Category Archives: 認知域戰

Chinese Military Experts: Seize the Brainpower of Future Wars to Safeguard National Cognitive Space Security

中國軍事專家:抓住未來戰爭智囊,維護國家認知空間安全

現代英語:

With the rise of the global Internet and the development of emerging media, the world’s major military powers are now paying great attention to the strategic issue of cognitive space security. The recently published monograph “Brain Control: The Laws of War and National Security Strategy in the Global Media Age” focuses on the future development trend of war and the issue of national cognitive space security in the global media era. It puts forward the concept of “brain control” in cognitive space, which has attracted the attention of the military academic community. On this topic, the reporter interviewed the main author of the book, Professor Zeng Huafeng, Dean of the School of Humanities and Social Sciences of the National University of Defense Technology.

  “Subjugating the enemy without fighting” is the highest realm of information warfare

  Reporter: The concept of brain control is inseparable from the understanding of cognitive space. What is cognitive space and what is brain control?

  Zeng Huafeng: Information warfare is the unity of material and spirit, concept and reality. It is not only the manifestation of the development of material form, but also the inevitable result of the action of spiritual factors. Information warfare has enabled human warfare to truly have three combat spaces for the first time: one is the natural space composed of land, sea, air, and space; the second is the network electromagnetic space based on physical principles, which is essentially a technical space; the third is the cognitive space composed of human spiritual and psychological activities. To win the future information warfare, we must grasp the initiative of the war, obtain the control of the war domain, and dominate the discourse of the war. Seizing the control of the brain in the cognitive space and “defeating the enemy without fighting” is the highest realm of information warfare.

  Cognitive space refers to the scope and field of human cognitive activities. It is an invisible space that reflects people’s emotions, will, beliefs and values, and exists in the minds of participants in the struggle. The national cognitive space exists in the subjective world of each individual, and is composed of the superposition of the cognitive spaces of countless individuals in the whole society. National interests exist not only in physical form in natural space and technological space, but also invisibly in cognitive space. “Brain control” is to use the spiritual information carried by propaganda media, national languages, cultural products, etc. as weapons, to infiltrate, influence and even dominate the cognition, emotions and consciousness of the general public and national elites, and ultimately manipulate a country’s values, national spirit, ideology, cultural traditions, historical beliefs, etc., to prompt it to abandon its own theoretical understanding, social system and development path, and achieve the strategic goal of winning without fighting.

  Reporter: At present, with the advent of the global media age, especially the development of emerging social media, the political game between major powers continues to intensify, and “cognitive domain symptoms” such as human psychological confusion, moral crisis, and loss of faith continue to emerge. What do you think are the characteristics of cognitive space confrontation?

  Zeng Huafeng: I think there are three main characteristics: First, the security boundary of the national cognitive space is ambiguous. The national cognitive space is a boundless, invisible, shadowless, but not negligible space of interests and confrontation. Social public opinion and ideology are the main areas of competition in the cognitive space, and spiritual information is the main weapon. Wherever spiritual information can be spread, it can become a battlefield for cognitive space competition. Second, the information attack and defense of the national cognitive space is manipulable. The reception, processing and feedback of spiritual information are not only closely related to the function of the human brain, but also have distinct national and ethnic characteristics. At the same time, spiritual information is prone to distortion in the process of dissemination and diffusion. In the era of global media, individuals are both recipients and publishers of information. Theoretically, any individual or group can instantly spread the specific information they process and produce in the world and have an impact on specific target objects. Third, the strategic confrontation in the national cognitive space is persistent. The role of spiritual information needs to be carried out step by step, and we cannot expect to produce immediate results. For example, during the Cold War, Western countries led by the United States gradually infiltrated Western values ​​into socialist countries such as the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe through cultural exchanges and other activities, achieving the goal of peaceful evolution. Today, Western hostile forces seek to instill and infiltrate Western “democratic” and “free” ideas and values ​​through various academic exchanges in politics, economy, science, culture, etc., in normal information interaction activities.

  The main way the West seizes national cognitive space and competes for “brain control”

  Reporter: What are the main ways the West seizes national cognitive space and competes for “brain control”?

  Zeng Huafeng: I think there are four main ways. The first is perception manipulation. Perception manipulation is also called consciousness manipulation. It aims to manipulate the behavior of others by influencing their psychology and spirit. It can be directed at individuals, groups, a country, or even the whole world. In his book “War and Anti-War”, Toffler summarized the tools of perception manipulation into six aspects: one is “accusation of atrocities”, including condemnation of real and false atrocities; the second is “exaggerating the interests of a battle or a war”; the third is “demonizing or dehumanizing the enemy”; the fourth is “polarization”, that is, if you don’t support us, you are against us; the fifth is “claiming to obey God’s will”, which has a strong religious color; the sixth is “super propaganda-propaganda that is enough to discredit the propaganda of the other party.”

  The second is to cut off historical memory. Human thought and social ideology are always closely linked to historical memory. Whether it is the spiritual world of an individual or the cultural traditions of a country or nation, figuratively speaking, they are all concentrated pasts and treasures worth cherishing. Once the historical memory of an individual or group is cleverly cut off through some means, making them lose their spiritual home, the obstacles to the infiltration of their values ​​and ideologies are removed, opening the door for the invasion of various erroneous and chaotic ideas.

  The third is to change the thinking paradigm. A country and a nation have their own specific thinking paradigm, which is the premise for people to understand the world. Especially for the social elite, their thinking paradigm and ideological cognition play a leading role in the thoughts, values ​​and ideological identity of the whole society. However, people’s rational thinking has weaknesses. Through manipulation, “virus programs” can be instilled into it, prompting people to deviate from obvious facts and accept fallacies and sometimes even absurd conclusions. Once this set of practices seizes the social elite group, most people will lose their ability to resist manipulation. At the end of the Cold War, the Western ideological attack on the Soviet Union was to influence the rational thinking of some Soviet economists, let them make a series of public speeches in the Soviet Union that catered to Western intentions, and covertly “persuaded” the Soviet people to abandon their own country’s social system and national culture, and to welcome the so-called “new era” of Western civilization with a “thorough”, “unconditional” and “bold” attitude.

  Fourth, deconstruct symbols. Symbols are born in the historical evolution of national culture. Different nations have formed their own specific symbols in the course of their respective cultural development, such as clothing, anniversaries, monuments, rituals, and characters. With the help of empathy, a nation has some great symbols, which gives it an emotional bond that unites the society. It can arouse people’s sense of belonging, so that people can unite for a common dream and create and continue a new civilization. If someone deliberately repaints and attacks the symbols in the history of a country and nation, by reversing right and wrong, publicly mocking and making fun of the glorious achievements, great figures and noble culture in history, the consequences will be very serious, and it will lead to people gradually losing their sense of identity with the country, nation and self.

  Providing strong support for maintaining national cognitive space security

  Reporter: Faced with fierce competition in the field of national cognitive space security, how should we maintain national cognitive space security?

  Zeng Huafeng: We must fully understand and grasp the characteristics and laws of national cognitive space security, firmly occupy the ideological position, and take the initiative in the field of public opinion and ideology.

  First, we must strengthen our ideals and beliefs and build a strong spiritual pillar. History and reality have repeatedly proved that the collapse of a regime often begins in the ideological field. Once the ideological defense line is breached, it will be difficult to defend other defense lines. Whether we can hold on to the ideological position and do a good job in ideological work is related to national cohesion and centripetal force. In this regard, we must always hold high the banner of ideals and beliefs and unswervingly adhere to and develop socialism with Chinese characteristics.

  Second, we must be vigilant against the emergence of historical nihilism. Historical nihilism originated with the denial of the “Cultural Revolution” and reform and opening up, and then gradually moved towards the denial of the historical view of historical materialism and the denial of the cultural traditions of the Chinese nation. We must be highly vigilant against its harm, and clearly oppose historical nihilism, oppose all pseudo-historical narratives that glorify aggression and oppression and vilify revolution and resistance, face history sincerely, cherish the subjectivity established by the Chinese nation in the long course of the Chinese revolution, and enhance the self-esteem and self-confidence of the Chinese nation, so as to lay a solid cultural foundation for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

  Third, we should seek national cultural identity in the collision between Chinese and Western cultures. While promoting military and economic hegemony, the United States actively promotes cultural hegemony. Under the banner of “economic integration”, it strongly impacts the heterogeneous cultures of various countries and tries to influence other countries’ cultures with American culture. In this context, in the process of cultural exchanges with other countries and nations in the world, we should not only continue to absorb and integrate the essence of the cultures of all nations in the world, but also enhance our national cultural consciousness and confidence, and improve the creativity and vitality of national culture in the process of continuous inheritance.

  Fourth, we should actively participate in the global governance of cyberspace security. In the Internet era, the United States, with its high-tech monopoly advantage, not only controls the management of the cyber world, but is also the first country in the world to propose the concept of cyber warfare and apply it in actual combat. From the current perspective, the United States’ control over the Internet will not change in the short term. We should pay close attention to cyberspace security, actively participate in the global governance of cyberspace security, and build a cybersecurity system that conforms to the trend of globalization and meets the requirements of my country’s informatization, so as to provide strong support for maintaining the security of the national cognitive space.

  We must promote the information construction of our army with a broader vision. Indulging in reflection on the characteristics, patterns and experiences of the last war is a chronic disease and common disease in human military history. From the time when information warfare was proposed to the present, people have been conducting research on its characteristics, laws and tactics, but have overlooked a problem: that is, with the development of modern science and technology, is the so-called information warfare what people are talking about today? In fact, we should have a broader vision for understanding information warfare, and include physical information, biological information and spiritual information into the framework of information warfare. From the aspects of basic research, applied research, combat theory, technology development, equipment development and organizational leadership, we should build a system of cognitive space attack and defense confrontation. Innovate the ways, methods and means of ideological and political work in the global media era. Cultivate and create a team of high-quality talents who can grasp the frontiers of cognitive science, psychology and military needs, and seize the “brain control” of future information warfare. (

Reporter Huang Kunlun)【

Editor: Zhang Haitong】

現代國語:

伴隨著全球網路的崛起及新興媒體的發展,目前世界主要軍事強國都十分重視認知空間安全的戰略問題。最近出版的《制腦權:全球媒體時代的戰爭法則與國家安全戰略》這本專著,著眼於未來戰爭發展趨勢,聚焦全球媒體時代國家認知空間安全問題,提出認知空間的“制腦權”這一概念,引發軍事學界的關注。記者就此主題,訪問了書中的主要作者、國防科技大學人文與社會科學學院院長曾華鋒教授。

「不戰而屈人之兵」是資訊化戰爭的最高境界

記者:制腦權這個概念,離不開對認知空間的理解。請問什麼是認知空間,何為制腦權?

曾華鋒:資訊化戰爭是物質與精神、觀念與現實的統一,它既是物質形態發展的表現,也是精神因素作用的必然結果。資訊化戰爭使人類戰爭第一次真正擁有了三個作戰空間:一是陸、海、空、天等組成的自然空間;二是基於物理原理的網路電磁空間,它本質上是一種技術空間;三是由人的精神和心理活動所構成的認知空間。贏得未來資訊化戰爭,必須掌握戰爭的主動權、取得戰爭的製域權並主導戰爭的話語權。奪取認知空間的製腦權,「不戰而屈人之兵」是資訊化戰爭的最高境界。

認知空間指的是人類認知活動所涉及的範圍和領域,它是反映人的情感、意志、信仰和價值觀等內容的無形空間,存在於鬥爭參與者的思想中。國家認知空間分散存在於每個個體的主觀世界,由全社會無數個體的認知空間所疊加而成。國家利益不僅以實體形式存在於自然空間、技術空間,也無形存在於認知空間。 「制腦權」就是以宣傳媒體、民族語言、文化產品等所承載的精神訊息為武器,以滲透、影響乃至主導社會大眾與國家精英的認知、情感、意識為指向,最終操控一個國家的價值觀念、民族精神、意識形態、文化傳統、歷史信念等,促使其放棄自己探索的理論認知、社會制度及發展道路,達成不戰而勝的戰略目標。

記者:當前,隨著全球媒體時代的到來,特別是新興社交媒體的發展,大國之間的政治博弈持續加劇,人類心理困惑、道德危機、信仰迷失等「認知域症狀」不斷凸顯,您認為認知空間對抗有哪些特色?

曾華鋒:我認為,主要有以下三個特點:一是國家認知空間的安全邊界具有模糊性。國家認知空間是一個無邊、無界、無形、無影但又不可忽視的利益空間與對抗空間,社會輿論和意識形態領域是認知空間爭奪的主要領域,精神資訊是主要武器。凡是精神訊息可以傳播到的地方,都可以成為認知空間較量的戰場。二是國家認知空間的資訊攻防具有操控性。精神訊息的接收、加工及回饋方式不僅與人腦的功能緊密相關,也具有鮮明的國家、民族特性。同時,精神訊息在傳播擴散的過程中易於失真。在全球媒體時代,個體既是資訊的接受者,也可以成為資訊的發布者,從理論上講,任何個體或群體都可以瞬間在世界傳播其加工、製作的特定訊息,並對特定目標對象產生影響。三是國家認知空間的戰略對抗具有持久性。精神訊息的角色需要循序漸進地進行,不能指望產生立竿見影的效果。例如,冷戰期間,以美國為首的西方國家就是透過文化交流等活動,逐漸把西方的價值觀念滲透到蘇聯和東歐等社會主義國家,達到和平演變之目的。如今,西方敵對勢力透過政治、經濟、科學、文化等各種學術交流,在正常的訊息互動活動中尋求灌輸、滲透西方「民主」、「自由」思想和價值觀念。

西方奪取國家認知空間較量「制腦權」的主要方式

記者:西方奪取國家認知空間較量「制腦權」的主要方式有哪些?

曾華鋒:我認為主要有四種方式。一是感知操縱。感知操縱又稱意識操縱。它旨在透過影響他人的心理與精神達到操控他人行為的目的,既可以針對個人、團體,也可以針對一個國家,甚至可以針對全世界。托夫勒在《戰爭與反戰爭》一書中,將感知操縱的工具歸納為六個方面:一是“對暴行的控訴”,包括譴責真實和虛假的暴行;二是“誇大一次戰役或一場戰爭的利害關係」;三是「把敵人妖魔化或非人化”;四是“兩極化”,也就是說,如果你不支持我們,你就是反對我們;五是“宣稱遵從神的旨意”,帶有濃厚的宗教色彩;六是“超宣傳-足以詆毀對方宣傳的宣傳」。

二是切斷歷史記憶。人的思想與社會意識形態總是同歷史記憶緊密相連。無論是個體的精神世界,抑或國家和民族的文化傳統,形象化,它們都是濃縮的過去,是值得珍惜的財富。一旦透過某種手段巧妙地切斷個體或群體的歷史記憶,使其失去精神的家園,也就掃除了對其進行價值觀和意識形態滲透的障礙,為各種錯誤雜亂的思想入侵敞開了大門。

三是改變思考範式。一個國家和民族都有其特定的思考範式,它是人們認識世界的前提。特別是社會精英階層,他們的思維範式、思想認知對全社會的思想、價值觀念和意識形態認同起著引領作用。但是人的理性思維是有弱點的,透過操縱可向其中灌輸“病毒程序”,促使人們背離明顯的事實而接受謬誤、有時甚至是荒謬的結論。一旦這套做法抓住了社會菁英群體,多數人也會對操縱伎倆失去抵禦能力。冷戰末期,西方對蘇聯進行的思想攻擊,就是透過影響蘇聯一些經濟學家的理性思維,讓其在蘇聯國內發表一系列迎合西方意圖的公共言論,隱蔽性地「勸說」蘇聯人民放棄自己國家的社會制度與民族文化,以「徹底的」、「無條件的」、「果敢的」態度迎接西方文明的所謂「新時代」。

四是解構象徵。象徵誕生於民族文化的歷史演進之中,不同民族在各自的文化發展歷程中,形成了屬於自己的特定的象徵,如服飾、紀念日、紀念碑、儀式、人物等。借助於移情作用,一個民族擁有了一些偉大的象徵,就擁有了一個凝聚社會的情感紐帶,它能喚起人們的歸宿感,從而使人們為了一個共同的夢想而團結在一起,創造和延續新的文明。如果有人刻意重新塗抹、攻擊一個國家和民族歷史上的象徵,透過顛倒黑白、公開嘲諷和戲說歷史上的輝煌成就、偉大人物及崇高文化,其後果將是十分嚴重的,它將導致人們逐漸喪失國家、民族和自我的認同感。

為維護國家認知空間安全提供強力支撐

記者:面對國家認知空間安全領域的激烈爭奪,我們該如何維護國家認知空間安全?

曾華鋒:我們必須充分了解並掌握國家認知空間安全的特徵與規律,牢牢佔領思想陣地,打好輿論與意識形態領域主動仗。

一是要堅定理想信念,築牢精神支柱。歷史和現實一再證明,一個政權的瓦解往往是從思想領域開始的,思想防線被攻破了,其他防線也就很難守住。能否堅守思想陣地,做好意識形態工作,事關民族凝聚力、向心力。對此,我們要時時高舉理想信念的旗幟,毫不動搖地堅持並發展中國特色社會主義。

二是要警惕歷史虛無主義的濫觴。歷史虛無主義,是隨著否定「文化大革命」與改革開放發端的,進而逐步走向否定歷史唯物論的歷史觀,否定中華民族的文化傳統。對於其危害,我們要高度警惕,旗幟鮮明地反對歷史虛無主義,反對一切美化侵略和壓迫以及醜化革命和抗爭的偽歷史敘述,真誠地對歷史,珍視中華民族在漫長的中國革命歷程中確立起來的主體性,提高中華民族的自尊心和自信心,以此為中華民族的偉大復興奠定紮實的文化根基。

三是在中西文化碰撞中尋求民族文化認同。美國在推行軍事、經濟霸權主義的同時,積極推行文化霸權主義,在「經濟整合」的旗號下,強勢衝擊各國異質文化,試圖以美國文化影響他國文化。在此背景下,我們在與世界其他國家和民族的文化交流過程中,既要不斷兼收並蓄,融匯世界各民族文化的精華,更要提升我們的民族文化自覺和自信,在不斷傳承的過程中提高民族文化的創造力和生命力。

四是積極參與網路空間安全的全球治理。在網路時代,美國憑藉其高技術壟斷優勢,不僅掌握著網路世界的管理權,也是世界上第一個提出網路戰概念並將其運用於實戰的國家。從目前來看,美國對網路的控制權短時間內不會改變,我們應高度關注網路空間安全,積極參與網路空間安全的全球治理,建構既順應全球化趨勢,又符合我國資訊化要求的網絡安全體系,為維護國家認知空間安全提供強力支撐。

我們要以更寬廣的視野推動我軍資訊化建設。沈湎於對上次戰爭的特徵、模式、經驗的反思,是人類軍事史上屢見不鮮的痼疾與通病。資訊戰從提出到現在,人們都在圍繞其特徵、規律、戰法展開研究,卻忽略了一個問題:那就是隨著現代科學技術的發展,所謂的資訊戰,是否就是今天人們所津津樂道的這般模樣?其實,對於資訊戰的理解,我們應該有更寬廣的視野,要將物理資訊、生物資訊及精神資訊都納入資訊戰的框架。從基礎研究、應用研究、作戰理論、技術開發、設備研發和組織領導等層面,建構認知空間攻防對抗的體系。創新全球媒體時代的思想政治工作途徑、方法與手段。培養並造就一支能掌握認知科學、心理學前線和軍事需求的高素質人才隊伍,奪取未來資訊化戰爭的「制腦權」。 (記者 黃崑崙)

【編輯:張海桐】

中國原創軍事資源:https://www.chinanews.com.cn/mil/2014/06-16/628358988.shtml

These Chinese Civilian AI “Black Technologies” Will Significantly Advance the People’s Liberation Army in “counterattacking” the US Military

這些中國民用人工智慧「黑科技」將大幅推動解放軍「反攻」美軍

現代英語:

At the World Internet Conference held in Wuzhen in recent years, many leaders of technology companies talked most about artificial intelligence, and the “Light of the Internet Expo” at previous conferences has become a “big show” for various artificial intelligence. In particular, this year, many well-known Chinese Internet companies have shown off their own “black technology”, which is impressive. China’s rapid progress in the field of artificial intelligence has amazed the world. Reuters commented that China is expected to be on par with the United States in five years and become the world’s leading artificial intelligence innovation center. Like the United States, China has clearly made artificial intelligence a priority in both economy and military.

    The report, written by Elsa Kania of the Center for a New American Security, asserts that future competition between China and the United States in the field of artificial intelligence “may change the future balance of economic and military power.” Earlier this year, an undisclosed Pentagon document exaggerated that Chinese companies are circumventing official supervision by purchasing shares in American companies to obtain sensitive American artificial intelligence technologies with potential military uses. Andrew Ng, a well-known scientist in the field of machine learning, said that if the United States wants to stay ahead, it must focus on developing its own artificial intelligence. China is by no means a slouch in the field of artificial intelligence that only relies on foreign technology. Foreign media commented that while the West is still discussing and keeping a close eye on its own technology, China’s innovative progress has begun to rewrite the world’s artificial intelligence technology landscape. The next question is whether China is willing to play with the West.

    The discussion that artificial intelligence will change the rules of war is no longer news. The Brookings Institution website once published an article suggesting that the US military bet on six major technologies, and artificial intelligence technology is one of them. Today, artificial intelligence has made breakthroughs in assisting combat personnel in decision-making and connecting combat personnel with intelligent combat systems, and has been widely used in simulated combat training. Today, a large number of unmanned equipment with intelligent features have entered the arsenals of major countries. Among them, the most widely used US military has nearly 10,000 unmanned aerial systems and more than 12,000 unmanned ground systems, which have become an indispensable and important part of US military operations.

    In a simulated confrontation in June 2016, an artificial intelligence system developed by American researchers defeated two retired fighter pilots in a simulated air battle. In this simulated air battle, the blue team consisting of two fighter jets was equipped with a stronger weapon system, but the red team of the artificial intelligence system defeated the enemy aircraft through evasive maneuvers. After the game, the pilots thought that the program was very good at controlling the situation and was surprisingly responsive. It seemed to be able to predict human intentions and quickly fight back when the opponent changed flight movements or launched missiles. This incident has attracted widespread attention, and the prospect that artificial intelligence will completely replace human soldiers on the battlefield in the future seems to have been further confirmed.

    Throughout human history, most epoch-making technologies have emerged from the military and wars. Humans are more likely to burst out with inspiration at the moment of life and death, and have greater motivation to promote technological progress. In the field of artificial intelligence, the boundaries between the civilian and military use of many technologies are not obvious. Today, the world’s technology giants also have more talents and financial resources than most countries, and the broad application prospects make them more motivated to invest in research and development. The future trend of artificial intelligence technology is expected to be led by these technology giants. This is why in the field of artificial intelligence, the “military-civilian integration” of major countries has become more in-depth, and even the US military has “widely issued invitations to heroes.”

    For example, at this year’s Internet Conference, Chinese companies displayed a variety of artificial intelligence products and technologies, which have broad application prospects in both civilian and military fields and can be called “black technology”. Intelligent drones and unmanned vehicles, these intelligent equipment can accurately deliver express deliveries to customers based on the target location. If applied to the battlefield, it will make front-line supply and evacuation of wounded soldiers more accurate and convenient. In addition, there are artificial intelligence-assisted treatment products, which integrate artificial intelligence technologies such as image recognition and deep learning with medicine to assist doctors in early screening and diagnosis of patients. If this technology is applied to the battlefield, it will greatly improve the work efficiency and treatment speed of medical soldiers. There is also lip reading recognition technology, which can achieve the effect of voice recognition by recognizing lip reading, and can easily carry out complex communication even on a noisy battlefield. In October this year, the PLA Air Force Logistics Department signed the “Military-Civilian Integration Strategic Cooperation Agreement” with executives of five leading logistics companies. Regarding the use of drones specifically mentioned by the Air Force, relevant companies also introduced the development and planning of large logistics drones. Artificial intelligence has a high priority in China’s military-civilian integration, which will enable the PLA to make full use of technological advances in the commercial field to enhance its military capabilities.

    Intelligent machines represented by drones have demonstrated their power on the battlefield or in simulated confrontations. The U.S. Department of Defense report believes that intelligent swarm systems will occupy an important position in future wars. Intelligent swarm attack refers to a swarm system composed of intelligent robots or drones, in which each component of the system independently selects targets, attack forms and formation forms. Compared with manned systems, it has incomparable advantages in coordination, intelligence, cost and speed. The Pentagon called on talented people from the private sector to join the military’s “drone swarm” development, hoping to speed up progress. In June 2017, China’s 119 fixed-wing drones achieved formation flight, setting a record in number. Although it is still far from achieving high-level intelligent formation operations, the U.S. think tank “Project 2049 Institute” admits that China’s drone formation technology is more advanced than that of the U.S. military.

    In future wars, the balance of victory between the two warring parties may completely tilt towards the side with a higher degree of intelligence, and the possibility of the technological laggards continuing to rely on the development of asymmetric combat power to bridge the gap in combat power is gradually decreasing. When the two sides are on the same battlefield, while the officers and soldiers of the side with weaker technical capabilities are busy attacking, retreating, and transferring, the other side with stronger technical capabilities uses unmanned intelligent equipment for all-weather, high-precision intelligent reconnaissance and strikes. Perhaps trapped by ethical issues, the final decision is still made by humans, but the experience of these controllers in the control room thousands of miles away is like playing an online game. The flesh and blood on the battlefield will be exposed, and the opponent’s life will be wiped out with every mouse click or voice command of the enemy. The psychological competition between the strong and weak warring personnel will be completely unbalanced.

    As Russian President Vladimir Putin said, “Whoever becomes the leader in the field of artificial intelligence will be the leader of the future world.” Artificial intelligence has become the “high ground” of the next military competition, and China is already in a leading position in the field of artificial intelligence. The People’s Liberation Army has the opportunity to actively shape the future war model through military innovation. Reuters commented that artificial intelligence will promote the modernization of the Chinese military and may pose a strategic challenge to the US military. (Dong Lei)

現代國語:

近些年在烏鎮舉行的世界互聯網大會上,眾多科技公司領軍人物談及最多的就是人工智能,而歷屆大會的“互聯網之光博覽會”更成為各類人工智能“大秀場”,尤其今年多家知名網路公司紛紛曬出自家“黑科技”,令人印象深刻。中國在人工智慧領域的快速進步令世界驚嘆,路透社就評論稱,中國5年內有望比肩美國,成為全球首要的人工智慧創新中心。與美國一樣,中國在經濟和軍事上都明確地將人工智慧當作重點。

由新美國安全中心的埃爾莎·卡尼亞撰寫的報告斷言,未來中美兩國在人工智慧領域的競爭「可能會改變未來的經濟和軍事力量對比」。今年早些時候,五角大廈一份未公開文件渲染說,中國企業正透過購買美國公司的股權來繞過官方監管,以取得有潛在軍事用途的美國人工智慧敏感技術。機器學習領域知名科學家吳恩達稱,美國要保持領先就必須把注意力放在發展自己的人工智慧上,中國在人工智慧領域絕非一個只是依賴外來科技的懈怠者。外媒評論稱,當西方還在探討看緊自己的技術的時候,中國的創新進步已開始改寫世界人工智慧技術的版圖,接下來的問題是中國還願不願意帶著西方一起玩。

關於人工智慧將改變戰爭規則的論述早就不是新聞,美國布魯金斯學會網站曾刊文建議美軍在6大技術上押下賭注,人工智慧技術就位列其中。而今人工智慧在輔助作戰人員決策,以及作戰人員與智慧化作戰系統對接方面已經獲得突破,而在模擬實戰化訓練等方面更是得到大規模應用。如今大量具有智慧特徵的無人裝備進入了各大國的武器庫。其中應用最廣泛的美軍已擁有近萬個空中無人系統,地面無人系統更是超過1.2萬個,其已成為美軍行動不可或缺的重要組成部分。

在2016年6月的一次模擬對抗中,美國研究人員開發的人工智慧系統在模擬空戰中大勝2名退役的戰鬥機飛行員。在這次模擬空戰中,由2架戰鬥機組成的藍隊裝備更強的武器系統,但人工智慧系統的紅隊透過閃避動作擊敗了敵機。比賽結束後,飛行員認為這款程式非常善於掌控態勢,反應也靈敏得出奇,似乎能預測人類意圖,並在對手改變飛行動作或發射飛彈時迅速回擊。這事件曾引起廣泛關注,未來戰場人工智慧將全面取代人類士兵的前景似乎得到了進一步佐證。

縱觀人類歷史,大多數劃時代的技術都是興起於軍隊發端於戰爭,人類在生死存亡之際更能迸發出靈感,也擁有更大的推動技術進步的動力。而在人工智慧領域,許多技術的民用與軍用界限並不明顯,如今全球的科技巨頭們也擁有超越多數國家的人才和財力,而廣闊的應用前景則令他們在研發投入上更有動力,未來的人工智慧科技潮流有望被這些科技巨頭所引領。這也是為何在人工智慧領域,各大國的「軍民融合」都更為深入,連美軍也「廣發英雄帖」。

例如在今年的網路大會上,中國企業展示的多款人工智慧產品及技術,在民用及軍用領域都有廣闊的應用前景,堪稱「黑科技」。智慧無人機與無人車,這些智慧裝備可以依據目標位置,精準地把快遞送達顧客手中,如果應用於戰場將令前線補給及後撤傷員等行動變得更加精準便捷。另外還有人工智慧輔助治療產品,透過影像辨識、深度學習等人工智慧技術與醫學融合,進而達到輔助醫師對病患的早期篩檢與診斷,這項技術如果應用於戰場,將大大提升醫療兵的工作效率和救治速度。還有唇語辨識技術,透過辨識唇語就可以達到原本需要聲音辨識的效果,即使是在吵雜的戰場上也可輕鬆進行複雜交流。今年10月解放軍空軍後勤部與5家物流領域領導企業主管簽署了《軍民融合戰略合作協議》,而對於空軍方面特別提到的無人機運用,相關企業也介紹了大型物流無人機的研發和規劃。人工智慧在中國軍民融合中的優先順序很高,這將讓解放軍得以充分利用商業領域的技術進步來增強軍事能力。

以無人機為代表的智慧機器已經在戰場或模擬對抗中展現出威力。美國國防部報告認為,智慧化蜂群系統將在未來戰爭中佔據重要地位。智慧化蜂群攻擊是指智慧機器人或無人機組成的蜂群系統,系統各組成部分自主選擇目標、攻擊形式和編隊形式。相比有人系統,在協調性、智慧性、成本以及速度等方面擁有無可比擬的優勢。五角大廈號召來自民間的才俊加入到軍方的「無人機蜂群」開發中,希望能加快進度。 2017年6月,中國119架固定翼無人機實現編隊飛行,創造了數量紀錄,儘管距離實現高階的智慧化編隊作戰仍較遠,但是美國智庫「2049計畫研究所」坦言中國的無人機編隊技術較之美軍更為先進。

在未來戰爭中,交戰雙方的勝利天平或將徹底偏向智能化程度更高的一方,科技落伍者繼續靠發展不對稱戰力來彌合戰力差距的可能性正逐漸變小。當雙方置身於同一戰場,技術能力較弱一方的官兵在進攻、撤退、轉移,疲於奔命時,技術能力強的另一方則是無人智能裝備全天候、高精度的智能偵察、打擊。或許受困於倫理問題,最終的決策仍由人來完成,但其待在千里之外的控制室,這些控制人員的體驗就像是玩網路遊戲。戰場上的血肉之軀將無所遁形,對手的生命在敵人的每一次滑鼠點擊或是語音命令中灰飛煙滅,強弱雙方交戰人員的心理比拼將完全失衡。

正如俄總統普丁所說,「誰成為人工智慧領域的領導者,誰就是未來世界的領導者」。人工智慧已成為下一個軍事競爭的“制高點”,而中國在人工智慧領域已處於領先位置,解放軍有機會透過軍事創新主動塑造未來戰爭模式,路透社則評論認為,人工智慧將推動中國軍隊的現代化並可能對美軍形成戰略挑戰。 (董磊)

中國原創軍事資源:http://m.news.cn/mil/2017-12/20/c_1297707888.htm

China’s Focus on “Controlling Narratives with Intelligence”: The New Frontier of Chinese Cognitive Warfare

中國聚焦「用情報控制敘事」:中國認知戰新前沿

現代英語:

【Military Academy】

  Author: Wu Xiaojian (PhD student at the School of Military and Political Basic Education, National University of Defense Technology)

  At present, the world’s military powers have stepped up cutting-edge research on cognitive domain operations, relying on language to build a narrative discourse system that can win the battlefield, and seek to create asymmetric advantages at the narrative discourse level. Looking to the future, narrative games are playing an increasingly important role in shaping self-interest, conducting cognitive manipulation, and releasing the fog of war. The “weaponization” tendency of its soft power attributes to hard power attributes is becoming increasingly obvious. Against this background, narrative games have become a new frontier for major powers’ cognitive domain operations.

  The “cognitive” nature of narrative

  Narrative is the narration of a story, which consists of two parts: “narration” and “story”. The former answers the question of “how to tell”, while the latter is related to “what to tell”. Human attention to narrative began in the field of literature, and then expanded to other fields such as film, television, fine arts, music, and news communication. With the continuous advancement of human cognition, the concept of narrative has been extended to the fields of politics, economy, military, culture, and citizens’ personal lives, from which narrative concepts such as national macro-narrative, social meso-narrative, and individual micro-narrative have been derived. While the narrator tells the story, through the artificial arrangement of narrative person, time, perspective, focus and other strategies, the audience is subtly influenced by the values ​​and ideology behind the story while understanding the story. This is the “cognitive nature” of narrative.

  The connotations of narrative game are very rich. It covers macro-narratives such as a country’s military thought, military concepts, and military terminology, as well as meso-narratives of agenda setting such as military law, rules of engagement, combat standards, regulations, and war ethics. It also involves micro-narratives such as narratives of war progress and heroic figures in military history and war history.

  Narratives are to cognition what ammunition is to guns. On the eve of the Iraq War, in order to create a cognitive situation of “just cause”, the United States used a small bottle of “white powder” to fabricate the so-called “weapons of mass destruction” and created the “narrative key” for the US invasion of Iraq. In the current Russia-Ukraine conflict, Russia and Western countries have carried out a high-intensity narrative confrontation, each doing its best to shape a self-interested public opinion situation. At present, Western militaries represented by the United States rely on their discourse hegemony to shape narratives into the “main battlefield” of cognitive domain operations. On the one hand, they actively promote ideological output through the Internet and social media, and on the other hand, they influence the formulation of military strategies and the development of national defense forces in other countries by hyping new weapons and equipment and fresh combat concepts.

  Narrative Game and Great Power Competition

  Wars obey politics, and strategies obey policies. Narrative games are ultimately tools for achieving the political goals behind wars. In the process of great power competition in different historical periods, narratives generally serve the overall domestic and foreign affairs of a country, and they use strategic thinking, theoretical concepts, laws and regulations, and political declarations within the macro-political framework that obeys and serves national interests. In the 1930s, the United States enacted the Neutrality Act under the influence of its isolationist foreign policy, but as the threat of fascism grew, especially after Japan’s attack on Pearl Harbor, its foreign policy took a major turn, changing its previous narrative discourse system of neutrality and declaring war on Japan, which profoundly affected the fate of the United States and reshaped the world’s political landscape. After entering the new century, the United States, based on the political purpose of enhancing its own political and military status and establishing a unilateral order, launched the narrative logic of the so-called “weapons of mass destruction” agenda to provoke the Iraq War, which to a certain extent achieved its political plot.

  Faced with a complex external environment, it is a necessary measure for major powers to maintain national security by improving their narrative game capabilities that are in line with their national conditions and commensurate with their military strength. At present, the political nature of great power competition has not been weakened by the evolution of war forms, but has been significantly strengthened. Narrative games must follow the strategic policy of obeying and serving the country and the military as the fundamental principle of operations, defend national sovereignty and development interests as the ultimate mission, value offense and defense as the central task, and cognitive competition as the core goal. In peacetime, they should serve as a “mouthpiece” to shape the image of their own military forces, win support, and convey deterrence. In wartime, they should become a “blade” to cooperate with physical strikes to politically and organizationally divide opponents, shake the enemy, and disintegrate the enemy.

  In today’s world, the fierce competition between major powers has integrated narrative games into the entire process of military cognitive games. Before the military game between major powers, both sides first frequently declare their respective positions and show their will through various channels, convey the justice and necessity of their military struggle, and shape a self-interested situation at the moral and ethical level to gain broad support from the domestic people and the international community; in the process of the game, both sides convey their new progress and achievements in military strategies and tactics, weapons and equipment, combat readiness training and personnel modernization through various means according to the times and circumstances, shape their own dominant position, and cast cognitive fog to cause hesitation, panic and shaken will of the other side’s domestic military and civilians; once the game comes to an end, the winning side will look back on its game process from a grand narrative perspective, and by shaping the image of a winner with both deterrence and affinity, it will demonstrate the winner’s strength and position, and consolidate the victory of the game.

  Building a powerful military narrative discourse system is the basis for conducting cognitive offensive and defensive operations. Narrative games under the background of great power competition require actively finding the points of convergence between cognitive warfare, public opinion warfare, psychological warfare, etc. in terms of elements, information and cognition. The fierce competition among great powers in the fields of public opinion, psychology, and brain control has given narrative games a broader interpretation space and strategic significance. The core of public opinion warfare is the struggle for narrative dominance, and behind it is the competition for international communication power; psychological warfare is a deep-level confrontation about core values, and narrative provides it with a “script” for interpreting and conveying different values; brain control warfare is a combat style that deeply integrates brain science and artificial intelligence. Narrative provides a powerful weapon for information implantation in the competition for cognitive space such as reading the brain, imitating the brain, and controlling the brain, which directly targets the brain.

  “Controlling Narration with Intelligence” is on the agenda

  With the rapid development of science and technology such as cognitive science, computer science, and brain science, and the accelerated evolution of intelligent warfare with ubiquitous intelligence, interconnectedness, human-machine integration, and full-domain collaboration, narrative games have surpassed the traditional scope of “verbal battles” and entered a new era of unbounded generalization, deep integration, and algorithms as king.

  ChatGPT, which has recently become popular all over the world, further reveals the generalization of “narratives are everywhere” in the intelligent era. The continuous progress of technologies such as natural language processing, video image processing, deep learning, big data analysis, and cloud computing has promoted the rapid development of language intelligence, making text, sound, image, video and other tangible or intangible “language” carriers included in the narrative category, greatly expanding the field of narrative games, and leading the competition of major powers to social life, film and television entertainment, news dissemination, education and teaching, etc. beyond hot conflicts, significantly deepening the complexity of cognitive domain confrontation, and greatly enhancing the full-time, global and interactive nature of multimodal narratives. Narrative games in the context of great power competition include psychological narratives, legal narratives, public opinion narratives, information narratives, etc. Once artificial intelligence is integrated with multi-domain narrative games, its weaponization effectiveness may increase geometrically.

  In the future, the narrative game under the competition of major powers will be based on powerful algorithms, and its core lies in “controlling narrative with intelligence”, and the “intelligence” of intelligence must be realized by algorithms. For example, through powerful algorithms, big data technology can accurately draw the enemy’s cognitive landscape, and achieve “customized on demand” control of enemy cognition, and induce the enemy to obey our narrative script in an intelligent, precise and detailed way in the game, ensuring that the narrative dominance of the game is firmly controlled by us.

現代國語:

資料來源:光明網-《光明日報》 | 2023年04月30日 06:55
原文標題:「以智駕馭敘」:認知戰的新邊疆
【講武堂】

作者:武嘯劍(國防科技大學軍政基礎教育學院博士研究生)

當前,世界軍事強國紛紛加緊認知域作戰前沿性研究,以語言為依托打造決勝疆場的敘事話語體系,謀求塑造敘事話語層面的非對稱優勢。展望未來,敘事博弈在塑造利己態勢、開展認知操控、釋放戰爭迷霧等方面正扮演著愈發重要的角色,其軟實力屬性向硬實力屬性過渡的「武器化」傾向日漸明顯。在此背景下,敘事博弈成為大國認知域作戰的新邊疆。

敘事的“認知性”

敘事就是對故事的敘述,由「敘述」和「故事」兩部分組成,前者回答「怎麼講」的問題,後者則與「講什麼」有關。人類對敘事的關注始於文學領域,隨後擴展到影視、美術、音樂等藝術領域和新聞傳播等其3他領域。隨著人類認知的不斷進步,敘事的概念延伸到政治、經濟、軍事、文化、公民個人生活等範疇,由此衍生出國家宏觀敘事、社會中觀敘事、個體微觀敘事等敘事概念。敘事者講述故事的同時,透過敘事人稱、時間、視角、聚焦等策略的人為安排,使受眾在理解故事的同時潛移默化地被故事背後的價值觀和意識形態影響,這就是敘事的“認知性” 。

敘事博弈涉及的內涵十分豐富,既涵蓋一國軍事思想、軍事概念、軍事術語等宏觀敘事,也包括軍事法律、交戰規則、作戰標準、條令條例、戰爭倫理等議程設定的中觀敘事,也涉及軍史戰史中的戰爭進程敘事和英雄人物敘事等微觀敘事。

敘事之於認知,好比彈藥之於槍砲。伊拉克戰爭前夕,美國為塑造「師出有名」的認知態勢,借一小瓶「白色粉末」羅織所謂「大規模殺傷性武器」的莫須有之罪,打造了美軍入侵伊拉克的「敘事之鑰」。在這次俄烏衝突中,俄羅斯與西方國家展開了高強度敘事對抗,為塑造利己輿論態勢各盡其能。當前,以美國為代表的西方軍隊依託其掌控的話語霸權,將敘事塑造為認知域作戰的“主戰場”,一方面通過互聯網和社交媒體積極推進意識形態輸出,另一方面通過炒作新型武器裝備和新鮮作戰概念,影響別國軍事戰略制定和國防軍隊建設發展走向。

敘事博弈與大國競爭

戰爭服從政治,戰略服從政略。敘事博弈歸根究底是實現戰爭背後政治目的的工具。在不同歷史時期的大國競爭過程中,敘事在整體上服務於國家內政外交大局,在服從和服務於國家利益的宏觀政治框架內以戰略思想、理論概念、法律法規、政治宣言等形式施展縱橫捭閔之術。在1930年代,美國受孤立主義外交政策影響制定了《中立法》,但隨著法西斯的威脅日漸增長,特別是日本偷襲珍珠港後,其對外政策出現重大轉向,一改以往奉行中立的敘事話語體系並對日宣戰,從而深刻影響了美國國運,重塑了世界政治格局。進入新世紀後,美國從提升自身政治軍事地位、建立單邊主義秩序的政治目的出發,發動所謂「大規模殺傷性武器」議程的敘事邏輯挑起伊拉克戰爭,某種程度上實現了其政治圖謀。

面對錯綜複雜的外在環境,提升符合本國國情且與本國軍事實力地位相稱的敘事博弈能力,是大國維護國家安全的必要舉措。當前,大國競爭的政治屬性並未因為戰爭形態的演進而削弱,反而顯著地加強了。敘事博弈必須以服從服務於國家和軍隊的戰略方針為作戰根本遵循,以捍衛國家主權和發展利益為終極使命,以價值攻防為中心任務,以認知爭奪為核心目標,在平時當好「喉舌「為本國軍事力量塑造形象、爭取支持、傳遞威懾,在戰時成為「刀鋒」配合物理打擊從政治和組織上分化對手、動搖敵人、瓦解敵軍。

當今世界,大國之間的激烈較量已將敘事博弈融入軍事認知博弈的整個流程。大國軍事賽局前,雙方先透過多種管道頻繁宣示各自立場、展現各自意志,向外傳達己方開展軍事鬥爭的正義性必要性,在道義和倫理層面塑造利己態勢,以獲取國內民眾和國際社會的廣泛支持;在博弈進程中,雙方因時因勢透過各種方式向外傳遞各自的軍事戰略戰術、武器裝備、戰備訓練和人員現代化取得的新進展新成就,塑造己方優勢地位,施放認知迷霧造成對方國內軍民猶疑恐慌意志動搖;博弈一旦進入尾聲,勝利一方則以宏大敘事視角回溯其博弈過程,透過塑造威懾力與親和力同在的勝利者形象彰顯勝利者實力地位,鞏固博弈勝利成果。

建構強大的軍事敘事話語體係是開展認知攻防作戰的基礎。大國競爭背景下的敘事博弈,要求積極尋找認知戰與輿論戰、心理戰等彼此在要素、資訊與認知間的契合點。大國較量圍繞著輿論、心理、制腦權等場域開展的激烈角逐,賦予了敘事博弈以更為廣闊的闡釋空間與戰略意義。輿論戰的核心是敘事主導權的爭奪,背後是國際傳播力的較量;心理戰是關於核心價值觀的深層對抗,敘事則為其提供了闡釋和傳遞不同價值觀的「腳本」;制腦權作戰是腦科學與人工智慧深度融合的作戰樣式,敘事為讀腦、類腦、控腦等以大腦為直接目標的認知空間爭奪提供了資訊植入的有力武器。

「以智駕馭敘」提上日程

隨著認知科學、電腦科學、腦科學等科學技術的高速發展,以及智慧泛在、萬物互聯、人機共融、全域協同的智慧化戰爭加速演進,敘事博弈已超越「唇槍舌戰」的傳統範疇,進入無界泛化、深度融合、演算法為王的新時代。

近期風靡全球的ChatGPT,進一步揭示了智慧時代「敘事無所不在」的泛化性。自然語言處理、視訊影像處理、深度學習、大數據分析、雲端運算等技術的不斷進步推動了語言智慧的快速發展,使得文字、聲音、影像、視訊等有形或無形的「語言」載體都被納入到敘事範疇,極大拓展了敘事博弈的發生場域,將大國競爭引向熱衝突以外的社會生活、影視娛樂、新聞傳播、教育教學等方方面面,顯著加深了認知域對抗的複雜程度,極大增強了多模態敘事的全時全域性和互動性。大國競爭背景下的敘事博弈,包括心理敘事、法律敘事、輿論敘事、資訊敘事等,人工智慧一旦與多域敘事博弈融合,就可能使其武器化效能幾何式遞增。

未來,大國競爭下的敘事博弈將以強大算法為依托,其核心在於“以智駕馭敘”,智能之“智”要靠算法實現。例如,透過強大演算法,大數據技術可精準繪製敵方認知圖景,據此實現對敵認知操控的“按需定制”,在博弈中智能化、精準化、細緻化地誘使敵方服從我方敘事腳本,確保博弈的敘事主導權牢牢為我所控。

中國原創軍事資源:https://military.cctv.com/2023/04/30/ARTITYH9OANialt6AQ2BNLC2230430.shtml

Strengthening the Military with Chinese Characteristics A Path of Deep Reform

中國特色強軍之路 深化改革之路

現代英語:

From November 24 to 26, 2015, the world-renowned deepening of national defense and military reform was officially launched, opening the curtain for our army to seize the strategic commanding heights of future military competition. This is the most revolutionary military reform of the People’s Liberation Army in 60 years. The reform is unprecedented in its force, structure and scope.

Give full play to the advantages of the socialist military system with Chinese characteristics

Ren Tianyou

A new round of reforms in our military has begun. With the establishment of the joint command system, theater system, and service construction and management system, China’s military reform is taking a key step forward with a new attitude. What is different from the past is that this is a comprehensive reform with the leadership and command system as the core, a “reform above the neck”, with unprecedented determination, unprecedented action, unprecedented benefits, and unprecedented risks.

In carrying out top-down reform, our army’s greatest advantage lies in the system. This reform starts from the headquarters, services, military regions and other high-level leadership organs of the army, starting from the “brain” and “center” of the army. The reason why we bravely cross the shoals and why we are full of confidence is the advantage of the socialist military system with Chinese characteristics.

The core of giving full play to the advantages of the socialist military system with Chinese characteristics is to uphold the absolute leadership of the Party over the military. If this point is not seen, the reform will make the mistake of purely military perspectives; if this point is not adhered to, it will not be able to gather motivation and innovation in the face of difficulties, and the reform will eventually become a building on gravel, which cannot withstand the battle on the battlefield and the test of history. To uphold the absolute leadership of the Party over the military is to resolutely implement the decisions and deployments of the Party Central Committee, the Central Military Commission and Chairman Xi, break through various ideological obstacles to build consensus, and obey orders regardless of personal gains and losses and local interests. Only in this way can the military reform overcome numerous difficulties and reach the other side of victory.

Reform is a process of interest adjustment. The obstacles to military reform in ancient and modern times, both in China and abroad, also highlight the threshold of interests. It is easy to defeat the thief in the mountains, but it is difficult to defeat the thief in the heart. Compared with people’s subjective consciousness, under the new era conditions, more attention should be paid to breaking the obstacles to reforming the old system by improving the system and the legal system. The rule of law should be used to ensure the coordination of the resources of the whole army and realize the concentration of forces for reform; the rule of law should be used to withdraw and merge to reduce the space for backward combat forces and make room for new combat forces; the rule of law should be used to ensure the smooth operation of the new leadership and command system and strongly eliminate the interference from local interests and personal interests.

Who can successfully implement reforms and who can successfully manage risks are the major issues that determine the fate of reforms. As Engels said, “When the wave of technological revolution is surging around, it is no good to let these conservative prejudices dominate the army. We need newer and braver minds.” Since the Gulf War, the US military has continuously produced talented generals, from Boyd to Owens, from Powell to Ramosfeld, theorists and practitioners have emerged in an endless stream, either relying on their achievements on the battlefield or being selected through the survival of the fittest in theory. For this reason, if the talent selection rules are not refreshed, the reform may remain in the trap of “old wine in new bottles” where “old heads” monopolize new positions.

Chairman Mao Zedong said that our army matures quickly in war. This is because our army always takes the initiative to reform and forges a path to victory at the critical moment of life and death. Looking back at history, our army’s reform is often not a calm and unhurried process, but a desperate outbreak under external threats and internal pressure. The “Three Bays Reform” started with a team of less than a thousand people in the repeated failures of urban riots, and the streamlining of the army and government was carried out in the heavy siege of the Japanese invaders’ “Three Alls” policy and iron wall encirclement. Today’s reform of our army is taking place under the hegemonic countries’ flaunting of maritime hegemony and military provocations, and it is set sail in the Japanese right-wing forces’ eagerness to shake the peace constitution and then plot to subvert the post-war international order. It shoulders the mission of defending national territorial sovereignty and maintaining world peace, and it cannot tolerate delay, carelessness, or retreat. At the same time, it should be seen that this military reform is based on the country’s economic take-off and is a leap forward standing on the solid shoulders of scientific and technological innovation. The opportunity is rare and should not be missed.

(The author is the director of the Strategic Education and Research Department of the National Defense University and a major general)

(Excerpt from Guangming Daily, December 23, 2015)

Military reform: a charge to seize strategic commanding heights

Lu Jianyong Wang Xueping

Build a joint combat command organization and launch a combined attack

Information warfare is a game between systems and systems, and systems and systems. The way of winning by fighting alone has no place. In the ever-changing information battlefield, whether the various services can closely coordinate to form a joint force depends on the joint operations command organization. Looking at the armies of the powerful countries in the world today, all of them have the ability to win information warfare by building a strong joint operations command organization. After the end of the Cold War, the US military immediately began to adjust and build the leadership and command system of the headquarters, and the same is true for the armies of Russia, Britain, France and other countries. This major reform of our army, standing at the commanding heights of the world, can be said to be a global vision and strategic thinking. By 2020, we must “strive to build a modern military force system with Chinese characteristics that can win information warfare and effectively fulfill missions and tasks.” The leadership and management system and the joint operations command system are designed as a whole, and “joint operations command organizations are established”, and efforts are made to build a “combat command system of the Military Commission-theater-troops”. The joint command organization has made its debut, making the “central nervous system” of the army more efficient and flexible, as shown in the following:

Strengthened unified command. The military is an armed force group with special missions and tasks. Its special nature requires a highly unified command. President Xi Jinping stressed that “we must focus on implementing the requirements of political military construction under the new situation, promote the organic unity of leadership and control of the troops and efficient command of the troops, and form a pattern in which the CMC is in charge of overall affairs, the theater commands are responsible for combat, and the services are responsible for construction.” The so-called CMC is in charge of overall affairs, which means “strengthening the centralized and unified leadership of the CMC, and better concentrating the highest leadership and command of the military in the Party Central Committee and the Central Military Commission”, so that the military will always listen to the Party.

Reduced levels of command. Modern warfare is about speed. Without the rapid decision-making and command of the command organs and the rapid response of the troops, there will be no initiative on the battlefield. The CMC and the theater directly command the troops, and the command chain is greatly compressed. The will and determination of the command level are transformed into troop actions in the shortest path, which can effectively seize the initiative on the battlefield in a rapidly changing battlefield.

Achieved efficiency and effectiveness. A bloated and inefficient leadership and command structure not only makes it difficult for the military machine to operate efficiently and quickly, but also makes it easier for a powerful enemy to “attack wherever it points to.” Building a three-level command system of “CMC, theater, and troops” can effectively achieve high efficiency in combat command through the streamlining and reorganization of organs and clear division of functions.

Establish the Army Department, divide the war zones, and plan for war

For a long time, the leadership and command system of our army has been imperfect. The army’s construction, management and leadership functions are performed by various departments of the headquarters, resulting in overlapping command and management functions of the army, multiple policies and mutual constraints. This is not only not conducive to the top-level design and systematic planning of army construction, but also puts too much burden on the headquarters. The huge and repeated establishment of military district organs also leads to conflicts and dual weakening of command and management functions. These problems have seriously affected the overall construction of the army as a service, and restricted the formation and performance of the joint combat command functions of the headquarters and theater. At present, the armies of major countries in the world have established army headquarters, which are responsible for various tasks of the construction of their own services, including personnel and administrative management, education and training, military scientific research, military mobilization, weapons and equipment, and logistics support. In this military reform of our army, President Xi Jinping, based on a scientific judgment of my country’s security situation and in line with the general trend of the world’s military revolution, pointed out that deepening the reform of national defense and the army should “focus on solving the institutional obstacles, structural contradictions, and policy issues that restrict national defense and army building, promote the modernization of the army’s organizational form, further liberate and develop combat effectiveness, further liberate and enhance the vitality of the army, and build a consolidated national defense and a strong army that is commensurate with my country’s international status and compatible with national security and development interests”. Some military experts analyzed that the establishment of the Army Department in this military reform will make the army more aware of its military services. The strengthening of the top-level design of the army’s construction and development can fundamentally solve the problems of our army’s large number and scale, unreasonable proportion of arms, long and short leadership and command system, and excessive non-combat units. A sensitive, synthetic, multi-functional, and efficient army with Chinese characteristics will stand in the east of the world. The transformation of military regions into theaters of war is even more significant.

First, the theater is dedicated to fighting wars and is a complete regional combat organization. In the future, our army will have a clearer idea of ​​”what kind of war to fight and how to fight it”, and forward-looking war design will also drive and guide the development of military construction and promote the leap in the combat effectiveness of the troops. Second, the transformation of military regions into theaters is not only a reorganization of the leadership and command institutions, but also a more efficient and effective leadership and command level, and also makes military struggle preparations more targeted. At the same time, the institutionalization and normalization of theater joint training ensures that peacetime training is connected with future wars.

Establish the Military Commission’s Discipline Inspection Commission and the Political and Legal Commission to keep the military flag forever bright red

Our army has grown from nothing to something, from small to large, from weak to strong, and from victory to victory. Adhering to the absolute leadership of the Party over the army and strictly governing the army are the fundamental guarantees. This military reform is a historical opportunity for our army to catch up and overtake in the new round of military revolution. It is even more necessary to pave the way and escort it by governing the army according to law and strictly governing the army. President Xi Jinping pointed out that “we should focus on deepening the rule of law and strict governance of the army, grasp the key of governing power, and build a strict system of constraints and supervision on the exercise of power”. “Focus on solving the problem of insufficient independence and authority of military discipline inspection, inspection, audit, justice, and supervision, and strive to eradicate the soil for the breeding and spread of corruption by weaving a tight cage of the system. Establish a new Military Commission Discipline Inspection Commission, send discipline inspection teams to the Military Commission organs and theaters respectively, and promote the implementation of the dual leadership system of the Discipline Inspection Commission. Adjust and establish the Military Commission Audit Office, and implement all resident audits. Establish a new Military Commission Political and Legal Affairs Commission, adjust the military judicial system, set up military courts and military procuratorates according to regions, and ensure that they exercise their powers independently and impartially in accordance with the law.”

Optimize the force structure of the armed forces and make a leap forward in “combat effectiveness”

The military force structure in which the three armed forces revolve around the army and the army revolves around the heavy-armed forces is no longer suitable for the three-dimensional, speedy and wide-area needs of modern warfare. Looking at the military reforms of major countries in the world today, all of them seek combat effectiveness through structural reorganization, especially by drastically reducing the strength of outdated arms and accelerating the development of new combat forces, so that the army can stand at the forefront of military reform. For example, focus on the development of technical arms and arms with strong assault power, accelerate the construction of rapid reaction forces, light armored forces, special operations forces and army aviation, etc., to meet the needs of information warfare, system warfare and speed warfare. In addition, the “breaking the boundaries of military arms and creating integrated forces” in the military of some countries has also become a major trend in the development of troop formations. For example, the joint expeditionary force formed by the US military includes army divisions, naval aircraft carrier battle groups, Marine Corps units (subunits) and air force fighter wings. At this military reform meeting, President Xi Jinping emphasized that “we should focus on building elite combat forces, optimize the scale structure and troop formation, and promote the transformation of our army from quantity and scale to quality and efficiency.” We must “adjust and improve the proportion of military services, optimize the force structure of the military services, reform the troop composition according to the security needs and combat missions in different directions, and promote the development of troop composition in the direction of enrichment, synthesis, versatility and flexibility.” This clearly points out that the key to building the combat effectiveness of our army must be to firmly grasp the optimization of the military structure.

First, we should optimize the force structure of the services, accelerate the development of the navy and air force, and appropriately reduce the size of the army, so that our military force structure can effectively respond to the informationized local wars that may be launched from the sea in the future. Second, we should optimize the force structure of the services, reduce and eliminate obsolete forces, accelerate the development of new combat forces, and make the proportion of each service more reasonable. Third, we should optimize the organization of the troops, focus on the needs of diversified military tasks, build multi-type troops that can meet different directions and different threats, and improve the pertinence of military struggle preparations.

(Excerpt from Study Times, December 10, 2015)

The connotation and requirements of our army’s distinctive joint culture

Li Fengbiao

Xi Jinping pointed out: “A cause without cultural support is difficult to sustain for a long time.” As a special military culture, joint culture is the concept and behavior formed by joint command personnel in military practice regarding the knowledge system, value orientation, thinking method, moral norms and psychological awareness of joint operations. It is an important “soft power” that nourishes and enhances joint combat capabilities.

Loyalty, reliability, centralization and unity. Adhering to the absolute leadership of the Party over the military is not only the fundamental magic weapon for our military to defeat the enemy, but also the greatest advantage and feature of our military’s advanced culture. In modern information-based joint operations, political factors are more prominent, the participating forces are more diverse, the organization and command are more complex, and the coordination requirements are more stringent. To organically aggregate highly dispersed combat elements, combat units, and combat systems to form a strong combat capability, we must also have unswerving faith and centralized and unified leadership.

Reform and innovation, information dominance. In today’s era, reform and innovation are the spiritual driving force for accelerating military construction, and information dominance is the key concept for winning military games. The two will inevitably constitute the most distinctive contemporary characteristics of joint culture. In particular, through the practice of informatized local wars in recent years and the development trend of the new military revolution, it is not difficult to find that informatization has not only made traditional intelligence warfare forces, electronic warfare forces, and command and control forces more powerful, but also spawned new combat forces such as cyber warfare and psychological warfare. Information dominance is no longer just a purely technical concept, but has gradually become a new concept to guide the military transformation of various countries’ armies.

Flexible, autonomous, and systemic operations. Our army has always emphasized flexible and maneuverable strategies and tactics, which is an important magic weapon for leveraging strengths and avoiding weaknesses and attacking the enemy’s soft spots, and provides an important reference for our army’s joint culture. In the era of information warfare, the enemy and our offensive and defensive battles are rapidly changing, and the battlefield situation is changing rapidly. In particular, the significant characteristics of platform operations, system support, tactical operations, and strategic guarantees provide a solid foundation and broad space for giving full play to our army’s “live” advantages. To develop our army’s joint culture, we must correctly apply the basic principles of joint operations, integrate our army’s strategies and tactics into the multi-dimensional integrated force system of land, sea, air, space, electricity, and the Internet, and transform them into strategic guidance, tactical thinking, and command art for future joint operations. You fight yours, I fight mine, and you attack others without being attacked by others, forming an asymmetric advantage, and always mastering the strategic and operational initiative.

Integration of peacetime and wartime, comprehensive integration. In the face of the current severe test of responding to multiple security threats and completing diversified military tasks, to develop our military’s joint culture, we must not only timely transform and cultivate new ideas for preparing for war, infiltrate and reflect the scientific methods of joint operations in all areas of planning and guiding the construction of troops, coordinate and allocate various resources, and improve the level of troops built in peacetime according to joint operations standards; we must also focus on enhancing the system combat capability based on information systems in wartime, give full play to the role of information technology, use system engineering methods, integrate various subsystems and subsystems that generate combat effectiveness into an organic whole, and strive to make the integration of armed forces, military organization, command and control, and combat elements a conscious practice, so as to maximize the cohesion of combat capabilities and release combat energy.

Unity and cooperation, joint victory. Uniting as one for the common revolutionary ideal, fighting side by side, and striving for victory have always been the value concept of our army to defeat powerful enemies. Under the conditions of informatization, the rapid development of science and technology has not only unprecedentedly improved the combat capabilities of various elements, but also made the battlefield situation extremely complicated. Only by strengthening the value concept of joint victory, focusing on the linkage of systems and systems, complementary advantages, dynamic coordination, sincere unity, and efficient elite troops, can we win the greatest victory at the lowest cost. To develop the joint culture of our army, we must highlight unity and cooperation, and joint victory, actively build a concept of victory, honor, interests, and gains and losses that are consistent with joint operations, thoroughly break the constraints of the interests of the military and arms and the narrow local concepts, and consciously cultivate a joint spirit of independent coordination, conscious cooperation, and cross-linking and interaction, so that various combat forces can be optimally combined and seamlessly linked, demonstrating effectiveness and winning together.

(The author is the deputy commander of the Chengdu Military Region)

(Excerpt from the Liberation Army Daily, December 23, 2015)

Russia and the United States: Cultivating military talents for joint operations

Tian Yiwei

Comprehensively cultivating joint operations command talents, joint operations information training management talents, and joint operations information technology professionals, and promoting the construction of a high-quality joint operations talent team is a basic way to promote the formation of joint operations capabilities at the cultural level in the military reforms of countries around the world.

The Russian military has made the training of joint combat talents a priority in the development of military culture. It believes that military academies are the bases for the training of military talents and the cradle of joint culture, and they play a leading and exemplary role in the development of joint culture. In order to expand the knowledge structure of students, enhance mutual understanding between the military services, and eliminate “partisanship”, the Russian military has carried out major reforms in the military education system, strengthened the construction of the elementary, intermediate and advanced joint education system, and improved the joint combat command capability throughout the education process. At the end of 2008, the Russian military began to fully integrate the military education system. As Russian President Putin pointed out: “Military education is undergoing major reforms. We are setting up 10 large scientific research and teaching centers. All of these institutions are built in a strict vertical system and provide officers with opportunities to continuously improve their professional level based on their service. In this regard, we rely on our own traditions and draw on practical experience from around the world.”

The Education Department of the Russian Ministry of Defense revealed that in order to continuously improve the joint combat literacy of officers at all levels, the role of on-the-job short-term training will be fully utilized in the future, the knowledge structure of the officer team will be updated in a timely manner, and officers will be ensured to become high-level professionals who master modern technology. The Russian military has also opened information-based joint combat lectures at senior and intermediate military academies, and revised the teaching syllabus to make the teaching content of the academies closer to the reality of modern warfare. The Russian General Staff Military Academy organized joint combat seminars to improve the students’ information-based joint combat command capabilities and create composite commanders who are proficient in joint culture. The experience of the Russian military in strengthening the training of joint command talents tells us that it is necessary to incorporate integrated joint combat education and training based on information systems into the training of commanders, so that commanders can receive education and training on “integrated joint combat” as planned in primary and intermediate command positions, so that they can master relevant knowledge and skills before entering senior command positions and have a certain degree of joint literacy. The superb art of joint combat command has accumulated the profound heritage of joint culture and depicted the profound imprint of joint culture. It runs through the entire process of the growth of joint combat talents, penetrates into all aspects of the growth of joint combat talents, affects the thinking mode, values, mental model and behavioral habits of joint combat talents, is a catalyst and multiplier for the forging of joint combat talents, and fundamentally determines the quality and level of joint combat talent training.

In actual training, the armies of many countries in the world emphasize that all services and units should give priority to joint training, focus on cultivating commanders’ awareness and ability of coordination across services, arms, and departments, and emphasize instilling “instinctive joint thinking” in soldiers from the beginning of basic individual training, so that commanders and soldiers can fully realize that they are members of the joint force and part of the overall combat force, and consciously think about problems and take actions from a joint perspective. Taking the joint operations of the US military as an example, after going through the two stages of eliminating conflicts between services and bridging gaps between services, the US military is now in the stage of seamless integration of multi-service capabilities and is developing towards cohesive joint operations.

(The author is the political assistant of the Foreign Military Department of the Academy of Military Sciences)

(Excerpt from Reference News on December 28, 2015)

Source: Red Flag Digest Magazine, Issue 2, 2016

現代國語:

編者以 2015年11月24日至26日,備受世界矚目的深化國防和軍事改革正式啟動,拉開了我軍搶佔未來軍事競爭戰略制高點的大幕。這是人民解放軍60年來撼動性最強的一次軍改,改革推進力度之大、調整結構之多、影響範圍之廣,可謂前所未有。

發揮中國特色社會主義軍事制度優勢

任天佑

我軍新一輪改革大幕已經拉開。隨著聯合指揮體制、戰區體制、軍種建設管理體制的確立,中國軍事變革正以嶄新姿態邁出關鍵一步。與以往不同的是,這是以領導指揮系統為核心的全面改革,是“脖子以上的改革”,改革決心之大前所未有,改革動作之大前所未有,改革效益之大前所未有,改革風險之大也前所未有。

進行自上而下的改革,我軍最大的優勢在製度。這次改革從總部、軍種、軍區這些軍隊的高層領率機關開始,從軍隊「大腦」和「中樞」起步。我們憑什麼勇涉險灘,憑什麼充滿自信,憑的是中國特色社會主義軍事制度優勢。

發揮中國特色社會主義軍事制度優勢,核心在於堅持黨對軍隊絕對領導。不看到這條,改革就會犯單純軍事觀點的毛病;不堅持這一點,就會在攻堅克難面前凝聚不起動力和創新力,最終讓改革變成沙礫上建樓房,經不起戰場上的較量,經不起歷史的檢驗。堅持黨對軍隊絕對領導,就是要堅決貫徹黨中央、中央軍委和習主席的決策部署,衝破各種思想障礙以凝聚共識,不計個人得失、局部利益而聽令而行。惟如此,軍事改革才能突破千難萬險,到達勝利的彼岸。

改革是利益調整的過程,古今中外軍事改革的阻礙也突顯在利益這道門檻上。破山中賊易,破心中賊難。與人的主觀自覺性相比,新的時代條件下,更應著重於透過完善製度法制,破除改革舊體制的攔路虎。以法治化確保全軍資源的統籌力,實現集中力量辦改革;以法治化撤併壓縮落後作戰力量空間,為新型作戰力量騰籠換鳥;以法治化保障新型領導指揮系統的平穩運行,強力破除來自局部利益、個人利益的干擾。

什麼人才能成功執行改革,什麼人才能成功駕馭風險,這是決定改革命運的大事。正如恩格斯所說:「當科技革命的浪潮正在四周洶湧澎湃的時候,讓這些保守的偏見在軍隊中佔統治地位,是沒有好處的。我們需要更新、更勇敢的頭腦。」海灣戰爭以來,美軍不斷湧現悍將乾才,從博伊德到歐文斯,從鮑威爾到拉莫斯菲爾德,理論家、實戰家層出不窮,不是在戰場上靠戰績打拼出來,便是在理論上優勝劣汰而來。為此,不刷新人才選拔規則,改革就可能停留在「舊腦殼」壟斷新位置的「新瓶裝舊酒」陷阱。

毛澤東主席說,我們這支軍隊在戰爭中成熟得快。這是因為我軍總是在生死存亡的關頭以主動變革闖出勝利之路。回顧歷史,我軍改革往往不是水到渠成般的從容不迫,而是在外有威脅、內有壓力下的絕地爆發。 「三灣改編」是在城市暴動的屢屢失敗中從不足千人的隊伍起步的,精兵簡政是在日寇「三光」政策、鐵壁合圍的重重圍困中展開的。今天我軍的改革,是在霸權國家炫耀海洋霸權、武力挑釁下發生的,是在日本右翼勢力撼動和平憲法進而圖謀顛覆戰後國際秩序的蠢蠢欲動中起航的,它肩負捍衛國家領土主權、維護世界和平的使命,容不得拖延,容不得馬虎,更容不得退縮。同時要看到,這次軍事改革是以國家經濟起飛為基礎的,是站在科技創新堅實肩膀上的躍進,機遇難得,機不可失。

(作者為國防大學戰略教學部主任、少將)

(摘自2015年12月23日《光明日報》)

軍改:搶佔戰略制高點的衝鋒號

盧建永 王雪平

建構聯合作戰指揮機構,打好組合拳

資訊化戰爭是體系與體系、系統與系統的博弈,單打獨鬥的勝利方式已沒有了用武之地。在變幻莫測的資訊化戰場上,諸軍兵種能否密切協調形成合力,聯合作戰指揮機構是「牛鼻子」。展望當今世界強國軍隊,無不透過建強聯合作戰指揮機構,使軍隊具備打贏資訊化戰爭的能力。冷戰結束後,美軍便立即著手進行總部領導指揮體制的調整與建設,俄羅斯、英國、法國等軍隊也是如此。我軍此次重磅改革,站在世界制高點思考,可謂全球視野、戰略思維。 2020年前要「努力建構能夠打贏資訊化戰爭、有效履行使命任務的中國特色現代軍事力量體系」。對領導管理體制和聯合作戰指揮體制進行一體設計”,“組建聯合作戰指揮機構”,著力構建“軍委—戰區—部隊的作戰指揮體系”。聯合指揮機構登台亮相,讓軍隊的“中樞神經”更加高效靈活,具體表現為:

強化了統一指揮。軍隊是擔負特殊使命任務的武裝力量集團,其特殊性要求必須高度統一指揮。習近平主席強調,「要著眼於貫徹新形勢下政治建軍的要求,推進領導掌握部隊和高效指揮部隊有機統一,形成軍委管總、戰區主戰、軍種主建的格局」。所謂軍委管總,就是“強化軍委集中統一領導,更好使軍隊最高領導權和指揮權集中於黨中央、中央軍委”,讓軍隊永遠聽黨的話。

減少了指揮層次。現代戰爭打的是“速度”,沒有指揮機關的快速決策、指揮和部隊的快速反應,就沒有戰場上的主動權。軍委會、戰區直接指揮部隊,指揮連結大大壓縮,指揮層的意志、決心,最短路徑轉化為部隊行動,在瞬息萬變的戰場上可有效搶佔先機,贏得戰場主動。

實現了精幹高效。臃腫低能的領導指揮機構,不僅難以讓軍隊機器高效快速運轉,更容易成為強敵「指哪兒打哪裡」的第一口餐。建構「軍委會、戰區、部隊」三級指揮體系,透過機關精修、重組,職能分工明確,可有效達成作戰指揮的高效益。

設陸軍部、劃戰區,專職謀打仗

長期以來,我軍陸軍領導指揮體制不健全,陸軍的建設、管理和領導職能由總部機關各部門代行,導致陸軍指揮與管理職能重疊,政出多門,相互制約,不僅不利於對陸軍建設進行頂層設計和系統規劃,而且使總部機關承受了過重的負擔。軍區機關的龐大與重複性設置,也導致指揮與管理職能相互衝突、雙重弱化。這些問題,既嚴重影響了陸軍作為一個軍種的整體建設,也限制了總部和戰區聯合作戰指揮功能的形成與發揮。目前,世界主要國家軍隊陸軍均建有陸軍總部,負責本軍種建設的各項工作,包括人事及行政管理、教育訓練、軍事科研、兵役動員、武器裝備及後勤支援等。我軍此次軍改,習近平主席基於對我國安全情勢的科學判斷,順應世界軍事革命大勢,指出深化國防和軍隊改革要「著力解決制約國防和軍事建設的體制性障礙、結構性矛盾、政策性問題,推進軍隊組織形態現代化,進一步解放和發展戰鬥力,進一步解放和增強軍隊活力,建立同我國國際地位相稱、同國家安全和發展利益相適應的鞏固國防和強大軍隊」。有軍事專家分析,此次軍改設陸軍部,將使陸​​軍的軍種意識更強,陸軍建設發展頂層設計的強化,可從根本上解決我軍陸軍數量規模大、兵種比例不合理、領導指揮體制縱長橫短,以及非作戰單位過度過濫的問題,一支靈敏、合成、多能、高效的中國特色陸軍將立於世界東方。而軍區變戰區,意義更重大。

一是戰區專職謀打仗,是一個完整的區域性作戰組織,未來我軍「打什麼仗、仗怎麼打」就會更清楚,而前瞻性的戰爭設計也會拉動和牽引軍隊建設發展,促進部隊戰鬥力躍升。二是軍區變戰區,既是一次領導指揮機構脫胎換骨的力量重組,領導指揮層更精幹高效,也使軍事鬥爭準備的針對性更強,同時戰區聯合訓練的製度化、常態化,確保了平時訓練與未來戰爭對接。

組成軍委紀委、政法委,讓軍旗永遠鮮紅

我軍從無到有、從小到大、從弱到強、從勝利走向勝利,堅持黨對軍隊絕對領導,從嚴治軍是根本保證。這次軍改,是我軍在新一輪軍事革命潮起湧動中能否迎頭趕上、彎道超車的歷史機遇,更需以依法治軍、從嚴治軍為其開路護航。習近平主席指出,「要著眼於深入推進依法治軍、從嚴治軍,抓住治權這個關鍵,建構嚴密的權力運作制約和監督體系」。 「專注於解決軍隊紀檢、巡視、審計、司法、監督獨立性和權威性不夠的問題,以編密紮緊制度的籠子,努力剷除腐敗現象滋生蔓延的土壤。組建新的軍委紀委,向軍委機關部門和戰區分別派駐紀檢組,推動紀委雙重領導體制落到實處。依法獨立公正行使職權。

優化軍兵種力量結構,讓「戰鬥力」實現跨越

三軍圍繞陸軍轉、陸軍圍繞重裝部隊的軍兵種力量結構,已不適應現代戰爭立體性、速度性、廣域性的需要。縱觀當今世界主要國家軍改,無不向結構重組要戰鬥力,特別是透過重刀削減過時兵種力量,加速新銳作戰力量發展,使軍隊挺立於軍事變革潮頭。如,重點發展技術兵種和突擊力強的兵種,加快快速反應部隊、輕型裝甲部隊、特種作戰部隊和陸軍航空兵建設等,以應對資訊化戰爭體系戰、速度戰的需要。另外,一些國家軍隊「打破軍兵種界線,創建一體化部隊」也成為部隊編組形式發展的大趨勢。如美軍組成的聯合遠徵部隊包括陸軍師、海軍航空母艦戰鬥群、海軍陸戰隊部(分)隊和空軍戰鬥機聯隊。這次軍改會上,習近平主席強調指出,「要著眼打造精銳作戰力量,優化規模結構和部隊編成,推動我軍由數量規模型轉向質量效能型」。若要「調整改善軍種比例,優化軍種力量結構,依照不同方向安全需求和作戰任務改革部隊編成,推動部隊編成向充實、合成、多能、靈活方向發展」。鮮明地指出了我軍戰鬥力建設必須牢牢抓住軍兵種結構來優化這個關鍵。

一是優化軍種力量結構,加速海、空軍力量發展,適當壓縮陸軍數量規模,使我軍力量結構能有效應對未來可能從海上發起的資訊化局部戰爭。二是優化兵種力量結構,削減、淘汰過時的兵種力量,加速發展新銳作戰力量,使各軍種的兵種比例更合理。三是優化部隊編制,著眼多樣化軍事任務需求,建設能滿足不同方向、不同威脅的多類型部隊,提高軍事鬥爭準備的針對性。

(摘自2015年12月10日《學習時報》)

我軍特色聯合文化的內涵要求

李鳳彪

習近平指出:「一項沒有文化支撐的事業難以持續長久」。作為一種特殊的軍事文化,聯合文化是聯合指揮人才在軍事實踐中關於聯合作戰的知識體系、價值取向、思維方法、道德規範和心理意識等形成的觀念形態和行為方式,是滋養和提升聯合作戰能力的重要“軟實力”

忠誠可靠、集中統一。堅持黨對軍隊的絕對領導,既是我軍克敵制勝的根本法寶,也是我軍先進文化的最大優勢、最大特色。現代資訊化聯合作戰,政治因素更加凸顯、參戰力量更加多元、組織指揮更加複雜、協同要求更加嚴格,把高度分散的作戰要素、作戰單元、作戰體係有機聚合起來,形成強大的戰鬥力,同樣必須有忠貞不渝的信念和集中統一的領導。

改革創新、資訊主導。在當今時代,改革創新是加速軍隊建設的精神動力,資訊主導是贏得軍事博弈的關鍵理念,二者必然構成聯合文化最鮮明的時代特色。特別是透過近年來資訊化局部戰爭實踐和新軍事革命發展大勢,不難發現資訊化不僅使傳統的情報戰力量、電子戰力量、指揮控制力量變得更加強大,而且催生了網路戰、心理戰等新的作戰力量,資訊主導已不僅是純粹技術性概念,逐漸成為指導各國軍隊軍事轉型的全新理念。

靈活自主、體係作戰。我軍歷來強調靈活機動的戰略戰術,這是揚長避短、擊敵軟肋的重要法寶,為我軍聯合文化提供了重要藉鏡。進入資訊化戰爭時代,敵我攻防交戰轉換迅捷、戰場形勢瞬息萬變,尤其是平台作戰、體系支撐,戰術行動、戰略保障的顯著特徵,為充分發揮我軍「活」的優勢提供了堅實基礎和廣闊空間。發展我軍聯合文化,就要正確運用聯合作戰的基本原則,把我軍戰略戰術融會貫通於陸、海、空、天、電、網多維一體的力量體系中,轉化為未來聯合作戰的戰略指導、戰術思想和指揮藝術,你打你的、我打我的,致人而不致於人,形成非對稱優勢,始終掌握戰略和作戰主動。

平戰一體、綜合集成。面對當前應對多種安全威脅、完成多樣化軍事任務的嚴峻考驗,發展我軍聯合文化,不僅要及時轉換和培育備戰打仗的新思路,把聯合作戰的科學方法滲透體現到策劃和指導部隊建設的整個過程各領域,搞好各種資源統籌配置,提高平時按照聯合作戰標準建設部隊的層次水平;而且要著眼增強戰時基於信息系統的體係作戰能力,發揮信息技術作用,運用系統工程方法,把生成戰鬥力的各個子系統、分系統整合成一個有機的整體,努力使武裝力量一體化、軍隊編成一體化、指揮控制一體化、作戰要素一體化成為自覺遵循,最大限度地凝聚作戰能力、釋放作戰能量。

團結協作、聯合製勝。為共同革命的理想團結一心、並肩奮戰、爭取勝利,向來是我軍戰勝強敵的價值理念。在資訊化條件下,科技的快速發展既使各要素作戰能力空前提升,也使戰場情況異常複雜,只有強化聯合製勝的價值理念,做到著眼體系、系統聯動,優勢互補、動態協同,精誠團結、精兵高效,才能以最小的代價贏得最大的勝利。發展我軍聯合文化,就要突顯團結協作、聯合製勝,積極建構與聯合作戰相符合的勝利觀、榮譽觀、利益觀、得失觀,徹底破除軍兵種利益掣肘和局部狹隘觀念,自覺養成自主協同、自覺配合、交鏈互動的聯合精神,使各種作戰力量最優組合、無縫鏈接,彰顯效能、合力製勝。

(作者為成都軍區副司令)

(摘自2015年12月23日《解放軍報》)

俄美:培養聯合作戰軍事人才

田義偉

全面培養聯合作戰指揮人才、聯合作戰資訊化訓練管理人才、聯合作戰資訊科技專業人才,推動高素質聯合作戰人才隊伍建設,是世界各國軍隊改革中在文化層面促進聯合作戰能力形成的基本途徑

俄軍把培養聯合作戰人才作為軍事文化的優先發展方向,認為軍隊院校是軍事人才培育的基地,是孕育聯合文化的搖籃,對聯合文化的發展起到引領示範作用。俄軍為拓展學員的知識結構,增進軍兵種之間的相互了解,消除“門戶之見”,對軍事教育體制進行了重大改革,強化構建初、中、高級聯合教育體制,在教育全程提升聯合作戰指揮能力。 2008年底,俄軍開始對軍事教育體系進行全面整合,正如俄總統普丁所指出:「軍事教育正在經歷重大改革。我們正在組成10個大型科研教學中心,所有這些機構都建在一套嚴格的垂直體系中,並根據服役情況為軍官們提供不斷提升自身職業水平的機會。

俄國防部教育司透露,為連續不間斷地提高各級軍官的聯合作戰素養,今後將充分發揮在職短期培訓的作用,及時更新軍官隊伍的知識結構,確保軍官成為掌握現代技術的高水平專業人員。俄軍也在高、中級軍事學院開設了資訊化聯合作戰講座,重新修訂了教學大綱,使院校教學內容更加貼近現代戰爭實際。俄總參軍事學院組織聯合作戰研討,提升學員資訊化聯合作戰指揮能力,打造精通聯合文化的複合型指揮官。俄軍加強聯合指揮人才培養的經驗告訴我們,必須把基於資訊系統的一體化聯合作戰教育訓練納入指揮員的培訓之中,使指揮人員在初、中級指揮崗位上都能按計劃接受有關「一體化聯合作戰」的教育與訓練,使其在進入高級指揮崗位之前就掌握相關的知識、技能,具備一定的聯合素養。高超的聯合作戰指揮藝術,累積著聯合文化的深厚底蘊,刻畫著聯合文化的深刻印跡。它貫穿於聯合作戰人才成長的整個過程,滲透到聯合作戰人才成長的各個方面,影響著聯合作戰人才的思維方式、價值觀念、心智模式和行為習慣,是聯合作戰人才鍛造的催化劑和倍增器,從根本上決定著聯合作戰人才培養的品質和水準。

在實際訓練中,世界上許多國家軍隊都強調,各軍兵種、各部隊要把聯合訓練放在優先的位置,著重培養指揮員跨軍種、兵種、部門的協同意識和能力,強調從基礎的單兵訓練開始,就向士兵灌輸“本能的聯合思維”,使指揮官和士兵充分認識到自己是聯合部隊的一員,是整體作戰力量的一分子,自覺地從聯合的角度思考問題,採取行動。以美軍的聯合作戰為例,美軍在經歷了消除軍種衝突,彌合軍種縫隙兩個階段後,現正處於多軍種能力無縫隙融合階段,向著內聚式聯合發展。

(作者為軍事科學院外軍部政治協理員 )

(摘自2015年12月28日《參考消息》)

資料來源:《紅旗文摘》雜誌2016年第2期

中國原創軍事資源:http://theory.people.com.cn/n1/2016/0301/c352498-28161788.html

Chinese Military Research on Typical Operational Styles of Intelligent Warfare

中國軍隊智能戰爭典型作戰方式研究

現代英語:

Intelligent warfare is a new form of warfare that has gradually developed with the continuous advancement of science and technology. It widely uses intelligent technology to achieve all-round informatization, digitization and intelligence of war. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict can be seen as a microcosm of intelligent warfare, from which we can see the transformation and application of high-tech in actual warfare in the past decade, as well as the astonishing military effectiveness it has produced.

In recent years, major military countries around the world have listed artificial intelligence, big data and other emerging technologies as priority development, and analyzed their military applications and impact on modern warfare based on theoretical research, combat experiments and other methods. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has become an important window and key testing ground for its perspective on actual combat effectiveness. After this actual combat test, countries around the world have been inspired to accelerate war preparations to cope with the upcoming era of comprehensive intelligent warfare. A new round of AI arms race has quietly begun!

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02

Characteristics of intelligent warfare

Different from traditional warfare forms, the characteristics of intelligent warfare are: with artificial intelligence and big data as the core, through advanced artificial intelligence algorithms and large-scale data sets, to achieve rapid information acquisition, processing and sharing, and provide more comprehensive and accurate information support. Based on network information, on a highly networked information warfare platform, comprehensive information control and efficient transmission are achieved, and each combat unit can share and coordinate actions in real time to improve command efficiency, combat coordination and flexibility. Command and control is the key, and through intelligent command and control systems, intelligent decision-making systems and autonomous combat systems, the combat situation is monitored throughout the process, and combat operations are efficiently coordinated and accurately controlled. High-quality talents are needed to support it, and talents with high-level intelligent technology can better use intelligent technology. Promote the transformation of combat styles. With the development of intelligent technology, combat styles are constantly innovating, and tactical response requirements are constantly changing. Networked combat, intelligent reconnaissance and strike, unmanned combat, cognitive domain combat, etc. are more typical combat styles in intelligent warfare.

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Essential characteristics, application scenarios and tactical response requirements of typical combat styles of intelligent warfare

(I) Networked combat

  1. Essential points

Networked combat is to build a networked combat platform through a series of information technology, communication technology, network technology and computer technology, interconnect various combat units, combat systems, etc., realize information acquisition, processing, sharing and coordinated actions, and achieve the purpose of comprehensive control of battlefield information, efficient decision-making and coordinated combat. Its essence emphasizes sharing and coordination.

  1. Application scenarios

Networked combat covers multiple application scenarios such as command and control, intelligence collection, combat coordination and logistics support: ① In terms of command and control, networking connects various command and control systems, sensors and weapons and equipment, so that commanders can grasp the battlefield situation in real time, improve decision-making ability and accuracy, and realize efficient command and control and coordinated processing. ② In terms of intelligence collection and analysis, networking realizes information sharing and collaborative analysis between various intelligence collection equipment, systems and personnel, enabling intelligence departments to obtain and analyze intelligence more comprehensively, accurately and timely, and provide more reliable data support for decision-making. ③ In terms of combat force coordination, networked connections enable information sharing and coordinated actions between various units, equipment and resources, and achieve more accurate combat operations. ④ In terms of logistics support, networking enables efficient logistics support through intelligent support systems, improves the efficiency and accuracy of logistics support, and achieves optimal allocation and efficient scheduling of logistics resources.

Figure 1 Schematic diagram of networked operations

  1. Tactical response requirements

Networked operations require tactical response: First, information reliability. In networked operations, information is an important factor in leading operations. All combat units and systems must fully understand the importance of accurate information and provide reliable data support for decision-making. Second, network globality. Networked operations are not just the behavior of individual combat units, but the global behavior of the entire combat system, which requires coordination and cooperation from the perspective of the entire combat system. Third, high coordination. All combat units and systems must have a high degree of coordination capabilities, be able to quickly respond to various combat tasks, and achieve accurate combat operations. Fourth, technological advancement. All combat units and systems must have advanced technical capabilities, be able to master and apply various information technologies and equipment proficiently, and ensure the smooth progress of networked operations. Fifth, security and stability. It is necessary to ensure information security and network system stability, take security measures and technical means to prevent network attacks and data leakage, establish a strong network security protection system, adopt encryption technology and protocols, implement data management and access control, regularly detect and repair security vulnerabilities, adopt backup and fault-tolerant mechanisms, and avoid equipment failure or network interruption affecting combat effectiveness.

(II) Intelligent reconnaissance and strike

  1. Essential points

Intelligent reconnaissance and strike is to achieve accurate reconnaissance and efficient strikes on enemy targets through intelligent technology, quickly and accurately discover combat targets, and reduce combat losses. Its essence emphasizes: high precision, using high-resolution sensors, high-precision positioning technology, image recognition technology, etc. to achieve high-precision reconnaissance and positioning of targets; high speed, using advanced missile technology, artillery technology and drone technology, etc. to achieve high-speed strikes and destruction of targets; intelligent decision-making, using artificial intelligence technology, big data technology and cloud computing technology, etc. to achieve automatic identification and decision-making of targets, and improve damage effectiveness and efficiency.

  1. Application scenarios

Intelligent reconnaissance and strike are widely used in various combat fields: ① In ground warfare, use intelligent equipment such as satellites, drones and ground robots for reconnaissance, obtain high-precision image data of enemy positions, analyze enemy force deployment, weapons and equipment, and action patterns; use intelligent shells to achieve comprehensive coverage and strikes on enemy areas by accurately calculating shooting elements. ② In naval warfare, use intelligent reconnaissance equipment to identify and track targets at sea, grasp the dynamics of enemy ships in real time, and provide accurate coordinate information for strikes; through real-time perception and tracking, guide intelligent missiles to achieve long-range precision strikes on mobile targets. ③ In special combat environments, such as urban street fighting, use intelligent reconnaissance equipment to conduct reconnaissance inside buildings, and achieve precision strikes inside buildings through high-precision sensors and strike algorithms; in mountain warfare, use intelligent reconnaissance equipment to conduct reconnaissance and analysis of mountain terrain to provide accurate terrain information support for troops’ marching and combat.

Figure 2 “Reconnaissance and Strike” Wheeled Reconnaissance Robot

  1. Tactical Response Requirements

Comprehensive, accurate and efficient intelligent support and guarantee services are the key to supporting the effectiveness of this combat style, mainly as follows: First, realize all-round highly intelligent intelligence collection and analysis. Use advanced intelligent equipment (such as satellites, drones, etc.) and technologies (such as machine learning, big data, cloud computing, etc.) to conduct highly automated reconnaissance and intelligence collection, and automatically analyze and process the massive heterogeneous data obtained, so as to achieve comprehensive perception, monitoring and deep mining of battlefield conditions, and provide comprehensive, accurate and fresh data guarantee services for target indication and strike. Second, intelligent command, control and strike. On the basis of intelligent, efficient and accurate collection, reconnaissance and analysis of battlefield data, it is also necessary to use artificial intelligence technology and automation systems to conduct highly automated command and control, identify and track enemy targets, make decisions quickly and guide weapon systems to carry out precise strikes. Third, formulate accurate emergency plans. The battlefield situation changes rapidly, and emergency response capabilities are crucial. Use intelligent technology to analyze battlefield situations in real time, predict possible emergencies or prejudge the actions of mobile targets, formulate emergency plans or strike ideas in advance, and ensure that rapid response and strike response can be made when emergencies occur.

(III) Unmanned combat

  1. Essential points

Unmanned combat is the use of unmanned technology to realize the combat use of unmanned equipment. Its advantage is to reduce casualties and perform combat tasks in some high-risk and complex environments. The key point is the development of unmanned equipment, such as drones, unmanned vehicles, and unmanned boats. These equipment can achieve high-precision and high-speed reconnaissance, strike and other combat operations in combat.

  1. Application scenarios

Unmanned combat has a variety of combat scenarios, including but not limited to: ① Drones can be used in ground warfare. Use drones to conduct high-altitude reconnaissance and surveillance outside the enemy’s air defense system to obtain high-definition image data; they can also be equipped with weapon systems to accurately strike and destroy enemy targets. ② Unmanned vehicles can be used in urban combat. Unmanned vehicles equipped with high-precision sensors and weapon systems can be used to replace human soldiers to perform reconnaissance, patrol, attack and defense tasks in urban streets to avoid casualties. ③ Unmanned boats can be used in maritime operations. Unmanned boats equipped with a variety of sensors and weapon systems can be used to perform maritime reconnaissance, patrol, anti-submarine warfare, attack and anti-piracy tasks.

Figure 3 UAVs equipped with ammunition on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield

  1. Tactical response requirements

Unmanned combat requires the following tactical requirements: First, autonomy and intelligence are at the core. Unmanned combat systems need to have a certain level of autonomy and intelligence, and be able to complete combat tasks autonomously without human intervention. The system needs to have advanced autonomous action control technology, intelligent perception technology and decision-making planning capabilities. Second, target recognition and decision-making speed must be fast. The timeliness requirements for unmanned combat systems to quickly identify targets and make decisions require high-precision sensors and efficient image processing capabilities, as well as real-time data analysis capabilities and powerful decision-making algorithms. Third, information sharing and collaboration are very necessary. Unmanned combat systems need to share information and collaborate with other systems. The system needs to have efficient information transmission capabilities and powerful collaborative combat algorithms to achieve functions such as task allocation, action coordination and information sharing. Fourth, safety and stability are the bottom line. Unmanned combat systems need to be safe and stable and able to operate stably in complex battlefield environments. The system needs to have advanced security assurance technology and stability control capabilities to cope with various emergencies and dangerous situations.

The above requirements are the key to achieving efficient, accurate and reliable unmanned combat, and are also important considerations for the development and deployment of unmanned combat system equipment.

(IV) Cognitive domain combat

  1. Essential characteristics

Cognitive domain combat is the use of theories of relevant disciplines such as cognitive science, system science, communication, linguistics, social culture, and social behavior, with multiple information carriers such as text, pictures, sound, and video, and the comprehensive use of various combat methods and technical means to compete for the spirit, thought, thinking, and thinking of the target object, to achieve cognitive influence, cognitive shaping, cognitive control, and cognitive manipulation of the target object, and promote the formation of a cognitive situation that is beneficial to oneself.

  1. Application scenarios

Cognitive domain combat is not a unique combat style of intelligent warfare. Its ideas are reflected in military tactics and strategies in ancient and modern times, both at home and abroad. With the promotion and empowerment of artificial intelligence technology in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, social robots, deep fake videos, etc. are widely used in online media, influencing social public opinion, manipulating public cognition, and exerting power efficiently and accurately, making cognitive warfare a “brain battle” for global digital communication. Its application scenarios are: ① Military fraud. Through propaganda, psychological suggestion, induction and other deception and fraud methods, try to make the enemy misjudge the situation, affect their cognition, emotions and behavior, and thus disintegrate their morale and fighting will. For example, during World War II, the Soviet Union used large-scale propaganda activities to promote the strength of the Soviet Union and the defeat of Germany to German soldiers, thereby affecting the morale and fighting will of German soldiers. ② Media propaganda. Information dissemination through television, radio, the Internet, etc., affects the public’s views and attitudes on specific issues. For example, in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Ukrainian politicians and ordinary people intensively spoke on social platforms such as Twitter, gaining widespread attention and sympathy from the international community, and creating a cognitive situation that is beneficial to Ukraine in the international public opinion field. ③ Long-term consciousness infiltration. Through the long-term cultivation of concepts, culture, religion, ideology, etc., people’s cognition and values ​​are unconsciously influenced. This is a very covert and effective combat strategy.

Figure 4 Cognitive Domain Operations

  1. Tactical Response Requirements

Cognitive domain operations have the following tactical requirements: First, accurately locate the target object, formulate different strategies according to different target objects, understand their cognitive characteristics, needs, values, etc., and formulate more targeted strategies. Second, multi-dimensional information dissemination, and comprehensive use of multiple information carriers and dissemination channels for dissemination. Third, use psychological principles and master psychological knowledge and skills, such as suggestion, induction, group effect, etc., to better manipulate cognition. Fourth, flexibly respond to protective measures, and adjust strategies in time through information detection and counterattack, network tracking and attack, etc., to ensure its effectiveness and safety. Fifth, emphasize effect feedback evaluation in order to adjust strategies and means, and continuously optimize and improve tactics.

(V) Other combat styles

Some other new combat styles have also emerged in intelligent warfare. These combat styles have their own characteristics and advantages, and play an important role in improving combat effectiveness: Directed energy weapon combat is a combat method that uses high-energy beams to attack. This weapon can destroy enemy targets at a long distance, and has the characteristics of high precision, high speed and high destructive power. Directed energy weapons include laser weapons, particle beam weapons and microwave weapons, which can be used in various combat fields such as air, ground and sea. Cross-domain combat refers to leapfrogging attacks and defenses between different fields such as space, cyberspace and land, sea and air battlefields, using intelligent technology to achieve leapfrogging actions between different fields to achieve a surprising victory. For example, air power can be used to strike enemy ground targets, and ground power can be used to strike enemy sea targets. Stealth combat is to use various technologies and means to hide and disguise oneself on the battlefield, avoid enemy reconnaissance and attack, and improve one’s own survivability and attack effect. For example, in air and sea combat environments, stealth fighters and stealth submarines use their installed stealth materials and stealth technology to avoid enemy radar, infrared, sonar and other detection.

Figure 5 Directed energy weapons

Figure 6 Cross-domain combat

Figure 7 US “B-2 Spirit” stealth bomber

In short, there are many new combat styles in intelligent warfare, all of which are innovative to improve combat effectiveness. As technology continues to advance and develop, more new combat methods and innovative applications will emerge, providing more support and guarantees for winning intelligent wars.

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Comprehensive analysis of typical combat styles

Comprehensive analysis of typical combat styles shows that: (1) “Controlling energy with intelligence”, “Gathering energy over a wide area” and “Precisely releasing energy” are its fundamental strategic ideas, achieving maximum war benefits at the lowest cost. Networked combat and cross-domain combat realize battlefield information perception, monitoring and coordination in all fields and dimensions, such as air, land, sea and network, and cross-domain integration enhances strength; intelligent reconnaissance and strike realize accurate intelligence analysis and precise target positioning and strike, reducing damage to surrounding evasion facilities and ordinary people; unmanned combat emphasizes reducing casualties of one’s own manpower, and autonomously carrying out combat missions through unmanned equipment systems; cognitive domain combat uses intelligence to control invisible competition, achieving the goal of defeating the enemy without fighting. (2) Highly dependent on technology, coordination and intelligence, with algorithm computing power as the underlying support. All combat styles, without exception, rely on information, network, communication and other technical support to achieve the coordination of various combat forces and weapons and equipment, and have the ability to execute tasks and make decisions intelligently and autonomously. As its underlying support, algorithms dominate the operation and decision-making of intelligent weapons, and computing power provides faster response speed, more accurate decision-making and more efficient execution capabilities, which directly affects combat effectiveness and victory or defeat. (3) Combat effectiveness increases geometrically. Through high-speed, high-precision and high-efficiency human-machine collaboration, decentralized, fast and flexible tactical actions are used to form a non-linear, non-contact and asymmetric combat method to quickly achieve combat objectives. Compared with traditional combat, the combat effectiveness it releases is exponentially increasing.

Disclaimer: This article is transferred from Shigao Technology Online, the original author is Kou Jingxing, Yang Pei and Li Qingqing. The content of the article is the personal opinion of the original author. This public account is compiled/reprinted only for sharing and conveying different opinions. If you have any objections, please contact us!

Transferred from | Kou Jingxing, Yang Pei and Li Qingqing

Author | Shigao Technology Online

Introduction to the Institute

The International Institute of Technology and Economics (IITE) was established in November 1985. It is a non-profit research institution affiliated to the Development Research Center of the State Council. Its main function is to study major policy, strategic and forward-looking issues in my country’s economic, scientific and technological social development, track and analyze the world’s scientific and technological and economic development trends, and provide decision-making consulting services to the central government and relevant ministries and commissions. “Global Technology Map” is the official WeChat account of the International Institute of Technology and Economics, dedicated to delivering cutting-edge technology information and technological innovation insights to the public.

Address: Block A, Building 20, Xiaonanzhuang, Haidian District, Beijing

現代國語:

智慧化戰爭是隨著科技的不斷進步而逐漸發展起來的一種新型戰爭形態,其廣泛運用智慧化技術實現戰爭全方位的資訊化、數位化和智慧化。俄烏衝突可視為智慧化戰爭縮影,從中看到近十年高新科技在實際戰爭中的轉化運用,以及產生的令人瞠目的軍事效能。

近年來,全球主要軍事國家都將人工智慧、大數據等列為優先發展的新興技術,依托理論研究、作戰實驗等方法分析其軍事應用及對現代戰爭影響。俄烏衝突便成為其透視實際作戰效果的重要窗口和關鍵試驗場。經此實戰檢驗,世界各國從中獲得啟發,必須加速推進戰爭準備,以因應即將到來的全面智慧化戰爭時代。新一輪的AI軍備競賽悄悄開啟!

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02

智慧化戰爭特徵

與傳統戰爭形態不同,智慧化戰爭其特徵體現:以人工智慧和大數據為核心,透過先進人工智慧演算法和大規模資料集,實現資訊快速獲取、處理和共享,提供更全面且準確的資訊支援。以網路資訊為基礎,在高度網路化資訊作戰平台上,實現資訊全面掌控、高效傳遞,各作戰單元能即時共享和協同行動,提升指揮效率、作戰協同性和彈性。以指揮控制為關鍵,透過智慧化指揮控制系統、智慧決策系統及自主作戰系統等,全程監控作戰狀況、有效率協調並精確控製作戰行動。需高素質人才支持,具備高水準智慧化技術的人才能更好地運用智慧化技術。推動作戰樣式變革,隨著智慧化技術發展,作戰樣式不斷創新,戰術反應需求不斷變化。網路化作戰、智慧偵察與打擊、無人化作戰、認知域作戰等是智慧化戰爭中較為典型的作戰樣式。

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智慧化戰爭典型作戰樣式本質特徵、應用場景及戰術反應要求

(一)網路化作戰

1.本質要點

網路化作戰是透過一系列資訊科技、通訊技術、網路技術和電腦科技等,建構形成網路化作戰平台,將各個作戰單位、作戰系統等相互聯通,實現資訊取得、處理、共享及協同行動,達到全面掌控戰場資訊、高效決策與協同作戰目的,其本質強調共享及協同。

2.應用場景

網路化作戰涵蓋指揮控制、情報收集、作戰協同和後勤保障等多個應用場景:①指揮控制方面,網路化將各種指揮控制系統、感測器和武器裝備進行連接,指揮官可即時掌握戰場態勢,提高決策能力與準確度,實現高效指揮控制及協同處理。 ②情報收集和分析方面,網路化實現各種情報收集設備、系統和人員之間的資訊共享和協同分析,使情報部門更加全面、準確、及時獲取和分析情報,為決策提供更可靠的數據支持。 ③作戰力量協同方面,網路化連結實現各部隊、裝備和資源之間的資訊共享和協同行動,實現更精準的作戰行動。 ④後勤保障方面,網路化透過智慧化保障系統實現高效率後勤保障,提升後勤支援效率與精確度,實現後勤資源最佳化配置與高效調度。

圖1 網路化作戰示意圖

3.戰術反應要求

網路化作戰對戰術反應需求:一是資訊可靠性。在網路化作戰中,資訊是主導作戰的重要因素,各作戰單位和系統要充分認識準確資訊的重要性,為決策提供可靠的數據支援。二是網路全局性。網路化作戰不只是個別作戰單位行為,而是整個作戰系統全局性的行為,需從整個作戰系統的角度出發進行協同配合。三是高度協同性。各作戰單位和系統要具備高度的協同能力,能夠快速回應各種作戰任務,實現精準作戰行動。四是技術先進性。各作戰單位及系統要具備先進技術能力,能熟練及應用各種資訊技術及裝備,並保障網路化作戰順利進行。五是安全穩定性。必須保障資訊安全和網路系統穩定,採取安全措施和技術手段,防範網路攻擊和資料洩露,建立強大的網路安全防護體系,採用加密技術和協議,實施資料管理和存取控制,定期偵測和修復安全漏洞,採取備份和容錯機制,避免設備故障或網路中斷影響作戰效果。

(二)智能偵察與打擊

1.本質要點

智慧偵察與打擊是透過智慧化技術實現對敵方目標精準偵察和高效打擊,快速準確發現作戰目標,減少作戰損失,其本質強調:高精度,利用高解析度感測器、高精度定位技術和影像識別技術等,實現對於目標高精度偵察和定位;高速度,利用先進飛彈技術、砲彈技術和無人機技術等,實現對於目標高速度打擊和摧毀;智慧化決策,利用人工智慧技術、大數據技術和雲端運算技術等,實現對於目標自動辨識與決策,提高毀傷效能和效率。

2.應用場景

智慧偵察與打擊在多種作戰領域廣泛應用:①在地面戰爭中,利用衛星、無人機和地面機器人等智慧型設備進行偵察,取得敵方陣地高精度影像數據,分析敵方兵力部署、武器裝備和行動規律等資訊;透過精確計算射擊諸元,利用智慧砲彈實現對敵方區域全面覆蓋和打擊。 ②在海上戰爭中,利用智慧偵察設備對海上目標進行識別和跟踪,實時掌握敵方艦船動態,為打擊提供精準坐標信息;通過實時感知和跟踪,引導智能導彈實現對移動目標遠程精準打擊。 ③在特殊作戰環境下,如城市巷戰中,利用智慧偵察設備對建築物內部進行偵察,透過高精度感測器和打擊演算法,實現對建築物內部精準打擊;山地作戰中,利用智慧偵察設備對山區地形進行偵察分析,為部隊行軍作戰提供精準的地形資訊支援。

圖2 「察打一體」輪式偵察機器人

3.戰術反應要求

全面、精準、高效率的智慧化支援與保障服務,是支撐此作戰樣式取得成效關鍵,主要為:一是實現全方位高智慧化情報收集與分析。利用先進智慧型設備(如衛星、無人機等)和技術(如機器學習、大數據、雲端運算等),進行高度自動化偵察和情報蒐集,並對獲取的海量異源資料進行自動化分析處理,實現對戰場狀況全面感知、監控以及深度挖掘,為目標指示與打擊提供全面、精準、新鮮的資料保障服務。二是智能化指揮控制與打擊。在對戰場資料進行智慧高效準確地蒐集、偵察及分析基礎上,還需利用人工智慧技術和自動化系統,進行高度自動化指揮控制,對敵方目標進行識別和追踪,快速做出決策並引導武器系統進行精確打擊。三是製定精準的緊急應變計畫。戰場態勢瞬息萬變,緊急應變能力至關重要。利用智慧技術對戰場情況進行即時分析,預測可能出現的突發情況或對移動目標行動進行預判,提前製定應急預案或打擊思路,確保能夠在突發事件發生時迅速做出快速響應處置和打擊反應。

(三)無人化作戰

1.本質要點

無人化作戰是利用無人化技術,實現無人化裝備的作戰運用。其優勢在於減少人員傷亡,可執行一些高風險和複雜環境下的作戰任務。其要點是無人化裝備的發展,如無人機、無人車、無人艇等。這些裝備可以在作戰中實現高精準度、高速度的偵察、打擊等作戰行動。

2.應用場景

無人化作戰有多種作戰場景,包括但不限於:①無人機可應用於地面戰爭。利用無人機在敵方防空系統之外進行高空偵察與監視,取得高清晰度影像資料;亦可裝填武器系統,對敵方目標進行精確打擊與摧毀。 ②無人車可應用於都市作戰。利用無人車搭載高精準度感測器和武器系統,取代人類士兵在城市街道進行偵察巡邏、攻擊和防禦等任務,避免傷亡。 ③無人艇可應用於海上作戰。利用無人艇搭載多種感測器和武器系統,進行海上偵察巡邏、反潛作戰攻擊和反海盜等任務。

圖3 俄烏戰場上的配彈無人機

3.戰術反應要求

無人化作戰在戰術上要求:一是自主化和智慧化為其核心。無人化作戰系統需要具備一定自主化和智慧化水平,能夠在沒有人為幹預情況下自主完成作戰任務,需要係統具備先進自主行動控制技術、智慧感知技術和決策規劃能力。二是目標識別和決策速度要快。無人化作戰系統快速識別目標並做出決策的時效要求,需要依靠高精度感測器和高效影像處理能力,以及即時數據分析能力和強大決策演算法。三是資訊共享與協同非常必要。無人化作戰系統要與其他系統分享資訊和協同作戰,需要係統具有高效資訊傳輸能力和強大協同作戰演算法,能夠實現任務分配、行動協調和資訊共享等功能。四是安全穩定為保底。無人化作戰系統需要安全性和穩定性,能夠在複雜戰場環境中穩定運作。需要係統具有先進的安全保障技術和穩定性控制能力,能夠應付各種突發事件和危險情況。

以上要求是實現高效、精準和可靠的無人化作戰關鍵,也是無人化作戰系統裝備開發和部署的重要考量。

(四)認知域作戰

1.本質特點

認知域作戰是運用認知科學、系統科學、傳播學、語言學、社會文化學、社會行為學等相關學科理論,以文本、圖片、聲音、視頻等多重資訊載體,綜合運用多種作戰方式和技術手段,對目標對象進行精神、思想、思維、思考的爭奪,實現對目標對象的認知影響、認知塑造、認知控制和認知操縱,推動形成對己方有利的認知態勢。

2.應用場景

認知域作戰並非是智慧化戰爭的獨有作戰樣式,其思想在古今中外軍事兵法策略均有所體現。隨著人工智慧技術在俄烏衝突中的推動與賦能,社交機器人、深度偽造影片等大量應用在網路媒體中,影響社交輿論、操控大眾認知、高效精準發揮威力,使得認知戰成為全球數位傳播的“大腦爭奪戰”,其應用場景有:①軍事詐欺。透過宣傳、心理暗示、誘導等欺騙欺詐手段,試圖讓敵人誤判情勢,影響其認知、情緒和行為,從而瓦解其士氣和戰鬥意志。例如,在二戰期間,蘇聯透過大規模宣傳活動,向德國士兵宣傳蘇聯的強大和德國的戰敗,從而影響了德國士兵的士氣和戰鬥意志。 ②媒體宣傳。透過電視、廣播、網路等資訊傳播,影響大眾對特定議題的看法與態度。例如,在俄烏衝突中,烏克蘭政要、一般民眾在推特等社群平台上密集發聲,收穫國際社會廣泛關注和同情,在國際輿論場營造出了有利於烏方的認知態勢。 ③長期性意識滲透。透過長期培養觀念、文化、宗教、意識形態等,在不知不覺中影響人們認知和價值觀,這是一種非常隱密有效地作戰策略。

圖4 認知域作戰

3.戰術反應要求

認知域作戰在戰術上要求:一是精準定位目標對象,依照不同目標對象制定不同策略,了解其認知特徵、需求、價值觀等,制定更具針對性策略。二是多維度資訊傳播,綜合運用多種資訊載體及傳播管道進行傳播。第三是運用心理學原理,掌握心理學知識技巧,如暗示、誘導、團體效應等,更能操控認知。四是靈活應對防護措施,透過資訊偵測和反擊、網路追蹤和攻擊等,及時調整策略,確保其有效性和安全性。五是強調效果回饋評估,以便調整策略和手段,不斷優化和改進戰術。

(五)其他作戰樣式

在智慧化戰爭中也出現了一些其他新型作戰樣式,這些風格各具特點優勢,對於提升作戰效能具有重要的作用:定向能武器作戰,是一種利用高能量射線束進行攻擊的作戰方式。這種武器可以在遠距離上摧毀敵方目標,同時具有高精度、高速度和高破壞力等特徵。定向能武器包括雷射武器、粒子束武器和微波武器等,它們可以在空中、地面和海上等多種作戰領域中應用。跨域作戰,指在太空、網路空間及陸海空戰場等不同領域之間進行跨越式攻擊與防禦,利用智慧化技術實現不同領域之間跨越式行動,達到出奇制勝的效果。例如,可以利用空中力量對敵方地面目標進行打擊,利用地面力量對敵方海上目標進行打擊。隱形作戰,是利用各種技術和手段,在戰場上隱藏和偽裝自己,避免被敵方偵察和攻擊,提高己方生存能力和攻擊效果。如在空中、海上作戰環境中,隱形戰鬥機、隱形潛艇等利用其加裝的隱形材料和隱形技術,躲避敵方雷達、紅外線、聲吶等探測。

圖5 定向能武器

圖6 跨域作戰

圖7 美國「B-2幽靈」隱形轟炸機

總之,智慧化戰爭中的新型作戰樣式多元,都是為了提升作戰效能而創新。隨著科技不斷進步與發展,也將出現更多新型作戰方式與創新應用,為打贏智慧化戰爭提供更多支援與保障。

✦✦

04

典型作戰樣式綜合分析

綜合分析典型作戰樣式可看出:(1)「以智出能」「廣域聚能」「精準釋能」為其根本戰略思想,實現以最小代價獲得最大戰爭效益。網路化作戰及跨域作戰實現空、地、海、網路等全領域全維度戰場資訊感知監控與協同,跨域融合增強實力;智慧偵察與打擊實現精確情報分析與精準目標定位打擊,減少對週邊避打設施及一般民眾的傷害;無人作戰強調減少已方有生力量傷亡,透過無人裝備系統自主行動實施作戰任務;認知域作戰以智駕馭無形較量,達到不戰而屈人之兵目的。 (2)高度依賴技術、協同、智能,以演算法算力為底層支撐。各種作戰樣式無一例外都依賴資訊、網路、通訊等技術支持,實現各種作戰力量和武器裝備協同,具備智慧化自主執行任務和決策能力。作為其底層支撐,演算法主導智慧武器的運作和決策,算力提供更快反應速度、更精準決策和更有效率執行能力,直接影響作戰效果和勝負。 (3)作戰效能呈幾何倍增。透過高速度、高精度和高效率人機協同,以分散、快速、靈活的戰術行動,形成非線性、非接觸、非對稱作戰方式,迅速達成作戰目標。相較於傳統作戰,其釋放出的作戰效能呈指數級增長。

免責聲明:本文轉自事高科技在線,原作者寇靜行 楊培 李晴晴。文章內容係原作者個人觀點,本公眾號編譯/轉載僅為分享、傳達不同觀點,如有任何異議,歡迎聯絡我們!

轉自丨寇靜行 楊培 李晴晴

作者丨事高科技在線

研究所簡介

國際技術經濟研究所(IITE)成立於1985年11月,是隸屬於國務院發展研究中心的非營利研究機構,主要功能是研究我國經濟、科技社會發展中的重大政策性、策略性、前瞻性問題,追蹤分析世界科技、經濟發展態勢,為中央和相關部會提供決策諮詢服務。 「全球技術地圖」為國際技術經濟研究所官方微信帳號,致力於向大眾傳遞尖端技術資訊與科技創新洞見。

地址:北京市海淀區小南莊20號樓A座

中國原創軍事資源:https://www.163.com/dy/article/J237LVGJ0514R888.html

Chinese Military Exploring Wasy to Win in Intelligent Warfare Amidst Change & Constancy

中國軍隊在變中求變中探索智慧戰爭制勝之道

中國軍網 國防部網 // 2019年10月22日 星期二

現代英語:

In today’s world, artificial intelligence has made significant breakthroughs and is accelerating its transfer to the military field, which has an impact on the form of war and even a subversive impact. Faced with increasingly fierce strategic competition and rights and interests among major powers, we should use a development perspective to rationally examine and correctly understand intelligence in the thinking of the “change” and “unchange” of the law of winning wars, select the strategic commanding heights and main attack directions of future military competition, and scientifically explore the way to win intelligent warfare.

Intelligent warfare will redraw the boundaries of war, but the standard for winning wars is still to achieve political benefits, so it can be a policy of victory or defeat

The territory of intelligent warfare is expanding to new areas. Engels pointed out: “Human beings fight in the same way as they produce.” The rapid penetration of intelligent technology into the field of combat will inevitably subvert the form of combat effectiveness. Driven by new theories and technologies such as big data, supercomputing, intelligent communications, and brain science, intelligent warfare will subvert people’s inherent cognition with “unexpected” new ways and “omnipotent” new appearances. The cognitive domain has become another contest space for the warring parties after land, sea, air, space, electricity, and the Internet. The territory of human military confrontation is bound to extend from natural space, technical space, social space to cognitive space, forming three major combat latitudes: physical domain, information domain, and cognitive domain. The boundaries of war extend to deep earth, deep sea, deep space, deep network, and deep brain, showing the characteristics of extreme depth, extreme distance, extreme micro, extreme intelligence, and unmanned, invisible, silent, and boundless. Intelligent warfare will generalize the confrontation and competition, and the integration of military and non-military fields will be more obvious. The combat field will be expanded to the extreme, the boundaries between peacetime and wartime will become increasingly blurred, and the boundaries between the front and the rear will no longer be clear. Intelligence will penetrate into all elements and processes of future wars, redraw the boundaries of war, and traditional battlefields and fronts will be difficult to reproduce. The “spectrum map” of war tends to be broadened.

Achieving political benefits is the unchanging winning standard of war. As a specific complex social phenomenon, although war will present different war forms and boundaries in different historical periods and form different war cognitions, the essential attribute of war as a political continuation will not change. The standard for measuring victory in war is always to maximize political interests. Intelligent warfare has overturned traditional combat styles and means. The attack range of weapons and equipment has expanded to human cognitive space, and the battlefield space has expanded from physical space to cognitive, social, network and other intangible spaces. It can more intuitively express the characteristics of “imposing will on the opponent”, and emphasizes the dominance of seizing the will of the country, the concept of the organization, the psychology and thinking of people at the strategic, campaign and tactical levels. The winning role of intelligent warfare in winning hearts and minds is more prominent, and the means of winning hearts and minds such as political transplantation, belief attack, mental control, psychological disintegration, and cultural infiltration are more diverse. The competition and counter-competition in the tangible and intangible battlefields are more intense. The political struggle around the war is more complex and changeable, and the constraints of the people’s hearts, social opinions and public psychology on the war are more significant. The military is more obedient to politics, and the political color of intelligent warfare is stronger. In the final analysis, the military is the continuation of politics, and military victory must ensure political leadership. In the history of our army, Mao Zedong has always opposed the purely military viewpoint and insisted on the high unity of military and politics. In the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the US military experimented with a large number of advanced weapons and won the battles. However, from the perspective of winning the war, they won the battles but lost the wars, and fell into a moral quagmire, far from achieving the goal of winning the war. Winning the battle is not the same as winning the war. To truly win the victory of intelligent warfare, we must occupy the commanding heights of justice to ultimately dominate the victory or defeat of the war.

Intelligent warfare will reconstruct combat power, but the key factor in winning the war is still people, and it is not people who are killed

The combat power of intelligent warfare has undergone a qualitative change. Combat power is an overall description of the power system composed of people, weapons and equipment, and combat methods. It represents the development trend of military technology and combat methods. It is essentially the product of the marriage of advanced military technology and new combat ideas. Intelligent warfare is a human-machine intelligent integrated combat. It is a war form that is upgraded, replaced, and reshaped from all aspects and fields such as weapon platforms, command and control systems, combat terminals, and battlefield environments. It presents the characteristics of human-machine collaboration, intelligent dominance, cloud brain combat, and full-domain confrontation. Intelligent technology empowers the most basic elements of warfare. The combat style, time, region, space and other combat elements are changing rapidly. The composition of combat forces has undergone structural changes. People are gradually withdrawing from the front line of confrontation. Intelligent equipment will go to the battlefield in large quantities and in an organized manner. The traditional “man-to-man” war will become a “machine-to-man” or “machine-to-machine” war. Traditional support forces are transformed into main combat forces. Various civilian forces such as network practitioners, scientific and technological elites, experts in psychology, religion, law, and non-state actors will participate in the war in different ways, from the backstage to the front stage. Some new combat forces have developed from decentralized and affiliated organizational forms to increasing proportions, integrating into armies, and forming independent armies, from supporting roles to protagonists, and the military force system has undergone a revolutionary reshaping.

People are still the decisive factor in winning wars. Mao Zedong pointed out in “On Protracted War”: “Weapons are an important factor in war, but not the decisive factor. The decisive factor is people, not things.” Combat power has always been the most direct and important tool for both sides of the war, and the most core condition for victory. People are always the most active factor in combat power, and also the most decisive factor in combat power. In the era of intelligence, the anthropomorphism of weapons and the weaponization of people have become an unstoppable trend. Unmanned combat systems will be deeply integrated with manned systems into an organic symbiosis. The traditional boundaries between people and weapons tend to be blurred, and the relationship between people and weapons will be rebuilt. Weapon systems have a greater degree of autonomy and initiative, which will profoundly change the way people act in war. In particular, the development of “brain control technology” will simplify the control process of weapons from the traditional “brain-nerve-hand-weapon” to “brain-weapon”, which not only means the development and upgrading of weapons and equipment, but also marks that the integration of people and weapons has reached a new level. Human-machine integration technologies such as brain-computer interfaces, exoskeleton systems, wearable devices, and human implants will comprehensively enhance the inherent abilities of people in cognition and physiology, and create “super soldiers.” Human combat thinking is more likely to be materialized in advance into intelligent weapons in the form of software and data. In war, intelligent weapons are used to implement human combat intentions and achieve predetermined combat objectives. The decisive role of humans in future wars is still the planner, organizer and implementer of wars. The greater value of intelligent technologies such as autonomous systems and brain science is to intervene in wars and play a role in assisting command and control. Behind the autonomous combat of intelligent weapons is still the contest between human combat methods, command methods and will quality. Humans are still the decisive factor in the outcome of wars. Good fighters must fully and scientifically play the active role of humans and must not fall into a passive situation controlled by weapons and equipment, so as to truly achieve the goal of killing people instead of being killed by people.

Intelligent warfare will rebuild the rules of engagement, but the basis for winning wars is still to create combat advantages. Victorious soldiers win first and then seek war

Intelligent warfare subverts traditional rules of engagement. War is an extremely complex system composed of multiple factors. The rules of engagement involve many factors such as the nature, purpose, subject, means, time and space conditions of war, as well as war forms, war actions, and war guidance. As artificial intelligence technology can dynamically perceive, reason, make decisions, evaluate and predict various actions of combat forces at all times, in all domains and in all dimensions, the combat style has evolved from “system combat” to “open source combat”, and cross-domain unconventional and asymmetric competition has become the new normal of confrontation. War has entered a stage of system autonomous confrontation and instant kill and decision in reconnaissance and attack operations. The combat style with unmanned operations as a prominent feature has rewritten the rules of engagement and reshaped the support process. Control of intelligence has replaced control of space as the focus of combat. Combat operations are carried out in the entire domain of tangible and intangible battlefields. The battlefield is holographic and transparent. The basic goal of war to destroy the enemy and preserve oneself has also changed from “based on damage” to “based on incapacitation” with the development of disruptive technologies. The killing mechanism of war has changed from chemical energy and kinetic energy to directed energy and biological energy. Traditional violent actions will evolve into hidden strikes, soft kills, and consciousness control, and silent killing has become the mainstream. The ability to “know” and “fight” evolves in an integrated direction. Through the joint actions of the physical domain, information domain and cognitive domain, the participating forces are controlled in real time and accurately. Relying on their own information advantages and decision-making advantages, they cut off and delay the opponent’s information and decision-making circuits in a decentralized battlefield, paralyze the enemy’s combat system, and achieve the effect of physically destroying the enemy and psychologically controlling the enemy.

Creating combat advantages is the unchanging basis for winning wars. Having an overwhelming advantage in deciding the time and place is the law of achieving military victory. The spatiotemporal characteristics of intelligent warfare will undergo major changes. Various combat operations can be launched in parallel in all weather, all day, and in multiple directions. The “second kill” phenomenon in war is more prominent, but the point of action of combat forces to paralyze the enemy’s system has not changed, the essence of creating combat advantages has not changed, and the winning rules of wars to seize the initiative in war, promote our strengths, and attack the enemy’s weaknesses have not changed. The battlefield of the future will become a large area of ​​”no man’s land”. To seize the initiative in war, it is necessary to take sudden, multi-dimensional integrated actions to achieve agile and flexible situational conversion between offense and defense. The offensive and defensive advantages will surpass the relative static state of the past and enter a dynamic reversal of continuous evolution. Therefore, the art of future war is to test whether the two combatants have endurance and orderliness in the continuous state of emergency, which depends on the advancement of the combat system and the war support system. Under the support of the intelligent battlefield situation, various combat personnel, equipment, facilities, and environmental elements form a giant complex adaptive confrontation system. “Cloud gathering” becomes a new combat force cohesion mechanism, and a unified energy gathering platform becomes the basis for seeking all-dimensional advantages. Intelligent advantages become decisive advantages. The idea of ​​concentrating forces in future wars will spiral upward under the promotion of intelligent technology, and cross-domain asymmetric advantages will have more strategic significance and decisive role in intelligent warfare. Designing wars in advance, planning wars in advance, shaping asymmetric advantages based on the enemy’s situation and our situation, stepping up the formation of aggregation advantages in important areas, strengthening the construction of strategic checks and balances, and comprehensively improving the country’s ability to respond to various threats and risks will become the inevitable victory of intelligent warfare.

(Author’s unit: National Defense University)

現代國語:

當今世界,人工智慧發展取得突破性重大進展,並加速向軍事領域轉移,對戰爭形態產生衝擊甚至顛覆性影響。面對日趨激烈的大國戰略競爭與權益博弈,我們應以發展的眼光,在對戰爭制勝規律「變」與「不變」的思辨中,理性審視、正確認知智能化,選準未來軍事競爭的戰略制高點與主攻方向,科學探討智慧化戰爭的勝利之道。

智慧化戰爭將重繪戰爭邊界,但戰爭制勝的標準仍是達成政治利益,故能為勝敗之政

智慧化戰爭疆域向新領域拓展。恩格斯指出:“人類以什麼樣的方式生產,就以什麼樣的方式作戰”,智能技術向作戰領域的快速滲透,必將顛覆戰鬥力的表現形式。智慧化戰爭在大數據、超級運算、智慧通訊、腦科學等新理論、新科技推動下,將以「意想不到」的新方式和「無所不能」的新面貌,顛覆人們固有的認知。認知領域成為交戰雙方繼陸、海、空、天、電、網之後的另一個較量空間,人類軍事對抗的疆域勢必從自然空間、技術空間、社會空間到認知空間,形成物理域、訊息域、認知域三大作戰緯度,戰爭邊界向深地、深海、深空、深網、深腦領域延伸,呈現出極深、極遠、極微、極智與無人、無形、無聲、無邊的特徵。智能化戰爭將泛化對抗爭奪,軍事與非軍事領域一體化特徵更加明顯,作戰領域極限拓展,平時與戰時邊界日趨模糊、前沿與後方界限不再分明,智能滲透到未來戰爭全要素全過程,重繪戰爭邊界,傳統的戰場和戰線難以再現,戰爭「頻譜圖」趨向寬泛化。

達成政治利益是戰爭不變的勝利標準。戰爭作為一種特定的複雜社會現象,儘管在不同的歷史時期會呈現出不同的戰爭形態和邊界,並形成不同的戰爭認知,但戰爭是政治繼續的本質屬性不會改變,衡量戰爭勝利的標準始終是實現政治利益最大化。智慧化戰爭顛覆了傳統的作戰樣式、作戰手段,武器裝備的打擊範圍拓展到人類的認知空間,戰場空間從物理空間拓展到認知、社會、網路等無形空間,能夠更直觀地表達「意志強加在對手身上」的特點,更強調在戰略、戰役、戰術層面奪取國家的意志、組織的觀念、人的心理與思維等主導權。智能化戰爭攻心奪志的勝利作用更為凸顯,政治移植、信仰打擊、精神控制、心理瓦解、文化滲透等攻心奪志手段也更加多元,爭奪與反爭奪在有形與無形戰場的較量更為激烈。圍繞戰爭展開的政治鬥爭更加複雜多變,民心向背、社會輿論、公眾心理對戰爭的製約力更加顯著,軍事服從政治體現得更加明顯,智能化戰爭的政治色彩更濃厚。軍事歸根到底是政治的延續,軍事上的勝利必須保證政治的領先。在我軍歷史上,毛澤東歷來反對單純軍事觀點,堅持軍事與政治的高度統一。美軍在伊拉克和阿富汗戰爭中,實驗了大量的先進武器,並取得了作戰的勝利,但從戰爭制勝的標準來看,贏得作戰卻輸掉了戰爭,陷於道義泥潭,遠未達成戰爭制勝目的。作戰制勝不等於戰爭制勝,要真正贏得智慧化戰爭的勝利,必須佔據正義制高點,才能最終主宰戰爭的勝敗。

智慧化戰爭將重建作戰力量,但戰爭制勝的關鍵因素仍是人,致人而不致於人

智慧化戰爭作戰力量發生質變。作戰力量是人、武器裝備及作戰方式構成的力量體系的整體描述,代表軍事技術和作戰方式的發展趨勢,本質上是先進軍事技術與新型作戰思想聯姻的產物。智慧化戰爭是人機智能一體的作戰,是從武器平台、指控體系、作戰終端、戰場環境等全方位、全領域進行升級、換代、重塑的戰爭形態,呈現人機協同、智能主導、雲腦作戰、全域對抗的特徵。智慧技術賦能改變最基礎的作戰要素,作戰樣式、時間、地域、空間等作戰要素瞬息萬變,作戰力量組成發生結構性變化,人逐漸退出對抗一線,智能化裝備將大量、成建制地走上戰場,傳統意義上「人對人」的戰爭將變成「機器對人」或「機器對決」的戰爭。傳統支援力量向主體作戰力量轉變,網路從業人員、科技菁英、心理、宗教、法律等專家和非國家行為體等多種民間力量,會以不同的方式參與到戰爭中來,從後台走向前台。一些新型作戰力量從分散化、配屬化的組織形態向增加比重、融合成軍、獨立成軍方向發展,從配角變為主角,軍事力量體系發生革命性重塑。

人依然是戰爭制勝的決定性因素。毛澤東在《論持久戰》中指出:「武器是戰爭的重要因素,但不是決定的因素,決定的因素是人不是物。」作戰力量始終是交戰雙方最直接、最重要的工具,也是最核心的致勝條件,人永遠是作戰力量中最活躍的因素,同時也是作戰力量中最具決定性的因素。智能化時代,武器的擬人化和人的武器化成為不可阻擋的趨勢,無人作戰系統將與有人系統深度融合為有機共生體,人與武器之間的傳統界限趨於模糊,重建人與武器的關係。武器系統具備更大程度的自主性和能動性,使人在戰爭中的活動方式發生深刻變化。特別是“腦控技術”的發展,對武器的控制流程將由傳統的“大腦-神經-手-武器”簡化為“大腦-武器”,這不僅僅意味著武器裝備的發展升級,而且標誌著人與武器的融合已達到新的層次。腦機介面、外骨骼系統、穿戴式裝置、人體植入等人機結合技術手段將全面提升認知、生理等人的內在能力,打造出「超級士兵」。人的作戰思想較以軟體和資料的形式被提前物化到智慧武器中,戰爭中由智慧武器來貫徹人的作戰意圖,達成預定作戰目的。人在未來戰爭中的決定作用,仍然是戰爭的計畫者、組織者和實施者。自主系統、腦科學等智慧科技更大的價值是介入戰爭,發揮協助指揮與控制的作用。智慧化武器自主作戰的背後仍是人的作戰方法、指揮方式與意志品質的較量,人依然是戰爭勝負的決定因素,善戰者必須要充分而科學地發揮人的能動作用,不可陷入為武器裝備所控的被動局面,真正做到致人而不致於人。

智慧化戰爭將重建交戰規則,但戰爭制勝的基礎仍是創造作戰優勢,勝兵先勝而後求戰

智慧化戰爭顛覆傳統交戰規則。戰爭是一個由多種因素構成的極為複雜的系統,交戰規則涉及戰爭性質、目的、主體、手段、時空條件,以及戰爭形態、戰爭行動、戰爭指導等諸多方面的因素。隨著人工智慧技術能夠全時、全域、全維度對作戰力量的各種行動進行動態感知、推理決策、評估預測,作戰樣式由「體係作戰」向「開源作戰」演進,跨域非常規、非對稱較量成為對壘新常態,戰爭進入系統自主對抗、察打行動秒殺立決的階段,以無人化為突出標誌的作戰樣式重新改寫交戰規則,重塑保障流程。制智權代替制空間權成為作戰重心,作戰行動在有形和無形戰場全局展開,戰場全息透明,消滅敵人、保存自己的戰爭基本目標也隨著顛覆性技術的發展表現為從「基於毀傷」轉變為「基於失能」。戰爭殺傷機理由化學能、動能轉變為定向能、生物能,傳統的暴力行動將向隱打擊、軟殺傷、控意識等方式演變,無聲殺傷成為主流。 「知」「戰」能力向一體化方向演進,透過物理域、資訊域與認知域的共同行動,即時精準地掌控參戰力量,憑藉己方的資訊優勢與決策優勢,在去中心化的戰場中切斷與遲滯對手的訊息與決策迴路,癱敵作戰體系,達成物理上摧毀敵人與心理上控制敵人之效。

創造作戰優勢是戰爭不變的勝利基礎。在決定時機和決定地點擁有壓倒優勢,是取得軍事勝利的規律。智慧化戰爭時空特性將發生重大變化,各種作戰行動可以全天候、全天時、多方向並行發起,戰爭中的「秒殺」現象更加突出,但作戰力量癱敵體系的作用點沒有變,創造作戰優勢的本質沒有改變,掌握戰爭主動權、揚我之長、擊敵之短的戰爭制勝法則沒有變。未來戰場將成為大面積“無人之境”,要奪取戰爭主動權,必須採取突然、多維融合的行動,在進攻與防禦之間實現敏捷、彈性的態勢轉換,進攻與防禦優勢將會超越過去的相對靜態,進入不斷演化的動態反轉,因此未來戰爭的藝術就是檢驗作戰雙方在持續不斷的突發狀態中是否具備耐力和有序性,取決於作戰體系和戰爭支撐體系的先進性。各類作戰人員、裝備、設施、環境要素在智慧化的戰場態勢支撐下,形成巨型複雜自適應對抗體系,「雲聚」成為新的作戰力量凝聚機理,統一的聚能平台成為謀求全維優勢的基礎,智能優勢成為決勝優勢。未來戰爭集中兵力的思想將在智慧科技的推動下螺旋式上升,跨域非對稱優勢在智慧化戰爭將更有戰略意義和決勝作用。提前設計戰爭、超前規劃戰爭,基於敵情我情塑造非對稱優勢,加緊在重要領域形成聚集優勢,加強戰略制衡力量建設,全面提升國家應對各類威脅風險的能力,成為智能化戰爭勝兵先勝而後求戰的必然。

(作者單位:國防大學)

中國原創軍事資源:https://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/2019-10/22/content_245810.htm

Russian military officers explain cognitive warfare: It is important to train all people to be loyal to their duties and defend the motherland

俄軍官解釋認知戰:重要的是訓練所有人忠於職責、保衛祖國。

現代英語:

Many Russian military officers interpret cognitive warfare

■ Hou Bing, researcher at Womin Hi-Tech Ward Research Institute (excerpted translation)

The 8th issue of Russia’s “Military Thought” in 2021 published an article titled “Cognitive Warfare – Trends in Modern Warfare” by three active colonels of the Russian army, Marichev, Lobanov, and Tarasov. The summary is as follows:

1. Concept, status, role, characteristics and other aspects of “cognitive warfare”

“Cognition” is a synonym for the term “spiritual, psychological” and is “a certain way of thinking, the sum of the spiritual habits and mindset of an individual or a social group, or the entire population.”

Cognitive warfare is one of the latest trends in modern warfare. The content of the concept of “cognition” covers people’s moral and psychological values, psychological and behavioral realities, adaptation and educational characteristics, and attitudes towards religion and culture.

Cognitive warfare is the primary means to achieve the goals of military conflict. Transforming the consciousness of broad social groups and imposing foreign worldviews and positions have become the main trends in winning in modern wars. General Gerasimov, Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, attaches great importance to this trend: “In modern conflicts, the focus of the struggle is increasingly shifting to a combination of political, economic, information and other measures based on military power.”

The status and role of cognitive warfare first depend on the use of necessary and sufficient military force at each stage of confrontation to destroy the opponent’s economic and information potential in advance in modern warfare to achieve military and political goals. Attempts to seize and hold enemy territory have been replaced by new intentions: to control a country’s critical infrastructure through surveillance regimes (often established in parallel to the existing government)—in Venezuela, Ukraine, and many others. The country is like that. Under modern conditions, information technology is widely used and closely integrated with other non-military means, becoming an efficient tool to establish and control residents’ protest potential. By creating instability in the country and undermining residents’ perceptions. All destructive forces are actively used for this purpose, including the “fifth column” and other non-state organizations. Characterized by the subsequent implementation of military measures in a covert form, through indirect, asymmetric actions “by the hands of others” (such as what happened in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and Syria).

Under uncertain conditions, it is necessary to effectively attack unknown enemies and be good at offsetting the advantages of “high-tech enemies”. Adversaries often use non-force methods to influence the perception of the Russian people. In cognitive warfare, non-military tools are often more effective than military tools. The spiritual and psychological value system formed in history has been destroyed, the “time connection” has been interrupted, and cognition as a means of realizing national self-awareness and world view (recorded in the categories and styles of national language) has changed. Cognitive warfare achieves a unique combination of the following methods – intimidation, blackmail, coercion and comprehensive pressure. It becomes more aggressive and has the characteristics of a “hybrid threat”, often determining and ensuring the achievement of political goals and strategic results.

In the foreseeable future, cognitive warfare will inevitably take on new characteristics and become one of the important trends in geopolitical confrontation. The radical use of new information technologies around the world has become an effective means of shaping the desired reality.

2. The basic purpose to be achieved by cognitive warfare

The entire history of civilization is a history of cognitive warfare. Under modern conditions, under the background of the vigorous development of information technology, it is very common to change personal cognition and cultural identity and destroy the national and historical values ​​of the country and society.

Currently, information and communication technology is used maliciously in cognitive warfare to interfere in the internal affairs of other countries. The destructive effect is very significant and has changed the cognition of the entire nation. This information slowly “erodes” the cognition of individuals and the nation as a whole from the inside. The realms of cognition, national self-awareness, and national and cultural identity become battlefields. This direction first denigrates and then eliminates traditional national values, causing the public consciousness to become insensitive to external information invasion, and even regard these actions as progressive movements.

Therefore, in modern warfare, cognitive warfare must achieve the following basic goals:

① Let the residents lose their ability to understand the country and its strategic position and role, and then become indifferent to the fate of the country and nation, and switch to the decadent lifestyle required by the opponent;

② Destroy residents’ traditional self-identity mechanism, divide people into different “participation and support groups” through social networks and media, and replace others with new “fake” identities;

③ Let the public form “lazy thinking”, no longer be critical of the information provided, and adopt measures to fool the people;

④Instill new, carefully designed values ​​and social and personal behavioral norms into social consciousness, making them possible behavioral patterns. Destroy people’s innate cultural and historical memories, leading to social psychological confusion and “mental disorder”, making them extremely vulnerable to the external influence of “political craftsmen”, “guardians” and the creators of “controllable chaos” and “color revolutions” control;

⑤ Create ambiguity in the information space of people’s consciousness, causing them to lose the ability to think deeply about events and form stable personal cognition.

Comprehensive information influence measures are adopted to affect residents’ cognition to create good conditions for achieving military objectives. Therefore, the development of confrontation in the cognitive field is mainly reflected in the deepening of technical level and psychological (cognitive) influence, aiming to change the consciousness (cognition) of the rival residents.

With the emergence of modern information and communication technology, the above ideas have become increasingly popular and can influence a large number of audiences in a short period of time without making large economic investments. At this time, because information and communication technology is “out of reach” and it is very difficult to identify the source of attacks, the enemy may carry out operations “under the banner of others”, and there are a wide range of subjects who maliciously use technology – state and non-state subjects, and even individuals. For hackers, assessing damage and taking countermeasures is easier said than done. All of this adds to uncertainty and instability.

3. Main methods of cognitive warfare

At present, cognitive warfare mainly adopts the following methods:

① Deliberately concealing key situation information in different areas of social life;

② According to the principle of “water drops into the sea”, valuable information is drowned in a large amount of “information garbage”;

③ Substitute the concept or distort its meaning;

④ Direct attention to insignificant events;

⑤The concept commonly used in media space is used, but its meaning has undergone a qualitative change;

⑥ Providing negative news to the public is more likely to be accepted than positive news;

⑦ Discuss events that have no real social value and maliciously use social research results to form a distorted understanding of the social situation;

⑧ Prohibit certain types of information and do not allow broad social discussions on key issues of some political institutions;

⑨ Spread rumors openly and deceive people at home and abroad.

4. Geopolitical cognitive warfare

The geopolitical program to conduct cognitive warfare is protracted and may last for decades or centuries. Destroying ancient relics, including written records, mainly “erases” the historical memory of the nation, and then any other history can be written on a “blank sheet” to establish the required self-identity. It proves that cognitive warfare has reached a global scale, and “archaeological warfare” is an important part of it, aiming to specifically destroy human material memory.

When the “famous” US military occupied Baghdad in 2003, they behaved like a group of barbarians. The Japanese Self-Defense Forces reporter was stunned by the scene in front of him: US officers and soldiers ransacked the museum and used stretchers to transport piles of gold products from the building. Of course, this atrocity committed by an ally was unlikely to be reported in the press, so it could only be spread by word of mouth, but the photos are damning evidence. The radical “Islamic State” destroyed mosques and museums in Syria. The Afghan “Taliban” blew up the ancient Bamiyan Buddhas in the process of “exterminating Buddhas.” Malian radicals completely destroyed 16 tombs and more than 4,000 ancient books and documents.

In modern armed conflicts, Christian churches and holy places often suffer disasters, which are too numerous to mention. According to confirmation from the Russian “Pravda” electronic magazine: “Compared with other outstanding events, the destruction of world historical and cultural monuments has become commonplace today.”

5. Russia’s response

①The cognitive war launched by the West against Russia. Distorting the history of the Great Patriotic War and the entire Second World War has become an integral part of the global cognitive war. The Western world is increasingly adopting radical policies in an attempt to deprive Russia of its status as a great nation and deny its outstanding contribution to the progress and development of mankind. The examples of waging cognitive war against the Russian people are obvious: the United States, European countries, and especially Ukraine are provoking hatred against Russia. The main purpose is not only to set up obstacles for Russia to return to its status as a world power, but also to launch an anti-Russian “hot war” in the near future. “Lay the foundation.

②Russia’s response. The commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the outbreak of the Great Patriotic War should be an important information opportunity for us to enhance our awareness. Relive the numerous examples of heroism of the Soviet soldiers, the perseverance of the entire population, their willingness to sacrifice everything for the front line, the suffering experienced on the home front, and vigorously promote the post-war years and the great achievements of the Soviet people – the restoration of economic potential, the reclamation of wild lands, Taking the lead in exploring space… In the new history, there are many examples showing the high cognitive level of various Russian peoples. In short, they have become an important factor in consolidating traditional spiritual and moral values. Without them, it is impossible to defeat the enemy in any crisis situation. Establish a system to curb the use of information weapons and stop global information warfare. Improve legislation and technical guarantees for national independence in the information space.

Seize the information advantage over the enemy and create good conditions for the Russian army to efficiently carry out its mission. Carrying out patriotism education and cultivating all Russian people to be loyal to their duties and defend the motherland play a crucial role in gaining advantages in the cognitive field.

現代國語:

多位俄軍軍官解讀認知戰

■沃民高科沃德研究院研究員 侯兵(摘譯)

俄羅斯《軍事思想》2021年第8期發表了馬里切夫、洛巴諾夫、塔拉索夫三位俄軍現役上校題為《認知戰-現代戰爭的趨勢》的文章,摘要如下:

一、「認知戰」概念、地位與角色、特徵及其他

「認知」是「精神、心理」一詞的同義詞,是「一定的思維方式,個人或社會群體、全民精神習慣、思維定勢的總和」。

認知戰是現代戰爭的最新趨勢之一。 「認知」概念的內容涵蓋人們的道德心理價值觀,心理、行為現實,適應、教育特點,對待宗教、文化的態度。

認知戰是達成軍事沖突目標的主要手段。改造廣泛社會群體的意識,強加異國的世界觀立場,成為現代戰爭中獲勝的主要趨勢。俄聯邦武裝力量總參謀長格拉西莫夫大將十分重視這一趨勢:“現代沖突中,鬥爭的重心越來越轉向,基於軍事力量,綜合採取政治、經濟、信息和其他措施。”

認知戰的地位、角色首先取決於,在現代戰爭中,在對抗各階段使用必要、足夠的軍事力量預先破壞對方的經濟、資訊潛力,達成軍政目的。奪佔、扼守敵方領土的企圖已經被新的意圖取而代之:透過監控下的政權(經常在現政府之外平行建立這一政權)控制國家的關鍵基礎設施——在委內瑞拉、烏克蘭和其他多個國家正是如此。現代條件下廣泛運用資訊技術,並與其他非軍事手段緊密結合,成為建立、操控居民抗議潛力的高效工具。藉由製造國內局勢不穩,破壞居民的認知。為此積極動用所有破壞力量,包括「第五縱隊」和其他非國家組織。特點是隨後以隱蔽的形式、採取「借他人之手」的間接、非對稱行動實現軍事措施(例如在伊拉克、阿富汗、利比亞和敘利亞發生的事情)。

不確定的條件下需要有效率地打擊不明之敵,要擅於抵銷「高科技敵人」的優勢,對手常常使用非武力方式影響俄羅斯人民的認知。在認知戰中,與軍事工具相比,非軍事工具往往更有效率。歷史上形成的精神心理價值觀體系遭到破壞,「時間聯繫」中斷,認知作為實現民族自我意識、世界觀(記錄在民族語言範疇、樣式之中)的手段發生了變化。認知戰實現了下列方式的獨特結合——恐嚇、訛詐、強迫和綜合施壓,變得更具侵略性,具備了「混合威脅」的特徵,經常決定並保證達成政治目的和戰略成果。

在可預見的未來,認知戰將不可避免地具備新的特性,是地緣政治對抗的重要趨勢之一。在全球激進地運用新的資訊技術,成為塑造所需現實的有效手段。

二、認知戰要達成的基本目的

整個文明史就是一部認知戰的歷史。現代條件下,在資訊科技蓬勃發展的脈絡下,改變個人的認知、文化標識,破壞國家、社會的民族歷史價值觀甚囂塵上。

目前認知戰中惡意使用資訊通信技術,干涉他國內部事務,破壞效果十分顯著,改變了整個民族的認知。這些訊息緩慢、從內部「侵蝕」個人、民族整體的認知。認知、民族自我意識、民族和文化認同領域淪為戰場。這個方向上首先是詆毀,然後是消滅民族傳統的價值觀,致使大眾意識對外部的資訊侵略麻木不仁,甚至將這些行動視為進步的運動。

因此,在現代戰爭中,認知戰要達成下列基本目的:

①讓居民喪失對國家及其戰略地位、角色的理解能力,隨後對國家、民族的命運漠不關心,轉入對手所需的腐朽生活方式;

②破壞居民傳統的自我認同機制,透過社交網絡、媒體將人們劃分為不同的“參與、支持群”,以新的認同“贋品”偷梁換柱;

③讓公眾形成“惰性思維”,對提供的資訊不再持批判態度,採取愚民措施;

④向社會意識灌輸新的、處心積慮設計的價值觀和社會、個人行為規範,使之成為可能的行為模式。摧毀人們與生俱來的文化、歷史記憶,導致社會心理混亂、“神經失常”,從而極易受到“政治工藝師”、“衛士”和“可控混亂”、“顏色革命”創造者的外部控制;

⑤在人的意識訊息空間製造模糊,令其喪失對事件進行深思熟慮、形成穩定個人認知的能力。

對居民的認知採取綜合資訊影響措施,為達成軍事目的創造良好條件。因此,認知領域對抗的發展,主要體現在技術層面和心理(認知)影響的不斷深入,旨在改變競爭對手居民的意識(認知)。

隨著現代資訊通信技術的出現,上述觀點日益普及,可以在短時間內不必進行大量經濟投入就可以影響大量受眾。此時由於資訊通信技術「觸不可及」、查明攻擊來源相當困難,敵人有可能「打著別人的旗號」展開行動,惡意使用技術的主體相當廣泛——國家和非國家主體,甚至是單獨的駭客,評估損失和採取對抗措施談何容易。所有這一切都增加了不確定性、不穩定。

三、認知戰採取的主要方式

目前認知戰主要採取下列方式:

①在社會生活不同領域故意隱瞞關鍵的事態訊息;

②根據「水滴入海」原則將有價值的資訊淹沒在大量「資訊垃圾」中;

③偷換概念或扭曲其涵義;

④把注意力引向無足輕重的事件;

⑤使用媒體空間常用的概念,其涵義卻發生了質變;

⑥向公眾提供負面消息,與正面新聞相比,更容易被接受;

⑦討論不具有現實社會價值的事件,惡意利用社會研究成果,以形成對社會形勢的歪曲認識;

⑧禁止一定類型的信息,不允許就一些政權機構的關鍵問題展開廣泛的社會討論;

⑨公開散佈謠言,欺騙國內外民眾。

四、地緣政治上的認知戰

實施認知戰的地緣政治方案曠日持久,可能長達數十年、數百年。銷毀古老的遺跡,包括文字記載,主要是「擦除」民族的歷史記憶,隨後就可以在「一張白紙」上任意書寫其他任何歷史,建立所需的自我認同。證明認知戰已經具有全球規模,「考古戰」是其重要組成部分,旨在目標明確地銷毀人類的物質記憶。

2003年「赫赫有名」的美軍佔領巴格達時,表現得完全像一群野蠻人。日本自衛隊記者被眼前的一幕驚呆了:美軍官兵洗劫了博物館,使用擔架從大樓裡運出成堆的黃金製品。當然,關於盟友的這一暴行不可能見諸報端,因此只能口口相傳,但照片鐵證如山。激進的「伊斯蘭國」摧毀了敘利亞的清真寺、博物館。阿富汗「塔利班」在「滅佛」過程中炸毀了古老的巴米揚大佛。馬裡激進分子完全摧毀了16處陵寢、4000餘部古籍文獻。

現代武裝沖突中,基督教教堂、聖地經常遭受劫難,真可謂罄竹難書。據俄羅斯《真理報》電子雜志確認:“與其他突出事件相比,摧毀世界歷史、文化遺跡今天已經司空見慣。”

五、俄羅斯的應對

①西方對俄發起的認知戰。扭曲偉大衛國戰爭及整個二戰的歷史,已成為全球認知戰不可或缺的一部分。西方世界越來越頻繁地採用激進政策,企圖剝奪俄羅斯偉大民族的地位,否認其對人類進步發展的傑出貢獻。發動針對俄羅斯人民認知戰的例子顯而易見:美國、歐洲國家,尤其是烏克蘭挑起對俄羅斯的仇恨,主要目的不僅是為俄羅斯重返世界大國地位設置障礙,而且為不久的將來發動反俄“熱戰”奠定基礎。

②俄羅斯的應對。偉大衛國戰爭爆發80週年的紀念活動應成為我們加強認知的重要資訊契機。重溫蘇軍將士大量英雄主義的範例,全民的堅強不屈,甘願為前線付出一切,在後方經歷的苦難,大力宣傳戰後的歲月和蘇聯人民的偉大成就——恢復了經濟潛力,開墾蠻荒之地,率先探索太空……新的歷史中,展示俄羅斯各民族高度認知水平的例子俯拾皆是。總之,它們成為鞏固傳統精神道德價值觀的重要因素,離開它們在任何危機局勢中不可能克敵制勝。建立遏止資訊武器使用的體系,制止全球資訊戰。在資訊空間完善國家獨立的立法、技術保障。

奪取對敵資訊優勢,為俄軍高效遂行任務創造良好條件。進行愛國精神教育、培養俄羅斯全民忠於職守保衛祖國,對奪取認知領域優勢,作用舉足輕重。

中國原創軍事資源:https://www.81.cn/ll_208543/10088888.html

Where is the Focus of Chinese Military Cognitive Domain Operations?

中國軍事認知域作戰的重點在哪裡?

劉曙光
2022年10月05日 | 資料來源:解放軍報

現代英語:

● Cognitive domain warfare focuses on full-dimensional attacks, including both cognitive penetration in “peacetime” and cognitive coercion in “wartime”.

● Wartime cognitive domain operations are carried out around the achievement of military objectives, and are implemented in coordination with military operations and support each other.

●In cognitive domain warfare, as the sound of gunfire fades away, the clarion call for a new round of cognitive domain warfare may sound again, and there can be no slackness.

Cognitive domain operations are confrontations conducted at the level of consciousness and thinking. Through selective processing and transmission of information, it influences judgments, changes concepts, and competes for people’s hearts, thereby guiding the reality to develop in a direction that is beneficial to oneself. From the perspective of cognitive shaping, cognitive domain operations focus on full-dimensional attacks, including both cognitive penetration in “peacetime” and cognitive coercion in “wartime”. Therefore, cognitive domain operations do not have a clear boundary between peace and war; at the same time, according to the needs of political or military purposes, its targets can be individuals, organizations, and even countries. Therefore, cognitive domain operations should establish the concept of peacetime and wartime integration, military-civilian integration, cross-domain integration, and joint victory, and sort out basic tasks accordingly.

Focus on the layout tasks of ideology

Ideology is “a system of thought that systematically and consciously reflects the social and economic forms and political systems”. Ideology determines the rational foundation of cognition and has distinct camp characteristics. Although ideology covers all aspects of social life, in the confrontation between countries or political groups, the struggle around belief guidance, attitude acquisition, and concept assimilation is particularly fierce, becoming the focus of cognitive domain operations.

Shaping and guiding political cognition, seizing the initiative to break and establish beliefs. The confrontation between countries or political groups is not only a confrontation of national strength, but also a confrontation of national will, and the confrontation of political beliefs bears the brunt. Shaping and guiding political cognition aims to consolidate or destroy political consensus, strengthen or shake political beliefs, and expand or disintegrate political camps. In cognitive domain operations, through the cognitive guidance of various aspects such as the legitimacy of the ruling party, the rationality of political ideas and systems, and the health of the political ecology, cultivate feelings such as recognition or denial, support or hatred of political positions, beliefs, and practices, and lay a political cognitive layout that is beneficial to oneself and detrimental to the enemy. Political cognition is related to the survival foundation of a country or organization, and is the primary focus of cognitive domain operations.

Shape and guide war cognition, seize the leadership of war attitude. A country can live without war but cannot live without war awareness. War cognition is the basis for the formation and development of will, concept, psychology, and thinking of individuals, organizations, and countries in the war cycle. Through the guidance of cognition of the nature, properties, and legal concepts of war, it is a key issue to build a war cognition thinking system, guide the evaluation trend of the rationality, justice, and legitimacy of war, promote the formation of support or opposition to the possible war, and regulate the fluctuation of the willingness to assume war obligations. War cognition affects war attitude, and the struggle for control over it is a task that must be taken seriously in cognitive domain operations.

Shape and guide value cognition, and seize the control of emotional will. Values ​​affect people’s judgment of beauty, ugliness, right and wrong, and social behavior orientation. In terms of identifying things and judging right and wrong, people’s emotions always tend to support propositions with similar values. Value cognition permeates every corner of life. Through the dissemination of ethical and moral concepts, standards of beauty, ugliness, good and evil, and literary and artistic viewpoints, the competition for the right to guide value concepts, the right to guide life patterns, and the right to judge traditional inheritance is frequent and fierce. In real life, different values ​​often penetrate and entangle with each other. The essence of shaping and guiding value cognition is to strive for the recognition of social emotions, which is a regular task of cognitive domain operations.

Focus on the social psychology of the task of creating momentum

Social psychology provides a perceptual and experiential basis for cognition, and it is formed on the basis of daily life, social activities, practical insights, etc. Social psychological guidance often promotes unpredictable changes in the real situation. It is one of the common modes of confrontation between the two sides, especially in non-military conflict periods, and it is also a task that must be taken seriously in cognitive domain operations.

Guide national psychology and regulate national emotions. National psychology is one of the social psychology that is most likely to cause conflict and confrontation. Attacking national self-esteem can breed national inferiority complex and easily split and disperse. Improving national self-esteem can enhance national cohesion, but the expansion of national self-esteem can easily lead to extreme racism, national chauvinism, etc.; the differences in status, interests, culture, customs, and life among different ethnic groups within the country provide opportunities for people with ulterior motives to stir up national confrontation, while the same living space and cooperation process lay the foundation for eliminating prejudice and even cohesion and tolerance among ethnic groups. The result depends on cognitive guidance. National psychological guidance is sensitive and easy to get out of control, which has a direct impact on social stability. It is a task that needs to be focused on in cognitive domain operations.

Guide group psychology and increase or decrease opposition awareness. Groups generally refer to people of the same kind, such as ethnic groups, regions, classes, professional groups, and even civil groups, non-governmental organizations, etc. If groups are subjectively defined based on the standard of “convergence”, then the “differences” between groups exist objectively. This difference may be political or economic status, or it may be cultural ideas, regional concepts, or other. Guiding the cognition of differences to promote the opposition psychology of different groups such as party opposition, regional opposition, professional opposition, and rich-poor opposition will not only damage the internal unity of the country, but also accumulate and increase the dissatisfaction of all sectors of society with the political authorities, laying the groundwork for instigating social unrest and division. In cognitive domain operations, attention needs to be paid to this kind of social psychology.

Guiding individual psychology and influencing social emotions. In cognitive domain operations, individual psychological guidance is divided into two situations. One is the psychological guidance of important figures, such as sensitive professionals, social intellectuals, academic elites, successful business people, etc. The struggle for their political stance, emotional attitude, etc. is an issue that both sides of the confrontation need to focus on. The other is the use of phenomena that easily trigger individual psychological resonance. For example, in public crises, major accidents, natural disasters, and even some criminal incidents and emergencies in life, intentionally guiding certain emotions may cause group polarization due to the individual’s herd effect, thereby causing changes in public opinion and even social unrest. Both aspects are content that cognitive domain operations need to pay attention to.

Targeting the critical task of wartime cognition

Cognitive domain operations precede military operations and end with them. In wartime, cognitive domain operations are carried out around the achievement of military objectives, coordinated with military operations, and mutually supportive, with the characteristics of violent coercion. In this stage of cognitive domain operations, “offensive” and “defensive” actions are carried out simultaneously, with the combined effects of weapons and propaganda, and the emergence of “enticement”, “attack”, “cheating”, and “control”. This is the key stage of cognitive domain operations.

Attack the enemy’s mind and induce cognition. Cognitive attacks in wartime are mainly carried out to weaken the enemy’s will to resist and induce the enemy to make wrong decisions. Targeted attacks are used to shake the enemy’s will to resist and front-line commanders and fighters, and information deception interference is used to induce decision-making; for armed forces, which are mainly military forces, the use of force to deter and deter is dominant, and the use of public opinion warfare and other style actions and emerging technical means are used to shake their belief in participating in the war, cause panic, undermine their military morale, and dominate their action patterns; for social support forces, strong information is delivered through large-scale military exercises, equipment tests, and propaganda on the lethality of weapons to undermine confidence, induce panic through selective target strikes and the dissemination of battle conditions, and seek understanding through publicity of one’s own humanitarian actions in the war and related international comments.

Build a strong defense line, gather hearts and minds to control the situation. The focus of cognitive defense in wartime is to build a strong defense line of “heart”, “will” and “intelligence” to prevent the loss of fighting spirit under the stimulation of drastic changes in the situation or environment. Education and publicity are the basic ways of cognitive defense in wartime. For the participating forces, stimulate enthusiasm for participation through mobilization and incentives, clarify the truth by refuting rumors, establish the belief in victory by publicizing the results of the war, mobilize morale by setting up models, etc.; for the supporting forces, establish a sense of mission, responsibility and obligation for the whole people through education and publicity on the justice, rationality and legality of the war, stimulate the psychology of common hatred of the enemy by exposing the enemy’s brutal behavior, and stimulate enthusiasm for supporting operations by publicizing the deeds of local participation in the war and supporting the front, etc.

Expand the camp and eliminate hidden dangers. Creating a favorable cognitive atmosphere and providing support for the expansion of one’s own camp is an important aspect of cognitive domain operations during wartime that must be done. In particular, although the pursuit of international support forces is mainly based on political and diplomatic activities, the widespread spread of one’s own positions, ideas, attitudes, etc. often leads to changes in international civil attitudes, which in turn affects decision-making at the political level and provides support for the expansion of one’s own camp. In addition, cognitive domain operations during wartime have an important task that runs through the entire war, that is, to eliminate the adverse hidden dangers caused by various accidents in the war. Especially in the later stages of the war, as the destructive effects of the war appear and spread, people’s cognitive systems will inevitably be repeatedly impacted by different information. During this period, ideological guidance, social psychological shaping, and individual psychological counseling are needed to ensure the consolidation of the results of the war. In cognitive domain operations, as the sound of gunfire dissipates, the horn of a new round of cognitive domain operations may sound again, and there must be no slackness.

現代國語:

要點提示

●認知域作戰著重全維度攻擊,既包括「平時」的認知滲透,也包括「戰時」的認知迫誘。

●戰時認知域作戰圍繞著軍事目的的達成而展開,與軍事行動配合實施、相互支持。

●在認知域作戰中,隨著槍砲聲的消散,新一輪認知域作戰的號角可能再次吹響,不能有絲毫懈怠。

認知域作戰是在意識思維層面進行的對抗,透過選擇性加工和傳遞訊息,影響判斷、改變觀念、爭奪人心,進而引導現實態勢向有利於己的方向發展。從認知塑造來看,認知域作戰著重全維度攻擊,既包括「平時」的認知滲透,也包括「戰時」的認知迫誘。因而,認知域作戰沒有明晰的平、戰界線;同時,根據政治或軍事目的需要,其作用對象可以是個人、組織甚至國家。因此,認知域作戰應該樹立平戰一體、軍地一體、跨域融合、連動制勝的觀念,並依此整理基本任務。

聚焦意識形態的佈局任務

意識形態是「系統性、自覺地反映社會經濟形態和政治制度的思想體系」。意識形態決定了認知的理性根基,具有鮮明的陣營特徵。儘管意識形態涵蓋社會生活的各個層面,但在國家或政治團體之間的對抗中,圍繞著信念引導、態度爭取、觀念同化等方面的鬥爭尤為激烈,成為認知域作戰重點關注的任務。

塑造引導政治認知,奪取信念破立主控權。國家或政治集團之間的對抗不僅是舉國之力的對抗,也是舉國之志的對抗,政治信念的對抗首當其衝。塑造引導政治認知旨在凝聚或破壞政治共識、堅定或動搖政治信念、拓展或瓦解政治陣營。認知域作戰中,透過對執政黨的合法性、政治理念和製度的合理性、政治生態的健康性等各方面的認知引導,培植對政治立場、信念、實踐等的認同或否定、擁護或憎恨等感情,舖設有利於己、不利於敵的政治認知佈局。政治認知關係到國家或組織的生存根基,是認知域作戰的首要關注目標。

塑造引導戰爭認知,奪取戰爭態度領導權。國可無戰事但不能無戰識。戰爭認知是個人、組織、國家在戰爭週期中意志、觀念、心理、思考形成和發展的基礎。透過對戰爭的本質、性質、法理觀念等的認知引導,建構戰爭認知思維體系,引導戰爭合理性、正義性、合法性的評價走向,推動對可能發生戰爭支持或反對態度的形成,調控承擔戰爭義務意願的漲落,是戰爭認知引導的關鍵問題。戰爭認知影響戰爭態度,對其主控權的爭奪是認知域作戰必須重視的任務。

塑造引導價值認知,奪取情感意志控領權。價值觀影響人的美醜是非評判和社會行為取向,在認定事物、判定是非方面,人的情感總是傾向於支持價值觀相近的主張。價值認知滲透於生活的各個角落,透過倫理道德觀念、美醜善惡標準、文學藝術觀點等的傳播,圍繞價值觀念導引權、生活模式導向權、傳統傳承評判權等的爭奪頻繁且激烈。現實生活中,不同的價值觀念往往會互相滲透糾纏。塑造引導價值認知的實質是爭取社會情感的認同,是認知領域作戰的經常性任務。

緊盯社會心理的造勢任務

社會心理為認知提供了感性和經驗基礎,它在日常生活、社會活動、實踐感悟等經驗基礎上形成。社會心理引導常會推動現實情勢產生難測變化,是雙方對抗特別是非軍事衝突期的慣用模式之一,也是認知域作戰必須重視的任務。

導引民族心理,調控民族情緒。民族心理是最容易引發衝突對抗的社會心理之一。打擊民族自尊心可滋長民族自卑心理而易分裂澇散,提升民族自尊心可增強民族凝聚力,但民族自尊心的膨脹又易引發極端種族主義、民族沙文主義等的產生;國家內部不同民族間地位、利益、文化、風俗、生活等的差異性,為別有用心之人挑動民族對立情緒提供了可乘之機,而相同的生存空間、合作歷程等又奠定了民族間消除偏見甚至凝聚包容的基礎,結果取決於認知導引。民族心理導引敏感且容易失控,對社會穩定有直接影響,是認知域作戰需要重點關注的任務。

導引群類心理,漲消對立意識。群類泛指同類的人,如民族、地理、階級、職業團體甚至民間團體、非政府組織等等。如果說群類是以「趨同」為標準而主觀劃定的,那麼群類之間的「差異」就是客觀存在的。這種差異性可能是政治、經濟地位,也可能是文化思想、地域觀念抑或其他。導引差異認知推動黨派對立、地區對立、職業對立、貧富對立等不同群體對立心理,不但會對國家內部團結造成破壞,也會累積增加社會各界對政權當局的不滿情緒,為策動社會動盪分裂留下伏筆。認知域作戰中,需要對此類社會心理予以關注。

導引個體心理,影響社會情緒。認知域作戰中,個體心理導引區分為兩種情境。一種是重要人物心理導引,如敏感工作者、社會公知、學術菁英、商業成功人士等,對其政治立場、情感態度等的爭取,是對抗雙方需要重點關注的議題。一種是對易引發個體心理共鳴現象的利用。如公共危機、重大事故、自然災害甚至生活中的一些犯罪事件、突發情況等,有意導引某種情緒則可能因個體的從眾效應而產生群體極化現象,從而引發民意變化甚至社會動盪。這兩個面向都是認知域作戰需重視的內容。

瞄準戰時認知的關鍵性任務

認知域作戰先於軍事行動開展而後於軍事行動結束。戰時認知域作戰圍繞著軍事目的的達成而展開,與軍事行動配合實施、相互支撐,具有暴力脅迫特徵。此階段的認知域作戰,「攻」「防」行動同步開展,武器影響、宣傳影響綜合致效,「誘」「打」「騙」「控」等手段層出不窮,是認知域作戰的關鍵階段。

攻心奪志,迫誘認知。戰時認知攻擊主要圍繞在削弱敵抵抗意志、誘導敵錯誤決策。針對敵方決策層、一線指戰員等,透過靶向攻擊動搖抵抗意志,透過資訊欺騙幹擾誘導決策;針對以軍隊為主的武裝力量,以武力打擊震懾主導,綜合運用輿論戰等樣式行動以及新興技術手段,動搖其參戰信念、引發其恐慌情緒、瓦解其軍心士氣、支配其行動模式;針對社會面支撐力量,透過大型軍事演習、裝備試驗、宣傳武器殺傷效能等傳遞強硬訊息打擊信心,透過選擇性目標打擊、戰況傳播等誘發恐慌情緒,透過宣傳己方戰爭中的人道行為和國際相關評論爭取理解等。

築牢防線,凝心控局。戰時認知防守的重點是築牢「心」「志」「智」防線,防止在局勢或環境劇烈變化的刺激下喪失鬥志。教育和宣傳是戰時認知防禦的基本途徑。針對參戰力量,透過動員激勵激發參戰熱情,透過批駁謠言澄清事實真相,透過宣傳戰果確立必勝信念,透過樹立典型調動士氣等等;針對支撐力量,透過戰爭的正義性、合理性、合法性教育宣傳,建立全民使命感、責任感、義務感,透過揭露敵方的殘暴行為激發同仇敵愾心理,透過宣傳地方參戰支前事蹟激發支援作戰熱情等等。

拓展陣營,消除隱憂。營造有利的認知氛圍,為己方陣營拓展提供支撐,是戰時認知領域作戰必須有所作為的重要面向。特別是國際支持力量的爭取,雖然在途徑上主要以政治、外交等活動為主,但己方立場、理念、態度等的廣泛擴散,常會帶動國際民間態度的轉變,進而影響到政治層面的決策,為己方拓展陣營提供支撐。此外,戰時認知域作戰還有一項貫穿戰爭始終的重要任務,即消除戰爭中各種意外帶來的不利隱患。特別是戰爭後期,隨著戰爭破壞效應的顯現擴散,人的認知體係必將受到不同資訊的反覆衝擊。這段時期,需要意識形​​態引領、社會心理塑造、個體心理疏導等配合致效,方能確保戰果的鞏固。在認知域作戰中,隨著槍砲聲的消散,新一輪認知域作戰的號角可能再次吹響,不能有絲毫懈怠。

(編按:王子鋒、黃子娟)

中國原創軍事資源:https://military.people.com.cn/n1/2022/1005/c1011-32539888.html

Chinese Warfare Planning: Artificial Intelligence Will Change the Mechanism of Winning Future Wars

中國戰爭規劃:人工智慧將改變未來戰爭的勝利機制

中國軍網 國防網 // 2024年5月2日 星期四

現代英語:

Artificial intelligence technology is an important support for improving strategic capabilities in emerging fields. In recent years, it has developed rapidly and has been widely used in the military field, constantly giving rise to new asymmetric advantages, and profoundly changing the basic form, combat methods and winning mechanisms of future wars. We should have a deep understanding of artificial intelligence as a revolutionary technological driving force, accurately recognize changes, respond to changes scientifically, and actively seek changes, strive to explore ways to win future wars, and gain the initiative in the accelerating intelligent war.

Information mechanism

Knowing yourself and the enemy will ensure victory in every battle. Quickly and effectively mastering all-round information is the primary prerequisite for winning a war. Artificial intelligence can realize intelligent perception of battlefield situations, intelligent analysis of massive data, and intelligent processing of multiple information, and can form a “transparent” advantage on the battlefield.

Autonomous implementation of battlefield perception. By embedding intelligent modules into the wartime reconnaissance system, various reconnaissance node units can realize random networking, ad hoc coordination, and organic integration, and can autonomously capture battlefield information in all directions and dimensions, build a relatively “transparent” digital battlefield environment and combat situation, and then dispel the “fog” of war and present the combat scene in a panoramic manner.

Accurately identify massive amounts of data. Relying on intelligent technologies such as precise sensing technology and analytical recognition technology, it accurately judges, analyzes, compares, and integrates diversified voice, text, pictures, videos, and other data to obtain faster, more complete, more accurate, and deeper battlefield situation results, far exceeding the speed and accuracy of human brain processing.

Efficient response to key information. Based on intelligent technology groups such as combat cloud, big data, and the Internet of Things, it can quickly discover large quantities of non-standardized and heterogeneous intelligence data, autonomously discover symptoms, identify intentions, analyze trends, find patterns, and respond to commanders’ needs for key information in real time and accurately.

Synchronous sharing of integrated situation. The intelligent control system can optimize and integrate various reconnaissance and surveillance systems distributed in different spaces and frequency domains such as land, sea, air, space and radio networks, and play an important hub role in sharing information and unified cognition, building a situation based on “one picture”, “one network” and “one chain”, so that all combat units can synchronously share the required information from different spaces, distances and frequencies in all domains and at all times, realizing intelligent sharing.

Decision-making mechanism

Those who can plan for victory before the battle have made more calculations. Scientific and accurate decision-making is a prerequisite for winning a war. Artificial intelligence can conduct dynamic battlefield simulation and deduction, quickly give feasible decisions, greatly shorten the decision-making cycle of combat planning, and form a decision-making advantage.

Intelligent strategic situation analysis. The decision-making support system that incorporates artificial intelligence technology has functions such as information collection, query management, data processing, and correlation analysis. It can effectively break through the limitations of human analysis capabilities, maximize the separation of false and true, correlation verification, and link thinking, and automatically conduct big data analysis such as enemy situation, our situation, and battlefield environment, forming comparative data on related forces and weapons, which can efficiently assist combat command and help commanders quickly make combat decisions.

Intelligent optimization of combat plans. Relying on the intelligent combat simulation system, it automatically generates multiple sets of intuitive plans and programs based on the pre-input combat missions and strike target information, comprehensively evaluates their advantages and disadvantages and potential risks, and selects the plan that is most conducive to realizing the commander’s intention for the commander to make the final decision. After receiving the combat missions and target requirements from the superior, each combat unit will further screen the battlefield target information in combination with the tasks and requirements of its own level, and independently formulate the best plan and program at its own level to maximize combat effectiveness.

Intelligent prediction of decision-making effectiveness. The intelligent decision-making auxiliary system relies on intelligent technologies such as big data, high-performance computing, and neural network algorithms to give the command and control system a more advanced “brain-like” ability, which can think more rationally about unexpected situations on the battlefield and quickly come to a relatively objective combat result.

Power control mechanism

The dominant position is to control power by taking advantage of the situation. Seizing control power is the key factor to win the war. Artificial intelligence can “transplant” part of human intelligence to weapons, making the combination of humans and weapon systems more and more close. The deep interaction between humans and machines has changed the traditional control elements, endowed new control connotations, and can help gain new control advantages.

The dominance of the domain is expanding to the high frontier. In the future, highly intelligent unmanned systems will be able to carry out a variety of combat missions even in harsh conditions such as high temperature, extreme cold, high pressure, lack of oxygen, toxicity, radiation, and in extreme environments such as extreme height, extreme distance, extreme depth, extreme micro, extreme darkness, and extreme brightness. The competition for dominance of the combat domain and combat space will extend to the high frontier, the far frontier, and the deep frontier.

The right to control information is expanding to multiple means. The traditional way to seize the right to control information is to control the channels of information acquisition, processing, and distribution by attacking the enemy’s reconnaissance and early warning system and destroying its command and control system. However, information warfare under the guidance of artificial intelligence uses information itself as “ammunition”, and the means to seize the right to control information are more diverse.

The network control power is expanding to distributed. The network information system built based on intelligent technology provides a ubiquitous network “cloud” to aggregate battlefield resources of various terminals and provide services, which can realize modular organization and automatic reorganization of combat forces. The traditional purpose of disconnecting the network and destroying the chain by striking key nodes will no longer be achieved. It is inevitable to respond to the “decentralized” battlefield with an intelligent distributed strike mode.

The power to control the brain is expanding to new dimensions. Brain-like technology and simulation technology are gradually militarized, forming new areas of competition and confrontation. The focus has shifted from focusing on confrontation in the physical and information domains to focusing more on influencing and controlling the opponent’s psychology. Technologies such as virtual reality and audio-visual synthesis can confuse the real with the fake. “Core attack” can quietly change the enemy’s command and control system algorithm. “Brain control” can directly control the enemy’s decision-making. By controlling and influencing the enemy’s psychology, thinking, and will, the goal of stopping and winning the war can be achieved at the lowest cost.

Mechanism of action

The key to victory in war is speed. Taking unexpected actions against the enemy is the key to victory in war. Artificial intelligence can improve the intelligence level of weapons and equipment, command and control systems, and action decisions, making mobile response capabilities faster and joint strike capabilities more accurate, creating a super action advantage.

The speed of action is “killed in seconds”. The intelligent combat system can see, hear, understand, learn and think, effectively shortening the “OODA” cycle. Once an “opportunity” is found, it will use intelligently controlled hypersonic weapons, kinetic weapons, laser weapons, etc. to quickly “kill” the target at a long distance.

Action style is “unmanned”. “Unmanned + intelligent” is the future development direction of weapons and equipment. Low-cost unmanned vehicles, drones, unmanned submarines and other unmanned autonomous equipment, with the support of cluster autonomous decision-making systems, can plan the task division of each unit according to combat targets, and unmanned devices can accurately dock, autonomously combine, and covertly penetrate to carry out cluster saturation attacks on the enemy.

The action space is “blurred”. In future wars, using interference means to carry out soft strikes on the enemy’s intelligent combat systems and intelligent weapons, and using intelligent weapons to delay or influence the enemy’s decision-making and psychology will become the key to victory. Most of these actions are completed unconsciously or silently, presenting a “blurred” state where the enemy and us are invisible, the boundaries between the front and the rear are unclear, and the visible and invisible are difficult to distinguish.

The action deployment is “stealth”. The intelligent command system and weapon equipment have bionic and stealth properties. As long as they are deployed in advance in possible combat areas during peacetime preparations or training exercises, they can be hidden and dormant and ready for combat. Once they are activated in time in wartime, they can launch a sudden attack on the enemy, which will help to quickly seize the initiative in the war.

System Mechanism

Five things and seven strategies determine victory or defeat. Future wars will be full-domain, full-system, full-element, full-process system confrontations, and a stable and efficient combat system is the basic support for winning the war. With the continuous expansion of the application of artificial intelligence in the military field, the combat system is becoming more and more intelligent, and the full-domain integrated combat system will produce a strong system advantage.

There are more means of “detection”. Intelligent combat clusters rely on network information systems to connect with various large sensors, electronic warfare systems and other human-machine interaction platforms, use the detection and perception equipment of each combat unit to obtain battlefield data, give play to the self-organizing characteristics of intelligent groups, strengthen real-time detection and support for joint combat systems and back-end intelligence analysis, and can achieve full-domain detection, joint early warning, and coordinated verification, forming a multi-dimensional, full-domain coverage of large-area joint detection intelligence system.

The scope of “control” is wider. The use of intelligent unmanned combat platforms can break through the logical limits of human thinking, the physiological limits of the senses, and the physical limits of existence, and replace humans to enter traditional life restricted areas such as the deep sea, space, polar regions, and strong radiation areas, and stay there for a long time to implement “unconventional warfare”, thereby further expanding the combat space and having the ability to continuously repel opponents in a wider range of fields.

The speed of “fighting” is faster. With the support of intelligent network information system, the intelligence chain, command chain and killing chain are seamlessly connected, the speed of information transmission, decision-making speed and action speed are accelerated simultaneously, and the intelligent combat units can be flexibly organized, autonomously coordinated and quickly strike. All of these make the time utilization efficiency extremely high and the battlefield response speed extremely fast.

The “evaluation” is more accurate. Using intelligent technologies such as experiential interactive learning and brain-like behavioral systems, the intelligent combat evaluation system can autonomously complete the collection, aggregation, grading and classification of multi-means action effect evaluation information, accurately perceive battlefield actions based on big data and panoramic images, dynamically identify combat processes and correct defects, predict complex battlefield changes, and make comprehensive plans and flexibly respond.

The “security” is more efficient. The widespread application of intelligent comprehensive security systems represented by equipment maintenance expert systems and intelligent sensing equipment can efficiently respond to security needs in various domains, intelligently plan security resources, and ensure that the “cloud” aggregates various battlefield resources, effectively improving the comprehensive security capabilities of the networked battlefield.

(Author’s unit: Henan Provincial Military Region)

現代國語漢語:

人工智慧技術是提高新興領域戰略能力的重要支撐,近年來獲得快速發展並廣泛運用於軍事領域,不斷催生新的非對稱優勢,深刻改變未來戰爭的基本形態、作戰方式和製勝機理。應該深刻認識人工智慧這一革命性技術動力,準確識變、科學應變、主動求變,努力探尋制勝未來戰爭之道,在加速來臨的智能化戰爭中贏得主動。

資訊機理

知彼知己,百戰不殆。快速有效地掌握全方位資訊是戰爭制勝的首要前提。人工智慧可實現戰場態勢智慧感知、大量數據智慧分析、多元資訊智慧處理,能夠形成戰場「透明」優勢。

戰場感知自主實施。將智慧模塊嵌入戰時偵察系統,各類偵察節點單元可以實現隨機組網、臨機協同、有機整合,能夠全方位、多維度自主捕獲戰場信息,構建相對“透明”的數字化戰場環境和作戰態勢,進而撥開戰爭“迷霧”,全景式呈現作戰場景。

海量數據精準識別。依托精準感知技術和分析識別技術等智慧化科技,精準判讀、分析、比對、融合多元化的語音、文字、圖片、影片等數據,從而獲取更快、更全、更準、更深的戰場態勢結果,遠超人腦處理的速度和精確度。

關鍵資訊高效響應。基於作戰雲、大數據、物聯網等智慧化技術群,能夠從大批量、非標準化、異構化的情報數據中快速發掘,自主發現徵候、識別意圖、研判趨勢、找到規律,實時精準地響應指揮員對關鍵資訊的需求。

融合態勢同步共用。智慧化控制系統能夠將分佈在陸海空天電網等不同空間、不同頻域的各種偵察監視系統優化整合,並發揮共享信息和統一認知的重要樞紐作用,構建形成基於“一幅圖”“一張網」「一條鏈」的態勢,使各作戰單元全局全頻全時從不同空間、不同距離、不同頻率同步共享所需信息,實現智慧共享。

決策機理

夫未戰而廟算勝者,得算多也。科學準確決策是戰爭制勝的先決條件。人工智慧可進行動態戰場模擬推演,快速給出可行決策,大幅縮短作戰籌劃決策週期,能夠形成決策優勢。

戰略形勢智能研判。融入人工智慧技術的決策輔助系統,具備資訊收集、查詢管理、數據處理、關聯分析等功能,可有效突破人類分析能力的限制,最大限度去偽存真、關聯印證、連結思考,自動進行敵情、我情和戰場環境等大數據分析,形成相關兵力、兵器等對比數據,能夠有效率地輔助作戰指揮,幫助指揮員快速定下作戰決心。

作戰方案智能優選。依托智能化作戰模擬系統,根據預先輸入的作戰任務和打擊目標訊息,自動產生多套形象直觀的方案和計劃,綜合評估其優缺點及潛在風險,優選出最有利於實現指揮員意圖的方案,供指揮員作出最後決斷。各作戰單元接到上級作戰任務和目標需求後,結合本級任務和要求,進一步對戰場目標資訊進行甄別篩選,自主訂定本級最優方案和計畫,實現作戰效能最大化。

決策效能智能預測。智慧化輔助決策系統依賴大數據、高效能計算、神經網絡演算法等智慧化技術,賦予指揮控制系統更高階的「類腦」能力,可以更理性地思考戰場上出現的意外情況,快速得出相對客觀的交戰結果。

制權機理

勢者,因利而製權也。奪取制權是贏得戰爭制勝優勢的關鍵因素。人工智慧可將人的部分智慧「移植」到武器上,使得人與武器系統結合越來越緊密,人機一體深度互動改變了傳統的製權要素,賦予新的製權內涵,能夠助力獲得新的製權優勢。

制域權向高邊疆拓展。未來高度智慧化的無人系統,即使在高溫、極寒、高壓、缺氧、有毒、輻射等惡劣條件下,在極高、極遠、極深、極微、極黑、極亮等極端環境中,仍然可以遂行多種作戰任務,作戰領域和作戰空間的製權之爭向高邊疆、遠邊疆、深邊疆延伸。

制資訊權向多手段拓展。傳統的奪取制資訊權,是透過打擊敵偵察預警體系、破壞其指揮控制系統等手段實現對資訊取得、處理、分發等途徑的控制,而人工智慧主導下的資訊作戰則是將資訊本身作為「彈藥”,奪取制資訊權的手段更加多樣。

製網權向分散式拓展。基於智慧科技構建的網絡資訊體系,提供泛在網絡「雲」以聚合各類終端的戰場資源並提供服務,能夠實現作戰力量模塊化編組、自動化重組,傳統的通過打擊關鍵節點,達成斷網毀鏈的目的將很難再實現,必然是以智慧化分散式打擊模式來應對「去中心化」的戰場。

制腦權向新維域拓展。類腦技術、模擬技術等逐步軍事化,形成了新的博弈和對抗領域,重心由注重物理域、資訊域對抗向更加註重影響和控制對手心理轉變,虛擬現實、聲像合成等技術能夠以假亂真, 「攻芯戰」能夠悄無聲息地改變敵方指揮控制系統演算法,「控腦戰」能夠直接控制敵方決策,透過控制和影響敵方的心理、思維、意誌等,能夠以最小代價實現止戰、勝戰之目的。

行動機理

兵之情主速,乘人之不及。採取敵方意料不到的行動是戰爭制勝的關鍵要害。人工智慧可提高武器裝備、指控系統、行動決策等方面的智慧化程度,使機動反應能力更快、聯合打擊能力更準,創造出超強的行動優勢。

行動速度「秒殺化」。智慧化作戰系統看得見、聽得懂、能學習、會思考,有效縮短了“OODA”循環週期,一旦發現“有機可乘”,便運用智能化控制的超高聲速武器、動能武器、激光武器等,對目標進行遠距離快速「秒殺」。

行動樣式“無人化”。 「無人+智慧」是未來武器裝備發展方向。低成本的無人車、無人機、無人潛航器等無人自主裝備,在集群自主決策系統支援下,可針對作戰目標規劃各單元的任務分工,無人器之間精準對接、自主組合、隱蔽突防,對敵進行集群飽和攻擊。

行動空間「模糊化」。未來戰爭中,利用乾擾手段對敵方的智慧化作戰系統和智慧武器實施軟打擊,利用智慧武器遲滯或影響敵方人員的決策和心理將成為製勝關鍵。這些行動大都是在不知不覺或無聲無息中完成的,呈現敵我雙方不見人影、前方後方界限不清、有形無形難以辨別的「模糊」狀態。

行動布勢「隱身化」。智慧化指揮系統和武器裝備具有生物仿生和隱身性能。只要在平時備戰或訓練演習時提前佈設在可能交戰地域,潛伏預置、休眠待戰,戰時一旦需要適時激活,對敵實施猝然打擊,有助於快速掌握戰爭主動權。

體系機理

五事七計知勝負。未來戰爭是全領域、全系統、全要素、全流程的體系對抗,穩定高效的作戰體係是戰爭制勝的基礎支撐。隨著人工智慧在軍事領域應用不斷拓展,作戰體系智慧化程度越來越高,全域融合的作戰體係將產生強大的體系優勢。

「偵」的手段更多。智慧化作戰集群依托網絡資訊體係與各類大型傳感器、電子戰系統及其他人機交互平台進行連接,運用各作戰單元自身檢測感知設備獲取戰場數據,發揮智能群體自組織特性,強化對聯合作戰體系及後端情報分析的即時偵監支持,能夠實現全局偵搜、聯合預警、協同印證,形成多維一體、全局覆蓋的大區域聯合偵察情報體系。

「控」的領域更廣。運用智慧化無人作戰平台,能夠突破人類思維的邏輯極限、感官的生理極限和存在的物理極限,並代替人類進入深海、太空、極地、強輻射地域等傳統的生命禁區,並長時間置身其中實施“非常規作戰”,從而使作戰空間進一步拓展,具備在更廣的領域持續懾拒對手的實力。

「打」的速度更快。在智慧化網路資訊體系支撐下,情報鏈、指揮鏈、殺傷鏈無縫連接,資訊傳輸速度、決策速度與行動速度同步加快,智慧化作戰單元能夠靈活編組、自主協同、快速打擊。這些都使得時間利用效率極高、戰場反應速度極快。

「評」的精度更準。運用經驗式互動學習、類腦行為體係等智慧化科技,智慧化作戰評估系統能夠自主完成多手段行動效果評估資訊的擷取匯聚、分級分類,基於大數據和全景圖精準感知戰場行動,動態識別作戰過程並糾正缺陷問題,預判複雜戰場變化,綜合規劃、靈活應對。

「保」的效率更高。以裝備維修專家系統、智慧化感知設備為代表的智慧化綜合保障系統的廣泛應用,能夠高效響應各域保障需求,智慧規劃保障資源,保障「雲」聚合各類戰場資源,有效提升網絡化戰場綜合保障能力。

(作者單位:河南省軍區)

中國原創軍事資源:https://www.81.cn/szb_223187/szbxq/index.html?paperName=jfjb&paperDate=2024-05-02&paperNumber=03&articleid=930888

How Generative AI Will Impact Future Warfare for China’s Military

現代英語:

Recently, the artificial intelligence program ChatGPT has become popular on the Internet for its “erudition” and “answering all questions”. Generative AI represented by ChatGPT has a strong content generation ability and a “smartness” level that is close to that of humans. Applying it to the military field will inevitably have an impact on future wars.

Significantly improve battlefield perception. In future wars, various new types of rapid-killing weapons will further accelerate the battlefield rhythm, requiring continuous improvement of battlefield situation perception capabilities, and thus supporting rapid decision-making that adapts to battlefield needs. In the battlefield space full of “fog”, facing massive, multi-source, complex, heterogeneous and rapidly growing battlefield situation data, human perception speed and processing capabilities appear to be somewhat “slow”. The visual big model architecture introduced in recent years has made breakthroughs in many fields such as image classification, target detection, semantic segmentation, posture estimation, image editing, and remote sensing image interpretation through unsupervised pre-training and human feedback reinforcement learning paradigm, which can significantly improve battlefield perception. Intelligent weapons embedded with visual big models can accurately identify and distinguish the primary and secondary, true and false targets through the visual system, and can quickly extract and generate high-value intelligence from massive multimodal data, reduce the cognitive load of combat personnel, and form a comprehensive, timely and accurate judgment of the situation. Using the perception advantage of generative AI to achieve accurate positioning of key nodes may be the prerequisite for launching combat operations in the future.

Greatly promote human-computer interaction. Human-computer interaction allows machines to “listen” to human language, “see” human movements and expressions, “understand” human emotions and intentions, and present the calculation process and results in a way that is easy for people to understand. The language big model can not only perform well in text understanding scenarios such as sentiment analysis, voice recognition, and information extraction, but is also applicable to battlefield information system visualization generation scenarios such as picture description generation, manuscript generation, and dialogue generation. If it is embedded in an integrated joint combat system and continuously iterated and evolved, it can be used for more complex tasks such as scenario writing, combat plan generation, and exercise result evaluation, which may reshape the command decision-making process in future wars. Deeply embedding ChatGPT-type generative AI applications into command information systems can enable intelligent equipment to “understand” commands, accurately understand and analyze commanders’ operational needs through human-machine dialogue between commanders and battlefield information systems, and generate action reference plans on this basis, providing a new means for quickly and reasonably deploying combat forces in future wars.

Promote the autonomy of command decision-making. In information-based and intelligent warfare, the participating forces are diverse, the combat styles are diverse, and the battlefield situation is changing. Commanders face the “bottleneck” of insufficient intelligence in effectively commanding wars. With the help of the decision-making large model intelligent auxiliary system, the “human-machine” hybrid decision-making mode may become a new choice. Although from the current technical level, ChatGPT-type generative AI applications are still unable to perform operations such as machine control, group collaboration, and dynamic scheduling. However, its powerful parallel processing capability can handle thousands of tasks at the same time. It is suitable for integrated control of manned/unmanned platforms, generating control algorithms, optimizing group behavior, and fully supporting “swarm”, “fish school”, and “wolf pack” combat multi-agents. The command and control system based on the decision-making big model can give full play to the advantages of both the human brain and artificial intelligence, and realize the leap from intelligent prediction to intelligent decision-making, and from controlling single agents to multiple agents. In the future battlefield, embedding generative AI into unmanned combat platforms can innovate new paradigms for military operations and greatly improve combat effectiveness.

Give birth to a new model of logistics support. From the perspective of technological development, military confrontation is increasingly expanding to the physical, information and cognitive domains, and the combat space is extending to the extreme height, distance and depth. The corresponding logistics support tasks are also becoming more diverse and complex. In the future battlefield, the multi-task general large model will be integrated into the unmanned combat platform and various support systems. People, equipment and objects will be ubiquitously interconnected, and various combat and support entities will be organically integrated. The logistics support system realizes intelligent matching between people and materials, materials and equipment, materials and troops, and materials and regions through deep learning and analysis of big data such as the quantity, time and maintenance status of stored materials. It also automatically predicts material needs, matches the best means of transport, formulates the best transportation plan, and promptly solves problems in the battlefield logistics supply chain. Especially in the face of extreme combat support in complex terrain, contaminated areas, fire control areas and other areas that are difficult for personnel to reach, based on a large amount of pre-training of special mission training samples, generative AI can achieve changes in demand perception, resource allocation and action control, autonomously assign tasks, autonomously plan routes, and autonomously navigate and position, and deliver support materials directly and accurately to the support objects in a “point-to-point” manner, thereby realizing intelligent support.

國語中文:

近段時間,人工智慧程式ChatGPT因其「博學多識」而「有問必答」走紅網。以ChatGPT為代表的生成式AI有著強大的內容生成能力和直逼人類的「聰明」程度,將其應用於軍事領域,勢必會對未來戰爭產生影響。

明顯提升戰場感知力。未來戰爭中,各類新型快速殺傷武器將進一步加速戰場節奏,要求不斷提升戰場態勢感知能力,進而支撐起適應戰場需求的快速決策。在充滿「迷霧」的戰場空間裡,面對海量多源、複雜異構且快速增長的戰場態勢數據,人類感知速度和處理能力顯得有些「遲緩」。近年來推出的視覺大模型架構,透過無監督預訓練和人類回饋的強化學習範式,已在圖像分類、目標檢測、語義分割、姿態估計、圖像編輯以及遙感圖像解譯等多個領域取得突破,可以顯著提升戰場感知力。嵌入視覺大模型的智慧武器,可以透過視覺系統精準辨識並區分打擊目標的主次、真偽,能從海量多模態資料中快速提取、產生高價值情報,減輕作戰人員的認知負荷,形成對態勢全面、及時、準確的判斷。利用生成式AI的感知優勢來實現對要害節點的精準定位,或許是未來發起作戰行動的前提。

大幅推進人機互動。人機互動可以讓機器「聽」懂人類語言、「看」懂人類動作與表情、「理解」人的情緒和意圖,並把計算過程和結果用人容易理解的方式呈現出來。語言大模型不僅能夠在情感分析、語音識別、資訊抽取等文字理解場景中表現出色,而且同樣適用於圖片描述生成、書稿生成、對話生成等戰場資訊系統可視化生成場景。如果再將其嵌入一體化聯合作戰系統並持續迭代進化,可以用於想定編寫、作戰方案生成、演習結果講評級較為復雜的工作,在未來戰爭中或將重塑指揮決策流程。將ChatGPT類生成式AI應用深度嵌入指揮資訊系統中,可以讓智慧裝備「聽懂」指令,透過指揮員與戰場資訊系統人機對話,準確理解分析指揮員作戰需求,並在此基礎上生成行動參考方案,為未來戰爭中快速、合理配置作戰力量提供全新手段。

助推指揮決策自主化。資訊化智慧化戰爭,參戰力量多元、作戰樣式多樣、戰場形勢多變,指揮員有效指揮戰爭面臨智能不足的“瓶頸”,借助決策大模型智能輔助系統,“人-機”混合決策模式或將成為一種新的選擇。雖然從目前的技術水準來看,ChatGPT類生成式AI應用仍無法進行機器控制、群組協作、動態調度等操作。但其強大的並行處理能力,能夠同時處理上千個任務,適用於融合控制有人/無人平台,生成控制演算法、優化群體行為,可全面支撐「蜂群」「魚群」「狼群」作戰多智能體。基於決策大模型的指揮控制系統,可以充分發揮人腦和人工智慧兩者的優長,實現從智慧預測到智慧決策、從控制單智能體到多智能體的跨越。未來戰場上,將生成式AI嵌入無人作戰平台中,可創新軍事行動新範式,大幅提升作戰效能。

催生後勤保障新模式。從科技發展維度來看,軍事力量對抗日益向物理域、資訊域和認知域全維度拓展,作戰空間向極高、極遠和極深全方位延伸,相應的後勤保障任務也變得更加多元復雜。未來戰場上,將多任務通用大模型綜合整合到無人作戰平台及各類保障系統中,人、裝、物泛在互聯,各類作戰、保障實體將有機融為一體。後勤保障系統通過對在儲物資數量、時間、保養情況等大數據深度學習分析,實現人與物資、物資與裝備、物資與部隊、物資與地區的智能匹配,並自動預測物資需求、匹配最佳運載工具,制定最優運輸方案、及時解決戰場物流供應鏈路所出現的問題。特別是面臨複雜地形、沾染區、火力控制區等人員難以到達的極限戰鬥保障,在特殊任務訓練樣本大量預訓練基礎上,生成式AI能夠實現需求感知、資源調配和行動控制上的變革,自主分配任務、自主規劃路徑、自主導航定位,將保障物資以「點對點」的方式直達精確配送給保障對象,實現智慧保障。

中國軍網國防部網參考:https://www.81.cn/szb_223187/szbxq/index.html?paperName=jfjb&paperDate=2023-04-18&paperNumber=07&articleid=903588