中國軍事分析智能化時代作戰協同發展趨勢

現代英語：

Operational coordination is a key element in achieving systemic operations, releasing overall effectiveness, and achieving operational objectives in modern warfare. In recent years, with the breakthrough progress of military science and technology represented by artificial intelligence, the enabling and efficiency-enhancing role of science and technology has become more prominent. While profoundly changing the form of war and combat style, it has also spawned a new mode of operational coordination – autonomous coordination. At present, we should scientifically grasp the opportunities and challenges of the new military revolution, dynamically coordinate the development trend of autonomous coordination, and thus promote the accelerated transformation and upgrading of combat methods.

Transforming towards intelligent empowerment and autonomous collaboration

Future wars will be all-round confrontations between the two sides using “people + intelligent equipment”. Limited by military technology, system platforms, combat capabilities, etc., traditional combat coordination has been difficult to adapt to the modern battlefield where opportunities are fleeting due to limitations such as periodic solidification and low fault tolerance. With the strong support of advanced technical means such as artificial intelligence and big data, the autonomy and automation level of combat coordination will be greatly improved, and autonomous coordination under intelligent empowerment will also become the key to defeating the enemy.

Wide-area ubiquitous collaboration. In recent years, the in-depth development of communication technology and intelligent technology, the accumulation of data, algorithms, and computing power have promoted the interconnection and aggregation of people, machines, objects, and energy, and extended the military Internet of Things to many fields such as situational awareness, command and control, information and fire strikes, and after-sales support. While promoting the iterative upgrade of combat capabilities, it also provides more options for modern combat collaboration. It can be foreseen that the military Internet of Things will shine on future battlefields. It is not only a key infrastructure to support combat operations, but also a joint hub to maintain combat collaboration. With this as a basis, it will give rise to ubiquitous operations with wide-area dispersion of forces, organizational modules, and highly coordinated actions, which are omnipresent, ubiquitous, and uncontrolled and autonomous.

Deep collaboration between humans and machines. In the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, the Azerbaijani army built a strong battlefield advantage with the advantage of drones, and to some extent, it also announced the debut of “robot war”. In future wars, unmanned combat forces such as drones, unmanned vehicles, and unmanned ships are accelerating from backstage support and guarantee to front-line combat, and are beginning to play the “protagonist” of the battlefield. Compared with traditional combat coordination, manned and unmanned intelligent coordination presents the characteristics of “decentralization” of combat command, “de-division of labor” in the combat process, high-end skill operation, and fuzzification of the front and rear, and emphasizes human-machine collaboration and algorithm victory. Especially in recent years, intelligent unmanned clusters have emerged and begun to strongly impact the modern battlefield. In the face of these new situations and changes, cluster formation algorithms, formation control algorithms, and complex scene optimization algorithms should be used in a coordinated manner to promote unmanned and manned networking communications and intelligent coordination, promote the integrated operation of intelligence chain, command chain, mobility chain, strike chain, and support chain, and accelerate the generation of precise enemy comprehensive combat capabilities.

Digital intelligence drives collaboration. The traditional combat coordination model under progressive command is no longer able to adapt to the multi-dimensional fast pace of modern warfare. In future wars, intelligence is the key and data is king. The deep integration of big data, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence has realized the storage, analysis, integration, and application of massive battlefield data, making command and control more scientific and combat coordination more efficient. With powerful resource integration, computing processing, and data analysis capabilities, battlefield intelligence can be quickly integrated, battlefield situation can be perceived in real time, coordination plans can be efficiently formulated, and threat levels can be instantly assessed. The prediction of combat operations, the dissection of typical scenarios, the deployment of combat forces, and the allocation of combat resources can be coordinated as a whole, thereby comprehensively improving the comprehensive quality and efficiency of command and control, firepower strikes, and comprehensive support, and promoting revolutionary changes in combat coordination.

Evolving towards multi-domain linkage and autonomous collaboration

In future wars, the participating forces will be complex and diverse, weapons and equipment will be matched at different levels, and combat methods will be used in a mixed manner, showing distinct characteristics such as intelligent dynamic dispersion of combat command, intelligent wide-area deployment of combat forces, and intelligent dynamic differentiation of combat tasks. It can be foreseen that multi-domain linkage and autonomous coordination will become an important component of combat coordination.

System self-reshapes coordination. In future wars, the multi-domain battlefield space will be a combination of virtual and real, various military operations will interact, and constraints and collaboration will be randomly transformed. Only by adopting an engineered and systematic organizational model can we adapt to the complex multi-domain coordination needs. The essence of this coordination model is to form a wide-area holographic support framework for system self-reshape coordination. Specifically, it is to highlight the concept of system combat, and to solve the practical contradictions such as organizational system construction, institutional mechanism establishment, and coordination rule formulation from an overall perspective; to pay more attention to the system integration effect, and to achieve beyond-visual-range combat and cross-domain coordinated combat of combat units from a wide area; to emphasize efficient and flexible command, to refine the command relationship from various dimensions, and to clarify the command responsibilities; to pay more attention to data precision drive, to integrate network system platforms at all levels, and to establish a dynamic optimization network for detection, control, attack, evaluation and protection tasks. Once this coordination model is formed, it will undoubtedly be able to study and predict typical confrontation scenarios, dynamically select action coordination links, and plan combat operations in various fields in an integrated manner according to the combat environment, combat opponents, and combat tasks.

Tactical adaptive coordination. Local wars and conflicts in recent years have repeatedly shown that the complexity and systemicity of combat coordination have increased exponentially due to the extension of combat data information to the tactical level. Only by achieving efficient processing, integration and sharing of combat data information can adaptive and autonomous coordination between combat users be guaranteed. This coordination model pays more attention to scientific planning and innovative means to form a universal battlefield situation map with full-dimensional coverage, support hierarchical, leapfrog and cross-domain sharing and collaboration among users of all levels and types deployed in a wide area, realize the common perception of battlefield situation by command elements and combat units, and ensure self-synchronous operations within the framework of unified strategic intent, campaign guidance and coordination plan. This coordination model emphasizes the vertical integration of strategy, campaign and tactics, and the horizontal integration of land, sea, air, space and electricity, provides strong information sharing services in detection, early warning and surveillance, and relies on information media to promote the extension of campaign-level joint to tactical-level joint. This coordination model highlights the standardized operation of command operation and force application, and promotes the connection of combat command levels, cross-domain linkage, element interaction and situation sharing with the help of cutting-edge technologies such as big data and cloud computing, realizes intelligent coordination between command systems, weapon platforms and sensors, and implements the key to winning by defeating slowness with speed.

Advantages and intelligence complement and synergy. In future wars, combat operations in space, network and other fields will be deeply integrated into the traditional battlefield space, requiring higher standards and higher requirements for planning and design of the overall combat situation. Only by clarifying the complementary relationship of advantages in various combat domains and the proportion of input and effectiveness, and then sorting out the operational relationship of cross-domain coordination, can we bridge the gap in field operations and achieve complementary advantages on the multi-dimensional battlefield. In essence, this is also a concentrated reflection of the view of war efficiency. From another perspective, in a war, when the local advantage of the battlefield is not obvious or there is a hidden crisis, by gaining local advantages in other fields to make up for it and achieve comprehensive advantages, the overall goal of winning can also be achieved. In the future information-based and intelligent wars, this point will be more prominent and more complex, requiring comprehensive measures in the fields of military, politics, public opinion, legal theory, psychology, diplomacy, etc., and leveraging each other to fully release the maximum combat effectiveness; requiring traditional forces and new forces to work closely together, relying on the network information system to build an integrated combat system, and maximizing overall effectiveness through advantage synergy.

Transition to Dynamically Coupled Autonomous Collaboration

In the era of artificial intelligence, along with the profound changes in information technology and weapons and equipment, combat operations place more emphasis on breaking up traditional force groupings, connecting traditional platform functions, breaking traditional offensive and defensive boundaries, and achieving full-time dynamic control of combat operations through dynamic coupling and autonomous coordination.

Dynamic focal point coordination. In future wars, the enemy-to-enemy confrontation will be more intense, and the battlefield situation will be more changeable. The previous static, extensive, and step-by-step coordination methods will be difficult to adapt. It is necessary to pay close attention to the key nodes of the operation. On the basis of keeping a close eye on the overall situation, anchoring the combat mission, and focusing on the combat objectives, we must assess the situation and seize the opportunity. According to the predetermined coordination rules, we can flexibly change the coordination objects, flexibly adjust the coordination strategies, and autonomously negotiate and coordinate actions. It should be noted that this coordination method based on key combat nodes particularly emphasizes that combat forces transcend structural barriers and organically aggregate combat effectiveness. Through the flexible structure of the collaborative organization, self-coupling and autonomous elimination of contradictions and conflicts, bridging combat gaps, and promoting the precise release of the combined forces of the combat system.

Dynamic control and coordination. The battlefield situation in future wars is changing rapidly, and the combat process is often difficult to advance according to the predetermined combat plan, and combat operations have great uncertainty. Invisibly, this also requires us to break through traditional combat thinking, keep a close eye on the changes in the battlefield situation, and implement immediate, flexible and autonomous coordination of the combat process. This collaborative method, through real-time assessment of battlefield situation changes, the degree of damage to enemy targets, and the scale and efficiency of combat operations, can achieve rapid command and control, precise coordination in force projection, fire support, and comprehensive support, and always grasp the initiative on the battlefield. This collaborative method requires relying on advanced intelligent auxiliary means to quickly divide the combat phase, predict the duration of combat operations, analyze the overall deployment of combat forces, calculate the allocation of combat operation resources, and accurately control the decision-making cycle and combat rhythm, and accurately coordinate the actions of troops and the combat process to ensure that various randomness and uncertainties in combat can be effectively dealt with.

Dynamic response coordination. The operational mechanism of future wars is unpredictable. The deep effects of asymmetric operations, hybrid games, and system emergence will inevitably lead to various emergencies in the implementation of the planned operational plans. To this end, dynamic coordination for emergencies is an effective strategy to resolve the above-mentioned contradictions. This coordination method emphasizes the dynamic adjustment of coordinated actions according to different situations. When an emergency occurs on a local battlefield or in a local action, which has little impact on the overall operation and has sufficient time, the combat system automatically responds, partially adjusts the combat deployment and combat operations, and ensures the achievement of the expected combat objectives. When multiple urgent and slow situations coexist on the battlefield and partially affect the battlefield situation, the combat actions are dynamically and immediately coordinated according to the principle of first urgent and then slow according to the specific situation, so as to promote the development of the war in a direction that is beneficial to me. When there are multiple major unexpected situations or unexpected changes in the overall development of the war situation, coordination is carried out according to the principle of first major direction and then minor direction, and new coordinated disposal measures are quickly generated to effectively respond to various emergencies on the battlefield.

現代國語：

■吳思亮　賈春傑　侯永紅

引言

作戰協同是現代戰爭中實現體係作戰、釋放整體效能、達成作戰目標的關鍵要素。近年來，隨著以人工智慧為代表的軍事科學技術取得突破性進展，科技的賦能增效作用進一步凸顯，在深刻改變戰爭形態、作戰樣式的同時，也催生出一種新的作戰協同模式——自主協同。當前，應科學掌握新軍事革命的機會挑戰，動態統籌好自主協同發展走向，從而推動作戰方式加速轉型升級。

向智能賦能自主協同蛻變

未來戰爭將是對抗雙方採用「人+智慧裝備」展開的全方位對抗。受軍事技術、系統平台、作戰能力等限制，傳統作戰協同因為存在周期固化、容錯率低等局限，已難以適應戰機轉瞬即逝的現代戰場。在人工智慧、大數據等先進技術手段的強力支撐下，作戰協同的自主性、自動化水準將極大提升，智慧賦能下的自主協同也將成為克敵制勝的關鍵。

廣域泛在協同。近年來，通訊技術、智慧技術的深度發展，數據、演算法、算力的累積疊加，促進了人、機、物、能的互聯聚合，將軍事物聯網延伸擴展至態勢感知、指揮控制、信火打擊、後裝保障等諸多領域，在促進作戰能力迭代升級的同時，也為現代作戰協同提供了更多選項。可以預見，軍事物聯網將在未來戰場上大放異彩，不僅是支撐作戰行動的關鍵性基礎設施，也是維繫作戰協同的關節樞紐。以此為依托，將催生出力量廣域分散、組織模塊構成、行動高度協同的泛在式作戰，無時不在、無處不在、無控自主。

人機深度協同。在納卡沖突中，阿塞拜疆軍隊憑借無人機優勢構建起強大戰場優勢，某種程度上也宣告「機器人戰爭」登場。未來戰爭，無人機、無人車、無人艦等無人作戰力量，正加速從後台支援保障走向一線作戰前台，開始擔當戰場「主角」。較之傳統作戰協同，有人無人智能協同呈現出作戰指揮「去中心化」、作戰過程「去分工化」、技能操作高端化、前沿與後方模糊化等特點，更加強調人機協同、演算法取勝。尤其是近年來，智慧無人集群異軍突起，開始強烈沖擊現代戰場。面對這些新情況新變化，應統籌運用集群編隊演算法、隊形控制演算法以及復雜場景優化演算法等，推動無人與有人組網通訊、智慧協同，促進情報鏈、指揮鏈、機動鏈、打擊鍊和保障鏈一體運轉，加快生成精確制敵綜合作戰能力。

數智驅動協同。逐層遞進指揮下的傳統作戰協同模式，已難以適應現代戰爭的多維度快節奏。未來戰爭，智能為要，數據為王。大數據、雲計算、人工智慧等深度融合，實現了對海量戰場數據的儲存、分析、融合和運用，從而使得指揮控制更加科學、作戰協同更有效率。透過強大的資源整合、計算處理和數據分析能力，可以快速融合戰場情報、實時感知戰場態勢、高效製定協同計劃、瞬時評估威脅等級，將預測作戰行動、解剖典型場景、布勢作戰力量和配置作戰資源一體統籌，從而全面提升指揮控制、火力打擊、綜合保障等方面的綜合質效，推動作戰協同革命性變革。

向多域聯動自主協同演進

未來戰爭，參戰力量複雜多元、武器裝備高低搭配、作戰方法混合運用，呈現作戰指揮智能動態分散、作戰力量智聯廣域部署、作戰任務智配動態區分等鮮明特徵。可以預見，多域聯動自主協同將成為作戰協同的重要組成。

體係自重塑協同。未來戰爭多域戰場空間虛實結合、多樣軍事行動交互作用，約束與協作隨機轉化，只有採取工程化、系統化的組織模式，才能適應龐雜的多域協同需求。這種協同模式，其實質是要形成體係自重塑協同的廣域全像支撐架構。具體來看，就是更突顯體係作戰理念，從整體上破解組織體系建構、制度機制設立、協同規則制訂等現實矛盾；更重視體系融合效應，從廣域上實現作戰單元超視距作戰、跨域協同作戰；更強調高效率靈活指揮，從諸維度細化指揮指揮、釐清指揮權責優化；這種協同模式一旦形成，無疑能夠針對作戰環境、作戰對手和作戰任務等，研判預測典型對抗態勢場景，動態選擇行動協同鏈路，一體規劃各領域作戰行動。

戰術自適應協同。近年來的局部戰爭沖突一再表明，由於作戰數據資訊向戰術層共享應用延伸，作戰協同的複雜性系統性呈指數級躍升。只有實現作戰數據資訊的高效處理、融合共享，才能保證作戰用戶間自適應、自主化協同。這種協同模式，更重視科學規劃、創新手段，形成全維覆蓋的通用戰場態勢圖，支持廣域分散部署的各級各類用戶間按級、越級、跨域共享協作，實現指揮要素、作戰單元共同感知戰場態勢，確保在統一的戰略意圖、戰役指導、協同計劃框架內自同步作戰。這種協同模式，更強調縱向貫通戰略、戰役、戰術，橫向融匯陸海空天電，在探測、預警、監視等方面提供強力資訊共享服務，依托資訊介質推動戰役級聯合向戰術級聯合延伸。這種協同模式，更加突出指揮運行、力量運用等的標準化運行，借助大數據、雲計算等前沿技術推動作戰指揮層級銜接、跨域聯動、要素交互、態勢共享，實現指揮系統、武器平台、傳感器間的智能化協同，落地落實以快製慢制勝關鍵。

優勢智互補協同。未來戰爭，太空、網路等領域作戰行動深度融入傳統戰場空間，要求對作戰全局實施更高標準更高要求的規劃設計。只有搞清各作戰域優勢互補關聯、投入成效比重，進而梳理出跨領域協同的運行關系，才能彌合領域作戰縫隙，實現多維戰場優勢互補。從本質上看，這也是戰爭效益觀的集中反映。從另一個視角來看，一場戰爭，當戰場局部優勢不明顯或暗藏危機時，透過在其他領域取得局部優勢予以彌補並達成綜合優勢，同樣可以實現整體制勝目的。未來資訊化智能化戰爭，這一點將體現得更為突出也更為復雜，要求針對軍事、政治、輿論、法理、心理、外交等領域綜合施策，相互借力充分釋放最大作戰效能；要求傳統力量、新質力量密切配合，依托網絡信息體系打造一體化作戰體系，通過優勢協同實現整體效能最大化。

向動態耦合自主協同變遷

人工智慧時代，伴隨資訊科技與武器裝備的深度變革，作戰行動更強調打散傳統力量編組、打通傳統平台功能、打破傳統攻防界限，透過動態耦合自主協同實現對作戰行動的全時動態可控。

動態聚點協同。未來戰爭敵我對抗更加激烈、戰場態勢更為多變，以往那種靜態粗放、按部就班的協同方式將難以適應。必須對作戰的關鍵節點給予高度關注，在緊盯整體態勢、錨定作戰任務、聚焦作戰目標的基礎上，審時度勢把握戰機，依據預定的協同規則，敏捷變換協同對象、靈活調整協同策略、自主協商協同行動。需要注意的是，這種基於關鍵作戰節點的協同方式，特別強調作戰力量跨越結構壁壘、有機聚合作戰效能，透過協同組織的彈性結構，自耦合自主化消解矛盾沖突、彌合作戰縫隙，促進作戰體系合力精準釋放。

動態調控協同。未來戰爭戰場態勢瞬息萬變，作戰進程往往難以依照預定作戰計畫推進，作戰行動有著極大的不確定性。在無形中，這也要求我們突破傳統作戰思維，緊盯戰場態勢變化對作戰進程實施即時靈活自主協同。這種協同方式，透過即時評估戰場態勢變化、敵方目標毀傷程度、作戰行動規模效益等，從而在力量投送、火力支援、綜合保障等方面實現快速指控、精準協同，始終把握戰場主動權。這種協同方式，要求依托智能輔助先進手段，快速切分作戰階段，預測作戰行動持續時間，研判作戰力量整體布勢，計算作戰行動資源分配，據此精準控制決策週期和作戰節奏，精準協調部隊行動和作戰進程，確保能夠有效應對作戰中的各種隨機性、不確定性。

動態響應協同。未來戰爭作戰機理變化莫測，非對稱作戰、混合賽局、體制湧現等的深層作用，使得預定作戰方案計劃在執行中必然遇到各類突發情況。為此，針對突發情況動態協同是解決上述矛盾問題的有效策略。這種協同方式，更強調依據不同情況動態調整協同行動。當局部戰場或局部行動出現突發情況，對作戰全局影響不大且時間充裕時，作戰體係自動響應，部分調整作戰部署和作戰行動，確保實現預期作戰目標。當戰場出現多個急緩並存情況且部分影響戰場態勢時，根據具體情況按照先急後緩原則動態即時協調作戰行動，推動戰局向著有利於我的方向發展。當戰局整體發展出現多個重大意外情況或出現未曾預想的變化時，按先主要方向、後次要方向的原則展開協同，快速生成新的協同處置措施，有效應對戰場各類突發情況。

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