統的三維限制,擴展到高立體、全維度、大聯合的高階空間。 2019年底,美軍推出「全域作戰」概念,將太空、網路、電磁和導彈防禦等能力整合,聲稱要與競爭對手在所有可能的沖突維度展開競爭。

制勝機理突顯新變化

制勝機理蘊含著搶佔制權、奪取勝利的機制和原理。當前,智慧化高端戰爭的製勝機理正在發生深刻改變,新域新質作戰力量恰恰正是順應戰爭形態演變、契合智能化高端戰爭制勝機理的「刀鋒」。

力量對抗聚焦降維制智。對新域新質作戰力量來說,數據驅動是力量的動力源,破擊網鍊是作用的著力處,降維制智是對抗的聚焦點。新域新質作戰力量基於先進演算法和智慧模型對抗,有效驅動智慧化作戰體系雲、端、庫等關鍵節點,形成基於數據資源的智慧優勢。同時,注重打擊敵方數據鏈體系和行動通訊網等弱點,切斷敵跨域行動,阻隔其能量釋放。

作用路徑傾向複合迭代。常規作戰力量一般透過軟殺傷和硬摧毀的疊加累積達成預期效果,新域新質作戰力量則將作用效果的複合迭代作為高效釋能的有效路徑。作用過程中,其不僅強調發揮高超聲速、遠程精確、雷射電磁和高功率微波等新力量、新手段的作用,而且注重綜合演算法控制、網點毀癱、電磁對抗、心理攻防和輿論造勢等多域效果,以實現作戰效果的跨域釋放、多域共振和迭代增效。

博弈方式註重灰色超限。傳統作戰力量常常追求毀傷破壞的直接作用,新域新質作戰力量更重視灰色超限的戰場賽局。實質是基於智慧手段和智慧工具,在更多領域、更寬維度和更廣範圍,通過非軍事破壞、非常規作戰和非物理摧毀等作用方式,有效降域制智。據悉,美軍已研發出震網、火焰、舒特等2,000多種電腦病毒武器,並在敘利亞、伊朗等戰場成功使用。目前,美軍正力求藉助「國家網絡靶場」等項目,持續鞏固其優勢地位。

科學技術湧現新突變

科學技術一直以來都是軍事發展中最活躍、最具革命性的因素。進入新世紀,先導性、前衛性、顛覆性技術呈現「井噴式」成長,並成為推動新域新質作戰力量發展的重要變數。

突變源於新興科技。先進科技對作戰力量的產生發展具有至關重要的驅動作用,而支撐新域新質作戰力量的核心技術已由傳統範疇加速向新興領域轉變。當今世界,智慧技術取得新進展,無人系統技術進入爆發期,空間對抗技術蓬勃興起,網絡作戰技術向縱深推進,新概念武器技術備受關注,融合技術催生顛覆性創新。新域新質作戰力量作為改變戰爭遊戲規則的關鍵,必須緊緊扭住新興科技這把「勝利之鑰」。

突變呈現集群效應。先進科技的突破往往對新域新質作戰力量的發展有決定性影響。在智慧化時代,科技體系的複雜程度更高、系統性更強,核心和關鍵技術的作用發揮更加強調集群效應和整體湧現。當前,世界軍事科技呈現全方位、多領域、深層的發展態勢,各專業方向透過多點突破、多方滲透和深度融合等方式加速推進,支撐新域新質作戰力量的關鍵技術也正在經歷由單項比拼向集群推動轉換。

突變青睞融合交叉。先進科技對於推動新域新質作戰力量發展,具有改變交戰規則、打破常規路徑的顛覆性效果。如今,前沿技術的發展正由常規學科延伸向前沿交叉轉移,大交叉、大融合、大突破已成為大勢所趨。世界軍事強國紛紛在人工智慧、生物交叉、先進計算、高超音波等方向加大投入,並將融合交叉作為前沿技術創新的有效途徑,爭相搶佔新域新質作戰力量發展的戰略制高點。

武器裝備呈現新模態

武器裝備一直以來都是作戰力量發揮效用的有效載體。新域新質作戰力量的武器裝備具有技術新、功能新、模態新等特點,可有效發揮新域新質作戰能力,創設優勢窗口,毀癱對方體系,形成震懾效應。

平台裝備側重於智慧無人。當前,新域新質作戰力量的平台裝備已經突破有人為主的常規操控模式,加速向智慧化無人形態轉變。近年來,基於智慧化無人技術的快速應用,全譜係無人平台、智慧裝備和無人蜂群迎來爆發性成長。美軍「全球鷹」「掠食者」等無人機已大量投入實戰,F-35與無人版F-16通過「忠誠僚機」計畫不斷強化有人無人協同。美軍規劃未來無人機將佔到其空軍飛機裝備量的90%。

武器系統突顯異構多能。多種類型的數據鏈、標準和波形的整合,為新域新質作戰力量的武器系統提供了更豐富的技術整合工具。新域新質作戰力量的武器系統改變了個體運行、靜態組合的固定狀態,更加強調基於網絡資訊體系的異構鉸鍊和數據轉換,以快速構建跨領域、穿維度的廣域分散式武器系統。 2017年,美軍提出「馬賽克戰」概念,設想藉助動態分佈技術將以往集中靜態的武器系統變得異構且多能。

裝備體系更彈性開放。新域新質作戰力量的裝備體系改變了要素串聯、單元並聯的結構化模式,變得更有彈性開放。透過「去中心化」設計,新域新質作戰力量將裝備體系節點的關鍵功能分散至各單元模塊,可有效避免一旦某類或某些重點裝備遭到打擊,整體陷入癱瘓的被動局面。近幾年,美軍積極推進「縫合」全新電子系統整合技術的試驗驗證,就是要加速研發新型資訊融合與互通技術。

力量編組顯現新樣態

力量編組是作戰力量編配的形式體現,直接影響作戰力量的角色發揮與效能釋放。新域新質作戰力量具有力量平台新生性、涉及領域廣泛性、作戰機理創新性和技術發展突變性等特徵,力量編組與傳統力量相比有著明顯不同。

要素融合強調動態重構。新域新質作戰力量實現了作戰要素的動態重構與跨域融合,推動了作戰要素由靜態搭配向動態重構的轉變。基於智慧化網絡資訊體系的支撐,新域新質作戰力量可充分發揮智慧技術的衍生效能,基於自主化、智慧化的戰場實時指揮控制,構建一種體係要素的融合式迭代更新機制。通過異構的功能要素和單元模塊,實現體係要素的迭代更新、體系結構的重組優化和體系能力的演進提升。

單元架構借助跨域組網。新域新質作戰力量實現了單元架構由域內組合向多域聚合躍升。利用先進的資訊網絡技術,基於相互協作的功能節點,新域新質作戰力量可構建具有良好韌性的分佈式“殺傷網”,以實現作戰單元和基本模塊的廣域配置、跨域組網和多域聚合。在美陸軍「融合計畫2020」演習中,「火焰風暴」人工智慧輔助決策系統能夠在20秒鐘內實現前沿「灰鷹」無人機的目標輸入,並與滑翔導引炸彈、直升機、地面火砲等攻擊武器連接起來。

編組構成講求人機混合。新域新質作戰力量實現了編組構成由有人為主向人機混合轉變。大量無人平台和無人作戰集群的應用,使得新域新質作戰力量能夠依托智能化作戰體系,形成異構多樣的開放式混合編組。各類無人系統平台基於人工智慧與機器學習技術,自主建鏈組網,產生多套組合方案。指揮員借助輔助決策工具,可快速選定最優的人機混合編組,以實現智慧決策、出奇制勝。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.mod.gov.cn/gfbw/jmsd/492720888.html

Chinese Military Actively Responds to Challenges of Intelligent Warfare

中國軍隊積極應對智慧化戰爭挑戰

現代英語:

Actively respond to the challenges of intelligent warfare

■Yin Junsong, Li Minghai, Li Shijiang, Gao Kai

introduction

In recent years, the wave of intelligence has surged and has been widely used in the military field. Major countries in the world attach great importance to the construction and application of military intelligence. Various unmanned combat platforms and intelligent weapons and equipment continue to appear and are equipped in the army for actual combat. In the face of the accelerated evolution of the intelligent form of war, only by seizing development opportunities, actively responding to challenges, accelerating the development of military intelligence, and accelerating the forging of intelligent combat capabilities can we seize the strategic initiative of intelligent warfare and win the future intelligent war.

Focusing on the creation of intelligent theory of war design

Military theory originates from combat practice and is used to guide combat practice. In the past, due to various restrictions, military theory research was mostly “looking back”, that is, summarizing combat cases to form combat guidance. With the rapid development of modern technology, especially disruptive technologies such as big data and cloud computing, combat theory research has broken away from the traditional follow-up and inductive reasoning mode and entered a new era of experimental warfare and designed warfare. New disruptive technologies in the field of intelligence have opened up new space for innovation in military theory. To this end, we should follow the idea of ​​”proposing concepts-demand analysis-innovative theories” to create the basic theory of intelligent warfare, and conduct in-depth research on the conceptual connotation, essential characteristics, war guidance, combat style, offensive and defensive actions, winning mechanism, characteristics and laws of intelligent warfare; innovate intelligent warfare methods and methods, give full play to the overall effectiveness of the intelligent combat system, strengthen the research on new intelligent combat methods and methods such as human-machine collaborative intelligent warfare, intelligent robot warfare, and intelligent unmanned cluster warfare, as well as the processes and methods of intelligent combat command and intelligent combat support; focus on effectively responding to intelligent combat threats and study strategies to defeat the enemy, such as intelligent blocking warfare and intelligent disruption warfare. These theories are the cornerstone of the intelligent warfare theory system. In the future, the war theory centered on strengthening “intellectual power” and competing for “algorithm-centric warfare” is very likely to replace the war theory centered on “network-centric warfare”.

Focusing on cross-domain interconnection and exploring intelligent forms

Military organization is the link between military technology and combat theory, and is the lever for exerting the overall combat effectiveness of the army. Modern combat emphasizes “elite combat under the support of a large system”, that is, with the support of the joint combat system, “elite front and strong back”, and organizes precise and multi-functional combat modules according to the idea of ​​”integrated design, modular organization, and combined use” to maximize the release of combat energy. The system organization of future intelligent warfare will form small, multi-functional, intelligent new joint combat forces of different types and purposes according to different levels of strategy, campaign, and tactics and different military arms, and emphasize the organization of “global” forces that can perform diversified combat tasks. Through intelligent combat networks, according to the requirements of reconfigurability, scalability and adaptability, single weapon platforms can be seamlessly linked and flexibly organized according to changes in the enemy situation, battlefield environment, etc., and then aggregate to form system advantages and form an integrated offensive and defensive combat module. The new intelligent combat force system is the comprehensive product of the development of artificial intelligence technology, the formation of new quality combat power and the evolution of war forms. It is the “trump card” to seize the initiative in the future all-domain combat space, the key to the construction of an integrated joint combat system, and a new growth point for the army’s combat effectiveness.

Focusing on the integration of man and machine to develop intelligent weapons

With the development of information technology and intelligent technology, whoever can win in the field of artificial intelligence will have the opportunity to take the initiative in future military confrontation. We should focus on the dual needs of intelligent war system operations and intelligent weapons and equipment system construction, do a good job in top-level design and overall coordination, compile a roadmap for the development of intelligent weapons and equipment systems, and develop intelligent unmanned combat equipment systems that match operations and support in a planned, focused, and step-by-step manner, covering land, sea, air, space, electricity, and network space fields, and establish a “human-led, machine-assisted, mixed formation, and joint action” manned-unmanned collaborative system to enhance the system integration of various military services and various intelligent weapons and equipment such as operations and support. Intelligent unmanned combat systems are a new trend in the development of future war equipment. Its core lies in aiming at the requirements of “zero casualties”, “full coverage”, and “fast response” in future wars, making full use of the development results of new theories, new materials, new processes, new energy, and new technologies, and continuously making breakthroughs in human-machine collaboration and autonomous action. We will build a three-level unmanned equipment system of strategy, campaign, and tactics, build a new type of intelligent unmanned division on a large scale, and realize the systematic collaborative operations of unmanned combat systems. At the same time, we should focus on the needs of unmanned and anti-unmanned, intelligent and anti-intelligent combat, and pay attention to the research and development of weapons and equipment systems for anti-enemy intelligent unmanned combat, to ensure that we can effectively engage in intelligent unmanned offensive and defensive confrontation with the enemy.

Focus on the ability to combine innovation and intelligent training

The professional division of modern warfare is becoming more and more detailed, and the entire combat system is becoming more and more complex, which promotes the transformation of combat from labor-intensive to technology-intensive. It requires that combatants must not only have good physical fitness, but also have good technical literacy and intellectual advantages to cope with the needs of different combat tasks, combat environments, and combat opponents. Military intelligence has put forward higher requirements on the quality of people. Correspondingly, intelligent military talents should have the characteristics of talent group, advanced skills, complex knowledge, innovative thinking, and intelligent decision-making. Intelligent warfare will be a war jointly implemented by man and machine, and combat forces with intelligent unmanned combat systems as the main body will play an increasingly important role. Only the effective combination of high-quality personnel and intelligent weapons can maximize the combat effectiveness. It is necessary to adapt to the new characteristics of the intelligent warfare force system, innovate and develop intelligent training concepts, and explore new models for the generation of intelligent warfare combat effectiveness. At present, artificial intelligence technology can create a more “real” weapon operation experience and battlefield environment, and can realistically interpret the combat process, assist decision-making and command, and evaluate combat concepts. To this end, we should adapt to the new characteristics of the intelligent war force system, focus on improving the self-command, self-control, and self-combat capabilities of the intelligent combat system, make full use of the characteristics of the intelligent system that can self-game and self-grow, form a training system, training environment, and training mechanism specifically for the intelligent combat system, strengthen the training of “people” to control the intelligent system, and explore a new training model with “machines” as the main object. In this way, the intelligent combat system can obtain a leap in combat capability through short-term autonomous intensive training to cope with the test of disorder, complexity, and uncertainty in the future combat environment.

Focus on improving the guarantee model with precision and efficiency

In the intelligent battlefield, the realization degree of comprehensive support for joint operations is an important factor that directly affects the generation of combat effectiveness of troops. The development of intelligent technology will inevitably trigger revolutionary changes in the construction of the joint combat support system and realize intelligent comprehensive support. Comprehensive support is the foundation of combat effectiveness and a bridge for transforming the country’s economic strength into the combat capability of troops. With the continuous maturity of Internet of Things technology, intelligent warfare places more emphasis on integrated support, precise support, and distribution support, that is, delivering to the required location at the required time according to the required quantity. Relying on the integrated support system, the dispersed support forces and resources will be organized according to functional modules such as supply, materials, maintenance, ammunition and management, so that they cover all areas of combat service support work. Relying on visualization technology, the current status of combat supply will be tracked and mastered throughout the process, and information control, reception and distribution of personnel and material flows will be carried out according to the real-time development of the battle situation, so as to achieve point-to-point direct support. By using technologies such as the Internet of Things, drones, smart cars, remote surgery, and 3D printing, we will upgrade and create an intelligent after-sales support system covering smart warehousing, smart delivery, smart maintenance, and smart medical care. This will enable automatic, rapid, and accurate replenishment of battlefield after-sales materials, rapid diagnosis and repair of equipment failures, and timely rescue of battlefield personnel. We will transform passive support into active service, and improve the overall efficiency and benefits of after-sales support.

Focusing on military and civilian dual-use to deepen intelligent integration

Breakthroughs in the core key technologies of artificial intelligence are the “national heavy weapons” to deal with the threats and challenges of intelligent warfare. The rapid development of intelligent technology has become an accelerator of military intelligence. In the information age, the boundaries between military and civilian technologies are becoming increasingly blurred, and their convertibility is becoming stronger and stronger. Actively establish a military-civilian collaborative innovation mechanism, continuously strengthen the driving force for the innovation and development of intelligent core technologies, build an open industry-university-research collaborative innovation system for the whole society, make forward-looking arrangements and support investments in core cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, give full play to the innovative power of the entire society, and promote the rapid and sustainable development of military intelligence. Accelerate the advancement of technological breakthroughs in key areas. We must focus on relevant key technology areas and break the technical bottlenecks that restrict the development of military intelligence. Strengthen research in the basic support areas of military intelligence, such as military big data and military Internet of Things; based on combat needs, strengthen research on intelligent application technologies in various combat elements, especially research on intelligent command decision-making, intelligent weapon platforms, intelligent battlefield perception, and intelligent confrontation technologies. The research and development of core key technologies of military intelligence should not only carry out cross-disciplinary and cross-domain collaborative innovation, but also make social intelligence and military intelligence development dock and track, learn from mature technologies and successful experiences in the development of social intelligence, and promote the rapid embedding of various artificial intelligence technologies into combat elements and combat processes. To accelerate the development of military intelligence, we should speed up the exploration of the training rules of relevant talents, make full use of military and local educational resources, increase the training of relevant talents, and provide solid intellectual support and talent guarantee for promoting the construction of military intelligence.

現代國語:

積極因應戰爭形態智慧化挑戰

■尹峻松 李明海 李始江 高凱

引言

近年來,智慧化浪潮洶湧而來,並在軍事領域廣泛應用。世界主要國家高度重視軍事智慧化建設和應用,各種無人作戰平台和智慧化武器裝備不斷出現,並列裝部隊投入實戰。面對戰爭形態智能化加速演變,只有把握發展機遇,積極應對挑戰,加速軍事智能化發展,加速鍛造智能化作戰能力,才能奪取智能化戰爭戰略主動,從而打贏未來智能化戰爭。

著眼設計戰爭創建智慧化理論

軍事理論源自於作戰實踐,並用於指導作戰實踐。過去受各種條件的限制,軍事理論研究多是“向後看”,即總結戰例形成作戰指導。隨著現代技術,尤其是大數據、雲端運算等顛覆性技術的快速發展,使作戰理論研究擺脫了傳統的跟進式、歸納推理式的模式,走入了實驗戰爭、設計戰爭的新時代。智慧領域新的顛覆性技術,為軍事理論創新開啟了新的空間。為此,我們應依照「提出概念—需求分析—創新理論」的思路,創造智慧化戰爭基礎理論,深入研究智慧化戰爭的概念內涵、本質特徵、戰爭指導、作戰樣式、攻防行動、制勝機理、特徵規律等內容;創新智慧化作戰方式,充分發揮智慧化作戰方式體系整體效能,加強人機協同智慧作戰、智慧化機器人作戰、智慧無人集群作戰等新的智慧化作戰方式方法研究,以及智慧化作戰指揮、智慧化作戰保障的流程和方式方法等;著眼有效應對智慧化作戰威脅,研究克敵制勝之策,如智慧阻斷戰、智慧擾亂戰等。這些理論是智慧化戰爭理論體系的基石。未來以強化「制智權」爭奪「演算法中心戰」為核心的戰爭理論,極有可能取代以「網路中心戰」為核心的戰爭理論。

著眼於跨域互聯探索智慧化形態

軍隊組織是連結軍事技術和作戰理論的紐帶,是發揮軍隊整體作戰效能的槓桿。現代作戰更強調“大體系支撐下的精兵作戰”,即以聯合作戰體系為支撐,“精前台、強後台”,按照“一體化設計、模組化編組、組合式運用”的思路,編組精確多能的作戰模組,使得作戰能量得到最大限度釋放。未來智慧化戰爭的體制編制將按戰略、戰役、戰術不同層次和不同軍兵種,組成不同類型、不同用途的小型多能智能化新型聯合作戰部隊,更加強調編組能夠執行多樣化作戰任務的「全局化」部隊,透過智慧化的作戰網絡,依照可重構性、可擴充性和自適應要求,能夠依據敵情、戰場環境等態勢變化,將單一武器平台進行無縫連結、靈活編組,進而聚合形成體系優勢,形成攻防一體的作戰模組。智慧化新型作戰力量體係是人工智慧技術發展、新質戰鬥力形成與戰爭形態演變的綜合產物,是奪取未來全局作戰空間主動權的“殺手鐧”,是構成一體化聯合作戰體系的關鍵,是軍隊戰鬥力新的增長點。

著眼於人機融合發展智慧化武器

隨著資訊科技、智慧科技的發展,誰能在人工智慧領域中取勝,誰就有望擁有未來軍事對抗的主動權。應著眼於智慧化戰爭體係作戰和智慧化武器裝備體系建設的雙重需要,搞好頂層設計和整體統籌,編制智能化武器裝備體系發展路線圖,按計劃、有重點、分步驟地研製高中低端、大中小型、遠中近程,覆蓋陸、海、空、天、電和網路等太空領域,作戰與保障相配套的智慧化無人作戰裝備體系,建立「人為主導、機器協助、混合編組、聯合行動」的有人-無人協作體系,增強各軍兵種和作戰、保障等各種智能化武器裝備的體系融合度。智慧化無人作戰系統是未來戰爭裝備發展新趨勢。其核心在於瞄準未來戰爭「零傷亡」「全覆蓋」「快響應」等要求,充分運用新理論、新材料、新工藝、新能源、新技術發展成果,在人機協同和自主行動兩個方面不斷取得突破,構建戰略、戰役、戰術三級無人裝備體系,規模化打造新型智能無人之師,實現無人作戰系統的體系化協同作戰。同時,應著眼無人與反無人、智能與反智能作戰需要,注重研發反敵智能化無人作戰的武器裝備系統,確保能夠有效地與敵進行智能化無人攻防對抗。

著眼能力複合創新智能化訓練

現代戰爭專業分工越來越細、整個作戰體系越來越複雜,推動作戰由人力密集型向技術密集型轉變,要求參戰人員不僅要具備良好的身體素質,更要具備良好的技術素養和智力優勢,以應對不同作戰任務、作戰環境、作戰對手的需要。軍事智慧化對人的素質提出了更高要求,相應地智能化軍事人才應具有人才群體性、技能精尖性、知識複合性、思維創新性、決策智能性等特徵。智慧化戰爭將是人機結合共同實施的戰爭,以智慧化無人作戰系統為主體的作戰力量將發揮越來越重要的作用。高素質人員和智慧化武器的有效結合,才能最大程度地發揮作戰效能。必須適應智慧化戰爭力量體系新特點,創新發展智慧化訓練概念,探索智慧化戰爭戰鬥力生成新模式。目前,人工智慧技術能夠創造出更「真實」的武器操作體驗與戰場環境,能夠逼真演繹作戰進程、輔助決策指揮、評估作戰構想。為此,適應智慧化戰爭力量體系構成新特點,聚焦於智慧化作戰系統自我指揮、自我控制、自我作戰能力的提升,充分利用智慧化系統能夠自我博弈、自我成長的特點,形成專門針對智慧化作戰系統訓練體系、訓練環境和訓練機制,強化「人」駕馭智慧系統訓練,探索以「機」為主體對象的新型訓練模式。從而使智慧化作戰系統經過短期的自主強化訓練即可獲得作戰能力的躍升,以應對未來作戰環境無序性、複雜性、不確定性的考驗。

著眼精準高效能改善保障模式

智慧化戰場,聯合作戰綜合保障實現度是直接影響部隊戰鬥力生成的重要因素。智慧化技術的發展必將觸發聯合作戰保障體系建設的革命性變化,實現智慧化綜合保障。綜合保障是戰鬥力的基礎,是把國家經濟實力轉化為部隊作戰能力的橋樑。隨著物聯網技術的不斷成熟,智慧化戰爭更強調一體保障、精確保障、配送保障,也就是依照所需的量在需要的時間投放到需要的地點。依託一體化保障體系,將分散部署的保障力量和資源,按照補給、物資、維修、彈藥和管理等職能模組編組,使其涵蓋戰鬥勤務保障工作的各個領域,依托可視化技術,全程跟踪作戰供應現狀,根據戰況實時發展對人員流、物資流進行信息控制、接收和分發,實現點對點的直達保障。透過運用物聯網、無人機、智慧車、遠距手術、3D列印等技術,升級打造涵蓋智慧倉儲、智慧投送、智慧維修、智慧醫療等智慧後裝保障體系,實現戰場後裝物資自動快速精準補給、設備故障快速診斷與維修、戰場人員及時救護,變被動式為主動服務,提升後負配備保障整體效率和效益。

著眼軍民兼用深化智能化融合

人工智慧核心關鍵技術的突破,是應對智慧化戰爭威脅和挑戰的「國之重器」。智慧科技的快速發展,已成為軍事智慧化的加速器。資訊時代軍用技術和民用技術的界線越來越模糊,可轉換性越來越強。積極建立軍民協同創新機制,不斷強化智慧化核心技術創新發展原動力,建構全社會開放的產學研協同創新體系,對人工智慧等核心前沿技術前瞻佈局、扶持投資,充分發揮整個社會的創新力量,促進軍事智慧化快速永續發展。加快推進重點領域技術突破。要聚焦相關重點技術領域,打破限制軍事智慧化發展的技術瓶頸。加強軍事智慧化基礎支撐領域的研究,例如,軍用大數據、軍用物聯網等;從作戰需求出發,加強各個作戰要素方面的智慧化應用技術研究,尤其是智慧化指揮決策、智慧化武器平台、智慧化戰場感知、智慧化對抗技術等方面的研究。軍事智慧化核心關鍵技術的研發,不僅要進行跨領域、跨領域協作創新,還要使社會智慧化與軍事智慧化發展對接並軌,借鏡社會智慧發展的成熟技術與成功經驗,推動各類人工智慧技術快速嵌入作戰要素、作戰流程。加速軍事智慧化發展,應抓緊探索相關人才的培養規律,充分利用軍地教育資源,加大相關人才培養力度,為推進軍事智慧化建設提供堅實的智力支持與人才保障。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.mod.gov.cn/education/2020-02/06/content_485978488.htm

Chinese Military New Battlefields in Space, Who Will Decide Rules of Combat?

中國軍事太空新戰場,誰來決定作戰規則?

現代英語:

At present, with the “blowout” development of aerospace technology, the competition between the United States and Russia in the space field is becoming increasingly fierce. The “People’s Liberation Army Daily” published today published a signed article “Space: A New Battlefield for the Future Competition between the United States and Russia”. The article pointed out that with the development of aerospace technology, the space field is nurturing new strategic deterrence forces, and the development of space deterrence forces may change the future strategic stability framework.

Space: A new battlefield for future competition between the United States and Russia

■Zhongjing

When the development of aerospace technology was still in its infancy in the last century, US President Lyndon Johnson asserted: Whoever controls space controls the earth. Entering the 21st century, with the “blowout” development of aerospace technology, the competition between the United States and Russia in the field of space has become increasingly fierce, and its results will directly affect the world pattern and the future and destiny of the country.

Space becomes a new strategic deterrent force

In the past, nuclear weapons were the main strategic deterrent force and the cornerstone of strategic stability. With the development of aerospace technology, new strategic deterrent forces are being nurtured in the space field. For example, the space instant strike force that the United States and Russia are developing and developing can strike any target on the earth within 1-2 hours. It not only has the ability to destroy and damage strategic nuclear weapons and their infrastructure, but also because of its high speed and strong mobility, the existing air defense and anti-missile systems cannot intercept it. It is a revolutionary strategic deterrent force that changes the “rules of the game”.

At present, the United States and Russia have mainly developed three types of global immediate strike weapons. The first type is a suborbital gliding vehicle, which can be used to launch nuclear warheads. This type of aircraft glides unpowered at the boundary of the atmosphere about 100 kilometers above the surface, just like a skateboard for surfing on the sea, constantly “jumping” with the crests and troughs of the waves, thereby achieving high-speed maneuvers and penetration. The second type is an intake hypersonic aircraft, which uses a scramjet engine to achieve hypersonic flight. The third type is an aerospace plane, which has space-based to space-based combat capabilities. It is usually used to perform space reconnaissance, cruising, satellite protection, repair and other tasks. In wartime, it can carry out space control, capture, destruction and other military operations against enemy targets.

The development of space deterrence will likely change the future strategic stability framework, interweaving and integrating with nuclear deterrence and cyber deterrence to form a new strategic stability framework. Taking the relationship between space deterrence and cyber deterrence as an example, the key nodes of the network are located in space, and space routers ensure the data flow of the Internet and the global information grid. The success or failure of cyber deterrence depends on space; almost all space activities rely on the network, and cyber deterrence will further enhance the ability to control space.

Achieving global combat force integration

The uniqueness of space is that it is not restricted by traditional land, sea, and air flight restrictions, and is naturally global and cross-domain. The field of view of a geosynchronous orbit satellite can cover about 1/3 of the earth’s surface, and three geosynchronous orbit satellites can cover the entire earth.

Globalization is to use the space system to connect the world’s combat forces and means to form a complete combat system, and realize global information support and global strikes. At present, space-based satellites rely on access to the ground grid information network to achieve connection, namely the “sky-star-ground network”. In the future, space-based satellites will also form a network themselves and form a “sky-ground integrated network” with the ground network. Combat forces and means at any location in the world can be connected through the “sky-ground integrated network” to form an integrated combat force system. In 2016, the United States proposed the concept of establishing a space Internet. One of the plans is to consist of 648 small satellites, operating in an orbit 1,200 kilometers above the ground. Once the Internet is moved to space, it can make up for some “blind spots” of the ground network, such as oceans and remote areas, achieve global Internet coverage, and promote the integration of global combat forces.

In 2013, the U.S. military’s “Space Operations” doctrine first proposed to establish a space application network in combat units at all levels of the military services and use space forces for cross-domain coordination. Based on the recognition of the cross-domain nature of space, Russia merged the Air Force and the Aerospace Defense Force into the Aerospace Force. The Aerospace Force is composed of the Air Force, the Space Force, and the Air Defense and Anti-Missile Force. It integrates aerospace, air defense, and space defense, and has the combat capabilities of aviation, near-space, and space orbit, realizing cross-domain operations in air and space.

Space power is a force multiplier

When space forces intervene and penetrate into other areas, it will catalyze the rapid increase of combat effectiveness. John Hyten, commander of the U.S. Space Command, said: “Because of space, we can strike any target on the earth at any time, any place, and any weather conditions; on the contrary, if we cannot use space, the U.S. military will return to the World War II model and the war of the industrial age.”

Space power penetrates land, sea, air, electricity and the Internet, which is conducive to selecting the best target, using the most appropriate means, and achieving the best combat effect at the best time and place, thus forming a combat power multiplier effect. For example, the “Dove Swarm” satellite launched by Planetary Laboratories of the United States consists of 95 small satellites, which work “24 hours online” and can take images all the time without instructions, continuously obtain data, and achieve real-time global monitoring.

The United States and Russia attach great importance to the development of small satellites because of their low cost, fast launch and fast networking. Low-orbit small satellites have the ability to continuously cover the world and update data in real time. Tactical communication small satellites can provide communication support for grassroots combat troops. Small satellites are also particularly suitable for space target monitoring and space attack and defense, which can double combat effectiveness.

Opening up new areas of covert confrontation

The United States and Russia believe that compared with military struggles in other fields, space operations are more concealed. The concealment of space operations is mainly reflected in the concealment of interference sources, locations, and functions.

The source of interference is hidden, which means that it is difficult to accurately determine the source of interference to spacecraft. For example, when jamming a communication satellite, it is difficult to accurately determine the source of the attack.

Hidden location. According to the regulations of international organizations, in order to ensure the efficient use of the geostationary orbit and reduce congestion, when the life of the geostationary orbit satellite ends, it should give up the orbital position and be pushed to the graveyard orbit. Because there are a large number of abandoned satellites in the graveyard orbit, it is not easy to be discovered with the current space situational awareness capabilities. The United States once proposed to deploy attack forces in the graveyard orbit, which is 200 to 300 kilometers higher than the geostationary orbit.

Hidden functions. Since 95% of aerospace technologies are dual-use, it is difficult to clearly distinguish whether a certain space technology or means is for military or civilian purposes. Military powers often take advantage of this and use civilian purposes to cover up their combat potential. For example, the “Phoenix” program implemented by the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency launched the “Cell Star” in 2015. In wartime, space robots can grab payloads such as antennas and solar panels from retired satellites and install them on the Cell Star to make it combat-capable. The “Dragonfly” project, a follow-up to the “Phoenix” plan, is to disassemble large satellites that are difficult to launch into components, store them in orbit for a long time, and quickly assemble them to form combat capabilities when needed.

現代國語:

来源:中国军网综合作者:仲晶责任编辑:姚远

當下,伴隨航太科技「井噴」式發展,美俄對太空領域的競爭日益激烈。今天出版的《解放軍報》刊登署名文章《太空:未來美俄角逐的新戰場》,文章指出,伴隨航太技術的發展,太空領域正孕育新的戰略威懾力量,太空威懾力量的發展將可能改變未來戰略穩定架構。

太空:未來美俄角逐的新戰場

■仲晶

當上個世紀航太技術的發展還處於萌芽狀態時,美國總統林登·約翰遜斷言:誰控制了太空,誰就能控制地球。進入21世紀,伴隨航太技術「井噴」式發展,美俄對太空領域的競爭日益激烈,其結果將直接影響世界格局與國家未來命運。

太空成為新型戰略威懾力量

以往,核武是主要的戰略威懾力量,也是戰略穩定的基石。伴隨航太科技的發展,太空領域正孕育新的戰略威懾力量。例如,美俄正在研發發展的太空即時打擊力量,能在1—2小時內打擊地球上任何目標,不僅具備摧毀和破壞戰略核武及其基礎設施的能力,而且由於速度快、機動能力強,現有防空反導系統都不能實施攔截,是改變「遊戲規則」的革命性戰略威懾力量。

目前,美俄主要研發了三類全球即時打擊武器。第一類是亞軌道滑翔飛行器,可用於投射核彈頭。這種飛行器在距地表100千米左右大氣層邊界做無動力滑翔,就像海上衝浪的滑板不斷隨波峰波谷“跳躍”,從而實現高速機動與突防。第二類是吸入式高超音波速飛行器,其使用超燃沖壓發動機,實現高超音波飛行。第三類是空天飛機,具有天基對天基作戰能力,平時用於執行太空偵察、巡航、衛星防護、修理等任務,戰時可對敵國目標實施太空控制、捕獲、摧毀等軍事行動。

太空威懾力量的發展將可能改變未來戰略穩定架構,與核威懾、網路威懾交織融合,共同構成新的戰略穩定架構。以太空威懾與網路威懾關係為例,網路的關鍵節點位於太空,太空路由器確保互聯網、全球資訊柵格的資料流動,網路威懾的成敗取決於太空;幾乎所有的太空活動都依賴於網絡,網路威懾會進一步增強掌控太空的能力。

實現全球作戰力量一體化

太空的獨特之處,在於不受傳統的陸地、海上、空中飛越限制,具有天然的全球性和跨域性。 1顆地球同步軌道衛星,視野可覆蓋約1/3的地球表面,3顆地球同步軌道衛星可覆蓋整個地球。

全球性,是利用太空系統將全球的作戰力量和手段連接形成完整的作戰體系,實現全球範圍資訊支援和全球打擊。目前,天基衛星依賴接取地面柵格資訊網實現連接,即「天星地網」。未來天基衛星本身也會組網,與地面網路形成「天地一體網」。全球任何地點的作戰力量和手段都能透過「天地一體網」連結起來,形成一體化作戰力量體系。 2016年,美國提出建立太空網際網路構想,其中一個方案就是由648顆小衛星組成,在距地面1,200千米軌道上運行。一旦互聯網搬到太空,可以彌補地網一些“死角”,例如海洋與偏遠地區,實現互聯網全球覆蓋,促進全球作戰力量一體化。

2013年,美軍《太空作戰》條令首次提出,在軍兵種各級作戰單元建立太空應用網絡,利用太空力量進行跨域協同。基於對太空跨域性的認識,俄羅斯將空軍與空天防禦部隊合併為空天軍。空天軍由空軍、航太部隊和防空反導部隊組成,集航空航太、防空防天於一體,具備航空、臨近空間、太空軌道的作戰能力,實現空天跨域作戰。

太空力量是戰鬥力倍增器

當太空力量介入並滲透到其他領域,將催化戰鬥力迅速增強。美航天司令部司令約翰·海頓說:“正因為有太空,我們可以在任何時間、任何地點、任何氣象條件下打擊地球上任何一個目標;相反,不能利用太空,美軍將回到二戰模式和工業時代的戰爭。”

太空力量滲透於陸、海、空、電、網之中,有利於選擇最優目標、運用最合適手段、在最佳時間和地點達成最佳作戰效果,從而形成戰鬥力倍增效應。例如,美國行星實驗室公司發射的「鴿群」衛星由95顆小衛星組成,「24小時線上」工作,不需要指令就可以全時拍攝成像,不間斷獲取數據,做到全球即時監測。

由於小衛星具有成本低、發射快、組網快的特點,美俄非常重視小衛星發展。低軌小衛星具備全球持續覆蓋和數據即時更新的能力,戰術通訊小衛星可以為基層作戰部隊提供通訊支援。小衛星也特別適合太空目標監視和太空攻防,使戰鬥力倍增。

開闢隱蔽對抗新領域

美俄認為,太空領域與其他領域軍事鬥爭相比,呈現更強的隱密性。太空行動的隱蔽性,主要體現在幹擾源隱蔽、位置隱密和功能隱密等。

幹擾源隱蔽,是指對太空船的干擾很難準確判斷幹擾來源。例如,對通訊衛星實施幹擾,難以準確判斷其攻擊來源。

位置隱蔽。根據國際組織規定,為確保地球靜止軌道的高效運用、減少擁擠,地球靜止軌道衛星壽命終結時,應讓出軌道位置,被推到墓地軌道。由於墓地軌道有大量廢棄的衛星,以目前的太空態勢感知能力不容易被發現。美曾提出,將攻擊力量部署在墓地軌道,其比地球靜止軌道高200~300千公尺。

功能隱蔽。由於95%的航太技術都具有軍民兩用性,很難明確區分某種太空技術或手段是軍事用途還是民用目的。軍事強國往往利用這一點,以民用目的掩蓋其具備的作戰潛能。例如,美國防高級研究計劃局實施的“鳳凰”計劃,在2015年發射了“細胞星”,戰時可由太空機器人從退役衛星上抓取天線和太陽能電池板等載荷,安裝在細胞星上,讓其具備作戰功能。 「鳳凰」後續計畫的「蜻蜓」項目,則是將整件發射難度高的大型衛星分解成組件,長期貯藏在軌道上,一旦需要就可快速組裝形成戰鬥力。

中國原創軍事資源:http://www.81.cn/jskj/2017-02/03/content_7474214_28.htm