中國的「深度技術」帶來新的戰爭形式

現代英語：

China Military Network Ministry of National Defense Network

Friday , August 13, 2021

Since the 21st century, global scientific and technological innovation has entered an unprecedented period of intensive activity. A new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation is reshaping the global innovation landscape and reshaping the global economic structure. Some people therefore call the current era the era of “deep technology”.

The military field is the most sensitive to technological change. At present, some major disruptive technologies are constantly emerging, showing a trend of cross-integration and group leaps. Their military applications will bring about sudden and revolutionary consequences, and even bring about a new form of war.

Artificial Intelligence: Opening the Door to Intelligent Warfare

Artificial intelligence was born in 1956. Its essence is to simulate the human thinking process, that is, to make machines understand, think and learn like humans, form experience, and generate a series of corresponding judgments and processing methods. In the past 10 years, with the continuous development of new theories and technologies such as big data, neural networks, and deep learning, artificial intelligence has pressed the fast-forward button and started to develop rapidly, bringing fundamental changes to all areas of human society.

In 2016, the artificial intelligence program AlphaGo defeated the world Go champion Lee Sedol. By 2020, the latest algorithmic programs can teach themselves to play Go, chess and other games without even being told the rules of the game.

As a strategic technology leading a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation, the application of artificial intelligence in the military field has accelerated the transformation of warfare from informationization to intelligence. This transformation will be full-dimensional and full-spectrum, involving almost all links in the military chain. The most prominent impacts basically include the following aspects:

——Assisting unmanned combat. The rapid development of artificial intelligence will greatly enhance the collaborative and autonomous combat capabilities of various unmanned combat systems. This will undoubtedly promote structural changes in the composition of combat forces, and unmanned combat mode will gradually become the “main theme” of war. In a simulated confrontation in August 2020, an intelligent system funded by the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency controlled a fighter jet and defeated experienced air force pilots. The trend of unmanned combat seems to be increasingly unstoppable.

——Reshape command and control. Complex adaptive systems supported by artificial intelligence, such as swarm systems, will have increasingly strong self-organizing capabilities, thereby breaking the traditional strict hierarchical command system and incubating a new command and control model. The action control of a swarm composed of thousands of unmanned systems will be completed by an intelligent and efficient algorithm system, which can achieve a high degree of decentralization and dynamic aggregation, demonstrating a new concept of group intelligent combat.

——Achieve intelligent decision-making. That is, generate intelligent evaluation and auxiliary decision-making capabilities, realize automatic generation, dynamic optimization, and real-time adjustment of combat plans, and enable combat planning to flexibly adapt to changes in the mission environment and battlefield uncertainties. At present, the new generation of artificial intelligence technology is in a stage of vigorous development, and new technologies will continue to emerge.

Quantum technology: writing the winning code in “entanglement”

Quantum is the smallest, indivisible unit of energy. The biggest feature of quantum technology is that it can break through the physical limits of existing information technology, play a huge role in information processing speed, information capacity, information security, information detection accuracy, etc., and thus significantly improve human ability to obtain, transmit and process information, providing strong impetus for the evolution and development of the future information society.

Quantum theory has gone through more than a hundred years of development since its birth. The development of quantum technology has directly given rise to modern information technology. Nuclear energy, semiconductor transistors, lasers, nuclear magnetic resonance, high-temperature superconducting materials, etc. have come into being, changing human production and life. In recent years, the continuous combination of quantum mechanics and information technology will usher in a new quantum technology revolution, impacting the traditional technology system and even causing the reconstruction of the traditional technology system.

Compared with the macroscopic physical world, quantum has many wonderful properties, the most representative of which are quantum superposition and quantum entanglement. Quantum superposition means that a quantum can be in different states at the same time, and can be in a superposition of these states. A vivid metaphor is the cat in a state of “both dead and alive” imagined by physicist Schrödinger. Quantum entanglement means that independent particles can be completely “entangled” together. No matter how far apart they are, when the state of one quantum changes, the other will change accordingly like “telepathy”.

These special properties of quantum contain great military potential. In quantum detection, quantum communication, quantum imaging, quantum computing, etc., they are gradually showing great military application value. For example, by taking advantage of the characteristics of quantum state superposition and the inability to accurately copy unknown quantum states, quantum codes that cannot be deciphered can be developed.

In addition, based on the characteristics of quantum entanglement, the high correlation between two microscopic particles with a common source can be utilized, and entangled photons can be used as light sources to achieve quantum imaging, which can greatly improve the resolution and anti-interference ability of imaging.

Gene technology: a new weapon that can be “edited”

Genes are the genetic information that controls various characteristics of organisms and are known as the “master switch” of various life activities of organisms. Gene editing is equivalent to a pair of “gene scissors”, which can accurately achieve gene “modification” such as insertion, removal, and replacement of specific target genes of organisms, thereby achieving control over the genetic information of organisms.

In 2012, researchers from the United States and Sweden found a very effective pair of “gene scissors”, namely the CRISPR/Cas9 system, which can cut any genome at any desired location. Since then, the development of gene editing technology has achieved unprecedented “acceleration”, realizing gene editing of fruit flies, mice, pigs, sheep, rice, wheat and other organisms, and also providing new medical means for treating diseases such as tumors, AIDS, and thalassemia.

While genetic technology is gradually unlocking the mysteries of life, it will also cause unpredictable military security issues. If gene editing is used in the development of biological weapons, it means that developers can modify genes to obtain new pathogenic microorganisms according to their own needs, or implant biological gene fragments with different characteristics and transform existing biological warfare agents, or even artificially design and synthesize new viruses that do not exist in nature. These may produce new biological weapons that humans cannot prevent and control, and even use the precision of genetic technology to make attacks more targeted. This new coronavirus epidemic has made the world suspicious of Fort Detrick and more than 200 American overseas biological experimental bases. The United States should disclose more facts and give an explanation to the international community.

Brain science: heading towards the battlefield of “brain control”

The human brain is a highly complex information processing system that consists of billions of neurons that communicate with each other and complete a variety of cognitive tasks in an overall coordinated manner.

The brain’s complex neural information processing and cognition are so complex that even supercomputers pale in comparison. Therefore, brain science research is regarded as the “ultimate frontier” of natural science research, and the International Brain Research Organization believes that the 21st century is the “era of brain science.”

In recent years, major countries in the world have announced the launch of brain science research programs. With the emergence of new imaging technologies, convergence technologies, and computing and information communication technology platforms, brain science research has made new breakthroughs in the fields of neural circuits, brain-like intelligence, and brain-computer interfaces.

As a branch of cognitive science, the “brain-computer interface” technology was born in the 1970s. It collects the EEG signals generated by the activity of the cerebral cortex nervous system, and converts them into signals that can be recognized by computers through methods such as amplification and filtering, so that external devices can read the brain’s neural signals, identify people’s true intentions, and achieve effective control of external physical devices. In other words, a certain operation is performed by the human brain without the need to complete it through the body.

As a new type of human-computer interaction, brain-computer interface technology provides a new intelligent development direction for the control of weapons and equipment. Realizing the direct control of weapons and equipment by the human brain and giving them the intelligent features of “moving at will” are becoming the goals pursued by Western military powers. In 2013, the US Department of Defense disclosed a research project called “Avatar”, which plans to control remote “machine warriors” through thoughts in the future to replace soldiers in the battlefield and carry out various combat tasks.

If the above research is regarded as “brain control”, then the use of “brain-computer interface” and other technical means to interfere with, destroy or even control people’s neural activities and thinking abilities is the so-called “brain control”. For example, electromagnetic waves and sound waves are used to affect the normal activities of human brain cells, and even suggestions and commands are directly “projected” into the human brain. In March 2018, a Western country proposed the “Next Generation Non-Invasive Neurotechnology (N3)” plan to develop a new generation of non-invasive two-way brain-computer interfaces to further improve the high-level interaction capabilities of soldiers and weapons and equipment.

In the future, the rapid development of brain science will give rise to a new cognitive domain combat model centered on the brain, and “brain control” will also become a new battlefield for the competition in the cognitive domain.

At present, a new round of scientific and technological revolution and military revolution is in a “qualitative change period”. Science and technology have never had such a profound impact on national security and military strategy as today. In the face of the rapid development of science and technology, we must vigorously enhance our scientific and technological cognition and acumen, strive to seize the commanding heights of science and technology, seek military competitive advantages, and seize the initiative in future wars.

Professor Liu Yangyue from the College of Arts and Sciences at the National University of Defense Technology 

現代國語：

中國軍網 國防部網
2021年8月13日 星期五

國防科技大學文理學院劉揚月教授

21世紀以來，全球科技創新進入空前密集活躍期，新一輪科技革命與產業變革，重建全球創新版圖、重塑全球經濟結構。有人因而將當今時代稱為「深度科技化」時代。

軍事領域是對科技變革最敏感的領域。目前，一些重大顛覆性技術不斷湧現，呈現交叉融合、群體躍進之勢，其軍事應用將會帶來突變性、革命性後果，甚至帶來戰爭新形態。

人工智慧：叩開智慧化戰爭之門

人工智慧誕生於1956年，它的實質是模擬人的思考過程，即讓機器像人一樣理解、思考和學習，形成經驗，並產生一系列相應的判斷與處理方式。近10年來，隨著大數據、神經網路、深度學習等新理論新技術不斷發展，人工智慧按下了快進鍵，開始飛速發展並為人類社會各領域帶來根本性改變。

2016年，人工智慧程式「阿爾法狗」擊敗了世界圍棋冠軍李世石。到了2020年，最新演算法程式甚至不需要被告知遊戲規則，就能自學成才，掌握下圍棋、西洋棋等技藝。

作為引領新一輪科技革命和產業變革的戰略性技術，人工智慧應用於軍事領域，使戰爭形態加速由資訊化轉變為智慧化。這項轉變將是全維度、全圖譜的，幾乎涉及軍事鏈的所有環節。最突出的影響基本上包括以下幾個方面：

——助力無人作戰。人工智慧的快速發展，將極大提升各類無人作戰系統的協同作戰、自主作戰能力。這無疑會推動作戰力量組成發生結構性變化，無人化作戰模式將逐步成為戰爭「主旋律」。在2020年8月的一場模擬對抗中，美國國防高級研究計畫局資助的智慧系統操縱戰機，完勝經驗豐富的空軍飛行員，無人作戰趨勢似乎愈發勢不可擋。

——重塑指揮控制。由人工智慧支撐的複雜自適應系統，如蜂群系統，將具備越來越強的自組織能力，從而打破傳統的嚴格層級的指揮體制，孵化出全新的指揮控制模式。由成千上萬個無人系統組成的蜂群，其行動控制將由智慧高效的演算法系統完成，能實現高度去中心化與動態聚合，展現出群體智慧作戰新概念。

——實現智能決策。即產生智慧化的評估和輔助決策能力，實現作戰方案計畫的自動生成、動態優化、即時調整，使作戰規劃靈活適應任務環境變化和戰場不確定性。目前，新一代人工智慧技術正處於蓬勃興起階段，新技術仍將持續出現。

量子技術：在「糾纏」中書寫制勝密碼

量子是最小的、不可再分割的能量單位。量子科技最大特點在於，它可以突破現有資訊科技的物理極限，在資訊處理速度、資訊容量、資訊安全、資訊偵測精準度等方面發揮極大作用，進而顯著提升人類獲取、傳輸和處理資訊的能力，為未來資訊社會的演進和發展提供強勁動力。

量子理論從誕生至今，已走過數百年發展歷程，量子科技的發展直接催生了現代資訊技術，核能、半導體電晶體、雷射、核磁共振、高溫超導材料等紛紛問世，改變了人類的生產生活。近年來，量子力學與資訊科技不斷結合，將開啟一場新的量子科技革命，衝擊著傳統科技體系，甚至引起傳統科技體系的重建。

相對於宏觀物理世界，量子有許多奇妙特性，最具代表性的莫過於量子疊加與量子糾纏。量子疊加意味著量子可同時處於不同狀態，且可處於這些狀態的疊加態。形象的比喻就是，物理學家薛丁格所設想的處於「既死又活」狀態的貓。量子糾纏則意味著相互獨立的粒子可以完全「糾纏」在一起，無論相隔多麼遙遠，當一個量子的狀態發生變化，另一個就會「心靈感應」般發生相應變化。

量子的這些特殊性，蘊藏著極大的軍事潛能。在量子探測、量子通訊、量子成像、量子計算等方面，正逐漸展現出巨大的軍事應用價值。如利用量子態疊加與未知量子態無法精確複製等特點，可研發出無法破解的量子密碼。

此外，根據量子的糾纏特性，利用兩個有共同來源的微觀粒子高度關聯性，將糾纏的光子作為光源實現量子成像，可大幅提升成像的解析度和抗干擾性。

基因技術：可以「編輯」的新武器

基因是控制生物各種特徵的遺傳訊息，被譽為生物體各種生命活動的「總開關」。基因編輯就相當於一把“基因剪刀”，透過它可精確實現對生物體特定目標基因的插入、移除、替換等基因“修飾”，從而實現對生物遺傳訊息的控制。

2012年，美國和瑞典的研究人員找到一把十分有效的“基因剪刀”，即使用CRISPR/Cas9系統，可在任何想要的地方切割任何基因組。此後，基因編輯技術發展獲得前所未有的“加速”，實現了對果蠅、鼠、豬、羊以及水稻、小麥等各類生物的基因編輯，也為治療腫瘤、愛滋病、地中海貧血等疾病提供了新的醫學手段。

基因技術在逐漸破解生命奧秘的同時，也將引發難以預料的軍事安全問題。如將基因編輯運用於生物武器的開發上，那就意味著開發者可根據自己的需要，修改基因獲得新的致病微生物，或是將具有不同特徵的生物基因片段植入並改造已有的生物戰劑，甚至人工設計與合成自然界本不存在的新型病毒。這些都可能產生人類無法預防和控制的新生物武器，甚至利用基因技術的精準性，使得攻擊更具針對性。這次新冠肺炎疫情，讓世界對美國德特里克堡以及200多個美國海外生物實驗基地疑雲叢生，美國應該公開更多事實，給國際社會一個交代。

腦科學：走向「制腦」戰場

人的大腦是一個高度複雜的訊息處理系統，它由數十億神經元透過相互連結來進行訊息交流，以整體協調的方式完成各種各樣的認知任務。

大腦複雜的神經訊息處理與認知，即便是超級電腦也相形見絀。因此，腦科學研究被視為自然科學研究的“終極疆域”，國際腦研究組織認為21世紀是“腦科學時代”。

近年來，世界主要國家紛紛宣布啟動腦科學研究計畫。隨著新型影像技術、匯聚技術以及基於計算和資訊通信技術平台的出現，腦科學研究在神經環路、類腦智能、腦機介面等領域不斷取得新突破。

作為認知科學的一個分支，「腦機介面」技術誕生於1970年代。它透過擷取大腦皮質神經系統活動產生的腦電訊號，經過放大、濾波等方法，將其轉化為可被電腦辨識的訊號，讓外部設備讀懂大腦的神經訊號，從中辨別出人的真實意圖，實現對外部實體設備的有效控制。也就是由人腦思考執行某項操作，而不需要透過肢體來完成。

腦機介面技術作為一種新型的人機互動方式，為武器裝備操控提供了全新的智慧化發展方向。實現人腦對武器裝備的直接控制，賦予武器裝備「隨心所欲」的智慧化特徵，正成為西方軍事強國追求的目標。 2013年，美國防部披露了一項名為“阿凡達”的研究項目，計劃在未來能通過意念操控遠程的“機器戰士”，以代替士兵在戰場上作戰，遂行各種戰鬥任務。

如果把上述研究視為“腦控”，那麼，利用“腦機介面”等技術手段對人的神經活動、思考能力等進行幹擾、破壞甚至控制，就是所謂的“控腦”。如使用電磁波和聲波等對人類腦細胞正常活動產生影響，甚至把建議和命令直接「投射」到人腦中。 2018年3月，某西方國家提出「下一代非侵入性神經技術（N3）」計劃，開發新一代非侵入式雙向腦機接口，進一步提高士兵與武器裝備的高水平交互能力。

未來，腦科學的快速發展，將催生以大腦為中心的認知域作戰新模式，「控腦」也將成為認知域爭奪的新陣地。

目前，新一輪科技革命、軍事革命正處於“質變期”，科技從未像今天這樣深刻影響國家安全和軍事戰略全局。面對快速發展的科學技術，必須大力增強科技認知力和敏銳性，努力搶佔科技制高點，謀取軍事競爭優勢，掌握未來戰爭的主動權。

中國原創軍事資源：http://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/2021-08/13/content_296410888.htm